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Digital & data journey demystified
How It All Works
AI & ML: Data-driven Strategies for the Power & Utilities Industry (& Crisis Impact)
Michal Hodinka, 4.6.2020
2
Photo: webhocmarketingonline.com
A recent Gartner user
survey shows that, while
large IT projects are more
likely to fail than small
projects, around half of
all project failures…
https://www.gartner.com/en/documents/2034616/survey-shows-why-projects-fail
The Machine Learning is based on five pillars
And two areas that you should evaluate when you build a machine learning workload
Machine Learning
Stack
Phases of Machine
Learning Workloads
4innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR
The end-to-end machine learning process
5
Variety of data science use
cases are applied to retail topics within innogy
Predicts which customers will not
pay their bills on time or at all.
Predicts if a customer will end
his contract in the near
future.
Calculates the value
of a customer,
contract or lead
Predicts how long a customer
will ‘survive’ (= remain a
customer)
Predicts how much
gas/electricity the
customer will use in a
certain period
Predicts or calculates
the uplift/conversion of
a certain campaign time
High-level data processing architecture
iDATA: LAB – Simpler, more automated ML on AWS
Data catalog
iDataHUB Data Science & Analytics
Leonardo
Lancelot
S3
NetApp
Redshift
ETL
Extract, Transform and Load
Cisco IPCC
SAP Analytics
SAP BW4HANA
SAP BW on HANA
SAP Analytics Cloud
SAP ESM
IS-U, CRM
SAP HR
Reporting
DataOps
Retail Apps
CI/CD: Code processing architecture
iDATA: LAB – Simpler, more automated ML on AWS
Infrastructure as a code
https://blog.alterway.fr/cetait-cette-semaine-sur-aws-lundi-7-mai-2018.html
Preventive retention project I
Machine Learning & Multi-Armed Testing
Cover a obrázek 1
Step 1: Identification of Customers@Risk
• Which customer is more likely to churn?
• What affects this risk?
• Testing different algorithms (Neural
Networks, Decision Trees)
• Out-of-sample validation
Pilot confirmed that
Customers@Risk model is
accurate in identifying future
churn customers
9innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR
AI Customer data Customers@Risk
Preventive retention project II
Machine Learning & Multi-Armed Testing
Cover a obrázek 1
Step 2: Multi-armed testing of campaigns
and Next Best Offer recommendation
• Which retention offering & channel
works for which customer?
• Optimization across possible offerings &
campaigns for each customer
First A/B tests confirmed that a
reduction in churn coupled with
reduction in in-bound calls was
observed for some campaigns
Next Best Offer to be deployed
10innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR
Offer or treatment?
Channel?
What Message?
Customers@Risk
+ Multi-armed testing
1
Enable agility through the
availability of high data
quality datasets
2
Start simple and evolve
through experiments
3
Decouple model training
and evaluation from
model hosting
4
Detect data drift
5
Automate training and
evaluation pipeline
6
Prefer higher abstractions
to accelerate outcomes
Source: AWS Well-Architectured Framework
Thank you
innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR

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Digital and data journey demystified: how it all works

  • 1. Digital & data journey demystified How It All Works AI & ML: Data-driven Strategies for the Power & Utilities Industry (& Crisis Impact) Michal Hodinka, 4.6.2020
  • 3. A recent Gartner user survey shows that, while large IT projects are more likely to fail than small projects, around half of all project failures… https://www.gartner.com/en/documents/2034616/survey-shows-why-projects-fail
  • 4. The Machine Learning is based on five pillars And two areas that you should evaluate when you build a machine learning workload Machine Learning Stack Phases of Machine Learning Workloads 4innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR
  • 5. The end-to-end machine learning process 5
  • 6. Variety of data science use cases are applied to retail topics within innogy Predicts which customers will not pay their bills on time or at all. Predicts if a customer will end his contract in the near future. Calculates the value of a customer, contract or lead Predicts how long a customer will ‘survive’ (= remain a customer) Predicts how much gas/electricity the customer will use in a certain period Predicts or calculates the uplift/conversion of a certain campaign time
  • 7. High-level data processing architecture iDATA: LAB – Simpler, more automated ML on AWS Data catalog iDataHUB Data Science & Analytics Leonardo Lancelot S3 NetApp Redshift ETL Extract, Transform and Load Cisco IPCC SAP Analytics SAP BW4HANA SAP BW on HANA SAP Analytics Cloud SAP ESM IS-U, CRM SAP HR Reporting DataOps Retail Apps
  • 8. CI/CD: Code processing architecture iDATA: LAB – Simpler, more automated ML on AWS Infrastructure as a code https://blog.alterway.fr/cetait-cette-semaine-sur-aws-lundi-7-mai-2018.html
  • 9. Preventive retention project I Machine Learning & Multi-Armed Testing Cover a obrázek 1 Step 1: Identification of Customers@Risk • Which customer is more likely to churn? • What affects this risk? • Testing different algorithms (Neural Networks, Decision Trees) • Out-of-sample validation Pilot confirmed that Customers@Risk model is accurate in identifying future churn customers 9innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR AI Customer data Customers@Risk
  • 10. Preventive retention project II Machine Learning & Multi-Armed Testing Cover a obrázek 1 Step 2: Multi-armed testing of campaigns and Next Best Offer recommendation • Which retention offering & channel works for which customer? • Optimization across possible offerings & campaigns for each customer First A/B tests confirmed that a reduction in churn coupled with reduction in in-bound calls was observed for some campaigns Next Best Offer to be deployed 10innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR Offer or treatment? Channel? What Message? Customers@Risk + Multi-armed testing
  • 11. 1 Enable agility through the availability of high data quality datasets 2 Start simple and evolve through experiments 3 Decouple model training and evaluation from model hosting 4 Detect data drift 5 Automate training and evaluation pipeline 6 Prefer higher abstractions to accelerate outcomes Source: AWS Well-Architectured Framework
  • 12. Thank you innogy · Název prezentace · DD měsíc RRRR