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Discovering story points
@nadiazemskova
Estimates take time




…and they are never precise
Why estimate?
First there were hours
Hours are dependent on individual
Hours are dependent on specialty
Hours are translated into duration
Brook’s law
Wishful thinking
People are bad at estimating time
People are good at comparison
5
3
                          2
               1
Compare these buildings
User story




1            2
Story point


Effort     Complexity




    Uncertainty
Planning poker
Velocity
25

20

15

10

5

0
     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8
Time-based planning


                     Will have
3 x 15 = 45 points



3 x 20 = 60 points
                     Might have

                     Won’t have
Scope based planning
200
                    Finish here
160                with our best
                      velocity
120

80

40

 0
      0    1   2   3      4        5   6   7   8
1. How many hours are in a story point?
It’s a distribution
2. How to estimate cost?
6 .. 8         x        =



              ..


         It’s a range
3. Whose points are bigger
Only for the same team
Beware of inflation
Establish common baseline
4. How to calibrate team changes
Change of velocity
30


20


10
                 Team member
                    added
0
     1   2   3     4     5     6   7   8   9
5. How to manage the inflow
Burnup chart
160

120

80                                        Done
                                          Scope
40

 0
      0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8
6. How do you get started?
This is a “2”
Discovering story points
7. Why are we back to hours?
These areare
    These different
 kind of estimates
 different units
8. What do you burn during sprint
Hours

        Task count


                Points
9. What if you don’t have a team?
… plan an imaginary sprint
10. What if you have different skills?
… velocity will help
… or different teams
Estimate effort, derive duration
nadezhda.zemskova@gmail.com

nadezhda.zemskova

@nadiazemskova

http://ua.linkedin.com/in/nadiazemskova

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Discovering story points