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IS FACEBOOK
THE NEXT
GOOGLE?
A financial analysis
Feb. 8, 2013
IS FB THE NEXT GOOG?



• Since going public, Facebook has remained in the spotlight
  when it comes to their financials

• Many analysts have hypothesized if Facebook could become the
  next Google, implying soaring revenues and profits

• Now that FB has been public for almost a year, I thought I would
  see how their financials stack up
QUARTERLY REVENUE                                         (IN MILLIONS)



  $16,000.00


  $14,000.00


  $12,000.00


  $10,000.00

                                                                      FB Revenue
   $8,000.00
                                                                      Goog Revenue

   $6,000.00


   $4,000.00


   $2,000.00


         $-
               2011-12   2012-03   2012-06   2012-09     2012-12




                                                       Data Source: MorningStar.com
REVENUE LONGSHOT

• Although it appears to be slowly increasing, Facebook remains
  far behind Google when it comes to quarterly revenue

• Google generated 734% more revenue in Q4 than Facebook




But what about profits…
QUARTERLY PROFITS                                      (IN MILLIONS)




  $3,000.00


  $2,500.00


  $2,000.00


  $1,500.00                                                            FB Net income
                                                                       Goog Net Income
  $1,000.00


   $500.00


        $-
               2011-12   2012-03   2012-06   2012-09    2012-12

   $(500.00)




                                                       Data Source: MorningStar.com
PROFITS ARE ALSO GREATLY
UNBALANCED




• From a profitability perspective, the companies are further apart

• Google generated 4409% more net income than Facbeook in Q4




         Image source: http://updates.clltopics.org/2273-site-news-june-19th-workshop-columbia-maryland
IN SUMMARY

• Despite being similar in size, Facebook is unable to come close
  to Google in terms of revenue or profit
    • Q4 Revenue: Google $13.2B – Facebook $1.6B
    • Q4 Net Income: Google $2.9B – Facebook $64mm

• To narrow the gap they will have to continue adding users, but
  more importantly find out how to more efficiently advertise to
  their existing users
    • Facebook Exchange could be a step in the right
       direction, but we’ll see how much volume it can generate

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Facebook / Google Financial Comparison

  • 1. IS FACEBOOK THE NEXT GOOGLE? A financial analysis Feb. 8, 2013
  • 2. IS FB THE NEXT GOOG? • Since going public, Facebook has remained in the spotlight when it comes to their financials • Many analysts have hypothesized if Facebook could become the next Google, implying soaring revenues and profits • Now that FB has been public for almost a year, I thought I would see how their financials stack up
  • 3. QUARTERLY REVENUE (IN MILLIONS) $16,000.00 $14,000.00 $12,000.00 $10,000.00 FB Revenue $8,000.00 Goog Revenue $6,000.00 $4,000.00 $2,000.00 $- 2011-12 2012-03 2012-06 2012-09 2012-12 Data Source: MorningStar.com
  • 4. REVENUE LONGSHOT • Although it appears to be slowly increasing, Facebook remains far behind Google when it comes to quarterly revenue • Google generated 734% more revenue in Q4 than Facebook But what about profits…
  • 5. QUARTERLY PROFITS (IN MILLIONS) $3,000.00 $2,500.00 $2,000.00 $1,500.00 FB Net income Goog Net Income $1,000.00 $500.00 $- 2011-12 2012-03 2012-06 2012-09 2012-12 $(500.00) Data Source: MorningStar.com
  • 6. PROFITS ARE ALSO GREATLY UNBALANCED • From a profitability perspective, the companies are further apart • Google generated 4409% more net income than Facbeook in Q4 Image source: http://updates.clltopics.org/2273-site-news-june-19th-workshop-columbia-maryland
  • 7. IN SUMMARY • Despite being similar in size, Facebook is unable to come close to Google in terms of revenue or profit • Q4 Revenue: Google $13.2B – Facebook $1.6B • Q4 Net Income: Google $2.9B – Facebook $64mm • To narrow the gap they will have to continue adding users, but more importantly find out how to more efficiently advertise to their existing users • Facebook Exchange could be a step in the right direction, but we’ll see how much volume it can generate