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Burden of Disease: Introduction
Arindam Basu
School of Health Sciences,
University of Canterbury,
arindam.basu@canterbury.ac.nz
February 24, 2014
Part I: DALY AS A SINGLE GAP BASED
MEASURE OF POPULATION HEALTH
Health

STATE of WELL-BEING
BIRTH

DEATH
Health
Physical, Mental, Social
WELL-BEING

BIRTH

DEATH
Concept of Physical, Mental, Social
Metaphor of Life

1

(1,1,1)
SOCIAL

1

PHYSICAL

0
MENTAL

1

0 = DEATH
1 = FULL LIFE
Health
Complete Physical, Mental, Social
WELL-BEING

BIRTH

DEATH
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
Health As a “STATE”

WATER AS A
METAPHOR OF
HEALTH and
CHANGE of STATE

Image source: Wikimedia commons
Health
State of Complete Physical, Mental, Social
WELL-BEING

BIRTH

DEATH
What Is Absence of Health?
Disease? Infirmity?
What is Absence of Disease?
Health?
Health
“State of Complete Physical, Mental, Social
WELL-BEING, not merely absence of disease or
infirmty”
BIRTH

DEATH

Preamble to the Constitution of the World Health Organization as adopted by the
International Health Conference, New York, 19-22 June, 1946; signed on 22 July 1946 by
the representatives of 61 States (Official Records of the World Health Organization, no. 2, p.
100) and entered into force on 7 April 1948.
The Definition has not been amended since 1948.
(http://who.int/about/definition/en/print.html)
“Health is Wealth” (Ancient Saying)
Provocation: “Is Health Resource? Or is
Health Merely a “State of Existence”?
Or Both? How do we reconcile?
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
Context of Measuring Health
PATIENTS

PAYERS

PROVIDERS

MANAGERS
Different Perspectives of Measuring Health
What is my Quality of Life?

PATIENTS
What is the Temperature?

PROVIDERS

“A Case of Fever
That Requires
Admission in a
Ward”

“How Much Did it Cost?

PAYERS

MANAGERS
“How Long Did the Patient Stay? (LoS)”
Constraints and Limitations of a
Summary Measure of Health

The Measure
Must Be
Consistent

The Measure Must
Be Comparable and
Make Sense
“ONE MEASURE TO RULE THEM ALL”
The Principle
“May You Live a Long Life
in Good Health”!
Health Gap
The Ideal: Individuals Live
Standard Life Expectancy
At Full Length

Health Gap: State of
Population Health
Compared to a Normative
Goal
YEARS of LIFE LOST (YLL)
This person has therefore
lost 86-50 = 36 YEARS of
HEALTHY LIFE

He Dies at the
Age of 50 Years
Due to Road
Traffic Injury

Natural
Death at
Age 86
years
Concept: YLL for Populations
Number of Deaths in the Population for An Age Group
Multiplied By
Life Expectancy At Birth for that Age (~ 86 – Age in Years)
YEARS Lived with Disability (YLD)
This person has therefore
lost (86-50) * 0.5 = 18
YEARS of HEALTHY LIFE

He suffers RTI
at the Age of
50 Years and
LIVES with 50%
Disability

Natural
Death at
Age 86
years
YLD for Populations
Age-Specific Prevalence of the Disease or Sequela
Multiplied By
Age-Specific Disability Weight
… AND ONE FORMULA To RULE THEM ALL …

DALY = YLL + YLD
PART II: ESTIMATE GLOBAL BURDEN OF DISEASE USING DALY
Global Burden of Disease Approach
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Chris Murray (L) and Alan Lopez (right)
considered to be the “grand fathers” of
the Global Burden of Disease Approach

Initiated by World Bank (1990s)
Now Seven Organizations:
IHME
Imperial College
University of Queensland
Johns Hopkins
University of Tokyo
WHO
Data from 187 countries, 291
conditions, 1160 sequela, 220
disease states
• Synthesis of Epidemiological Data
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
World
• Data from
– 187 Countries
– 21 Regions

• Basis:
– Geographical
Contiguity
– Epidemiological
Homogeneity
Diseases
• 291 Diseases into 5
Levels of Hierarchy
• (4 Levels + 1 Health
State)
• 1160 Sequelae
• Common Sequelae are
termed as “Health
States” – 220 health
states
• 69 Risk Factors
Steps of YLL Estimation
New Normative Standard Life
Table Was Used for males and
females to compute YLL at each
age by identifying lowest
observed death rates for any age
group in countries with > 5 million
population
YLL Estimation
• Number of Deaths * Life Expectancy at Each Age Band
• Count Total # Deaths in a Year and Assign Unique Cause
• Number of Deaths Come From:
–
–
–
–
–
–

Vital Registration Systems
Mortality Surveillance Systems
Census
Surveys
Hospital and Police Records
Verbal Autopsies and Data from Mortuary

• Life Expectancy at Each Age Band is Maximized and is
set at ~ 86 years for Males and Females
Estimation of YLD
• Prevalence of Sequela * Disability Weight
Sequelae
DISEASES in HIERARCHY

Diseases Lead to
Specific
Conditions, known as
Sequelae (singular:
Sequela)
Many Diseases Have Multiple
Sequelae which are grouped
under “Health States”, such as
Anemia due to Malaria and
Dengue, has been classified
into mild, moderate, and
severe Anemia. These are
estimated as well
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
DALYs For Males, GBD 2010
AGE-WISE DISTRIBUTION of DALYs, Women, GBD 2010
Change in the DALYs Between 1990 - 2010
Introduction to DALY and burden of disease
Let’s Start Playing with the Data:
http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/gbd/visualizations/g
bd-insight

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Introduction to DALY and burden of disease

  • 1. Burden of Disease: Introduction Arindam Basu School of Health Sciences, University of Canterbury, arindam.basu@canterbury.ac.nz February 24, 2014
  • 2. Part I: DALY AS A SINGLE GAP BASED MEASURE OF POPULATION HEALTH
  • 5. Concept of Physical, Mental, Social Metaphor of Life 1 (1,1,1) SOCIAL 1 PHYSICAL 0 MENTAL 1 0 = DEATH 1 = FULL LIFE
  • 6. Health Complete Physical, Mental, Social WELL-BEING BIRTH DEATH
  • 8. Health As a “STATE” WATER AS A METAPHOR OF HEALTH and CHANGE of STATE Image source: Wikimedia commons
  • 9. Health State of Complete Physical, Mental, Social WELL-BEING BIRTH DEATH
  • 10. What Is Absence of Health? Disease? Infirmity? What is Absence of Disease? Health?
  • 11. Health “State of Complete Physical, Mental, Social WELL-BEING, not merely absence of disease or infirmty” BIRTH DEATH Preamble to the Constitution of the World Health Organization as adopted by the International Health Conference, New York, 19-22 June, 1946; signed on 22 July 1946 by the representatives of 61 States (Official Records of the World Health Organization, no. 2, p. 100) and entered into force on 7 April 1948. The Definition has not been amended since 1948. (http://who.int/about/definition/en/print.html)
  • 12. “Health is Wealth” (Ancient Saying)
  • 13. Provocation: “Is Health Resource? Or is Health Merely a “State of Existence”? Or Both? How do we reconcile?
  • 15. Context of Measuring Health PATIENTS PAYERS PROVIDERS MANAGERS
  • 16. Different Perspectives of Measuring Health What is my Quality of Life? PATIENTS What is the Temperature? PROVIDERS “A Case of Fever That Requires Admission in a Ward” “How Much Did it Cost? PAYERS MANAGERS “How Long Did the Patient Stay? (LoS)”
  • 17. Constraints and Limitations of a Summary Measure of Health The Measure Must Be Consistent The Measure Must Be Comparable and Make Sense
  • 18. “ONE MEASURE TO RULE THEM ALL”
  • 19. The Principle “May You Live a Long Life in Good Health”!
  • 20. Health Gap The Ideal: Individuals Live Standard Life Expectancy At Full Length Health Gap: State of Population Health Compared to a Normative Goal
  • 21. YEARS of LIFE LOST (YLL) This person has therefore lost 86-50 = 36 YEARS of HEALTHY LIFE He Dies at the Age of 50 Years Due to Road Traffic Injury Natural Death at Age 86 years
  • 22. Concept: YLL for Populations Number of Deaths in the Population for An Age Group Multiplied By Life Expectancy At Birth for that Age (~ 86 – Age in Years)
  • 23. YEARS Lived with Disability (YLD) This person has therefore lost (86-50) * 0.5 = 18 YEARS of HEALTHY LIFE He suffers RTI at the Age of 50 Years and LIVES with 50% Disability Natural Death at Age 86 years
  • 24. YLD for Populations Age-Specific Prevalence of the Disease or Sequela Multiplied By Age-Specific Disability Weight
  • 25. … AND ONE FORMULA To RULE THEM ALL … DALY = YLL + YLD
  • 26. PART II: ESTIMATE GLOBAL BURDEN OF DISEASE USING DALY
  • 27. Global Burden of Disease Approach • • • • • • • • • Chris Murray (L) and Alan Lopez (right) considered to be the “grand fathers” of the Global Burden of Disease Approach Initiated by World Bank (1990s) Now Seven Organizations: IHME Imperial College University of Queensland Johns Hopkins University of Tokyo WHO Data from 187 countries, 291 conditions, 1160 sequela, 220 disease states • Synthesis of Epidemiological Data
  • 29. World • Data from – 187 Countries – 21 Regions • Basis: – Geographical Contiguity – Epidemiological Homogeneity
  • 30. Diseases • 291 Diseases into 5 Levels of Hierarchy • (4 Levels + 1 Health State) • 1160 Sequelae • Common Sequelae are termed as “Health States” – 220 health states • 69 Risk Factors
  • 31. Steps of YLL Estimation New Normative Standard Life Table Was Used for males and females to compute YLL at each age by identifying lowest observed death rates for any age group in countries with > 5 million population
  • 32. YLL Estimation • Number of Deaths * Life Expectancy at Each Age Band • Count Total # Deaths in a Year and Assign Unique Cause • Number of Deaths Come From: – – – – – – Vital Registration Systems Mortality Surveillance Systems Census Surveys Hospital and Police Records Verbal Autopsies and Data from Mortuary • Life Expectancy at Each Age Band is Maximized and is set at ~ 86 years for Males and Females
  • 33. Estimation of YLD • Prevalence of Sequela * Disability Weight
  • 34. Sequelae DISEASES in HIERARCHY Diseases Lead to Specific Conditions, known as Sequelae (singular: Sequela) Many Diseases Have Multiple Sequelae which are grouped under “Health States”, such as Anemia due to Malaria and Dengue, has been classified into mild, moderate, and severe Anemia. These are estimated as well
  • 38. DALYs For Males, GBD 2010
  • 39. AGE-WISE DISTRIBUTION of DALYs, Women, GBD 2010
  • 40. Change in the DALYs Between 1990 - 2010
  • 42. Let’s Start Playing with the Data: http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/gbd/visualizations/g bd-insight