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David Hulme
Executive Director
Wednesday, 12 October
2016
The University of Manchester
www.effective-states.org
www.gdi.manchester.ac.uk
Introduction
1. Rich nations should help the poor
2. Foreign aid is part of this – not the main part
3. Trade, international finance, migration and
environmental policies are central
4. Business as usual is not an option with climate
change and rising inequality
5. Contemporary context…and, how much is the
UK helping the poor?
6. Conclusions
Rich nations should help the poor: ethics
• Rich nations should provide support to poor
people and poor countries: two sets of reasons
• Ethics: it is the right thing to do
– Things are getting better but still intense
deprivation in an affluent world
– Moral duty: common humanity
– Moral responsibility: rich nation causality
Rich nations should help the poor: ethics
Rich nations should help the poor: ethics
“… it makes no moral difference whether the person
I help is a neighbor’s child ten yards from me or a
Bengali whose name I shall never know, ten
thousand miles away”.
- Peter Singer, 1972
Rich nations should help the poor: self-interest
• The well-being of rich nation citizens, their children
and grandchildren, means we must help the poor
• Problems in faraway lands can rapidly become
problems in rich countries
• Refugees, surges in migration, terrorism, climate
change, international crime and new health problems
do not recognise borders
• In an interconnected world global problems need
global responses
Rich nations should help the poor:
self-interest
Role of foreign aid
• Traditional answer has been foreign aid
• Successes: smallpox, polio, green revolution,
child mortality in Africa, retro-virals, others
• Failures: famous UK example of Pergau Dam
• Aid is declining in significance: remittances,
private finance, Chinese finance
• Priority focus is on aid quality… and, for US,
Korea and Japan, also quantity!
Role of foreign aid
Major inflows in fragile states: remittances, aid and FDI
(constant 2011 USD million)
Role of other…joined up…policies
• International trade: an unreciprocated trade round
• International finance: tackle illicit and illegal financial
flows; limit tax havens
• Environment and climate change: emission
mitigation; finance for adaptation; technological
transfer
• Refugees: honour UN commitments
• Migration: strategies to manage migration and
migration surges… migration and prosperity
• Security and the arms trade
Role of other policies: migration
According to World Bank, average
incomes in the EU are 21 times higher
than in Sub-Saharan Africa…
What would you do
…stay home…or migrate?
“Business as usual” is not an option
• Globalisation: flows of goods, services, finance,
people, ideas, data continue to increase – we are
connected!
• Climate change: economic growth and human
development have been based on being carbon
profligate. This cannot continue if we want a future for
humanity.
• Inequality: The 1% or the 0.1%? Inequality is rising in
most nations, rich and poor. This reduces growth and
slows down human development. Evidence it leads to
political decline, plutocracy and disillusionment.
Business as usual is not an option
June 2016 was the
hottest month since
records began in
1880.
It was also the 14th
consecutive month
of record-breaking
heat.
Global mean surface temperature (January-June)
Business as usual is not an option
Share of income of the top 1% in different rich countries
A deteriorating rich world context
reversal?
• Brexit – UK leaves EU
• Populist right-wing movement across EU –
France, the Netherlands, Austria, Hungary…
• Donald Trump in USA
• Political polarisation - liberal, cosmopolitan
middle-class vs. precarious middle class and
working class…isolationism, xenophobia
How is the UK doing?
How is the UK doing?
• Until June 2016 – real ‘soft power’ benefits
• Seen as ‘world leading’ and ‘agenda setting’
• Foreign aid – shaping EU plans and policies
• Foreign aid - shaping World Bank policies
• Tax & finance – advancing G7 and OECD
• SDGs – ‘punching above its weight’
• Now – in the balance…SDGs reporting?
What can be done?
• Make sure that rich nation citizens hear the moral
arguments and the self-interested arguments
• Helping poor people and poor countries is the
right thing to do and we would be stupid not to
help!
• International development needs joined up
policies – aid, trade, finance, climate change,
migration
What can be done?
• Tackle the common problems of rich and poor nations
– Illicit and illegal finance
– Climate change
– Job creation in poor countries
– Rising inequality
• NGOs and civil society groups: reconnect with citizens.
Stop functioning largely as professional lobby groups
• A ‘war of ideas’ – ONE WORLD
‘David Hulme has provided
an invaluable primer on why
and how we should help the
poor of the world. He rightly
sees the key issues as
climate change and
inequality. In the end, we are
all in this together, rich and
poor alike.’
Angus Deaton, Princeton
University and Winner of the
2015 Nobel Prize in
Economics

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GDI Lecture series: Should Rich Nations Help the Poor? with Professor David Hulme

  • 1. David Hulme Executive Director Wednesday, 12 October 2016 The University of Manchester www.effective-states.org www.gdi.manchester.ac.uk
  • 2. Introduction 1. Rich nations should help the poor 2. Foreign aid is part of this – not the main part 3. Trade, international finance, migration and environmental policies are central 4. Business as usual is not an option with climate change and rising inequality 5. Contemporary context…and, how much is the UK helping the poor? 6. Conclusions
  • 3. Rich nations should help the poor: ethics • Rich nations should provide support to poor people and poor countries: two sets of reasons • Ethics: it is the right thing to do – Things are getting better but still intense deprivation in an affluent world – Moral duty: common humanity – Moral responsibility: rich nation causality
  • 4. Rich nations should help the poor: ethics
  • 5. Rich nations should help the poor: ethics “… it makes no moral difference whether the person I help is a neighbor’s child ten yards from me or a Bengali whose name I shall never know, ten thousand miles away”. - Peter Singer, 1972
  • 6. Rich nations should help the poor: self-interest • The well-being of rich nation citizens, their children and grandchildren, means we must help the poor • Problems in faraway lands can rapidly become problems in rich countries • Refugees, surges in migration, terrorism, climate change, international crime and new health problems do not recognise borders • In an interconnected world global problems need global responses
  • 7. Rich nations should help the poor: self-interest
  • 8. Role of foreign aid • Traditional answer has been foreign aid • Successes: smallpox, polio, green revolution, child mortality in Africa, retro-virals, others • Failures: famous UK example of Pergau Dam • Aid is declining in significance: remittances, private finance, Chinese finance • Priority focus is on aid quality… and, for US, Korea and Japan, also quantity!
  • 9. Role of foreign aid Major inflows in fragile states: remittances, aid and FDI (constant 2011 USD million)
  • 10. Role of other…joined up…policies • International trade: an unreciprocated trade round • International finance: tackle illicit and illegal financial flows; limit tax havens • Environment and climate change: emission mitigation; finance for adaptation; technological transfer • Refugees: honour UN commitments • Migration: strategies to manage migration and migration surges… migration and prosperity • Security and the arms trade
  • 11. Role of other policies: migration According to World Bank, average incomes in the EU are 21 times higher than in Sub-Saharan Africa… What would you do …stay home…or migrate?
  • 12. “Business as usual” is not an option • Globalisation: flows of goods, services, finance, people, ideas, data continue to increase – we are connected! • Climate change: economic growth and human development have been based on being carbon profligate. This cannot continue if we want a future for humanity. • Inequality: The 1% or the 0.1%? Inequality is rising in most nations, rich and poor. This reduces growth and slows down human development. Evidence it leads to political decline, plutocracy and disillusionment.
  • 13. Business as usual is not an option June 2016 was the hottest month since records began in 1880. It was also the 14th consecutive month of record-breaking heat. Global mean surface temperature (January-June)
  • 14. Business as usual is not an option Share of income of the top 1% in different rich countries
  • 15. A deteriorating rich world context reversal? • Brexit – UK leaves EU • Populist right-wing movement across EU – France, the Netherlands, Austria, Hungary… • Donald Trump in USA • Political polarisation - liberal, cosmopolitan middle-class vs. precarious middle class and working class…isolationism, xenophobia
  • 16. How is the UK doing?
  • 17. How is the UK doing? • Until June 2016 – real ‘soft power’ benefits • Seen as ‘world leading’ and ‘agenda setting’ • Foreign aid – shaping EU plans and policies • Foreign aid - shaping World Bank policies • Tax & finance – advancing G7 and OECD • SDGs – ‘punching above its weight’ • Now – in the balance…SDGs reporting?
  • 18. What can be done? • Make sure that rich nation citizens hear the moral arguments and the self-interested arguments • Helping poor people and poor countries is the right thing to do and we would be stupid not to help! • International development needs joined up policies – aid, trade, finance, climate change, migration
  • 19. What can be done? • Tackle the common problems of rich and poor nations – Illicit and illegal finance – Climate change – Job creation in poor countries – Rising inequality • NGOs and civil society groups: reconnect with citizens. Stop functioning largely as professional lobby groups • A ‘war of ideas’ – ONE WORLD
  • 20. ‘David Hulme has provided an invaluable primer on why and how we should help the poor of the world. He rightly sees the key issues as climate change and inequality. In the end, we are all in this together, rich and poor alike.’ Angus Deaton, Princeton University and Winner of the 2015 Nobel Prize in Economics