Going Transplanetary
6 likes2,414 views
The document discusses the urgent need for humanity to become a multi-planetary species due to existential threats from space and the limitations of life on a single planet. It reflects on historical perspectives from various thinkers about space colonization and highlights current challenges, such as funding and public interest, in advancing space exploration. The piece also proposes ecosystem-level solutions to promote investment and growth in the space sector to facilitate human expansion across the solar system.
Going Transplanetary
- 1. Going transplanetary Erika Ilves, co-founder, Transplanetary Strategy summit, stavanger, Jan 29, 2015 Credit: Bryan Versteeg, spacehabs.com
- 2. Something incredible just happened At the edge of the Milky Way.
- 4. humans. So much potential. So little time.
- 6. "Now is the watershed of Cosmic history… Behind us yawn the chasms of the primordial past, when this universe was a dead and silent place; before us rise the broad sunlit uplands of a living cosmos. In the next few galactic seconds, the fate of the universe will be decided. Life — the ultimate experiment — will either explode into space and engulf the star-clouds in a fire storm of children, trees, and butterfly wings; or Life will fail, fizzle, and gutter out, leaving the universe shrouded forever in impenetrable blankness, devoid of hope." Marshall T. Savage The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps, 1994
- 7. We know what we must do.
- 8. "In the long run, a single-planet species will not survive.” Michael Griffin, NASA administrator 2006
- 9. “Since, in the long run, every planetary civilization will be endangered by impacts from space, every surviving civilization is obliged to become spacefaring—not because of exploratory or romantic zeal, but for the most practical reason imaginable: staying alive... If our long-term survival is at stake, we have a basic responsibility to our species to venture to other worlds.” Carl Sagan 1994
- 10. “The long-term survival of humanity, and of the plant and animal life that we cherish on Earth, can best be assured by building colonies dispersed throughout our solar system and beyond.” Gerard o’neill 1976
- 11. "Remember this: once the human race is established on more than one planet and especially, in more than one solar system, there is no way now imaginable to kill off the human race.” Robert A. Heinlein 1961
- 12. “This is the goal: To make available for life every place where life is possible. To make inhabitable all worlds as yet uninhabitable, and all life purposeful.” Hermann oberth 1957
- 13. "Man must at all costs overcome the Earth's gravity and have, in reserve, the space at least of the Solar System. All kinds of danger wait for him on the Earth. . . . We have said a great deal about the advantages of migration into space, but not all can be said or even imagined.” Konstantin tsiolkovsky 1929
- 14. "Perchance, coming generations will not abide the dissolution of the globe, but, availing themselves of future inventions in aerial locomotion, and the navigation of space, the entire race may migrate from the earth, to settle some vacant and more western planet.... It took but little art, a simple application of natural laws, a canoe, a paddle, and a sail of matting, to people the isles of the Pacific, and a little more will people the shining isles of space. ” Henry david thoreau 1843
- 15. so what have we done in a hundred years?
- 16. As of Jan 23, 2015 people in space 547 man years in space123 currently in space 6 Source: worldspaceflight.com
- 17. As of Jan 23, 2015 Source: worldspaceflight.com 18orbited 12walked 0 529100-450 km
- 18. "The regret on our side is, they used to say years ago, we are reading about you in science class. Now they say, we are reading about you in history class." Neil armstrong, july 1999
- 19. Why so little progress?
- 20. It’s hard.
- 22. It’s expensive.
- 23. apollo $164 Billion iss $150 Billion SLS $30 Billion
- 24. We don’t care about our extinction All That much.
- 25. Availability bias “The last time I checked, Humans have not gone extinct”
- 27. We do seem to care about prestige & military dominance.
- 28. Image: Kerbal Space Program
- 31. We care about science… …unless we need the money for something else.
- 33. We care about doing more and more With less and less. On Earth.
- 35. A path that pays for itself is the path that will happen.
- 36. Enter commercial space. Aka “new space.”
- 37. 1,200satellites $200 billion market 92launches in 2014 $6 billion market
- 38. SPACE internet Real time eyes on earth High altitude joy rides Anywhere in under 4 hours
- 40. But none of this calls for people to live in space or go beyond the geostationary orbit.
- 41. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/R. Hurt A question of galactic significance:
- 42. What creates value on earth, requires humans in the loop and/or Pushes us beyond the geostationary orbit?
- 44. …and a handful of space-based business models.
- 45. Space tourism Micro-g research Re-fueling stations Space mining Space-based solar power Manufacturing in space
- 46. Space & market potential maybe infinite…
- 47. …But investor understanding & attention is finite.
- 49. These business cases make real sense if funded together.
- 50. Space tourism Micro-g research Re-fueling stations Space mining Space-based solar power Manufacturing in space
- 53. We need to be less like space cowboys And more like space musketeers.
- 55. An ecosystem problem can only be solved by going meta.
- 56. How to make an ecosystem of These Space-based business models investible?
- 57. For starters, just bloody explain this whole space thing better.
- 58. Meta idea #1: Space sector visualization and analytics platform
- 62. VITAL’s SIBLING for Space was conceived over lunch. We named him spock*. *Space program on ontologically computed knowledge
- 63. It takes time to train your AI • Space jargon • 2,000 space entities • 900,000 people • All space related patents • Hundreds of sources • Asking the right questions • Predictive algorithms
- 64. Meta idea #1: version 2.0 Mission control for humanity’s expansion off Earth, Manned by spock
- 65. ABOUT BLOG Explore past, present & future space missions Explore space industry Check out space companies Invest in space Volunteer, crowdfund or work in space Greetings, I am SPOCK. I man this Mission Control for human civilization’s expansion into space. What do you want to do?
- 66. July 2015
- 67. Ecosystem-level solutionS 3 meta ideas MISSION CONTROL Web intelligence platform for space investors, analysts and enthusiasts giving a real-time overview of the global space ecosystem, incl. predictions of future space milestones, visualization of future markets and investment recommendations. MARKETPLACE 3rd party B2B global marketplace for space systems, sub-systems and components (“Amazon 3rd party marketplace for space”). Could evolve into a platform for sharing and manufacturing high- volume aerospace components and sub-systems (“Amazon 3D printing shop for space”) SPACE DEVELOPMENT BANK A global facility designed to fund the currently unfundable space infrastructure projects. Modelled on the concept of development banking but applied to the sector, not developing world nations. (“EBRD for space”) Visualize space markets Create new funding mechanismsDrive out costs
- 68. We will pivot but will not let go of the bone.
- 69. Space settlement
- 70. Find a WAY to go transplanetary That pays for itself.
- 71. Sweet dreams are made of these:
- 72. Credit: NASA
- 73. Credit: Bryan Versteeg, spacehabs.com
- 74. Credit: ESA
- 77. So that one day…
- 78. "When you look at the stars and the galaxy, you feel you are not just from any particular piece of land, but from the solar system." Laurel clark
- 79. “Because of us, landscapes of radiation blasted waste, will be miraculously transmuted: Slag will become soil, grass will sprout, flowers will bloom, and forests will spring up in once sterile places. Ice, hard as iron, will melt and trickle into pools where starfish, anemones, and seashells dwell—a whole frozen universe will thaw and transmogrify, from howling desolation to blossoming paradise.” Marshall T. Savage The Millennial Project: Colonizing the Galaxy in Eight Easy Steps, 1994