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The Fourth Turning
Group 4
Matthew Kern | Agnes Wit|
Jennifer Green | Shavon Sultan| Ashley Bettinger
The Argument
• Society goes through a
generational cycle
similar to the seasons
of High, Awakening,
Unraveling, and Crisis.
• The United States is
approaching the crisis
stage.
Three Main Points
• 1. History moves in a cycle
called a saeculum.
• 2. These saeculum are
divided into turnings, in
which each represents a
particular archetype.
• 3. The U.S. is approaching
the last stage: crisis.
The Migrant Mother, a prime example
Of the emotions felt during the crisis of
the last saeculum.
The Saeculuar Cycle
• Here displays the context of the U.S.’s current saeculum
Saeculuar Archetypes
• Coined by Jung
• Represent recurring
character identities
• Based on Turning in
which one was born
• Four prominent types
– Prophet
– Nomad
– Hero
– Artist
The First Turning: High
• Really upbeat
• The prophet
archetypes are born
• Current saeculum:
1945-1963
• The Boomer
generation is born
• Weak individualism
Still from The Stepford Wives, satirizing
suburban conformity.
The Second Turning: Awakening
• Era of spiritual upheaval
• The Nomad archetypes
are born
• Current saeculum: 1964-
1984
• Generation X is born
• Civil Rights Movement
occurs
The Third Turning: Unraveling
• Strong individualism
• The Hero archetypes
are born
• Saeculum: 1984-2001
• Culture wars
“The agenda [Bill] Clinton and [Hillary] Clinton would impose on
America — abortion on demand, a litmus test for the Supreme
Court, homosexual rights, discrimination against religious schools,
women in combat — that's change, all right. But it is not the kind
of change America wants. It is not the kind of change America
needs. And it is not the kind of change we can tolerate in a nation
that we still call God's country.” – Pat Buchanan
The Fourth Turning: Crisis
• “A decisive era of secular
upheaval.” Hmm.. Doesn’t
seem like it…
• Tea party movement,
political polarity
• Saeculum: 2001-present
• The artist archetypes are
born
How do we know this will happen?
• It has happened before.
The Civil War, the
Revolutionary War,
World War I-II all
coincided with this
cycle of unraveling-
crisis.
• The country is moving
cyclically, not linear.
What does that mean?
• It could mean the end
of mankind, the end of
the United States, the
end of modernity, or
just mean a major
change in this society.
Plausibly Correct
• The cyclical nature of history seems to be supplied
with plenty of evidence to support it.
• “Those who do not read history are doomed to
repeat it.” – George Santayana
Legitimately Challenged
• Almost seems to follow
the assumption that
humanity is a static
force stuck on the same
page.
• Doesn’t account for
“oddities”
Questions
• Do you personally believe in this cycle or do you find
any issues regarding this model?
• If you believe in this model, how do you think this
crisis will resolve or what shall become of this
country?
• Has this nation’s fate already been written, or since
we are aware of the cycle is it possible to change it’s
course?
A word from the Doc
• “Your future hasn't been written yet. No one's has.
Your future is whatever you make it. So make it a good
one.” – Doctor Emmett Brown

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Group presentation2

  • 1. The Fourth Turning Group 4 Matthew Kern | Agnes Wit| Jennifer Green | Shavon Sultan| Ashley Bettinger
  • 2. The Argument • Society goes through a generational cycle similar to the seasons of High, Awakening, Unraveling, and Crisis. • The United States is approaching the crisis stage.
  • 3. Three Main Points • 1. History moves in a cycle called a saeculum. • 2. These saeculum are divided into turnings, in which each represents a particular archetype. • 3. The U.S. is approaching the last stage: crisis. The Migrant Mother, a prime example Of the emotions felt during the crisis of the last saeculum.
  • 4. The Saeculuar Cycle • Here displays the context of the U.S.’s current saeculum
  • 5. Saeculuar Archetypes • Coined by Jung • Represent recurring character identities • Based on Turning in which one was born • Four prominent types – Prophet – Nomad – Hero – Artist
  • 6. The First Turning: High • Really upbeat • The prophet archetypes are born • Current saeculum: 1945-1963 • The Boomer generation is born • Weak individualism Still from The Stepford Wives, satirizing suburban conformity.
  • 7. The Second Turning: Awakening • Era of spiritual upheaval • The Nomad archetypes are born • Current saeculum: 1964- 1984 • Generation X is born • Civil Rights Movement occurs
  • 8. The Third Turning: Unraveling • Strong individualism • The Hero archetypes are born • Saeculum: 1984-2001 • Culture wars “The agenda [Bill] Clinton and [Hillary] Clinton would impose on America — abortion on demand, a litmus test for the Supreme Court, homosexual rights, discrimination against religious schools, women in combat — that's change, all right. But it is not the kind of change America wants. It is not the kind of change America needs. And it is not the kind of change we can tolerate in a nation that we still call God's country.” – Pat Buchanan
  • 9. The Fourth Turning: Crisis • “A decisive era of secular upheaval.” Hmm.. Doesn’t seem like it… • Tea party movement, political polarity • Saeculum: 2001-present • The artist archetypes are born
  • 10. How do we know this will happen? • It has happened before. The Civil War, the Revolutionary War, World War I-II all coincided with this cycle of unraveling- crisis. • The country is moving cyclically, not linear.
  • 11. What does that mean? • It could mean the end of mankind, the end of the United States, the end of modernity, or just mean a major change in this society.
  • 12. Plausibly Correct • The cyclical nature of history seems to be supplied with plenty of evidence to support it. • “Those who do not read history are doomed to repeat it.” – George Santayana
  • 13. Legitimately Challenged • Almost seems to follow the assumption that humanity is a static force stuck on the same page. • Doesn’t account for “oddities”
  • 14. Questions • Do you personally believe in this cycle or do you find any issues regarding this model? • If you believe in this model, how do you think this crisis will resolve or what shall become of this country? • Has this nation’s fate already been written, or since we are aware of the cycle is it possible to change it’s course?
  • 15. A word from the Doc • “Your future hasn't been written yet. No one's has. Your future is whatever you make it. So make it a good one.” – Doctor Emmett Brown