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How$to$Segment$Developers$for$
your$API$Strategy!
1.29.14!@!11:03!PST!
VOIP!or!Dial7in!(see!chat)!
groups.google.com/group/api<cra=$
Sam!Ramji !
!@sramji!
Michael!Rasalan !@evansdatacorp!
@eatabagel

@sramji
groups.google.com/group/api-craft!

@gbrail(
Greg%Brail

@theganyo(
Sco-%Ganyo
youtube.com/apigee!
slideshare.net/apigee!

http://apigee.com/about/api-best-practices/how-segment-developers-your-api-strategy!
Topics$
Why!segmentaJon?!
How!many!developers!are!there?!
What!are!the!trends!in!developer!profiles?!
How!can!you!classify!them?!
How!can!you!reach!them?!
Why$segmentaAon?$

Why!do!you!care!about!developers?$
Why$segmentaAon?$

Because!they!are!your!new!channel$
20th$Century:$Packaged$Goods$

Producer!

Retail!Store!

Consumer!

21st$Century:$Internet$Services$

Provider!

Developer!

App!

Consumer!
Why$segmentaAon?$

Would!you!have!sold!to!Nordstrom!!
the!same!way!you!sold!to!Wal6Mart?$
Why$segmentaAon?$

Of$course$not.!
$
They’re$different.$
Why$segmentaAon?$

So#are#developers.#
Why$segmentaAon?$

“We’re$targeAng$
everybody”$
$
Why$segmentaAon?$
$

!

WebOS!

LinkedIn!
HTML5!

Gaming!
Consoles!

Cars!

iOS!

Twilio!

Android!

Set!Top!
Boxes!

Medical!
Devices!

Salesforce!

Facebook!

TwiYer!

SimpleGeo!

C#!

Ruby!

PHP!

Javascript!

ObjecJve!
C!

Java!
Why$segmentaAon?$

You!don’t!have!unlimited!resources.!
Why$segmentaAon?$
How$many$developers$are$there?$
How$many$developers$are$there?$

First,!how!do!we!define!a!developer?!$
deQvelQopQer$$noun!(də6ve6lə6pər)!
:!one!that!develops:!as!a:!a!chemical!used!to!develop!
exposed!photographic!materials!b:!a!person!who!develops!
real!estate!c:!a!person!or!company!that!develops!
computer!soaware!!
Examples$of$DEVELOPER$
<the!developer!of!soaware!that!is!used!the!world!over>!
First$Known$Use$of$DEVELOPER$
1796!
Related$to$DEVELOPER$
Synonyms:!contriver,!designer,!inventor,!deviser,!
formulator,!innovator,!introducer,!originator!
How$many$developers$are$there?$
DefiniJons!I’ve!heard:!
!
Enterprise!soaware!company!
Games!company!
Device!manufacturer!
Independent!contractor!
News/media!company!
AdverJsing!agency!
Hobbyist!
Individual!coder!
Startup!soaware!company!
Alpha!geek!

!
How$many$developers$are$there?$
How$many$developers$are$there?$
Demographics of
the Typical
Software Developer

While developers differ
from one region to the next
– the composite developer
looks like this
Global Developer Population and Demographic Study
Overview of Relevant Data Sources
OECD
Statistics

University
enrollment
statistics

World Bank
World Bank

National
Bureau of
Economic
Research

CIA World
Factbook

Extensive secondary
research feeds into the
Evans Data developer
population model

Other
regional
sources

International
Monetary
Fund

US Census
www.evansdata.com
Global Developer Population and Demographic Study
Gathering and Evaluating Data
EDC s proprietary computer simulation model ranks 23
variables on a proportional basis according to their predictive
power with respect to regional and country level developer
population growth.

Data Input
Verified data are
input into model

Analysis
Model ranks
variables by
predictive power

Some data streams are:
•  Growth in tertiary education

Output
Model establishes
developer
population

•  Number of internet hosts per 1000 people
•  Population growth
•  Number of PCs per 1000 people
•  Number of smartphones per 1000 people
•  Growth in secondary Education
•  Growth in GDP per capita

Prediction
Simulations
predict future
growth

www.evansdata.com
Global Developer Population 2013

North America

APAC
US is still the
country with
largest
developer
population
but will be
overtaken
soon

EMEA
Latin
America

Latin
America s
major growth
hasn t quite
started yet

EMEA is
currently
largest and
includes
Russia and
Eastern
Europe

China and India will
drive APAC to
overtake EMEA

2013 Global Developer Population: 18,246,000
Developer Population and Demographic Study, 2012 © Evans Data Corp, 2012
www.evansdata.com
Global Developer Population 2018
54%
13%
34%

North America

APAC
EMEA
28%
Latin
America

2018 Global Developer Population: 24,822,100
Developer Population and Demographic Study, 2012 © Evans Data Corp, 2012
www.evansdata.com
Profile Trends
Gender (Trend)

Percent of Programmers

100%

Male

80%
60%

Female

40%
20%
0%
2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Developer Marketing 2013, © 2013 Evans Data Corp.

Marital Status (Trend)

Percent of Programmers

100%

Married

80%

60%

Single

40%

Divorced

20%

0%
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Developer Marketing 2013, © 2013 Evans Data Corp.

www.evansdata.com
Age

Median Age (Trend)
APAC

EMEA

N America

50

45

Years

Decline in median
age in North
America coincides
with adoption of
mobile tech, app
stores, and
recession

40

35

30

25
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

G lo bal&D ev elo pment&S eries &2012:&Vo lume&I,&©&2012&E v ans &D ata&C o rp.

Age by Region
Over 60

! 
! 
! 

APAC s median age is 34
EMEA s median age is 39
North America s median
age is 38

Percent of Programmers

100%

56-60
51-55

80%

46-50
41-45

60%

36-40
40%

31-35
26-30

20%

25 and under
0%
APAC

EMEA

North America

G lo bal&D ev elo pment&S eries &2012:&Vo l.&II,&©&2012&E v ans &D ata&C o rp.

www.evansdata.com
Segments Defined by Target Audience
Scientific
3%

Other
6%

OEM
5%

This way of looking at
developers segments
the market based on
who the developers
target is for their apps

ISVs
33%

Internal
Corporate
33%

VARs,
Consultants
20%

www.evansdata.com
Segments Defined by Role
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Pro
developer

Manage /
Develop

Dev
Manager

Non-pro
developer

Hobbyist

Student

Teacher /
Academic

Other

This way of segmenting developers is by the role they have in
developing software – as specified by the developers themselves
www.evansdata.com
Pros but also Moonlighters
Time Spent by Years Experience

Do you developer software / applications on your own
personal time?

Yes

Percent of Programmers

No

80 hours a
month or more

100%

80%

40-80 hours a
month

60%

20-40 hours a
month

40%

20 hours a
month or less

20%
0%
1-2

3-6

7-10

11-15

16-20

Over 20

North American Development Survey 2012: Vol. II, © 2012 Evans Data Corp.
N o rth&A meric an&D ev elo pment&S urv ey:&Vo l.&II,&©&2012&E v ans &D ata&C o rp.

How many hours a month do you spend involved in personal
programming or side projects not related to your day job and
not during work hours?

Percent of Programmers

40%

The majority of professional
developers also develop apps on
their own time. The extent of
time spent varies by years of
experience.

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

20 or less

20-40

40-80

More than 80

North American Development Survey 2012: Vol. II, © 2012 Evans Data Corp.

www.evansdata.com
Language Use in North America
The three major regions show language adoption patterns that are
similar with subtle distinctions.
C# has made the biggest change in the last seven years.
Language Use Trend (North America)
C/C++

Java

C#

70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

North American Development Survey: Vol. I, © 2013 Evans Data Corp.

www.evansdata.com
Use of Scripting Languages
Scripting Languages 2013
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Javascript

PHP

Python

Perl

Ruby

Other

Javascript is almost ubiquitous among scripting language users.
Use of scripting languages in general has increased along with new
form factors for targets. Sixty seven percent use scripting languages at
least some of the time.
Chart shows scripting language use among scripting language users
www.evansdata.com
Mobile App Development

Percent Developers Working on Mobile Apps (Trend)
EMEA

APAC

70%
60%

Percent of Programmers

42% of developers overall
report they are presently
developing some mobile
apps, reflecting steady
growth since 2007

North America

50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Fall 2010

Spring 2011

Fall 2011

Spring 2012

Fall 2012

Global Development Series 2012: Vol. II, © 2012 Evans Data Corp.

Mobile Development by Region
Does Not Develop
Mobile Apps

Percent of Programmers

100%
80%

Develops Mobile
Apps

60%
40%
20%
0%
APAC

EMEA

North America

As a percentage of the regional
developer population, developers
who target mobile devices are even
in North America and APAC

Global Development Series 2012: Vol. II, © 2012 Evans Data

www.evansdata.com
Targeted Mobile Devices
Targeted Form Factors
100%
Smartphones
Tablets

80%

Netbooks
Feature Phones

60%
40%
20%
0%
Fall 2010

Spring 2011

Fall 2011

Spring 2012

Fall 2012

Mobile Development Survey, 2012, Vol 2, Evans Data Corp

Smartphones and tablets are defining the mobile landscape

www.evansdata.com
Developer Program Membership
Developer program membership has increased along with the
prevalence of free programs
Developer Program Membership (Trend)

Percent of Programmers

100%

Yes
No

80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Developer Relations 2013, © 2013 Evans Data Corp.

Those who belong to both a free and a paid membership are
the fastest growing segment
www.evansdata.com
Top Reasons to Join a Developer Program

What are the main reasons you would join a developer
relations program? (Top 5)

Tools and SDKs
Technical information
Technical support
Training
Certifications
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Percent of Cases
D evelo p er(R elatio ns (2 0 13 ,(©(2 0 13 (E vans (D ata(C o rp .

Developers are mainly motivated to join developer programs
for access to technical resources
www.evansdata.com
Outreach: Most Liked Methods

Most Liked Marketing Method (Trend)

Emails from the vendor
Evaluation copies

Percent of Programmers

40%
35%

Ads in print publications

30%

Presentations at trade show s

25%

Direct mail from vendors

20%

Usenet announcements

15%

Phone calls from sales reps

10%

Videos on YouTube

5%

Online new sletters

0%

Announcements in Online
Forums

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

D evelo p er(M arketing (2 0 13 ,(©(2 0 13 (E vans (D ata(C o rp .

Emails from the vendor and online newsletters have been the
most favored methods of outreach for six years
www.evansdata.com
Monetizing APIs
Do you charge money to access your APIs?
Yes
24%

24% of developers expect to
charge money for access to
their APIs

No
76%
N o rth&A meric an&D ev elo pment&S urv ey,&Vo l.&II,&©&2013&E v ans &D ata&C o rp.

How do you expect developers to pay for access to your APIs?

Pay-as-you-go

54% of API publishers who
do monetize their APIs
expect developers to use
pay-as-you-go models for
accessing them

Unit-based
Freemium
Tiered pricing
Transaction Fee
Free
0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Percent of Cases
North&A me ric an&De ve lopme nt&S urve y:&V ol.&II,&©&2013&E vans &Data&C orp.

www.evansdata.com
Distribution for Developers
Setting up and maintaining an app store, marketplace, or other
distribution channel within your program is an enhancement
developers find important
How important is it for a developer relations program to
feature an app store?

Percent of Programmers

60%

Importance of App Stores (trend)
200

50%

160

40%

120

30%
80

20%
40

10%
0%

0
Very important

Somew hat
important

Somew hat not
important

Not important at all

'2010

2011

2012

2013

D ev elo per(R elatio ns (2013,(©(2013(E v ans (D ata(C o rp.

App stores are continuing to grow in importance, with only a
slight leveling off in the most recent year
www.evansdata.com
Final$thought$
Q&A(
How to segment developers for your digital strategy (webcast)
The ONLY conference for
Developer Relations Program
Professionals
Keynote Speakers from
Evans Data, IBM, Intel, AT&T,
Samsung, and Ford

Save the date:

March 24 and 25, 2014
Santa Clara, CA

Two full days of insights,
networking, interaction with the
leaders of some of the most
important developer relations
programs

Special Boot Camp
session on

Save $300 with promo code APG19

March 23

Call 800-831-8030 for details or visit
our website at www.evansdata.com
THANK&YOU&
!
&
@sramji!
Ques%ons(and(ideas(to:

@eatabagel!

groups.google.com/group/api8cra9&
How$can$you$classify$them?$

Horizontal
Vertical

Tribal

Modal
How$can$you$classify$them?$
How$can$you$classify$them?$
Horizontally!
LARGE!ECOSYSTEM!PLAYERS
!
LARGE!ENTERPRISES
!
ISV!
!
SYSTEM!INTEGRATORS
!
SMB!|!SMALL!ENTERPRISE
!
SAAS
!
SOFTWARE!STARTUPS
!
HOBBYIST!|OPPORTUNIST
!
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
!

AIRLINES
!

LOGISTICS
!

HOSPITALITY
!

FINANCIAL!SERVICES
!

PUBLISHING
!

DIGITAL!MEDIA
!

RETAIL
!

MOBILE
!

SOCIAL!MEDIA
!

How$can$you$classify$them?$
VerJcally!
How$can$you$classify$them?$
Modally!
Public!

Open!

Closed!

Private!
How$can$you$classify$them?$
Tribally!
C#.net!
SproutCore!

Ruby!
Heroku/ Rails!

iOS!

CoffeeScript!

jQuery!
dojo!

JavaScript!

HTML5!

backbone.js!

Sencha!
AWS!

PHP!

Node.js!

Android!

Java!

Scala!
How$can$you$reach$them?$
How$can$you$reach$them?$
No#one#size#fits#all,#but…#
#
Open/is!smart!because!it!accelerates!innovaJon.!
#
Public!should!make!it!easy!to!"taste"!the!value!
creaJng!demand!from!coders!to!jump!through!hoops!
in!order!to!use!the!super6tasty!Private$funcJonality.!!
How$can$you$reach$them?$

IncenAves!that!match!the!verJcal!and!horizontal!
coordinates!you’re!targeJng!
How$can$you$reach$them?$
Horizontally!
LARGE!ECOSYSTEM!PLAYERS
!

PAY!THEM
!

MEDIUM!&!LARGE!ENTERPRISE
!

SHOW!THEM!OPPORTUNITY
!

ISV!
!

BUSINESS!DEVELOPMENT
!

SYSTEM!INTEGRATORS
!

SHOW!CUSTOMER!DEMAND
!

SMB!|!SMALL!ENTERPRISE
!

MICROSOFT!ECOSYSTEM
!

SAAS
!

EFFICIENCY
!

SOFTWARE!STARTUPS
!

FREE!AND!COOL
!

HOBBYIST!|OPPORTUNIST
!

FREE
!
How$can$you$reach$them?$

TELECOMMUNICATIONS
!

AIRLINES
!

LOGISTICS
!

HOSPITALITY
!

FINANCIAL!SERVICES
!

PUBLISHING
!

DIGITAL!MEDIA
!

RETAIL
!

MOBILE
!

SOCIAL!MEDIA
!

VerJcally!

Be!at!meetups!and!conferences!that!coders!in!
the!verJcal!already!go!to.!Have!a!relevant!offer.!
How$can$you$reach$them?$
Modally!
Public!
PUBLISH!YOUR!API
!
ADVERTISE!ON!CODER!SITES
!

ESTABLISH!A!CONTEST
!

Open!

Closed!

EVANGELIZE!WITHIN!YOUR!
PARTNERS’!DEVELOPMENT!TEAMS
!

ADVERTISE!YOUR
!
BUSINESS!MODEL
!

Private!
How$can$you$reach$them?$
Tribally!
Formal!

C#!
SproutCore!
INDUSTRY!EVENTS
!

Ruby!

Informal!

Heroku/

Rails!

Offline!

dojo!

HTML
5!

MEETUPS,!HACKATHONS
!
BEER!AND!COFFEE
!
INSIDE!YOUR!COMPANY?
AWS! !

iOS!

CoffeeScript!

jQuery!

FORUMS
!
EXISTING!COMMUNITIES
!

JavaScript!
backbone.js!

Sencha! TWITTER!

STACKOVERFLOW
!
HACKERNEWS
!

PHP!

Node.js!

Android!

Java!

Scala!

Online!

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