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Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
SIGNS & PORTENTS
PREDICTING SEARCH & SOCIAL 2017
THE LINKS
portent.co/signsportents


    Yes, just like this.
ME
IAN LURIE
CEO, PORTENT
PORTENT.COM
@PORTENTINT
DISCLAIMER
“iPads are overrated”
                   Ian Lurie, 2010
NOTHING’S GOING TO DIE
4 TRENDS
4 PRIORITIES
4 TRENDS
UBIQUITOUS SEARCH
EMBEDDED SEARCH
NO MORE SHORT CUTS
PRIVACY INSANITY
4 PRIORITIES
100% DISCOVERABILITY
LATENT AVAILABILITY
START MARKETING
FIND NEW METRICS
REALITIES
SEARCH = UTILITY
SOCIAL= GATHERING PLACE

whoaaaaaa...




     check out frank's
          update
SEARCH WILL STILL DOMINATE
100%
                                                                                   91%
 80%
                                                                                   66%
 60%
 40%
                                                                          Search
 20%                                                                      Social

   0%
          2002            2004            2006            2008         2010    2012
From http://pewinternet.org/Reports/2012/Search-Engine-Use-2012.aspx
hehe. hi. um.
TREND 1
UBIQUITOUS SEARCH & SOCIAL
500 DEVICES




Image from Wikipedia
500 DEVICES
500 DEVICES
3200 SCREEN SIZES
MORE PLATFORMS
is it getting
crowded in here? or
  is it just me...?
PRIORITY 1
100% DISCOVERABILITY
BE PRESENT ON GOOGLE+
BE ‘ON’ ON FACEBOOK
HAVE A CLEAN SITE
DUPLICATION
RESPONSE CODES
SCHEMA.ORG
BUILD RESPONSIVE
TWITTER BOOTSTRAP
BLUEPRINT
5

Facebook
 search?
 really?
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
PRIORITY 1.5
IGNORE THE SQUIRREL

  SORRY, BUT I NEED
   PROOF THAT NEW
 FEATURE WILL REALLY
      HELP ME.




          sniff
NAAAAH.
go for it!
  jump!
TREND 2
EMBEDDED SEARCH & SOCIAL
4
                       look ma, no
                         hands!




Image from Wikipedia
look ma, no
  hands!
4
NOW
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
NEAR
             FIELD
CONNECT OFF AND ONLINE
             COMMUNICATIONS
NFC TAG


          MORE INFO



REQUEST               REGISTER
APPLE PASSPORT
Enter store



 Coupon detected



Redeem at checkout
6
                                         6

  NO ACTION REQUIRED
#*!$%&^!@#




                       you're at
                mcdonalds right now.
                that's all your points
                     for the day.
6
           hey,
   this is your cell
 phone. it looks like
you're in the bathroom
   right now. need
NO ACTION REQUIRED
       anything?
PRIORITY 2
LATENT AVAILABILITY
TAG FOR LOCAL
GEOTAG PHOTOS
OWN YOUR LOCAL LISTINGS
USE SCHEMA PLACE STANDARD
CONNECT OFF AND ONLINE
SET UP WIFI
SEARCH & SOCIAL =
ARCHITECTURE, NOT DESIGN
TREND 3
NO MORE SHORTCUTS
THE EXPEDIENCY BUBBLE POPS




   over… inflated...
ow
ANGRY GOOGLE
9




  ME
SMASH!!!
PUZZLED FACEBOOK
why am i only worth
                                              $56 billion?*	
  




*Current market capitalization on 10/29/2012
SEARCH WANTS TO KNOW
WHERE & WHEN WE GATHER
SOCIAL WANTS TO KNOW
WHAT WE SEARCH FOR
BLENDING SOCIAL/SEARCH
ALGORITHMIC COMPLEXITY
PRIORITY 3
START MARKETING
DO NOT POKE THE
   LARGE ANGRY
        ANIMALS
LINK BUYING
KEYWORD STUFFING
CLOAKING
BUYING LIKES
FAKE ACCOUNTS
PROXY STUMBLING
DO WHAT CUSTOMER
EXPERIENCE DEMANDS
NEVER DO ANYTHING JUST
FOR SEARCH RANKINGS
NEVER DO ANYTHING JUST
TO BUILD FOLLOWERS
BE WHERE QUESTIONS ARE ASKED
LINKEDIN
ANSWERS
STACK
EXCHANGE
KNOW THE QUESTIONS
GOOGLE
SUGGEST
UBERSUGGEST
AUTHORITY, LINKS
GREAT CONTENT
ARE OUTCOMES
AUTHORITY, LINKS
GREAT CONTENT
ARE OUTCOMES.
NOT TACTICS.
TREND 4
PRIVACY INSANITY
too late, suckers.
                     we are outta here
HATE PERSONALIZATION


              BOOOOOOOO.
         outrage! burn them at
        the stake! pillage their
             evil corporate
                 empires!
BUT LOVE THE RESULTS

               yaaaaaay.
           pure genius! Get
           me 1,000 shares
         please, so that i may
         roll around in them
           and bask in their
                glory!
PRIORITY 4
FIND NEW METRICS
LOCATION
DEVICE
PLATFORM
SESSION BEHAVIOR
GROW THE OPT-IN HOUSE LIST
COMPLY WITH EU COOKIE LAWS
COMPLY WITH EU COOKIE LAWS
CONNECT THE DATA DOTS
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012
THE WRAPUP
4 TRENDS
UBIQUITOUS SEARCH
EMBEDDED SEARCH
NO MORE SHORT CUTS
PRIVACY INSANITY
4 PRIORITIES
100% DISCOVERABILITY
LATENT AVAILABILITY
START MARKETING
FIND NEW METRICS
(AND WE’LL KEEP PREDICTING)
SEARCH & SOCIAL
ARE ENTERING THEIR
GOLDEN AGE
portent.co/signsportents
   @portentint
ian@portent.com
Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012

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Ian lurie - Predicting Search and Social - SIC2012