The document proposes an earthquake metaphor to model change impact analysis, where changes to a software system are likened to earthquakes originating from an "epicenter class". The approach identifies the epicenter class, defines different change propagation "levels", and identifies other classes impacted at each level. An empirical study on an open source system found the approach could observe change impact scope and determine which levels saw the most/fewest changes. Future work involves adapting seismology models to predict class-level changes.