Introducing chile
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- 7000 million people globally with 62.3 trillion USD GDP and 62,300 billion USD GDP annually produce 142,300 TWh of energy per year - 16.6% of the world's population, or approximately 1.1 billion people, lack access to clean water - 4,800 people die daily from illnesses linked to polluted water
Introducing chile
- 1. 7000 million people 62,3 trillion USD GDP 62.300 billion USD GDP 142.300 TWh year 16.6% of the world population has no access to water. 4800 people daily die due to illnesses linked to polluted water.
- 2. & CHILE? 17,5 million people 60% urban population 40% rural population 5 Billion USD GDP 400.000 GWh year 400 TWh year 11.429 US$/capita (~16-17.000 p.p.p) 22.857 KWh year per capita To Note: Think that only if 200 US$/MWh or 0,20 USD cents/Kwh Then energy do explains 40% of GDP!!! 80/200 = 0.4
- 3. USO % millones m3 AGRICOLA 89,2 12.463 DOMESTICO 5,5 768 MINERO-INDUSTRIAL 5,3 741 TOTAL 100 13.972 121 lts/dia por persona
- 4. I XV CUSTOMERS in Water Utilitiy Companies : TOTAL AMOUNT II SING III 800 km total de Clientes 2010 Q Región I y XV 138.268 total de Clientes 2010 II Región 146.676 Q IV III I y XV 81.777 138.268 V RM IV II 186.718 146.676 SIC III 81.777 IV IX y RM IV 8.411 186.718 VI IX 202.168 2200 km IV IX y RM 8.411 RM IX 202.168 1.950.869 RM 1.950.869 VII V V 551.871 551.871 VIII VI y VIII VI y VIII 681.297 681.297 VII VII 231.828 231.828 IX VIII RM y X VIII RM y X X y XIV 10.126 10.126 193.526 X XIV X y XIV XI 193.526 25.041 XII 47.565 XI 25.041 XIV 39.906 Aysén XII 47.565 XI Total general 4.496.047 XIV 39.906 Total general 4.496.047 XII Magallanes Fuente: Super Intendencia Servicios Sanitario
- 5. GDP EVOLUTION 250 PIB CHILE 200 150 100 50 0 Billion USD 1958 1970 1978 1990 1994 2002 1950 1954 1962 1966 1974 1982 1986 1998 2006 2010 Year in which some countries did reach the barrier of 200 billion USD
- 6. OBSERVED CURRENCY RATE EXCHANGE Source: Banco Central / www.bcentral.cl 800 700 US$ Observado Banco Central ($/US) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d j d un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- un- ic- 82 82 83 83 84 84 85 85 86 86 87 87 88 88 89 89 90 90 91 91 92 92 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 00 00 01 01 02 02 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 09 10 10 11 11
- 7. 800,00 250 700,00 dólar PIB 200 600,00 500,00 150 400,00 300,00 100 200,00 50 100,00 0,00 0 82 84 86 88 90 96 98 00 02 04 92 94 06 08 10 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 20 20 20 20
- 8. Balance de Energía CNE Consumo Centros deTransf. Ind. y Min. Transporte Com.Púb.Res. GWh año Sector Energético 450.000 400.000 350.000 300.000 250.000 200.000 150.000 100.000 50.000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 TOTAL GWh año 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Consumo Centros deTransf. 113.174 113.549 126.624 116.447 111.597 Ind. y Min. 91.392 99.520 106.633 107.602 104.063 Transporte 93.219 94.753 101.026 104.541 100.146 Com.Púb.Res. 68.540 69.774 72.369 72.493 73.943 Sector Energético 16.528 15.564 11.785 11.814 11.279 Total 382.852 393.160 418.438 412.896 401.029
- 9. Finally starting to decouple energy 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 var GWh año var producto 0,900 0,800 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
- 10. AUTHORIZED INVESTMENT INVERSIONES AUTORIZADAS 2009 (Millones de US$) 5% 6% 6% SERVICIOS ELECTRICIDAD, GAS & AGUA enero-oct 2009 6.278 INDUSTRIA 9% OTROS proyectado 2009 8.371 TRANSPORTE & COMUNICACIONES CONSTRUCCION INVERSIONES AUTORIZAD 12% 62% 5% 6% 6% ORIGEN INVERSION AUTORIZADA 2009 DESTINO INVERSION AUTORIZADA 2009 MULTI-REGIONALES METROPOLITANA9% VI REG 20% OTROS 25% USA 12% AUSTRALIA 8% PERU 6% OTROS 60% 61% 11% 9% Source: IVEX CHILE
- 11. EFFECTIVE INVESTMENT INVERSIONES EFECTIVAS 2009 (Millones de US$) 4% 0% 7% SERVICIOS 10% MINERIA INDUSTRIA enero-oct 2009 4042 ELECTRICIDAD, GAS & AGUA proyectado 2009 5.389 TRANSPORTE & COMUNICACIONES OTROS 0% INVERSIONES EFECTIVAS 2009 (Millones de US$) 16% 63% 4% 7% SERVICIOS 10% MINERIA ORIGEN INVERSION EFECTIVA 2009 INDUSTRIA DESTINO INVERSION EFECTIVA 2009 MULTI-REGIONALES ELECTRICIDAD, GAS & AGUA III REG 10% 18% TRANSPORTE & COMUNICACI V 8% OTROS RM OTROS 16% USA 63% 8% UK 9% PÉRU 55% NORUEGA 58% 9% OTROS 15% 10% Source: IVEX CHILE
- 12. CLIMATE AREAS Central North South Extreme South
- 13. A good proxy for CONSUMPTION – FECUS informed to the authority. SECTOR SALES Margin % Mg % TOTAL SALES oil 33.756 795 2% 21% retail 19.934 1.154 6% 13% Mining 17.886 4.943 28% 11% energy 16.566 1.608 10% 10% ANGELINI 16.473 453 3% 10% cellulose 10.793 1.180 11% 7% energy 7.324 275 4% 5% banking 7.154 2.321 32% 5% Sea transport 6.865 -1.144 -17% 4% industry 3.507 177 5% 2% Finance 3.079 260 8% 2% insurances 2.890 0 0% 2% construction 2.790 15 1% 2% telecommunications 1.909 463 24% 1% bottle water 1.376 125 9% 1% Beer 1.307 156 12% 1% health 1.151 69 6% 1% forestry 1.120 140 13% 1% fishing 535 48 9% 0% drinking water 523 231 44% 0% wine 397 32 8% 0% Santiago Subway 337 -162 -48% 0% Mining+Finance 215 93 43% 0% Port 165 15 9% 0% Railway 110 -135 -122% 0% real estate 32 14 42% 0% 158.196 13.124 8% 100% Cifras a septiembre, proyecta año cerrado app 216 billones. Fuente: El Mercurio
- 14. Cifras públicas 2009-2010 FUENTE: MEMORIAS Y REPORTES ANUALES 1.000 900 800 Banco Estado Arauco 700 600 GWh año 500 Sodimac 400 METRO Chilectra 300 Aguas Andinas 200 100 VTR ENTEL BCI 0 0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 facturado millones de US$
- 15. EXPORTS ALIMENTOS 4.957,3 CELULOSA & PAPEL 2.506,1 PRODUCTOS QUIMICOS 2.280,9 Agro- FORESTALES Y MADERA ELABORADA 1.508,6 alimentario- 15.485 30% IND. METALICAS BASICAS 1.431,0 Industrial VINO 1.257,3 MANUFACTURA METALICOS 1.241,3 OTROS 302,7 cobre 30.030,5 molibdeno 1.266,9 hierro 780,8 salitre & yodo 466,5 Mineria 33.164 64% plata 275,5 carbonato de litio 139,6 otros 109,2 sal marina y mesa 95,1 FRUTICOLAS 2.948,4 Recursos AGRICOLAS 490,4 3.518 7% naturales PESCA 59,9 SILVICOLAS 18,9 TOTAL 52.166,7 52.167 100%
- 16. EXPORTS SING 58% copper 800 km SIC 2200 km 6% fruit 2% vino 4% celulosa Aysén73% Magallanes 3% salmon
- 17. EXPORTS SING 58% copper 800 km SIC 2200 km 6% fruit 2% vino 4% celulosa Aysén73% Magallanes 3% salmon
- 18. IMPORTS & EXPORTS…. 70.000 exportaciones 60.000 importaciones 50.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 Cifras acumuladas a Octubre de cada año. 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
- 20. Nevertheless… Q5 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 World 11,40 59,20 18,60 2006 7,30 3,50 Chile Income distribution
- 21. ANEXO
- 22. THE WORLD, population, GDP & Energy Pop (million people) Pop GDP trillion year GDP Energy K TWh 08 REGION Total Share REGION Total Share Share USA & Canada 347 5% USA & Canada 16,2 26% 30,7 22% JAPANA 128 2% JAPANA 5,5 9% 16,7 12% EUROPA+Rusia 699 10% EUROPA+Rusia 18,7 30% 29,3 21% LATINAM 574 9% LATINAM 5,1 8% 6,7 5% ASIA 691 10% ASIA 4,0 6% 8,5 6% middle east 369 6% middle east 2,6 4% 6,9 5% CHINA 1.340 20% CHINA 5,9 9% 24,8 17% Otros 469 7% Otros 1,2 2% 3,7 3% AFRICA 850 13% AFRICA 1,4 2% 7,7 5% INDIA 1.210 18% INDIA 1,7 3% 7,2 5% Total 6.677 100% Total 62,3 100% 142,3 100% CHILE 203,4 billion USD BRAZIL 2.087,9 billion USD USA 14.582,4 billion USD GERMANY 3.309,7 billion USD GREECE 304,9 billion USD
- 23. 140.000 JAPAN ENERGY (KWh year/cap) 120.000 WORLD: GDP & ENERGY 100.000 AFRICA USA + Canada 80.000 RoW Middle East CHINA 60.000 ASIA EUROPE + Russia 40.000 LATINAMERICA 20.000 0 0 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 45.000 50.000 INDIA GDP (US$/cap) REGION US$ per KWh year capita per capita USA & Canada 46.617 88.464 JAPANA 43.046 130.935 EUROPA+Rusia 26.817 41.959 WORLD AVERAGE LATINAM 8.820 11.664 9.335 US$/capita ASIA 5.759 12.320 21.310 KWh year per capita middle east 7.051 18.684 CHINA 4.388 18.511 Otros 2.624 7.983 AFRICA 1.690 9.056 INDIA 1.426 5.949 Total 9.335 21.310
- 25. In Chile the water issue , is question of market development….
- 26. WATER CONSUMPTION, OECD 900 m3 per capíta year means 2466 litr/capita per day.
- 27. P E R C A P ITA GR OS S D OME S TIC P R OD U C T 1909 - 1990 38 36 1978 – Argentinian conflict 34 32 1982 1970 - Allende 30 28 ( Thousands) 1977 Ch$ 26 1983 24 22 1974 – Early 1928 Pinochet 20 18 1935 1990 DEMOCRACY 16 14 12 10 1909 1919 1929 1933 1939 1949 1959 1969 1979 1989 1914 1924 1934 1944 1954 1964 1974 1984 Year s 1977 Ch$ Source: Coeyman & Mundlak, 1993.
- 29. GDP = C + Inv. + E –I Consumption investment Exports Imports GDP = 216 + 6 + 10.4 GDP = 232.4 app 2011 Consumption = 216 billion Investment = 6 billion Exports = 54.7 billion Imports = 44,3 billion
- 30. Clase media? 100% Quintiles y % del ingreso 90% Fuente: 80% Elaboración propia 70% 60,07 60,03 59,20 Q5 sobre (1) datos de 60% Q4 Dante Contreras, Investigador 50% Q3 CIEPLAN y (2) 40% Q2 datos de Andrés 30% 18,20 18,44 18,60 Q1 Solimaro (CEPAL) 20% y Aristides Torche 11,08 10,98 11,40 (PUC) para revista 10% 7,06 7,00 7,30 Banco Central de 0% 3,59 3,55 3,50 Chile 2008 1990 1996 2006 2010 (Ch$) 2010 (US$) Quintil Decil % % desde hasta desde hasta I 0 207.287 0 415 1,1 1er 3,5 II 207.287 270.449 415 541 2,4 III 270.449 332.871 541 666 3,2 2do 7,3 IV 332.871 384.870 666 770 4,1 V 384.870 476.808 770 954 5,1 3er 11,4 VI 476.808 584.216 954 1.168 6,3 VII 584.216 735.824 1.168 1.472 8 4to 18,6 VIII 735.824 1.041.210 1.472 2.082 10,6 IX 1.041.210 2.354.642 2.082 4.709 15,7 5to 59,2 X 2.354.642 4.709 43,5 INGRESO MENSUAL POR HOGAR – incluye todos los ingresos familiares / Tipo de cambio $500.