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NEW
MARKET
CREATION
Kristian Luoma
22.11.2012
Market creation
DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION = MARKET CREATION
INCREMENTAL INNOVATION = INCUMBENTS RULE HERE
MARKET CREATION
= BEST CHANCE FOR A STARTUP



                 Act of making something that is
                 more useful, affordable or better
                   for someone - than existing
                          alternatives
Market creation
3 PARTS:


1 IDEOLOGY
2 TOOLS
3 WORKSHOP
1 IDEOLOGY
STARTUP DEFINITION




“STARTUP IS AN
EXPERIMENT FOR CREATING
A SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS”
STARTUP REDEFINED




“STARTUP IS A SERIES OF
EXPERIMENTS FOR CREATING
A SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS”
OPERATIVE CAPABILITY   STARTUP SCORECARD - RECORD OF PROGRESS




                       MARKET EVOLUTION
STARTUP SCORECARD - RECORD OF PROGRESS

                                                                      WHY?
                                                                   Grand Vision


  HOW?
Resources,
culture and
    skills
   OPERATIVE CAPABILITY




                                                   WHAT?
                                                  Scalable
                                               business model
                                                 & Product-
                          MARKET EVOLUTION       market fit
PRODUCT WITH A MARKET - DEFINITION




PRODUCT THAT SOLVES A
PROBLEM FOR CUSTOMERS THAT
ARE WILLING TO PAY FOR IT
PRODUCT WITH A MARKET - DEFINITION

           Complete,
 right
 features
                                                                                                                        Targeted
   PRODUCT THAT SOLVES A
   PROBLEM FOR CUSTOMERS THAT
   ARE WILLING TO PAY FOR IT
                                                                                                        Makes
 money
Relevant
                                                                           Unique
right
 features,
                                                                                                                                                                                    packaging,
 easy
 to
 hire
 for
 a
 job

                                                                                                    IS RELEVANT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Stuff
 I
 buy
                                                                                                                                                                              IS UNIQUE

price
 point,
 channel,
 value
 proposition
PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 1/3

Scarce resources needs to be
managed.
PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 2/3



Products are created too soon.
PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 3/3



Products are created too late.
MOTIVATION EXAMPLE #1

Want-button for Wantlet vs.
Pinterest Pin-it-button
Market creation
MOTIVATION EXAMPLE #2



Ubi Oulu
GOAL

Make every experiment count,
when it counts.
2 TOOLS
MISSION

Find a Systematic Approach for
Market Creation
LEAN MOVEMENT by ERIC RIES
“SCIENTIFIC METHOD”



         OBSERVE

              QUESTION

                      HYPOTHESIZE
                            EXPERIMENT

                                    CONCLUDE
STARTUP EVOLUTION:
MARKET CREATION PERSPECTIVE




PROBLEM /
                    PRODUCT /
SOLUTION                         SCALE
                    MARKET FIT
   FIT
STARTUP EVOLUTION:
MARKET CREATION PERSPECTIVE




PROBLEM /
                         PRODUCT /
SOLUTION                                                                        SCALE
                         MARKET FIT
   FIT

    VALIDATED   LEARNING                          GROWTH via OPTIMIZE
         via PIVOTS
                 Experiment-driven
 decisions
PERFECT EXPERIMENT



Fast, Recoverable and Explicit
STARTUP SCORECARD: RECORD OF PROOF




                         PROBLEM /
                                            PRODUCT /
                         SOLUTION                               SCALE
OPERATIVE CAPABILITY




                                            MARKET FIT
                            FIT

                              VALIDATED   LEARNING   GROWTH via OPTIMIZE
                                   via PIVOTS
                       MARKET EVOLUTION
TOOLS


#1 Lean Canvas
#2 Progressive Learning Board
Product Hacker Extras: “Jobs to be done”
#1: LEAN CANVAS by ASH MAURYA
“FROM BUSINESS PLAN TO BUSINESS MODEL”
#3: LEAN CANVAS
PROBLEMS:    SOLUTION:   UNIQUE VALUE        UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER
                         PROPOSITION:                          SEGMENTS:




CURRENT
SOLUTIONS:
             METRICS:                        CHANNELS:
                                                               EARLY ADOPTERS




COSTS:                            REVENUE:
#3: LEAN CANVAS
PROBLEMS:                   SOLUTION:            UNIQUE VALUE              UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER
                                                 PROPOSITION:                                     SEGMENTS:
Top 3 Problems              Top 3 Solutions                                Can’t be easily bought
                                                 Single, clear, compelling or copied              Target customers
                                                 message that states way
                                                 you are different and
                                                 worth buying
CURRENT SOLUTIONS:

Competitive solutions for
solving the problem         METRICS:                                      CHANNELS:              EARLY ADOPTERS:

                            Key activities you                            Path to customers      Who’s the first to adapt to
                                                                                                 your solution?
                            measure




COSTS:                                                       REVENUE:

Customer acquisition costs                                   Revenue model
Distribution costs                                           Life time value
Hosting                                                      Revenue
People, etc.                                                 Gross margin
#3: LEAN CANVAS (EXAMPLE: FACEBOOK)
PROBLEMS:                SOLUTION:                UNIQUE VALUE              UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER
                                                  PROPOSITION:                                SEGMENTS:
Hard to reach specific    Targeted ads
people with specific                               Targeted advertising      1 Billion users            Marketers
demographics             Share, Like, Newsfeed,                             Knows everything
1. Hard to stay in       friends and profiles      Connect to friends and                               Consumers at large
touch with all friends                            family
at once
2. How do I share my
                         METRICS:                                           CHANNELS:
baby pictures?
                                                                                                       EARLY ADOPTERS
                         CPC/CPM avg. bid                                   Media agencies
CURRENT
                         pricing                                            Facebook merchant
SOLUTIONS:                                                                                             High schools
                         # Served ads                                       advertising program
Online ads e.g.
                         # of conversions
Google
                                                                            Friend invitations (c2c,
Postcards, Calls, ..
                         DAU                                                virality)
                                                                            Facebook like-partners

COSTS:                                                        REVENUE:

Development                                                   Highly targeted - CPC/CPM advertising (“e.g. pay to display
Hosting                                                       an ad to 25 yo old men, that like World of Warcraft in Oulu”)
Lobbying
                                                              Free for consumers
#3: LEAN CANVAS (FILL ORDER)
PROBLEMS:    SOLUTION:   UNIQUE VALUE        UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER
                         PROPOSITION:                          SEGMENTS:



         2          3                             9                 1
CURRENT
SOLUTIONS:
             METRICS:
                               4             CHANNELS:
                                                               EARLY ADOPTERS:



                    8                             5
COSTS:                            REVENUE:




               7                                         6
#2: PROGRESSIVE LEARNING BOARD
“DE-RISKING PRODUCT CREATION”
4 KINDS OF RISK IN MARKET EVOLUTION
(NOT SOLVED LINEARLY, BUT KIND OF APPEAR CHRONOLOGICALLY)




 PRODUCT                MARKET             GROWTH /         COMPETITIVENESS
   RISK                  RISK              SCALE RISK        AND PROFIT RISK

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Market creation

  • 3. DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION = MARKET CREATION
  • 4. INCREMENTAL INNOVATION = INCUMBENTS RULE HERE
  • 5. MARKET CREATION = BEST CHANCE FOR A STARTUP Act of making something that is more useful, affordable or better for someone - than existing alternatives
  • 7. 3 PARTS: 1 IDEOLOGY 2 TOOLS 3 WORKSHOP
  • 9. STARTUP DEFINITION “STARTUP IS AN EXPERIMENT FOR CREATING A SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS”
  • 10. STARTUP REDEFINED “STARTUP IS A SERIES OF EXPERIMENTS FOR CREATING A SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS”
  • 11. OPERATIVE CAPABILITY STARTUP SCORECARD - RECORD OF PROGRESS MARKET EVOLUTION
  • 12. STARTUP SCORECARD - RECORD OF PROGRESS WHY? Grand Vision HOW? Resources, culture and skills OPERATIVE CAPABILITY WHAT? Scalable business model & Product- MARKET EVOLUTION market fit
  • 13. PRODUCT WITH A MARKET - DEFINITION PRODUCT THAT SOLVES A PROBLEM FOR CUSTOMERS THAT ARE WILLING TO PAY FOR IT
  • 14. PRODUCT WITH A MARKET - DEFINITION Complete,
  • 16.  features Targeted PRODUCT THAT SOLVES A PROBLEM FOR CUSTOMERS THAT ARE WILLING TO PAY FOR IT Makes
  • 18. right
  • 19.  features, packaging,
  • 21.  to
  • 23.  for
  • 24.  a
  • 25.  job IS RELEVANT Stuff
  • 26.  I
  • 27.  buy IS UNIQUE price
  • 32. PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 1/3 Scarce resources needs to be managed.
  • 33. PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 2/3 Products are created too soon.
  • 34. PROBLEMS WE TRY TO SOLVE 3/3 Products are created too late.
  • 35. MOTIVATION EXAMPLE #1 Want-button for Wantlet vs. Pinterest Pin-it-button
  • 38. GOAL Make every experiment count, when it counts.
  • 40. MISSION Find a Systematic Approach for Market Creation
  • 41. LEAN MOVEMENT by ERIC RIES
  • 42. “SCIENTIFIC METHOD” OBSERVE QUESTION HYPOTHESIZE EXPERIMENT CONCLUDE
  • 43. STARTUP EVOLUTION: MARKET CREATION PERSPECTIVE PROBLEM / PRODUCT / SOLUTION SCALE MARKET FIT FIT
  • 44. STARTUP EVOLUTION: MARKET CREATION PERSPECTIVE PROBLEM / PRODUCT / SOLUTION SCALE MARKET FIT FIT VALIDATED LEARNING GROWTH via OPTIMIZE via PIVOTS Experiment-driven
  • 47. STARTUP SCORECARD: RECORD OF PROOF PROBLEM / PRODUCT / SOLUTION SCALE OPERATIVE CAPABILITY MARKET FIT FIT VALIDATED LEARNING GROWTH via OPTIMIZE via PIVOTS MARKET EVOLUTION
  • 48. TOOLS #1 Lean Canvas #2 Progressive Learning Board Product Hacker Extras: “Jobs to be done”
  • 49. #1: LEAN CANVAS by ASH MAURYA “FROM BUSINESS PLAN TO BUSINESS MODEL”
  • 50. #3: LEAN CANVAS PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: CURRENT SOLUTIONS: METRICS: CHANNELS: EARLY ADOPTERS COSTS: REVENUE:
  • 51. #3: LEAN CANVAS PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: Top 3 Problems Top 3 Solutions Can’t be easily bought Single, clear, compelling or copied Target customers message that states way you are different and worth buying CURRENT SOLUTIONS: Competitive solutions for solving the problem METRICS: CHANNELS: EARLY ADOPTERS: Key activities you Path to customers Who’s the first to adapt to your solution? measure COSTS: REVENUE: Customer acquisition costs Revenue model Distribution costs Life time value Hosting Revenue People, etc. Gross margin
  • 52. #3: LEAN CANVAS (EXAMPLE: FACEBOOK) PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: Hard to reach specific Targeted ads people with specific Targeted advertising 1 Billion users Marketers demographics Share, Like, Newsfeed, Knows everything 1. Hard to stay in friends and profiles Connect to friends and Consumers at large touch with all friends family at once 2. How do I share my METRICS: CHANNELS: baby pictures? EARLY ADOPTERS CPC/CPM avg. bid Media agencies CURRENT pricing Facebook merchant SOLUTIONS: High schools # Served ads advertising program Online ads e.g. # of conversions Google Friend invitations (c2c, Postcards, Calls, .. DAU virality) Facebook like-partners COSTS: REVENUE: Development Highly targeted - CPC/CPM advertising (“e.g. pay to display Hosting an ad to 25 yo old men, that like World of Warcraft in Oulu”) Lobbying Free for consumers
  • 53. #3: LEAN CANVAS (FILL ORDER) PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: 2 3 9 1 CURRENT SOLUTIONS: METRICS: 4 CHANNELS: EARLY ADOPTERS: 8 5 COSTS: REVENUE: 7 6
  • 54. #2: PROGRESSIVE LEARNING BOARD “DE-RISKING PRODUCT CREATION”
  • 55. 4 KINDS OF RISK IN MARKET EVOLUTION (NOT SOLVED LINEARLY, BUT KIND OF APPEAR CHRONOLOGICALLY) PRODUCT MARKET GROWTH / COMPETITIVENESS RISK RISK SCALE RISK AND PROFIT RISK
  • 56. (applied from Mark Suster) COMPETITIVENESS AND PROFIT RISK GROWTH / Valuation SCALE RISK MARKET RISK PRODUCT RISK Time
  • 57. PRODUCT RISK How important is the problem for the customer? Will your solution solve the problem? Can you build it? Does your solution deliver a unique value proposition?
  • 58. MARKET RISK Who has the pain? How do they solve problems today? Will they pay for the problem? If not, who will?
  • 59. GROWTH AND SCALE RISK How will you find customers? How will customers find you (at scale)? How will your growth engine operate (viral, paid, sticky, ..?) How will you scale to demand?
  • 60. COMPETITIVENESS AND PROFIT RISK Are you getting paid? Do you have a viable business (LTV!)? Do you have a way to build unfair advantage?
  • 61. LEARNING/DE-RISKING ON LEAN CANVAS PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: 2 PRODUCT RISK: 3 PRODUCT RISK: 2 9 COMPETITIVE PROFIT RISK: 3 MARKET RISK: 1 1 CURRENT 1 SOLUTIONS: METRICS: 4 PRODUCT RISK: 3 CHANNELS: GROWTH EARLY ADOPTERS: GROWTH 8 5 RISK: RISK: GROWTH 2 1 RISK: MARKET RISK: 3 2 COSTS: REVENUE: MARKET RISK: 7 COMPETITIVE PROFIT RISK: 2 3 6COMPETITIVE PROFIT RISK: 1
  • 62. EXAMPLE: LEARNING IN LEAN IN PRACTICE
  • 63. PROGRESSIVE LEARNING BOARD Before each experiment: Define Choose the fastest your hypothesis and ways you way to test as an validate learning experiment Lean Canvas Experiment 1: Experiment 2: Experiment 3: Experiment 5: e.g. Experiment 4: e.g. MVP Module e.g. “Problem Interviews” e.g. Interviews e.g. Prototype v1.0 Problem/Solution Fit - Product Risk There is a customer segment with the problem CUSTOMER Problem is important to the customer PROBLEM segment Product delivers UVP (is unique and relevant to UVP customer) Product/Market Fit - Market Risk There is a way to build the product to solve the SOLUTION problem There is a way to connect with early-adopters CUSTOMER Customers are willing to pay for the solution to REVENUE the problem Growth / Scale Risk We are able find customers CHANNEL Customers are able to find us CHANNEL Engine of growth is operative (viral, sticky or CHANNEL / REVENUE paid) We are able to scale on demand SOLUTION / COST / METRIC Market / Monetization Risk We are getting paid REVENUE We are able to generate revenue from each REVENUE / COST customer We have an unfair advantage UNFAIR ADVANTAGE
  • 65. STORY ABOUT A MILKSHAKE: WHAT JOB DO YOU HIRE A MILKSHAKE FOR?
  • 66. JOBS TO BE DONE EXPERIENCES COMPLEMENTING INTEGRATED SERVICES OFFERING
  • 69. #3: LEAN CANVAS (FILL ORDER) PROBLEMS: SOLUTION: UNIQUE VALUE UNFAIR ADVANTAGE: CUSTOMER PROPOSITION: SEGMENTS: 2 3 9 1 CURRENT SOLUTIONS: METRICS: 4 CHANNELS: EARLY ADOPTERS: 8 5 COSTS: REVENUE: 7 6
  • 70. CURRENT HYPOTHESIS PLAN TO EXPERIMENT BUSINESS MODEL AREA PRIORITY CURRENT HYPOTHESIS PLANNED EXPERIMENT
  • 71. PROGRESSIVE LEARNING BOARD Before each experiment: Define Choose the fastest your hypothesis and ways you way to test as an validate learning experiment Lean Canvas Experiment 1: Experiment 2: Experiment 3: Experiment 5: e.g. Experiment 4: e.g. MVP Module e.g. “Problem Interviews” e.g. Interviews e.g. Prototype v1.0 Problem/Solution Fit - Product Risk There is a customer segment with the problem CUSTOMER Problem is important to the customer PROBLEM segment Product delivers UVP (is unique and relevant to UVP customer) Product/Market Fit - Market Risk There is a way to build the product to solve the SOLUTION problem There is a way to connect with early-adopters CUSTOMER Customers are willing to pay for the solution to REVENUE the problem Growth / Scale Risk We are able find customers CHANNEL Customers are able to find us CHANNEL Engine of growth is operative (viral, sticky or CHANNEL / REVENUE paid) We are able to scale on demand SOLUTION / COST / METRIC Market / Monetization Risk We are getting paid REVENUE We are able to generate revenue from each REVENUE / COST customer We have an unfair advantage UNFAIR ADVANTAGE
  • 72. MISTAKES ARE PROOF THAT YOU’RE TRYING. THANKS! kristian.luoma@gmail.com @kluoma