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ENDORSING
PARTNERS

Unlocking the infrastructure
and funding impasse

The following are confirmed contributors to the business and policy dialogue in Sydney:
•

Rick Sawers (National Australia Bank)

•

Nick Greiner (Chairman (Infrastructure NSW)

Monday, 30th September 2013: Business & policy Dialogue
Tuesday 1 October to Thursday,
Dialogue

3rd

October: Academic and Policy

Presented by: Mr Martin Locke, Partner, PwC

PwC

www.isngi.or

www.isngi.org
pwc.com.au

Unlocking the
Infrastructure Funding
Impasse
ISNGI Australia 2013
30 September 2013
Pension Fund Investment in Infrastructure

Australia

Canada

A$30bn

C$50bn

5-6%

7-8%

A$75-85bn

C$48bn

Infrastructure Fund
Managers

61

65

Investment Vehicle

Open-ended Funds

Direct Investing

Infrastructure
Investment Gap (p.a)
Asset Allocation
Total Invested

Source: OECD Report, July 2013

PwC

3
Canadian Infrastructure Allocation
5.0%

60

4.5% 4.5%
4.2%

50
3.6%

40

3.8%

48

3.5%

42.1

3.0%

35
30
20

20.9

2.5%

29.3

2.4%

4.0%

2.0%

1.9%

1.5%

15.9

1.0%

10

0.5%
0

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: PIAC (asset mix of plans of sponsor organisations represented by members)

PwC

2010

2011

Assets
in %
Long Term Canadian PPP Debt Financing

Source: PPP Canada (2012)

PwC

5
Messages from Canadian Infrastructure investors

Lack of investment opportunities at home
Canadian Paradox
Regulatory and political uncertainty overseas
Overseas capital migration given lack of largescale privatisations of public infrastructure assets

Intensifying competition for assets

Well functioning PPP model but projects too
small and highly leveraged

Looking for stable investment environment
around Government infrastructure, tax and
regulation
Preference for brownfield assets, stable inflationlinked income streams at moderate risk

Source: OECD Report, July 2013

PwC

6
Without changes in government spending,
combined annual deficits of Australian
governments will rise
Primary balance: Commonwealth and State/Territory Governments, % of GDP
4.0%

2.0%

0.0%

-2.0%

-4.0%

-6.0%
2001-02

2005-06

2009-10

2013-14

2017-18

2021-22
States

2025-26

2029-30

2033-34

2037-38

2041-42

2045-46

2049-50

Commonwealth

Source: PwC Report - Protecting prosperity • Why we need to talk about tax

PwC

7
Capital Recycling
Realise Capital from
Brownfield Infrastructure

Investment in Priority
New Infrastructure

User Pays Revenues

Hybrid partnerships
with Government
taking more risk

Community Support
Build now
and future
sale

Leverage
existing
assets

Revenue
securitisation

Investor Certainty

PwC

8

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SMART Infrastructure Business and Policy Dialogue Event: Unlocking the infrastructure and funding impasse

  • 1. ENDORSING PARTNERS Unlocking the infrastructure and funding impasse The following are confirmed contributors to the business and policy dialogue in Sydney: • Rick Sawers (National Australia Bank) • Nick Greiner (Chairman (Infrastructure NSW) Monday, 30th September 2013: Business & policy Dialogue Tuesday 1 October to Thursday, Dialogue 3rd October: Academic and Policy Presented by: Mr Martin Locke, Partner, PwC PwC www.isngi.or www.isngi.org
  • 3. Pension Fund Investment in Infrastructure Australia Canada A$30bn C$50bn 5-6% 7-8% A$75-85bn C$48bn Infrastructure Fund Managers 61 65 Investment Vehicle Open-ended Funds Direct Investing Infrastructure Investment Gap (p.a) Asset Allocation Total Invested Source: OECD Report, July 2013 PwC 3
  • 4. Canadian Infrastructure Allocation 5.0% 60 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 50 3.6% 40 3.8% 48 3.5% 42.1 3.0% 35 30 20 20.9 2.5% 29.3 2.4% 4.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 15.9 1.0% 10 0.5% 0 0.0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: PIAC (asset mix of plans of sponsor organisations represented by members) PwC 2010 2011 Assets in %
  • 5. Long Term Canadian PPP Debt Financing Source: PPP Canada (2012) PwC 5
  • 6. Messages from Canadian Infrastructure investors Lack of investment opportunities at home Canadian Paradox Regulatory and political uncertainty overseas Overseas capital migration given lack of largescale privatisations of public infrastructure assets Intensifying competition for assets Well functioning PPP model but projects too small and highly leveraged Looking for stable investment environment around Government infrastructure, tax and regulation Preference for brownfield assets, stable inflationlinked income streams at moderate risk Source: OECD Report, July 2013 PwC 6
  • 7. Without changes in government spending, combined annual deficits of Australian governments will rise Primary balance: Commonwealth and State/Territory Governments, % of GDP 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% 2001-02 2005-06 2009-10 2013-14 2017-18 2021-22 States 2025-26 2029-30 2033-34 2037-38 2041-42 2045-46 2049-50 Commonwealth Source: PwC Report - Protecting prosperity • Why we need to talk about tax PwC 7
  • 8. Capital Recycling Realise Capital from Brownfield Infrastructure Investment in Priority New Infrastructure User Pays Revenues Hybrid partnerships with Government taking more risk Community Support Build now and future sale Leverage existing assets Revenue securitisation Investor Certainty PwC 8