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FRASER INSTITUTE ANNUAL


  Survey of Mining Companies
                          2012/2013




by Alana Wilson, Fred McMahon, and Miguel Cervantes
Survey Director: Kenneth P. Green
About The Fraser Institute
The Fraser Institute’s vision is a free and prosperous world where individuals benefit from greater choice,
competitive markets, and personal responsibility. Our mission is to measure, study, and communicate the
impact of competitive markets and government interventions on the welfare of individuals.

Founded in 1974, we are an independent research and educational organization with locations throughout
North America, and international partners in over 80 countries. Our work is financed by tax-deductible
contributions from thousands of individuals, organizations, and foundations. In order to protect its inde-
pendence, the Institute does not accept grants from government or contracts for research.

Media
For media inquiries, please contact our Communications Department
telephone: 604.714.4582; e-mail: communications@fraserinstitute.org

Disclaimer
The coordinators of this survey have worked independently and opinions expressed by them are, therefore,
their own, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the supporters, trustees, or other staff of the Fraser
Institute. This publication in no way implies that the Fraser Institute, its trustees, or staff are in favor of, or
oppose the passage of, any bill; or that they support or oppose any particular political party or candidate.

Copyright
Copyright © 2013 by the Fraser Institute. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced
in any manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief passages quoted in critical
articles and reviews.

Date of issue
February 2013

Editing, design, and production
Kristin McCahon

Cover
Design by Bill Ray.

Cover images: Chief miner… © Fotolia, Zentimeter; Coal train © Bigstock, bsauter; open pit (no title) ©
Flickr (commons), Uncle Kick-Kick; gemstones (no title) © Flickr (commons), RocksInMyHead

For additional copies of this survey, or for copies of previous years’ surveys, please call:
The Fraser Institute, 4th Floor, 1770 Burrard Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6J 3G7
Phone: (604) 688-0221, ext. 580; call toll-free: 1-800-665-3558, ext. 580; or e-mail sales@fraserinstitute.org
Table of Contents



Survey information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     4

Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       4

Executive summary—2012/2013 mining survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                5

Survey methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       8

Summary indexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       11

Explanation of the figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

Global survey rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      26

Global results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

Investment patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     65

Appendix: Tabular material . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        73

About the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132

Supporting the Fraser Institute      . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .   133

Purpose, funding, and independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           133

Lifetime Patrons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     134

Editorial Advisory Board . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       134
Survey information

The Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining             survey, conducted from October 9, 2012, to January
Companies was sent to approximately 4,100 explo-         6, 2013, represents responses from 742 of those
ration, development, and other mining-related            companies. The companies participating in the sur-
companies around the world. Several mining publi-        vey reported exploration spending of US$6.2 billion
cations and associations also helped publicize the       in 2012 and US$5.4 billion in 2011.
survey. (Please see the acknowledgements.) The




Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the hundreds of members of        Camára Minera de Panamá (CAMPIRA), Chamber
the mining community who have responded to the           of Mines Zimbabwe, Central Asian Free Market
survey this year and in previous years. You do a ser-    Cen ter, The CRU, Fédération des minerais,
vice to your industry by providing such valuable in-     minéraux industriels et métaux non ferreux,
formation.                                               Global Mining Association of China, Guyana Gold
                                                         & Diamond Miners Association, Hungarian Min-
We would also like to thank the Prospectors and
                                                         ing As so ci a tion, MineAfrica Inc. and On the
Developers Association of Canada (PDAC), whose
                                                         Ground Group, Mining Industry NL, the NWT &
generous support makes this survey possible. We
                                                         Nunavut Chamber of Mines, the Oriental Mining
also owe a debt of gratitude to a number of mining
                                                         Club, Utah Mining Association, SERCITEC, Ari-
as so ci a tions and pub li ca tions that gen er ously
                                                         zona Geology, Asia Miner, Coal Age Asia, Mining
helped inform their readers and members of the op-
                                                         Business Media, MiningIQ, Mining Press, Mining
portunity to participate in the survey. These in-
                                                         Weekly, Republic of Mining, and, I Think Mining.
clude: Association for Mineral Exploration BC,
Asociación Nacional de Minería Metálica de Hon-          We would like to thank Roberto Roca-Paz and PO-
duras, ANDI Cámara Asomineros—Bogotá, the                PULI, Bolivia, for providing research assistance. We
Australasian Institute of Mining & Metallurgy, the       would also like to thank then Executive Director
Australian Coal Association, Camara Empresaria           Michael Walker and Laura Jones for conceptualiz-
Minera de Córdoba, Camara Minera de Jujuy,               ing this project 15 years ago.




4                                                                              www.fraserinstitute.org
Executive summary—2012/2013 mining survey

This report presents the results of the Fraser Insti-        the 96 jurisdictions in the survey. The index is
tute’s 2012/2013 annual survey of mining and ex-             composed of survey responses to 15 policy factors
plo ra tion com pa nies to as sess how min eral              that affect investment decisions. The PPI is normal-
endowments and public policy factors such as taxa-           ized to a maximum score of 100.
tion and regulation affect exploration investment.
The survey responses have been tallied to rank               The top
provinces, states, and countries according to the ex-
tent that public policy factors encourage or discour-        No nation scored first in all categories. Finland had
age investment. Policy factors examined include              the highest PPI score of 95.5. Along with Finland,
uncertainty concerning the administration of cur-            the top 10 ranked jurisdictions are Sweden, Alberta,
rent regulations and environmental regulations,              New Brunswick, Wyoming, Ireland, Nevada, Yu-
regulatory duplication, the legal system and taxation        kon, Utah, and Norway. All were in the top 10 last
regime, uncertainty concerning protected areas and           year except for Utah and Norway. Yukon was the
disputed land claims, infrastructure, socioeconomic          first Canadian territory to make the top 10 in
and community development conditions, trade bar-             2011/2012. Both Quebec and Saskatchewan fell out
riers, political stability, labour regulations, quality of   of the top 10 in 2012/2013. Chile, which had previ-
geological database, security, labour and skills sup-        ously been the only jurisdiction outside North
ply, corruption, and uncertainty. Investment inten-          America consistently in the top 10 over the life of
tions and commodity price expectations are also              the survey, has continued to fall in the rankings—to
examined.                                                    23rd place in this survey. Norway rose to 10th in the
                                                             rankings from 24th in 2011/2012, and Sweden and
A total of 742 responses were received for the sur-          Finland have now been in the top 10 for the last
vey, providing sufficient data to evaluate 96 juris-         three and four years, respectively.
dictions. By way of comparison, 93 jurisdictions
were evaluated in 2011/2012, 79 in 2010/2011, and
72 in 2009/2010. Jurisdictions are evaluated on ev-
                                                             The bottom
ery continent except Antarctica, including sub-na-           The 10 least attractive jurisdictions for investment
tional jurisdictions in Canada, Australia, the United        based on the PPI rankings are (starting with the
States, and Argentina. This year, French Guiana,             worst) Indonesia, Vietnam, Venezuela, DRC (Congo),
Greece, Serbia, and the sub-national jurisdictions of        Kyrgyzstan, Zimbabwe, Bolivia, Guatemala, Philip-
La Rioja and Neuquen in Argentina were added to              pines, and Greece. All of these jurisdictions were in
the survey.                                                  the bottom 10 last year with the exception of DRC
                                                             (Congo), Greece, and Zimbabwe. Greece was a new
                                                             addition to the survey in 2012/2013. Both the DRC
The rankings
                                                             (Congo) and Zimbabwe dropped significantly in the
The Policy Potential Index (PPI) is a composite in-          rankings this year, with DRC (Congo) falling from
dex, measuring the overall policy attractiveness of          76th to 93rd, and Zimbabwe from 74th to 91st. Hon-




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                            5
duras and India moved out of the bottom 10 in              PPI and ranking while Tasmania dropped most sig-
2012/2013. Honduras’ ranking improved from last            nificantly. New Zealand’s PPI score and ranking
spot (93rd) in 2011/2012 to 83rd, while India moved        also declined slightly, breaking a trend that has seen
from 89th to 81st.                                         it improving steadily over the last five years. Indo-
                                                           nesia dropped the most in the rankings for Oceania
                                                           to last place in this year’s survey (96th) while the
Regional highlights
                                                           Philippines remained at 88th, also in the bottom 10.
                                                           Comments about these jurisdictions were a mixture
Canada
                                                           of positive and negative, although many of the min-
Canada’s average PPI score improved slightly, al-          ers’ concerns related to uncertainties and, in partic-
though a Canadian jurisdiction did not rank first in       ular, the permitting process.
the survey for the first time since 2006/2007. Both
Quebec and Saskatchewan dropped out of the top
10 in the rankings, to 11th and 13th respectively. The     Africa
Canadian territories (Yukon, Nunavut, and the
                                                           Africa’s average PPI score decreased, continuing a
Northwest Territories) all improved their PPI
                                                           five-year declining trend. Mali’s rank dropped the
scores. In fact, the Northwest Territories had the
                                                           most, followed by Madagascar. Mauritania and
greatest improvement in score and rank amongst
                                                           Namibia improved most significantly, while Bot-
Canadian jurisdictions. Comments from miners
                                                           swana remained the highest ranked jurisdiction
suggest that while Canadian jurisdictions remain
                                                           (17th) on the continent. Comments for African ju-
competitive globally, uncertainties with Aboriginal
                                                           risdictions were split among concerns for political
consultation and disputed land claims are growing
                                                           stability and uncertainty in several nations, and
concerns for some.
                                                           praise for stability and policies in others.

United States
The average PPI in the US declined slightly, though        Argentina, Latin America,
overall, it has increased over the last five years. Min-   and the Caribbean
nesota and Michigan had the largest decrease in
                                                           Argentina’s average PPI score improved signifi-
their scores and ranking, while Utah and Alaska im-
                                                           cantly with most jurisdictions improving their
proved the most. Several comments noted stability
                                                           score and Rio Negro, Catamarca, and Salta improv-
and favourable regulations, although some miners
                                                           ing most significantly. Chile remains the top-
also noted challenges to mining based on environ-
                                                           ranked jurisdiction in this region, although it again
mental concerns.
                                                           dropped in this year’s rankings—this time to 23rd.
                                                           Guyana’s score dropped most significantly while
Australia and Oceania
                                                           the rankings for Panama and Honduras recovered.
The average PPI for Australia declined in 2012/            Comments for the region showed concern for re-
2013, although there has been an improving trend           source nationalism and mining opposition in some
over the last five years. Western Australia remains        areas, while policies to formalize informal miners
the country’s top-ranked jurisdiction (15th). Victo-       (Peru) and to redistribute mining royalties to the lo-
ria had the greatest improvement in the country’s          cal level were positively received by some miners.



6                                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Eurasia                                                 Miners continue to be pessimistic about short-term
The average PPI score for Eurasia didn’t change sig-    commodity prices; more than half of the survey’s
nificantly, although Nordic jurisdictions (Finland,     respondents expected small increases (less than
Greenland, Norway, and Sweden) performed very           10%) or reduced prices for diamonds, coal, nickel,
well. Finland took the survey’s top rank and Sweden     zinc, copper, potash, platinum, and silver over the
and Norway were also in the top 10. In the Eurasian     next two years. Only gold was expected to increase
region, Norway, India, and Turkey improved most         in value by more than 20% over the next two years
significantly in the survey rankings. China had the     by a majority of respondents. Given the positive ex-
most significant drop in score and rank followed by     pectations for the price of gold, it is unsurprising
Poland. Miners expressed concerns about uncer-          that gold continues to be the commodity assigned
tainty and lack of stability in mining policy in sev-   the largest proportion of respondents’ budgets. Min-
eral Eurasian jurisdictions, but commented more         ers were somewhat more optimistic about long-term
favourably on Ireland and the Nordic countries.         commodity prices; most respondents expected sta-
                                                        ble or moderate increases (up to 15%) in inflation-ad-
                                                        justed commodity prices over the next 10 years.
Investment intentions
                                                        Finally, respondents were asked about the chal-
To tal ex plo ra tion bud gets in 2012/2013 in-         lenges of raising funds compared with two years
creased from 2011/2012 and just over half of re-        ago. Over 90% of respondents somewhat or fully
spondents reported increasing their exploration         agreed that it was currently more difficult to raise
budgets over the last five years. However, only         funds, with a majority believing that the reason for
46% of respondents plan to increase their explo-        this difficulty was investors being worried about the
ration budgets in 2013.                                 state of the world economy or being risk averse and
                                                        seeing mining as risky.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                        7
Survey methodology

Survey background                                          In order to address this problem and assess how var-
                                                           ious public policy factors influence companies’ de-
The mining industry is an important contributor to         cisions to invest in different regions, the Fraser
the economy in Canada. It provides not only mate-          Institute began conducting an anonymous survey of
rials essential for all sectors of the economy, but also   senior and junior companies in 1997. The first sur-
employment and government revenues. Mining                 vey included all Canadian provinces and territories.
contributes to economic growth worldwide and Ca-           The second survey, conducted in 1998, added 17 US
nadian mining companies operate in jurisdictions           states, Mexico, and for comparison with North
around the world. While mineral potential is obvi-         American jurisdictions, Chile. The third survey,
ously a very important consideration in encourag-          conducted in 1999, was further expanded to include
ing or dissuading mining investment, the impact of         Argentina, Australia, Peru, and Nunavut. The sur-
government policies can be significant.                    vey now includes 96 jurisdictions from all conti-
                                                           nents except Antarctica. This year, French Guiana,
The effects of policy on deterring exploration in-         Greece, Serbia, and the sub-national jurisdictions of
vestment may not be immediately apparent due to            La Rioja and Neuquen in Argentina were added to
the lag time between when policy changes are im-           the survey. Missouri and Laos were dropped due to
plemented and when economic activity is impeded            insufficient survey response.
and job losses occur. Many regions around the
world have attractive geology and competitive poli-        Jurisdictions are added to the survey based on the
cies, allowing exploration investment to be shifted        interests expressed by survey respondents. This
away from jurisdictions with unattractive policies.        survey is published annually and we strive to make
                                                           the results available and accessible to an increas-
Since 1997, the Fraser Institute has conducted an          ingly global audience.
annual survey of mining and exploration companies
to assess how mineral endowments and public pol-           The Fraser Institute’s mining survey is an informal
icy factors such as taxation and regulation affect ex-     survey that attempts to assess the perceptions of
ploration investment. The motivation for the               mining company executives with regard to various
survey came from a Fraser Institute conference on          areas of optimal and sub-optimal public policies
mining held in Vancouver, Canada, in the fall of           that might affect the hospitality of a jurisdiction to
1996. The comments and feedback from the confer-           mining investment. Given the very broad circula-
ence showed that the mining industry was dissatis-         tion that the survey receives, the extensive press
fied with gov ern ment pol i cies that de terred           coverage that it receives, and positive feedback
exploration investment within the mineral-rich             about the survey’s utility from miners, investors,
province of British Columbia. However, this dissat-        and policymakers, we believe that the survey cap-
isfaction was not being measured and mining com-           tures, in broad strokes, the perceptions of those in-
panies were reluctant to be publicly critical of           volved in both mining and the regulation of mining
government and policies.                                   in the jurisdictions included in the survey.




8                                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Sample design                                                 Figure 1: The position survey
                                                           respondents hold in their company,
The survey is designed to identify the provinces,
                                                                        2012/2013
states, and countries that have the most attractive
policies to encourage investment in mining explo-             Vice president: 16%
ration and production. Jurisdictions assessed by in-                                  Manager: 16%
vestors as relatively unattractive may therefore be
prompted to consider reforms that would improve
their ranking. Presumably, mining companies use                                                Other senior
the information that is provided to corroborate                                               management 9%

their own assessments and to identify jurisdictions
where the business conditions and regulatory envi-                                          Consultant: 6%

ronment are most attractive for investment. The              Company
                                                           president: 42%              Other: 12%
survey results are also a useful source of informa-
tion for the media, providing independent informa-
tion as to how particular jurisdictions compare.

The survey was distributed to approximately 4,100
managers and executives around the world in com-
panies involved in mining exploration, develop-
                                                         Figure 2: Company focus as indicated
ment, and other related activities. The names of
                                                             by respondents, 2012/2013
potential respondents were compiled from com-
mercially available lists, publicly available member-
                                                                                     Exploration
ship lists of trade associations, and other sources.                                company: 54%

Several mining publications and associations also
helped publicize the survey. (Please see the ac-                                         Producer company
                                                                                           with less than
knowledgements).                                                                            US$50M: 6%

The survey was conducted from October 9, 2012 to
January 6, 2013. A total of 742 responses were re-
ceived from individuals, of whom 639 completed                                      Producer company
                                                        Other: 9%                     with more than
the full survey and 103 completed part of the survey.                                 US$50M: 20%
                                                                      Consulting
As figure 1 illustrates, over half of the respondents               company: 12%
are either the company president or vice-president,
and a further 25% are either managers or senior
managers. The companies that participated in the
survey reported exploration spending of US$6.2 bil-
lion in 2012 and US$5.4 billion in 2011.
                                                        Just over a quarter of the respondents represent
Figure 2 shows that over half of the 2012/2013 sur-     producer companies, and the final 21% is made up
vey respondents represent an exploration company.       of consulting and other companies.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         9
Survey questionnaire                                   11. Political stability;
                                                       12. Labour regulations/employment agreements
The survey was designed to capture the opinions of
                                                           and labour militancy/work disruptions;
managers and executives regarding the level of in-
vestment barriers in jurisdictions in which their      13. Quality of the geological database (includes
companies were familiar. Respondents were asked            quality and scale of maps, ease of access to in-
to indicate how each of the 17 policy factors below        formation, etc.);
influence company decisions to invest in various ju-   14. Level of security (includes physical security
risdictions.                                               due to the threat of attack by terrorists, crimi-
                                                           nals, guerrilla groups, etc.);
1.   Uncertainty concerning the administration,
     interpretation, or enforcement of existing reg-   15. Availability of labour/skills;
     ulations;
                                                       16. Level of corruption (or honesty);
2.   Uncertainty concerning environmental regu-
                                                       17. Growing (or lessening) uncertainty in mining
     lations (stability of regulations, consistency
                                                           policy and implementation.
     and timeliness of regulatory process, regula-
     tions not based on science);                      Respondents were asked to score only jurisdictions
3.   Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies        with which they were familiar and only on those
     (includes federal/provincial, federal/state,      policy factors with which they were familiar. Policy
     inter-departmental overlap, etc.);                questions were unchanged from 2011/2012. For
                                                       each of the 17 factors, respondents were asked to se-
4.   Legal system (legal processes that are fair,
                                                       lect one of the following five responses that best de-
     transparent, non-corrupt, timely, efficiently
                                                       scribed each jurisdiction with which they were
     administered, etc.)
                                                       familiar:
5.   Taxation regime (includes personal, corpo-
     rate, payroll, capital, and other taxes, and      1.   Encourages exploration investment
     complexity of tax compliance);                    2.   Not a deterrent to exploration investment
6.   Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims;      3.   Is a mild deterrent to exploration invest-
7.   Uncertainty concerning what areas will be              ment
     protected as wilderness, parks, or archeologi-    4.   Is a strong deterrent to exploration invest-
     cal sites, etc.;                                       ment
8.   Infrastructure (includes access to roads,         5.   Would not pursue exploration investment
     power availability, etc.);                             in this region due to this factor
9.   Socioeconomic agreements/community de-            The survey also included questions on the respon-
     velopment conditions (includes local purchas-     dents and their company types; most and least fa-
     ing or processing requirements, or supplying      vourable jurisdictions for mining and the reasons
     social infrastructure such as schools or hospi-   why; recommended policy changes in least favour-
     tals, etc.);                                      able jurisdiction(s); regulatory horror stories; ex-
10. Trade barriers (tariff and non-tariff barriers,    emplary policy; the weighting of mineral versus
    restrictions on profit repatriation, currency      policy factors in investment decisions; and invest-
    restrictions, etc.);                               ment patterns.


10                                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Summary indexes

Policy Potential Index (PPI):                             The PPI is based on ranks and is calculated so that
A comprehensive assessment of the                         the maximum scores are 100. Each jurisdiction is
attractiveness of mining policies                         ranked in each policy area based on the percentage
                                                          of respondents who judge that the policy factor in
While geologic and economic evaluations are al-
                                                          question “encourages investment.” The jurisdiction
ways requirements for exploration, in today’s glob-
                                                          that receives the highest percentage of “encourages
ally competitive economy where mining companies
                                                          investment” in any policy area is ranked first in that
may be examining properties located on different
                                                          policy area; the jurisdiction that receives the lowest
continents, a region’s policy climate has taken on
                                                          percentage of this response is ranked last. The rank-
increased importance in attracting and winning in-
                                                          ing of each jurisdiction across all policy areas is av-
vestment. The Policy Potential Index or PPI (see fig-
                                                          eraged and normalized to 100. A jurisdiction that
ure 3 and ta ble 1) pro vides a com prehen sive
                                                          ranks first in every category would have a score of
assessment of the attractiveness of mining policies
                                                          100; one that scored last in every category would
in a jurisdiction, and can serve as a report card to
                                                          have a score of 0.
governments on how attractive their policies are
from the point of view of an exploration manager.

The Policy Potential Index is a composite index that      Current Mineral Potential Index
captures the opinions of managers and executives
                                                          The Current Mineral Potential index (see figure 4
on the effects of policies in jurisdictions with which
                                                          and table 2), is based on respondents’ answers to the
they are familiar. All survey policy questions (i.e.,
                                                          question about whether or not a jurisdiction’s min-
uncertainty concerning the administration, inter-
                                                          eral potential under the current policy environment
pretation, and enforcement of existing regulations,
                                                          (i.e., regulations, land use restrictions, taxation, po-
environmental regulations, regulatory duplication
                                                          litical risk, and uncertainty) encourages or discour-
and inconsistencies, taxation, uncertainty concern-
                                                          ages exploration.
ing disputed land claims and protected areas, infra-
structure, socioeconomic agreements, political            Respondents clearly take into account mineral po-
stability, labor issues, geological database, and secu-   tential, meaning that some jurisdictions that rank
rity) are included with the exception of corruption       high in the Policy Potential Index but have limited
and growing or lessening uncertainty. The question        hard mineral potential will rank lower in the Cur-
on corruption was just introduced last year and           rent Mineral Potential Index, while jurisdictions
shows unusual variability in responses, so we have        with a weak policy environment but strong mineral
decided not to include it in the PPI this year. For       potential will do better. Nonetheless, there is con-
general information, we have still included the re-       siderable overlap between this index and the Policy
sults to the corruption question in the report (see       Potential Index, perhaps partly because good policy
figure 22 and table A18). The question on overall         will encourage exploration, which in turn will in-
uncertainty is also not included in the PPI, as uncer-    crease the known mineral potential.
tainty issues are picked up in specific policy areas.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                           11
Figure 3: Policy Potential Index
                              Finland
                             Sweden
                              Alberta
                    New Brunswick
                          Wyoming
                              Ireland
                              Nevada
                               Yukon
                                 Utah
                             Norway
                             Quebec
                        Nova Scotia
                     Saskatchewan
                         Greenland
                 Western Australia
                              Ontario
                          Botswana
         Newfoundland & Labrador
                               Alaska
                    South Australia
                           Manitoba
                 Northern Territory
                                 Chile
                              Victoria
                            Morocco
                      New Zealand
                     French Guiana
                             Arizona
              Northwest Territories
                            Namibia
                  British Columbia
                        Queensland
                           Michigan
                           Colorado
                                Idaho
                         Mauritania
                            Nunavut
                   Argentina: Salta
               Argentina: Neuquen
                         Minnesota
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                              Mexico
             Argentina: Catamarca
                 New South Wales
                       New Mexico
                           Montana
                        Washington
                                Spain
                           Tasmania
                             Bulgaria
               Argentina: San Juan
                               Serbia
                               Turkey
                               Ghana
                       Burkina Faso
                           California
                              Poland
                                  Peru
                              Zambia
               Dominican Republic
                                 Brazil
               Argentina: Mendoza
                             Panama
                       South Africa
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                          Colombia
                             Guyana
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                                Egypt
                                Niger
                           Suriname
                                China
                               Russia
                            Tanzania
                Argentina:L a Rioja
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                Papua New Guinea
                Argentina: Chubut
                                  Mali
                        Kazakhstan
                                 India
                             Ecuador
                           Mongolia
                          Honduras
                        Madagascar
                            Romania
                              Greece
                         Philippines
                         Guatemala
                               Bolivia
                         Zimbabwe
                         Kyrgyzstan
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                          Venezuela
                            Vietnam
                          Indonesia
                                          0   10    20    30   40    50    60       70       80      90   100



12                                                                              www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 1: Policy Potential Index

                                                    Score                                 Rank
                                     2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                     2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
             Alberta                  92.6   91.5    90.4   89.9   86.4    3/96    3/93    1/79    4/72    4/71
             British Columbia         63.6   62.5    54.4   48.7   61.2   31/96   31/93   36/79   38/72   24/71
 Canada




             Manitoba                 73.4   74.6    80.3   76.8   79.9   21/96   20/93    9/79    9/72    8/71
             New Brunswick            90.8   95.0    67.3   94.1   80.4    4/96    1/93   23/79    2/72    6/71
             Newfoundland & Labra-    76.8   77.0    74.6   78.3   84.6   18/96   16/93   13/79    8/72    5/71
             dor
             NWT                      63.7   50.4    40.2   40.0   46.9   29/96   48/93   52/79   50/72   40/71
             Nova Scotia              81.8   77.1    68.6   72.6   74.7   12/96   15/93   19/79   15/72   12/71
             Nunavut                  59.9   58.5    47.6   45.0   44.4   37/96   36/93   44/79   43/72   43/71
             Ontario                  78.3   79.4    68.7   66.2   75.2   16/96   13/93   18/79   22/72   10/71
             Quebec                   81.9   89.0    86.5   96.7   96.6   11/96    5/93    4/79    1/72    1/71
             Saskatchewan             81.6   88.9    87.5   81.6   79.1   13/96    6/93    3/79    6/72    9/71
             Yukon                    83.8   83.0    73.0   73.9   72.5    8/96   10/93   15/79   11/72   15/71
             Alaska                   75.5   67.5    67.6   71.7   66.9   19/96   25/93   21/79   18/72   17/71
             Arizona                  64.2   65.5    65.9   62.8   59.1   28/96   29/93   25/79   25/72   27/71
 US A




             California               45.3   45.8    35.1   22.6   36.2   56/96   51/93   56/79   63/72   54/71
             Colorado                 61.9   60.5    47.0   32.6   49.2   34/96   33/93   46/79   54/72   38/71
             Idaho                    61.6   66.8    55.7   55.4   50.8   35/96   26/93   33/79   32/72   36/71
             Michigan                 62.3   72.2    47.9   60.2      *   33/96   23/93   42/79   26/72       *
             Minnesota                58.1   72.6    47.3   33.5   49.7   40/96   22/93   45/79   53/72   37/71
             Montana                  55.9   54.0    40.8   44.0   38.8   46/96   40/93   50/79   46/72   52/71
             Nevada                   85.3   84.5    89.3   88.8   87.0    7/96    8/93    2/79    5/72    3/71
             New Mexico               56.2   54.0    55.0   45.9   31.9   45/96   41/93   34/79   41/72   58/71
             Utah                     83.8   72.9    85.1   72.6   74.8    9/96   21/93    6/79   15/72   11/71
             Washington               55.7   55.1    34.4   31.8   39.6   47/96   39/93   59/79   55/72   51/71
             Wyoming                  90.1   89.6    77.8   73.1   91.4    5/96    4/93   10/79   13/72    2/71
             New South Wales          56.4   62.4    68.2   66.6   61.4   44/96   32/93   20/79   20/72   23/71
 Australia




             Northern Territory       68.5   81.5    62.2   73.0   64.4   22/96   11/93   27/79   14/72   20/71
             Queensland               62.8   65.5    52.8   62.9   59.9   32/96   28/93   38/79   24/72   25/71
             South Australia          75.5   75.3    75.9   75.9   71.0   20/96   19/93   11/79   10/72   16/71
             Tasmania                 54.1   64.8    61.3   65.9   55.5   49/96   30/93   28/79   23/72   31/71
             Victoria                 66.0   52.1    56.9   57.0   57.1   24/96   44/93   31/79   30/72   29/71
             Western Australia        79.3   81.5    70.6   67.1   63.4   15/96   12/93   17/79   19/72   21/71
             Indonesia                 9.4   13.5    22.5   24.7   25.1   96/96   85/93   70/79   62/72   62/71
 Oceania




             New Zealand              65.1   65.7    63.4   55.1   43.4   26/96   27/93   26/79   33/72   45/71
             Papua New Guinea         26.1   34.3    29.6   31.2   27.3   77/96   66/93   64/79   56/72   61/71
             Philippines              14.0   13.0    27.3   14.0   28.1   88/96   88/93   66/79   70/72   59/71




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          13
Table 1: Policy Potential Index

                                                                            Score                                 Rank
                                                             2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                                             2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
                                        Botswana              78.1   76.9    74.0   66.5   64.9   17/96   17/93   14/79   21/72     18/71
                                        Burkina Faso          46.0   57.5    66.3   49.6   45.1   55/96   38/93   24/79   36/72     42/71
Africa




                                        DRC (Congo)           12.3   19.9     7.8   18.9   24.1   93/96   76/93   77/79   68/72     63/71
                                        Egypt                 32.4   19.9       *      *      *   69/96   77/93       *       *         *
                                        Ghana                 48.2   52.9    45.1   53.3   51.3   54/96   43/93   47/79   34/72     35/71
                                        Guinea (Conakry)      26.4   16.6    40.2      *      *   76/96   83/93   51/79       *         *
                                        Madagascar            16.5   42.0    15.6      *      *   85/96   59/93   73/79       *         *
                                        Mali                  24.9   52.9    58.2   58.2   53.6   79/96   42/93   29/79   27/72     33/71
                                        Mauritania            61.6   45.5       *      *      *   36/96   52/93       *       *         *
                                        Morocco               65.6   60.3       *      *      *   25/96   34/93       *       *         *
                                        Namibia               63.7   51.6    57.9   49.2   52.5   30/96   45/93   30/79   37/72     34/71
                                        Niger                 32.2   30.7    47.9      *      *   70/96   68/93   43/79       *         *
                                        South Africa          35.0   44.5    23.4   26.2   40.4   64/96   54/93   67/79   61/72     49/71
                                        Tanzania              28.0   38.8    32.4   44.9   41.8   74/96   63/93   61/79   44/72     48/71
                                        Zambia                41.7   46.1    34.9   36.5   44.4   59/96   50/93   57/79   52/72     44/71
                                        Zimbabwe              13.4   21.8    22.4   14.7   19.1   91/96   74/93   71/79   69/72     65/71
                                        Argentina               **     **    32.4   28.4   33.0      **      **   60/79   59/72     56/71
Argentina




                                        Catamarca             56.9   39.0       *      *      *   43/96   61/93       *       *         *
                                        Chubut                26.0   24.6       *      *      *   78/96   70/93       *       *         *
                                        Jujuy                 34.5   20.1       *      *      *   65/96   75/93       *       *         *
                                        La Rioja              26.5      *       *      *      *   75/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Mendoza               36.1   22.2       *      *      *   62/96   73/93       *       *         *
                                        Neuquen               59.3      *       *      *      *   39/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Rio Negro             57.9   25.7       *      *      *   41/96   69/93       *       *         *
                                        Salta                 59.7   43.9       *      *      *   38/96   55/93       *       *         *
                                        San Juan              53.3   39.0       *      *      *   51/96   62/93       *       *         *
                                        Santa Cruz            32.7   35.7       *      *      *   68/96   65/93       *       *         *
                                        Bolivia               13.8    8.1     9.1   20.1   16.5   90/96   91/93   76/79   66/72     66/71
Latin America and the Carribean Basin




                                        Brazil                38.2   43.3    43.2   46.1   47.1   61/96   57/93   49/79   40/72     39/71
                                        Chile                 67.7   75.3    81.3   79.1   79.9   23/96   18/93    8/79    7/72      7/71
                                        Colombia              34.4   38.0    51.2   40.6   43.0   66/96   64/93   40/79   48/72     46/71
                                        Ecuador               19.0   13.1    27.9   10.5    4.1   82/96   86/93   65/79   71/72     70/71
                                        Dominican Republic    39.7   31.5       *      *      *   60/96   67/93       *       *         *
                                        French Guiana***      64.6      *       *      *      *   27/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Guatemala             13.8    2.9    10.0   21.9    5.1   89/96   92/93   75/79   64/72     69/71
                                        Guyana                32.9   44.7       *      *      *   67/96   53/93       *       *         *
                                        Honduras              17.9    1.7     1.2   20.4   11.8   83/96   93/93   79/79   65/72     68/71
                                        Mexico                57.3   58.8    54.7   58.1   57.7   42/96   35/93   35/79   28/72     28/71
                                        Panama                35.8   16.9    23.3   31.2   42.4   63/96   82/93   68/79   56/72     47/71
                                        Peru                  42.0   43.4    43.6   47.7   56.6   58/96   56/93   48/79   39/72     30/71
                                        Suriname              31.0   23.4       *      *      *   71/96   72/93       *       *         *
                                        Venezuela             11.8   10.9     1.3    6.9    3.7   94/96   90/93   78/79   72/72     71/71



14                                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 1: Policy Potential Index

                                                        Score                                           Rank
                                      2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                      2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
           Bulgaria                    53.6      50.6     55.9         *        *    50/96    47/93     32/79         *         *
           China                       28.5      43.1     30.9      45.1     45.2    72/96    58/93     62/79    42/72      41/71
           Finland                     95.5      92.4     86.0      90.2     72.7     1/96      2/93     5/79     3/72      14/71
           Greenland                   79.9      78.2     74.9         *        *    14/96    14/93     12/79         *         *
 Eurasia




           Greece                      15.6         *         *        *        *    87/96         *         *        *         *
           India                       21.1      12.4     10.6      27.1     16.2    81/96    89/93     74/79    60/72      67/71
           Ireland                     89.7      83.0     72.6      72.1     59.8     6/96      9/93    16/79    17/72      26/71
           Kazakhstan                  23.3      17.0     30.4      39.0     33.0    80/96    81/93     63/79    51/72      57/71
           Kyrgyzstan                  13.4      13.1     51.4      29.9     22.5    92/96    87/93     39/79    58/72      64/71
           Mongolia                    17.9      19.5     35.7      19.0     34.5    84/96    78/93     54/79    67/72      55/71
           Norway                      82.4      72.0     67.3      55.9     64.5    10/96    24/93     22/79    31/72      19/71
           Poland                      42.7      51.2         *        *        *    57/96    46/93          *        *         *
           Romania                     16.2      18.0     37.9         *        *    86/96    80/93     53/79         *         *
           Russia                      28.1      24.6     23.1      44.2     37.9    73/96    71/93     69/79    45/72      53/71
           Serbia                      49.9         *         *        *        *    52/96         *         *        *         *
           Spain                       54.6      57.6     52.9      57.5     62.1    48/96    37/93     37/79    29/72      22/71
           Sweden                      93.6      85.5     82.3      73.9     73.8     2/96      7/93     7/79    12/72      13/71
           Turkey                      49.7      41.0     34.7      52.8     39.8    53/96    60/93     58/79    35/72      50/71
           Vietnam                     11.6      14.4     35.5         *        *    95/96    84/93     55/79         *         *
* Not available
** Argentina is no longer reported as a single jurisdiction (we now report separately on the sub-national jurisdictions).
***French Guiana is considered a DOM (Département d’outre-mer), a French overseas department.




Best Practices                                                      Calculating the “Current” and
Mineral Potential Index                                             “Best Practices” indexes

                                                                    To obtain an accurate view of the attractiveness of a
Figure 5 shows the mineral potential of jurisdic-
                                                                    jurisdiction, we combine the responses to “Encour-
tions, assuming their policies are based on “best
                                                                    ages Investment” and “Not a Deterrent to Invest-
practices” (i.e., world class regulatory environment,
                                                                    ment,” as the reader can see in figures 4 and 5. Since
highly competitive taxation, no political risk or un-
                                                                    the “Encourages” response expresses a much more
certainty, and a fully stable mining regime). In other
                                                                    positive attitude to investment than “Not a Deter-
words, this figure represents, in a sense, a jurisdic-
                                                                    rent,” in calculating these indexes, we give “Not a
tion’s “pure” mineral potential, since it assumes a
                                                                    Deterrent” half the weight of “Encourages.”
“best practices” policy regime. Table 3 provides
more precise information and the recent historical                  For example, the “Current Mineral Potential” (fig-
record.                                                             ure 4 and table 2) for British Columbia was calcu-



2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                                            15
Figure 4: Current Mineral Potential
                            assuming current regulations and land use restrictions

                         Greenland
                              Finland
                             Sweden
                             Nevada
                     Saskatchewan
                               Alaska
                               Yukon
                          Wyoming
                 Western Australia
                 Northern Territory
                                 Chile
                    New Brunswick
                                 Utah
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                             Arizona
                          Botswana
                             Ontario
              Northwest Territories
                             Guyana
                    South Australia
                             Norway
                               Turkey
                               Ghana
                              Alberta
                        Queensland
                             Quebec
                       Burkina Faso
                            Nunavut
                      New Zealand
                              Mexico
                              Ireland
                                Idaho
                           Manitoba
                  British Columbia
                               Serbia
                            Namibia
                        Nova Scotia
                                  Peru
                                Spain
                          Colombia
                       New Mexico
                             Panama
                                 Brazil
                         Minnesota
                           Michigan
                 New South Wales
                            Tanzania
                         Mauritania
               Dominican Republic
                           Montana
                                Niger
                            Morocco
                               Russia
                   Argentina: Salta
               Argentina: San Juan
                         Kyrgyzstan
                              Victoria
                              Zambia
                             Bulgaria
             Argentina: Catamarca
                           Tasmania
                           Suriname
                           Colorado
                           California
                                  Mali
              Argentina: Rio Negro
               Argentina: Neuquen
                     French Guiana
                        Kazakhstan
               Argentina: Mendoza
                            Romania
                                China
                Papua New Guinea
                              Poland
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                                 India
                       South Africa
                            Vietnam
                           Mongolia
                         Philippines
                          Indonesia
                        Washington
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                Argentina: Chubut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz                                                 Encourages investment
                Argentina: La Rioja
                              Greece                                               Not a deterrent to investment
                        Madagascar
                                Egypt
                             Ecuador
                         Zimbabwe
                          Venezuela
                         Guatemala
                          Honduras
                               Bolivia
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%       70%      80%      90%       100%



16                                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions†

                                                    Score                                 Rank
                                     2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/
                                     2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008
                Alberta               0.56   0.60    0.53   0.48   0.49   24/96   18/93   32/79   32/72   34/71
                British Columbia      0.51   0.50    0.43   0.49   0.47   34/96   35/93   42/79   31/72   39/71
 Canada




                Manitoba              0.52   0.64    0.61   0.58   0.53   33/96   11/93   17/79   22/72   29/71
                New Brunswick         0.62   0.54    0.46   0.57   0.54   12/96   27/93   38/79   26/72   28/71
                Nfld. & Labrador      0.61   0.66    0.57   0.60   0.64   14/96    8/93   25/79   17/72    9/71
                NWT                   0.58   0.44    0.35   0.34   0.44   18/96   46/93   59/79   53/72   46/71
                Nova Scotia           0.50   0.41    0.38   0.43   0.40   37/96   51/93   51/79   40/72   54/71
                Nunavut               0.55   0.51    0.38   0.39   0.55   28/96   30/93   50/79   46/72   27/71
                Ontario               0.59   0.56    0.60   0.50   0.57   17/96   23/93   19/79   30/72   21/71
                Quebec                0.55   0.65    0.76   0.73   0.77   26/96    9/93    2/79    3/72    1/71
                Saskatchewan          0.72   0.69    0.75   0.69   0.67    5/96    4/93    3/79    6/72    5/71
                Yukon                 0.71   0.69    0.66   0.63   0.60    7/96    3/93   11/79   11/72   16/71
                Alaska                0.72   0.68    0.67   0.66   0.71    6/96    6/93    9/79    9/72    4/71
                Arizona               0.60   0.51    0.54   0.51   0.46   15/96   31/93   31/79   29/72   42/71
 US A




                California            0.33   0.21    0.20   0.20   0.22   64/96   88/93   72/79   68/72   64/71
                Colorado              0.33   0.26    0.26   0.32   0.26   63/96   77/93   68/79   55/72   62/71
                Idaho                 0.52   0.36    0.48   0.43   0.48   32/96   59/93   34/79   39/72   37/71
                Michigan              0.43   0.43    0.36   0.38      *   45/96   48/93   57/79   48/72       *
                Minnesota             0.43   0.43    0.31   0.29   0.41   44/96   49/93   63/79   59/72   53/71
                Montana               0.41   0.31    0.32   0.38   0.27   50/96   66/93   62/79   49/72   59/71
                Nevada                0.72   0.67    0.73   0.75   0.73    4/96    7/93    4/79    1/72    2/71
                New Mexico            0.46   0.55    0.43   0.36   0.42   41/96   24/93   43/79   51/72   51/71
                Utah                  0.61   0.60    0.66   0.61   0.60   13/96   15/93   13/79   16/72   15/71
                Washington            0.24   0.19    0.10   0.23   0.19   82/96   91/93   78/79   65/72   70/71
                Wyoming               0.71   0.63    0.60   0.58   0.61    8/96   12/93   20/79   23/72   13/71
                New South Wales       0.42   0.46    0.39   0.48   0.49   46/96   41/93   49/79   33/72   36/71
 Australia




                Northern Territory    0.65   0.58    0.54   0.66   0.56   10/96   22/93   30/79    8/72   23/71
                Queensland            0.56   0.51    0.55   0.58   0.58   25/96   32/93   28/79   21/72   19/71
                South Australia       0.58   0.62    0.56   0.62   0.61   20/96   14/93   27/79   15/72   12/71
                Tasmania              0.34   0.37    0.42   0.44   0.51   61/96   56/93   45/79   37/72   31/71
                Victoria              0.39   0.25    0.35   0.30   0.43   57/96   78/93   60/79   58/72   49/71
                Western Australia     0.67   0.64    0.68   0.59   0.62    9/96   10/93    8/79   19/72   10/71
                Indonesia             0.25   0.29    0.36   0.40   0.46   81/96   73/93   58/79   43/72   42/71
 Oceania




                New Zealand           0.54   0.30    0.47   0.24   0.21   29/96   68/93   35/79   64/72   66/71
                Papua New Guinea      0.29   0.60    0.67   0.48   0.38   73/96   16/93   10/79   34/72   56/71
                Philippines           0.26   0.33    0.44   0.43   0.49   80/96   63/93   40/79   38/72   35/71




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          17
Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions†

                                                                               Score                                 Rank
                                                                2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/
                                                                2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008
                                           Botswana              0.60   0.75    0.68   0.68   0.59   16/96    1/93    7/79    7/72     17/71
                                           Burkina Faso          0.55   0.63    0.71   0.70   0.57   27/96   13/93    6/79    4/72     22/71
                                           DRC (Congo)           0.23   0.38    0.21   0.30   0.44   83/96   55/93   70/79   56/72     47/71
                                           Egypt                 0.12   0.33       *      *      *   89/96   61/93       *       *         *
                                           Ghana                 0.56   0.60    0.57   0.60   0.55   23/96   17/93   24/79   18/72     26/71
Africa




                                           Guinea (Conakry)      0.29   0.36    0.36      *      *   74/96   58/93   56/79       *         *
                                           Madagascar            0.12   0.38    0.41      *      *   90/96   52/93   46/79       *         *
                                           Mali                  0.33   0.55    0.59   0.64   0.58   65/96   26/93   21/79   10/72     20/71
                                           Mauritania            0.42   0.46       *      *      *   48/96   40/93       *       *         *
                                           Morocco               0.40   0.50       *      *      *   51/96   33/93       *       *         *
                                           Namibia               0.50   0.45    0.55   0.58   0.47   35/96   44/93   29/79   24/72     40/71
                                           Niger                 0.40   0.38    0.42      *      *   52/96   52/93   44/79       *         *
                                           South Africa          0.28   0.33    0.28   0.39   0.45   77/96   62/93   66/79   45/72     44/71
                                           Tanzania              0.42   0.55    0.58   0.47   0.55   47/96   25/93   23/79   35/72     24/71
                                           Zambia                0.38   0.47    0.46   0.53   0.51   58/96   39/93   37/79   28/72     30/71
                                           Zimbabwe              0.10   0.21    0.16   0.21   0.15   92/96   87/93   74/79   67/72     71/71
                                           Argentina                *      *    0.37   0.33   0.43       *       *   55/79   54/72     50/71
                                           Catamarca             0.36   0.36       *      *      *   60/96   57/93       *       *         *
Argentina




                                           Chubut                0.20   0.25       *      *      *   85/96   78/93       *       *         *
                                           Jujuy                 0.22   0.38       *      *      *   84/96   52/93       *       *         *
                                           La Rioja              0.18      *       *      *      *   87/96       *       *       *         *
                                           Mendoza               0.30   0.25       *      *      *   70/96   78/93       *       *         *
                                           Neuquen               0.32      *       *      *      *   67/96       *       *       *         *
                                           Rio Negro             0.32   0.27       *      *      *   66/96   75/93       *       *         *
                                           Salta                 0.39   0.45       *      *      *   54/96   42/93       *       *         *
                                           San Juan              0.39   0.48       *      *      *   55/96   37/93       *       *         *
                                           Santa Cruz            0.19   0.48       *      *      *   86/96   38/93       *       *         *
                                           Bolivia               0.06   0.21    0.21   0.28   0.23   96/96   89/93   71/79   61/72     63/71
Latin America and the Carribean Basin




                                           Brazil                0.44   0.54    0.60   0.63   0.60   43/96   28/93   18/79   12/72     14/71
                                           Chile                 0.64   0.69    0.77   0.74   0.72   11/96    5/93    1/79    2/72      3/71
                                           Colombia              0.47   0.53    0.64   0.57   0.55   40/96   29/93   16/79   25/72     25/71
                                           Ecuador               0.11   0.26    0.16   0.23   0.20   91/96   76/93   74/79   66/72     69/71
                                           Dominican Republic    0.41   0.18       *      *      *   49/96   92/93       *       *         *
                                           French Guiana         0.32      *       *      *      *   68/96       *       *       *         *
                                           Guatemala             0.08   0.25    0.25   0.15   0.33   94/96   78/93   69/79   70/72     57/71
                                           Guyana                0.58   0.44       *      *      *   19/96   45/93       *       *         *
                                           Honduras              0.06   0.19    0.15   0.15   0.22   95/96   90/93   76/79   70/72     65/71
                                           Mexico                0.53   0.58    0.64   0.70   0.64   30/96   21/93   15/79    5/72      7/71
                                           Panama                0.45   0.22    0.40   0.30   0.50   42/96   86/93   48/79   56/72     32/71
                                           Peru                  0.49   0.42    0.59   0.63   0.64   38/96   50/93   22/79   12/72      8/71
                                           Suriname              0.33   0.25       *      *      *   62/96   78/93       *       *         *
                                           Venezuela             0.10   0.11    0.10   0.13   0.21   93/96   93/93   77/79   72/72     67/71



18                                                                                                           www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions†

                                                       Score                                         Rank
                                     2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/
                                     2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008
              Bulgaria                 0.36     0.23     0.38        *         *   59/96    84/93    51/79         *           *
              China                    0.30     0.30     0.33     0.36     0.39    72/96    69/93    61/79    52/72     55/71
 Eurasia




              Finland                  0.74     0.59     0.66     0.62     0.65     2/96    19/93    12/79    14/72      6/71
              Greenland                0.76     0.72     0.73        *         *    1/96     2/93     5/79         *           *
              Greece                   0.13        *        *        *         *   88/96         *        *        *           *
              India                    0.28     0.25     0.31     0.26     0.26    76/96    78/93    64/79    63/72     61/71
              Ireland                  0.52     0.49     0.45     0.39     0.47    31/96    36/93    39/79    44/72     38/71
              Kazakhstan               0.31     0.32     0.38     0.38     0.50    69/96    65/93    51/79    47/72     32/71
              Kyrgyzstan               0.39     0.30     0.38     0.28     0.21    56/96    72/93    51/79    60/72     68/71
              Mongolia                 0.27     0.44     0.53     0.42     0.33    79/96    47/93    33/79    42/72     58/71
              Norway                   0.57     0.32     0.47     0.47     0.43    21/96    64/93    36/79    36/72     48/71
              Poland                   0.29     0.45        *        *         *   75/96    42/93         *        *           *
              Romania                  0.30     0.28     0.20        *         *   71/96    74/93         *        *           *
              Russia                   0.40     0.30     0.30     0.37     0.47    53/96    67/93    65/79    50/72     41/71
              Serbia                   0.50        *        *        *         *   36/96         *        *        *           *
              Spain                    0.48     0.34     0.41     0.43     0.42    39/96    60/93    47/79    41/72     52/71
              Sweden                   0.73     0.59     0.65     0.56     0.59     3/96    20/93    14/79    27/72     18/71
              Turkey                   0.57     0.50     0.57     0.59     0.62    22/96    33/93    26/79    20/72     11/71
              Vietnam                  0.27     0.30     0.43        *         *   78/96    69/93    41/79         *           *
† = The figures in this table and the accompanying figure count 100% of all “encourages” answers, but only 50 percent of the
“not a deterrent” answers. For a discussion, please see page 15.
* = not available.




lated by adding the percent of respondents who                    fig ure’s mean ing, con sider Mon go lia, the
rated BC’s mineral potential as “Encourages Invest-               jurisdiction with the most room for improvement
ment” (33%) with the 36% that responded “Not a                    in 2012/2013. When asked about Mongolia’s min-
Deterrent to investment,” which was half weighted                 eral potential under “current” regulations, miners
at 18% (see table A1). Thus, British Columbia has a               gave it a score of 27. Under a “best practices” regu-
score of 51, taking into account rounding, for                    latory regime, where managers can focus on pure
2012/2013.                                                        mineral potential rather than policy-related prob-
                                                                  lems, Mongolia’s score was 84. Thus, Mongolia’s
                                                                  score in the “Room for Improvement” category is
Room for improvement
                                                                  58. (Numbers may not add up due to rounding).
Figure 6 is one of the most revealing in this study. It           The greater the score in figure 6, the greater the
subtracts each jurisdiction’s score for mineral po-               gap between “current” and “best practices” min-
tential under “best practices” from mineral poten-                eral potential, and the greater the “room for im-
tial under “current” regulations. To understand this              provement.”



2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                                           19
Figure 5: Policy/Mineral Potential assuming no land use restrictions
                         in place and assuming industry “best practices”
                           Mongolia
                               Yukon
                Papua New Guinea
                          Indonesia
                               Alaska
                 Western Australia
                             Nevada
                             Ontario
                          Botswana
                               Turkey
                                 Chile
                         Philippines
                     Saskatchewan
                         Greenland
                            Nunavut
                             Quebec
              Northwest Territories
                              Mexico
                  British Columbia
                        Queensland
                         Kyrgyzstan
                          Colombia
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                              Finland
                          Wyoming
                           Manitoba
                                 India
                    South Australia
                 Northern Territory
                             Arizona
      Newfoundland and Labrador
                             Sweden
                            Tanzania
                        Kazakhstan
                               Russia
                                  Peru
                               Serbia
                                 Brazil
                                 Utah
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                            Vietnam
                            Namibia
                              Zambia
                    New Brunswick
                           Montana
                                China
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                        Madagascar
                               Ghana
               Argentina: San Juan
                             Norway
             Argentina: Catamarca
                              Alberta
                       South Africa
                                Idaho
                           Colorado
                Argentina: La Rioja
                             Guyana
                       Burkina Faso
                                Egypt
                             Ecuador
                         Zimbabwe
                           California
                         Mauritania
               Argentina: Mendoza
                         Minnesota
                               Bolivia
                 New South Wales
                       New Mexico
                   Argentina: Salta
                Argentina: Chubut
                                  Mali
                           Suriname
                              Ireland
                           Tasmania
                      New Zealand
                          Venezuela
                           Michigan
                         Guatemala
              Argentina: Rio Negro
               Dominican Republic
                  Guinea(Conakry)
                                Spain
                            Romania
                             Panama
                        Nova Scotia                                                Encourages investment
                              Victoria
                     French Guiana
                        Washington                                                 Not a deterrent to investment
               Argentina: Neuquen
                                Niger
                              Poland
                            Morocco
                             Bulgaria
                          Honduras
                              Greece
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%       70%      80%      90%       100%



20                                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place
                              and assuming industry best practices†

                                                Score                                 Rank
                                 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
            Alberta               0.57   0.64    0.61   0.56   0.64   50/96   57/93   59/79   62/72   48/71
            British Columbia      0.72   0.83    0.80   0.79   0.77   18/96   12/93   23/79   17/72   24/71
Canada




            Manitoba              0.69   0.76    0.74   0.80   0.78   25/96   26/93   33/79   14/72   21/71
            New Brunswick         0.60   0.52    0.43   0.65   0.61   44/96   78/93   74/79   50/72   53/71
            Nfld. & Labrador      0.68   0.82    0.76   0.78   0.73   29/96   15/93   29/79   18 72   35/71
            NWT                   0.73   0.85    0.87   0.82   0.77   16/96    6/93    8/79    7/72   20/71
            Nova Scotia           0.40   0.47    0.40   0.56   0.42   86/96   87/93   78/79   63/72   70/71
            Nunavut               0.74   0.85    0.84   0.77   0.84   12/96    5/93   16/79   22/72    5/71
            Ontario               0.75   0.78    0.85   0.81   0.80    8/96   25/93   11/79   11/72   14/71
            Quebec                0.73   0.82    0.84   0.84   0.88   16/96   13/93   17/79    3/72    2/71
            Saskatchewan          0.74   0.81    0.89   0.79   0.80   12/96   20/93    5/79   15/72   16/71
            Yukon                 0.81   0.89    0.90   0.82   0.76    2/96    2/93    2/79    8/72   26/71
            Alaska                0.78   0.93    0.93   0.85   0.82    5/96    1/93    1/79    2/72   10/71
            Arizona               0.68   0.73    0.76   0.73   0.74   29/96   31/93   30/79   29/72   29/71
US A




            California            0.51   0.58    0.58   0.60   0.59   63/96   67/93   64/79   56/72   60/71
            Colorado              0.56   0.64    0.70   0.69   0.64   55/96   55/93   47/79   44/72   50/71
            Idaho                 0.56   0.68    0.65   0.68   0.73   55/96   36/93   56/79   45/72   34/71
            Michigan              0.45   0.55    0.54   0.71      *   78/96   72/93   68/79   36/72       *
            Minnesota             0.50   0.54    0.77   0.61   0.59   64/96   75/93   27/79   54/72   58/71
            Montana               0.59   0.70    0.70   0.74   0.79   45/96   33/93   47/79   27/72   20/71
            Nevada                0.76   0.81    0.85   0.83   0.86    7/96   17/93   13/79    4/72    3/71
            New Mexico            0.49   0.64    0.68   0.63   0.59   67/96   54/93   52/79   52/72   58/71
            Utah                  0.64   0.66    0.71   0.74   0.79   39/96   48/93   45/79   24/72   19/71
            Washington            0.37   0.50    0.43   0.50   0.55   88/96   80/93   75/79   68/72   66/71
            Wyoming               0.69   0.68    0.74   0.70   0.70   25/96   42/93   36/79   38/72   40/71
            New South Wales       0.49   0.55    0.55   0.62   0.71   67/96   71/93   67/79   53/72   37/71
Australia




            Northern Territory    0.68   0.66    0.72   0.83   0.81   29/96   49/93   42/79    6/72   13/71
            Queensland            0.72   0.75    0.80   0.81   0.82   18/96   29/93   22/79   10/72    9/71
            South Australia       0.69   0.79    0.73   0.80   0.77   25/96   23/93   39/79   12/72   22/71
            Tasmania              0.46   0.47    0.66   0.59   0.70   75/96   86/93   55/79   57/72   41/71
            Victoria              0.40   0.37    0.42   0.51   0.66   86/96   91/93   76/79   67/72   47/71
            Western Australia     0.77   0.83    0.87   0.77   0.84    6/96   11/93    7/79   21/72    6/71
            Indonesia             0.79   0.84    0.85   0.75   0.80    3/96   10/93   12/79   23/72   17/71
Oceania




            New Zealand           0.46   0.47    0.50   0.53   0.58   75/96   88/93   70/79   65/72   62/71
            Papua New Guinea      0.79   0.89    0.89   0.71   0.81    3/96    3/93    6/79   34/72   12/71
            Philippines           0.74   0.85    0.82   0.72   0.82   12/96    7/93   19/79   33/72   11/71




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                      21
Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place
                                                           and assuming industry best practices†

                                                                            Score                                 Rank
                                                             2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                                             2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
                                        Botswana              0.75   0.78    0.77   0.72   0.68    8/96   24/93   28/79   31/72     44/71
                                        Burkina Faso          0.55   0.76    0.81   0.74   0.70   58/96   28/93   21/79   25/72     43/71
                                        DRC (Congo)           0.70   0.87    0.90   0.86   0.89   23/96    4/93    4/79    1/72      1/71
                                        Egypt                 0.54   0.45       *      *      *   60/96   90/93       *       *         *
                                        Ghana                 0.58   0.81    0.75   0.71   0.76   47/96   18/93   31/79   35/72     28/71
Africa




                                        Guinea (Conakry)      0.43   0.66    0.73      *      *   82/96   50/93   39/79       *         *
                                        Madagascar            0.58   0.62    0.68      *      *   47/96   60/93   51/79       *         *
                                        Mali                  0.48   0.71    0.79   0.79   0.60   71/96   32/93   24/79   16/72     56/71
                                        Mauritania            0.50   0.61       *      *      *   64/96   61/93       *       *         *
                                        Morocco               0.33   0.50       *      *      *   93/96   80/93       *       *         *
                                        Namibia               0.62   0.50    0.69   0.71   0.51   40/96   80/93   49/79   37/72     68/71
                                        Niger                 0.35   0.57    0.58      *      *   91/96   69/93   65/79       *         *
                                        South Africa          0.57   0.64    0.72   0.66   0.70   50/96   56/93   43/79   48/72     42/71
                                        Tanzania              0.67   0.67    0.79   0.70   0.76   32/96   47/93   25/79   40/72     27/71
                                        Zambia                0.60   0.61    0.78   0.68   0.74   43/96   62/93   26/79   46/72     31/71
                                        Zimbabwe              0.52   0.64    0.74   0.58   0.58   62/96   58/93   34/79   58/72     61/71
                                        Argentina                *      *    0.71   0.73   0.74       *       *   44/79   28/72     31/71
                                        Catamarca             0.57   0.68       *      *      *   50/96   39/93       *       *         *
Argentina




                                        Chubut                0.48   0.84       *      *      *   71/96    9/93       *       *         *
                                        Jujuy                 0.58   0.50       *      *      *   47/96   80/93       *       *         *
                                        La Rioja              0.56      *       *      *      *   55/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Mendoza               0.50   0.57       *      *      *   64/96   69/93       *       *         *
                                        Neuquen               0.36      *       *      *      *   90/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Rio Negro             0.44   0.68       *      *      *   79/96   42/93       *       *         *
                                        Salta                 0.49   0.55       *      *      *   67/96   74/93       *       *         *
                                        San Juan              0.57   0.69       *      *      *   50/96   35/93       *       *         *
                                        Santa Cruz            0.62   0.65       *      *      *   40/96   52/93       *       *         *
                                        Bolivia               0.49   0.58    0.60   0.65   0.64   67/96   66/93   62/79   49/72     49/71
Latin America and the Carribean Basin




                                        Brazil                0.65   0.81    0.86   0.78   0.77   35/96   21/93    9/79   20/72     23/71
                                        Chile                 0.75   0.81    0.85   0.83   0.80    8/96   18/93   14/79    5/72     15/71
                                        Colombia              0.71   0.80    0.90   0.72   0.83   21/96   22/93    3/79   32/72      7/71
                                        Ecuador               0.54   0.65    0.70   0.69   0.71   60/96   51/93   46/79   43/72     38/71
                                        Dominican Republic    0.44   0.29       *      *      *   79/96   93/93       *       *         *
                                        French Guiana         0.37      *       *      *      *   88/96       *       *       *         *
                                        Guatemala             0.44   0.63    0.69   0.63   0.60   79/96   59/93   50/79   51/72     55/71
                                        Guyana                0.55   0.53       *      *      *   58/96   77/93       *       *         *
                                        Honduras              0.29   0.53    0.59   0.48   0.56   95/96   76/93   63/79   70/72     63/71
                                        Mexico                0.72   0.85    0.86   0.80   0.79   18/96    8/93   10/79   13/72     18/71
                                        Panama                0.42   0.58    0.63   0.58   0.60   84/96   68/93   57/79   60/72     57/71
                                        Peru                  0.65   0.82    0.85   0.81   0.85   35/96   14/93   15/79    9/72      4/71
                                        Suriname              0.47   0.55       *      *      *   73/96   73/93       *       *         *
                                        Venezuela             0.46   0.59    0.56   0.58   0.55   75/96   65/93   66/79   58/72     64/71



22                                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place
                             and assuming industry best practices†

                                                       Score                                         Rank
                                     2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/
                                     2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
           Bulgaria                   0.32      0.50     0.45        *        *    94/96    80/93    73/79         *           *
           China                      0.59      0.67     0.73     0.67     0.73    45/96    46/93    37/79    47/72    33/71
 Eurasia




           Finland                    0.70      0.68     0.74     0.73     0.72    23/96    36/93    34/79    30/72    36/71
           Greenland                  0.74      0.76     0.73        *        *    12/96    27/93    39/79         *           *
           Greece                     0.25         *        *        *        *    96/96         *        *        *           *
           India                      0.69      0.68     0.50     0.50     0.63    25/96    44/93    70/79    68/72    51/71
           Ireland                    0.47      0.60     0.61     0.42     0.55    73/96    63/93    60/79    72/72    64/71
           Kazakhstan                 0.67      0.70     0.75     0.70     0.71    32/96    33/93    31/79    39/72    39/71
           Kyrgyzstan                 0.71      0.68     0.67     0.56     0.67    21/96    39/93    53/79    64/72    46/71
           Mongolia                   0.84      0.82     0.83     0.78     0.74     1/96    16/93    18/79    19/72    30/71
           Norway                     0.57      0.50     0.53     0.60     0.61    50/96    80/93    69/79    55/72    54/71
           Poland                     0.35      0.68        *        *        *    91/96    39/93         *        *           *
           Romania                    0.42      0.47     0.61        *        *    84/96    89/93    58/79         *           *
           Russia                     0.65      0.68     0.67     0.69     0.83    35/96    38/93    54/79    42/72     8/71
           Serbia                     0.65         *        *        *        *    35/96         *        *        *           *
           Spain                      0.43      0.52     0.41     0.45     0.53    82/96    79/93    77/79    71/72    67/71
           Sweden                     0.67      0.68     0.73     0.74     0.62    32/96    45/93    38/79    25/72    52/71
           Turkey                     0.75      0.73     0.81     0.70     0.67     8/96    30/93    20/79    41/72    45/71
           Vietnam                    0.62      0.36     0.60        *        *    40/96    92/93    61/79         *           *
† = The figures in this table and the accompanying figure count 100% of all “encourages” answers, but only 50 percent of the
“not a deterrent” answers. For a discussion, please see page 15.
* = not available.




A caveat                                                          Surveys can also produce anomalies. For example,
                                                                  in this survey New Brunswick and Nova Scotia re-
                                                                  ceived higher scores for existing policies than for
This survey captures miners’ general and specific                 best practices.
knowl edge. A miner may give an oth er wise
high-scoring jurisdiction a low mark because of his               It is also important to note that different segments
or her individual experience with a problem. We do                of the mining industry (exploration and develop-
not believe this detracts from the survey. In fact, we            ment companies, say) face different challenges. Yet
have made a particular point of highlighting such                 many of the challenges the different segments face
differing views in the survey comments and “What                  are similar. This survey is intended to capture the
miners are saying” quotes.                                        overall view.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                                           23
Figure 6: Room for improvement

                            Mongolia
                           Indonesia
                 Papua New Guinea
                          Philippines
 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                         Madagascar
                                Bolivia
                              Ecuador
              Argentina: Santa Cruz
                                 Egypt
                          Zimbabwe
                                  India
                 Argentina: La Rioja
                          Guatemala
                    Argentina: Jujuy
                         Kazakhstan
                           Venezuela
                             Vietnam
                          Kyrgyzstan
                        South Africa
                                 China
                 Argentina: Chubut
                                Russia
                             Tanzania
                            Colombia
                           Honduras
                            Colorado
                               Zambia
              Argentina: Catamarca
                   British Columbia
                                  Brazil
                Argentina: Mendoza
                               Mexico
                             Nunavut
                            Montana
                                Turkey
                Argentina: San Juan
                            California
                              Quebec
                            Manitoba
                                   Peru
                               Ontario
                         Queensland
                           Botswana
                                Serbia
                                   Mali
                   Guinea (Conakry)
               Northwest Territories
                            Suriname
                         Washington
                               Greece
                            Tasmania
                             Romania
               Argentina: Rio Negro
                             Namibia
                                  Chile
                     South Australia
                                Yukon
                    Argentina: Salta
                  Western Australia
                          Mauritania
                              Arizona
          Newfoundland & Labrador
                          Minnesota
                                Alaska
                  New South Wales
                               Poland
                      French Guiana
                                 Idaho
                Argentina: Neuquen
                  Northern Territory
                              Nevada
                                  Utah
                        New Mexico
                Dominican Republic
                            Michigan
                      Saskatchewan
                                Ghana
                               Victoria
                               Alberta
                              Norway
                        Burkina Faso
                           Wyoming
                          Greenland
                     New Brunswick
                              Guyana
                              Panama
                               Finland
                              Bulgaria
                                 Spain
                                 Niger
                              Sweden
                               Ireland
                             Morocco
                       New Zealand
                         Nova Scotia
                                     -10%    0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%    80%     90%    100%




24                                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Explanation of the figures

Figures 4 through 23                                        of each factor (see table 9). In most years, the split
                                                            was nearly exactly 60 percent mineral and 40 per-
Figures 4 and 5 show the percentage of respondents
                                                            cent policy. This year the answer was 58.65 percent
who say that “current” or “best practices” policy ei-
                                                            mineral potential and 41.35 percent policy. We
ther “encourages exploration investment” or is “not
                                                            maintained the precise 60/40 ratio in calculating
a deterrent to exploration investment” (a “1” or a “2”
                                                            this index to allow comparability with other years.
on the scale above; see also earlier discussion of the
calculation of these indexes).
                                                            The Policy Potential Index provides the data for
This differs from figures 7 through 23, which show          policy potential while the rankings from the “Best
the percentage of respondents who rate each policy          Practices” (figure 5), based on the percentage of re-
factor as a “mild deterrent to investment explora-          sponses for “Encourages Investment,” provide data
tion” or “strong deterrent to exploration invest-           on the policy component.
ment” or “would not pursue exploration investment
in this region due to this factor” (a “3”, “4,” or “5” on   To some extent, we have de-emphasized the impor-
the scale). Readers will find a breakdown of both           tance of the Composite Policy and Mineral Index in
negative and positive responses for all areas in the        recent years, moving it from the executive summary
appendix so they can make their own judgments in-           to the body of the report. We believe that our direct
dependent of the charts.                                    question on “current” mineral potential provides
                                                            the best measure of investment attractiveness (fig-
                                                            ure 4). This is partly because the 60/40 relationship
Figure 24: Composite Policy
                                                            is probably not stable at the extremes. For example,
and Mineral Index
                                                            extremely bad policy that would virtually confiscate
The Composite Policy and Mineral Index combines             all potential profits, or an environment that would
both the Policy Potential Index and results from the        expose workers and managers to high personal risk,
“best practices” question, which in effect ranks a ju-      would discourage mining activity regardless of min-
risdiction’s “pure” mineral potential, given best           eral potential. In this case, mineral potential, far
practices. This year, the index was weighted 60 per-        from having a 60 percent weight, might carry very
cent by mineral potential and 40 percent by policy.         little weight. Nonetheless, we believe the composite
These ratios are determined by a survey question            index provides some insights and have maintained
asking respondents to rate the relative importance          it for that reason.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                           25
Global survey rankings

The top                                                    The bottom
No nation scored first in all categories. Finland had      The 10 least attractive jurisdictions for investment
the highest Policy Potential Index score of 95.5.          based on the PPI rankings are, starting with the
Along with Finland, the top 10 ranked jurisdictions        worst, In do ne sia, Viet nam, Ven e zuela, DRC
are Sweden, Alberta, New Brunswick, Wyoming,               (Congo), Kyrgyzstan, Zimbabwe, Bolivia, Guate-
Ireland, Nevada, Yukon, Utah, and Norway. All              mala, Philippines, and Greece. All of these jurisdic-
were in the top 10 last year except for Utah and Nor-      tions were in the bottom 10 last year with the
way. Yukon was the first Canadian territory to make        exception of DRC (Congo), Greece, and Zimbabwe.
the top 10 in 2011/2012. Both Quebec and Sas-              Greece was a new ad di tion to the sur vey in
katchewan fell out of the top 10 in 2012/2013. Chile,      2012/2013.
which had previously been the only jurisdiction
outside North America consistently in the top 10           Both the DRC (Congo) and Zimbabwe dropped sig-
over the life of the survey, has continued to fall in      nificantly in the rankings this year, with DRC
the rankings—to 23rd place in this year’s survey.          (Congo) falling from 76th to 93rd, and Zimbabwe
Norway rose to 10th in the rankings from 24th in           from 74th to 91st. Honduras and India moved out of
2011/2012, and Sweden and Finland have now been            the bottom 10 in 2012/2013. Honduras’ ranking im-
in the top 10 for the last three and four years, respec-   proved from last spot (93rd) in 2011/2012 to 83rd,
tively.                                                    while India moved from 89th to 81st.




26                                                                               www.fraserinstitute.org
Global results

Canada                                                    score amongst Canadian jurisdictions, increasing
                                                          from 50.4 in 2011/2012 to 63.7 in 2012/2013. The
Canada’s average PPI score improved slightly in           Northwest Territories saw improvement in all pol-
2012/2013, but for the first time since 2006/2007, a      icy factors, most significantly in its legal system
Canadian jurisdiction did not rank first in the sur-      (23%); labour and skill availability (13%); and uncer-
vey. The highest ranked Canadian jurisdiction was         tainty concerning the administration, interpreta-
Alberta, which remained in 3rd place. Last year’s         tion, and enforcement of existing regulations (12%).
number one jurisdiction, New Brunswick, dropped
to 4th place.                                             Comments: Canada

Both Quebec and Saskatchewan dropped out of the           The comments in the following section have been
top 10 in 2012/2013. Saskatchewan had been in the         edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain
top 10 since 2008/2009 and dropped from 6th in            confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.
2011/2012 to 13th in 2012/2013 due to worsening
perceptions amongst respondents for uncertainty           Canada in general
over which areas will be protected as wilderness,
                                                          Canadian mining regulations and legislation are
parks, or archeological sites (-12%)1; the taxation re-
                                                          generally easy to operate under.
gime (-11%); and labour and skills availability
                                                          —A producer company with more than US$50M,
(-10%). Quebec had been in the top 10 since
                                                          Company president
2001/2002, but it dropped to 11th in 2012/2013 from
5th in 2011/2012 due to worsening perceptions             Ca na dian pro jects [are] tak ing years to wind
amongst respondents for political stability (-25%);       through regulatory processes in which every opinion
and uncertainty concerning the administration,            has the same validity regardless of how poorly in-
interpretation, and enforcement of existing regula-       formed. I am not sure that any province is immune
tions (-14%). Quebec was the top-ranked jurisdic-         from this nonsense.
tion in 2007/2008, 2008/2009, and 2009/2010.              —A consulting company, Manager

The PPI score for all of Canada’s territories—Yukon,      Constant back and forth in Canada [with] First Na-
Nunavut, and the Northwest Territories—contin-            tions trying to prove negative impacts of mining in
ued to improve in this year’s survey. In fact, for the    order to get contractual financial and other commit-
second year in a row, Yukon was among the top 10          ments from mining companies. We need to find our
jurisdictions. The Northwest Territories showed           way to a regulatory and cultural regime where First
the greatest year-to-year improvement in it its PPI       Nations can focus on holding companies to responsi-


1     Numbers in brackets refer to the difference in the percentage of respondents who responded that a
      particular policy factor “Encourages investment” between the 2011/2012 and 2012/2013 mining surveys.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         27
Figure 7: Uncertainty concerning the adminstration, interpretation,
                     and enforcement of existing regulations
                          Botswana
                             Sweden
                    New Brunswick
                         Greenland                                     Mild deterrent to investment
                     Saskatchewan
                                 Chile
                          Wyoming                                      Strong deterrent to investment
                              Alberta
                 Northern Territory                                    Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                              Finland
                        Nova Scotia
                             Norway
                            Morocco
                                 Utah
                               Turkey
                               Yukon
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                             Nevada
                              Ireland
                              Mexico
                    South Australia
                 Western Australia
                               Alaska
                         Mauritania
                       Burkina Faso
                            Namibia
                              Zambia
                             Guyana
                                 Brazil
               Dominican Republic
                               Serbia
                               Ghana
                             Arizona
                             Quebec
             Argentina: Catamarca
                      New Zealand
                           Manitoba
                   Argentina: Salta
                          Colombia
                             Ontario
              Northwest Territories
                            Nunavut
                                Idaho
                 New South Wales
                             Panama
                                  Peru
                                Spain
               Argentina: San Juan
                        Queensland
                  British Columbia
                             Bulgaria
                           Suriname
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                       New Mexico
                                  Mali
                Papua New Guinea
                              Victoria
               Argentina: Neuquen
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                           Tasmania
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                           Michigan
                            Tanzania
                Argentina: La Rioja
                            Vietnam
                                Niger
                        Kazakhstan
                               Russia
                     French Guiana
                              Poland
                           Colorado
                         Minnesota
                                 India
                       South Africa
                            Romania
                                China
                        Washington
                         Guatemala
                Argentina: Chubut
               Argentina: Mendoza
                              Greece
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                           Montana
                           Mongolia
                        Madagascar
                           California
                         Philippines
                          Honduras
                          Indonesia
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                             Ecuador
                                Egypt
                         Zimbabwe
                               Bolivia
                          Venezuela
                         Kyrgyzstan
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%       50%      60%      70%        80%   90%       100%



28                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
ble behaviour and opportunities for mutually bene-       British Columbia
ficial business relationships—not percentages of
projects (this includes a transparent and reliable ap-   I think that Canada and BC in general have a lot
proach to determining whether a First Nation             more potential for being the highest rated jurisdic-
should share in the royalty paid on minerals, not ne-    tions for mineral exploration, but politics (for the pur-
gotiating an additional financial payment).              pose of getting elected or re-elected) gets in the way of
—A producer company with more than US$50M,               making the right policies in exchange for votes.
Vice-president                                           —An exploration company, Vice-president

                                                         Dealing with the Ministry of Mines in BC via a phone
Canada’s federal/provincial regulatory duplicity,
                                                         call. Always polite. Always willing to go the extra
primarily EAs [Environmental Assessments], lends
                                                         mile to answer the question.
itself to detracting investment opportunities.
                                                         —An exploration company, Other senior manage-
—A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                         ment
Manager

                                                         Both exploration and development permit wait
Re-affirm that the province has real ownership and       times are unacceptable as they can range from 3
control of its land and mineral resources. Mining        months to 2 years in some cases. Recently a permit
companies are not sure who really owns the re-           application that had been sitting without release for
sources, therefore mineral claims or titles are becom-   referral to First Nations for 3 months was resolved,
ing meaningless.                                         but only with the intervention of the government
—An exploration company, Company president               minister. There is no consistency between how local
                                                         offices deal with referrals and no consistency with
I believe the federal courts have put provincial gov-    how they are issued. There is a general lack of com-
ernments in Canada in a near impossible situation        munication and commitment from BC government
by imposing the “duty to consult” requirements on        employees to service the public, although there are
the provinces without ensuring that the additional       notable exceptions.
rights given or upheld (depending on the perspec-        —An exploration company, Manager
tive) for First Nations people are balanced by giv-
ing the provinces an adequate mechanism to deal          Construction of the Northwest Transmission Line is
with how this affects their mining community             critical to unlocking billions in future revenue for the
(which is a pro vin cial ju ris dic tion). It is an      province of BC.
off-load ing and im po si tion of a re spon si bil ity   —A producer company with more than US$50M,
without the authority to balance exploration’s ba-       Manager
sic requirements of land access.
—An exploration company, Company president               Manitoba

Alberta                                                  Duty to consult needs to be streamlined and ade-
                                                         quately resourced.
Strong mining province, open for business.               —A producer company with less than US$50M,
—An exploration company, Company president               Other senior management




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          29
Figure 8: Uncertainty concerning environmental regulations

                          Botswana
                       Burkina Faso
                     Saskatchewan
                              Mexico                              Mild deterrent to investment
                              Zambia
                         Greenland                                Strong deterrent to investment
                                  Mali
                              Alberta
                          Wyoming                                 Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                                 Utah
                            Namibia
                             Guyana
                                 Chile
                    New Brunswick
                            Tanzania
                               Yukon
                               Ghana
                               Turkey
                               Serbia
                 Northern Territory
                                Niger
                              Finland
                            Morocco
                              Ireland
                             Nevada
                                Egypt
      Newfoundland and Labrador
                 Western Australia
                         Mauritania
                    South Australia
                                 Brazil
                             Quebec
                             Sweden
                             Ontario
                   Argentina: Salta
               Dominican Republic
                           Manitoba
                        Kazakhstan
                       South Africa
             Argentina: Catamarca
                           Suriname
                               Alaska
                                Spain
                           Mongolia
                        Nova Scotia
                                China
               Argentina: San Juan
                            Nunavut
                Papua New Guinea
                           Colombia
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                             Bulgaria
              Northwest Territories
                                  Peru
                             Norway
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                             Arizona
                             Panama
                               Russia
                     French Guiana
                        Madagascar
                        Queensland
                 New South Wales
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                         Kyrgyzstan
                Argentina: La Rioja
                       New Mexico
                            Vietnam
                                Idaho
                                 India
                         Zimbabwe
                            Romania
                          Indonesia
               Argentina: Neuquen
                  British Columbia
                      New Zealand
                               Bolivia
                         Philippines
                         Minnesota
                           Michigan
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                           Tasmania
                        Washington
                          Venezuela
                          Honduras
                              Poland
                           Montana
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                              Victoria
                           Colorado
                Argentina: Chubut
                         Guatemala
                             Ecuador
               Argentina: Mendoza
                           California
                              Greece
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%      80%     90%     100%



30                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Many firms in Manitoba have not been able to get         Northwest Territories
permits in anything approaching a timely man-
ner. This is true even for very low impact explora-      Too hard to get exploration permits on a predictable
tion activities.                                         schedule and without excessive and overly expensive
—A producer company with more than US$50M                early-stage community consultation.
                                                         —An exploration company, Manager

New Brunswick                                            Nunavut

                                                         Nunavut is a territory that is in many ways in con-
Land acquisition and permitting seems easy and
                                                         flict. It wants investment and then creates a bureau-
straight forward compared to most other jurisdictions.
                                                         cracy and commercial environment that is strongly
—Vertically integrated, Other senior management
                                                         negative towards any investment.
Provincial bureaucrats understand mining and key         —An exploration company, Vice-president
issues that need to be addressed through permitting
                                                         Ontario
and taxation policies.
—An exploration company, Company president               Government is pro-active, people are well educated,
                                                         indigenous people are consulted and cooperative,
                                                         and there is still plenty of mineral potential, particu-
Newfoundland and Labrador
                                                         larly in the far north.
                                                         —A consulting company, Other senior management
Policy change is needed to improve the overall gov-
ernment structure and the regulatory process—one         New legislation is creating uncertainty in dealing
unified process rather than two conflicting processes    with First Nations as each group has their own prior-
(Inuit vs. NL). A concerted effort is needed to create   ities when negotiating with mining companies.
and maintain fairness through a) better coordina-        We’re not opposed to sharing the wealth, but these
tion between Nunatsiavut and the province; b) Less       priorities need to be standardized through legisla-
“us vs. them” and exclusionary treatment of “outsid-     tion to remove the uncertainty for both parties and
ers”; c) local government needs to find well-informed    investment—i.e., First Nations should receive prede-
advisors with a recognized background in economic        termined Net Smelter Return %, ownership %, em-
development.                                             ployment %, or any combination thereof.
—An exploration company, Company president               —An exploration company, Chief Financial Officer

Newfoundland very likely has the best policies re-       Quebec
lated to claim staking and the ease/quickness of
staking, the highest land tenure & security possible,    The government has given municipalities and sur-
and also the best system known of acquiring histori-     face right owners absolute control over mineral de-
cal exploration data, all of it on-line and free for     velopment. One may own the mineral rights but not
downloading to anyone in the world. These policies       be able to explore or mine without paying what
are a major, 100% encouragement to explore and           amounts to pay-offs. A great system destroyed in or-
develop in Newfoundland-Labrador.                        der to garner votes.
—An exploration company, Company president               —An exploration company, Company president


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          31
Figure 9: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies

                          Botswana
                             Sweden
                     Saskatchewan
                                 Chile                                 Mild deterrent to investment
                         Greenland
                              Finland
                       Burkina Faso                                    Strong deterrent to investment
                            Namibia
                 Northern Territory
                    New Brunswick                                      Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                        Nova Scotia
                              Zambia
                             Norway
                               Yukon
                               Ghana
                 Western Australia
                    South Australia
                              Mexico
                              Alberta
                               Turkey
                             Guyana
                              Ireland
                          Wyoming
                              Nevada
      Newfoundland and Labrador
                            Morocco
                             Quebec
                                 Utah
                             Panama
                         Mauritania
                               Alaska
               Dominican Republic
                           Manitoba
                                 Brazil
                              Ontario
                     French Guiana
                               Serbia
                             Bulgaria
                                  Mali
                             Arizona
                           Colombia
                      New Zealand
                 New South Wales
                                Spain
                                Niger
              Northwest Territories
                           Suriname
                            Tanzania
                              Victoria
                                  Peru
                                Idaho
                Papua New Guinea
                        Queensland
                  British Columbia
                           Montana
             Argentina: Catamarca
                           Mongolia
                            Nunavut
                        Kazakhstan
                       New Mexico
                       South Africa
                   Argentina: Salta
                        Madagascar
               Argentina: San Juan
                              Poland
               Argentina: Neuquen
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                           Tasmania
                                China
              Argentina: Rio Negro
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                         Minnesota
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                            Romania
                        Washington
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                               Russia
                           Colorado
                               Bolivia
                                 India
                           Michigan
                         Philippines
                              Greece
                          Indonesia
                         Kyrgyzstan
               Argentina: Mendoza
                             Ecuador
                                Egypt
                           California
                Argentina: La Rioja
                         Zimbabwe
                         Guatemala
                Argentina: Chubut
                            Vietnam
                          Venezuela
                          Honduras
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%       50%      60%      70%        80%   90%       100%



32                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Everything that is done in Quebec is exemplary.            Saskatchewan
Skilled labour, government cooperation, strong First
Nations assistance, good resources, good infrastruc-       Progressive, mining friendly government, well regu-
ture, and a positive outlook.                              lated, balanced approach to protected lands, bal-
—An exploration company, Company president                 anced approach to First Nation Land issues, very
                                                           high mineral potential in a diversity of metals and
                                                           minerals, great access and infrastructure, political
Quebec already has in place aboriginal land claim          stability, regulatory certainty and consistency, and a
settlements in many areas and a clear and well doc-        populace who know what pays the bills.
umented set of mining regulations.                         —An exploration company, Company president
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                           Saskatchewan is one of the more straight forward ju-
I was impressed with the public consultation process       risdictions for obtaining an approved LUP [Land
managed by a branch of the ministry of environment         Use Plan]; not because it is easy and lacking in sub-
in Quebec. Transparent, available, and respectful of       stance, but because of the clarity in the requirements
timelines.                                                 from the operator plus it provides a one-stop-shop
—A producer company with more than US$50M,                 approach with direct communication with the land
Manager                                                    use administrator.
                                                           —An exploration company, Company president

Different environmental process and permitting             They have developed an effective mechanism for
rules in the same province. One portion of the prov-       consultation and issuing permits. They have a native
ince is covered by a First Nation agreement with the       coordinator with Saskatchewan Environment that
provincial government making it impossible to ob-          has trust and relationships with both aboriginal and
tain any kind of preliminary permits before the final      industry groups.
certificate of authorization is granted. In the same       —An exploration company, Vice-president
province, the same type of project can receive con-
struction permits while waiting to finalize the certifi-   Saskatchewan—a fixed work permit and regulatory
cate of authorization to open the mine. The end            environment; in other words, a transparent process.
result is that the same project will take at least 2       —An exploration company, Company president
years extra to open its mine and start mining.
—An exploration company, Company president                 Yukon

                                                           Yukon: the bands working with the miners to help
Quebec has dropped significantly over last 18 months       grow the economy.
with First Nations concerns, political risk, uncertain     —An exploration company, Investor relations
tax treatment, uncertain policies, negative on min-
ing, and negative changes to mining legislation.           Good mineral endowment and government just
—A producer company with less than US$50M,                 seems to work like one would hope it would.
Company president                                          —A consulting company, Consultant




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          33
Figure 10: Legal processes that are fair, transparent,
                          non-corrupt, timely, and efficiently administered
                  Northern Territory
                     New Brunswick
                           Wyoming
                              Sweden
                      Saskatchewan                                            Mild deterrent to investment
       Newfoundland and Labrador
                           Botswana
                                Yukon                                         Strong deterrent to investment
                               Alberta
                          Greenland                                           Would not invest due to this factor
                  Western Australia
                  New South Wales
                     South Australia
                               Finland
                              Norway
                               Ireland
                         Queensland
                       New Zealand
                               Victoria
                         Nova Scotia
                               Nevada
                               Ontario
                            Tasmania
                      French Guiana
                                  Utah
                                Alaska
                   British Columbia
                            Michigan
                                  Chile
                            Manitoba
                          Minnesota
                                 Idaho
               Northwest Territories
                              Quebec
                              Arizona
                             Nunavut
                             Namibia
                          Mauritania
                                Turkey
                            Montana
                        New Mexico
                            Colorado
                             Morocco
                                Ghana
                                 Spain
                               Mexico
                         Washington
                            Colombia
                              Guyana
                                   Peru
                    Argentina: Salta
                                Serbia
                               Zambia
                            California
                                  Brazil
                              Panama
                Dominican Republic
                               Poland
                        Burkina Faso
              Argentina: Catamarca
                                 Niger
                              Bulgaria
                Argentina: San Juan
                             Tanzania
                                   Mali
                            Suriname
                        South Africa
               Argentina: Rio Negro
                 Papua New Guinea
              Argentina: Santa Cruz
                             Romania
                Argentina: Neuquen
                         Madagascar
                    Argentina: Jujuy
                Argentina: Mendoza
                                Russia
                 Argentina: La Rioja
                          Philippines
                         Kazakhstan
                               Greece
                                 China
                 Argentina: Chubut
                                  India
                            Mongolia
                              Ecuador
                          Kyrgyzstan
                          Guatemala
                          Zimbabwe
                             Vietnam
                           Venezuela
                           Honduras
                   Guinea (Conakry)
 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                                Bolivia
                           Indonesia
                                 Egypt
                                           0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%       60%      70%       80%       90%   100%



34                                                                                      www.fraserinstitute.org
The United States

Although the USA’s average PPI score declined             United States in general
slightly in 2012/2013, it had three jurisdictions
ranked in the top 10: Wyoming (5), Nevada (7), and        There needs to be a classification just for the “United
Utah (10). Overall, US jurisdictions have improved        States.” While Alaska has great potential and the
their PPI scores over the last five years, with the ex-   state government is welcoming, the federal govern-
ception of top-ranked Ne vada and Wy oming,               ment exerts incredible control over Alaska and thus
which dropped slightly.                                   it’s difficult to rate it high, given the federal intrusion.
                                                          —A producer company with more than US$50M,
Minnesota and Michigan saw the largest declines in        Vice president
their scores and rankings in 2012/2013. However,
both had also moved up sig nif i cantly in the            Alaska
2011/2012 rankings. Minnesota fell from 22nd in
2011/2012 to 40th in 2012/2013 due to worsening           Supportive government, particularly in the central
perceptions amongst respondents for labour and            district where areas are specifically designated for
skills availability (-26%); and political stability       mineral resource development. Permit process is a
(-14%). Michigan fell from 23rd in 2011/2012 to 33rd      known quantity. Despite opposition in Southwest
in 2012/2013 due to wors en ing per cep tions             Alaska toward one project, the central district is the
amongst respondents for availability of labour and        best place to have a project for certainty, exploration
skills (-29%); the legal system (-18%); and the quality   potential and geo-political risk.
of the geological database (-14%).                        —An exploration company, Company president

Utah saw the greatest improvement in rankings             Alaska Land Claims Act. Unequivocally identifies
amongst US jurisdictions in 2012/2013, moving             native interest.
from 21st in 2011/2012 to 9th due to increased survey     —An exploration company, Company president
ratings for the quality of the geological database
(29%); taxation regime (22%); and regulatory dupli-       Arizona
cation and inconsistencies (12%). Alaska also im-
proved since last year’s sur vey—from 25 th in            Withdrawal of over one million acres of federal
2011/2012 to 19th in 2012/2013. The improvement           lands in northern Arizona in January 2012 to pre-
was due to increased survey ratings for availability      vent mining. The result was over 99% of valid claims
of labour and skills (13%); the quality of the geologi-   were closed to further exploration.
cal database (11%); and infrastructure (8%).              —A producer company with less than US$50M,
                                                          Other senior management
Comments: United States
                                                          California
The comments in the following section have been
edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain        In California, greenhouse gas regulations (cap and
confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.                 trade regulations) are being implemented. There is




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                              35
Figure 11: Taxation regime

                               Yukon
                              Alberta
                              Finland
                    New Brunswick
                                 Utah
                          Wyoming                                            Mild deterrent to investment
                               Alaska
                     Saskatchewan                                            Strong deterrent to investment
                          Botswana
                                 Chile                                       Would not invest due to this factor
              Northwest Territories
                              Ireland
                            Morocco
                              Nevada
                             Sweden
                                Idaho
                     French Guiana
                             Arizona
                         Greenland
                               Turkey
                              Mexico
                        Nova Scotia
                      New Zealand
      Newfoundland and Labrador
                              Ontario
                             Guyana
                           Colombia
                           Michigan
               Dominican Republic
                            Nunavut
                           Manitoba
                             Panama
                                Spain
                                  Peru
                  British Columbia
                       Burkina Faso
                               Ghana
                             Norway
                             Quebec
                              Victoria
                            Namibia
                           Colorado
                Papua New Guinea
                       New Mexico
                           Montana
                               Serbia
                        Washington
                             Bulgaria
                         Minnesota
                         Mauritania
                 Northern Territory
                              Zambia
                        Queensland
                 New South Wales
               Argentina: San Juan
                                  Mali
                 Western Australia
                           Tasmania
                                 Brazil
                   Argentina: Salta
                                Niger
                    South Australia
                        Kazakhstan
               Argentina: Neuquen
                          Indonesia
                           Suriname
             Argentina: Catamarca
                            Romania
                         Philippines
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                          Honduras
                        Madagascar
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                                China
                               Russia
                       South Africa
                                 India
                         Guatemala
                            Tanzania
                           California
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                            Vietnam
               Argentina: Mendoza
                         Kyrgyzstan
                              Poland
                              Greece
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                Argentina: Chubut
                Argentina: La Rioja
                                Egypt
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                             Ecuador
                           Mongolia
                               Bolivia
                         Zimbabwe
                          Venezuela
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%       60%      70%      80%        90%   100%



36                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
total confusion as to how the legislation will affect    Nevada
the mining industry, what the cost impacts will be,
and you cannot get any answers from the Califor-         In Nevada, the NEPA process has become relatively
nia Air Resources Board who are implementing             streamlined allowing companies to have some cer-
the legislation.                                         tainty of what the permitting process is and achiev-
—An exploration company, Company president               ing an outcome for a known cost and timeframe.
                                                         —An exploration company, Company president

Difficult land access, myriad environmental issues,      Good legal framework, tax regime stability at com-
hostile regulatory environment.                          petitive rates, good approval procedures.
—An exploration company, Company president               —A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                         Company president

Colorado
                                                         New Mexico
World class resources, but crippling regulations
                                                         New Mexico has turned around as a place to build
have clients not even considering investment.
                                                         uranium projects. It should be noted in your study
—An exploration company, Counsel
                                                         that the new government is strongly supportive of re-
                                                         source development.
Idaho                                                    —An exploration company, Company president


Good inter-agency coordination.                          Utah
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                         Streamlined permitting and review process.
                                                         —An exploration company, Senior management
Michigan
                                                         Washington
Straightforward, modern mining regulations were
put in place in 2007. The current governor is pro-jobs   Washington needs balanced public policy regarding
and pro-mining                                           mining and environmental concerns.
—An exploration company, Company president               —A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                         Manager

Minnesota                                                Wyoming

Need to streamline the environmental approval            Lower tax regime, government encourages mining,
process.                                                 little political downside.
—An exploration company, Company president               —A consulting company, Vice-president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                       37
Figure 12: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims

                         Greenland
                                 Utah
                          Wyoming
                             Sweden
                             Nevada                                          Mild deterrent to investment
                          Botswana
                             Norway
                              Ireland                                        Strong deterrent to investment
                              Finland
                                Idaho                                        Would not invest due to this factor
                                 Chile
                             Arizona
                                Spain
                           Colorado
                               Alaska
                    New Brunswick
                     French Guiana
                               Turkey
                           Michigan
                         Minnesota
                       Burkina Faso
                           Montana
                       New Mexico
                           California
                        Nova Scotia
                      New Zealand
                        Washington
                     Saskatchewan
                              Alberta
                            Namibia
                               Serbia
                        Queensland
                               Ghana
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                 Western Australia
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                            Nunavut
                                  Mali
                               Yukon
                            Morocco
                              Victoria
                 Northern Territory
                    South Australia
                 New South Wales
                         Mauritania
                             Quebec
             Argentina: Catamarca
               Dominican Republic
        Newfoundland & Labrador
               Argentina: San Juan
                                Niger
                           Tasmania
                   Argentina: Salta
              Northwest Territories
                           Colombia
                              Mexico
                              Zambia
                                 Brazil
                Argentina: Chubut
                             Guyana
               Argentina: Mendoza
                             Panama
                             Bulgaria
                                China
                           Manitoba
                        Kazakhstan
                             Ontario
                              Poland
                        Madagascar
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                                Egypt
                Argentina: La Rioja
               Argentina: Neuquen
                                 India
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                       South Africa
                           Mongolia
                            Tanzania
                                  Peru
                  British Columbia
                            Romania
                            Vietnam
                               Russia
                           Suriname
                             Ecuador
                         Kyrgyzstan
                          Indonesia
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                          Honduras
                         Philippines
                Papua New Guinea
                              Greece
                               Bolivia
                         Guatemala
                         Zimbabwe
                          Venezuela
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%      70%      80%      90%        100%



38                                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Australia and Oceania

The average PPI score for Australia is down slightly      Australia in general
from 2011/2012, although there has been an in-
creasing trend over the last five years. Western Aus-     Across Australia, political and regulatory panic is
tralia is the highest ranked Australian jurisdiction      seriously impacting the quality and timeliness of de-
with a rank of 15th and a PPI score of 79.3 in            cisions, and certainty about access to land is very
2012/2013. Victoria showed significant improve-           concerning. The “Twitter” factor is determining po-
ment in both its PPI and rank, moving from 44th in        litical attitudes and actions, and regulators are re-
2011/2012 to 24th in 2012/2013 due to improve-            acting to minimize the perceived “risk exposure” of
ments in ratings for political stability (38%); and the   their ministers.
legal system (16%).                                       —An exploration company, Company president

New Zealand has steadily improved both its PPI            New South Wales
score and rank ing over the last five years. In
2012/2013, its ranking rose slightly to 26th from         Stable, not corrupt, has technical potential, skilled
27th, with survey ratings improving most signifi-         labour force, not too green, and sensitive to how min-
cantly for political stability (18%); the legal system    ing assists remote development and usefulness of
(13%); and quality of the geological database (12%).      royalties. Pro-mining conservative government.
                                                          —A consulting company, Company president
Indonesia dropped in the rankings from 85th in
2011/2012 to 96th (of 96) in 2012/2013 due to wors-
                                                          Queensland
ening ratings amongst survey respondents for polit-
i cal sta bil ity (-6%); un cer tainty con cern ing
                                                          The introduction of new compensation agreements
environmental regulations (-6%); and uncertainty
                                                          for exploration drilling in the minerals sector has
concerning the administration, interpretation, or
                                                          been a disaster. Legal bills and compensation pay-
enforcement of existing regulations (-3%). Papua
                                                          ments are outrageous.
New Guinea also dropped—to 77th in 2012/2013
                                                          —An exploration company, Managing director
from 66th in 2011/2012—with lower survey ratings
for trade barriers (-15%); uncertainty regarding the
                                                          South Australia
administration, interpretation, or enforcement of
existing regulations (-11%); and political stability      You get a professional case officer to deal with your
(-6%). The Philippines remained at 88th (in the bot-      approvals and the regulators are willing to be en-
tom 10) for the second year in a row.                     gaged at the highest level and help, not hinder, your
                                                          proposals.
Comments: Australia and                                   —An exploration company, Vice-president
Oceania
                                                          Tasmania
The comments in the following section have been
edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain        Very green policies.
confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.                 —An exploration company, Company president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         39
Figure 13: Uncertainty concerning which areas will be protected
                  as wilderness areas, parks or archeological sites
                                Niger
                            Morocco
                       Burkina Faso
                                  Mali
                         Mauritania
                          Botswana
                            Namibia
                               Ghana                                         Mild deterrent to investment
                              Zambia
                  Guinea(Conakry)                                            Strong deterrent to investment
                        Kazakhstan
                          Wyoming
                             Sweden                                          Would not invest due to this factor
                              Ireland
                                 Chile
                            Tanzania
                                 Utah
                              Finland
                         Greenland
                              Mexico
                     Saskatchewan
                                China
                    New Brunswick
                                Egypt
                             Guyana
                                Spain
                             Nevada
                       South Africa
                 Western Australia
                Papua New Guinea
                               Turkey
                              Alberta
                             Norway
                    South Australia
             Argentina: Catamarca
                               Russia
                 Northern Territory
               Argentina: San Juan
                               Serbia
                   Argentina: Salta
                               Yukon
        Newfoundland & Labrador
               Dominican Republic
                         Minnesota
                 New South Wales
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                                  Peru
                     French Guiana
                         Kyrgyzstan
                                Idaho
                             Panama
                           Michigan
                               Alaska
                           Mongolia
                             Bulgaria
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                       New Mexico
                              Victoria
                                 Brazil
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                        Nova Scotia
                      New Zealand
                             Quebec
                            Vietnam
                              Poland
                           Suriname
                        Queensland
                         Guatemala
                        Washington
                           Manitoba
                         Zimbabwe
                            Nunavut
                             Arizona
                           Colombia
                        Madagascar
                           Montana
                Argentina: Chubut
              Argentina: Rio Negro
              Northwest Territories
               Argentina: Neuquen
                             Ontario
                Argentina: La Rioja
               Argentina: Mendoza
                         Philippines
                           Tasmania
                          Indonesia
                              Greece
                            Romania
                               Bolivia
                           Colorado
                          Honduras
                                 India
                  British Columbia
                             Ecuador
                           California
                          Venezuela
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%    60%      70%      80%         90%    100%



40                                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Victoria                                                    uncertainty over foreign ownership laws, mandatory
                                                            downstream processing requirements (implemented
Difficult regulatory regime which increases explora-        without industry consultation), a ban on export of
tion ex penses and in creases de ci sion-mak ing            raw commodities, corruption, poor governance […],
timeframes.                                                 unfair and unworkable forestry restrictions and im-
—An exploration company, Managing director/ CEO             pediments […], lack of confidence in the judiciary
                                                            (mainly through corruption, but incompetence also),
Western Australia                                           the rise in resource nationalism, etc. Although 70%
                                                            of all investment comes from foreign capital, recent
Western Australia should have everything going for
                                                            policy changes have either knowingly or unwittingly
it, but its permitting processes are now more costly
                                                            resulted in the marginalization of foreign investors.
than actual exploration on the ground, are slow, and
                                                            —A producer company with less than US$50M,
the reg u la tors woe fully un der manned and
                                                            Vice-president
underfunded. In exploration and development, time
is money and imposing 60-day (some agencies) or 45
                                                            New Zealand
working day approval window does not work, espe-
cially when the first feedback typically comes in 2 or      Risk-based approach to permitting. Easy and local
3 days before the deadline...                               councils have all the regulatory power without having
—An exploration company, Vice-president                     to jump through hoops with different regulators.
                                                            —A producer company with more than US$50M,
Clear guidelines, rules, and regulations. Prompt gov-
                                                            Vice-president
ernment response.
—An exploration company, Managing director                  Quick issuing of permits (within 40 or so days) to
                                                            carry out exploration in New Zealand.
Indonesia                                                   —An exploration company, Manager

The degree of corruption and the uncertainties re-
                                                            Papua New Guinea
garding engagement of local stakeholders and shift-
ing environmental regulations make this one of the          Political instability.
most risky destinations for investment. The number          —A producer company with more than US$50M,
of horror stories continues to grow.                        Manager
—An exploration company, Vice-president
                                                            No legislative or regional stability.
Forestry permits are purposely delayed and used as a        —A consulting company, Company president
means to either extort huge grease money or wait out
an exploration to force it to abandon a viable project in   Philippines
order to be picked up by a domestic company owned by
army generals or the political/economic elite.              Recent Executive Order and required pending legis-
—An exploration company, Manager                            lation creates massive uncertainty for companies in-
                                                            volved in exploration and final design stages of
As a relative change measure, Indonesia has gone            mining development.
backwards more than any country due to ongoing              —Other, Vice-president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          41
Figure 14: Infrastructure (includes access to roads, power availability, etc)

                                 Utah
                              Ireland
                    New Brunswick
                           Michigan
                             Nevada                                          Mild deterrent to investment
                         Minnesota
                              Finland
                             Norway                                          Strong deterrent to investment
                             Arizona
                          Wyoming                                            Would not invest due to this factor
                        Nova Scotia
                              Alberta
                                Idaho
                             Sweden
                               Turkey
                        Washington
                           Montana
                           California
                      New Zealand
                             Bulgaria
                           Colorado
                       New Mexico
                 New South Wales
                              Victoria
                                Spain
                             Quebec
                 Western Australia
                              Ontario
                     Saskatchewan
                        Queensland
                              Mexico
                           Tasmania
                 Northern Territory
                    South Australia
                               Serbia
               Argentina: Mendoza
                           Manitoba
                              Poland
                              Greece
                   Argentina: Salta
                  British Columbia
                            Namibia
                            Morocco
               Argentina: San Juan
                                 Chile
                          Botswana
               Dominican Republic
                            Romania
                   Argentina: Jujuy
             Argentina: Catamarca
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                       South Africa
                                Egypt
         Newfoundland & Labrador
                                  Peru
                               Ghana
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                             Panama
                              Zambia
               Argentina: Neuquen
                        Kazakhstan
                Argentina: Chubut
                Argentina: La Rioja
                                 Brazil
                               Yukon
                                China
                           Colombia
              Northwest Territories
                               Alaska
                               Russia
                                 India
                            Tanzania
                         Kyrgyzstan
                       Burkina Faso
                         Zimbabwe
                          Honduras
                         Guatemala
                     French Guiana
                            Vietnam
                        Madagascar
                             Ecuador
                          Venezuela
                          Indonesia
                         Greenland
                                  Mali
                                Niger
                            Nunavut
                         Mauritania
                               Bolivia
                           Suriname
                         Philippines
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                             Guyana
                           Mongolia
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                Papua New Guinea
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%      60%      70%       80%        90%   100%



42                                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Africa

The average PPI score for Africa is down from             tainty con cern ing the ad min is tra tion,
2011/2012, continuing a declining trend over the          interpretation, or enforcement of existing regula-
last five years. Botswana is the bright spot in Africa.   tions (11%).
It is the highest ranked jurisdiction on the continent
(17th) and has improved its PPI score over the last       Comments: Africa
five years.
                                                          The comments in the following section have been
Mali saw the largest decline in its rank in 2012/2013,
                                                          edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain
falling from 42nd to 79th. Mali dropped on nearly
                                                          confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.
every policy factor, but most significantly in its sur-
vey ratings for uncertainty concerning environ-
                                                          Africa in general
mental regulations (-29%); uncertainty concerning
the administration, interpretation, or enforcement        Resource nationalism in Africa is a major concern.
of existing regulations (-28%); and taxation regime       Corruption needs to be controlled. Governments
(-23%). Mali also dropped in security (-12%) and po-      have to be more pro-active towards Investors. Trans-
litical stability (-14%), although both factors were      parency is a must and could be a strong motivator for
already rated very low in the 2011/2012 survey.           investors.
Madagascar also fell in the rankings from 59th in         —A producer company with more than US$50M,
2011/2012 to 85th in 2012/2013 due to worsening           Company president
perceptions amongst respondents for uncertainty
concerning what areas will be protected as wilder-        Botswana
ness, parks, or archaeological sites (-23%); uncer-
tainty con cern ing en vi ron men tal reg u la tions      Can get work done. Reasonable approval process.
(-21%); and uncertainty concerning the adminis-           Not excessive regulations. Clearly pro-mining cul-
tration, interpretation, or enforcement of existing       ture. Honest civil servants.
regulations (-16%); although it did improve signifi-      —A producer company with more than US$50M,
cantly on its rating for trade barriers (15%).            Manager

Mauritania saw the largest improvement in Africa          Favourable attitude of government, fair social and
in both PPI and rankings; it moved up to 36th in          environmental approach, fair taxation and no
2012/2013 from 52nd in 2011/2012 due to improve-          added requirements, and government is increas-
ments in the ratings for regulatory duplication and       ingly investing in assets such as infrastructure and
inconsistencies (19%); quality of the geological da-      education.
tabase (17%); legal system (17%); and uncertainty         —An exploration company, Manager
concerning what areas will be protected as wilder-
ness, parks or archeological sites (17%). Namibia         Burkina Faso
also recovered to 30th in 2012/2013 after dropping
to 45th in 2011/2012. Its improved ratings were for       The country recognizes the contribution to the econ-
uncertainty concerning disputed land claims (18%);        omy that mining brings and they have great need.
availability of labour and skills (13%); and uncer-       Permitting risk is very low and the time it takes from


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         43
Figure 15: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions

                           Wyoming
                             Norway
                              Finland
                              Nevada
                                 Utah
                             Sweden
                              Alberta                                  Mild deterrent to investment
                              Arizona
                         Nova Scotia
                              Ireland                                  Strong deterrent to investment
                        New Mexico
                                Idaho
                     Saskatchewan                                      Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                    New Brunswick
                            Michigan
                        Washington
                    South Australia
                 New South Wales
                 Western Australia
                                Spain
                              Victoria
                                 Chile
                          Minnesota
                            Montana
                 Northern Territory
                               Yukon
                           California
                       New Zealand
                        Queensland
                           Manitoba
         Newfoundland & Labrador
                           Tasmania
                               Alaska
                               Turkey
                             Quebec
                            Colorado
                              Ontario
                              Poland
                           Botswana
                   British Columbia
                             Namibia
                              Mexico
                               Serbia
                             Bulgaria
                               Russia
                     French Guiana
             Argentina: Catamarca
                          Greenland
                           Colombia
                              Guyana
               Dominican Republic
                                 Brazil
                          Mauritania
               Argentina: San Juan
                               Ghana
              Northwest Territories
                   Argentina: Salta
                              Zambia
                                 India
                                China
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                             Panama
               Argentina: Mendoza
                            Nunavut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                            Morocco
               Argentina: Neuquen
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                         Kazakhstan
                            Tanzania
                                  Mali
                             Vietnam
                        South Africa
                        Madagascar
                Argentina: La Rioja
                        Burkina Faso
                           Mongolia
                                Niger
                           Suriname
                                Egypt
                            Romania
                           Indonesia
                                  Peru
                              Greece
                Argentina: Chubut
                           Honduras
                Papua New Guinea
                         Philippines
                          Kyrgyzstan
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                          Guatemala
                          Zimbabwe
                          Venezuela
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                             Ecuador
                               Bolivia
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%      50%      60%      70%         80%   90%       100%



44                                                                                       www.fraserinstitute.org
discovery to development can be half that in most       constrained within law. The future is uncertain. Lo-
countries.                                              cal comment: “it’s under control.”
—An exploration company, Company president              —A consulting company, Consultant

Attractive mining code and stable legal system.         The latest mining code is grossly unbalanced toward
—A producer company with more than US$50M,              the government and of pure political nature.
Founder and vice-chairman                               —An exploration company, Shareholder


Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)                      Madagascar

Corrupt beyond description and, from a mining           Great mineral assets, highly corrupt government,
point of view, a shambles in each and every conceiv-    and unstable policies and application thereof.
able respect.                                           —A producer company with more than US$50M,
—A producer company with more than US$50M,              Company president
Company president
                                                        Mali
Egypt
                                                        First-in-time applications are being rejected in fa-
Lack of transparency, lack of modern/reasonable         vour of other applicants due to corrupt payments by
mining code.                                            other applicants.
—An exploration company, Vice president                 —An exploration company, Director

Uncertainty of tenure.                                  High tax, high import duty, and after-effects from
—An exploration company, Company president              the recent coup. Uncertainty about the Northern
                                                        part of Mali and how it will affect the whole of Mali.
Ghana                                                   —A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                        Former president
Second largest producer in Africa with a small popu-
lation that depends on mining revenues. Large min-      Mauritania
ing corporations have made sure title laws are strong
and in place and maintained. There are minerals         Openness and flexibility by the government of Mau-
everywhere and due to a number of socio-political       ritania. They are keen to attract foreign investment
circumstances, many opportunities still exist. As       in the resource sector and are sincere in their desire
long as you create employment in the field, tradi-      to create a world-class mining regime.
tional leaders will back you and they have the final    —A producer company with more than US$50M,
say on the land.                                        Vice-president
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                        Morocco
Guinea (Conakry)
                                                        Professional people with good will... in one word: easy.
Guinea Conakry: licences were issued then trans-        —A producer company with more than US$50M,
ferred to a third party. Transfer methodology is not    Manager



     2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          45
Figure 16: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers,
                 restrictions on profit repatriation, currency restrictions, etc.
                               Yukon
                                Idaho
                 New South Wales
                              Finland
                    New Brunswick
                              Victoria                             Mild deterrent to investment
                           Colorado
                           Tasmania
                        Nova Scotia                                Strong deterrent to investment
                                 Utah
                        Queensland
                           Michigan                                Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                             Ontario
                             Nevada
                             Sweden
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                           California
              Northwest Territories
                          Wyoming
                     Saskatchewan
                               Alaska
                           Manitoba
                              Ireland
                  British Columbia
                           Montana
                         Greenland
                                Spain
                              Alberta
                 Northern Territory
                             Arizona
                        Washington
                             Norway
                 Western Australia
                            Nunavut
                      New Zealand
                               Turkey
                         Minnesota
                                 Chile
                    South Australia
                          Botswana
                       New Mexico
                             Quebec
                             Bulgaria
                     French Guiana
                             Panama
                              Mexico
                            Morocco
                           Colombia
                             Guyana
               Dominican Republic
                              Poland
                                  Peru
                            Namibia
                               Ghana
                              Greece
                              Zambia
                         Mauritania
                       Burkina Faso
                            Romania
                               Serbia
                                  Mali
                            Tanzania
                Papua New Guinea
                          Honduras
                                 Brazil
                        Madagascar
                        Kazakhstan
                       South Africa
                         Guatemala
                         Kyrgyzstan
                         Philippines
                                Niger
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                           Suriname
                             Ecuador
                                 India
                               Russia
                          Indonesia
                           Mongolia
                                China
                            Vietnam
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
               Argentina: Mendoza
               Argentina: San Juan
                                Egypt
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                         Zimbabwe
                               Bolivia
             Argentina: Catamarca
                   Argentina: Salta
                          Venezuela
               Argentina: Neuquen
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                Argentina: Chubut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                Argentina: La Rioja
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%       80%     90%     100%



46                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Namibia                                                   Tanzania

Namibia: mineral resources data is provided at rel-       Government’s increased involvement in mining
atively low cost to industry participants. This creates   projects.
a junior-senior company level playing field thus en-      —An exploration company, Vice-president
couraging investment. Well done!
—A consulting company, Consultant
                                                          Zambia
Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) rules, the
uranium moratorium, and moves by the govern-              Environmental approval process in Zambia: No
ment to change mining law are toxic to new explo-         duplication—a properly constructed and submit-
ration investment.                                        ted EMP/EIS [Environmental Management Plan/
—An exploration company, Company president                Environmental Impact Statement] approved in
                                                          statutory time.
                                                          —An exploration company, Company president
Niger

Lack of stability.                                        Zambia: imposing a long moratorium and other
—A consulting company, Company president                  delays, then penalizing investors for running out of
                                                          time.
South Africa                                              —An exploration company, Executive director

Strikes, demonstrations, military killing workers.
—An exploration company, Vice-president                   Zimbabwe

Country with an unworkable political structure.           Zimbabwe: unofficial government policy is you will
—An exploration company, Company president                never expatriate profits. Black empowerment and
                                                          political uncertainty make large or long-term invest-
Both South Africa and Zimbabwe are driving social         ment impossible; no rights of ownership, no rights to
experiments not driven by logic and economy, but by       enter required professionals, corruption is high, bor-
ide ol ogy. In the ab sence of rea son, pri mary          der restrictions—unstable future.
industries be come the cash cows to fund the              —A producer company with less than US$50M,
un-fundable. The rise of oligarchs in both countries      Company president
evidences decline.
—An exploration company, Vice-president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         47
Figure 17: Political stability
                    New Brunswick
                     Saskatchewan
                              Finland
                          Botswana
                         Greenland
                 Northern Territory                               Mild deterrent to investment
                      New Zealand
                              Victoria
                               Yukon                              Strong deterrent to investment
                 Western Australia
                              Alberta
      Newfoundland and Labrador                                   Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                        Nova Scotia
                    South Australia
                          Wyoming
                             Norway
                             Nevada
                             Arizona
                           Manitoba
                               Alaska
                             Sweden
                                 Utah
                              Ireland
                       New Mexico
                                Idaho
                            Nunavut
                     French Guiana
                           Tasmania
                             Ontario
                 New South Wales
                        Queensland
                               Turkey
                                 Chile
              Northwest Territories
                            Morocco
                           Michigan
                            Namibia
               Dominican Republic
                           Montana
                             Bulgaria
                         Minnesota
                           Colorado
                              Poland
                               Ghana
                            Vietnam
                                 Brazil
                                 India
                             Quebec
                              Mexico
                  British Columbia
                        Washington
                                China
                                Spain
                              Zambia
                            Tanzania
                             Panama
                          Colombia
                           California
                             Guyana
                               Serbia
                               Russia
             Argentina: Catamarca
                                  Peru
               Argentina: San Juan
                         Mauritania
                        Kazakhstan
               Argentina: Neuquen
                   Argentina: Salta
                       Burkina Faso
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                            Romania
                          Indonesia
               Argentina: Mendoza
                           Suriname
                Argentina: Chubut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                       South Africa
                         Philippines
                Argentina: La Rioja
                             Ecuador
                         Kyrgyzstan
                Papua New Guinea
                        Madagascar
                              Greece
                                Niger
                                  Mali
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                           Mongolia
                          Venezuela
                          Honduras
                         Guatemala
                  Guinea(Conakry)
                               Bolivia
                         Zimbabwe
                                Egypt
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%      80%     90%     100%



48                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Argentina, Latin America, and the Caribbean Basin

The average PPI score for Argentina improved sig-        or enforcement of existing regulations (21%); and
nificantly in 2012/2013, with all jurisdictions except   socioeconomic agreements/community develop-
Santa Cruz improving. Rio Negro had the largest          ment conditions (10%), although it also dropped
rank ing im prove ment, mov ing from 69 th in            notably in its rating for labour regulations/employ-
2011/2012 to 41st in 2012/2013 due to improved rat-      ment agreements and labour militancy/work dis-
ings for the quality of the geological database (29%);   ruptions (-10%). Honduras recovered in 2012/2013
socioeconomic agreements/community develop-              to 83rd after dropping to the bottom spot (93rd of 93
ment conditions (24%); and uncertainty concerning        jurisdictions) in 2011/2012 with modest improve-
disputed land claims (24%). Catamarca and Salta          ments in most policy areas including uncertainty
also im proved rank ings sig nif i cantly be tween       concerning disputed land claims (6%) and trade
2011/2012 and 2012/2013, with Catamarca moving           barriers (6%).
from 61st to 43rd, and Salta from 55th in to 38th.

The average PPI score for the rest of Latin America
                                                         Comments on Argentina, Latin
and the Caribbean Basin also improved in the last
                                                         America, and the Caribbean
year, in large part due to the addition of French Gui-   Basin
ana to the survey in 2012/2013 and its PPI score of
                                                         The comments in the following section have been
64.6 (ranking it 27th).
                                                         edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain
Chile remains the top-ranked jurisdiction in Latin       confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.
America although its ranking dropped again in
2012/2013 to 23rd (Chile was a top-10 jurisdiction       Argentina in general
from 2007/2008 to 2010/2011) due to worsening
perceptions amongst survey respondents for its le-       The battles between the national and provincial
gal system (-15%); regulatory duplication and in-        governments in Argentina at the present time exac-
consistencies (-14%); and uncertainty regarding the      erbate the difficulty of operating any business in the
administration, interpretation, or enforcement of        country, and are especially difficult for mining,
existing regulations (-14%). Guyana dropped most         which depends on free trade, the ability to repatriate
significantly in the ratings—from 53rd in 2011/2012      income from massive capital investments, and ac-
to 67th in 2012/2013—due to decreased ratings for        cess to competitive labor, services, and supplies.
labour regulations/employment agreements and la-         —A producer company with more than US$50M,
bour militancy/work disruptions (-25%); uncer-           Senior management
tainty concerning disputed land claims (-22%); and
uncertainty concerning environmental regulations         In the last three years Argentina has gone from being
(-17%).                                                  a place that welcomed mining investment and pro-
                                                         tected it to one where “nothing is certain,” other than
Panama recovered in the 2012/2013 rankings to            the country’s and province’s desires to take an
63rd after dropping to 82nd in 2011/2012. It im-         ever-increasing amount of the investment return. In-
proved its ratings for trade barriers (25%); uncer-      flation, currency controls, union activism, changing
tainty regarding the administration, interpretation,     laws, corruption, and an unwillingness to acknowl-


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         49
Figure 18: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and
                              labour militancy or work disruptions
                     Saskatchewan
                               Yukon
                         Greenland
                                 Utah
                          Wyoming
                              Finland                              Mild deterrent to investment
                    New Brunswick
                                Idaho                              Strong deterrent to investment
                              Alberta
                             Nevada
                             Sweden                                Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                          Botswana
                               Alaska
                             Arizona
                           Manitoba
                             Norway
                            Nunavut
              Northwest Territories
                           Montana
                       New Mexico
                             Guyana
                        Nova Scotia
                           Michigan
                           Colorado
                               Turkey
                      New Zealand
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                             Ontario
                              Ireland
                         Minnesota
                               Ghana
                            Morocco
                               Serbia
                        Washington
                             Quebec
                     French Guiana
                            Namibia
                       Burkina Faso
                 Northern Territory
                            Vietnam
                         Mauritania
                  British Columbia
               Dominican Republic
                                 Chile
                             Bulgaria
                 Western Australia
                        Queensland
                          Colombia
                                China
                              Mexico
                             Panama
                           California
             Argentina: Catamarca
                               Russia
                    South Australia
                                Spain
                              Zambia
                Papua New Guinea
                           Tasmania
                              Victoria
                           Mongolia
               Argentina: San Juan
                            Tanzania
                 New South Wales
                           Suriname
                            Romania
                                 Brazil
                                  Mali
                         Philippines
                   Argentina: Salta
                              Poland
                        Madagascar
                         Guatemala
                                Niger
                          Indonesia
                        Kazakhstan
                                  Peru
                  Guinea (Conakry)
              Argentina: Rio Negro
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
               Argentina: Neuquen
                Argentina: La Rioja
                                 India
                         Kyrgyzstan
               Argentina: Mendoza
                          Honduras
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                Argentina: Chubut
                              Greece
                         Zimbabwe
                             Ecuador
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                       South Africa
                          Venezuela
                                Egypt
                               Bolivia
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%       80%    90%      100%



 50                                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
edge the negative aspects of the changes has made       Salta
Argentina one of the most difficult places to invest
and in fact has plummeted [it] from “desirable” to      The government and the locals are mining friendly.
“not a chance at the moment,” even though the min-      —An exploration company, Manager
eral endowment is largely untapped and the eco-
nomic benefits to the poorest regions of the country    Santa Cruz
could be enormous.
                                                        Corrupt, unstable political environment, nationalistic.
—A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                        —A producer company with more than US$50M,
Company president
                                                        Consultant

Confiscatory tax regimes in Argentina, threats of ex-
                                                        Latin America in general
propriation, corruption at all levels of government.
—An exploration company, Consultant                     Honduras, El Salvador, and Ecuador need clear
                                                        mining law and secure land tenure.
Catamarca                                               —An exploration company, Company president

The provincial government supports mining in line       In general, the countries with good mineral potential
with the national government and according to the       but the worst policies (Venezuela, Zimbabwe, vari-
Mining Investment Law. The miniscule anti-min-          ous Argentina provinces, Ecuador, Honduras, El
ing opposition is not an impediment to mining de-       Salvador) need new pro-private enterprise regimes.
vel op ment. We have strong sup port from the           —A producer company with more than US$50M,
national, provincial, and municipal governments.        Senior management
[translated]
—An exploration company, Company president              Bolivia

                                                        Bolivia is a nightmare... confusion at all levels. Pol-
Chubut
                                                        icy being developed but no realism as to what it
                                                        should be.
The current debacle unfolding in Chubut over the
                                                        —An exploration company, Manager
new proposed mining law has been devastating.
Promised changes to allow open pit mining in the
                                                        Bolivia—reverse the nationalization policies and
Messeta Central were supposed to open the door to a
                                                        move back toward an open free market economy.
floodgate of new investment, but misguided drafters
                                                        —A producer company with less than US$50M,
attached extremely punitive new tax and royalty
                                                        Vice-president
clauses to the legislation, stalling projects and
throwing the province into uncertainty.
                                                        Chile
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                        Chile has been the least risky place to invest in min-
Mendoza                                                 ing because it completely embraces mining, the rules
                                                        and regulations are clear, the rule of law is strong,
Legislation “against mining” in Mendoza province.       [there is a] low rate of corruption, the time from dis-
—Other (Academia), Study coordinator                    covery to development is the shortest I know, [there


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                        51
Figure 19: Geological database
       (includes quality and scale of maps, ease of access to information, etc.)
                              Finland
                 New South Wales
                  British Columbia
                     Saskatchewan                                  Mild deterrent to investment
                    New Brunswick
                               Yukon
                        Queensland                                 Strong deterrent to investment
                    South Australia
                         Greenland                                 Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                 Western Australia
                          Wyoming
                 Northern Territory
         Newfoundland & Labrador
                              Ontario
                             Quebec
                                 Utah
                              Ireland
                           Manitoba
                              Alberta
                              Nevada
                           Tasmania
                        Nova Scotia
                           Colorado
                             Sweden
                               Alaska
                      New Zealand
                              Victoria
                       New Mexico
              Northwest Territories
                           Montana
                             Arizona
                                Idaho
                             Norway
                            Nunavut
                     French Guiana
                                Spain
                         Minnesota
                           California
                              Mexico
                        Washington
                                 Chile
                       South Africa
                          Botswana
                                  Peru
                               Turkey
               Dominican Republic
                                 Brazil
                            Namibia
             Argentina: Catamarca
                               Russia
                           Michigan
               Argentina: San Juan
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                   Argentina: Salta
               Argentina: Neuquen
                               Serbia
                               Ghana
                              Greece
                                 India
                            Morocco
                Argentina: La Rioja
                              Zambia
                Papua New Guinea
                              Poland
                             Bulgaria
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                         Mauritania
               Argentina: Mendoza
                            Romania
                           Colombia
                        Kazakhstan
                           Mongolia
                            Tanzania
                Argentina: Chubut
                       Burkina Faso
                          Indonesia
                         Kyrgyzstan
                         Philippines
                          Honduras
                             Guyana
                         Guatemala
                        Madagascar
                                Egypt
                                Niger
                             Panama
                             Ecuador
                                  Mali
                                China
                         Zimbabwe
                            Vietnam
                               Bolivia
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                           Suriname
                          Venezuela
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%       80%    90%      100%



52                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
are] clear-cut environmental requirements, an            French Guiana
availability of talent, access to capital, and great
security.                                                Previous company had an advanced exploration
—Development company, Company president                  project which was cancelled by French government
                                                         after they had spent many millions in exploration
Chile: revoked EIS [Environmental Impact State-          and environmental monitoring. It appeared the
ment] approval after it was approved based on lack       French government had no intention of allowing
of indigenous people consultation as per ILO169          large-scale mining for the site but continued to allow
[C169—Indigenous and Tribal Peoples Convention]          exploration.
when the country itself does not officially recognize    —An exploration company, Senior management
pertinent peoples as indigenous.
—A producer company with more than US$50M,               Guatemala
Senior management
                                                         The direct allocation of a portion of the royalty reve-
Colombia                                                 nue generated by a mine to the municipality or re-
                                                         gion in which the mine operates—as provided by
Colombia: Attempting to get permit to work on lands      Guatemala’s mining law—ensures that the eco-
in “Pacific Forest Zone” that were all clear-cut in      nomic benefits of mining are shared with the local
1940s. Government agency biologists, zoologists, etc.    population.
are totally supportive and all studies have been posi-   —A producer company with more than US$50M,
tive but administrator refuses to sign order for more    Other senior management
than a year because he is afraid that the NGOs will
not be happy with action.                                Corruption, unstable governments, large impact of
—An exploration company, Company president               NGOs and religious leaders.
                                                         —An exploration company, Company president
Ecuador
                                                         Guyana
Ecuador: We now have environmental, mining, and
social laws, and tax regulations (the institutions for   Guyana: multiple claim holders registered to 1
control and regulation of activity).                     claim caused by administrative laxity.
—A consulting company, Company president                 —Other, Contract coordinator

Government is unable to support consistent mineral       In Guyana, with the granting of the prospecting
use policies and ownership.                              licence, environmental permits for any exploration
—An exploration company, CFO                             related matter are also included.
                                                         —An exploration company, Manager
Dominican Republic
                                                         Mexico
Open door in the Dominican Republic for invest-
ment in mining.                                          Long mining history, NAFTA, strong track record of
—A producer company with more than US$50M,               mines being developed, no royalty, reasonable tax
Consultant                                               regime, decent infrastructure, reasonable time to


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                         53
Figure 20: Security (includes physical security due to
           the threat of attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.)
                           Michigan
                                Idaho
                      New Zealand
                         Greenland
                              Finland
                               Yukon                               Mild deterrent to investment
                            Nunavut
                        Nova Scotia                                Strong deterrent to investment
                    New Brunswick
                              Victoria
                    South Australia                                Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                        Queensland
                 Northern Territory
                 New South Wales
                  British Columbia
                             Nevada
                     Saskatchewan
                              Alberta
                 Western Australia
                           Montana
                               Alaska
                             Quebec
                           Colorado
                             Sweden
                         Minnesota
                             Ontario
                           Tasmania
                          Wyoming
                                 Utah
                        Washington
        Newfoundland & Labrador
              Northwest Territories
                             Norway
                          Botswana
                              Poland
                           California
                             Arizona
                           Manitoba
                              Ireland
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                Argentina: La Rioja
                                 Chile
                       New Mexico
                                Spain
               Argentina: Neuquen
             Argentina: Catamarca
                            Namibia
                             Bulgaria
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                     French Guiana
               Argentina: San Juan
               Argentina: Mendoza
               Dominican Republic
                               Ghana
                Argentina: Chubut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                   Argentina: Salta
                              Zambia
                            Vietnam
                           Mongolia
                               Turkey
                                China
                               Serbia
                             Panama
                                 Brazil
                            Romania
                            Morocco
                         Mauritania
                        Madagascar
                             Guyana
                              Greece
                        Kazakhstan
                               Russia
                            Tanzania
                                 India
                         Kyrgyzstan
                       Burkina Faso
                                  Peru
                             Ecuador
                           Suriname
                          Indonesia
                       South Africa
                               Bolivia
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                         Zimbabwe
                                Egypt
                           Colombia
                              Mexico
                                  Mali
                          Venezuela
                          Honduras
                         Philippines
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                Papua New Guinea
                         Guatemala
                                Niger
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%      60%      70%       80%     90%     100%


54                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
permit, wide variety of productive geologic environ-       When applying for drill permits in Peru with all re-
ments, good labor force, skilled engineers (no need for    quirements completed, the permit is issued in due
ex-pats long term), support at state and federal lev-      course and within the indicated time frame. It is
els for mining. Local problems in the south can deter      worth congratulating the competent authorities for
investment.                                                the diligent and professional handling of the process!
—An exploration company, Company president                 —An exploration company, Company president

After we discovered multiple, very rich and large          New royalty structure in Peru based on operating
mineral resources in a Mexican state, we were tar-         margins.
geted by very powerful groups. This is still ongoing, so   —An exploration company, Company president
I will not name names. These groups hired Mexican
and Canadian anti-mining groups to target one of           Suriname
our operations. They began an extortion campaign
against us and we received no help from the state          One of my companies spent 13 years investing in gold
government. These groups tried desperately to drive        exploration in Suriname. I am a patient and persis-
us out of the state.                                       tent investor, but we finally pulled out in 2007. The
—An exploration company, Company president                 government effectively confiscated our main prop-
                                                           erty even though it was effectively our partner! My
Panama                                                     opin ion in a nut shell is that I would not go
                                                           back. Even though the country has good mineral po-
Corruption, unforeseen future title problems. Suc-         tential, the government is corrupt; there is no rule of
cess attracts political and security problems.             law, and little infrastructure.
—A consulting company, Company president                   —A producer company with more than US$50M,
                                                           Senior management
Peru
                                                           Venezuela
Peru has an excellent (and automated) land ten-
ure system.                                                Expropriations/confiscations in Venezuela.
—An exploration company, Vice-president                    —An exploration company, Company president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                           55
Figure 21: Supply of labor/skills
                              Finland
                        Nova Scotia
                             Sweden
                    New Brunswick                                   Mild deterrent to investment
                                 Utah
                             Nevada
                          Wyoming                                   Strong deterrent to investment
                             Ontario
                             Victoria
                                Spain                               Would not pursue investment due to this factor
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                                Idaho
                           Montana
                           Colorado
                             Arizona
                  British Columbia
                             Quebec
                              Ireland
                             Bulgaria
                               Alaska
                               Serbia
                         Minnesota
                     Saskatchewan
                           Manitoba
                       New Mexico
               Argentina: Neuquen
                              Poland
                 New South Wales
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                    South Australia
                           Michigan
                        Washington
                        Queensland
                 Northern Territory
                               Yukon
                               Turkey
                      New Zealand
             Argentina: Catamarca
                             Norway
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                               Russia
                                 Chile
                           Tasmania
                 Western Australia
                           California
                                  Peru
                                 Brazil
                            Morocco
                              Mexico
                              Alberta
                Argentina: La Rioja
               Argentina: San Juan
                     French Guiana
              Northwest Territories
                                China
               Argentina: Mendoza
                   Argentina: Salta
                               Ghana
                                 India
                        Kazakhstan
                            Vietnam
                            Romania
                             Panama
                            Nunavut
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                         Greenland
               Dominican Republic
                       South Africa
                           Colombia
                            Namibia
                              Zambia
                         Philippines
                         Kyrgyzstan
                          Indonesia
                            Tanzania
                          Botswana
                Argentina: Chubut
                              Greece
                                Niger
                         Mauritania
                             Guyana
                               Bolivia
                                Egypt
                                  Mali
                           Mongolia
                         Zimbabwe
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                       Burkina Faso
                Papua New Guinea
                        Madagascar
                          Honduras
                             Ecuador
                         Guatemala
                           Suriname
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                          Venezuela
                                          0%     10%   20%   30%   40%     50%      60%      70%      80%      90%   100%



56                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Eurasia

The average PPI score for Eurasia did not change           concerning which areas will be protected as wilder-
significantly in 2012/2013. Greece was added to the        ness, parks, or archeological sites (-9%).
survey and ranked 87th (in the bottom 10). Serbia
was also added and ranked 52nd in the 2012/2013
                                                           Comments on Eurasia
survey. Nordic countries performed very well in the
survey holding three of the top 10 jurisdictions: Fin-     China
land (1), Sweden (2), Norway (10). Greenland
ranked 14th.                                               Our company is being forced by local governments in
                                                           China to sell its mining operation to a local operator
                                                           without a competitive process in place and the desig-
Norway had the most significant improvement in
                                                           nated buyer will not pay fair market value for the as-
its PPI score and ranking, moving up to 10th in
                                                           sets and resources. This will create a local monopoly
2012/2013 from 24th in 2011/2012 due to improved
                                                           and potentially cause risk from various safety per-
ratings for its taxation regime (36%); political stabil-
                                                           spectives to our employees.
ity (22%); and infrastructure (17%). Turkey also im-
                                                           —An exploration company, Company president
proved from 60th in 2011/2012 to 53rd in 2012/2013
with improved survey ratings for availability of la-
                                                           Uncertainty going forward regarding consistency of
bour and skills (20%); trade barriers (18%); and level
                                                           mining policy, mining rights, taxation, and royalties.
of security (16%). India, too, moved up in the rank-
                                                           —A producer company with more than US$50M,
ings from 89th in 2011/2012 (in the bottom 10) to
                                                           Senior management
81st in 2012/2012, although the ratings on individ-
ual factors were mixed, with improved ratings in
                                                           Finland
many areas, most significantly political stability
(20%), tempered by a notable drop in ratings for un-       Changes in the new mining law, and under-staffing
certainty concerning environmental regulations             of the permitting team in government, has seen the
(-10%).                                                    claim applications process for mineral exploration
                                                           go from a six-month approval time in 2006 to an av-
Po land dropped in the rank ings from 46 th in             erage of 4 years. This means it takes four years from
2011/2012 to 57th in 2012/2013 with lower ratings          identifying your target and applying for the claim
for infrastructure (-24%); uncertainty concerning          before you can drill. The mining lease approval
disputed land claims (-15%); and legal system (-15%),      waiting list is now over four years. It is really holding
while also showing improvements in ratings for the         up the process.
level of security (20%) and availability of labour and     —A producer company with less than US$50M,
skills (18%). China had the most significant drop in       Company president
its PPI score and ranking, falling from 58th in
2011/2012 to 72nd in 2012/2013, due to worsening           No unnecessary regulations and a government that
perceptions amongst survey respondents for the             supports mining and clears away obstructions.
level of security (-19%); uncertainty concerning en-       —A producer company with more than US$50M,
vironmental regulations (-13%); and uncertainty            Vice-president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                            57
Figure 22: Corruption

                                Idaho
                      New Zealand
                         Greenland
                     French Guiana
                              Finland                              Mild deterrent to investment
                        Nova Scotia
                    New Brunswick                                  Strong deterrent to investment
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                     Saskatchewan
                        Queensland                                 Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                             Sweden
                  British Columbia
                    South Australia
                              Alberta
                               Yukon
                 Western Australia
                          Wyoming
                             Arizona
                 Northern Territory
                               Alaska
                             Norway
                              Victoria
                                 Utah
                 New South Wales
                             Nevada
                         Minnesota
                              Ireland
                           Colorado
                            Nunavut
                             Ontario
                           Manitoba
              Northwest Territories
                           Michigan
                           Tasmania
                           Montana
                           California
                       New Mexico
                        Washington
                                 Chile
                             Quebec
                          Botswana
                                Spain
                              Poland
                               Turkey
                            Namibia
                            Morocco
                         Mauritania
               Argentina: Neuquen
              Argentina: Rio Negro
             Argentina: Catamarca
                               Ghana
                       Burkina Faso
                                  Peru
                          Colombia
                   Argentina: Salta
                                 Brazil
               Argentina: San Juan
               Dominican Republic
                Argentina: La Rioja
                              Zambia
                             Guyana
                                Niger
               Argentina: Mendoza
                                China
                Argentina: Chubut
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                              Greece
                             Panama
                              Mexico
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                           Suriname
                       South Africa
                             Bulgaria
                               Russia
                            Tanzania
                Papua New Guinea
                                  Mali
                             Ecuador
                            Vietnam
                           Mongolia
                               Serbia
                        Kazakhstan
                            Romania
                        Madagascar
                         Philippines
                         Zimbabwe
                               Bolivia
                                 India
                          Venezuela
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                          Indonesia
                          Honduras
                         Kyrgyzstan
                         Guatemala
                                Egypt
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                                          0%   10%     20%   30%   40%     50%      60%      70%      80%     90%   100%



58                                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Greenland                                                Stable, transparent governments.
                                                         —An exploration company, Company president
The mining act is transparent in Greenland... Easy
to understand and follow.                                Kazakhstan
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                         Kazakhstan: high level of corruption.
                                                         —A consulting company, Company president
Our experience shows that there is a will to put mines
into production. There are no royalties, no aboriginal   Kyrgyzstan
land claims, and a one-door policy to get approvals
from exploration through exploitation. The govern-       Corrupt, inconsistent and random policy changes.
ment benefits through corporate and employer taxes,      —An exploration company, Company president
which encourages mine production.
—An exploration company, Company president               Kyrgyzstan: demand for free participation in project
                                                         by relatives of the then President.
Greece                                                   —An exploration company, Company president

                                                         Mongolia
Economic uncertainty; inconsistent mining regulation.
—A consulting company, Vice-president                    Incessant changes to relevant laws as a kneejerk re-
                                                         action to specific instances and its desire to re-open
Many stalled gold projects over last 30 years.           existing agreements made in good faith.
—An exploration company, manager                         —An exploration company, Vice-president

India                                                    Illegal expropriation of assets in Mongolia.
                                                         —A for mer de vel op ment com pany, Com pany
Uncertain regulations, corrupt system, poor infra-       president
structure.
                                                         Poland
—Mining equipment distributor, Vice-president
                                                         Most of the country of Poland is protected due to wild-
India has enormous monazite resources; however, it       life, nature, forests (more than 30%). The most diffi-
does not allow the private sector the opportunity to     cult problem caused is the implementation of
exploit this mineral. Because it contains thorium,       restricted areas—so-called Natura 2000—in each of
monazite is reserved for the exclusive use of the gov-   the EU countries. There is restriction under EU juris-
ernment.                                                 diction and every change for mining purposes often
—An exploration company, Chairman & CEO                  requires a decision from Brussels. Our Polish execu-
                                                         tives are able to decide, but are so scared that they do
Ireland                                                  not take the risk to make any decision in that problem
                                                         area. Sometimes very important deposits cannot be
Online information database and application pro-         exploited due to the nature restriction, although there
cess in Ireland.                                         is sometimes really nothing worth being protected.
—An exploration company, Company president               This problem is especially difficult in Polish lignite



2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          59
Figure 23: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty
                                   in mining policy and implementation
                        Nova Scotia
                    New Brunswick
                             Sweden
                     Saskatchewan
                         Greenland                                 Mild deterrent to investment
                             Norway
                          Botswana
        Newfoundland & Labrador                                    Strong deterrent to investment
                              Alberta
                              Finland
                              Ireland                              Would not pursue investment due to this factor
                      New Zealand
                                 Utah
                               Yukon
                          Wyoming
                             Nevada
                                 Chile
                               Turkey
                           Michigan
                            Nunavut
              Northwest Territories
                 Northern Territory
                             Arizona
                 Western Australia
                              Poland
                               Alaska
                                Idaho
                             Ontario
                           Manitoba
                       New Mexico
                    South Australia
                     French Guiana
                                 Brazil
               Dominican Republic
                         Minnesota
                             Panama
                                Spain
                            Namibia
                            Morocco
                               Serbia
                 New South Wales
                        Queensland
                           Montana
                              Mexico
                             Guyana
                               Ghana
                             Bulgaria
                          Colombia
                              Victoria
                  British Columbia
                             Quebec
                           Colorado
                                 India
                        Washington
                           Tasmania
               Argentina: Neuquen
                              Zambia
                         Mauritania
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                   Argentina: Salta
             Argentina: Catamarca
               Argentina: San Juan
                            Tanzania
                       Burkina Faso
                                  Peru
                           California
                                China
                Argentina: La Rioja
                            Romania
                         Guatemala
               Argentina: Mendoza
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                              Greece
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                               Russia
                           Suriname
                        Kazakhstan
                            Vietnam
                Argentina: Chubut
                                Niger
                Papua New Guinea
                        Madagascar
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                       South Africa
                           Mongolia
                          Honduras
                          Indonesia
                                  Mali
                         Philippines
                          Venezuela
                             Ecuador
                         Kyrgyzstan
                         Zimbabwe
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                               Bolivia
                                Egypt
                                          0%   10%   20%   30%   40%    50%     60%      70%        80%    90%      100%



60                                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
open cast mines. There is also a problem with outer      the one-year tenure, renewable annually. The pro-
dumping of overburden in European lignite mines.         cess proceeded successfully and fairly.
—A producer company with more than US$50M,               —An exploration company, Company president
Manager
                                                         Spain
In Poland, a mining company (or any other investor)
is not the owner of the geological information it pro-   Spain: Impossible to open anything even if the crisis
duces. The state is the owner of the information and     is destroying the country.
may sell the information to any other company. There     —A producer company with more than US$50M,
is also no preference in granting en exploitation        Manager
licence to a company holding an exploration permit.
—Academia, Researcher                                    Sweden

Romania                                                  No hurdles, investment friendly, proactive. No cor-
                                                         ruption. Obvious law, clear processes, and regula-
Clear procedures that remove politics from the envi-     tions. Winner. No time wasting.
ronmental permitting process would make develop-         —An exploration company, Vice-president
ment of mines practical.
—A consulting company, Manager                           Mining culture and history, trained workforce, ex-
                                                         ceptional infrastructure, good regulatory processes,
Russia                                                   underexplored, known world class mineral deposits.
                                                         —An exploration company, Company president
Russian policy is to review all applications within 90
days with 10 days for a company response to ques-        Vietnam
tions/issues and a yes/no decision within two weeks.
In many respects, their environmental requirements       Mining Law 2010 passed after a consultation period
are stricter than in Canada (e.g., dry-stacked gold      with various interest groups who participated in the
tailings in some jurisdictions).                         feedback process. The result is that the Ministry of
—A consulting company, Manager                           Natural Resource and Environment (MONRE) has
                                                         struggled to make sense of the regulation to enable it
A joint venture agreement was completely ignored         to pass the enabling provisions, therefore no new in-
and the deposit sold to a third party who only reim-     vestment in any mine of scale since the legislation
bursed 50% of our investment after threats of litiga-    was passed has occurred.
tion in The Hague. Courts and litigation in Russia       —An exploration company, Company president
were laughable.
—An exploration company, Company president               Endemic corruption, highest taxes and royalties in
                                                         the world, unskilled workforce, political ineptitude,
Serbia                                                   and a constantly shifting and overly complex regula-
                                                         tory framework.
Serbia has modernized its mining law. Companies          —A producer company with more than US$50M,
had to re-apply for new three-year rights rather than    Senior management




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                        61
Figure 24: Composite policy and mineral potential
                               Yukon
                              Finland
                             Nevada
                             Sweden
                 Western Australia
                          Wyoming
                               Alaska
                     Saskatchewan
                             Ontario
                             Quebec
                         Greenland
                          Botswana
                    New Brunswick
                                 Chile
                                 Utah
                    South Australia
        Newfoundland & Labrador
                              Alberta
                           Manitoba
                                 NWT
                  British Columbia
                 Northern Territory
                        Queensland
                            Nunavut
                             Norway
                             Arizona
                              Mexico
                               Turkey
                              Ireland
                            Namibia
                               Serbia
                                Idaho
                           Colorado
                Papua New Guinea
                           Montana
                           Mongolia
             Argentina: Catamarca
                        Nova Scotia
                          Colombia
                                  Peru
               Argentina: San Juan
                         Mauritania
                                 Brazil
                               Ghana
                      New Zealand
                         Minnesota
                   Argentina: Salta
                              Zambia
                 New South Wales
                           Michigan
                       New Mexico
                            Tanzania
                       Burkina Faso
                          Indonesia
                               Russia
                              Victoria
                         Philippines
             Argentina: Santa Cruz
                                 India
              Argentina: Rio Negro
                           Tasmania
                        Kazakhstan
                   Argentina: Jujuy
                           California
                     French Guiana
                        Kyrgyzstan
                       South Africa
                                Spain
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
                                China
                             Guyana
                            Morocco
                                Egypt
              Argentina: Neuquen
                        Washington
              Argentina: Mendoza
                Argentina: La Rioja
              Dominican Republic
                        Madagascar
                            Vietnam
                             Bulgaria
                           Suriname
                             Ecuador
                Argentina: Chubut
                             Panama
                                  Mali
                              Poland
                  Guinea (Conakry)
                         Zimbabwe
                               Bolivia
                                Niger
                          Venezuela
                         Guatemala
                            Romania
                          Honduras
                              Greece
                                          0   10   20   30   40   50   60       70      80      90    100


62                                                                          www.fraserinstitute.org
What miners are saying

The comments in the following section have been        Profit-based taxes versus net royalties.
edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain     —An exploration company, Company president
confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.
                                                       Publishing mineral licences database on the internet
                                                       for all to see what licences are due to expire.
Good policy is…
                                                       —An exploration company, Manager

Any jurisdiction that allows a company or individ-
ual to keep mineral dispositions in good standing by
carrying out the appropriate amount of exploration
                                                       Horror stories
and development work.
                                                       Ontario: Uncertainty over native rights and land
—Vertically integrated, Senior management
                                                       claims.
                                                       —An exploration company, Company president
Government interactions with mining chamber or
other operators’ representative body before changes
                                                       Ontario off-loading native consultation/accommo-
are made.
                                                       dation to the mining and exploration communities
—A development company, Company president
                                                       when the Supreme Court of Canada has clearly de-
                                                       fined this process as a provincial responsibility re:
Tax on transfer of mining right not valued on direct
                                                       minerals.
profit, but based on valuation, at tax department’s
                                                       —A producer company with more than US$50M,
discretion.
                                                       Vice-president
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                       Constant pressure from NGOs in Central and South
Case management of proposed mining projects being      American countries taking valuable focus away
handled by one regulatory agency, with a dedicated     from operations and into providing proof of false al-
case manager for each project being appointed to as-   legations against mining companies.
sist the proponent in going through the approvals      —A producer company with more than US$50M,
process.                                               Manager
—An exploration company, Manager
                                                       Soil sample grid in Zimbabwe was noticed by locals
Fairness and law and order.                            who thought the flagging marking the soil sample
—An exploration company, Company president             sites denoted the presence of gold. Local miners
                                                       swarmed in, devastated the grid site with hand exca-
Streamline mine permitting process, particularly       vations to 10 meters deep and the Zimbabwe govern-
the timeline.                                          ment did nothing to stop the rape and pillage of what
—A producer company with more than US$50M,             turned out to be a geochemically dead grid.
Manager                                                —A consulting company, Company president




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                     63
Quebec government wants to give a veto on mining to      Endless “community consultation” in Northwest
municipalities, even those that grew over mines in       Territories for early-stage exploration. The even-
historically recognized mining camps! This opens up      tual cost of consultation exceeded the exploration
great opportunities for “brown envelopes” and cor-       budget.
ruption to local mayors!!!                               —An exploration company, Company president
—An exploration company, Company president
                                                         The system for claim appeal in the province of Que-
Finland has gone from issuing mining exploration         bec. It can take up to 4 years to conclude a decision
claims within a week in 2007 to taking 3+ years to is-   over a single, simple issue.
sue mining exploration claims. This is an impossible     —An exploration company, Company president
environment for junior mining exploration compa-
nies to work in!                                         Indonesia: Approved mining right taken and given to
—An exploration company, Company president               a third party, with no consultation.
                                                         —A consulting company, Vice-president
Bolivian expropriation of mining assets.
—An exploration company, Vice-president




64                                                                             www.fraserinstitute.org
Investment patterns

Total exploration budgets for 2012 were US$6.2 bil-     We asked miners whether they thought that the
lion. Exploration budgets had increased from 2011,      prices of these commodities over the next two years
when exploration budgets were US$5.4 billion (fig-      would increase by over 50 percent, between 20 per-
ures 25a and b).                                        cent and 50 percent, under 10 percent (in other
                                                        words, stagnant prices just above or below the rate
Over the last five years (2007-2012), just over half
                                                        of inflation), or decline (see figure 26).
(51.3%) of respondents increased their exploration
expenditures (see table 4). Exploration investment      ·   86.4% of respondents thought diamond prices
was led by producer companies with more than                would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
US$50M revenue, where almost 80% of respon-                 the next two years
dents reported increased exploration expenditures.
By contrast, only 34.4% of producer companies with      ·   83.8% of respondents thought coal prices would
less than US$50M revenue increased their explora-           increase by 10% or less, or decline over the next
tion expenditure, while 40.6% decreased expendi-            two years
ture. Investments by exploration companies also         ·   82.7% of respondents thought nickel prices
diverged, with 46.5% increasing investment, 38.1%           would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
decreasing investment, and 15.4% leaving their in-          the next two years
vestments unchanged between 2007 and 2012.
                                                        ·   81.5% of respondents thought zinc prices would
Only 46% of respondents plan to increase their ex-          increase by 10% or less, or decline over the next
ploration budgets in 2013; down from 68% in 2012            two years
and 82% in 2011 (see table 5). Producer companies
with less than US$50M led the way, with 66.7% an-       ·   74.2% of respondents thought potash prices
ticipating an increased exploration budget in 2013.         would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
This was followed by exploration companies, where           the next two years
52.7% anticipated an increase in their exploration      ·   73.7% of respondents thought copper prices
budget. Only 36.6% of producer companies with more          would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
than US$50M and 25% of consulting companies ex-             the next two years
pect to increase their exploration budgets in 2013.
                                                        ·   64.3% of respondents thought platinum prices
Commodity prices                                            would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
                                                            the next two years
Miners continue to be pessimistic about future
commodity prices; more than half of the survey re-      Projections for gold and silver prices were more
spondents expect small increases (less than 10%) or     positive. While 53.4% of respondents thought silver
reduced prices for diamonds, coal, nickel, zinc, cop-   prices would increase by 10% or less, or decline over
per, potash, platinum, and silver over the next two     the next two years, others were more positive. 41.5%
years (see table 6). For a majority of respondents,     of respondents expected prices to increase by
only gold was expected to increase in value by more     20-50% and 5.2% expected price increases of more
than 20% over the next two years.                       than 50% over the next two years.


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                      65
Figure 25a: Exploration budget by                             Figure 25b: Exploration budget by
        company type ($US), 2011*                                     company type in $US, 2012
Total = US$5.4 billion*
                                                 Exploration
                                                                                                                     Exploration
                                                  company:
                                                                                                                      company:
                                                $1,773,722,625
                                                                                                                    $1,650,883,617




                                                                                                                        Other:
                                                                                                                     $170,079,000
                                                      Other:
                                                   $192,725,000                                                      Producer
  A producer                                                                                                     company with less
company with                                      Producer           Producer                                      than US$50M:
  more than                                    company with       company with                                     $136,485,000
   US$50M:                                        less than         more than
$3,314,463,307                                    US$50M:            US$50M:
                                                                                                Total = US$6.2 billion
                                                $110,080,000      $4,286,069,823


*Note: This is the total from the responses given to the 2012
survey; the number differs from the figures in last year’s re-
port because a different group of miners responded to the
survey this year.




  Table 4: Has your total (worldwide)                                   Table 5: Do you anticipate your
  exploration expenditure increased,                                   exploration budget will increase
 decreased, or remained the same over                                              in 2013?
 the five-year period from 2007-2012?                               All respondents
All Responses                   Increased                302                           Yes                               275
                                Decreased                174                               No                            320
                              Unchanged                  113        Exploration Companies
Exploration Companies           Increased                160                           Yes                               183
                                Decreased                131                               No                            164
                              Unchanged                   53
                                                                    A producer company with less than US$50M
A producer company              Increased                 11                           Yes                               22
with less than US$50M           Decreased                 13                               No                            11
                              Unchanged                    8
                                                                    A producer company with more than US$50M revenue
A producer company              Increased                 98
                                                                                       Yes                               45
with more than US$50M           Decreased                 13
revenue                                                                                    No                            78
                              Unchanged                   12
                                                                    A consulting company
A consulting company            Increased                 18
                                                                                       Yes                               13
                                Decreased                 11
                                                                                           No                            39
                              Unchanged                   23
                                                                    Other
Other                           Increased                 15
                                                                                       Yes                               12
                                Decreased                  6
                                                                                       No                                28
                              Unchanged                   17



66                                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Figure 26: Do you believe that for the following minerals,
                                prices over the next two years will:

70%                                                                        Increase by more than 50%   Increase by 20-50%

                                                                           Increase by 10% or less     Decline
60%



50%



40%



30%



20%



10%



0%
      Cu (Copper)   Ag (Silver)   Zn (Zinc)   Au (Gold)   Ni (Nickel)   PGM (Platinum)    Diamonds       Coal         Potash




Gold price projections were the most positive. Only             what optimistic in the long term, with 48% expect-
38.8% thought gold prices would either increase by              ing prices to rise by up to 15%, 19% expecting prices
10% or less, or decline over the next two years;                to rise by 15-30%, and 17% expecting stable prices
53.4% thought they would increase by 20% to 50%,                over the next 10 years (see figure 27).
while 7.7% expected increases of more than 50%.
                                                                Finally, respondents were also asked about their
Given the positive price expectations for gold, it is
                                                                agreement with the statement, “many in the mining
unsurprising that gold continues to be the com-
                                                                industry believe the industry now has great diffi-
modity assigned the largest proportion of the bud-
                                                                culty raising funds compared to two years ago.” Of
gets of survey respondents (see table 7). Gold was
                                                                those who responded, 60% agreed strongly with this
assigned the largest proportion of the budget for
                                                                statement, 31% agreed somewhat, and only 9% dis-
49% of those responding to the question, followed
                                                                agreed somewhat or strongly. Of those who agreed
by copper (17%), and silver (6%).
                                                                with the statement, nearly 80% believed the diffi-
For the first time in our survey, respondents were              culty raising funds was due to investors being wor-
asked whether, despite recent price uncertainty,                ried about the state of the world economy, 52%
they believed that commodity prices would con-                  believed that investors are risk averse and see min-
tinue to rise in real terms (inflation adjusted) over           ing as risky, and 36% thought that investors are wor-
the long term (over 10 years). Miners appear some-              ried that costs in mining are rising (see figure 28).




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                                           67
Table 6: Do you believe that for the following minerals,
                                     prices over the next two years will:

                                                     increase by                    increase by               increase by                 Decline
                                                    more than 50%                     20-50%                  10% or less
Cu (Copper)                                                       9                      141                         346                         75

Ag (Silver)                                                      29                      231                         241                         56

Zn (Zinc)                                                         8                        90                        331                       100

Au (Gold)                                                        46                      318                         187                         44

Ni (Nickel)                                                       6                        84                        317                       112

PGM (Platinum)                                                   12                      170                         270                         59

Diamonds                                                          4                        65                        278                       162

Coal                                                              4                        80                        251                       183

Potash                                                            5                      126                         280                         97




 Figure 27: Despite recent price uncertainty, do you believe that commodity prices
     will continue to rise in real terms (inflation adjusted) over the long term—
                               say, over the next 10 years?
60%



50%



40%



30%



20%



10%



 0%
         No, prices will fall by   No, they will fall but They will remain stable    Yes, they will rise by    Yes, they will rise by   Yes, they will rise by
           more than 15%            by less than 15%      over the next 10 years        up to 15%                    15-30%                  over 30%




68                                                                                                               www.fraserinstitute.org
What miners are saying about investment patterns

The comments in the following section have been             The move towards yield in the resource sector shows
edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain          a lack of investor understanding in the space [of
confidentiality, and to clarify meanings.                   mining] as a growth investment rather than a yield
                                                            investment.
                                                            —A producer company with more than US$50M,
Market concerns…                                            Company president

With companies trading at a fraction of the value of        Exploration/mining are not generating returns com-
their assets, it is obvious that the market is not work-    mensurate with risk because governments, commu-
ing properly right now. We can only hope that com-          nities, and workers are gaining a larger piece of the
mon sense brings things back to clarity.                    pie—combined with higher levels of regulation
—An exploration company, Company president                  which adds cost and time—that render this business
                                                            less than appealing.
The political climate relative to mining has deterio-       —A producer company with more than US$50M,
rated almost globally over the last 5 years as govern-      Manager
ments, particularly in South America, have inserted
themselves more and more into the economic and              The investment model for junior miners is broken.
regulatory framework—on an ad-hoc basis. The in-            The costs of doing business and the regulatory re-
vestment climate has also deteriorated during the           quirements have risen dramatically over the last de-
same period as miners have failed to deliver the full       cade and the difficulty of exploration juniors to
benefits of the commodity price boom, partially due         attract funding is at an all-time low.
to our own lack of discipline and partially for under-      —An exploration company, Company president
estimating the impacts of government.
—A producer company with more than US$50M,                  Only a few stock exchanges are suitable for listing ex-
Company president                                           ploration company stocks. The TSX and LSE are the
                                                            two largest and both have regulations suitable for
Overall, the mining industry tends to destroy capital,      speculative exploration. The failure to allow the
so it is only when the wind is at our back, (i.e., rising   merger between these two exchanges has deprived
commodity prices and an increased appetite for risk)        Canadian explorers, and non-Canadians listing on
that money flows freely into mining exploration.            the TSX, of access to a much larger pool of liquidity
—An exploration company, Company president                  than is currently available.
                                                            —A consulting company, Consultant
The current risk-averse climate, especially towards
junior exploration companies, is a major concern to         Until we have a fundamental change in the way that
the sector’s future ability to finance, explore, dis-       decision-makers for investments in mining are re-
cover, and develop new resources. Measured & Indi-          munerated, i.e., those that reside in the investment
cated (M&I) ounces in good jurisdictions valued at          banks and fund management companies, we will not
<$5/oz. in a $1,700 gold price environment is testa-        see a change in the investment going to the riskier end
ment to that.                                               of the market that needs the cash, i.e., the juniors that
—An exploration company, Company president                  guarantee the future replacement for the mid-caps


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                             69
Figure 28: If you agree miners are having difficulty raising funds, is this because:
90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

 0%
        Investors believe   Investors are worried    Investors are risk    Investors are worried       Investors are       Other
      commodity prices will about the state of the    averse and see        that costs in mining     concerned about
      be weak for sometime     world economy          mining as risky             are rising           the impact of
                                                                                                   resource nationalism




and the majors of continuously depleting resource                         nies. Some of the potential rewards that investors
bases. You cannot remunerate people on a quarterly                        normally expect are being stripped by the issuance of
performance for a stock that is involved in a                             derivatives in the market or by discounting of share
long-term development business. It is the most ridic-                     values through sale of flow-through shares, etc.
ulous contradiction that exists. The structural read-                     —An exploration company, Company president
justment seen in the retail banking sector needs to
flow through to the negative value adding invest-                         As long as the world economy is weak and uncertain,
ment banking and fund management sector.                                  investors will not speculate in exploration ventures.
—A consulting company, Company president                                  —An exploration company, Chairman & CEO

The investment climate is simply hinging on the back
of Chinese growth, which in part is linked to Euro-                       Current market conditions
pean and US recovery and a return to fully function-
ing consumerism. Until the latter occurs, there will                      Investors are worried about management’s ability to
be ongoing uncertainty in commodities.                                    deliver projects on time and budget.
—A producer company with more than US$50M,                                —Development company, Company president
Manager
                                                                          Funds are available for good quality advanced pro-
The investment industry is now backing investment                         jects. Funds are difficult to source for junior explora-
in gold and precious metals directly and through                          tion companies.
ETFs rather than in mining and exploration compa-                         —An exploration company, Managing director



70                                                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Table 7: What commodity is assigned the                                     Table 8: Who responded
     largest proportion of your budget?                                             to the survey?

Mineral                           Percent            Number
                                                                          Whom do you REPRESENT?
Au (Gold)                             49%                304
                                                                          An exploration company         397       54%
Cu (Copper)                           17%                105
Ag (Silver)                            6%                36               A producer company with          41       6%
                                                                          less than US$50M
Coal                                   4%                25
Zn (Zinc)                              4%                24               A producer company with        145       20%
                                                                          more than US$50M
U (Uranium )                           4%                22
Fe (Iron)                              3%                19               A consulting company             86      12%
Ni (Nickel)                            3%                 18              Other                            68       9%
Rare Earths                            1%                 9
Diamonds                               1%                 8
                                                                          What is your POSITION?
PGM (Platinum)                         1%                 6
Li (Lithium)                           1%                 6               Company president              301       42%
Other (please specify)                 6%                 36              Vice president                 112       16%

                                                                          Manager                        115       16%
Table 9: How do you rate the importance of mineral                        Other Senior Management          65       9%
 potential versus policy factors? (Must total 100%)
                                                                          Consultant                       45       6%
       Mineral Potential                    58.65%
                                                                          Other                            84      12%
       Policy Factors                       41.35%




Cash flow is king, meaning that junior mineral ex-             Doubtless, the mining executives have all had nice
ploration companies are having a far more difficult            bonuses and increased salaries over the period, but
time raising funding in equity markets than produc-            investors have been abused. Management of majors
ers or mine builders who can still raise project debt          should hang their heads... oh, no it’s alright, they still
financing for good projects.                                   have a war chest with which to pick up distressed ju-
—An exploration company, Company president                     nior assets so it’s a win-win!
                                                               —An exploration company, Company president
The recent underperformance of gold share prices is
wholly due to the irresponsible actions of the major           This is the first time in my memory that exploration
gold producers, which has hammered investor confi-             fell off, in spite of fairly good commodity prices. In-
dence. Investors must be bemused that rather than              vestors are looking for liquidity and worried about
delivering increased rewards and dividends to                  long term investments in mineral exploration.
shareholders over the last 10 years of increasing gold         World economics and negative media reporting
prices, the majors have whittled away profits by min-          compounds the problem. I don’t know what will turn
ing ever more low grade, increasing their production           it around for the business.
costs and not benefiting from the rise in gold price.          —An exploration company, Vice-president


2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                                 71
Investors are avoiding investing in exploration pro-       smooth out volatility which is generated by this form
jects, even if the upside is high, and prefer those pro-   of trading. Increasing costs of resource production is
jects which are at feasibility stage or higher.            starting to become apparent and over time produc-
—An exploration company, Manager                           ers will have to get higher commodity prices to gener-
                                                           ate reasonable profits.
Exploration companies with no revenue are being            —An exploration company, Company president
asked to underwrite expensive community relations
programs—they are usually the first to arrive in a         We always go up and down with the prices....
community—but investors want their money to go             —A producer company with less than US$50M,
into the ground, not into philanthropy. If the indus-      Company president
try wants a robust project pipeline, there needs to be
a way to fund these important but non-core issues.         Risk has been re-calibrated given the excesses in the
—An exploration company, Company president                 US and UK banking industry. The “Boomer” genera-
                                                           tion has realized they can’t risk the treasure chest as
Although there are available funds in the “West,” the      the clock has ticked and there is no time to recoup
entire process of financial modeling is very conserva-     lost and risky investments. Mining exploration is a
tive. “Eastern” countries have a more optimistic out-      risky business and that appetite has lessened, until
look and hence dominate investment into the mining         the next upward swing in commodity prices brings
industry.                                                  risk capital back to the mining industry.
—An exploration company, Manager                           —An exploration company, Vice-president


Looking forward…                                           As the traditional methods of financing disappear
                                                           for junior explorers, there will be a large void created
Social and community problems will be the perma-           in “greenfields-type” exploration. Major mining
nent preoccupation for new investments in the min-         companies will be unable to continue to meet the de-
ing sector.                                                mand for metals as they exhaust their reserves, and
—A producer company with more than US$50M,                 will almost certainly be forced to mine marginal de-
Company president                                          posits in politically risky areas of the world. The end
                                                           result will be companies whose balance sheets are
There is little investment at the greenfields stage. We    more subject to political instability and fluctuating
will face a significant problem within ten years.          commodity prices.
—A consulting company, Consultant                          —An exploration company, Company president

Mining is a supply and demand industry linked di-          We are about to experience a mining renaissance
rectly to economic development and or sustained            around the globe. A solution for many crisis affected
economic equilibrium. Emerging economies in Asia           areas of the world is to permit projects expeditiously.
and South America will mostly drive new de-                —Development, Vice-president
mand—these are experiencing slower growth in
2012 and buffer new demand. Also, short term               My medium-term view is that commodities will
“hedge trading” in commodities often produces false        track sideways for the next few years, tracking stron-
value in commodity prices not really related to de-        ger thereafter. Exploration successes will become less
mand cycles—longer periods of slowing demand               frequent due to a drop-off in investment, restricted


72                                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
access to prospective areas, the rise of social opposi-   Compliments received
tion to mining (particularly in emerging economies
with good prospectivity), and the added burden
                                                          I hope you get a lot of responses for this survey, the
placed on explorers to meet tightening government
                                                          more the better the data.
controls and rising community expectations. This
                                                          —An exploration company, Company president
lack of success and stunting of new supply from a
greenfields source will underpin a stable to moder-
ately rising commodity process environment. In            Thanks again for your efforts.
short, exploration is becoming too expensive, too         —An exploration company, Manager
time consuming, too uncertain, and potentially too
controversial to be sufficiently attractive to the        Usually a very good survey; clear questions.
broader capital markets.                                  —A consulting company, Manager
—A producer company with less than US$50M,
Vice-president
                                                          The survey covers most aspects of the mining and ex-
With dramatically increasing capex and opex costs,        ploration industry. Well done...
resources increasingly in higher risk countries,          —An exploration company, Company president
grades de creas ing dra mat i cally, per mit ting
timeframes blowing out everywhere coupled with a          Great survey. I also send a copy to the various Minis-
lack of global discovery, the cost of metals will con-    ters of Mines and Finance in the various jurisdic-
tinue to increase. However, what the industry needs       tions we operate in. They may not like what their
is smaller footprint, higher grade projects with less     country rating is, but it certainly focuses their minds
impact that are easier to permit in GOOD countries.       on the problems in their jurisdictions. Great survey,
Grassroots discoveries and innovation in explora-         please keep it up.
tion is mandatory for the mining industry.                —A producer company with more than US$50M,
—An exploration company, Company president                Company president




Appendix: Tabular material

The following tables provide a complete description of the answers for each policy question for each juris-
diction. Tables A1 through A18 parallel figures in the main body of the report. Table A19 provides the an-
swer to the question: Which jurisdiction has the best (worst) policy environment? Jurisdictions are ranked
by best “net” response—the number of respondents who rated a jurisdiction “best” minus the number or re-
spondents that rated the same jurisdiction “worst.” The table only includes jurisdictions listed in the survey.
Rows may not sum to 100% due to rounding.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                          73
Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions

              1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
              3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                      5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                  Response                             1        2         3           4        5
Canada            Alberta                             35%      44%       15%         6%        2%
                  British Columbia                    33%      36%       24%         7%        1%
                  Manitoba                            32%      38%       15%         9%        6%
                  New Brunswick                       38%      48%       14%         0%        0%
                  Newfoundland & Labrador             32%      58%        8%         3%        0%
                  Northwest Territories               43%      31%       18%         7%        2%
                  Nova Scotia                         30%      41%       22%         7%        0%
                  Nunavut                             30%      49%       19%         0%        2%
                  Ontario                             39%      41%       14%         6%        1%
                  Quebec                              35%      42%       16%         7%        1%
                  Saskatchewan                        53%      39%        7%         2%        0%
                  Yukon                               51%      39%        8%         3%        0%

USA               Alaska                              56%      31%       12%         1%        0%
                  Arizona                             36%      48%       13%         1%        1%
                  California                          19%      27%       24%         23%       7%
                  Colorado                            13%      41%       29%         16%       1%
                  Idaho                               25%      54%       17%         4%        0%
                  Michigan                            20%      45%       35%         0%        0%
                  Minnesota                           21%      43%       32%         4%        0%
                  Montana                             23%      36%       25%         14%       2%
                  Nevada                              55%      35%       11%         0%        0%
                  New Mexico                          16%      61%       21%         3%        0%
                  Utah                                40%      42%       16%         2%        0%
                  Washington                           9%      30%       40%         19%       2%
                  Wyoming                             52%      36%        9%         2%        0%

Australia         New South Wales                     15%      54%       26%         4%        0%
                  Northern Territory                  46%      39%       14%         2%        0%
                  Queensland                          34%      43%       17%         6%        0%
                  South Australia                     34%      48%       15%         3%        0%
                  Tasmania                            14%      39%       25%         21%       0%
                  Victoria                            18%      43%       28%         13%       0%
                  Western Australia                   47%      42%        9%         3%        0%

Oceania           Indonesia                           11%      29%       27%         24%       9%
                  New Zealand                         28%      53%       15%         5%        0%
                  Papua New Guinea                    12%      35%       32%         18%       3%
                  Philippines                         11%      31%       42%         14%       3%




74                                                                   www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1      2         3            4           5
Africa              Botswana                             39%    42%      19%           0%          0%
                    Burkina Faso                         36%    39%      19%           7%          0%
                    Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   16%    16%      16%          42%         11%
                    Egypt                                8%      8%      33%          42%          8%
                    Ghana                                32%    49%      17%           2%          0%
                    Guinea (Conakry)                     14%    29%      29%          29%          0%
                    Madagascar                           8%      8%      50%          25%          8%
                    Mali                                 15%    37%      32%          17%          0%
                    Mauritania                           25%    33%      42%           0%          0%
                    Morocco                              20%    40%      33%           0%          7%
                    Namibia                              21%    59%      15%           3%          3%
                    Niger                                30%    20%      40%          10%          0%
                    South Africa                         13%    30%      33%          18%          7%
                    Tanzania                             18%    47%      29%           5%          0%
                    Zambia                               6%     64%      21%           9%          0%
                    Zimbabwe                             3%     14%      21%          35%         28%

Argentina           Catamarca                            19%    33%      33%          10%          5%
                    Chubut                               7%     25%      29%          18%         21%
                    Jujuy                                6%     33%      33%          22%          6%
                    La Rioja                             0%     35%      35%          18%         12%
                    Mendoza                              16%    29%      16%          24%         16%
                    Neuquen                              14%    36%      36%           7%          7%
                    Rio Negro                            12%    41%      24%          12%         12%
                    Salta                                12%    55%      24%           9%          0%
                    San Juan                             17%    45%      26%          10%          2%
                    Santa Cruz                           12%    15%      38%          27%          9%




                                                                       Table 1 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                 75
Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                             1         2         3          4         5
Latin America       Bolivia                              0%      12%       21%         47%       21%

and the             Brazil                              21%      46%       30%         3%        0%

Caribbean           Chile                               40%      47%       11%         2%        0%

Basin               Colombia                            29%      36%       29%         7%        0%
                    Ecuador                              3%      17%       33%         25%       22%
                    Dominican Republic                  17%      48%       30%         4%        0%
                    French Guiana                        9%      46%       18%         18%       9%
                    Guatemala                            0%      16%       37%         42%       5%
                    Guyana                              39%      39%       19%         4%        0%
                    Honduras                             6%       0%       50%         19%       25%
                    Mexico                              29%      47%       17%         6%        1%
                    Panama                              21%      47%       26%         0%        5%
                    Peru                                27%      44%       24%         6%        0%
                    Suriname                             7%      53%       27%         7%        7%
                    Venezuela                            3%      15%       15%         29%       38%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             9%      55%       36%         0%        0%
                    China                               11%      37%       20%         9%        23%
                    Finland                             55%      38%        8%         0%        0%
                    Greenland                           56%      40%        4%         0%        0%
                    Greece                               0%      25%       58%         8%        8%
                    India                                6%      44%       19%         19%       13%
                    Ireland                             38%      29%       26%         5%        2%
                    Kazakhstan                          14%      33%       38%         10%       5%
                    Kyrgyzstan                          29%      21%       29%         7%        14%
                    Mongolia                            12%      29%       35%         12%       12%
                    Norway                              38%      38%       14%         5%        5%
                    Poland                              14%      29%       36%         14%       7%
                    Romania                             12%      36%       20%         32%       0%
                    Russia                              21%      38%       17%         13%       13%
                    Serbia                              20%      60%        0%         20%       0%
                    Spain                               24%      48%       24%         0%        5%
                    Sweden                              54%      37%        3%         3%        3%
                    Turkey                              32%      49%       19%         0%        0%
                    Vietnam                              8%      39%        8%         46%       0%




76                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and
                       assuming industry “best practices”
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                             1         2        3           4    5
Canada             Alberta                             34%      46%      18%          2%    0%
                   British Columbia                    57%      30%      10%          3%    1%
                   Manitoba                            46%      45%       4%          4%    0%
                   New Brunswick                       34%      51%      12%          0%    2%
                   Newfoundland and Labrador           51%      34%      14%          2%    0%
                   Northwest Territories               52%      42%       7%          0%    0%
                   Nova Scotia                         19%      42%      15%          19%   4%
                   Nunavut                             59%      30%      11%          0%    0%
                   Ontario                             60%      31%       8%          1%    1%
                   Quebec                              58%      29%       6%          6%    0%
                   Saskatchewan                        53%      41%       5%          0%    0%
                   Yukon                               65%      31%       4%          0%    0%

USA                Alaska                              67%      22%       8%          1%    1%
                   Arizona                             48%      41%      12%          0%    0%
                   California                          34%      34%      19%          11%   2%
                   Colorado                            37%      38%      24%          2%    0%
                   Idaho                               30%      53%      15%          0%    2%
                   Michigan                            21%      47%      32%          0%    0%
                   Minnesota                           26%      48%      26%          0%    0%
                   Montana                             40%      40%      16%          5%    0%
                   Nevada                              60%      31%       8%          0%    1%
                   New Mexico                          30%      38%      27%          5%    0%
                   Utah                                43%      41%      16%          0%    0%
                   Washington                          17%      41%      38%          5%    0%
                   Wyoming                             50%      39%      11%          0%    0%

Australia          New South Wales                     29%      40%      29%          0%    2%
                   Northern Territory                  48%      41%      11%          0%    0%
                   Queensland                          57%      30%      10%          3%    0%
                   South Australia                     49%      39%      10%          2%    0%
                   Tasmania                            25%      43%      29%          4%    0%
                   Victoria                            23%      35%      33%          10%   0%
                   Western Australia                   61%      31%       6%          2%    0%

Oceania            Indonesia                           70%      18%       9%          2%    2%
                   New Zealand                         26%      41%      26%          8%    0%
                   Papua New Guinea                    74%      12%      12%          0%    3%
                   Philippines                         65%      19%      14%          0%    3%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         77
Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and
                       assuming industry “best practices”
            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                              1        2         3           4           5
Africa          Botswana                             56%     38%        6%          0%           0%
                Burkina Faso                         36%     39%       16%          7%           3%
                Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   62%     16%        9%          9%           4%
                Egypt                                50%      8%       33%          8%           0%
                Ghana                                37%     41%       15%          4%           2%
                Guinea (Conakry)                     32%     23%       32%          9%           5%
                Madagascar                           50%     17%       25%          8%           0%
                Mali                                 20%     55%       15%          8%           3%
                Mauritania                           33%     33%       17%          8%           8%
                Morocco                              13%     40%       40%          0%           7%
                Namibia                              41%     41%       15%          0%           3%
                Niger                                20%     30%       30%         10%         10%
                South Africa                         34%     44%       15%          5%           2%
                Tanzania                             50%     34%       13%          0%           3%
                Zambia                               38%     44%       12%          3%           3%
                Zimbabwe                             28%     48%       10%         10%           3%

Argentina       Catamarca                            29%     57%       14%          0%           0%
                Chubut                               29%     39%       14%         11%           7%
                Jujuy                                39%     39%       17%          6%           0%
                La Rioja                             29%     53%       12%          0%           6%
                Mendoza                              30%     41%       16%          5%           8%
                Neuquen                              14%     43%       36%          0%           7%
                Rio Negro                            24%     41%       29%          0%           6%
                Salta                                27%     44%       24%          6%           0%
                San Juan                             34%     46%       15%          2%           2%
                Santa Cruz                           41%     41%        9%          3%           6%




                                                                     Table 2 continued next page ...




78                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and
                       assuming industry “best practices”
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                             1         2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                             31%      36%      16%          9%    9%

and the             Brazil                              51%      28%      16%          3%    2%

Caribbean           Chile                               60%      30%       6%          3%    1%
                    Colombia                            57%      28%      13%          0%    2%
Basin
                    Ecuador                             41%      26%      10%          21%   3%
                    Dominican Republic                  21%      46%      29%          4%    0%
                    French Guiana                        8%      58%      33%          0%    0%
                    Guatemala                           22%      44%      33%          0%    0%
                    Guyana                              39%      32%      25%          0%    4%
                    Honduras                             6%      47%      41%          0%    6%
                    Mexico                              56%      33%       9%          2%    0%
                    Panama                              28%      28%      39%          6%    0%
                    Peru                                52%      27%      18%          3%    1%
                    Suriname                            20%      53%      27%          0%    0%
                    Venezuela                           29%      34%      26%          3%    9%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             9%      46%      36%          0%    9%
                    China                               43%      31%      14%          6%    6%
                    Finland                             51%      37%      12%          0%    0%
                    Greenland                           52%      44%       4%          0%    0%
                    Greece                              17%      17%      50%          8%    8%
                    India                               56%      25%      13%          0%    6%
                    Ireland                             23%      47%      23%          7%    0%
                    Kazakhstan                          43%      48%       5%          0%    5%
                    Kyrgyzstan                          50%      43%       0%          7%    0%
                    Mongolia                            77%      14%       6%          0%    3%
                    Norway                              38%      38%      10%          14%   0%
                    Poland                               0%      69%      31%          0%    0%
                    Romania                             28%      28%      40%          4%    0%
                    Russia                              58%      15%      19%          8%    0%
                    Serbia                              50%      30%      20%          0%    0%
                    Spain                               19%      48%      24%          5%    5%
                    Sweden                              51%      31%      14%          3%    0%
                    Turkey                              61%      28%      11%          0%    0%
                    Vietnam                             39%      46%       8%          8%    0%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                          79
Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and
                        enforcement of existing regulations
             1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
             3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                     5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                 Response                             1        2         3           4         5
Canada           Alberta                             62%      28%        8%         2%        2%
                 British Columbia                    24%      31%       32%        12%        1%
                 Manitoba                            45%      21%        9%        21%        4%
                 New Brunswick                       64%      30%        7%         0%        0%
                 Newfoundland & Labrador             49%      33%       14%         4%        0%
                 Northwest Territories               29%      34%       21%        15%        2%
                 Nova Scotia                         52%      35%       10%         3%        0%
                 Nunavut                             28%      35%       28%         7%        2%
                 Ontario                             35%      30%       25%         9%        1%
                 Quebec                              47%      21%       22%         9%        1%
                 Saskatchewan                        62%      30%        8%         0%        0%
                 Yukon                               55%      29%       14%         2%        0%

USA              Alaska                              39%      38%       18%         3%        1%
                 Arizona                             20%      49%       28%         2%        1%
                 California                           1%      14%       15%        45%        25%
                 Colorado                             8%      25%       30%        26%        11%
                 Idaho                               19%      42%       25%        14%        0%
                 Michigan                             9%      32%       55%         5%        0%
                 Minnesota                           16%      16%       48%        19%        0%
                 Montana                              4%      17%       45%        21%        13%
                 Nevada                              48%      33%       16%         3%        1%
                 New Mexico                          13%      35%       37%        15%        0%
                 Utah                                40%      45%       13%         2%        0%
                 Washington                           4%      21%       29%        35%        10%
                 Wyoming                             57%      33%        8%         2%        0%

Australia        New South Wales                     16%      45%       31%         6%        2%
                 Northern Territory                  47%      40%        9%         4%        0%
                 Queensland                          24%      31%       36%         9%        0%
                 South Australia                     58%      20%       18%         3%        0%
                 Tasmania                             3%      38%       28%        21%        10%
                 Victoria                            17%      29%       29%        24%        2%
                 Western Australia                   41%      37%       20%         2%        0%

Oceania          Indonesia                            5%      10%       24%        40%        22%
                 New Zealand                         20%      46%       24%        10%        0%
                 Papua New Guinea                     5%      41%       33%        17%        5%
                 Philippines                          0%      15%       32%        39%        15%




80                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and
                        enforcement of existing regulations
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             61%     36%        3%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         32%     41%       18%           9%          0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   6%       6%       22%         41%          26%
                   Egypt                                8%       0%        8%         54%          31%
                   Ghana                                26%     43%       26%           6%          0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     7%      14%       25%         43%          11%
                   Madagascar                           0%      15%       23%         62%           0%
                   Mali                                 14%     33%       31%         20%           2%
                   Mauritania                           39%     39%       15%           8%          0%
                   Morocco                              40%     45%       15%           0%          0%
                   Namibia                              36%     38%       20%           4%          2%
                   Niger                                15%     23%       46%         15%           0%
                   South Africa                         13%     17%       30%         31%          10%
                   Tanzania                             11%     29%       44%         11%           4%
                   Zambia                               14%     60%       22%           5%          0%
                   Zimbabwe                             3%       3%       21%         21%          53%

Argentina          Catamarca                            13%     54%        8%         17%           8%
                   Chubut                               3%      19%       25%         25%          28%
                   Jujuy                                10%     43%       10%         24%          14%
                   La Rioja                             0%      40%       15%         25%          20%
                   Mendoza                              7%      15%       17%         30%          30%
                   Neuquen                              28%     17%       17%         17%          22%
                   Rio Negro                            16%     26%       21%         16%          21%
                   Salta                                34%     32%       18%         13%           3%
                   San Juan                             21%     35%       21%         19%           4%
                   Santa Cruz                           15%     26%       28%         23%           8%




                                                                        Table 3 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                  81
Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and
                       enforcement of existing regulations
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                             1        2         3           4         5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%       4%       11%        36%        47%

and the             Brazil                              24%      47%       19%         8%        1%

Caribbean           Chile                               53%      39%        7%         1%        1%
                    Colombia                            25%      39%       24%        10%        1%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              2%       7%       30%        33%        28%
                    Dominican Republic                  17%      53%       27%         3%        0%
                    French Guiana                       22%      11%       33%        11%        22%
                    Guatemala                            9%      14%       32%        36%        9%
                    Guyana                              33%      39%       18%         9%        0%
                    Honduras                             0%      14%       24%        29%        33%
                    Mexico                              45%      34%       15%         5%        1%
                    Panama                              27%      32%       23%        18%        0%
                    Peru                                22%      36%       29%        12%        1%
                    Suriname                            12%      41%       35%         6%        6%
                    Venezuela                            3%       3%        5%        16%        74%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             8%      46%       39%         8%        0%
                    China                                7%      21%       34%        23%        16%
                    Finland                             47%      40%        9%         4%        0%
                    Greenland                           54%      39%        8%         0%        0%
                    Greece                               0%      21%       29%        43%        7%
                    India                               13%      19%       19%        31%        19%
                    Ireland                             42%      38%       11%         9%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                           4%      33%       26%        26%        11%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%       5%       45%        20%        30%
                    Mongolia                             7%      12%       33%        33%        14%
                    Norway                              38%      48%       14%         0%        0%
                    Poland                               7%      27%       47%        20%        0%
                    Romania                              0%      29%       25%        39%        7%
                    Russia                               7%      29%       23%        19%        23%
                    Serbia                              15%      54%       23%         8%        0%
                    Spain                                8%      50%       27%        12%        4%
                    Sweden                              65%      30%        5%         0%        0%
                    Turkey                              23%      61%       14%         2%        0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      39%       15%        23%        23%




82                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A4: Environmental regulations

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                             1        2         3          4     5
Canada             Alberta                             38%      44%      19%          0%   0%
                   British Columbia                     6%      26%      43%      23%      3%
                   Manitoba                            18%      43%      20%      17%      1%
                   New Brunswick                       23%      55%      23%          0%   0%
                   Newfoundland and Labrador           18%      51%      25%          6%   0%
                   Northwest Territories               11%      42%      29%      17%      2%
                   Nova Scotia                          4%      54%      39%          4%   0%
                   Nunavut                              6%      50%      39%          4%   2%
                   Ontario                             20%      43%      28%          8%   1%
                   Quebec                              21%      44%      24%      10%      1%
                   Saskatchewan                        32%      56%      13%          0%   0%
                   Yukon                               24%      49%      22%          3%   1%

USA                Alaska                              14%      44%      30%      11%      1%
                   Arizona                              5%      43%      43%          6%   3%
                   California                           1%       7%      21%      37%      34%
                   Colorado                             5%      12%      36%      36%      10%
                   Idaho                                9%      29%      46%      16%      0%
                   Michigan                            10%      19%      57%      14%      0%
                   Minnesota                            0%      29%      48%      16%      7%
                   Montana                              4%      15%      42%      25%      14%
                   Nevada                              21%      48%      26%          4%   1%
                   New Mexico                           7%      33%      26%      33%      2%
                   Utah                                24%      56%      19%          2%   0%
                   Washington                           6%      15%      26%      36%      17%
                   Wyoming                             29%      52%      14%          4%   2%

Australia          New South Wales                      2%      40%      43%      13%      2%
                   Northern Territory                  19%      53%      23%          2%   2%
                   Queensland                           9%      33%      40%      17%      0%
                   South Australia                     28%      38%      25%          8%   0%
                   Tasmania                             3%      20%      40%      23%      13%
                   Victoria                             5%      14%      55%      26%      0%
                   Western Australia                   27%      42%      23%          8%   1%

Oceania            Indonesia                            2%      32%      32%      29%      6%
                   New Zealand                          2%      29%      48%      17%      5%
                   Papua New Guinea                    12%      43%      38%          7%   0%
                   Philippines                          0%      30%      43%      18%      10%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         83
Table A4: Environmental regulations

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                              1       2         3            4           5
Africa          Botswana                             39%     56%        6%          0%          0%
                Burkina Faso                         18%     74%        6%          3%          0%
                Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   8%      35%       31%        19%           8%
                Egypt                                15%     54%       15%        15%           0%
                Ghana                                19%     54%       15%        12%           0%
                Guinea (Conakry)                     15%     33%       30%        22%           0%
                Madagascar                           0%      43%       36%        14%           7%
                Mali                                 16%     66%       12%          6%          0%
                Mauritania                           33%     33%       25%          8%          0%
                Morocco                              30%     40%       25%          5%          0%
                Namibia                              27%     52%       21%          0%          0%
                Niger                                7%      64%       21%          7%          0%
                South Africa                         7%      53%       30%          7%          3%
                Tanzania                             7%      68%       21%          5%          0%
                Zambia                               17%     69%       11%          3%          0%
                Zimbabwe                             3%      34%       29%        20%          14%

Argentina       Catamarca                            12%     48%       24%        12%           4%
                Chubut                               3%      13%       38%        25%          22%
                Jujuy                                5%      14%       43%        19%          19%
                La Rioja                             5%      35%       30%        20%          10%
                Mendoza                              2%       9%       35%        28%          26%
                Neuquen                              17%     17%       39%        11%          17%
                Rio Negro                            11%     16%       42%        21%          11%
                Salta                                27%     35%       24%        11%           3%
                San Juan                             17%     40%       38%          6%          0%
                Santa Cruz                           8%      46%       33%          8%          5%




                                                                     Table 4 continued next page ...




84                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A4: Environmental regulations

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                             1        2         3          4     5
Latin America       Bolivia                              4%      27%      25%      29%      15%

and the             Brazil                              11%      55%      32%          3%   0%

Caribbean           Chile                               19%      58%      19%          3%   0%

Basin               Colombia                             9%      46%      27%      16%      3%
                    Ecuador                              2%      11%      39%      34%      14%
                    Dominican Republic                  10%      52%      31%          7%   0%
                    French Guiana                       17%      28%      11%      17%      28%
                    Guatemala                            0%      14%      67%      10%      10%
                    Guyana                              12%      67%      18%          3%   0%
                    Honduras                             0%      21%      42%      21%      16%
                    Mexico                              27%      60%      11%          1%   1%
                    Panama                               5%      42%      37%      16%      0%
                    Peru                                12%      41%      33%      13%      2%
                    Suriname                            12%      47%      41%          0%   0%
                    Venezuela                            3%      18%      18%      26%      34%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            15%      39%      15%      31%      0%
                    China                                7%      50%      21%      14%      9%
                    Finland                             18%      52%      25%          5%   0%
                    Greenland                           27%      58%      12%          4%   0%
                    Greece                               0%       7%      43%      36%      14%
                    India                                6%      31%      31%      19%      13%
                    Ireland                             19%      51%      21%          9%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           7%      54%      29%      11%      0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           5%      37%      37%      11%      11%
                    Mongolia                             5%      52%      26%      10%      7%
                    Norway                              14%      38%      43%          5%   0%
                    Poland                               7%      13%      53%      27%      0%
                    Romania                              0%      36%      25%      25%      14%
                    Russia                               7%      40%      37%      10%      7%
                    Serbia                              27%      46%      18%          9%   0%
                    Spain                                4%      54%      27%      12%      4%
                    Sweden                              11%      53%      36%          0%   0%
                    Turkey                               7%      66%      21%          7%   0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      39%      46%          8%   8%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                          85
Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies
     (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.)
              1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
              3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                      5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                  Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Canada            Alberta                             19%      50%       27%         3%        0%
                  British Columbia                     8%      37%       38%        16%        1%
                  Manitoba                            15%      45%       26%        12%        3%
                  New Brunswick                       32%      44%       24%         0%        0%
                  Newfoundland & Labrador             15%      50%       31%         4%        0%
                  Northwest Territories                9%      39%       35%        15%        2%
                  Nova Scotia                         14%      61%       21%         4%        0%
                  Nunavut                              7%      33%       49%         9%        2%
                  Ontario                             16%      41%       34%         8%        1%
                  Quebec                              18%      46%       24%        12%        1%
                  Saskatchewan                        24%      57%       19%         0%        0%
                  Yukon                               26%      45%       22%         7%        0%

USA               Alaska                              10%      51%       30%         7%        2%
                  Arizona                              6%      46%       38%         9%        1%
                  California                           0%      15%       25%        40%        21%
                  Colorado                             7%      21%       42%        22%        8%
                  Idaho                                6%      40%       44%        11%        0%
                  Michigan                             5%      19%       71%         5%        0%
                  Minnesota                            0%      30%       53%        17%        0%
                  Montana                              2%      41%       28%        20%        10%
                  Nevada                              16%      49%       30%         5%        0%
                  New Mexico                           2%      37%       46%        15%        0%
                  Utah                                16%      46%       35%         4%        0%
                  Washington                           2%      26%       30%        28%        13%
                  Wyoming                             16%      50%       32%         2%        0%

Australia         New South Wales                      2%      49%       38%         9%        2%
                  Northern Territory                   9%      67%       20%         4%        0%
                  Queensland                           8%      37%       34%        21%        0%
                  South Australia                     11%      60%       16%        12%        2%
                  Tasmania                             3%      30%       37%        30%        0%
                  Victoria                             5%      42%       29%        22%        2%
                  Western Australia                   13%      58%       23%         7%        0%

Oceania           Indonesia                            2%      19%       30%        38%        11%
                  New Zealand                         15%      37%       44%         5%        0%
                  Papua New Guinea                    12%      33%       36%        19%        0%
                  Philippines                          3%      20%       30%        40%        8%




86                                                                   www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies
    (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             44%     56%        0%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         18%     62%       12%           9%          0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   6%      22%       18%         38%          16%
                   Egypt                                15%      0%       54%         31%           0%
                   Ghana                                14%     57%       20%         10%           0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     4%      26%       30%         41%           0%
                   Madagascar                           7%      29%       14%         43%           7%
                   Mali                                 10%     43%       35%         12%           0%
                   Mauritania                           31%     31%       31%           8%          0%
                   Morocco                              25%     40%       30%           5%          0%
                   Namibia                              21%     56%       19%           2%          2%
                   Niger                                7%      43%       36%         14%           0%
                   South Africa                         6%      33%       40%         17%           4%
                   Tanzania                             7%      40%       42%         11%           0%
                   Zambia                               17%     57%       17%           6%          3%
                   Zimbabwe                             0%      15%       21%         29%          35%

Argentina          Catamarca                            13%     29%       33%         13%          13%
                   Chubut                               3%       6%       34%         34%          22%
                   Jujuy                                5%      29%       24%         29%          14%
                   La Rioja                             0%      15%       35%         35%          15%
                   Mendoza                              4%      13%       38%         26%          19%
                   Neuquen                              17%     17%       33%         17%          17%
                   Rio Negro                            11%     21%       37%         21%          11%
                   Salta                                16%     21%       42%         16%           5%
                   San Juan                             13%     23%       48%         15%           2%
                   Santa Cruz                           3%      28%       36%         26%           8%




                                                                        Table 5 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                  87
Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies
     (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.)
                 1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                 3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                         5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                     Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Latin America        Bolivia                              4%      22%       22%        39%        14%

and the Carib-       Brazil                              10%      48%       34%         8%        0%

bean Basin           Chile                               16%      64%       16%         3%        0%
                     Colombia                            11%      41%       35%        11%        1%
                     Ecuador                              2%      14%       33%        40%        12%
                     Dominican Republic                   7%      53%       40%         0%        0%
                     French Guiana                       17%      39%       17%        22%        6%
                     Guatemala                            0%      14%       71%        10%        5%
                     Guyana                               6%      61%       30%         3%        0%
                     Honduras                             0%       0%       63%        32%        5%
                     Mexico                              24%      46%       24%         5%        1%
                     Panama                               5%      57%       29%        10%        0%
                     Peru                                 8%      38%       43%         9%        2%
                     Suriname                             6%      41%       41%        12%        0%
                     Venezuela                            0%       5%       16%        38%        41%

Eurasia              Bulgaria                            15%      39%       31%        15%        0%
                     China                                0%      33%       28%        28%        12%
                     Finland                             36%      44%       11%         9%        0%
                     Greenland                           36%      44%       16%         4%        0%
                     Greece                               0%      21%       43%        29%        7%
                     India                                0%      25%       31%        31%        13%
                     Ireland                             24%      42%       27%         7%        0%
                     Kazakhstan                           4%      36%       39%        21%        0%
                     Kyrgyzstan                           5%      15%       40%        20%        20%
                     Mongolia                            10%      32%       29%        22%        7%
                     Norway                              14%      57%       24%         5%        0%
                     Poland                               7%      27%       53%        13%        0%
                     Romania                              4%      25%       32%        29%        11%
                     Russia                               3%      24%       24%        35%        14%
                     Serbia                               8%      46%       31%        15%        0%
                     Spain                                4%      46%       35%        12%        4%
                     Sweden                              28%      56%       14%         3%        0%
                     Turkey                               7%      62%       27%         4%        0%
                     Vietnam                              0%       8%       54%        39%        0%




88                                                                      www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent,
                  non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Canada             Alberta                             60%      34%       3%          0%   3%
                   British Columbia                    36%      47%      13%          5%   1%
                   Manitoba                            41%      40%      11%          5%   3%
                   New Brunswick                       51%      49%       0%          0%   0%
                   Newfoundland and Labrador           49%      46%       4%          1%   0%
                   Northwest Territories               42%      35%      21%          2%   0%
                   Nova Scotia                         54%      32%      14%          0%   0%
                   Nunavut                             37%      39%      22%          0%   2%
                   Ontario                             46%      39%      10%          4%   2%
                   Quebec                              43%      35%      19%          3%   1%
                   Saskatchewan                        44%      52%       3%          0%   0%
                   Yukon                               47%      48%       6%          0%   0%

USA                Alaska                              40%      42%      13%          4%   0%
                   Arizona                             27%      49%      18%          5%   1%
                   California                          10%      35%      22%      19%      14%
                   Colorado                            32%      28%      26%      10%      4%
                   Idaho                               24%      56%      16%          2%   2%
                   Michigan                            18%      64%       9%          9%   0%
                   Minnesota                           26%      55%      13%          7%   0%
                   Montana                             14%      52%      23%      10%      2%
                   Nevada                              38%      47%      15%          1%   0%
                   New Mexico                          20%      46%      24%          9%   2%
                   Utah                                37%      46%      17%          0%   0%
                   Washington                          17%      35%      25%      19%      4%
                   Wyoming                             44%      54%       2%          0%   0%

Australia          New South Wales                     48%      44%       6%          0%   2%
                   Northern Territory                  53%      47%       0%          0%   0%
                   Queensland                          39%      47%      11%          3%   0%
                   South Australia                     53%      39%       9%          0%   0%
                   Tasmania                            40%      43%      13%          3%   0%
                   Victoria                            45%      41%      12%          2%   0%
                   Western Australia                   58%      35%       8%          0%   0%

Oceania            Indonesia                            0%       2%      34%      38%      27%
                   New Zealand                         55%      31%      12%          2%   0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     5%      21%      43%      29%      2%
                   Philippines                          2%      12%      24%      42%      20%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         89
Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent,
                 non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.)
             1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
             3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                     5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                 Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa           Botswana                             43%     51%        6%          0%          0%
                 Burkina Faso                         6%      32%       53%          6%          3%
                 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%       2%       17%         44%         37%
                 Egypt                                0%       0%       23%         54%         23%
                 Ghana                                14%     45%       33%          6%          2%
                 Guinea (Conakry)                     4%       0%       30%         56%         11%
                 Madagascar                           0%      21%       29%         50%          0%
                 Mali                                 2%      29%       47%         16%          6%
                 Mauritania                           23%     46%        8%         15%          8%
                 Morocco                              10%     50%       25%         10%          5%
                 Namibia                              22%     49%       24%          0%          4%
                 Niger                                7%      29%       43%          7%         14%
                 South Africa                         6%      23%       40%         22%         10%
                 Tanzania                             2%      29%       44%         20%          4%
                 Zambia                               5%      41%       41%          8%          5%
                 Zimbabwe                             0%       9%        9%         20%         63%

Argentina        Catamarca                            12%     24%       28%         24%         12%
                 Chubut                               3%       9%       31%         38%         19%
                 Jujuy                                10%     10%       25%         30%         25%
                 La Rioja                             5%      10%       30%         30%         25%
                 Mendoza                              11%      9%       32%         23%         26%
                 Neuquen                              12%     12%       24%         29%         24%
                 Rio Negro                            16%     11%       37%         21%         16%
                 Salta                                24%     24%       29%         18%          5%
                 San Juan                             9%      24%       41%         20%          7%
                 Santa Cruz                           8%      18%       41%         28%          5%




                                                                      Table 6 continued next page ...




90                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent,
                 non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.)
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%       0%      14%      48%      37%

and the             Brazil                               4%      37%      51%          8%   0%

Caribbean           Chile                               24%      57%      18%          1%   0%
                    Colombia                             4%      45%      34%      17%      0%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              2%       9%      25%      48%      16%
                    Dominican Republic                  13%      27%      43%      17%      0%
                    French Guiana                       22%      61%      11%          6%   0%
                    Guatemala                            0%       9%      41%      41%      9%
                    Guyana                               3%      46%      39%          9%   3%
                    Honduras                             0%       5%      33%      48%      14%
                    Mexico                              12%      41%      39%          7%   1%
                    Panama                               9%      32%      46%      14%      0%
                    Peru                                 9%      39%      41%          9%   2%
                    Suriname                             6%      24%      59%          6%   6%
                    Venezuela                            0%       5%       5%      33%      56%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             8%      25%      42%      25%      0%
                    China                                2%      11%      25%      36%      25%
                    Finland                             67%      24%       9%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                           62%      31%       8%          0%   0%
                    Greece                               0%      14%      36%      36%      14%
                    India                                0%      13%      31%      44%      13%
                    Ireland                             48%      41%       9%          2%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      14%      43%      32%      11%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      10%      40%      20%      30%
                    Mongolia                             0%      12%      39%      34%      15%
                    Norway                              50%      41%       9%          0%   0%
                    Poland                               0%      40%      47%          7%   7%
                    Romania                              0%      25%      21%      43%      11%
                    Russia                               0%      16%      29%      23%      32%
                    Serbia                               8%      39%      31%      23%      0%
                    Spain                                4%      54%      27%      12%      4%
                    Sweden                              70%      27%       3%          0%   0%
                    Turkey                              14%      52%      27%          7%   0%
                    Vietnam                              0%       8%      50%      17%      25%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                          91
Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and
                    other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance)
              1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
              3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                      5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                  Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Canada            Alberta                             39%      49%       12%         0%        0%
                  British Columbia                    18%      49%       29%         5%        0%
                  Manitoba                            21%      47%       26%         6%        1%
                  New Brunswick                       23%      63%       14%         0%        0%
                  Newfoundland and Labrador           19%      53%       25%         3%        0%
                  Northwest Territories               23%      58%       19%         0%        0%
                  Nova Scotia                         21%      54%       21%         4%        0%
                  Nunavut                             15%      54%       30%         2%        0%
                  Ontario                             19%      53%       22%         6%        1%
                  Quebec                              26%      37%       25%         13%       0%
                  Saskatchewan                        22%      62%       17%         0%        0%
                  Yukon                               28%      62%       10%         0%        0%

USA               Alaska                              30%      53%       17%         0%        0%
                  Arizona                             12%      65%       21%         1%        1%
                  California                           3%      30%       31%         26%       10%
                  Colorado                            11%      48%       31%         9%        1%
                  Idaho                                6%      71%       23%         0%        0%
                  Michigan                             5%      65%       25%         5%        0%
                  Minnesota                           12%      42%       31%         15%       0%
                  Montana                              6%      52%       35%         6%        0%
                  Nevada                              24%      55%       20%         1%        0%
                  New Mexico                          10%      49%       31%         10%       0%
                  Utah                                31%      55%       12%         2%        0%
                  Washington                          11%      43%       32%         9%        5%
                  Wyoming                             35%      50%       13%         2%        0%

Australia         New South Wales                      4%      44%       33%         19%       0%
                  Northern Territory                   4%      46%       35%         13%       2%
                  Queensland                           7%      42%       35%         17%       0%
                  South Australia                      9%      36%       42%         14%       0%
                  Tasmania                             7%      39%       32%         18%       4%
                  Victoria                             7%      54%       27%         10%       2%
                  Western Australia                   10%      38%       40%         11%       2%

Oceania           Indonesia                            4%      38%       32%         20%       7%
                  New Zealand                         13%      60%       25%         3%        0%
                  Papua New Guinea                    13%      46%       28%         13%       0%
                  Philippines                          0%      38%       48%         10%       5%




92                                                                   www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and
                  other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             43%     40%       17%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         16%     50%       34%           0%          0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   2%      25%       39%         25%          10%
                   Egypt                                8%      15%       39%         31%           8%
                   Ghana                                6%      58%       26%         10%           0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     0%      19%       58%         23%           0%
                   Madagascar                           14%     21%       43%         14%           7%
                   Mali                                 7%      41%       41%           9%          2%
                   Mauritania                           15%     39%       46%           0%          0%
                   Morocco                              32%     47%       16%           5%          0%
                   Namibia                              9%      50%       34%           5%          2%
                   Niger                                0%      46%       46%           9%          0%
                   South Africa                         4%      29%       39%         25%           3%
                   Tanzania                             5%      29%       50%         12%           5%
                   Zambia                               6%      44%       44%           6%          0%
                   Zimbabwe                             0%       6%       27%         35%          32%

Argentina          Catamarca                            17%     22%       35%         17%           9%
                   Chubut                               4%      21%       39%         25%          11%
                   Jujuy                                11%     21%       32%         26%          11%
                   La Rioja                             0%      25%       44%         19%          13%
                   Mendoza                              5%      26%       47%         14%           9%
                   Neuquen                              7%      36%       21%         21%          14%
                   Rio Negro                            12%     24%       35%         24%           6%
                   Salta                                11%     34%       37%         14%           3%
                   San Juan                             9%      39%       30%         21%           2%
                   Santa Cruz                           3%      34%       26%         29%           9%




                                                                        Table 7 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                  93
Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and
                    other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance)
                 1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                 3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                         5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                     Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Latin America        Bolivia                              2%      15%       28%        41%        13%

and the Carib-       Brazil                               6%      40%       44%        10%        0%

bean Basin           Chile                               15%      68%       16%         1%        1%
                     Colombia                             3%      68%       26%         3%        0%
                     Ecuador                              3%      16%       32%        41%        8%
                     Dominican Republic                   8%      62%       27%         4%        0%
                     French Guiana                       24%      53%       12%        12%        0%
                     Guatemala                            5%      29%       43%        24%        0%
                     Guyana                              10%      61%       23%         7%        0%
                     Honduras                             5%      32%       42%        21%        0%
                     Mexico                              15%      60%       21%         3%        1%
                     Panama                              10%      57%       24%        10%        0%
                     Peru                                10%      56%       26%         6%        1%
                     Suriname                             7%      33%       47%        13%        0%
                     Venezuela                            0%       6%       28%        33%        33%

Eurasia              Bulgaria                            46%       9%       36%         9%        0%
                     China                                3%      33%       45%        15%        5%
                     Finland                             35%      51%       14%         0%        0%
                     Greenland                           28%      48%       20%         4%        0%
                     Greece                               0%      29%       43%        29%        0%
                     India                                7%      27%       47%        13%        7%
                     Ireland                             34%      46%       18%         2%        0%
                     Kazakhstan                           0%      44%       39%        17%        0%
                     Kyrgyzstan                           6%      24%       47%        12%        12%
                     Mongolia                             5%      14%       54%        22%        5%
                     Norway                              36%      27%       18%        14%        5%
                     Poland                               0%      29%       57%        14%        0%
                     Romania                              0%      38%       42%        21%        0%
                     Russia                              19%      15%       33%        15%        19%
                     Serbia                              25%      33%       25%        17%        0%
                     Spain                               13%      54%       25%         8%        0%
                     Sweden                              40%      37%       14%         6%        3%
                     Turkey                               7%      68%       20%         5%        0%
                     Vietnam                              0%      31%       46%        15%        8%




94                                                                      www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Canada             Alberta                             28%      40%      28%          0%   3%
                   British Columbia                    11%      22%      30%      33%      4%
                   Manitoba                            18%      26%      27%      22%      7%
                   New Brunswick                       27%      50%      21%          2%   0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador             17%      42%      26%      15%      0%
                   Northwest Territories               14%      40%      25%      20%      2%
                   Nova Scotia                         21%      50%      29%          0%   0%
                   Nunavut                             22%      42%      26%      11%      0%
                   Ontario                             14%      29%      32%      21%      4%
                   Quebec                              21%      40%      28%      10%      1%
                   Saskatchewan                        16%      53%      30%          2%   0%
                   Yukon                               21%      42%      33%          2%   1%

USA                Alaska                              30%      47%      18%          3%   1%
                   Arizona                             16%      65%      16%          3%   1%
                   California                          14%      57%      17%          6%   6%
                   Colorado                            14%      65%      14%          6%   1%
                   Idaho                               15%      66%      19%          0%   0%
                   Michigan                            24%      52%      19%          5%   0%
                   Minnesota                           28%      48%      17%          7%   0%
                   Montana                             18%      55%      18%          6%   2%
                   Nevada                              27%      61%      11%          0%   0%
                   New Mexico                          15%      58%      23%          3%   3%
                   Utah                                26%      66%       8%          0%   0%
                   Washington                          18%      52%      18%          9%   2%
                   Wyoming                             34%      57%       9%          0%   0%

Australia          New South Wales                      6%      55%      32%          6%   0%
                   Northern Territory                  13%      49%      26%      11%      2%
                   Queensland                          11%      56%      25%          8%   0%
                   South Australia                     15%      47%      30%          5%   3%
                   Tasmania                            10%      47%      33%          7%   3%
                   Victoria                            12%      50%      29%          7%   2%
                   Western Australia                   16%      49%      28%          7%   0%

Oceania            Indonesia                            0%      20%      33%      37%      10%
                   New Zealand                         15%      56%      29%          0%   0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     0%      15%      45%      35%      5%
                   Philippines                          0%      18%      35%      30%      18%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         95
Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa          Botswana                             40%     49%       11%          0%          0%
                Burkina Faso                         13%     63%       22%          0%          3%
                Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   2%      17%       25%         38%         19%
                Egypt                                25%     17%       25%         33%          0%
                Ghana                                10%     56%       24%          8%          2%
                Guinea (Conakry)                     7%      30%       37%         22%          4%
                Madagascar                           7%      36%       14%         29%         14%
                Mali                                 0%      64%       27%          7%          2%
                Mauritania                           23%     39%       23%          8%          8%
                Morocco                              21%     42%       26%          5%          5%
                Namibia                              21%     48%       25%          5%          2%
                Niger                                8%      50%       25%          8%          8%
                South Africa                         1%      35%       29%         29%          6%
                Tanzania                             2%      33%       48%         12%          5%
                Zambia                               6%      46%       37%          3%          9%
                Zimbabwe                             0%       9%       21%         24%         47%

Argentina       Catamarca                            22%     39%       22%         13%          4%
                Chubut                               14%     36%       36%         11%          4%
                Jujuy                                11%     32%       32%         11%         16%
                La Rioja                             6%      35%       41%          6%         12%
                Mendoza                              7%      42%       35%         12%          5%
                Neuquen                              20%     20%       40%          7%         13%
                Rio Negro                            24%     41%       24%          6%          6%
                Salta                                20%     34%       40%          3%          3%
                San Juan                             14%     46%       32%          9%          0%
                Santa Cruz                           8%      56%       28%          8%          0%




                                                                     Table 8 continued next page ...




96                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%       9%      13%      55%      21%

and the             Brazil                               6%      45%      37%      10%      2%

Caribbean           Chile                               19%      62%      16%          2%   1%

Basin               Colombia                             9%      44%      28%      16%      3%
                    Ecuador                              8%      18%      15%      40%      20%
                    Dominican Republic                   8%      52%      36%          4%   0%
                    French Guiana                       24%      53%      18%          0%   6%
                    Guatemala                            0%      10%      50%      30%      10%
                    Guyana                               0%      50%      38%          9%   3%
                    Honduras                             6%      12%      29%      47%      6%
                    Mexico                               7%      45%      36%      11%      1%
                    Panama                               5%      43%      38%      10%      5%
                    Peru                                 7%      28%      38%      24%      3%
                    Suriname                             7%      20%      53%      20%      0%
                    Venezuela                            0%       8%      16%      38%      38%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            18%      27%      36%      18%      0%
                    China                                3%      43%      23%      20%      13%
                    Finland                             37%      47%      16%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                           50%      42%       8%          0%   0%
                    Greece                               0%      14%      50%      36%      0%
                    India                                0%      38%      19%      31%      13%
                    Ireland                             39%      48%       9%          5%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                          22%      22%      35%      13%      9%
                    Kyrgyzstan                          12%      12%      18%      29%      29%
                    Mongolia                             0%      36%      33%      14%      17%
                    Norway                              27%      59%       9%          5%   0%
                    Poland                               0%      43%      36%      21%      0%
                    Romania                              4%      28%      52%      16%      0%
                    Russia                               4%      26%      26%      30%      15%
                    Serbia                               0%      67%      33%          0%   0%
                    Spain                                8%      71%      17%          4%   0%
                    Sweden                              44%      44%       8%          3%   0%
                    Turkey                              10%      67%      19%          5%   0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      31%      54%          8%   8%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                          97
Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness,
                           parks, or archeological sites
            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Canada          Alberta                             16%      48%       28%         5%        3%
                British Columbia                     3%      23%       45%         25%       4%
                Manitoba                             7%      37%       34%         19%       3%
                New Brunswick                       14%      56%       28%         2%        0%
                Newfoundland & Labrador              9%      47%       36%         9%        0%
                Northwest Territories                3%      38%       43%         16%       0%
                Nova Scotia                          7%      41%       44%         7%        0%
                Nunavut                              8%      36%       45%         9%        2%
                Ontario                              7%      31%       41%         17%       3%
                Quebec                              10%      37%       39%         12%       2%
                Saskatchewan                        10%      60%       30%         0%        0%
                Yukon                               11%      46%       36%         6%        1%

USA             Alaska                               8%      45%       28%         17%       2%
                Arizona                              5%      38%       41%         15%       1%
                California                           1%      20%       27%         33%       19%
                Colorado                             1%      27%       30%         37%       6%
                Idaho                                4%      49%       38%         9%        0%
                Michigan                             5%      48%       38%         10%       0%
                Minnesota                            3%      52%       35%         10%       0%
                Montana                              2%      41%       25%         31%       2%
                Nevada                              11%      55%       27%         7%        0%
                New Mexico                           3%      48%       28%         23%       0%
                Utah                                18%      55%       18%         8%        0%
                Washington                           4%      40%       22%         24%       9%
                Wyoming                             15%      62%       19%         4%        0%

Australia       New South Wales                      4%      50%       35%         10%       0%
                Northern Territory                   6%      53%       32%         9%        0%
                Queensland                           4%      42%       39%         11%       4%
                South Australia                      7%      55%       23%         13%       2%
                Tasmania                             0%      37%       27%         23%       13%
                Victoria                             5%      45%       31%         14%       5%
                Western Australia                   11%      54%       28%         7%        0%

Oceania         Indonesia                            0%      36%       38%         16%       10%
                New Zealand                          0%      48%       45%         8%        0%
                Papua New Guinea                     3%      63%       23%         10%       3%
                Philippines                          3%      34%       50%         5%        8%




98                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness,
                              parks, or archeological sites
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2         3             4          5
Africa             Botswana                             31%     58%       11%          0%           0%
                   Burkina Faso                         15%     79%        6%          0%           0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      54%       29%         13%           4%
                   Egypt                                15%     54%       15%         15%           0%
                   Ghana                                6%      78%       14%          2%           0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     7%      70%       11%         11%           0%
                   Madagascar                           0%      43%       43%          7%           7%
                   Mali                                 7%      86%        7%          0%           0%
                   Mauritania                           31%     62%        8%          0%           0%
                   Morocco                              26%     68%        5%          0%           0%
                   Namibia                              18%     68%       11%          2%           0%
                   Niger                                8%      92%        0%          0%           0%
                   South Africa                         12%     54%       26%          4%           4%
                   Tanzania                             9%      65%       12%         12%           2%
                   Zambia                               11%     69%       17%          3%           0%
                   Zimbabwe                             3%      41%       21%         21%          15%

Argentina          Catamarca                            9%      52%       22%          9%           9%
                   Chubut                               0%      41%       17%         31%          10%
                   Jujuy                                0%      50%       11%         22%          17%
                   La Rioja                             6%      31%       25%         31%           6%
                   Mendoza                              7%      30%       30%         14%          19%
                   Neuquen                              7%      33%       33%         13%          13%
                   Rio Negro                            6%      35%       29%         18%          12%
                   Salta                                12%     46%       27%         12%           3%
                   San Juan                             14%     46%       21%         21%           0%
                   Santa Cruz                           6%      43%       29%         20%           3%




                                                                        Table 9 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                  99
Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness,
                           parks, or archeological sites
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%      27%       48%         17%       6%

and the             Brazil                               3%      46%       43%         9%        0%

Caribbean           Chile                               16%      59%       20%         4%        1%
                    Colombia                             3%      40%       37%         19%       2%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              0%      26%       26%         33%       15%
                    Dominican Republic                   7%      48%       33%         11%       0%
                    French Guiana                       12%      41%       12%         18%       18%
                    Guatemala                            5%      40%       30%         20%       5%
                    Guyana                              10%      58%       29%         3%        0%
                    Honduras                             6%      22%       39%         28%       6%
                    Mexico                              11%      60%       22%         7%        0%
                    Panama                               5%      48%       38%         10%       0%
                    Peru                                 8%      46%       27%         19%       1%
                    Suriname                             8%      39%       39%         8%        8%
                    Venezuela                            3%      17%       26%         29%       26%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             0%      50%       25%         25%       0%
                    China                                3%      68%       15%         5%        10%
                    Finland                             16%      56%       21%         7%        0%
                    Greenland                           12%      60%       28%         0%        0%
                    Greece                               0%      36%       21%         36%       7%
                    India                                0%      27%       33%         27%       13%
                    Ireland                             23%      52%       21%         5%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                           9%      68%       18%         5%        0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      53%       29%         6%        12%
                    Mongolia                             5%      46%       35%         5%        8%
                    Norway                              14%      48%       29%         10%       0%
                    Poland                               0%      46%       31%         23%       0%
                    Romania                              0%      33%       42%         21%       4%
                    Russia                               4%      57%       25%         4%        11%
                    Serbia                               8%      50%       42%         0%        0%
                    Spain                                8%      58%       17%         13%       4%
                    Sweden                              19%      56%       22%         3%        0%
                    Turkey                               5%      60%       29%         7%        0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      46%       46%         8%        0%




100                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads,
                                power availability, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2        3           4   5
Canada             Alberta                             52%      37%      12%          0%   0%
                   British Columbia                    22%      42%      28%          7%   1%
                   Manitoba                            26%      39%      29%          6%   0%
                   New Brunswick                       54%      42%       5%          0%   0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador             24%      28%      37%      11%      0%
                   Northwest Territories               14%      21%      23%      38%      5%
                   Nova Scotia                         50%      39%      11%          0%   0%
                   Nunavut                              9%       7%      26%      52%      6%
                   Ontario                             33%      41%      23%          3%   0%
                   Quebec                              41%      35%      20%          5%   0%
                   Saskatchewan                        26%      48%      26%          0%   0%
                   Yukon                               15%      24%      38%      19%      4%

USA                Alaska                              12%      20%      39%      27%      2%
                   Arizona                             39%      52%       7%          1%   1%
                   California                          24%      61%      13%          1%   0%
                   Colorado                            37%      47%      13%          3%   1%
                   Idaho                               26%      60%      11%          2%   0%
                   Michigan                            52%      43%       0%          5%   0%
                   Minnesota                           52%      41%       3%          3%   0%
                   Montana                             31%      55%      14%          0%   0%
                   Nevada                              46%      47%       7%          0%   0%
                   New Mexico                          24%      59%      10%          7%   0%
                   Utah                                43%      53%       2%          2%   0%
                   Washington                          26%      60%      12%          2%   0%
                   Wyoming                             43%      47%       9%          2%   0%

Australia          New South Wales                     29%      53%      14%          4%   0%
                   Northern Territory                  21%      47%      28%          4%   0%
                   Queensland                          23%      51%      22%          4%   0%
                   South Australia                     25%      42%      18%      15%      0%
                   Tasmania                            28%      41%      24%          7%   0%
                   Victoria                            36%      45%      12%          7%   0%
                   Western Australia                   28%      47%      19%          6%   0%

Oceania            Indonesia                            2%      20%      48%      28%      2%
                   New Zealand                         20%      66%      15%          0%   0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     0%       2%      34%      59%      5%
                   Philippines                          0%      13%      60%      23%      5%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                       101
Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads,
                               power availability, etc.)
             1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
             3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                     5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                 Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa           Botswana                             22%     39%       36%          3%          0%
                 Burkina Faso                         3%      27%       47%         21%          3%
                 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   2%       2%       16%         66%         14%
                 Egypt                                0%      54%       39%          8%          0%
                 Ghana                                12%     39%       37%         10%          2%
                 Guinea (Conakry)                     4%       7%       33%         52%          4%
                 Madagascar                           0%      23%       39%         31%          8%
                 Mali                                 0%      17%       63%         17%          2%
                 Mauritania                           8%       8%       54%         23%          8%
                 Morocco                              11%     53%       32%          0%          5%
                 Namibia                              21%     43%       23%         11%          2%
                 Niger                                8%       8%       50%         25%          8%
                 South Africa                         11%     44%       32%         11%          3%
                 Tanzania                             5%      26%       45%         17%          7%
                 Zambia                               3%      44%       41%          9%          3%
                 Zimbabwe                             3%      24%       24%         32%         18%

Argentina        Catamarca                            9%      48%       26%         13%          4%
                 Chubut                               14%     31%       28%         21%          7%
                 Jujuy                                5%      53%       16%         11%         16%
                 La Rioja                             11%     33%       33%         17%          6%
                 Mendoza                              16%     50%       21%          5%          9%
                 Neuquen                              20%     27%       33%          7%         13%
                 Rio Negro                            28%     28%       33%          6%          6%
                 Salta                                17%     47%       33%          3%          0%
                 San Juan                             13%     49%       31%          7%          0%
                 Santa Cruz                           6%      44%       44%          3%          3%




                                                                     Table 10 continued next page ...




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Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads,
                                power availability, etc.)
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%      12%      29%      49%      8%

and the             Brazil                               7%      35%      44%      11%      3%

Caribbean           Chile                               12%      50%      30%          6%   3%
                    Colombia                             6%      33%      46%      12%      3%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              7%      15%      44%      24%      10%
                    Dominican Republic                   4%      56%      37%          4%   0%
                    French Guiana                       12%      12%      59%      18%      0%
                    Guatemala                            5%      19%      57%      14%      5%
                    Guyana                               0%      10%      52%      36%      3%
                    Honduras                             5%      20%      45%      25%      5%
                    Mexico                              12%      59%      23%          5%   1%
                    Panama                               0%      48%      48%          5%   0%
                    Peru                                 4%      48%      37%      11%      1%
                    Suriname                             7%       7%      53%      33%      0%
                    Venezuela                            8%      14%      38%      27%      14%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            25%      58%       8%          0%   8%
                    China                               15%      24%      42%      12%      7%
                    Finland                             54%      40%       7%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                            4%      15%      54%      27%      0%
                    Greece                               7%      57%      29%          0%   7%
                    India                                6%      25%      44%      19%      6%
                    Ireland                             63%      33%       2%          2%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           8%      38%      38%      17%      0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           6%      24%      41%      18%      12%
                    Mongolia                             0%       5%      42%      45%      8%
                    Norway                              50%      41%       9%          0%   0%
                    Poland                              14%      50%      36%          0%   0%
                    Romania                             13%      46%      33%          8%   0%
                    Russia                               0%      31%      31%      28%      10%
                    Serbia                              42%      25%      33%          0%   0%
                    Spain                               38%      42%      17%          4%   0%
                    Sweden                              53%      33%      14%          0%   0%
                    Turkey                              26%      60%      14%          0%   0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      23%      62%      15%      0%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         103
Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions
        (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social
                     infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.)
              1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
              3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                      5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                  Response                              1        2         3           4       5
Canada            Alberta                             33%      58%        9%         0%        0%
                  British Columbia                    15%      56%       23%         5%        1%
                  Manitoba                            16%      62%       13%         7%        2%
                  New Brunswick                       33%      52%       14%         0%        0%
                  Newfoundland and Labrador           15%      62%       20%         3%        0%
                  Northwest Territories               11%      42%       31%        15%        2%
                  Nova Scotia                         31%      58%       12%         0%        0%
                  Nunavut                             10%      35%       46%        10%        0%
                  Ontario                             20%      53%       21%         6%        1%
                  Quebec                              21%      52%       25%         3%        0%
                  Saskatchewan                        19%      67%       14%         0%        0%
                  Yukon                               16%      64%       18%         3%        0%

USA               Alaska                              15%      59%       24%         2%        0%
                  Arizona                             19%      70%        9%         1%        1%
                  California                          19%      61%        6%        11%        3%
                  Colorado                            19%      54%       20%         4%        3%
                  Idaho                               12%      75%       12%         2%        0%
                  Michigan                            30%      55%        5%        10%        0%
                  Minnesota                           22%      59%       15%         4%        0%
                  Montana                             17%      64%       13%         4%        2%
                  Nevada                              27%      67%        5%         1%        0%
                  New Mexico                          16%      71%       11%         3%        0%
                  Utah                                25%      69%        4%         0%        2%
                  Washington                          11%      73%        7%         9%        0%
                  Wyoming                             33%      63%        2%         0%        2%

Australia         New South Wales                     19%      64%       17%         0%        0%
                  Northern Territory                  13%      67%       17%         2%        0%
                  Queensland                          21%      58%       18%         3%        0%
                  South Australia                     20%      63%       17%         0%        0%
                  Tasmania                            17%      59%       17%         3%        3%
                  Victoria                            21%      62%       13%         3%        3%
                  Western Australia                   16%      67%       14%         3%        0%

Oceania           Indonesia                            0%      32%       44%        21%        4%
                  New Zealand                         31%      49%       15%         5%        0%
                  Papua New Guinea                     3%      24%       41%        32%        0%
                  Philippines                          0%      26%       32%        40%        3%




104                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions
      (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social
                   infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             21%     50%       29%          0%           0%
                   Burkina Faso                         6%      31%       56%          6%           0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      16%       31%         39%          14%
                   Egypt                                8%      25%       42%         25%           0%
                   Ghana                                7%      47%       40%          2%           4%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     8%      15%       35%         42%           0%
                   Madagascar                           0%      39%       54%          0%           8%
                   Mali                                 2%      37%       59%          2%           0%
                   Mauritania                           15%     39%       46%          0%           0%
                   Morocco                              6%      38%       56%          0%           0%
                   Namibia                              12%     54%       32%          0%           2%
                   Niger                                8%      25%       58%          8%           0%
                   South Africa                         5%      34%       37%         20%           5%
                   Tanzania                             3%      38%       43%         14%           3%
                   Zambia                               6%      44%       38%         12%           0%
                   Zimbabwe                             7%      13%       17%         33%          30%

Argentina          Catamarca                            18%     41%       36%          0%           5%
                   Chubut                               7%      21%       39%         18%          14%
                   Jujuy                                18%     24%       35%         12%          12%
                   La Rioja                             13%     25%       38%         13%          13%
                   Mendoza                              8%      38%       30%         10%          15%
                   Neuquen                              21%     21%       50%          0%           7%
                   Rio Negro                            24%     24%       41%          6%           6%
                   Salta                                18%     32%       35%         12%           3%
                   San Juan                             16%     37%       33%         12%           2%
                   Santa Cruz                           9%      35%       27%         27%           3%




                                                                       Table 11 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                105
Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions
        (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social
                     infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.)
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2         3          4         5
Latin America       Bolivia                              2%       4%      28%        55%         11%

and the             Brazil                               3%      52%      38%          6%        0%
                    Chile                               13%      69%      17%          2%        0%
Caribbean
                    Colombia                             3%      53%      30%        13%         0%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              5%      10%      39%        36%         10%
                    Dominican Republic                   4%      52%      44%          0%        0%
                    French Guiana                       15%      46%      23%        15%         0%
                    Guatemala                            5%      15%      35%        35%         10%
                    Guyana                               3%      53%      33%        10%         0%
                    Honduras                             0%      28%      28%        28%         17%
                    Mexico                               8%      56%      28%          8%        1%
                    Panama                              10%      35%      45%        10%         0%
                    Peru                                 2%      29%      44%        25%         1%
                    Suriname                             7%      27%      47%        20%         0%
                    Venezuela                            3%      14%      22%        35%         27%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             9%      55%      18%          9%        9%
                    China                                3%      46%      32%        11%         8%
                    Finland                             53%      43%       5%          0%        0%
                    Greenland                           17%      42%      38%          4%        0%
                    Greece                               7%      21%      36%        21%         14%
                    India                                0%      50%      38%          6%        6%
                    Ireland                             33%      55%      13%          0%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                           5%      36%      55%          5%        0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      25%      50%        19%         6%
                    Mongolia                             0%      34%      47%        16%         3%
                    Norway                              43%      52%       5%          0%        0%
                    Poland                              14%      57%      29%          0%        0%
                    Romania                              0%      32%      50%        14%         5%
                    Russia                               4%      58%      17%        17%         4%
                    Serbia                               0%      64%      27%          9%        0%
                    Spain                               30%      52%      17%          0%        0%
                    Sweden                              46%      46%       9%          0%        0%
                    Turkey                               8%      65%      27%          0%        0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      39%      62%          0%        0%




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Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit
                      repatriation, currency restrictions, etc
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2         3           4   5
Canada             Alberta                             46%      46%       7%          2%    0%
                   British Columbia                    33%      58%       7%          2%    0%
                   Manitoba                            33%      59%       7%          0%    0%
                   New Brunswick                       39%      59%       2%          0%    0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador             34%      60%       5%          2%    0%
                   Northwest Territories               33%      61%       7%          0%    0%
                   Nova Scotia                         41%      56%       4%          0%    0%
                   Nunavut                             29%      61%       10%         0%    0%
                   Ontario                             39%      56%       5%          1%    0%
                   Quebec                              37%      49%       13%         1%    0%
                   Saskatchewan                        38%      55%       7%          0%    0%
                   Yukon                               45%      54%       1%          0%    0%

USA                Alaska                              41%      52%       7%          0%    0%
                   Arizona                             36%      55%       8%          0%    2%
                   California                          36%      58%       3%          3%    0%
                   Colorado                            35%      62%       3%          0%    0%
                   Idaho                               35%      63%       2%          0%    0%
                   Michigan                            40%      55%       5%          0%    0%
                   Minnesota                           30%      59%       11%         0%    0%
                   Montana                             34%      57%       9%          0%    0%
                   Nevada                              43%      51%       6%          0%    0%
                   New Mexico                          28%      59%       13%         0%    0%
                   Utah                                35%      61%       4%          0%    0%
                   Washington                          36%      55%       9%          0%    0%
                   Wyoming                             40%      53%       7%          0%    0%

Australia          New South Wales                     34%      64%       2%          0%    0%
                   Northern Territory                  29%      62%       9%          0%    0%
                   Queensland                          31%      65%       4%          0%    0%
                   South Australia                     32%      56%       12%         0%    0%
                   Tasmania                            35%      62%       3%          0%    0%
                   Victoria                            40%      58%       3%          0%    0%
                   Western Australia                   35%      55%       9%          0%    1%

Oceania            Indonesia                            0%      28%       42%         23%   7%
                   New Zealand                         33%      58%       8%          3%    0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     6%      53%       33%         8%    0%
                   Philippines                          3%      39%       39%         17%   3%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                        107
Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit
                      repatriation, currency restrictions, etc
            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa          Botswana                             31%     56%       13%          0%           0%
                Burkina Faso                         9%      58%       33%          0%           0%
                Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      21%       45%         26%           9%
                Egypt                                0%      18%       36%         46%           0%
                Ghana                                7%      63%       26%          4%           0%
                Guinea (Conakry)                     9%      30%       39%         22%           0%
                Madagascar                           15%     31%       31%         15%           8%
                Mali                                 8%      55%       26%         11%           0%
                Mauritania                           25%     42%       25%          8%           0%
                Morocco                              33%     40%       13%         13%           0%
                Namibia                              15%     55%       25%          3%           3%
                Niger                                10%     30%       30%         30%           0%
                South Africa                         3%      42%       32%         16%           7%
                Tanzania                             3%      61%       26%          8%           3%
                Zambia                               9%      58%       33%          0%           0%
                Zimbabwe                             7%      10%       19%         23%          42%

Argentina       Catamarca                            5%       9%       23%         36%          27%
                Chubut                               0%       4%       25%         43%          29%
                Jujuy                                0%       6%       17%         50%          28%
                La Rioja                             0%       0%       18%         53%          29%
                Mendoza                              8%      13%       20%         40%          20%
                Neuquen                              7%       0%       21%         43%          29%
                Rio Negro                            12%      6%       18%         35%          29%
                Salta                                6%       6%       31%         43%          14%
                San Juan                             7%      12%       23%         42%          16%
                Santa Cruz                           0%       3%       27%         38%          32%




                                                                    Table 12 continued next page ...




108                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit
                      repatriation, currency restrictions, etc
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              4%      11%      26%      43%      17%

and the             Brazil                               8%      46%      38%          8%   0%

Caribbean           Chile                               29%      60%      11%          1%   0%
                    Colombia                            22%      52%      20%          7%   0%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              3%      32%      26%      32%      8%
                    Dominican Republic                  19%      54%      27%          0%   0%
                    French Guiana                       15%      62%      15%          8%   0%
                    Guatemala                            0%      45%      50%          5%   0%
                    Guyana                              19%      54%      15%      12%      0%
                    Honduras                            11%      44%      33%      11%      0%
                    Mexico                              19%      56%      21%          4%   0%
                    Panama                              38%      38%      19%          5%   0%
                    Peru                                25%      46%      24%          6%   0%
                    Suriname                             7%      29%      43%      21%      0%
                    Venezuela                            3%       6%       6%      36%      50%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            27%      55%      18%          0%   0%
                    China                                3%      22%      41%      27%      8%
                    Finland                             61%      37%       2%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                           44%      48%       4%          4%   0%
                    Greece                               8%      62%      31%          0%   0%
                    India                                0%      33%      40%      20%      7%
                    Ireland                             55%      38%       5%          2%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      46%      27%      27%      0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           6%      38%      25%      19%      13%
                    Mongolia                             0%      26%      51%      11%      11%
                    Norway                              52%      38%      10%          0%   0%
                    Poland                              21%      50%      21%          7%   0%
                    Romania                             23%      41%      32%          5%   0%
                    Russia                               4%      26%      37%      15%      19%
                    Serbia                               9%      55%      36%          0%   0%
                    Spain                               35%      57%       9%          0%   0%
                    Sweden                              53%      41%       6%          0%   0%
                    Turkey                              18%      71%       5%          3%   3%
                    Vietnam                              0%      23%      39%      39%      0%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         109
Table A13: Political stability

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                                  1         2         3           4       5
Canada          Alberta                                 63%     30%          4%         4%        0%
                British Columbia                        39%     25%         26%         8%        1%
                Manitoba                                46%     44%          6%         3%        1%
                New Brunswick                           51%     49%          0%         0%        0%
                Newfoundland & Labrador                 47%     46%          6%         2%        0%
                Northwest Territories                   44%     40%         13%         3%        0%
                Nova Scotia                             58%     35%          8%         0%        0%
                Nunavut                                 38%     49%         11%         2%        0%
                Ontario                                 50%     36%         10%         4%        1%
                Quebec                                  35%     31%         23%        10%        1%
                Saskatchewan                            63%     35%          0%         2%        0%
                Yukon                                   63%     31%          5%         1%        0%

USA             Alaska                                  60%     29%          7%         5%        0%
                Arizona                                 40%     50%          6%         3%        1%
                California                              26%     31%         19%        15%        9%
                Colorado                                39%     33%         17%         8%        3%
                Idaho                                   53%     34%          9%         4%        0%
                Michigan                                43%     33%         19%         5%        0%
                Minnesota                               35%     38%         14%        14%        0%
                Montana                                 44%     29%         13%        13%        2%
                Nevada                                  54%     36%          9%         1%        0%
                New Mexico                              35%     53%          8%         5%        0%
                Utah                                    52%     36%         10%         2%        0%
                Washington                              32%     32%         16%        14%        7%
                Wyoming                                 64%     28%          6%         2%        0%

Australia       New South Wales                         56%     29%         13%         0%        2%
                Northern Territory                      70%     26%          4%         0%        0%
                Queensland                              55%     30%         15%         0%        0%
                South Australia                         63%     29%          9%         0%        0%
                Tasmania                                61%     25%          7%         4%        4%
                Victoria                                65%     30%          5%         0%        0%
                Western Australia                       65%     28%          6%         1%        0%

Oceania         Indonesia                                2%     28%         44%        18%        9%
                New Zealand                             65%     30%          5%         0%        0%
                Papua New Guinea                         0%     17%         47%        31%        6%
                Philippines                              3%     18%         51%        21%        8%




110                                                                     www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A13: Political stability

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1         2         3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             50%     47%         0%           3%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         3%      30%        55%           6%          6%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   2%         6%      13%          40%         40%
                   Egypt                                0%         0%       0%          75%         25%
                   Ghana                                26%     45%        21%           6%          2%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     0%         4%      25%          63%          8%
                   Madagascar                           0%      15%        31%         46%           8%
                   Mali                                 0%      11%        23%         55%          11%
                   Mauritania                           23%     15%        23%         31%           8%
                   Morocco                              25%     56%         0%         13%           6%
                   Namibia                              36%     41%        17%           2%          5%
                   Niger                                7%         7%      36%         21%          29%
                   South Africa                         6%      15%        42%         27%           9%
                   Tanzania                             5%      54%        32%           5%          5%
                   Zambia                               18%     41%        27%           6%          9%
                   Zimbabwe                             0%         3%       3%         52%          42%

Argentina          Catamarca                            14%     32%        27%          18%          9%
                   Chubut                               0%      25%        36%          21%         18%
                   Jujuy                                0%      22%        33%          22%         22%
                   La Rioja                             0%      18%        35%          24%         24%
                   Mendoza                              2%      24%        37%          20%         17%
                   Neuquen                              7%      29%        29%          14%         21%
                   Rio Negro                            6%      25%        38%           6%         25%
                   Salta                                6%      29%        37%          23%          6%
                   San Juan                             7%      32%        36%          18%          7%
                   Santa Cruz                           3%      21%        35%          29%         12%




                                                                        Table 13 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                 111
Table A13: Political stability

                 1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                 3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                         5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                     Response                               1          2         3           4        5
Latin America        Bolivia                              0%          4%       19%        35%        42%

and the Carib-       Brazil                               15%     52%          28%         3%        2%

bean Basin           Chile                                40%     44%          14%         1%        1%
                     Colombia                             18%     40%          30%        10%        3%
                     Ecuador                              3%      15%          23%        35%        25%
                     Dominican Republic                   11%     63%          26%         0%        0%
                     French Guiana                        57%     29%          14%         0%        0%
                     Guatemala                            5%          0%       57%        33%        5%
                     Guyana                               19%     37%          37%         4%        4%
                     Honduras                             5%          0%       47%        32%        16%
                     Mexico                               18%     48%          27%         6%        1%
                     Panama                               11%     47%          26%        16%        0%
                     Peru                                 11%     34%          39%        14%        2%
                     Suriname                             0%      27%          47%        20%        7%
                     Venezuela                            3%          3%       13%        29%        53%

Eurasia              Bulgaria                             18%     55%          18%         0%        9%
                     China                                11%     49%          23%        11%        6%
                     Finland                              81%     17%           2%         0%        0%
                     Greenland                            52%     44%           0%         4%        0%
                     Greece                               7%          7%       50%        29%        7%
                     India                                20%     47%          27%         7%        0%
                     Ireland                              61%     27%           7%         5%        0%
                     Kazakhstan                           0%      38%          50%        13%        0%
                     Kyrgyzstan                           0%      17%          11%        56%        17%
                     Mongolia                             0%          6%       44%        39%        11%
                     Norway                               75%     15%           0%        10%        0%
                     Poland                               36%     36%          29%         0%        0%
                     Romania                              0%      31%          31%        31%        8%
                     Russia                               15%     37%          19%        22%        7%
                     Serbia                               0%      55%          27%        18%        0%
                     Spain                                23%     36%          27%        14%        0%
                     Sweden                               80%         9%        9%         3%        0%
                     Turkey                               15%     69%          13%         3%        0%
                     Vietnam                              23%     46%          15%        15%        0%




112                                                                        www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and
                          labor militancy/work disruptions
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2        3            4    5
Canada             Alberta                             35%      55%       7%          3%    0%
                   British Columbia                    18%      51%      25%          6%    0%
                   Manitoba                            25%      62%      11%          1%    0%
                   New Brunswick                       36%      55%       7%          2%    0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador             24%      55%      18%          3%    0%
                   Northwest Territories               20%      64%      16%          0%    0%
                   Nova Scotia                         33%      48%      15%          4%    0%
                   Nunavut                             17%      69%      13%          2%    0%
                   Ontario                             22%      56%      18%          2%    1%
                   Quebec                              18%      54%      21%          8%    0%
                   Saskatchewan                        32%      64%       0%          3%    0%
                   Yukon                               35%      60%       4%          1%    0%

USA                Alaska                              33%      54%      12%          1%    0%
                   Arizona                             23%      65%       9%          3%    1%
                   California                          14%      45%      27%          9%    5%
                   Colorado                            28%      52%      16%          3%    1%
                   Idaho                               31%      60%       8%          2%    0%
                   Michigan                            24%      57%      19%          0%    0%
                   Minnesota                           17%      59%      17%          7%    0%
                   Montana                             25%      58%      13%          4%    0%
                   Nevada                              38%      51%       9%          1%    0%
                   New Mexico                          18%      64%      13%          5%    0%
                   Utah                                33%      59%       6%          2%    0%
                   Washington                          23%      49%      26%          2%    0%
                   Wyoming                             45%      47%       4%          4%    0%

Australia          New South Wales                      6%      46%      35%          13%   0%
                   Northern Territory                  15%      54%      24%          7%    0%
                   Queensland                           8%      56%      26%          10%   0%
                   South Australia                      7%      51%      34%          9%    0%
                   Tasmania                             7%      48%      28%          7%    10%
                   Victoria                            10%      45%      35%          5%    5%
                   Western Australia                   15%      50%      28%          7%    0%

Oceania            Indonesia                            0%      41%      45%          12%   2%
                   New Zealand                         23%      56%      18%          3%    0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     6%      50%      36%          8%    0%
                   Philippines                          3%      45%      37%          13%   3%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                        113
Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and
                         labor militancy/work disruptions
             1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
             3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                     5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                 Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa           Botswana                             21%     68%       12%          0%          0%
                 Burkina Faso                         9%      62%       29%          0%          0%
                 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      36%       30%         28%          6%
                 Egypt                                0%       8%       50%         33%          8%
                 Ghana                                4%      71%       23%          2%          0%
                 Guinea (Conakry)                     4%      33%       29%         33%          0%
                 Madagascar                           0%      46%       46%          0%          8%
                 Mali                                 5%      43%       41%         12%          0%
                 Mauritania                           15%     54%       23%          8%          0%
                 Morocco                              7%      67%       27%          0%          0%
                 Namibia                              7%      63%       27%          2%          0%
                 Niger                                8%      33%       42%         17%          0%
                 South Africa                         2%      15%       26%         49%          8%
                 Tanzania                             0%      53%       38%          8%          3%
                 Zambia                               3%      53%       41%          3%          0%
                 Zimbabwe                             0%      19%       23%         42%         16%

Argentina        Catamarca                            18%     41%       32%          5%          5%
                 Chubut                               4%      21%       43%         25%          7%
                 Jujuy                                6%      22%       50%          6%         17%
                 La Rioja                             6%      29%       47%         12%          6%
                 Mendoza                              5%      26%       36%         23%         10%
                 Neuquen                              14%     21%       50%          7%          7%
                 Rio Negro                            13%     25%       44%         13%          6%
                 Salta                                6%      41%       41%          9%          3%
                 San Juan                             9%      44%       30%         14%          2%
                 Santa Cruz                           3%      15%       39%         33%          9%




                                                                     Table 14 continued next page ...




114                                                                 www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and
                          labor militancy/work disruptions
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3            4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              0%       7%      28%          50%   15%

and the             Brazil                               6%      41%      46%          6%    0%

Caribbean           Chile                               11%      56%      27%          5%    0%
                    Colombia                             3%      61%      28%          8%    0%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              3%      16%      46%          27%   8%
                    Dominican Republic                  12%      56%      32%          0%    0%
                    French Guiana                        7%      64%      14%          14%   0%
                    Guatemala                            0%      43%      43%          10%   5%
                    Guyana                               0%      82%      15%          4%    0%
                    Honduras                             0%      28%      61%          11%   0%
                    Mexico                               7%      55%      32%          6%    1%
                    Panama                               0%      62%      38%          0%    0%
                    Peru                                 1%      39%      42%          17%   1%
                    Suriname                             0%      50%      43%          7%    0%
                    Venezuela                            0%      14%      17%          43%   26%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             8%      58%      17%          17%   0%
                    China                               11%      51%      24%          8%    5%
                    Finland                             41%      50%      10%          0%    0%
                    Greenland                           28%      64%       8%          0%    0%
                    Greece                               0%      21%      36%          29%   14%
                    India                                7%      27%      53%          13%   0%
                    Ireland                             19%      57%      19%          5%    0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      41%      50%          9%    0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      31%      31%          25%   13%
                    Mongolia                             3%      52%      33%          9%    3%
                    Norway                              33%      52%      10%          5%    0%
                    Poland                              15%      31%      46%          8%    0%
                    Romania                              4%      44%      32%          20%   0%
                    Russia                               0%      58%      27%          8%    8%
                    Serbia                              27%      46%      18%          9%    0%
                    Spain                               17%      39%      26%          17%   0%
                    Sweden                              34%      54%       9%          3%    0%
                    Turkey                              15%      64%      18%          3%    0%
                    Vietnam                              8%      62%      23%          8%    0%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         115
Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps,
                        ease of access to information, etc.)
            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                              1        2         3           4       5
Canada          Alberta                             56%      37%        5%         2%        0%
                British Columbia                    69%      29%        2%         0%        0%
                Manitoba                            57%      36%        4%         3%        0%
                New Brunswick                       62%      36%        2%         0%        0%
                Newfoundland & Labrador             66%      30%        5%         0%        0%
                Northwest Territories               52%      37%       10%         2%        0%
                Nova Scotia                         63%      30%        7%         0%        0%
                Nunavut                             41%      44%       15%         0%        0%
                Ontario                             71%      24%        3%         1%        1%
                Quebec                              76%      19%        3%         3%        0%
                Saskatchewan                        62%      36%        0%         2%        0%
                Yukon                               65%      33%        3%         0%        0%

USA             Alaska                              56%      35%        8%         1%        0%
                Arizona                             48%      41%       12%         0%        0%
                California                          35%      45%       15%         5%        0%
                Colorado                            51%      41%        7%         0%        1%
                Idaho                               42%      46%       12%         0%        0%
                Michigan                            15%      45%       30%        10%        0%
                Minnesota                           40%      40%       10%        10%        0%
                Montana                             55%      34%        9%         2%        0%
                Nevada                              57%      36%        6%         2%        0%
                New Mexico                          55%      34%        8%         3%        0%
                Utah                                56%      38%        4%         2%        0%
                Washington                          36%      41%       21%         2%        0%
                Wyoming                             57%      38%        2%         2%        0%

Australia       New South Wales                     60%      40%        0%         0%        0%
                Northern Territory                  67%      29%        4%         0%        0%
                Queensland                          63%      34%        1%         1%        0%
                South Australia                     81%      15%        3%         0%        0%
                Tasmania                            48%      44%        0%         7%        0%
                Victoria                            58%      33%       10%         0%        0%
                Western Australia                   74%      22%        3%         1%        0%

Oceania         Indonesia                            2%      39%       44%        14%        2%
                New Zealand                         45%      45%       10%         0%        0%
                Papua New Guinea                     6%      46%       43%         6%        0%
                Philippines                          6%      33%       47%        14%        0%




116                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps,
                         ease of access to information, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             21%     52%       27%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         0%      41%       50%           9%          0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      13%       38%          43%          6%
                   Egypt                                0%      33%       58%           8%          0%
                   Ghana                                13%     43%       38%           6%          0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     0%      18%       36%         46%           0%
                   Madagascar                           8%      25%       58%           8%          0%
                   Mali                                 0%      26%       62%         13%           0%
                   Mauritania                           17%     33%       33%         17%           0%
                   Morocco                              27%     27%       40%           7%          0%
                   Namibia                              30%     35%       33%           3%          0%
                   Niger                                0%      33%       50%         17%           0%
                   South Africa                         22%     51%       24%           2%          2%
                   Tanzania                             8%      36%       41%         15%           0%
                   Zambia                               12%     41%       38%           9%          0%
                   Zimbabwe                             0%      24%       31%         38%           7%

Argentina          Catamarca                            29%     33%       29%          10%          0%
                   Chubut                               14%     29%       43%           4%         11%
                   Jujuy                                18%     41%       24%          12%          6%
                   La Rioja                             18%     35%       24%          18%          6%
                   Mendoza                              13%     36%       28%          15%          8%
                   Neuquen                              36%     21%       29%           7%          7%
                   Rio Negro                            29%     29%       29%           6%          6%
                   Salta                                18%     39%       39%           3%          0%
                   San Juan                             14%     45%       29%           7%          5%
                   Santa Cruz                           12%     38%       41%           6%          3%




                                                                       Table 15 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                117
Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps,
                        ease of access to information, etc.)
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Latin America       Bolivia                              4%      17%       47%        30%        2%

and the             Brazil                              13%      52%       30%         5%        0%

Caribbean           Chile                               25%      49%       21%         4%        0%
                    Colombia                            10%      37%       40%        13%        2%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              5%      24%       37%        29%        5%
                    Dominican Republic                   8%      63%       25%         4%        0%
                    French Guiana                       39%      46%       15%         0%        0%
                    Guatemala                            0%      37%       47%        16%        0%
                    Guyana                              11%      26%       52%        11%        0%
                    Honduras                             6%      33%       44%        11%        6%
                    Mexico                              28%      51%       18%         3%        1%
                    Panama                               5%      26%       58%        11%        0%
                    Peru                                24%      49%       23%         5%        0%
                    Suriname                             7%       7%       57%        21%        7%
                    Venezuela                            0%      14%       36%        31%        19%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            20%      30%       50%         0%        0%
                    China                                0%      26%       43%        23%        9%
                    Finland                             76%      24%        0%         0%        0%
                    Greenland                           52%      44%        4%         0%        0%
                    Greece                               9%      46%       18%        27%        0%
                    India                                7%      47%       33%        13%        0%
                    Ireland                             61%      33%        7%         0%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      45%       50%         5%        0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      40%       33%        13%        13%
                    Mongolia                             6%      38%       41%         9%        6%
                    Norway                              52%      33%       10%         5%        0%
                    Poland                              29%      21%       36%         7%        7%
                    Romania                              4%      44%       30%        13%        9%
                    Russia                              12%      50%       23%         8%        8%
                    Serbia                              22%      33%       22%        22%        0%
                    Spain                               14%      68%        9%         9%        0%
                    Sweden                              69%      23%        6%         3%        0%
                    Turkey                              13%      58%       21%         8%        0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      23%       62%        15%        0%




118                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of
                  attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.)
               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Canada             Alberta                             79%      19%       0%          2%   0%
                   British Columbia                    71%      28%       1%          0%   0%
                   Manitoba                            61%      31%       7%          0%   1%
                   New Brunswick                       83%      17%       0%          0%   0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador             74%      22%       3%          2%   0%
                   Northwest Territories               73%      22%       5%          0%   0%
                   Nova Scotia                         89%      11%       0%          0%   0%
                   Nunavut                             69%      31%       0%          0%   0%
                   Ontario                             72%      24%       2%          2%   0%
                   Quebec                              70%      27%       1%          1%   0%
                   Saskatchewan                        69%      29%       0%          2%   0%
                   Yukon                               78%      22%       0%          0%   0%

USA                Alaska                              72%      26%       2%          0%   0%
                   Arizona                             55%      37%       7%          1%   0%
                   California                          55%      38%       8%          0%   0%
                   Colorado                            70%      27%       3%          0%   0%
                   Idaho                               66%      34%       0%          0%   0%
                   Michigan                            80%      20%       0%          0%   0%
                   Minnesota                           77%      20%       0%          3%   0%
                   Montana                             67%      30%       2%          0%   0%
                   Nevada                              70%      29%       1%          0%   0%
                   New Mexico                          56%      31%      10%          3%   0%
                   Utah                                70%      26%       2%          2%   0%
                   Washington                          69%      27%       4%          0%   0%
                   Wyoming                             73%      23%       0%          4%   0%

Australia          New South Wales                     77%      23%       0%          0%   0%
                   Northern Territory                  82%      18%       0%          0%   0%
                   Queensland                          79%      21%       0%          0%   0%
                   South Australia                     80%      20%       0%          0%   0%
                   Tasmania                            89%       7%       4%          0%   0%
                   Victoria                            85%      15%       0%          0%   0%
                   Western Australia                   83%      15%       2%          0%   0%

Oceania            Indonesia                            0%      25%      43%      29%      4%
                   New Zealand                         80%      20%       0%          0%   0%
                   Papua New Guinea                     0%       3%      50%      39%      8%
                   Philippines                          0%       5%      45%      40%      11%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                        119
Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of
                  attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.)
              1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
              3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                      5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                  Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa            Botswana                             44%     50%        3%          3%          0%
                  Burkina Faso                         6%      25%       53%          9%          6%
                  Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   2%       2%       17%         45%         34%
                  Egypt                                0%      17%       58%         17%          8%
                  Ghana                                20%     52%       24%          4%          0%
                  Guinea (Conakry)                     0%      18%       32%         46%          5%
                  Madagascar                           8%      42%       42%          8%          0%
                  Mali                                 0%       7%       32%         51%         10%
                  Mauritania                           8%      42%       25%         25%          0%
                  Morocco                              40%     13%       33%          0%         13%
                  Namibia                              33%     53%        8%          5%          3%
                  Niger                                0%       0%       46%         31%         23%
                  South Africa                         3%      20%       36%         35%          6%
                  Tanzania                             3%      40%       40%         18%          0%
                  Zambia                               9%      62%       21%          6%          3%
                  Zimbabwe                             0%      18%       18%         25%         39%

Argentina         Catamarca                            43%     43%       14%          0%          0%
                  Chubut                               25%     46%       25%          4%          0%
                  Jujuy                                33%     44%       17%          0%          6%
                  La Rioja                             35%     53%       12%          0%          0%
                  Mendoza                              26%     49%       21%          3%          3%
                  Neuquen                              36%     50%       14%          0%          0%
                  Rio Negro                            29%     59%       12%          0%          0%
                  Salta                                24%     47%       29%          0%          0%
                  San Juan                             31%     45%       21%          2%          0%
                  Santa Cruz                           21%     50%       24%          6%          0%




                                                                      Table 16 continued next page ...




120                                                                  www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of
                attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.)
                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              0%      20%      33%      35%      13%

and the             Brazil                               8%      51%      32%      10%      0%

Caribbean           Chile                               47%      41%      10%          3%   0%
                    Colombia                             0%      10%      60%      24%      6%
Basin
                    Ecuador                              3%      25%      50%      18%      5%
                    Dominican Republic                  15%      58%      23%          4%   0%
                    French Guiana                       39%      39%      23%          0%   0%
                    Guatemala                            0%       0%      50%      40%      10%
                    Guyana                               4%      46%      36%      14%      0%
                    Honduras                             6%       0%      50%      39%      6%
                    Mexico                               2%       8%      43%      42%      5%
                    Panama                              15%      45%      30%      10%      0%
                    Peru                                 2%      27%      52%      19%      1%
                    Suriname                             7%      20%      67%          7%   0%
                    Venezuela                            0%       5%      24%      38%      32%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                            27%      55%       0%      18%      0%
                    China                               17%      47%      22%          8%   6%
                    Finland                             88%      12%       0%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                           84%      16%       0%          0%   0%
                    Greece                              17%      33%      42%          8%   0%
                    India                                6%      31%      63%          0%   0%
                    Ireland                             73%      16%       9%          2%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           5%      43%      43%      10%      0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%      36%       7%      43%      14%
                    Mongolia                            14%      54%      23%          6%   3%
                    Norway                              76%      19%       0%          5%   0%
                    Poland                              79%      14%       0%          7%   0%
                    Romania                             13%      42%      42%          4%   0%
                    Russia                              11%      32%      32%      11%      14%
                    Serbia                              20%      40%      20%      20%      0%
                    Spain                               32%      55%      14%          0%   0%
                    Sweden                              80%      17%       0%          3%   0%
                    Turkey                              16%      49%      32%          3%   0%
                    Vietnam                             23%      46%      31%          0%   0%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         121
Table A17: Availability of labor and skills

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                               1       2          3          4       5
Canada          Alberta                              37%     28%        30%        5%        0%
                British Columbia                     39%     44%        14%        3%        0%
                Manitoba                             32%     47%        19%        1%        0%
                New Brunswick                        46%     44%        10%        0%        0%
                Newfoundland & Labrador              39%     47%        9%         5%        0%
                Northwest Territories                27%     34%        34%        5%        0%
                Nova Scotia                          44%     48%        7%         0%        0%
                Nunavut                              17%     33%        44%        6%        0%
                Ontario                              45%     42%        11%        2%        0%
                Quebec                               48%     35%        16%        1%        0%
                Saskatchewan                         28%     52%        20%        0%        0%
                Yukon                                33%     40%        25%        3%        0%

USA             Alaska                               33%     47%        16%        3%        0%
                Arizona                              36%     48%        16%        0%        0%
                California                           27%     41%        25%        8%        0%
                Colorado                             37%     47%        14%        0%        1%
                Idaho                                37%     49%        14%        0%        0%
                Michigan                             14%     62%        19%        5%        0%
                Minnesota                            20%     60%        17%        3%        0%
                Montana                              39%     46%        13%        2%        0%
                Nevada                               47%     40%        12%        0%        0%
                New Mexico                           34%     45%        21%        0%        0%
                Utah                                 41%     47%        12%        0%        0%
                Washington                           32%     43%        25%        0%        0%
                Wyoming                              42%     46%        13%        0%        0%

Australia       New South Wales                      33%     46%        17%        4%        0%
                Northern Territory                   31%     42%        27%        0%        0%
                Queensland                           25%     49%        24%        3%        0%
                South Australia                      35%     42%        22%        2%        0%
                Tasmania                             29%     39%        21%        7%        4%
                Victoria                             31%     56%        8%         5%        0%
                Western Australia                    37%     30%        23%       10%        0%

Oceania         Indonesia                             5%     38%        50%        7%        0%
                New Zealand                          23%     49%        28%        0%        0%
                Papua New Guinea                      3%     20%        51%       26%        0%
                Philippines                          16%     29%        47%        8%        0%




122                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A17: Availability of labor and skills

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             9%      30%       61%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         7%      17%       53%         23%           0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%      11%       28%         48%          13%
                   Egypt                                17%      8%       58%         17%           0%
                   Ghana                                17%     40%       30%         13%           0%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     5%      19%       29%         48%           0%
                   Madagascar                           0%      17%       50%         25%           8%
                   Mali                                 0%      24%       51%         22%           2%
                   Mauritania                           0%      33%       42%         25%           0%
                   Morocco                              20%     47%       20%         13%           0%
                   Namibia                              15%     33%       43%         10%           0%
                   Niger                                0%      33%       25%         33%           8%
                   South Africa                         12%     35%       37%         12%           3%
                   Tanzania                             3%      38%       43%         15%           3%
                   Zambia                               9%      38%       44%           9%          0%
                   Zimbabwe                             21%      3%       31%         38%           7%

Argentina          Catamarca                            19%     52%       19%         10%           0%
                   Chubut                               7%      32%       43%         14%           4%
                   Jujuy                                11%     67%       11%         11%           0%
                   La Rioja                             6%      59%       24%         12%           0%
                   Mendoza                              13%     45%       26%         11%           5%
                   Neuquen                              21%     57%        7%         14%           0%
                   Rio Negro                            18%     53%       12%         18%           0%
                   Salta                                24%     33%       24%         18%           0%
                   San Juan                             17%     46%       22%         15%           0%
                   Santa Cruz                           9%      39%       15%         33%           3%




                                                                       Table 17 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                123
Table A17: Availability of labor and skills

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                               1       2          3          4        5
Latin America       Bolivia                               2%     24%        24%       44%        7%

and the             Brazil                               13%     54%        27%        6%        0%

Caribbean           Chile                                31%     40%        26%        4%        0%

Basin               Colombia                              5%     43%        43%       10%        0%
                    Ecuador                               0%     16%        45%       37%        3%
                    Dominican Republic                    0%     48%        48%        4%        0%
                    French Guiana                        15%     46%        31%        8%        0%
                    Guatemala                             5%     10%        65%       10%        10%
                    Guyana                                0%     30%        59%       11%        0%
                    Honduras                              6%     11%        61%       17%        6%
                    Mexico                               21%     46%        28%        4%        1%
                    Panama                                5%     45%        45%        5%        0%
                    Peru                                 17%     51%        26%        7%        0%
                    Suriname                              0%     14%        71%       14%        0%
                    Venezuela                             3%      8%        35%       32%        22%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             27%     55%        9%         9%        0%
                    China                                14%     44%        28%        8%        6%
                    Finland                              45%     52%        2%         0%        0%
                    Greenland                             8%     40%        36%       16%        0%
                    Greece                                8%     25%        58%        8%        0%
                    India                                 6%     50%        38%        0%        6%
                    Ireland                              48%     34%        18%        0%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                            5%     50%        40%        5%        0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                            0%     43%        29%        7%        21%
                    Mongolia                              0%     24%        49%       24%        3%
                    Norway                               10%     62%        24%        5%        0%
                    Poland                               43%     36%        21%        0%        0%
                    Romania                               4%     46%        42%        8%        0%
                    Russia                               15%     56%        26%        4%        0%
                    Serbia                               30%     50%        0%        20%        0%
                    Spain                                32%     55%        14%        0%        0%
                    Sweden                               40%     51%        6%         3%        0%
                    Turkey                               28%     44%        25%        3%        0%
                    Vietnam                               8%     46%        31%       15%        0%




124                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A18: Corruption

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                                 1        2     3           4    5
Canada             Alberta                                65%      32%    0%          2%   2%
                   British Columbia                       60%      37%    3%          0%   0%
                   Manitoba                               55%      37%    4%          3%   1%
                   New Brunswick                          71%      29%    0%          0%   0%
                   Newfoundland & Labrador                66%      33%    0%          2%   0%
                   Northwest Territories                  63%      28%    8%          2%   0%
                   Nova Scotia                            78%      22%    0%          0%   0%
                   Nunavut                                47%      46%    6%          2%   0%
                   Ontario                                60%      32%    6%          2%   1%
                   Quebec                                 47%      35%   13%          5%   1%
                   Saskatchewan                           57%      42%    0%          2%   0%
                   Yukon                                  68%      28%    3%          1%   0%

USA                Alaska                                 65%      30%    5%          0%   0%
                   Arizona                                50%      46%    3%          0%   1%
                   California                             52%      36%    8%          3%   2%
                   Colorado                               58%      35%    6%          1%   0%
                   Idaho                                  65%      35%    0%          0%   0%
                   Michigan                               57%      33%   10%          0%   0%
                   Minnesota                              60%      33%    3%          3%   0%
                   Montana                                54%      35%    7%          4%   0%
                   Nevada                                 60%      34%    7%          0%   0%
                   New Mexico                             55%      32%   13%          0%   0%
                   Utah                                   65%      29%    4%          2%   0%
                   Washington                             57%      30%    9%          5%   0%
                   Wyoming                                62%      34%    2%          2%   0%

Australia          New South Wales                        51%      43%    4%          0%   2%
                   Northern Territory                     64%      31%    4%          0%   0%
                   Queensland                             56%      42%    3%          0%   0%
                   South Australia                        64%      32%    3%          0%   0%
                   Tasmania                               54%      36%   11%          0%   0%
                   Victoria                               65%      30%    5%          0%   0%
                   Western Australia                      68%      28%    3%          1%   0%

Oceania            Indonesia                               0%      4%    26%      46%      25%
                   New Zealand                            80%      21%    0%          0%   0%
                   Papua New Guinea                        3%      14%   47%      36%      0%
                   Philippines                             3%      5%    36%      51%      5%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                        125
Table A18: Corruption

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                               1       2         3            4           5
Africa          Botswana                             27%     49%       15%          9%           0%
                Burkina Faso                         13%     29%       42%         13%           3%
                Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%       0%        9%         46%          46%
                Egypt                                0%       0%       58%         42%           0%
                Ghana                                11%     32%       32%         23%           2%
                Guinea (Conakry)                     0%       5%       29%         52%          14%
                Madagascar                           0%       8%       42%         42%           8%
                Mali                                 0%      17%       52%         29%           2%
                Mauritania                           17%     42%        8%         33%           0%
                Morocco                              13%     47%       13%         27%           0%
                Namibia                              15%     48%       25%         10%           3%
                Niger                                0%      33%       42%         17%           8%
                South Africa                         2%      19%       37%         37%           6%
                Tanzania                             0%      18%       50%         30%           3%
                Zambia                               3%      32%       41%         18%           6%
                Zimbabwe                             3%       3%       24%         21%          48%

Argentina       Catamarca                            14%     29%       24%         19%          14%
                Chubut                               7%      21%       36%         29%           7%
                Jujuy                                6%      22%       28%         28%          17%
                La Rioja                             6%      29%       24%         18%          24%
                Mendoza                              11%     21%       32%         29%           8%
                Neuquen                              21%     29%       21%         14%          14%
                Rio Negro                            24%     24%       24%         18%          12%
                Salta                                12%     27%       38%         21%           3%
                San Juan                             14%     24%       36%         24%           2%
                Santa Cruz                           3%      18%       38%         38%           3%




                                                                    Table 18 continued next page ...




126                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A18: Corruption

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2        3           4    5
Latin America       Bolivia                              0%       7%      23%      50%      21%

and the             Brazil                               2%      37%      48%      13%      2%

Caribbean           Chile                               41%      42%      14%          3%   1%

Basin               Colombia                             0%      39%      45%      16%      0%
                    Ecuador                              0%      16%      51%      19%      14%
                    Dominican Republic                   4%      32%      52%      12%      0%
                    French Guiana                       54%      46%       0%          0%   0%
                    Guatemala                            0%       0%      55%      30%      15%
                    Guyana                               0%      35%      46%      12%      8%
                    Honduras                             0%       0%      44%      44%      11%
                    Mexico                               4%      21%      52%      20%      3%
                    Panama                               0%      25%      60%      10%      5%
                    Peru                                 2%      38%      47%      13%      0%
                    Suriname                             0%      20%      60%      20%      0%
                    Venezuela                            0%       6%      14%      39%      42%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             0%      20%      60%      20%      0%
                    China                                3%      26%      31%      29%      11%
                    Finland                             81%      19%       0%          0%   0%
                    Greenland                           64%      36%       0%          0%   0%
                    Greece                               0%      25%      33%      33%      8%
                    India                                0%       6%      38%      50%      6%
                    Ireland                             57%      36%       2%          5%   0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      10%      40%      50%      0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%       0%      36%      43%      21%
                    Mongolia                             0%      12%      53%      21%      15%
                    Norway                              71%      24%       0%          5%   0%
                    Poland                               8%      62%       8%      15%      8%
                    Romania                              0%       8%      50%      21%      21%
                    Russia                               0%      18%      21%      46%      14%
                    Serbia                               0%      10%      70%      20%      0%
                    Spain                               13%      57%      22%          9%   0%
                    Sweden                              77%      20%       0%          3%   0%
                    Turkey                               8%      58%      32%          3%   0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      15%      46%      23%      15%




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                         127
Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty

            1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
            3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                    5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Canada          Alberta                             46%      40%       12%         2%        0%
                British Columbia                    16%      33%       37%        12%        2%
                Manitoba                            33%      31%       16%        16%        4%
                New Brunswick                       48%      48%        5%         0%        0%
                Newfoundland & Labrador             35%      51%       12%         2%        0%
                Northwest Territories               28%      46%       21%         3%        2%
                Nova Scotia                         42%      54%        4%         0%        0%
                Nunavut                             28%      46%       24%         0%        2%
                Ontario                             27%      38%       23%        11%        2%
                Quebec                              17%      33%       36%        12%        3%
                Saskatchewan                        41%      52%        7%         0%        0%
                Yukon                               40%      45%       14%         1%        0%

USA             Alaska                              34%      35%       27%         5%        0%
                Arizona                             19%      53%       24%         3%        2%
                California                           9%      28%       29%        26%        8%
                Colorado                            15%      33%       29%        22%        1%
                Idaho                               20%      47%       31%         2%        0%
                Michigan                             5%      70%       20%         5%        0%
                Minnesota                           21%      39%       25%        14%        0%
                Montana                             20%      33%       31%        13%        2%
                Nevada                              32%      49%       17%         2%        0%
                New Mexico                           6%      58%       22%        14%        0%
                Utah                                28%      57%       13%         2%        0%
                Washington                          12%      35%       30%        23%        0%
                Wyoming                             44%      40%       16%         0%        0%

Australia       New South Wales                     19%      36%       38%         6%        0%
                Northern Territory                  25%      48%       25%         2%        0%
                Queensland                          19%      36%       39%         7%        0%
                South Australia                     24%      40%       28%         9%        0%
                Tasmania                            21%      25%       32%        18%        4%
                Victoria                            15%      35%       45%         5%        0%
                Western Australia                   32%      40%       25%         4%        0%

Oceania         Indonesia                            0%      11%       39%        41%        9%
                New Zealand                         25%      60%       13%         3%        0%
                Papua New Guinea                     0%      18%       47%        32%        3%
                Philippines                          0%       9%       46%        34%        11%




128                                                                www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty

               1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
               3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                       5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                   Response                               1       2          3            4          5
Africa             Botswana                             19%     68%       13%           0%          0%
                   Burkina Faso                         0%      38%       48%         14%           0%
                   Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)   0%       7%       16%         56%          22%
                   Egypt                                0%       0%       17%         58%          25%
                   Ghana                                7%      44%       42%           4%          2%
                   Guinea (Conakry)                     0%      15%       10%         70%           5%
                   Madagascar                           0%      17%       33%         50%           0%
                   Mali                                 0%      10%       33%         50%           8%
                   Mauritania                           18%     27%        9%         46%           0%
                   Morocco                              21%     36%       36%           7%          0%
                   Namibia                              18%     40%       40%           0%          3%
                   Niger                                0%      20%       40%         20%          20%
                   South Africa                         7%       7%       31%         48%           8%
                   Tanzania                             3%      36%       39%         19%           3%
                   Zambia                               6%      39%       42%         12%           0%
                   Zimbabwe                             0%       7%       14%         35%          45%

Argentina          Catamarca                            10%     30%       30%         20%          10%
                   Chubut                               0%      24%       20%         28%          28%
                   Jujuy                                0%      29%       24%         35%          12%
                   La Rioja                             0%      31%       25%         31%          13%
                   Mendoza                              5%      24%       19%         35%          16%
                   Neuquen                              8%      39%       31%         15%           8%
                   Rio Negro                            6%      38%       19%         19%          19%
                   Salta                                3%      39%       24%         27%           6%
                   San Juan                             5%      35%       25%         30%           5%
                   Santa Cruz                           0%      27%       18%         36%          18%




                                                                       Table 19 continued next page ...




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                129
Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty

                1: Encourages Investment            2: Not a Deterrent to investment
                3: Mild Deterrent                   4: Strong Deterrent
                        5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor

                    Response                              1        2         3           4        5
Latin America       Bolivia                              0%       2%       16%        49%        33%

and the             Brazil                              11%      52%       32%         5%        0%

Caribbean           Chile                               28%      53%       18%         1%        1%

Basin               Colombia                            10%      40%       35%        15%        0%
                    Ecuador                              0%       8%       40%        37%        16%
                    Dominican Republic                   8%      54%       33%         4%        0%
                    French Guiana                        0%      64%       36%         0%        0%
                    Guatemala                            5%      25%       30%        30%        10%
                    Guyana                               0%      52%       41%         7%        0%
                    Honduras                             6%       6%       33%        50%        6%
                    Mexico                               8%      45%       35%        12%        1%
                    Panama                              15%      45%       30%        10%        0%
                    Peru                                 7%      30%       53%         9%        1%
                    Suriname                             0%      27%       40%        33%        0%
                    Venezuela                            0%       9%        9%        34%        49%

Eurasia             Bulgaria                             0%      50%       50%         0%        0%
                    China                                6%      29%       34%        23%        9%
                    Finland                             52%      33%       12%         2%        0%
                    Greenland                           36%      56%        8%         0%        0%
                    Greece                               0%      27%       27%        46%        0%
                    India                                7%      40%       40%         7%        7%
                    Ireland                             35%      50%       13%         3%        0%
                    Kazakhstan                           0%      26%       42%        32%        0%
                    Kyrgyzstan                           0%       7%       36%        36%        21%
                    Mongolia                             0%      13%       31%        41%        16%
                    Norway                              45%      45%        5%         5%        0%
                    Poland                               8%      62%       31%         0%        0%
                    Romania                              0%      30%       30%        39%        0%
                    Russia                               4%      23%       39%        23%        12%
                    Serbia                              22%      33%       22%        22%        0%
                    Spain                               23%      36%       14%        23%        5%
                    Sweden                              52%      42%        6%         0%        0%
                    Turkey                              14%      63%       23%         0%        0%
                    Vietnam                              0%      25%       67%         8%        0%




130                                                                    www.fraserinstitute.org
Table A20: Number of respondents indicating a jurisdiction
                   has the most/least favorable policies towards mining

Jurisdiction*             Most   Least   Diff.   Jurisdiction*                     Most       Least       Diff.
Quebec                     159      16    143    New Mexico                             6          8         -2
Nevada                     132       5    127    Tasmania                               8         10         -2
Chile                      131       4    127    New Zealand                           11         13         -2
Alberta                     94      10     84    Spain                                  6          9         -3
Saskatchewan                68       1     67    Michigan                               4          8         -4
Ontario                     79      14     65    Madagascar                             1          5         -4
Mexico                      70       6     64    Panama                                 4          8         -4
Western Australia           71      10     61    Poland                                 0          4         -4
Yukon                       61       2     59    Minnesota                              5         10         -5
New Brunswick               41       2     39    French Guiana                          2          9         -7
South Australia             36       4     32    Honduras                               2          9         -7
Botswana                    34       2     32    Mali                                   8         16         -8
British Columbia            70      39     31    Argentina: San Juan                   11         19         -8
Newfoundland & Labrador     37       6     31    Argentina: Salta                      14         23         -9
Peru                        40       9     31    Romania                                5         14         -9
Brazil                      31       1     30    Montana                                8         19        -11
Northern Territory          32       3     29    Papua New Guinea                       6         17        -11
Alaska                      36      10     26    Guatemala                              1         13        -12
Queensland                  29       4     25    Philippines                            3         16        -13
Sweden                      28       3     25    Argentina: Neuquen                     2         15        -13
Finland                     26       2     24    Argentina: Catamarca                   4         18        -14
Manitoba                    37      15     22    Vietnam                                3         17        -14
Northwest Territories       29       9     20    Guinea (Conakry)                       0         15        -15
Arizona                     25       7     18    Niger                                  3         18        -15
Wyoming                     23       6     17    Washington                             3         19        -16
Nunavut                     19       4     15    Argentina: Rio Negro                   3         19        -16
Ghana                       23       9     14    Argentina: La Rioja                    2         19        -17
Greenland                   17       3     14    Mongolia                               6         23        -17
Nova Scotia                 14       2     12    Colorado                               4         22        -18
Burkina Faso                14       4     10    Argentina: Jujuy                       2         20        -18
Zambia                      15       5     10    Argentina: Santa Cruz                  4         22        -18
Ireland                     12       2     10    South Africa                          17         38        -21
Turkey                      13       3     10    India                                  3         25        -22
Utah                        13       4      9    Kyrgyzstan                             0         22        -22
Tanzania                    10       3      7    Greece                                 0         25        -25
Namibia                     12       6      6    China                                  9         35        -26
Colombia                    20      15      5    Egypt                                  1         31        -30
Idaho                       10       6      4    Argentina: Chubut                      1         33        -32
Norway                       9       5      4    Russia                                 6         39        -33
New South Wales             12       9      3    Argentina: Mendoza                     1         37        -36
Missouri                     3       1      2    Indonesia                              5         44        -39
Victoria                    10       8      2    Ecuador                                2         42        -40
Mauritania                   4       3      1    Bolivia                                5         76        -71
Dominican Republic           3       2      1    Democratic Republic of                 6         84        -78
Guyana                       4       3      1    Congo (DRC)
Suriname                     4       4      0    Zimbabwe                               2         89        -87
Bulgaria                     1       1      0    California                             1         92        -91
Kazakhstan                  14      14      0    Venezuela                              3        145       -142
Serbia                       2       2      0    *This list is limited to jurisdictions that were included in the
Morocco                      3       4     -1    survey.
About the authors

Alana Wilson is a Policy Analyst with the Fraser Institute’s Centre for Energy and Natural Resource Studies.
She has a M.Sc. in Local Economic Development from the London School of Economics & Political Sci-
ences, and a B.Sc. Agroecology (Honours) in Food and Resource Economics from the University of British
Columbia. Her research has focused on the domestic and international impacts of mining, natural resource
economics, and economic development; she has worked in Canada and internationally for government, in-
ternational organizations, and industry.

Fred McMahon is a Fraser Institute Resident Fellow and holder of the Dr. Michael A. Walker Research
Chair in Economic Freedom. He manages the Economic Freedom of the World Project and coordinates the
Economic Freedom Network, an international alliance of 86 independent think tanks around the world. His
research focuses on global issues such as development, trade, governance, and economic structure. Mr.
McMahon is the author of numerous research articles and several books. He has a MA in Economics from
McGill University, Montreal.

Miguel Angel Cervantes is a research economist with the Fraser Institute. He has an academic background
in Economics; he holds Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in Economics from the University of Texas at El
Paso. He has lectured at Vanier College, and HEC business school in Montreal. He has been the co-ordinator
of the Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies since the 2008/2009 edition, and the Fraser In-
stitute Global Petroleum Survey since the 2009 edition. He was also a co-author of the Economic Freedom of
the Arab World 2010, 2011, and 2012 Annual Reports.

Kenneth P. Green is Senior Director, Energy and Natural Resources at The Fraser Institute. He received his
doctorate in Environmental Science and Engineering from the University of California, Los Angeles
(UCLA), a M.S. in Molecular Genetics from San Diego State University, and a B.S. Biology from UCLA. Dr.
Green has studied public policy involving risk, regulation, and the environment for more than 16 years at
public policy research institutions across North America. Ken has testified before several state legislatures
and regulatory agencies, as well as giving testimony to a variety of committees of the U.S. House and Senate.




132                                                                           www.fraserinstitute.org
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practical effects of policy recommendations.




2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies                                                                     133
Lifetime Patrons

For their long-standing and valuable support contributing to the success of the Fraser Institute, the follow-
ing people have been recognized and inducted as Lifetime Patrons of the Fraser Institute.

              Sonja Bata                                         Raymond Heung
              Charles Barlow                                     Bill Korol
              Ev Berg                                            Bill Mackness
              Art Grunder                                        Fred Mannix
              Jim Chaplin                                        Jack Pirie
              Serge Darkazanli                                   Con Riley
              John Dobson                                        Catherine Windels




Editorial Advisory Board
              Professor Terry L. Anderson                         Professor Michael Parkin
              Professor Robert Barro                              Professor Friedrich Schneider
              Professor Michael Bliss                             Professor Lawrence B. Smith
              Professor Jean-Pierre Centi                         Dr. Vito Tanzi
              Professor John Chant
              Professor Bev Dahlby                                Past members
              Professor Erwin Diewert                             Professor Armen Alchian*
              Professor Stephen Easton                            Professor James M. Buchanan*†
              Professor J.C. Herbert Emery                        Professor Friedrich A. Hayek*†
              Professor Jack L. Granatstein                       Professor H. G. Johnson*
              Professor Herbert G. Grubel                         Professor F. G. Pennance*
              Professor James Gwartney                            Professor George Stigler*†
              Professor Ronald W. Jones                           Professor Edwin G. West*
              Dr. Jerry Jordan                                    Sir Alan Walters*
              Professor Ross McKitrick

                                                                  * Deceased
                                                                  † Nobel Laureate




134                                                                            www.fraserinstitute.org
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Mining Survey 2012-2013

  • 1. FRASER INSTITUTE ANNUAL Survey of Mining Companies 2012/2013 by Alana Wilson, Fred McMahon, and Miguel Cervantes Survey Director: Kenneth P. Green
  • 2. About The Fraser Institute The Fraser Institute’s vision is a free and prosperous world where individuals benefit from greater choice, competitive markets, and personal responsibility. Our mission is to measure, study, and communicate the impact of competitive markets and government interventions on the welfare of individuals. Founded in 1974, we are an independent research and educational organization with locations throughout North America, and international partners in over 80 countries. Our work is financed by tax-deductible contributions from thousands of individuals, organizations, and foundations. In order to protect its inde- pendence, the Institute does not accept grants from government or contracts for research. Media For media inquiries, please contact our Communications Department telephone: 604.714.4582; e-mail: communications@fraserinstitute.org Disclaimer The coordinators of this survey have worked independently and opinions expressed by them are, therefore, their own, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the supporters, trustees, or other staff of the Fraser Institute. This publication in no way implies that the Fraser Institute, its trustees, or staff are in favor of, or oppose the passage of, any bill; or that they support or oppose any particular political party or candidate. Copyright Copyright © 2013 by the Fraser Institute. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief passages quoted in critical articles and reviews. Date of issue February 2013 Editing, design, and production Kristin McCahon Cover Design by Bill Ray. Cover images: Chief miner… © Fotolia, Zentimeter; Coal train © Bigstock, bsauter; open pit (no title) © Flickr (commons), Uncle Kick-Kick; gemstones (no title) © Flickr (commons), RocksInMyHead For additional copies of this survey, or for copies of previous years’ surveys, please call: The Fraser Institute, 4th Floor, 1770 Burrard Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6J 3G7 Phone: (604) 688-0221, ext. 580; call toll-free: 1-800-665-3558, ext. 580; or e-mail sales@fraserinstitute.org
  • 3. Table of Contents Survey information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Executive summary—2012/2013 mining survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Survey methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Summary indexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Explanation of the figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Global survey rankings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Global results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Investment patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Appendix: Tabular material . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 About the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 Supporting the Fraser Institute . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 Purpose, funding, and independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 Lifetime Patrons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 Editorial Advisory Board . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134
  • 4. Survey information The Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining survey, conducted from October 9, 2012, to January Companies was sent to approximately 4,100 explo- 6, 2013, represents responses from 742 of those ration, development, and other mining-related companies. The companies participating in the sur- companies around the world. Several mining publi- vey reported exploration spending of US$6.2 billion cations and associations also helped publicize the in 2012 and US$5.4 billion in 2011. survey. (Please see the acknowledgements.) The Acknowledgements We would like to thank the hundreds of members of Camára Minera de Panamá (CAMPIRA), Chamber the mining community who have responded to the of Mines Zimbabwe, Central Asian Free Market survey this year and in previous years. You do a ser- Cen ter, The CRU, Fédération des minerais, vice to your industry by providing such valuable in- minéraux industriels et métaux non ferreux, formation. Global Mining Association of China, Guyana Gold & Diamond Miners Association, Hungarian Min- We would also like to thank the Prospectors and ing As so ci a tion, MineAfrica Inc. and On the Developers Association of Canada (PDAC), whose Ground Group, Mining Industry NL, the NWT & generous support makes this survey possible. We Nunavut Chamber of Mines, the Oriental Mining also owe a debt of gratitude to a number of mining Club, Utah Mining Association, SERCITEC, Ari- as so ci a tions and pub li ca tions that gen er ously zona Geology, Asia Miner, Coal Age Asia, Mining helped inform their readers and members of the op- Business Media, MiningIQ, Mining Press, Mining portunity to participate in the survey. These in- Weekly, Republic of Mining, and, I Think Mining. clude: Association for Mineral Exploration BC, Asociación Nacional de Minería Metálica de Hon- We would like to thank Roberto Roca-Paz and PO- duras, ANDI Cámara Asomineros—Bogotá, the PULI, Bolivia, for providing research assistance. We Australasian Institute of Mining & Metallurgy, the would also like to thank then Executive Director Australian Coal Association, Camara Empresaria Michael Walker and Laura Jones for conceptualiz- Minera de Córdoba, Camara Minera de Jujuy, ing this project 15 years ago. 4 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 5. Executive summary—2012/2013 mining survey This report presents the results of the Fraser Insti- the 96 jurisdictions in the survey. The index is tute’s 2012/2013 annual survey of mining and ex- composed of survey responses to 15 policy factors plo ra tion com pa nies to as sess how min eral that affect investment decisions. The PPI is normal- endowments and public policy factors such as taxa- ized to a maximum score of 100. tion and regulation affect exploration investment. The survey responses have been tallied to rank The top provinces, states, and countries according to the ex- tent that public policy factors encourage or discour- No nation scored first in all categories. Finland had age investment. Policy factors examined include the highest PPI score of 95.5. Along with Finland, uncertainty concerning the administration of cur- the top 10 ranked jurisdictions are Sweden, Alberta, rent regulations and environmental regulations, New Brunswick, Wyoming, Ireland, Nevada, Yu- regulatory duplication, the legal system and taxation kon, Utah, and Norway. All were in the top 10 last regime, uncertainty concerning protected areas and year except for Utah and Norway. Yukon was the disputed land claims, infrastructure, socioeconomic first Canadian territory to make the top 10 in and community development conditions, trade bar- 2011/2012. Both Quebec and Saskatchewan fell out riers, political stability, labour regulations, quality of of the top 10 in 2012/2013. Chile, which had previ- geological database, security, labour and skills sup- ously been the only jurisdiction outside North ply, corruption, and uncertainty. Investment inten- America consistently in the top 10 over the life of tions and commodity price expectations are also the survey, has continued to fall in the rankings—to examined. 23rd place in this survey. Norway rose to 10th in the rankings from 24th in 2011/2012, and Sweden and A total of 742 responses were received for the sur- Finland have now been in the top 10 for the last vey, providing sufficient data to evaluate 96 juris- three and four years, respectively. dictions. By way of comparison, 93 jurisdictions were evaluated in 2011/2012, 79 in 2010/2011, and 72 in 2009/2010. Jurisdictions are evaluated on ev- The bottom ery continent except Antarctica, including sub-na- The 10 least attractive jurisdictions for investment tional jurisdictions in Canada, Australia, the United based on the PPI rankings are (starting with the States, and Argentina. This year, French Guiana, worst) Indonesia, Vietnam, Venezuela, DRC (Congo), Greece, Serbia, and the sub-national jurisdictions of Kyrgyzstan, Zimbabwe, Bolivia, Guatemala, Philip- La Rioja and Neuquen in Argentina were added to pines, and Greece. All of these jurisdictions were in the survey. the bottom 10 last year with the exception of DRC (Congo), Greece, and Zimbabwe. Greece was a new addition to the survey in 2012/2013. Both the DRC The rankings (Congo) and Zimbabwe dropped significantly in the The Policy Potential Index (PPI) is a composite in- rankings this year, with DRC (Congo) falling from dex, measuring the overall policy attractiveness of 76th to 93rd, and Zimbabwe from 74th to 91st. Hon- 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 5
  • 6. duras and India moved out of the bottom 10 in PPI and ranking while Tasmania dropped most sig- 2012/2013. Honduras’ ranking improved from last nificantly. New Zealand’s PPI score and ranking spot (93rd) in 2011/2012 to 83rd, while India moved also declined slightly, breaking a trend that has seen from 89th to 81st. it improving steadily over the last five years. Indo- nesia dropped the most in the rankings for Oceania to last place in this year’s survey (96th) while the Regional highlights Philippines remained at 88th, also in the bottom 10. Comments about these jurisdictions were a mixture Canada of positive and negative, although many of the min- Canada’s average PPI score improved slightly, al- ers’ concerns related to uncertainties and, in partic- though a Canadian jurisdiction did not rank first in ular, the permitting process. the survey for the first time since 2006/2007. Both Quebec and Saskatchewan dropped out of the top 10 in the rankings, to 11th and 13th respectively. The Africa Canadian territories (Yukon, Nunavut, and the Africa’s average PPI score decreased, continuing a Northwest Territories) all improved their PPI five-year declining trend. Mali’s rank dropped the scores. In fact, the Northwest Territories had the most, followed by Madagascar. Mauritania and greatest improvement in score and rank amongst Namibia improved most significantly, while Bot- Canadian jurisdictions. Comments from miners swana remained the highest ranked jurisdiction suggest that while Canadian jurisdictions remain (17th) on the continent. Comments for African ju- competitive globally, uncertainties with Aboriginal risdictions were split among concerns for political consultation and disputed land claims are growing stability and uncertainty in several nations, and concerns for some. praise for stability and policies in others. United States The average PPI in the US declined slightly, though Argentina, Latin America, overall, it has increased over the last five years. Min- and the Caribbean nesota and Michigan had the largest decrease in Argentina’s average PPI score improved signifi- their scores and ranking, while Utah and Alaska im- cantly with most jurisdictions improving their proved the most. Several comments noted stability score and Rio Negro, Catamarca, and Salta improv- and favourable regulations, although some miners ing most significantly. Chile remains the top- also noted challenges to mining based on environ- ranked jurisdiction in this region, although it again mental concerns. dropped in this year’s rankings—this time to 23rd. Guyana’s score dropped most significantly while Australia and Oceania the rankings for Panama and Honduras recovered. The average PPI for Australia declined in 2012/ Comments for the region showed concern for re- 2013, although there has been an improving trend source nationalism and mining opposition in some over the last five years. Western Australia remains areas, while policies to formalize informal miners the country’s top-ranked jurisdiction (15th). Victo- (Peru) and to redistribute mining royalties to the lo- ria had the greatest improvement in the country’s cal level were positively received by some miners. 6 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 7. Eurasia Miners continue to be pessimistic about short-term The average PPI score for Eurasia didn’t change sig- commodity prices; more than half of the survey’s nificantly, although Nordic jurisdictions (Finland, respondents expected small increases (less than Greenland, Norway, and Sweden) performed very 10%) or reduced prices for diamonds, coal, nickel, well. Finland took the survey’s top rank and Sweden zinc, copper, potash, platinum, and silver over the and Norway were also in the top 10. In the Eurasian next two years. Only gold was expected to increase region, Norway, India, and Turkey improved most in value by more than 20% over the next two years significantly in the survey rankings. China had the by a majority of respondents. Given the positive ex- most significant drop in score and rank followed by pectations for the price of gold, it is unsurprising Poland. Miners expressed concerns about uncer- that gold continues to be the commodity assigned tainty and lack of stability in mining policy in sev- the largest proportion of respondents’ budgets. Min- eral Eurasian jurisdictions, but commented more ers were somewhat more optimistic about long-term favourably on Ireland and the Nordic countries. commodity prices; most respondents expected sta- ble or moderate increases (up to 15%) in inflation-ad- justed commodity prices over the next 10 years. Investment intentions Finally, respondents were asked about the chal- To tal ex plo ra tion bud gets in 2012/2013 in- lenges of raising funds compared with two years creased from 2011/2012 and just over half of re- ago. Over 90% of respondents somewhat or fully spondents reported increasing their exploration agreed that it was currently more difficult to raise budgets over the last five years. However, only funds, with a majority believing that the reason for 46% of respondents plan to increase their explo- this difficulty was investors being worried about the ration budgets in 2013. state of the world economy or being risk averse and seeing mining as risky. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 7
  • 8. Survey methodology Survey background In order to address this problem and assess how var- ious public policy factors influence companies’ de- The mining industry is an important contributor to cisions to invest in different regions, the Fraser the economy in Canada. It provides not only mate- Institute began conducting an anonymous survey of rials essential for all sectors of the economy, but also senior and junior companies in 1997. The first sur- employment and government revenues. Mining vey included all Canadian provinces and territories. contributes to economic growth worldwide and Ca- The second survey, conducted in 1998, added 17 US nadian mining companies operate in jurisdictions states, Mexico, and for comparison with North around the world. While mineral potential is obvi- American jurisdictions, Chile. The third survey, ously a very important consideration in encourag- conducted in 1999, was further expanded to include ing or dissuading mining investment, the impact of Argentina, Australia, Peru, and Nunavut. The sur- government policies can be significant. vey now includes 96 jurisdictions from all conti- nents except Antarctica. This year, French Guiana, The effects of policy on deterring exploration in- Greece, Serbia, and the sub-national jurisdictions of vestment may not be immediately apparent due to La Rioja and Neuquen in Argentina were added to the lag time between when policy changes are im- the survey. Missouri and Laos were dropped due to plemented and when economic activity is impeded insufficient survey response. and job losses occur. Many regions around the world have attractive geology and competitive poli- Jurisdictions are added to the survey based on the cies, allowing exploration investment to be shifted interests expressed by survey respondents. This away from jurisdictions with unattractive policies. survey is published annually and we strive to make the results available and accessible to an increas- Since 1997, the Fraser Institute has conducted an ingly global audience. annual survey of mining and exploration companies to assess how mineral endowments and public pol- The Fraser Institute’s mining survey is an informal icy factors such as taxation and regulation affect ex- survey that attempts to assess the perceptions of ploration investment. The motivation for the mining company executives with regard to various survey came from a Fraser Institute conference on areas of optimal and sub-optimal public policies mining held in Vancouver, Canada, in the fall of that might affect the hospitality of a jurisdiction to 1996. The comments and feedback from the confer- mining investment. Given the very broad circula- ence showed that the mining industry was dissatis- tion that the survey receives, the extensive press fied with gov ern ment pol i cies that de terred coverage that it receives, and positive feedback exploration investment within the mineral-rich about the survey’s utility from miners, investors, province of British Columbia. However, this dissat- and policymakers, we believe that the survey cap- isfaction was not being measured and mining com- tures, in broad strokes, the perceptions of those in- panies were reluctant to be publicly critical of volved in both mining and the regulation of mining government and policies. in the jurisdictions included in the survey. 8 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 9. Sample design Figure 1: The position survey respondents hold in their company, The survey is designed to identify the provinces, 2012/2013 states, and countries that have the most attractive policies to encourage investment in mining explo- Vice president: 16% ration and production. Jurisdictions assessed by in- Manager: 16% vestors as relatively unattractive may therefore be prompted to consider reforms that would improve their ranking. Presumably, mining companies use Other senior the information that is provided to corroborate management 9% their own assessments and to identify jurisdictions where the business conditions and regulatory envi- Consultant: 6% ronment are most attractive for investment. The Company president: 42% Other: 12% survey results are also a useful source of informa- tion for the media, providing independent informa- tion as to how particular jurisdictions compare. The survey was distributed to approximately 4,100 managers and executives around the world in com- panies involved in mining exploration, develop- Figure 2: Company focus as indicated ment, and other related activities. The names of by respondents, 2012/2013 potential respondents were compiled from com- mercially available lists, publicly available member- Exploration ship lists of trade associations, and other sources. company: 54% Several mining publications and associations also helped publicize the survey. (Please see the ac- Producer company with less than knowledgements). US$50M: 6% The survey was conducted from October 9, 2012 to January 6, 2013. A total of 742 responses were re- ceived from individuals, of whom 639 completed Producer company Other: 9% with more than the full survey and 103 completed part of the survey. US$50M: 20% Consulting As figure 1 illustrates, over half of the respondents company: 12% are either the company president or vice-president, and a further 25% are either managers or senior managers. The companies that participated in the survey reported exploration spending of US$6.2 bil- lion in 2012 and US$5.4 billion in 2011. Just over a quarter of the respondents represent Figure 2 shows that over half of the 2012/2013 sur- producer companies, and the final 21% is made up vey respondents represent an exploration company. of consulting and other companies. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 9
  • 10. Survey questionnaire 11. Political stability; 12. Labour regulations/employment agreements The survey was designed to capture the opinions of and labour militancy/work disruptions; managers and executives regarding the level of in- vestment barriers in jurisdictions in which their 13. Quality of the geological database (includes companies were familiar. Respondents were asked quality and scale of maps, ease of access to in- to indicate how each of the 17 policy factors below formation, etc.); influence company decisions to invest in various ju- 14. Level of security (includes physical security risdictions. due to the threat of attack by terrorists, crimi- nals, guerrilla groups, etc.); 1. Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, or enforcement of existing reg- 15. Availability of labour/skills; ulations; 16. Level of corruption (or honesty); 2. Uncertainty concerning environmental regu- 17. Growing (or lessening) uncertainty in mining lations (stability of regulations, consistency policy and implementation. and timeliness of regulatory process, regula- tions not based on science); Respondents were asked to score only jurisdictions 3. Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies with which they were familiar and only on those (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, policy factors with which they were familiar. Policy inter-departmental overlap, etc.); questions were unchanged from 2011/2012. For each of the 17 factors, respondents were asked to se- 4. Legal system (legal processes that are fair, lect one of the following five responses that best de- transparent, non-corrupt, timely, efficiently scribed each jurisdiction with which they were administered, etc.) familiar: 5. Taxation regime (includes personal, corpo- rate, payroll, capital, and other taxes, and 1. Encourages exploration investment complexity of tax compliance); 2. Not a deterrent to exploration investment 6. Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims; 3. Is a mild deterrent to exploration invest- 7. Uncertainty concerning what areas will be ment protected as wilderness, parks, or archeologi- 4. Is a strong deterrent to exploration invest- cal sites, etc.; ment 8. Infrastructure (includes access to roads, 5. Would not pursue exploration investment power availability, etc.); in this region due to this factor 9. Socioeconomic agreements/community de- The survey also included questions on the respon- velopment conditions (includes local purchas- dents and their company types; most and least fa- ing or processing requirements, or supplying vourable jurisdictions for mining and the reasons social infrastructure such as schools or hospi- why; recommended policy changes in least favour- tals, etc.); able jurisdiction(s); regulatory horror stories; ex- 10. Trade barriers (tariff and non-tariff barriers, emplary policy; the weighting of mineral versus restrictions on profit repatriation, currency policy factors in investment decisions; and invest- restrictions, etc.); ment patterns. 10 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 11. Summary indexes Policy Potential Index (PPI): The PPI is based on ranks and is calculated so that A comprehensive assessment of the the maximum scores are 100. Each jurisdiction is attractiveness of mining policies ranked in each policy area based on the percentage of respondents who judge that the policy factor in While geologic and economic evaluations are al- question “encourages investment.” The jurisdiction ways requirements for exploration, in today’s glob- that receives the highest percentage of “encourages ally competitive economy where mining companies investment” in any policy area is ranked first in that may be examining properties located on different policy area; the jurisdiction that receives the lowest continents, a region’s policy climate has taken on percentage of this response is ranked last. The rank- increased importance in attracting and winning in- ing of each jurisdiction across all policy areas is av- vestment. The Policy Potential Index or PPI (see fig- eraged and normalized to 100. A jurisdiction that ure 3 and ta ble 1) pro vides a com prehen sive ranks first in every category would have a score of assessment of the attractiveness of mining policies 100; one that scored last in every category would in a jurisdiction, and can serve as a report card to have a score of 0. governments on how attractive their policies are from the point of view of an exploration manager. The Policy Potential Index is a composite index that Current Mineral Potential Index captures the opinions of managers and executives The Current Mineral Potential index (see figure 4 on the effects of policies in jurisdictions with which and table 2), is based on respondents’ answers to the they are familiar. All survey policy questions (i.e., question about whether or not a jurisdiction’s min- uncertainty concerning the administration, inter- eral potential under the current policy environment pretation, and enforcement of existing regulations, (i.e., regulations, land use restrictions, taxation, po- environmental regulations, regulatory duplication litical risk, and uncertainty) encourages or discour- and inconsistencies, taxation, uncertainty concern- ages exploration. ing disputed land claims and protected areas, infra- structure, socioeconomic agreements, political Respondents clearly take into account mineral po- stability, labor issues, geological database, and secu- tential, meaning that some jurisdictions that rank rity) are included with the exception of corruption high in the Policy Potential Index but have limited and growing or lessening uncertainty. The question hard mineral potential will rank lower in the Cur- on corruption was just introduced last year and rent Mineral Potential Index, while jurisdictions shows unusual variability in responses, so we have with a weak policy environment but strong mineral decided not to include it in the PPI this year. For potential will do better. Nonetheless, there is con- general information, we have still included the re- siderable overlap between this index and the Policy sults to the corruption question in the report (see Potential Index, perhaps partly because good policy figure 22 and table A18). The question on overall will encourage exploration, which in turn will in- uncertainty is also not included in the PPI, as uncer- crease the known mineral potential. tainty issues are picked up in specific policy areas. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 11
  • 12. Figure 3: Policy Potential Index Finland Sweden Alberta New Brunswick Wyoming Ireland Nevada Yukon Utah Norway Quebec Nova Scotia Saskatchewan Greenland Western Australia Ontario Botswana Newfoundland & Labrador Alaska South Australia Manitoba Northern Territory Chile Victoria Morocco New Zealand French Guiana Arizona Northwest Territories Namibia British Columbia Queensland Michigan Colorado Idaho Mauritania Nunavut Argentina: Salta Argentina: Neuquen Minnesota Argentina: Rio Negro Mexico Argentina: Catamarca New South Wales New Mexico Montana Washington Spain Tasmania Bulgaria Argentina: San Juan Serbia Turkey Ghana Burkina Faso California Poland Peru Zambia Dominican Republic Brazil Argentina: Mendoza Panama South Africa Argentina: Jujuy Colombia Guyana Argentina: Santa Cruz Egypt Niger Suriname China Russia Tanzania Argentina:L a Rioja Guinea (Conakry) Papua New Guinea Argentina: Chubut Mali Kazakhstan India Ecuador Mongolia Honduras Madagascar Romania Greece Philippines Guatemala Bolivia Zimbabwe Kyrgyzstan Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Venezuela Vietnam Indonesia 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 12 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 13. Table 1: Policy Potential Index Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Alberta 92.6 91.5 90.4 89.9 86.4 3/96 3/93 1/79 4/72 4/71 British Columbia 63.6 62.5 54.4 48.7 61.2 31/96 31/93 36/79 38/72 24/71 Canada Manitoba 73.4 74.6 80.3 76.8 79.9 21/96 20/93 9/79 9/72 8/71 New Brunswick 90.8 95.0 67.3 94.1 80.4 4/96 1/93 23/79 2/72 6/71 Newfoundland & Labra- 76.8 77.0 74.6 78.3 84.6 18/96 16/93 13/79 8/72 5/71 dor NWT 63.7 50.4 40.2 40.0 46.9 29/96 48/93 52/79 50/72 40/71 Nova Scotia 81.8 77.1 68.6 72.6 74.7 12/96 15/93 19/79 15/72 12/71 Nunavut 59.9 58.5 47.6 45.0 44.4 37/96 36/93 44/79 43/72 43/71 Ontario 78.3 79.4 68.7 66.2 75.2 16/96 13/93 18/79 22/72 10/71 Quebec 81.9 89.0 86.5 96.7 96.6 11/96 5/93 4/79 1/72 1/71 Saskatchewan 81.6 88.9 87.5 81.6 79.1 13/96 6/93 3/79 6/72 9/71 Yukon 83.8 83.0 73.0 73.9 72.5 8/96 10/93 15/79 11/72 15/71 Alaska 75.5 67.5 67.6 71.7 66.9 19/96 25/93 21/79 18/72 17/71 Arizona 64.2 65.5 65.9 62.8 59.1 28/96 29/93 25/79 25/72 27/71 US A California 45.3 45.8 35.1 22.6 36.2 56/96 51/93 56/79 63/72 54/71 Colorado 61.9 60.5 47.0 32.6 49.2 34/96 33/93 46/79 54/72 38/71 Idaho 61.6 66.8 55.7 55.4 50.8 35/96 26/93 33/79 32/72 36/71 Michigan 62.3 72.2 47.9 60.2 * 33/96 23/93 42/79 26/72 * Minnesota 58.1 72.6 47.3 33.5 49.7 40/96 22/93 45/79 53/72 37/71 Montana 55.9 54.0 40.8 44.0 38.8 46/96 40/93 50/79 46/72 52/71 Nevada 85.3 84.5 89.3 88.8 87.0 7/96 8/93 2/79 5/72 3/71 New Mexico 56.2 54.0 55.0 45.9 31.9 45/96 41/93 34/79 41/72 58/71 Utah 83.8 72.9 85.1 72.6 74.8 9/96 21/93 6/79 15/72 11/71 Washington 55.7 55.1 34.4 31.8 39.6 47/96 39/93 59/79 55/72 51/71 Wyoming 90.1 89.6 77.8 73.1 91.4 5/96 4/93 10/79 13/72 2/71 New South Wales 56.4 62.4 68.2 66.6 61.4 44/96 32/93 20/79 20/72 23/71 Australia Northern Territory 68.5 81.5 62.2 73.0 64.4 22/96 11/93 27/79 14/72 20/71 Queensland 62.8 65.5 52.8 62.9 59.9 32/96 28/93 38/79 24/72 25/71 South Australia 75.5 75.3 75.9 75.9 71.0 20/96 19/93 11/79 10/72 16/71 Tasmania 54.1 64.8 61.3 65.9 55.5 49/96 30/93 28/79 23/72 31/71 Victoria 66.0 52.1 56.9 57.0 57.1 24/96 44/93 31/79 30/72 29/71 Western Australia 79.3 81.5 70.6 67.1 63.4 15/96 12/93 17/79 19/72 21/71 Indonesia 9.4 13.5 22.5 24.7 25.1 96/96 85/93 70/79 62/72 62/71 Oceania New Zealand 65.1 65.7 63.4 55.1 43.4 26/96 27/93 26/79 33/72 45/71 Papua New Guinea 26.1 34.3 29.6 31.2 27.3 77/96 66/93 64/79 56/72 61/71 Philippines 14.0 13.0 27.3 14.0 28.1 88/96 88/93 66/79 70/72 59/71 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 13
  • 14. Table 1: Policy Potential Index Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Botswana 78.1 76.9 74.0 66.5 64.9 17/96 17/93 14/79 21/72 18/71 Burkina Faso 46.0 57.5 66.3 49.6 45.1 55/96 38/93 24/79 36/72 42/71 Africa DRC (Congo) 12.3 19.9 7.8 18.9 24.1 93/96 76/93 77/79 68/72 63/71 Egypt 32.4 19.9 * * * 69/96 77/93 * * * Ghana 48.2 52.9 45.1 53.3 51.3 54/96 43/93 47/79 34/72 35/71 Guinea (Conakry) 26.4 16.6 40.2 * * 76/96 83/93 51/79 * * Madagascar 16.5 42.0 15.6 * * 85/96 59/93 73/79 * * Mali 24.9 52.9 58.2 58.2 53.6 79/96 42/93 29/79 27/72 33/71 Mauritania 61.6 45.5 * * * 36/96 52/93 * * * Morocco 65.6 60.3 * * * 25/96 34/93 * * * Namibia 63.7 51.6 57.9 49.2 52.5 30/96 45/93 30/79 37/72 34/71 Niger 32.2 30.7 47.9 * * 70/96 68/93 43/79 * * South Africa 35.0 44.5 23.4 26.2 40.4 64/96 54/93 67/79 61/72 49/71 Tanzania 28.0 38.8 32.4 44.9 41.8 74/96 63/93 61/79 44/72 48/71 Zambia 41.7 46.1 34.9 36.5 44.4 59/96 50/93 57/79 52/72 44/71 Zimbabwe 13.4 21.8 22.4 14.7 19.1 91/96 74/93 71/79 69/72 65/71 Argentina ** ** 32.4 28.4 33.0 ** ** 60/79 59/72 56/71 Argentina Catamarca 56.9 39.0 * * * 43/96 61/93 * * * Chubut 26.0 24.6 * * * 78/96 70/93 * * * Jujuy 34.5 20.1 * * * 65/96 75/93 * * * La Rioja 26.5 * * * * 75/96 * * * * Mendoza 36.1 22.2 * * * 62/96 73/93 * * * Neuquen 59.3 * * * * 39/96 * * * * Rio Negro 57.9 25.7 * * * 41/96 69/93 * * * Salta 59.7 43.9 * * * 38/96 55/93 * * * San Juan 53.3 39.0 * * * 51/96 62/93 * * * Santa Cruz 32.7 35.7 * * * 68/96 65/93 * * * Bolivia 13.8 8.1 9.1 20.1 16.5 90/96 91/93 76/79 66/72 66/71 Latin America and the Carribean Basin Brazil 38.2 43.3 43.2 46.1 47.1 61/96 57/93 49/79 40/72 39/71 Chile 67.7 75.3 81.3 79.1 79.9 23/96 18/93 8/79 7/72 7/71 Colombia 34.4 38.0 51.2 40.6 43.0 66/96 64/93 40/79 48/72 46/71 Ecuador 19.0 13.1 27.9 10.5 4.1 82/96 86/93 65/79 71/72 70/71 Dominican Republic 39.7 31.5 * * * 60/96 67/93 * * * French Guiana*** 64.6 * * * * 27/96 * * * * Guatemala 13.8 2.9 10.0 21.9 5.1 89/96 92/93 75/79 64/72 69/71 Guyana 32.9 44.7 * * * 67/96 53/93 * * * Honduras 17.9 1.7 1.2 20.4 11.8 83/96 93/93 79/79 65/72 68/71 Mexico 57.3 58.8 54.7 58.1 57.7 42/96 35/93 35/79 28/72 28/71 Panama 35.8 16.9 23.3 31.2 42.4 63/96 82/93 68/79 56/72 47/71 Peru 42.0 43.4 43.6 47.7 56.6 58/96 56/93 48/79 39/72 30/71 Suriname 31.0 23.4 * * * 71/96 72/93 * * * Venezuela 11.8 10.9 1.3 6.9 3.7 94/96 90/93 78/79 72/72 71/71 14 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 15. Table 1: Policy Potential Index Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Bulgaria 53.6 50.6 55.9 * * 50/96 47/93 32/79 * * China 28.5 43.1 30.9 45.1 45.2 72/96 58/93 62/79 42/72 41/71 Finland 95.5 92.4 86.0 90.2 72.7 1/96 2/93 5/79 3/72 14/71 Greenland 79.9 78.2 74.9 * * 14/96 14/93 12/79 * * Eurasia Greece 15.6 * * * * 87/96 * * * * India 21.1 12.4 10.6 27.1 16.2 81/96 89/93 74/79 60/72 67/71 Ireland 89.7 83.0 72.6 72.1 59.8 6/96 9/93 16/79 17/72 26/71 Kazakhstan 23.3 17.0 30.4 39.0 33.0 80/96 81/93 63/79 51/72 57/71 Kyrgyzstan 13.4 13.1 51.4 29.9 22.5 92/96 87/93 39/79 58/72 64/71 Mongolia 17.9 19.5 35.7 19.0 34.5 84/96 78/93 54/79 67/72 55/71 Norway 82.4 72.0 67.3 55.9 64.5 10/96 24/93 22/79 31/72 19/71 Poland 42.7 51.2 * * * 57/96 46/93 * * * Romania 16.2 18.0 37.9 * * 86/96 80/93 53/79 * * Russia 28.1 24.6 23.1 44.2 37.9 73/96 71/93 69/79 45/72 53/71 Serbia 49.9 * * * * 52/96 * * * * Spain 54.6 57.6 52.9 57.5 62.1 48/96 37/93 37/79 29/72 22/71 Sweden 93.6 85.5 82.3 73.9 73.8 2/96 7/93 7/79 12/72 13/71 Turkey 49.7 41.0 34.7 52.8 39.8 53/96 60/93 58/79 35/72 50/71 Vietnam 11.6 14.4 35.5 * * 95/96 84/93 55/79 * * * Not available ** Argentina is no longer reported as a single jurisdiction (we now report separately on the sub-national jurisdictions). ***French Guiana is considered a DOM (Département d’outre-mer), a French overseas department. Best Practices Calculating the “Current” and Mineral Potential Index “Best Practices” indexes To obtain an accurate view of the attractiveness of a Figure 5 shows the mineral potential of jurisdic- jurisdiction, we combine the responses to “Encour- tions, assuming their policies are based on “best ages Investment” and “Not a Deterrent to Invest- practices” (i.e., world class regulatory environment, ment,” as the reader can see in figures 4 and 5. Since highly competitive taxation, no political risk or un- the “Encourages” response expresses a much more certainty, and a fully stable mining regime). In other positive attitude to investment than “Not a Deter- words, this figure represents, in a sense, a jurisdic- rent,” in calculating these indexes, we give “Not a tion’s “pure” mineral potential, since it assumes a Deterrent” half the weight of “Encourages.” “best practices” policy regime. Table 3 provides more precise information and the recent historical For example, the “Current Mineral Potential” (fig- record. ure 4 and table 2) for British Columbia was calcu- 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 15
  • 16. Figure 4: Current Mineral Potential assuming current regulations and land use restrictions Greenland Finland Sweden Nevada Saskatchewan Alaska Yukon Wyoming Western Australia Northern Territory Chile New Brunswick Utah Newfoundland & Labrador Arizona Botswana Ontario Northwest Territories Guyana South Australia Norway Turkey Ghana Alberta Queensland Quebec Burkina Faso Nunavut New Zealand Mexico Ireland Idaho Manitoba British Columbia Serbia Namibia Nova Scotia Peru Spain Colombia New Mexico Panama Brazil Minnesota Michigan New South Wales Tanzania Mauritania Dominican Republic Montana Niger Morocco Russia Argentina: Salta Argentina: San Juan Kyrgyzstan Victoria Zambia Bulgaria Argentina: Catamarca Tasmania Suriname Colorado California Mali Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: Neuquen French Guiana Kazakhstan Argentina: Mendoza Romania China Papua New Guinea Poland Guinea (Conakry) India South Africa Vietnam Mongolia Philippines Indonesia Washington Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Santa Cruz Encourages investment Argentina: La Rioja Greece Not a deterrent to investment Madagascar Egypt Ecuador Zimbabwe Venezuela Guatemala Honduras Bolivia 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 16 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 17. Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008 Alberta 0.56 0.60 0.53 0.48 0.49 24/96 18/93 32/79 32/72 34/71 British Columbia 0.51 0.50 0.43 0.49 0.47 34/96 35/93 42/79 31/72 39/71 Canada Manitoba 0.52 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.53 33/96 11/93 17/79 22/72 29/71 New Brunswick 0.62 0.54 0.46 0.57 0.54 12/96 27/93 38/79 26/72 28/71 Nfld. & Labrador 0.61 0.66 0.57 0.60 0.64 14/96 8/93 25/79 17/72 9/71 NWT 0.58 0.44 0.35 0.34 0.44 18/96 46/93 59/79 53/72 46/71 Nova Scotia 0.50 0.41 0.38 0.43 0.40 37/96 51/93 51/79 40/72 54/71 Nunavut 0.55 0.51 0.38 0.39 0.55 28/96 30/93 50/79 46/72 27/71 Ontario 0.59 0.56 0.60 0.50 0.57 17/96 23/93 19/79 30/72 21/71 Quebec 0.55 0.65 0.76 0.73 0.77 26/96 9/93 2/79 3/72 1/71 Saskatchewan 0.72 0.69 0.75 0.69 0.67 5/96 4/93 3/79 6/72 5/71 Yukon 0.71 0.69 0.66 0.63 0.60 7/96 3/93 11/79 11/72 16/71 Alaska 0.72 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.71 6/96 6/93 9/79 9/72 4/71 Arizona 0.60 0.51 0.54 0.51 0.46 15/96 31/93 31/79 29/72 42/71 US A California 0.33 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.22 64/96 88/93 72/79 68/72 64/71 Colorado 0.33 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.26 63/96 77/93 68/79 55/72 62/71 Idaho 0.52 0.36 0.48 0.43 0.48 32/96 59/93 34/79 39/72 37/71 Michigan 0.43 0.43 0.36 0.38 * 45/96 48/93 57/79 48/72 * Minnesota 0.43 0.43 0.31 0.29 0.41 44/96 49/93 63/79 59/72 53/71 Montana 0.41 0.31 0.32 0.38 0.27 50/96 66/93 62/79 49/72 59/71 Nevada 0.72 0.67 0.73 0.75 0.73 4/96 7/93 4/79 1/72 2/71 New Mexico 0.46 0.55 0.43 0.36 0.42 41/96 24/93 43/79 51/72 51/71 Utah 0.61 0.60 0.66 0.61 0.60 13/96 15/93 13/79 16/72 15/71 Washington 0.24 0.19 0.10 0.23 0.19 82/96 91/93 78/79 65/72 70/71 Wyoming 0.71 0.63 0.60 0.58 0.61 8/96 12/93 20/79 23/72 13/71 New South Wales 0.42 0.46 0.39 0.48 0.49 46/96 41/93 49/79 33/72 36/71 Australia Northern Territory 0.65 0.58 0.54 0.66 0.56 10/96 22/93 30/79 8/72 23/71 Queensland 0.56 0.51 0.55 0.58 0.58 25/96 32/93 28/79 21/72 19/71 South Australia 0.58 0.62 0.56 0.62 0.61 20/96 14/93 27/79 15/72 12/71 Tasmania 0.34 0.37 0.42 0.44 0.51 61/96 56/93 45/79 37/72 31/71 Victoria 0.39 0.25 0.35 0.30 0.43 57/96 78/93 60/79 58/72 49/71 Western Australia 0.67 0.64 0.68 0.59 0.62 9/96 10/93 8/79 19/72 10/71 Indonesia 0.25 0.29 0.36 0.40 0.46 81/96 73/93 58/79 43/72 42/71 Oceania New Zealand 0.54 0.30 0.47 0.24 0.21 29/96 68/93 35/79 64/72 66/71 Papua New Guinea 0.29 0.60 0.67 0.48 0.38 73/96 16/93 10/79 34/72 56/71 Philippines 0.26 0.33 0.44 0.43 0.49 80/96 63/93 40/79 38/72 35/71 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 17
  • 18. Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008 Botswana 0.60 0.75 0.68 0.68 0.59 16/96 1/93 7/79 7/72 17/71 Burkina Faso 0.55 0.63 0.71 0.70 0.57 27/96 13/93 6/79 4/72 22/71 DRC (Congo) 0.23 0.38 0.21 0.30 0.44 83/96 55/93 70/79 56/72 47/71 Egypt 0.12 0.33 * * * 89/96 61/93 * * * Ghana 0.56 0.60 0.57 0.60 0.55 23/96 17/93 24/79 18/72 26/71 Africa Guinea (Conakry) 0.29 0.36 0.36 * * 74/96 58/93 56/79 * * Madagascar 0.12 0.38 0.41 * * 90/96 52/93 46/79 * * Mali 0.33 0.55 0.59 0.64 0.58 65/96 26/93 21/79 10/72 20/71 Mauritania 0.42 0.46 * * * 48/96 40/93 * * * Morocco 0.40 0.50 * * * 51/96 33/93 * * * Namibia 0.50 0.45 0.55 0.58 0.47 35/96 44/93 29/79 24/72 40/71 Niger 0.40 0.38 0.42 * * 52/96 52/93 44/79 * * South Africa 0.28 0.33 0.28 0.39 0.45 77/96 62/93 66/79 45/72 44/71 Tanzania 0.42 0.55 0.58 0.47 0.55 47/96 25/93 23/79 35/72 24/71 Zambia 0.38 0.47 0.46 0.53 0.51 58/96 39/93 37/79 28/72 30/71 Zimbabwe 0.10 0.21 0.16 0.21 0.15 92/96 87/93 74/79 67/72 71/71 Argentina * * 0.37 0.33 0.43 * * 55/79 54/72 50/71 Catamarca 0.36 0.36 * * * 60/96 57/93 * * * Argentina Chubut 0.20 0.25 * * * 85/96 78/93 * * * Jujuy 0.22 0.38 * * * 84/96 52/93 * * * La Rioja 0.18 * * * * 87/96 * * * * Mendoza 0.30 0.25 * * * 70/96 78/93 * * * Neuquen 0.32 * * * * 67/96 * * * * Rio Negro 0.32 0.27 * * * 66/96 75/93 * * * Salta 0.39 0.45 * * * 54/96 42/93 * * * San Juan 0.39 0.48 * * * 55/96 37/93 * * * Santa Cruz 0.19 0.48 * * * 86/96 38/93 * * * Bolivia 0.06 0.21 0.21 0.28 0.23 96/96 89/93 71/79 61/72 63/71 Latin America and the Carribean Basin Brazil 0.44 0.54 0.60 0.63 0.60 43/96 28/93 18/79 12/72 14/71 Chile 0.64 0.69 0.77 0.74 0.72 11/96 5/93 1/79 2/72 3/71 Colombia 0.47 0.53 0.64 0.57 0.55 40/96 29/93 16/79 25/72 25/71 Ecuador 0.11 0.26 0.16 0.23 0.20 91/96 76/93 74/79 66/72 69/71 Dominican Republic 0.41 0.18 * * * 49/96 92/93 * * * French Guiana 0.32 * * * * 68/96 * * * * Guatemala 0.08 0.25 0.25 0.15 0.33 94/96 78/93 69/79 70/72 57/71 Guyana 0.58 0.44 * * * 19/96 45/93 * * * Honduras 0.06 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.22 95/96 90/93 76/79 70/72 65/71 Mexico 0.53 0.58 0.64 0.70 0.64 30/96 21/93 15/79 5/72 7/71 Panama 0.45 0.22 0.40 0.30 0.50 42/96 86/93 48/79 56/72 32/71 Peru 0.49 0.42 0.59 0.63 0.64 38/96 50/93 22/79 12/72 8/71 Suriname 0.33 0.25 * * * 62/96 78/93 * * * Venezuela 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.13 0.21 93/96 93/93 77/79 72/72 67/71 18 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 19. Table 2: Mineral potential assuming current regulations/land use restrictions† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2010/ 2009/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2009 2008 Bulgaria 0.36 0.23 0.38 * * 59/96 84/93 51/79 * * China 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.36 0.39 72/96 69/93 61/79 52/72 55/71 Eurasia Finland 0.74 0.59 0.66 0.62 0.65 2/96 19/93 12/79 14/72 6/71 Greenland 0.76 0.72 0.73 * * 1/96 2/93 5/79 * * Greece 0.13 * * * * 88/96 * * * * India 0.28 0.25 0.31 0.26 0.26 76/96 78/93 64/79 63/72 61/71 Ireland 0.52 0.49 0.45 0.39 0.47 31/96 36/93 39/79 44/72 38/71 Kazakhstan 0.31 0.32 0.38 0.38 0.50 69/96 65/93 51/79 47/72 32/71 Kyrgyzstan 0.39 0.30 0.38 0.28 0.21 56/96 72/93 51/79 60/72 68/71 Mongolia 0.27 0.44 0.53 0.42 0.33 79/96 47/93 33/79 42/72 58/71 Norway 0.57 0.32 0.47 0.47 0.43 21/96 64/93 36/79 36/72 48/71 Poland 0.29 0.45 * * * 75/96 42/93 * * * Romania 0.30 0.28 0.20 * * 71/96 74/93 * * * Russia 0.40 0.30 0.30 0.37 0.47 53/96 67/93 65/79 50/72 41/71 Serbia 0.50 * * * * 36/96 * * * * Spain 0.48 0.34 0.41 0.43 0.42 39/96 60/93 47/79 41/72 52/71 Sweden 0.73 0.59 0.65 0.56 0.59 3/96 20/93 14/79 27/72 18/71 Turkey 0.57 0.50 0.57 0.59 0.62 22/96 33/93 26/79 20/72 11/71 Vietnam 0.27 0.30 0.43 * * 78/96 69/93 41/79 * * † = The figures in this table and the accompanying figure count 100% of all “encourages” answers, but only 50 percent of the “not a deterrent” answers. For a discussion, please see page 15. * = not available. lated by adding the percent of respondents who fig ure’s mean ing, con sider Mon go lia, the rated BC’s mineral potential as “Encourages Invest- jurisdiction with the most room for improvement ment” (33%) with the 36% that responded “Not a in 2012/2013. When asked about Mongolia’s min- Deterrent to investment,” which was half weighted eral potential under “current” regulations, miners at 18% (see table A1). Thus, British Columbia has a gave it a score of 27. Under a “best practices” regu- score of 51, taking into account rounding, for latory regime, where managers can focus on pure 2012/2013. mineral potential rather than policy-related prob- lems, Mongolia’s score was 84. Thus, Mongolia’s score in the “Room for Improvement” category is Room for improvement 58. (Numbers may not add up due to rounding). Figure 6 is one of the most revealing in this study. It The greater the score in figure 6, the greater the subtracts each jurisdiction’s score for mineral po- gap between “current” and “best practices” min- tential under “best practices” from mineral poten- eral potential, and the greater the “room for im- tial under “current” regulations. To understand this provement.” 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 19
  • 20. Figure 5: Policy/Mineral Potential assuming no land use restrictions in place and assuming industry “best practices” Mongolia Yukon Papua New Guinea Indonesia Alaska Western Australia Nevada Ontario Botswana Turkey Chile Philippines Saskatchewan Greenland Nunavut Quebec Northwest Territories Mexico British Columbia Queensland Kyrgyzstan Colombia Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Finland Wyoming Manitoba India South Australia Northern Territory Arizona Newfoundland and Labrador Sweden Tanzania Kazakhstan Russia Peru Serbia Brazil Utah Argentina: Santa Cruz Vietnam Namibia Zambia New Brunswick Montana China Argentina: Jujuy Madagascar Ghana Argentina: San Juan Norway Argentina: Catamarca Alberta South Africa Idaho Colorado Argentina: La Rioja Guyana Burkina Faso Egypt Ecuador Zimbabwe California Mauritania Argentina: Mendoza Minnesota Bolivia New South Wales New Mexico Argentina: Salta Argentina: Chubut Mali Suriname Ireland Tasmania New Zealand Venezuela Michigan Guatemala Argentina: Rio Negro Dominican Republic Guinea(Conakry) Spain Romania Panama Nova Scotia Encourages investment Victoria French Guiana Washington Not a deterrent to investment Argentina: Neuquen Niger Poland Morocco Bulgaria Honduras Greece 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 20 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 21. Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place and assuming industry best practices† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Alberta 0.57 0.64 0.61 0.56 0.64 50/96 57/93 59/79 62/72 48/71 British Columbia 0.72 0.83 0.80 0.79 0.77 18/96 12/93 23/79 17/72 24/71 Canada Manitoba 0.69 0.76 0.74 0.80 0.78 25/96 26/93 33/79 14/72 21/71 New Brunswick 0.60 0.52 0.43 0.65 0.61 44/96 78/93 74/79 50/72 53/71 Nfld. & Labrador 0.68 0.82 0.76 0.78 0.73 29/96 15/93 29/79 18 72 35/71 NWT 0.73 0.85 0.87 0.82 0.77 16/96 6/93 8/79 7/72 20/71 Nova Scotia 0.40 0.47 0.40 0.56 0.42 86/96 87/93 78/79 63/72 70/71 Nunavut 0.74 0.85 0.84 0.77 0.84 12/96 5/93 16/79 22/72 5/71 Ontario 0.75 0.78 0.85 0.81 0.80 8/96 25/93 11/79 11/72 14/71 Quebec 0.73 0.82 0.84 0.84 0.88 16/96 13/93 17/79 3/72 2/71 Saskatchewan 0.74 0.81 0.89 0.79 0.80 12/96 20/93 5/79 15/72 16/71 Yukon 0.81 0.89 0.90 0.82 0.76 2/96 2/93 2/79 8/72 26/71 Alaska 0.78 0.93 0.93 0.85 0.82 5/96 1/93 1/79 2/72 10/71 Arizona 0.68 0.73 0.76 0.73 0.74 29/96 31/93 30/79 29/72 29/71 US A California 0.51 0.58 0.58 0.60 0.59 63/96 67/93 64/79 56/72 60/71 Colorado 0.56 0.64 0.70 0.69 0.64 55/96 55/93 47/79 44/72 50/71 Idaho 0.56 0.68 0.65 0.68 0.73 55/96 36/93 56/79 45/72 34/71 Michigan 0.45 0.55 0.54 0.71 * 78/96 72/93 68/79 36/72 * Minnesota 0.50 0.54 0.77 0.61 0.59 64/96 75/93 27/79 54/72 58/71 Montana 0.59 0.70 0.70 0.74 0.79 45/96 33/93 47/79 27/72 20/71 Nevada 0.76 0.81 0.85 0.83 0.86 7/96 17/93 13/79 4/72 3/71 New Mexico 0.49 0.64 0.68 0.63 0.59 67/96 54/93 52/79 52/72 58/71 Utah 0.64 0.66 0.71 0.74 0.79 39/96 48/93 45/79 24/72 19/71 Washington 0.37 0.50 0.43 0.50 0.55 88/96 80/93 75/79 68/72 66/71 Wyoming 0.69 0.68 0.74 0.70 0.70 25/96 42/93 36/79 38/72 40/71 New South Wales 0.49 0.55 0.55 0.62 0.71 67/96 71/93 67/79 53/72 37/71 Australia Northern Territory 0.68 0.66 0.72 0.83 0.81 29/96 49/93 42/79 6/72 13/71 Queensland 0.72 0.75 0.80 0.81 0.82 18/96 29/93 22/79 10/72 9/71 South Australia 0.69 0.79 0.73 0.80 0.77 25/96 23/93 39/79 12/72 22/71 Tasmania 0.46 0.47 0.66 0.59 0.70 75/96 86/93 55/79 57/72 41/71 Victoria 0.40 0.37 0.42 0.51 0.66 86/96 91/93 76/79 67/72 47/71 Western Australia 0.77 0.83 0.87 0.77 0.84 6/96 11/93 7/79 21/72 6/71 Indonesia 0.79 0.84 0.85 0.75 0.80 3/96 10/93 12/79 23/72 17/71 Oceania New Zealand 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.53 0.58 75/96 88/93 70/79 65/72 62/71 Papua New Guinea 0.79 0.89 0.89 0.71 0.81 3/96 3/93 6/79 34/72 12/71 Philippines 0.74 0.85 0.82 0.72 0.82 12/96 7/93 19/79 33/72 11/71 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 21
  • 22. Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place and assuming industry best practices† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Botswana 0.75 0.78 0.77 0.72 0.68 8/96 24/93 28/79 31/72 44/71 Burkina Faso 0.55 0.76 0.81 0.74 0.70 58/96 28/93 21/79 25/72 43/71 DRC (Congo) 0.70 0.87 0.90 0.86 0.89 23/96 4/93 4/79 1/72 1/71 Egypt 0.54 0.45 * * * 60/96 90/93 * * * Ghana 0.58 0.81 0.75 0.71 0.76 47/96 18/93 31/79 35/72 28/71 Africa Guinea (Conakry) 0.43 0.66 0.73 * * 82/96 50/93 39/79 * * Madagascar 0.58 0.62 0.68 * * 47/96 60/93 51/79 * * Mali 0.48 0.71 0.79 0.79 0.60 71/96 32/93 24/79 16/72 56/71 Mauritania 0.50 0.61 * * * 64/96 61/93 * * * Morocco 0.33 0.50 * * * 93/96 80/93 * * * Namibia 0.62 0.50 0.69 0.71 0.51 40/96 80/93 49/79 37/72 68/71 Niger 0.35 0.57 0.58 * * 91/96 69/93 65/79 * * South Africa 0.57 0.64 0.72 0.66 0.70 50/96 56/93 43/79 48/72 42/71 Tanzania 0.67 0.67 0.79 0.70 0.76 32/96 47/93 25/79 40/72 27/71 Zambia 0.60 0.61 0.78 0.68 0.74 43/96 62/93 26/79 46/72 31/71 Zimbabwe 0.52 0.64 0.74 0.58 0.58 62/96 58/93 34/79 58/72 61/71 Argentina * * 0.71 0.73 0.74 * * 44/79 28/72 31/71 Catamarca 0.57 0.68 * * * 50/96 39/93 * * * Argentina Chubut 0.48 0.84 * * * 71/96 9/93 * * * Jujuy 0.58 0.50 * * * 47/96 80/93 * * * La Rioja 0.56 * * * * 55/96 * * * * Mendoza 0.50 0.57 * * * 64/96 69/93 * * * Neuquen 0.36 * * * * 90/96 * * * * Rio Negro 0.44 0.68 * * * 79/96 42/93 * * * Salta 0.49 0.55 * * * 67/96 74/93 * * * San Juan 0.57 0.69 * * * 50/96 35/93 * * * Santa Cruz 0.62 0.65 * * * 40/96 52/93 * * * Bolivia 0.49 0.58 0.60 0.65 0.64 67/96 66/93 62/79 49/72 49/71 Latin America and the Carribean Basin Brazil 0.65 0.81 0.86 0.78 0.77 35/96 21/93 9/79 20/72 23/71 Chile 0.75 0.81 0.85 0.83 0.80 8/96 18/93 14/79 5/72 15/71 Colombia 0.71 0.80 0.90 0.72 0.83 21/96 22/93 3/79 32/72 7/71 Ecuador 0.54 0.65 0.70 0.69 0.71 60/96 51/93 46/79 43/72 38/71 Dominican Republic 0.44 0.29 * * * 79/96 93/93 * * * French Guiana 0.37 * * * * 88/96 * * * * Guatemala 0.44 0.63 0.69 0.63 0.60 79/96 59/93 50/79 51/72 55/71 Guyana 0.55 0.53 * * * 58/96 77/93 * * * Honduras 0.29 0.53 0.59 0.48 0.56 95/96 76/93 63/79 70/72 63/71 Mexico 0.72 0.85 0.86 0.80 0.79 18/96 8/93 10/79 13/72 18/71 Panama 0.42 0.58 0.63 0.58 0.60 84/96 68/93 57/79 60/72 57/71 Peru 0.65 0.82 0.85 0.81 0.85 35/96 14/93 15/79 9/72 4/71 Suriname 0.47 0.55 * * * 73/96 73/93 * * * Venezuela 0.46 0.59 0.56 0.58 0.55 75/96 65/93 66/79 58/72 64/71 22 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 23. Table 3: Policy mineral potential assuming no regulations in place and assuming industry best practices† Score Rank 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2012/ 2011/ 2010/ 2009/ 2008/ 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Bulgaria 0.32 0.50 0.45 * * 94/96 80/93 73/79 * * China 0.59 0.67 0.73 0.67 0.73 45/96 46/93 37/79 47/72 33/71 Eurasia Finland 0.70 0.68 0.74 0.73 0.72 23/96 36/93 34/79 30/72 36/71 Greenland 0.74 0.76 0.73 * * 12/96 27/93 39/79 * * Greece 0.25 * * * * 96/96 * * * * India 0.69 0.68 0.50 0.50 0.63 25/96 44/93 70/79 68/72 51/71 Ireland 0.47 0.60 0.61 0.42 0.55 73/96 63/93 60/79 72/72 64/71 Kazakhstan 0.67 0.70 0.75 0.70 0.71 32/96 33/93 31/79 39/72 39/71 Kyrgyzstan 0.71 0.68 0.67 0.56 0.67 21/96 39/93 53/79 64/72 46/71 Mongolia 0.84 0.82 0.83 0.78 0.74 1/96 16/93 18/79 19/72 30/71 Norway 0.57 0.50 0.53 0.60 0.61 50/96 80/93 69/79 55/72 54/71 Poland 0.35 0.68 * * * 91/96 39/93 * * * Romania 0.42 0.47 0.61 * * 84/96 89/93 58/79 * * Russia 0.65 0.68 0.67 0.69 0.83 35/96 38/93 54/79 42/72 8/71 Serbia 0.65 * * * * 35/96 * * * * Spain 0.43 0.52 0.41 0.45 0.53 82/96 79/93 77/79 71/72 67/71 Sweden 0.67 0.68 0.73 0.74 0.62 32/96 45/93 38/79 25/72 52/71 Turkey 0.75 0.73 0.81 0.70 0.67 8/96 30/93 20/79 41/72 45/71 Vietnam 0.62 0.36 0.60 * * 40/96 92/93 61/79 * * † = The figures in this table and the accompanying figure count 100% of all “encourages” answers, but only 50 percent of the “not a deterrent” answers. For a discussion, please see page 15. * = not available. A caveat Surveys can also produce anomalies. For example, in this survey New Brunswick and Nova Scotia re- ceived higher scores for existing policies than for This survey captures miners’ general and specific best practices. knowl edge. A miner may give an oth er wise high-scoring jurisdiction a low mark because of his It is also important to note that different segments or her individual experience with a problem. We do of the mining industry (exploration and develop- not believe this detracts from the survey. In fact, we ment companies, say) face different challenges. Yet have made a particular point of highlighting such many of the challenges the different segments face differing views in the survey comments and “What are similar. This survey is intended to capture the miners are saying” quotes. overall view. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 23
  • 24. Figure 6: Room for improvement Mongolia Indonesia Papua New Guinea Philippines Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Madagascar Bolivia Ecuador Argentina: Santa Cruz Egypt Zimbabwe India Argentina: La Rioja Guatemala Argentina: Jujuy Kazakhstan Venezuela Vietnam Kyrgyzstan South Africa China Argentina: Chubut Russia Tanzania Colombia Honduras Colorado Zambia Argentina: Catamarca British Columbia Brazil Argentina: Mendoza Mexico Nunavut Montana Turkey Argentina: San Juan California Quebec Manitoba Peru Ontario Queensland Botswana Serbia Mali Guinea (Conakry) Northwest Territories Suriname Washington Greece Tasmania Romania Argentina: Rio Negro Namibia Chile South Australia Yukon Argentina: Salta Western Australia Mauritania Arizona Newfoundland & Labrador Minnesota Alaska New South Wales Poland French Guiana Idaho Argentina: Neuquen Northern Territory Nevada Utah New Mexico Dominican Republic Michigan Saskatchewan Ghana Victoria Alberta Norway Burkina Faso Wyoming Greenland New Brunswick Guyana Panama Finland Bulgaria Spain Niger Sweden Ireland Morocco New Zealand Nova Scotia -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 24 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 25. Explanation of the figures Figures 4 through 23 of each factor (see table 9). In most years, the split was nearly exactly 60 percent mineral and 40 per- Figures 4 and 5 show the percentage of respondents cent policy. This year the answer was 58.65 percent who say that “current” or “best practices” policy ei- mineral potential and 41.35 percent policy. We ther “encourages exploration investment” or is “not maintained the precise 60/40 ratio in calculating a deterrent to exploration investment” (a “1” or a “2” this index to allow comparability with other years. on the scale above; see also earlier discussion of the calculation of these indexes). The Policy Potential Index provides the data for This differs from figures 7 through 23, which show policy potential while the rankings from the “Best the percentage of respondents who rate each policy Practices” (figure 5), based on the percentage of re- factor as a “mild deterrent to investment explora- sponses for “Encourages Investment,” provide data tion” or “strong deterrent to exploration invest- on the policy component. ment” or “would not pursue exploration investment in this region due to this factor” (a “3”, “4,” or “5” on To some extent, we have de-emphasized the impor- the scale). Readers will find a breakdown of both tance of the Composite Policy and Mineral Index in negative and positive responses for all areas in the recent years, moving it from the executive summary appendix so they can make their own judgments in- to the body of the report. We believe that our direct dependent of the charts. question on “current” mineral potential provides the best measure of investment attractiveness (fig- ure 4). This is partly because the 60/40 relationship Figure 24: Composite Policy is probably not stable at the extremes. For example, and Mineral Index extremely bad policy that would virtually confiscate The Composite Policy and Mineral Index combines all potential profits, or an environment that would both the Policy Potential Index and results from the expose workers and managers to high personal risk, “best practices” question, which in effect ranks a ju- would discourage mining activity regardless of min- risdiction’s “pure” mineral potential, given best eral potential. In this case, mineral potential, far practices. This year, the index was weighted 60 per- from having a 60 percent weight, might carry very cent by mineral potential and 40 percent by policy. little weight. Nonetheless, we believe the composite These ratios are determined by a survey question index provides some insights and have maintained asking respondents to rate the relative importance it for that reason. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 25
  • 26. Global survey rankings The top The bottom No nation scored first in all categories. Finland had The 10 least attractive jurisdictions for investment the highest Policy Potential Index score of 95.5. based on the PPI rankings are, starting with the Along with Finland, the top 10 ranked jurisdictions worst, In do ne sia, Viet nam, Ven e zuela, DRC are Sweden, Alberta, New Brunswick, Wyoming, (Congo), Kyrgyzstan, Zimbabwe, Bolivia, Guate- Ireland, Nevada, Yukon, Utah, and Norway. All mala, Philippines, and Greece. All of these jurisdic- were in the top 10 last year except for Utah and Nor- tions were in the bottom 10 last year with the way. Yukon was the first Canadian territory to make exception of DRC (Congo), Greece, and Zimbabwe. the top 10 in 2011/2012. Both Quebec and Sas- Greece was a new ad di tion to the sur vey in katchewan fell out of the top 10 in 2012/2013. Chile, 2012/2013. which had previously been the only jurisdiction outside North America consistently in the top 10 Both the DRC (Congo) and Zimbabwe dropped sig- over the life of the survey, has continued to fall in nificantly in the rankings this year, with DRC the rankings—to 23rd place in this year’s survey. (Congo) falling from 76th to 93rd, and Zimbabwe Norway rose to 10th in the rankings from 24th in from 74th to 91st. Honduras and India moved out of 2011/2012, and Sweden and Finland have now been the bottom 10 in 2012/2013. Honduras’ ranking im- in the top 10 for the last three and four years, respec- proved from last spot (93rd) in 2011/2012 to 83rd, tively. while India moved from 89th to 81st. 26 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 27. Global results Canada score amongst Canadian jurisdictions, increasing from 50.4 in 2011/2012 to 63.7 in 2012/2013. The Canada’s average PPI score improved slightly in Northwest Territories saw improvement in all pol- 2012/2013, but for the first time since 2006/2007, a icy factors, most significantly in its legal system Canadian jurisdiction did not rank first in the sur- (23%); labour and skill availability (13%); and uncer- vey. The highest ranked Canadian jurisdiction was tainty concerning the administration, interpreta- Alberta, which remained in 3rd place. Last year’s tion, and enforcement of existing regulations (12%). number one jurisdiction, New Brunswick, dropped to 4th place. Comments: Canada Both Quebec and Saskatchewan dropped out of the The comments in the following section have been top 10 in 2012/2013. Saskatchewan had been in the edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain top 10 since 2008/2009 and dropped from 6th in confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. 2011/2012 to 13th in 2012/2013 due to worsening perceptions amongst respondents for uncertainty Canada in general over which areas will be protected as wilderness, Canadian mining regulations and legislation are parks, or archeological sites (-12%)1; the taxation re- generally easy to operate under. gime (-11%); and labour and skills availability —A producer company with more than US$50M, (-10%). Quebec had been in the top 10 since Company president 2001/2002, but it dropped to 11th in 2012/2013 from 5th in 2011/2012 due to worsening perceptions Ca na dian pro jects [are] tak ing years to wind amongst respondents for political stability (-25%); through regulatory processes in which every opinion and uncertainty concerning the administration, has the same validity regardless of how poorly in- interpretation, and enforcement of existing regula- formed. I am not sure that any province is immune tions (-14%). Quebec was the top-ranked jurisdic- from this nonsense. tion in 2007/2008, 2008/2009, and 2009/2010. —A consulting company, Manager The PPI score for all of Canada’s territories—Yukon, Constant back and forth in Canada [with] First Na- Nunavut, and the Northwest Territories—contin- tions trying to prove negative impacts of mining in ued to improve in this year’s survey. In fact, for the order to get contractual financial and other commit- second year in a row, Yukon was among the top 10 ments from mining companies. We need to find our jurisdictions. The Northwest Territories showed way to a regulatory and cultural regime where First the greatest year-to-year improvement in it its PPI Nations can focus on holding companies to responsi- 1 Numbers in brackets refer to the difference in the percentage of respondents who responded that a particular policy factor “Encourages investment” between the 2011/2012 and 2012/2013 mining surveys. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 27
  • 28. Figure 7: Uncertainty concerning the adminstration, interpretation, and enforcement of existing regulations Botswana Sweden New Brunswick Greenland Mild deterrent to investment Saskatchewan Chile Wyoming Strong deterrent to investment Alberta Northern Territory Would not pursue investment due to this factor Finland Nova Scotia Norway Morocco Utah Turkey Yukon Newfoundland & Labrador Nevada Ireland Mexico South Australia Western Australia Alaska Mauritania Burkina Faso Namibia Zambia Guyana Brazil Dominican Republic Serbia Ghana Arizona Quebec Argentina: Catamarca New Zealand Manitoba Argentina: Salta Colombia Ontario Northwest Territories Nunavut Idaho New South Wales Panama Peru Spain Argentina: San Juan Queensland British Columbia Bulgaria Suriname Argentina: Jujuy New Mexico Mali Papua New Guinea Victoria Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Rio Negro Tasmania Argentina: Santa Cruz Michigan Tanzania Argentina: La Rioja Vietnam Niger Kazakhstan Russia French Guiana Poland Colorado Minnesota India South Africa Romania China Washington Guatemala Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Mendoza Greece Guinea (Conakry) Montana Mongolia Madagascar California Philippines Honduras Indonesia Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Ecuador Egypt Zimbabwe Bolivia Venezuela Kyrgyzstan 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 28 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 29. ble behaviour and opportunities for mutually bene- British Columbia ficial business relationships—not percentages of projects (this includes a transparent and reliable ap- I think that Canada and BC in general have a lot proach to determining whether a First Nation more potential for being the highest rated jurisdic- should share in the royalty paid on minerals, not ne- tions for mineral exploration, but politics (for the pur- gotiating an additional financial payment). pose of getting elected or re-elected) gets in the way of —A producer company with more than US$50M, making the right policies in exchange for votes. Vice-president —An exploration company, Vice-president Dealing with the Ministry of Mines in BC via a phone Canada’s federal/provincial regulatory duplicity, call. Always polite. Always willing to go the extra primarily EAs [Environmental Assessments], lends mile to answer the question. itself to detracting investment opportunities. —An exploration company, Other senior manage- —A producer company with more than US$50M, ment Manager Both exploration and development permit wait Re-affirm that the province has real ownership and times are unacceptable as they can range from 3 control of its land and mineral resources. Mining months to 2 years in some cases. Recently a permit companies are not sure who really owns the re- application that had been sitting without release for sources, therefore mineral claims or titles are becom- referral to First Nations for 3 months was resolved, ing meaningless. but only with the intervention of the government —An exploration company, Company president minister. There is no consistency between how local offices deal with referrals and no consistency with I believe the federal courts have put provincial gov- how they are issued. There is a general lack of com- ernments in Canada in a near impossible situation munication and commitment from BC government by imposing the “duty to consult” requirements on employees to service the public, although there are the provinces without ensuring that the additional notable exceptions. rights given or upheld (depending on the perspec- —An exploration company, Manager tive) for First Nations people are balanced by giv- ing the provinces an adequate mechanism to deal Construction of the Northwest Transmission Line is with how this affects their mining community critical to unlocking billions in future revenue for the (which is a pro vin cial ju ris dic tion). It is an province of BC. off-load ing and im po si tion of a re spon si bil ity —A producer company with more than US$50M, without the authority to balance exploration’s ba- Manager sic requirements of land access. —An exploration company, Company president Manitoba Alberta Duty to consult needs to be streamlined and ade- quately resourced. Strong mining province, open for business. —A producer company with less than US$50M, —An exploration company, Company president Other senior management 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 29
  • 30. Figure 8: Uncertainty concerning environmental regulations Botswana Burkina Faso Saskatchewan Mexico Mild deterrent to investment Zambia Greenland Strong deterrent to investment Mali Alberta Wyoming Would not pursue investment due to this factor Utah Namibia Guyana Chile New Brunswick Tanzania Yukon Ghana Turkey Serbia Northern Territory Niger Finland Morocco Ireland Nevada Egypt Newfoundland and Labrador Western Australia Mauritania South Australia Brazil Quebec Sweden Ontario Argentina: Salta Dominican Republic Manitoba Kazakhstan South Africa Argentina: Catamarca Suriname Alaska Spain Mongolia Nova Scotia China Argentina: San Juan Nunavut Papua New Guinea Colombia Argentina: Santa Cruz Bulgaria Northwest Territories Peru Norway Guinea (Conakry) Arizona Panama Russia French Guiana Madagascar Queensland New South Wales Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Kyrgyzstan Argentina: La Rioja New Mexico Vietnam Idaho India Zimbabwe Romania Indonesia Argentina: Neuquen British Columbia New Zealand Bolivia Philippines Minnesota Michigan Argentina: Rio Negro Tasmania Washington Venezuela Honduras Poland Montana Argentina: Jujuy Victoria Colorado Argentina: Chubut Guatemala Ecuador Argentina: Mendoza California Greece 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 30 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 31. Many firms in Manitoba have not been able to get Northwest Territories permits in anything approaching a timely man- ner. This is true even for very low impact explora- Too hard to get exploration permits on a predictable tion activities. schedule and without excessive and overly expensive —A producer company with more than US$50M early-stage community consultation. —An exploration company, Manager New Brunswick Nunavut Nunavut is a territory that is in many ways in con- Land acquisition and permitting seems easy and flict. It wants investment and then creates a bureau- straight forward compared to most other jurisdictions. cracy and commercial environment that is strongly —Vertically integrated, Other senior management negative towards any investment. Provincial bureaucrats understand mining and key —An exploration company, Vice-president issues that need to be addressed through permitting Ontario and taxation policies. —An exploration company, Company president Government is pro-active, people are well educated, indigenous people are consulted and cooperative, and there is still plenty of mineral potential, particu- Newfoundland and Labrador larly in the far north. —A consulting company, Other senior management Policy change is needed to improve the overall gov- ernment structure and the regulatory process—one New legislation is creating uncertainty in dealing unified process rather than two conflicting processes with First Nations as each group has their own prior- (Inuit vs. NL). A concerted effort is needed to create ities when negotiating with mining companies. and maintain fairness through a) better coordina- We’re not opposed to sharing the wealth, but these tion between Nunatsiavut and the province; b) Less priorities need to be standardized through legisla- “us vs. them” and exclusionary treatment of “outsid- tion to remove the uncertainty for both parties and ers”; c) local government needs to find well-informed investment—i.e., First Nations should receive prede- advisors with a recognized background in economic termined Net Smelter Return %, ownership %, em- development. ployment %, or any combination thereof. —An exploration company, Company president —An exploration company, Chief Financial Officer Newfoundland very likely has the best policies re- Quebec lated to claim staking and the ease/quickness of staking, the highest land tenure & security possible, The government has given municipalities and sur- and also the best system known of acquiring histori- face right owners absolute control over mineral de- cal exploration data, all of it on-line and free for velopment. One may own the mineral rights but not downloading to anyone in the world. These policies be able to explore or mine without paying what are a major, 100% encouragement to explore and amounts to pay-offs. A great system destroyed in or- develop in Newfoundland-Labrador. der to garner votes. —An exploration company, Company president —An exploration company, Company president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 31
  • 32. Figure 9: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies Botswana Sweden Saskatchewan Chile Mild deterrent to investment Greenland Finland Burkina Faso Strong deterrent to investment Namibia Northern Territory New Brunswick Would not pursue investment due to this factor Nova Scotia Zambia Norway Yukon Ghana Western Australia South Australia Mexico Alberta Turkey Guyana Ireland Wyoming Nevada Newfoundland and Labrador Morocco Quebec Utah Panama Mauritania Alaska Dominican Republic Manitoba Brazil Ontario French Guiana Serbia Bulgaria Mali Arizona Colombia New Zealand New South Wales Spain Niger Northwest Territories Suriname Tanzania Victoria Peru Idaho Papua New Guinea Queensland British Columbia Montana Argentina: Catamarca Mongolia Nunavut Kazakhstan New Mexico South Africa Argentina: Salta Madagascar Argentina: San Juan Poland Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Jujuy Tasmania China Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: Santa Cruz Minnesota Guinea (Conakry) Romania Washington Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Russia Colorado Bolivia India Michigan Philippines Greece Indonesia Kyrgyzstan Argentina: Mendoza Ecuador Egypt California Argentina: La Rioja Zimbabwe Guatemala Argentina: Chubut Vietnam Venezuela Honduras 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 32 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 33. Everything that is done in Quebec is exemplary. Saskatchewan Skilled labour, government cooperation, strong First Nations assistance, good resources, good infrastruc- Progressive, mining friendly government, well regu- ture, and a positive outlook. lated, balanced approach to protected lands, bal- —An exploration company, Company president anced approach to First Nation Land issues, very high mineral potential in a diversity of metals and minerals, great access and infrastructure, political Quebec already has in place aboriginal land claim stability, regulatory certainty and consistency, and a settlements in many areas and a clear and well doc- populace who know what pays the bills. umented set of mining regulations. —An exploration company, Company president —An exploration company, Company president Saskatchewan is one of the more straight forward ju- I was impressed with the public consultation process risdictions for obtaining an approved LUP [Land managed by a branch of the ministry of environment Use Plan]; not because it is easy and lacking in sub- in Quebec. Transparent, available, and respectful of stance, but because of the clarity in the requirements timelines. from the operator plus it provides a one-stop-shop —A producer company with more than US$50M, approach with direct communication with the land Manager use administrator. —An exploration company, Company president Different environmental process and permitting They have developed an effective mechanism for rules in the same province. One portion of the prov- consultation and issuing permits. They have a native ince is covered by a First Nation agreement with the coordinator with Saskatchewan Environment that provincial government making it impossible to ob- has trust and relationships with both aboriginal and tain any kind of preliminary permits before the final industry groups. certificate of authorization is granted. In the same —An exploration company, Vice-president province, the same type of project can receive con- struction permits while waiting to finalize the certifi- Saskatchewan—a fixed work permit and regulatory cate of authorization to open the mine. The end environment; in other words, a transparent process. result is that the same project will take at least 2 —An exploration company, Company president years extra to open its mine and start mining. —An exploration company, Company president Yukon Yukon: the bands working with the miners to help Quebec has dropped significantly over last 18 months grow the economy. with First Nations concerns, political risk, uncertain —An exploration company, Investor relations tax treatment, uncertain policies, negative on min- ing, and negative changes to mining legislation. Good mineral endowment and government just —A producer company with less than US$50M, seems to work like one would hope it would. Company president —A consulting company, Consultant 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 33
  • 34. Figure 10: Legal processes that are fair, transparent, non-corrupt, timely, and efficiently administered Northern Territory New Brunswick Wyoming Sweden Saskatchewan Mild deterrent to investment Newfoundland and Labrador Botswana Yukon Strong deterrent to investment Alberta Greenland Would not invest due to this factor Western Australia New South Wales South Australia Finland Norway Ireland Queensland New Zealand Victoria Nova Scotia Nevada Ontario Tasmania French Guiana Utah Alaska British Columbia Michigan Chile Manitoba Minnesota Idaho Northwest Territories Quebec Arizona Nunavut Namibia Mauritania Turkey Montana New Mexico Colorado Morocco Ghana Spain Mexico Washington Colombia Guyana Peru Argentina: Salta Serbia Zambia California Brazil Panama Dominican Republic Poland Burkina Faso Argentina: Catamarca Niger Bulgaria Argentina: San Juan Tanzania Mali Suriname South Africa Argentina: Rio Negro Papua New Guinea Argentina: Santa Cruz Romania Argentina: Neuquen Madagascar Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Mendoza Russia Argentina: La Rioja Philippines Kazakhstan Greece China Argentina: Chubut India Mongolia Ecuador Kyrgyzstan Guatemala Zimbabwe Vietnam Venezuela Honduras Guinea (Conakry) Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Bolivia Indonesia Egypt 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 34 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 35. The United States Although the USA’s average PPI score declined United States in general slightly in 2012/2013, it had three jurisdictions ranked in the top 10: Wyoming (5), Nevada (7), and There needs to be a classification just for the “United Utah (10). Overall, US jurisdictions have improved States.” While Alaska has great potential and the their PPI scores over the last five years, with the ex- state government is welcoming, the federal govern- ception of top-ranked Ne vada and Wy oming, ment exerts incredible control over Alaska and thus which dropped slightly. it’s difficult to rate it high, given the federal intrusion. —A producer company with more than US$50M, Minnesota and Michigan saw the largest declines in Vice president their scores and rankings in 2012/2013. However, both had also moved up sig nif i cantly in the Alaska 2011/2012 rankings. Minnesota fell from 22nd in 2011/2012 to 40th in 2012/2013 due to worsening Supportive government, particularly in the central perceptions amongst respondents for labour and district where areas are specifically designated for skills availability (-26%); and political stability mineral resource development. Permit process is a (-14%). Michigan fell from 23rd in 2011/2012 to 33rd known quantity. Despite opposition in Southwest in 2012/2013 due to wors en ing per cep tions Alaska toward one project, the central district is the amongst respondents for availability of labour and best place to have a project for certainty, exploration skills (-29%); the legal system (-18%); and the quality potential and geo-political risk. of the geological database (-14%). —An exploration company, Company president Utah saw the greatest improvement in rankings Alaska Land Claims Act. Unequivocally identifies amongst US jurisdictions in 2012/2013, moving native interest. from 21st in 2011/2012 to 9th due to increased survey —An exploration company, Company president ratings for the quality of the geological database (29%); taxation regime (22%); and regulatory dupli- Arizona cation and inconsistencies (12%). Alaska also im- proved since last year’s sur vey—from 25 th in Withdrawal of over one million acres of federal 2011/2012 to 19th in 2012/2013. The improvement lands in northern Arizona in January 2012 to pre- was due to increased survey ratings for availability vent mining. The result was over 99% of valid claims of labour and skills (13%); the quality of the geologi- were closed to further exploration. cal database (11%); and infrastructure (8%). —A producer company with less than US$50M, Other senior management Comments: United States California The comments in the following section have been edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain In California, greenhouse gas regulations (cap and confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. trade regulations) are being implemented. There is 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 35
  • 36. Figure 11: Taxation regime Yukon Alberta Finland New Brunswick Utah Wyoming Mild deterrent to investment Alaska Saskatchewan Strong deterrent to investment Botswana Chile Would not invest due to this factor Northwest Territories Ireland Morocco Nevada Sweden Idaho French Guiana Arizona Greenland Turkey Mexico Nova Scotia New Zealand Newfoundland and Labrador Ontario Guyana Colombia Michigan Dominican Republic Nunavut Manitoba Panama Spain Peru British Columbia Burkina Faso Ghana Norway Quebec Victoria Namibia Colorado Papua New Guinea New Mexico Montana Serbia Washington Bulgaria Minnesota Mauritania Northern Territory Zambia Queensland New South Wales Argentina: San Juan Mali Western Australia Tasmania Brazil Argentina: Salta Niger South Australia Kazakhstan Argentina: Neuquen Indonesia Suriname Argentina: Catamarca Romania Philippines Argentina: Santa Cruz Honduras Madagascar Argentina: Rio Negro China Russia South Africa India Guatemala Tanzania California Argentina: Jujuy Vietnam Argentina: Mendoza Kyrgyzstan Poland Greece Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Argentina: Chubut Argentina: La Rioja Egypt Guinea (Conakry) Ecuador Mongolia Bolivia Zimbabwe Venezuela 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 36 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 37. total confusion as to how the legislation will affect Nevada the mining industry, what the cost impacts will be, and you cannot get any answers from the Califor- In Nevada, the NEPA process has become relatively nia Air Resources Board who are implementing streamlined allowing companies to have some cer- the legislation. tainty of what the permitting process is and achiev- —An exploration company, Company president ing an outcome for a known cost and timeframe. —An exploration company, Company president Difficult land access, myriad environmental issues, Good legal framework, tax regime stability at com- hostile regulatory environment. petitive rates, good approval procedures. —An exploration company, Company president —A producer company with more than US$50M, Company president Colorado New Mexico World class resources, but crippling regulations New Mexico has turned around as a place to build have clients not even considering investment. uranium projects. It should be noted in your study —An exploration company, Counsel that the new government is strongly supportive of re- source development. Idaho —An exploration company, Company president Good inter-agency coordination. Utah —An exploration company, Company president Streamlined permitting and review process. —An exploration company, Senior management Michigan Washington Straightforward, modern mining regulations were put in place in 2007. The current governor is pro-jobs Washington needs balanced public policy regarding and pro-mining mining and environmental concerns. —An exploration company, Company president —A producer company with more than US$50M, Manager Minnesota Wyoming Need to streamline the environmental approval Lower tax regime, government encourages mining, process. little political downside. —An exploration company, Company president —A consulting company, Vice-president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 37
  • 38. Figure 12: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims Greenland Utah Wyoming Sweden Nevada Mild deterrent to investment Botswana Norway Ireland Strong deterrent to investment Finland Idaho Would not invest due to this factor Chile Arizona Spain Colorado Alaska New Brunswick French Guiana Turkey Michigan Minnesota Burkina Faso Montana New Mexico California Nova Scotia New Zealand Washington Saskatchewan Alberta Namibia Serbia Queensland Ghana Argentina: Rio Negro Western Australia Argentina: Santa Cruz Nunavut Mali Yukon Morocco Victoria Northern Territory South Australia New South Wales Mauritania Quebec Argentina: Catamarca Dominican Republic Newfoundland & Labrador Argentina: San Juan Niger Tasmania Argentina: Salta Northwest Territories Colombia Mexico Zambia Brazil Argentina: Chubut Guyana Argentina: Mendoza Panama Bulgaria China Manitoba Kazakhstan Ontario Poland Madagascar Argentina: Jujuy Egypt Argentina: La Rioja Argentina: Neuquen India Guinea (Conakry) South Africa Mongolia Tanzania Peru British Columbia Romania Vietnam Russia Suriname Ecuador Kyrgyzstan Indonesia Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Honduras Philippines Papua New Guinea Greece Bolivia Guatemala Zimbabwe Venezuela 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 38 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 39. Australia and Oceania The average PPI score for Australia is down slightly Australia in general from 2011/2012, although there has been an in- creasing trend over the last five years. Western Aus- Across Australia, political and regulatory panic is tralia is the highest ranked Australian jurisdiction seriously impacting the quality and timeliness of de- with a rank of 15th and a PPI score of 79.3 in cisions, and certainty about access to land is very 2012/2013. Victoria showed significant improve- concerning. The “Twitter” factor is determining po- ment in both its PPI and rank, moving from 44th in litical attitudes and actions, and regulators are re- 2011/2012 to 24th in 2012/2013 due to improve- acting to minimize the perceived “risk exposure” of ments in ratings for political stability (38%); and the their ministers. legal system (16%). —An exploration company, Company president New Zealand has steadily improved both its PPI New South Wales score and rank ing over the last five years. In 2012/2013, its ranking rose slightly to 26th from Stable, not corrupt, has technical potential, skilled 27th, with survey ratings improving most signifi- labour force, not too green, and sensitive to how min- cantly for political stability (18%); the legal system ing assists remote development and usefulness of (13%); and quality of the geological database (12%). royalties. Pro-mining conservative government. —A consulting company, Company president Indonesia dropped in the rankings from 85th in 2011/2012 to 96th (of 96) in 2012/2013 due to wors- Queensland ening ratings amongst survey respondents for polit- i cal sta bil ity (-6%); un cer tainty con cern ing The introduction of new compensation agreements environmental regulations (-6%); and uncertainty for exploration drilling in the minerals sector has concerning the administration, interpretation, or been a disaster. Legal bills and compensation pay- enforcement of existing regulations (-3%). Papua ments are outrageous. New Guinea also dropped—to 77th in 2012/2013 —An exploration company, Managing director from 66th in 2011/2012—with lower survey ratings for trade barriers (-15%); uncertainty regarding the South Australia administration, interpretation, or enforcement of existing regulations (-11%); and political stability You get a professional case officer to deal with your (-6%). The Philippines remained at 88th (in the bot- approvals and the regulators are willing to be en- tom 10) for the second year in a row. gaged at the highest level and help, not hinder, your proposals. Comments: Australia and —An exploration company, Vice-president Oceania Tasmania The comments in the following section have been edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain Very green policies. confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. —An exploration company, Company president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 39
  • 40. Figure 13: Uncertainty concerning which areas will be protected as wilderness areas, parks or archeological sites Niger Morocco Burkina Faso Mali Mauritania Botswana Namibia Ghana Mild deterrent to investment Zambia Guinea(Conakry) Strong deterrent to investment Kazakhstan Wyoming Sweden Would not invest due to this factor Ireland Chile Tanzania Utah Finland Greenland Mexico Saskatchewan China New Brunswick Egypt Guyana Spain Nevada South Africa Western Australia Papua New Guinea Turkey Alberta Norway South Australia Argentina: Catamarca Russia Northern Territory Argentina: San Juan Serbia Argentina: Salta Yukon Newfoundland & Labrador Dominican Republic Minnesota New South Wales Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Peru French Guiana Kyrgyzstan Idaho Panama Michigan Alaska Mongolia Bulgaria Argentina: Jujuy New Mexico Victoria Brazil Argentina: Santa Cruz Nova Scotia New Zealand Quebec Vietnam Poland Suriname Queensland Guatemala Washington Manitoba Zimbabwe Nunavut Arizona Colombia Madagascar Montana Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Rio Negro Northwest Territories Argentina: Neuquen Ontario Argentina: La Rioja Argentina: Mendoza Philippines Tasmania Indonesia Greece Romania Bolivia Colorado Honduras India British Columbia Ecuador California Venezuela 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 40 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 41. Victoria uncertainty over foreign ownership laws, mandatory downstream processing requirements (implemented Difficult regulatory regime which increases explora- without industry consultation), a ban on export of tion ex penses and in creases de ci sion-mak ing raw commodities, corruption, poor governance […], timeframes. unfair and unworkable forestry restrictions and im- —An exploration company, Managing director/ CEO pediments […], lack of confidence in the judiciary (mainly through corruption, but incompetence also), Western Australia the rise in resource nationalism, etc. Although 70% of all investment comes from foreign capital, recent Western Australia should have everything going for policy changes have either knowingly or unwittingly it, but its permitting processes are now more costly resulted in the marginalization of foreign investors. than actual exploration on the ground, are slow, and —A producer company with less than US$50M, the reg u la tors woe fully un der manned and Vice-president underfunded. In exploration and development, time is money and imposing 60-day (some agencies) or 45 New Zealand working day approval window does not work, espe- cially when the first feedback typically comes in 2 or Risk-based approach to permitting. Easy and local 3 days before the deadline... councils have all the regulatory power without having —An exploration company, Vice-president to jump through hoops with different regulators. —A producer company with more than US$50M, Clear guidelines, rules, and regulations. Prompt gov- Vice-president ernment response. —An exploration company, Managing director Quick issuing of permits (within 40 or so days) to carry out exploration in New Zealand. Indonesia —An exploration company, Manager The degree of corruption and the uncertainties re- Papua New Guinea garding engagement of local stakeholders and shift- ing environmental regulations make this one of the Political instability. most risky destinations for investment. The number —A producer company with more than US$50M, of horror stories continues to grow. Manager —An exploration company, Vice-president No legislative or regional stability. Forestry permits are purposely delayed and used as a —A consulting company, Company president means to either extort huge grease money or wait out an exploration to force it to abandon a viable project in Philippines order to be picked up by a domestic company owned by army generals or the political/economic elite. Recent Executive Order and required pending legis- —An exploration company, Manager lation creates massive uncertainty for companies in- volved in exploration and final design stages of As a relative change measure, Indonesia has gone mining development. backwards more than any country due to ongoing —Other, Vice-president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 41
  • 42. Figure 14: Infrastructure (includes access to roads, power availability, etc) Utah Ireland New Brunswick Michigan Nevada Mild deterrent to investment Minnesota Finland Norway Strong deterrent to investment Arizona Wyoming Would not invest due to this factor Nova Scotia Alberta Idaho Sweden Turkey Washington Montana California New Zealand Bulgaria Colorado New Mexico New South Wales Victoria Spain Quebec Western Australia Ontario Saskatchewan Queensland Mexico Tasmania Northern Territory South Australia Serbia Argentina: Mendoza Manitoba Poland Greece Argentina: Salta British Columbia Namibia Morocco Argentina: San Juan Chile Botswana Dominican Republic Romania Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Catamarca Argentina: Rio Negro South Africa Egypt Newfoundland & Labrador Peru Ghana Argentina: Santa Cruz Panama Zambia Argentina: Neuquen Kazakhstan Argentina: Chubut Argentina: La Rioja Brazil Yukon China Colombia Northwest Territories Alaska Russia India Tanzania Kyrgyzstan Burkina Faso Zimbabwe Honduras Guatemala French Guiana Vietnam Madagascar Ecuador Venezuela Indonesia Greenland Mali Niger Nunavut Mauritania Bolivia Suriname Philippines Guinea (Conakry) Guyana Mongolia Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Papua New Guinea 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 42 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 43. Africa The average PPI score for Africa is down from tainty con cern ing the ad min is tra tion, 2011/2012, continuing a declining trend over the interpretation, or enforcement of existing regula- last five years. Botswana is the bright spot in Africa. tions (11%). It is the highest ranked jurisdiction on the continent (17th) and has improved its PPI score over the last Comments: Africa five years. The comments in the following section have been Mali saw the largest decline in its rank in 2012/2013, edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain falling from 42nd to 79th. Mali dropped on nearly confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. every policy factor, but most significantly in its sur- vey ratings for uncertainty concerning environ- Africa in general mental regulations (-29%); uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, or enforcement Resource nationalism in Africa is a major concern. of existing regulations (-28%); and taxation regime Corruption needs to be controlled. Governments (-23%). Mali also dropped in security (-12%) and po- have to be more pro-active towards Investors. Trans- litical stability (-14%), although both factors were parency is a must and could be a strong motivator for already rated very low in the 2011/2012 survey. investors. Madagascar also fell in the rankings from 59th in —A producer company with more than US$50M, 2011/2012 to 85th in 2012/2013 due to worsening Company president perceptions amongst respondents for uncertainty concerning what areas will be protected as wilder- Botswana ness, parks, or archaeological sites (-23%); uncer- tainty con cern ing en vi ron men tal reg u la tions Can get work done. Reasonable approval process. (-21%); and uncertainty concerning the adminis- Not excessive regulations. Clearly pro-mining cul- tration, interpretation, or enforcement of existing ture. Honest civil servants. regulations (-16%); although it did improve signifi- —A producer company with more than US$50M, cantly on its rating for trade barriers (15%). Manager Mauritania saw the largest improvement in Africa Favourable attitude of government, fair social and in both PPI and rankings; it moved up to 36th in environmental approach, fair taxation and no 2012/2013 from 52nd in 2011/2012 due to improve- added requirements, and government is increas- ments in the ratings for regulatory duplication and ingly investing in assets such as infrastructure and inconsistencies (19%); quality of the geological da- education. tabase (17%); legal system (17%); and uncertainty —An exploration company, Manager concerning what areas will be protected as wilder- ness, parks or archeological sites (17%). Namibia Burkina Faso also recovered to 30th in 2012/2013 after dropping to 45th in 2011/2012. Its improved ratings were for The country recognizes the contribution to the econ- uncertainty concerning disputed land claims (18%); omy that mining brings and they have great need. availability of labour and skills (13%); and uncer- Permitting risk is very low and the time it takes from 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 43
  • 44. Figure 15: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions Wyoming Norway Finland Nevada Utah Sweden Alberta Mild deterrent to investment Arizona Nova Scotia Ireland Strong deterrent to investment New Mexico Idaho Saskatchewan Would not pursue investment due to this factor New Brunswick Michigan Washington South Australia New South Wales Western Australia Spain Victoria Chile Minnesota Montana Northern Territory Yukon California New Zealand Queensland Manitoba Newfoundland & Labrador Tasmania Alaska Turkey Quebec Colorado Ontario Poland Botswana British Columbia Namibia Mexico Serbia Bulgaria Russia French Guiana Argentina: Catamarca Greenland Colombia Guyana Dominican Republic Brazil Mauritania Argentina: San Juan Ghana Northwest Territories Argentina: Salta Zambia India China Argentina: Rio Negro Panama Argentina: Mendoza Nunavut Argentina: Santa Cruz Morocco Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Jujuy Kazakhstan Tanzania Mali Vietnam South Africa Madagascar Argentina: La Rioja Burkina Faso Mongolia Niger Suriname Egypt Romania Indonesia Peru Greece Argentina: Chubut Honduras Papua New Guinea Philippines Kyrgyzstan Guinea (Conakry) Guatemala Zimbabwe Venezuela Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Ecuador Bolivia 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 44 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 45. discovery to development can be half that in most constrained within law. The future is uncertain. Lo- countries. cal comment: “it’s under control.” —An exploration company, Company president —A consulting company, Consultant Attractive mining code and stable legal system. The latest mining code is grossly unbalanced toward —A producer company with more than US$50M, the government and of pure political nature. Founder and vice-chairman —An exploration company, Shareholder Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Madagascar Corrupt beyond description and, from a mining Great mineral assets, highly corrupt government, point of view, a shambles in each and every conceiv- and unstable policies and application thereof. able respect. —A producer company with more than US$50M, —A producer company with more than US$50M, Company president Company president Mali Egypt First-in-time applications are being rejected in fa- Lack of transparency, lack of modern/reasonable vour of other applicants due to corrupt payments by mining code. other applicants. —An exploration company, Vice president —An exploration company, Director Uncertainty of tenure. High tax, high import duty, and after-effects from —An exploration company, Company president the recent coup. Uncertainty about the Northern part of Mali and how it will affect the whole of Mali. Ghana —A producer company with more than US$50M, Former president Second largest producer in Africa with a small popu- lation that depends on mining revenues. Large min- Mauritania ing corporations have made sure title laws are strong and in place and maintained. There are minerals Openness and flexibility by the government of Mau- everywhere and due to a number of socio-political ritania. They are keen to attract foreign investment circumstances, many opportunities still exist. As in the resource sector and are sincere in their desire long as you create employment in the field, tradi- to create a world-class mining regime. tional leaders will back you and they have the final —A producer company with more than US$50M, say on the land. Vice-president —An exploration company, Company president Morocco Guinea (Conakry) Professional people with good will... in one word: easy. Guinea Conakry: licences were issued then trans- —A producer company with more than US$50M, ferred to a third party. Transfer methodology is not Manager 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 45
  • 46. Figure 16: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit repatriation, currency restrictions, etc. Yukon Idaho New South Wales Finland New Brunswick Victoria Mild deterrent to investment Colorado Tasmania Nova Scotia Strong deterrent to investment Utah Queensland Michigan Would not pursue investment due to this factor Ontario Nevada Sweden Newfoundland & Labrador California Northwest Territories Wyoming Saskatchewan Alaska Manitoba Ireland British Columbia Montana Greenland Spain Alberta Northern Territory Arizona Washington Norway Western Australia Nunavut New Zealand Turkey Minnesota Chile South Australia Botswana New Mexico Quebec Bulgaria French Guiana Panama Mexico Morocco Colombia Guyana Dominican Republic Poland Peru Namibia Ghana Greece Zambia Mauritania Burkina Faso Romania Serbia Mali Tanzania Papua New Guinea Honduras Brazil Madagascar Kazakhstan South Africa Guatemala Kyrgyzstan Philippines Niger Guinea (Conakry) Suriname Ecuador India Russia Indonesia Mongolia China Vietnam Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Argentina: Mendoza Argentina: San Juan Egypt Argentina: Rio Negro Zimbabwe Bolivia Argentina: Catamarca Argentina: Salta Venezuela Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Santa Cruz Argentina: La Rioja 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 46 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 47. Namibia Tanzania Namibia: mineral resources data is provided at rel- Government’s increased involvement in mining atively low cost to industry participants. This creates projects. a junior-senior company level playing field thus en- —An exploration company, Vice-president couraging investment. Well done! —A consulting company, Consultant Zambia Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) rules, the uranium moratorium, and moves by the govern- Environmental approval process in Zambia: No ment to change mining law are toxic to new explo- duplication—a properly constructed and submit- ration investment. ted EMP/EIS [Environmental Management Plan/ —An exploration company, Company president Environmental Impact Statement] approved in statutory time. —An exploration company, Company president Niger Lack of stability. Zambia: imposing a long moratorium and other —A consulting company, Company president delays, then penalizing investors for running out of time. South Africa —An exploration company, Executive director Strikes, demonstrations, military killing workers. —An exploration company, Vice-president Zimbabwe Country with an unworkable political structure. Zimbabwe: unofficial government policy is you will —An exploration company, Company president never expatriate profits. Black empowerment and political uncertainty make large or long-term invest- Both South Africa and Zimbabwe are driving social ment impossible; no rights of ownership, no rights to experiments not driven by logic and economy, but by enter required professionals, corruption is high, bor- ide ol ogy. In the ab sence of rea son, pri mary der restrictions—unstable future. industries be come the cash cows to fund the —A producer company with less than US$50M, un-fundable. The rise of oligarchs in both countries Company president evidences decline. —An exploration company, Vice-president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 47
  • 48. Figure 17: Political stability New Brunswick Saskatchewan Finland Botswana Greenland Northern Territory Mild deterrent to investment New Zealand Victoria Yukon Strong deterrent to investment Western Australia Alberta Newfoundland and Labrador Would not pursue investment due to this factor Nova Scotia South Australia Wyoming Norway Nevada Arizona Manitoba Alaska Sweden Utah Ireland New Mexico Idaho Nunavut French Guiana Tasmania Ontario New South Wales Queensland Turkey Chile Northwest Territories Morocco Michigan Namibia Dominican Republic Montana Bulgaria Minnesota Colorado Poland Ghana Vietnam Brazil India Quebec Mexico British Columbia Washington China Spain Zambia Tanzania Panama Colombia California Guyana Serbia Russia Argentina: Catamarca Peru Argentina: San Juan Mauritania Kazakhstan Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Salta Burkina Faso Argentina: Rio Negro Romania Indonesia Argentina: Mendoza Suriname Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Santa Cruz Argentina: Jujuy South Africa Philippines Argentina: La Rioja Ecuador Kyrgyzstan Papua New Guinea Madagascar Greece Niger Mali Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Mongolia Venezuela Honduras Guatemala Guinea(Conakry) Bolivia Zimbabwe Egypt 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 48 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 49. Argentina, Latin America, and the Caribbean Basin The average PPI score for Argentina improved sig- or enforcement of existing regulations (21%); and nificantly in 2012/2013, with all jurisdictions except socioeconomic agreements/community develop- Santa Cruz improving. Rio Negro had the largest ment conditions (10%), although it also dropped rank ing im prove ment, mov ing from 69 th in notably in its rating for labour regulations/employ- 2011/2012 to 41st in 2012/2013 due to improved rat- ment agreements and labour militancy/work dis- ings for the quality of the geological database (29%); ruptions (-10%). Honduras recovered in 2012/2013 socioeconomic agreements/community develop- to 83rd after dropping to the bottom spot (93rd of 93 ment conditions (24%); and uncertainty concerning jurisdictions) in 2011/2012 with modest improve- disputed land claims (24%). Catamarca and Salta ments in most policy areas including uncertainty also im proved rank ings sig nif i cantly be tween concerning disputed land claims (6%) and trade 2011/2012 and 2012/2013, with Catamarca moving barriers (6%). from 61st to 43rd, and Salta from 55th in to 38th. The average PPI score for the rest of Latin America Comments on Argentina, Latin and the Caribbean Basin also improved in the last America, and the Caribbean year, in large part due to the addition of French Gui- Basin ana to the survey in 2012/2013 and its PPI score of The comments in the following section have been 64.6 (ranking it 27th). edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain Chile remains the top-ranked jurisdiction in Latin confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. America although its ranking dropped again in 2012/2013 to 23rd (Chile was a top-10 jurisdiction Argentina in general from 2007/2008 to 2010/2011) due to worsening perceptions amongst survey respondents for its le- The battles between the national and provincial gal system (-15%); regulatory duplication and in- governments in Argentina at the present time exac- consistencies (-14%); and uncertainty regarding the erbate the difficulty of operating any business in the administration, interpretation, or enforcement of country, and are especially difficult for mining, existing regulations (-14%). Guyana dropped most which depends on free trade, the ability to repatriate significantly in the ratings—from 53rd in 2011/2012 income from massive capital investments, and ac- to 67th in 2012/2013—due to decreased ratings for cess to competitive labor, services, and supplies. labour regulations/employment agreements and la- —A producer company with more than US$50M, bour militancy/work disruptions (-25%); uncer- Senior management tainty concerning disputed land claims (-22%); and uncertainty concerning environmental regulations In the last three years Argentina has gone from being (-17%). a place that welcomed mining investment and pro- tected it to one where “nothing is certain,” other than Panama recovered in the 2012/2013 rankings to the country’s and province’s desires to take an 63rd after dropping to 82nd in 2011/2012. It im- ever-increasing amount of the investment return. In- proved its ratings for trade barriers (25%); uncer- flation, currency controls, union activism, changing tainty regarding the administration, interpretation, laws, corruption, and an unwillingness to acknowl- 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 49
  • 50. Figure 18: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and labour militancy or work disruptions Saskatchewan Yukon Greenland Utah Wyoming Finland Mild deterrent to investment New Brunswick Idaho Strong deterrent to investment Alberta Nevada Sweden Would not pursue investment due to this factor Botswana Alaska Arizona Manitoba Norway Nunavut Northwest Territories Montana New Mexico Guyana Nova Scotia Michigan Colorado Turkey New Zealand Newfoundland & Labrador Ontario Ireland Minnesota Ghana Morocco Serbia Washington Quebec French Guiana Namibia Burkina Faso Northern Territory Vietnam Mauritania British Columbia Dominican Republic Chile Bulgaria Western Australia Queensland Colombia China Mexico Panama California Argentina: Catamarca Russia South Australia Spain Zambia Papua New Guinea Tasmania Victoria Mongolia Argentina: San Juan Tanzania New South Wales Suriname Romania Brazil Mali Philippines Argentina: Salta Poland Madagascar Guatemala Niger Indonesia Kazakhstan Peru Guinea (Conakry) Argentina: Rio Negro Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: La Rioja India Kyrgyzstan Argentina: Mendoza Honduras Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Chubut Greece Zimbabwe Ecuador Argentina: Santa Cruz South Africa Venezuela Egypt Bolivia 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 50 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 51. edge the negative aspects of the changes has made Salta Argentina one of the most difficult places to invest and in fact has plummeted [it] from “desirable” to The government and the locals are mining friendly. “not a chance at the moment,” even though the min- —An exploration company, Manager eral endowment is largely untapped and the eco- nomic benefits to the poorest regions of the country Santa Cruz could be enormous. Corrupt, unstable political environment, nationalistic. —A producer company with more than US$50M, —A producer company with more than US$50M, Company president Consultant Confiscatory tax regimes in Argentina, threats of ex- Latin America in general propriation, corruption at all levels of government. —An exploration company, Consultant Honduras, El Salvador, and Ecuador need clear mining law and secure land tenure. Catamarca —An exploration company, Company president The provincial government supports mining in line In general, the countries with good mineral potential with the national government and according to the but the worst policies (Venezuela, Zimbabwe, vari- Mining Investment Law. The miniscule anti-min- ous Argentina provinces, Ecuador, Honduras, El ing opposition is not an impediment to mining de- Salvador) need new pro-private enterprise regimes. vel op ment. We have strong sup port from the —A producer company with more than US$50M, national, provincial, and municipal governments. Senior management [translated] —An exploration company, Company president Bolivia Bolivia is a nightmare... confusion at all levels. Pol- Chubut icy being developed but no realism as to what it should be. The current debacle unfolding in Chubut over the —An exploration company, Manager new proposed mining law has been devastating. Promised changes to allow open pit mining in the Bolivia—reverse the nationalization policies and Messeta Central were supposed to open the door to a move back toward an open free market economy. floodgate of new investment, but misguided drafters —A producer company with less than US$50M, attached extremely punitive new tax and royalty Vice-president clauses to the legislation, stalling projects and throwing the province into uncertainty. Chile —An exploration company, Company president Chile has been the least risky place to invest in min- Mendoza ing because it completely embraces mining, the rules and regulations are clear, the rule of law is strong, Legislation “against mining” in Mendoza province. [there is a] low rate of corruption, the time from dis- —Other (Academia), Study coordinator covery to development is the shortest I know, [there 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 51
  • 52. Figure 19: Geological database (includes quality and scale of maps, ease of access to information, etc.) Finland New South Wales British Columbia Saskatchewan Mild deterrent to investment New Brunswick Yukon Queensland Strong deterrent to investment South Australia Greenland Would not pursue investment due to this factor Western Australia Wyoming Northern Territory Newfoundland & Labrador Ontario Quebec Utah Ireland Manitoba Alberta Nevada Tasmania Nova Scotia Colorado Sweden Alaska New Zealand Victoria New Mexico Northwest Territories Montana Arizona Idaho Norway Nunavut French Guiana Spain Minnesota California Mexico Washington Chile South Africa Botswana Peru Turkey Dominican Republic Brazil Namibia Argentina: Catamarca Russia Michigan Argentina: San Juan Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: Jujuy Argentina: Salta Argentina: Neuquen Serbia Ghana Greece India Morocco Argentina: La Rioja Zambia Papua New Guinea Poland Bulgaria Argentina: Santa Cruz Mauritania Argentina: Mendoza Romania Colombia Kazakhstan Mongolia Tanzania Argentina: Chubut Burkina Faso Indonesia Kyrgyzstan Philippines Honduras Guyana Guatemala Madagascar Egypt Niger Panama Ecuador Mali China Zimbabwe Vietnam Bolivia Guinea (Conakry) Suriname Venezuela Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 52 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 53. are] clear-cut environmental requirements, an French Guiana availability of talent, access to capital, and great security. Previous company had an advanced exploration —Development company, Company president project which was cancelled by French government after they had spent many millions in exploration Chile: revoked EIS [Environmental Impact State- and environmental monitoring. It appeared the ment] approval after it was approved based on lack French government had no intention of allowing of indigenous people consultation as per ILO169 large-scale mining for the site but continued to allow [C169—Indigenous and Tribal Peoples Convention] exploration. when the country itself does not officially recognize —An exploration company, Senior management pertinent peoples as indigenous. —A producer company with more than US$50M, Guatemala Senior management The direct allocation of a portion of the royalty reve- Colombia nue generated by a mine to the municipality or re- gion in which the mine operates—as provided by Colombia: Attempting to get permit to work on lands Guatemala’s mining law—ensures that the eco- in “Pacific Forest Zone” that were all clear-cut in nomic benefits of mining are shared with the local 1940s. Government agency biologists, zoologists, etc. population. are totally supportive and all studies have been posi- —A producer company with more than US$50M, tive but administrator refuses to sign order for more Other senior management than a year because he is afraid that the NGOs will not be happy with action. Corruption, unstable governments, large impact of —An exploration company, Company president NGOs and religious leaders. —An exploration company, Company president Ecuador Guyana Ecuador: We now have environmental, mining, and social laws, and tax regulations (the institutions for Guyana: multiple claim holders registered to 1 control and regulation of activity). claim caused by administrative laxity. —A consulting company, Company president —Other, Contract coordinator Government is unable to support consistent mineral In Guyana, with the granting of the prospecting use policies and ownership. licence, environmental permits for any exploration —An exploration company, CFO related matter are also included. —An exploration company, Manager Dominican Republic Mexico Open door in the Dominican Republic for invest- ment in mining. Long mining history, NAFTA, strong track record of —A producer company with more than US$50M, mines being developed, no royalty, reasonable tax Consultant regime, decent infrastructure, reasonable time to 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 53
  • 54. Figure 20: Security (includes physical security due to the threat of attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.) Michigan Idaho New Zealand Greenland Finland Yukon Mild deterrent to investment Nunavut Nova Scotia Strong deterrent to investment New Brunswick Victoria South Australia Would not pursue investment due to this factor Queensland Northern Territory New South Wales British Columbia Nevada Saskatchewan Alberta Western Australia Montana Alaska Quebec Colorado Sweden Minnesota Ontario Tasmania Wyoming Utah Washington Newfoundland & Labrador Northwest Territories Norway Botswana Poland California Arizona Manitoba Ireland Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: La Rioja Chile New Mexico Spain Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Catamarca Namibia Bulgaria Argentina: Jujuy French Guiana Argentina: San Juan Argentina: Mendoza Dominican Republic Ghana Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Santa Cruz Argentina: Salta Zambia Vietnam Mongolia Turkey China Serbia Panama Brazil Romania Morocco Mauritania Madagascar Guyana Greece Kazakhstan Russia Tanzania India Kyrgyzstan Burkina Faso Peru Ecuador Suriname Indonesia South Africa Bolivia Guinea (Conakry) Zimbabwe Egypt Colombia Mexico Mali Venezuela Honduras Philippines Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Papua New Guinea Guatemala Niger 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 54 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 55. permit, wide variety of productive geologic environ- When applying for drill permits in Peru with all re- ments, good labor force, skilled engineers (no need for quirements completed, the permit is issued in due ex-pats long term), support at state and federal lev- course and within the indicated time frame. It is els for mining. Local problems in the south can deter worth congratulating the competent authorities for investment. the diligent and professional handling of the process! —An exploration company, Company president —An exploration company, Company president After we discovered multiple, very rich and large New royalty structure in Peru based on operating mineral resources in a Mexican state, we were tar- margins. geted by very powerful groups. This is still ongoing, so —An exploration company, Company president I will not name names. These groups hired Mexican and Canadian anti-mining groups to target one of Suriname our operations. They began an extortion campaign against us and we received no help from the state One of my companies spent 13 years investing in gold government. These groups tried desperately to drive exploration in Suriname. I am a patient and persis- us out of the state. tent investor, but we finally pulled out in 2007. The —An exploration company, Company president government effectively confiscated our main prop- erty even though it was effectively our partner! My Panama opin ion in a nut shell is that I would not go back. Even though the country has good mineral po- Corruption, unforeseen future title problems. Suc- tential, the government is corrupt; there is no rule of cess attracts political and security problems. law, and little infrastructure. —A consulting company, Company president —A producer company with more than US$50M, Senior management Peru Venezuela Peru has an excellent (and automated) land ten- ure system. Expropriations/confiscations in Venezuela. —An exploration company, Vice-president —An exploration company, Company president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 55
  • 56. Figure 21: Supply of labor/skills Finland Nova Scotia Sweden New Brunswick Mild deterrent to investment Utah Nevada Wyoming Strong deterrent to investment Ontario Victoria Spain Would not pursue investment due to this factor Newfoundland & Labrador Idaho Montana Colorado Arizona British Columbia Quebec Ireland Bulgaria Alaska Serbia Minnesota Saskatchewan Manitoba New Mexico Argentina: Neuquen Poland New South Wales Argentina: Jujuy South Australia Michigan Washington Queensland Northern Territory Yukon Turkey New Zealand Argentina: Catamarca Norway Argentina: Rio Negro Russia Chile Tasmania Western Australia California Peru Brazil Morocco Mexico Alberta Argentina: La Rioja Argentina: San Juan French Guiana Northwest Territories China Argentina: Mendoza Argentina: Salta Ghana India Kazakhstan Vietnam Romania Panama Nunavut Argentina: Santa Cruz Greenland Dominican Republic South Africa Colombia Namibia Zambia Philippines Kyrgyzstan Indonesia Tanzania Botswana Argentina: Chubut Greece Niger Mauritania Guyana Bolivia Egypt Mali Mongolia Zimbabwe Guinea (Conakry) Burkina Faso Papua New Guinea Madagascar Honduras Ecuador Guatemala Suriname Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Venezuela 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 56 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 57. Eurasia The average PPI score for Eurasia did not change concerning which areas will be protected as wilder- significantly in 2012/2013. Greece was added to the ness, parks, or archeological sites (-9%). survey and ranked 87th (in the bottom 10). Serbia was also added and ranked 52nd in the 2012/2013 Comments on Eurasia survey. Nordic countries performed very well in the survey holding three of the top 10 jurisdictions: Fin- China land (1), Sweden (2), Norway (10). Greenland ranked 14th. Our company is being forced by local governments in China to sell its mining operation to a local operator without a competitive process in place and the desig- Norway had the most significant improvement in nated buyer will not pay fair market value for the as- its PPI score and ranking, moving up to 10th in sets and resources. This will create a local monopoly 2012/2013 from 24th in 2011/2012 due to improved and potentially cause risk from various safety per- ratings for its taxation regime (36%); political stabil- spectives to our employees. ity (22%); and infrastructure (17%). Turkey also im- —An exploration company, Company president proved from 60th in 2011/2012 to 53rd in 2012/2013 with improved survey ratings for availability of la- Uncertainty going forward regarding consistency of bour and skills (20%); trade barriers (18%); and level mining policy, mining rights, taxation, and royalties. of security (16%). India, too, moved up in the rank- —A producer company with more than US$50M, ings from 89th in 2011/2012 (in the bottom 10) to Senior management 81st in 2012/2012, although the ratings on individ- ual factors were mixed, with improved ratings in Finland many areas, most significantly political stability (20%), tempered by a notable drop in ratings for un- Changes in the new mining law, and under-staffing certainty concerning environmental regulations of the permitting team in government, has seen the (-10%). claim applications process for mineral exploration go from a six-month approval time in 2006 to an av- Po land dropped in the rank ings from 46 th in erage of 4 years. This means it takes four years from 2011/2012 to 57th in 2012/2013 with lower ratings identifying your target and applying for the claim for infrastructure (-24%); uncertainty concerning before you can drill. The mining lease approval disputed land claims (-15%); and legal system (-15%), waiting list is now over four years. It is really holding while also showing improvements in ratings for the up the process. level of security (20%) and availability of labour and —A producer company with less than US$50M, skills (18%). China had the most significant drop in Company president its PPI score and ranking, falling from 58th in 2011/2012 to 72nd in 2012/2013, due to worsening No unnecessary regulations and a government that perceptions amongst survey respondents for the supports mining and clears away obstructions. level of security (-19%); uncertainty concerning en- —A producer company with more than US$50M, vironmental regulations (-13%); and uncertainty Vice-president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 57
  • 58. Figure 22: Corruption Idaho New Zealand Greenland French Guiana Finland Mild deterrent to investment Nova Scotia New Brunswick Strong deterrent to investment Newfoundland & Labrador Saskatchewan Queensland Would not pursue investment due to this factor Sweden British Columbia South Australia Alberta Yukon Western Australia Wyoming Arizona Northern Territory Alaska Norway Victoria Utah New South Wales Nevada Minnesota Ireland Colorado Nunavut Ontario Manitoba Northwest Territories Michigan Tasmania Montana California New Mexico Washington Chile Quebec Botswana Spain Poland Turkey Namibia Morocco Mauritania Argentina: Neuquen Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: Catamarca Ghana Burkina Faso Peru Colombia Argentina: Salta Brazil Argentina: San Juan Dominican Republic Argentina: La Rioja Zambia Guyana Niger Argentina: Mendoza China Argentina: Chubut Argentina: Jujuy Greece Panama Mexico Argentina: Santa Cruz Suriname South Africa Bulgaria Russia Tanzania Papua New Guinea Mali Ecuador Vietnam Mongolia Serbia Kazakhstan Romania Madagascar Philippines Zimbabwe Bolivia India Venezuela Guinea (Conakry) Indonesia Honduras Kyrgyzstan Guatemala Egypt Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 58 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 59. Greenland Stable, transparent governments. —An exploration company, Company president The mining act is transparent in Greenland... Easy to understand and follow. Kazakhstan —An exploration company, Company president Kazakhstan: high level of corruption. —A consulting company, Company president Our experience shows that there is a will to put mines into production. There are no royalties, no aboriginal Kyrgyzstan land claims, and a one-door policy to get approvals from exploration through exploitation. The govern- Corrupt, inconsistent and random policy changes. ment benefits through corporate and employer taxes, —An exploration company, Company president which encourages mine production. —An exploration company, Company president Kyrgyzstan: demand for free participation in project by relatives of the then President. Greece —An exploration company, Company president Mongolia Economic uncertainty; inconsistent mining regulation. —A consulting company, Vice-president Incessant changes to relevant laws as a kneejerk re- action to specific instances and its desire to re-open Many stalled gold projects over last 30 years. existing agreements made in good faith. —An exploration company, manager —An exploration company, Vice-president India Illegal expropriation of assets in Mongolia. —A for mer de vel op ment com pany, Com pany Uncertain regulations, corrupt system, poor infra- president structure. Poland —Mining equipment distributor, Vice-president Most of the country of Poland is protected due to wild- India has enormous monazite resources; however, it life, nature, forests (more than 30%). The most diffi- does not allow the private sector the opportunity to cult problem caused is the implementation of exploit this mineral. Because it contains thorium, restricted areas—so-called Natura 2000—in each of monazite is reserved for the exclusive use of the gov- the EU countries. There is restriction under EU juris- ernment. diction and every change for mining purposes often —An exploration company, Chairman & CEO requires a decision from Brussels. Our Polish execu- tives are able to decide, but are so scared that they do Ireland not take the risk to make any decision in that problem area. Sometimes very important deposits cannot be Online information database and application pro- exploited due to the nature restriction, although there cess in Ireland. is sometimes really nothing worth being protected. —An exploration company, Company president This problem is especially difficult in Polish lignite 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 59
  • 60. Figure 23: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty in mining policy and implementation Nova Scotia New Brunswick Sweden Saskatchewan Greenland Mild deterrent to investment Norway Botswana Newfoundland & Labrador Strong deterrent to investment Alberta Finland Ireland Would not pursue investment due to this factor New Zealand Utah Yukon Wyoming Nevada Chile Turkey Michigan Nunavut Northwest Territories Northern Territory Arizona Western Australia Poland Alaska Idaho Ontario Manitoba New Mexico South Australia French Guiana Brazil Dominican Republic Minnesota Panama Spain Namibia Morocco Serbia New South Wales Queensland Montana Mexico Guyana Ghana Bulgaria Colombia Victoria British Columbia Quebec Colorado India Washington Tasmania Argentina: Neuquen Zambia Mauritania Argentina: Rio Negro Argentina: Salta Argentina: Catamarca Argentina: San Juan Tanzania Burkina Faso Peru California China Argentina: La Rioja Romania Guatemala Argentina: Mendoza Argentina: Jujuy Greece Argentina: Santa Cruz Russia Suriname Kazakhstan Vietnam Argentina: Chubut Niger Papua New Guinea Madagascar Guinea (Conakry) South Africa Mongolia Honduras Indonesia Mali Philippines Venezuela Ecuador Kyrgyzstan Zimbabwe Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Bolivia Egypt 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 60 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 61. open cast mines. There is also a problem with outer the one-year tenure, renewable annually. The pro- dumping of overburden in European lignite mines. cess proceeded successfully and fairly. —A producer company with more than US$50M, —An exploration company, Company president Manager Spain In Poland, a mining company (or any other investor) is not the owner of the geological information it pro- Spain: Impossible to open anything even if the crisis duces. The state is the owner of the information and is destroying the country. may sell the information to any other company. There —A producer company with more than US$50M, is also no preference in granting en exploitation Manager licence to a company holding an exploration permit. —Academia, Researcher Sweden Romania No hurdles, investment friendly, proactive. No cor- ruption. Obvious law, clear processes, and regula- Clear procedures that remove politics from the envi- tions. Winner. No time wasting. ronmental permitting process would make develop- —An exploration company, Vice-president ment of mines practical. —A consulting company, Manager Mining culture and history, trained workforce, ex- ceptional infrastructure, good regulatory processes, Russia underexplored, known world class mineral deposits. —An exploration company, Company president Russian policy is to review all applications within 90 days with 10 days for a company response to ques- Vietnam tions/issues and a yes/no decision within two weeks. In many respects, their environmental requirements Mining Law 2010 passed after a consultation period are stricter than in Canada (e.g., dry-stacked gold with various interest groups who participated in the tailings in some jurisdictions). feedback process. The result is that the Ministry of —A consulting company, Manager Natural Resource and Environment (MONRE) has struggled to make sense of the regulation to enable it A joint venture agreement was completely ignored to pass the enabling provisions, therefore no new in- and the deposit sold to a third party who only reim- vestment in any mine of scale since the legislation bursed 50% of our investment after threats of litiga- was passed has occurred. tion in The Hague. Courts and litigation in Russia —An exploration company, Company president were laughable. —An exploration company, Company president Endemic corruption, highest taxes and royalties in the world, unskilled workforce, political ineptitude, Serbia and a constantly shifting and overly complex regula- tory framework. Serbia has modernized its mining law. Companies —A producer company with more than US$50M, had to re-apply for new three-year rights rather than Senior management 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 61
  • 62. Figure 24: Composite policy and mineral potential Yukon Finland Nevada Sweden Western Australia Wyoming Alaska Saskatchewan Ontario Quebec Greenland Botswana New Brunswick Chile Utah South Australia Newfoundland & Labrador Alberta Manitoba NWT British Columbia Northern Territory Queensland Nunavut Norway Arizona Mexico Turkey Ireland Namibia Serbia Idaho Colorado Papua New Guinea Montana Mongolia Argentina: Catamarca Nova Scotia Colombia Peru Argentina: San Juan Mauritania Brazil Ghana New Zealand Minnesota Argentina: Salta Zambia New South Wales Michigan New Mexico Tanzania Burkina Faso Indonesia Russia Victoria Philippines Argentina: Santa Cruz India Argentina: Rio Negro Tasmania Kazakhstan Argentina: Jujuy California French Guiana Kyrgyzstan South Africa Spain Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) China Guyana Morocco Egypt Argentina: Neuquen Washington Argentina: Mendoza Argentina: La Rioja Dominican Republic Madagascar Vietnam Bulgaria Suriname Ecuador Argentina: Chubut Panama Mali Poland Guinea (Conakry) Zimbabwe Bolivia Niger Venezuela Guatemala Romania Honduras Greece 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 62 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 63. What miners are saying The comments in the following section have been Profit-based taxes versus net royalties. edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain —An exploration company, Company president confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. Publishing mineral licences database on the internet for all to see what licences are due to expire. Good policy is… —An exploration company, Manager Any jurisdiction that allows a company or individ- ual to keep mineral dispositions in good standing by carrying out the appropriate amount of exploration Horror stories and development work. Ontario: Uncertainty over native rights and land —Vertically integrated, Senior management claims. —An exploration company, Company president Government interactions with mining chamber or other operators’ representative body before changes Ontario off-loading native consultation/accommo- are made. dation to the mining and exploration communities —A development company, Company president when the Supreme Court of Canada has clearly de- fined this process as a provincial responsibility re: Tax on transfer of mining right not valued on direct minerals. profit, but based on valuation, at tax department’s —A producer company with more than US$50M, discretion. Vice-president —An exploration company, Company president Constant pressure from NGOs in Central and South Case management of proposed mining projects being American countries taking valuable focus away handled by one regulatory agency, with a dedicated from operations and into providing proof of false al- case manager for each project being appointed to as- legations against mining companies. sist the proponent in going through the approvals —A producer company with more than US$50M, process. Manager —An exploration company, Manager Soil sample grid in Zimbabwe was noticed by locals Fairness and law and order. who thought the flagging marking the soil sample —An exploration company, Company president sites denoted the presence of gold. Local miners swarmed in, devastated the grid site with hand exca- Streamline mine permitting process, particularly vations to 10 meters deep and the Zimbabwe govern- the timeline. ment did nothing to stop the rape and pillage of what —A producer company with more than US$50M, turned out to be a geochemically dead grid. Manager —A consulting company, Company president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 63
  • 64. Quebec government wants to give a veto on mining to Endless “community consultation” in Northwest municipalities, even those that grew over mines in Territories for early-stage exploration. The even- historically recognized mining camps! This opens up tual cost of consultation exceeded the exploration great opportunities for “brown envelopes” and cor- budget. ruption to local mayors!!! —An exploration company, Company president —An exploration company, Company president The system for claim appeal in the province of Que- Finland has gone from issuing mining exploration bec. It can take up to 4 years to conclude a decision claims within a week in 2007 to taking 3+ years to is- over a single, simple issue. sue mining exploration claims. This is an impossible —An exploration company, Company president environment for junior mining exploration compa- nies to work in! Indonesia: Approved mining right taken and given to —An exploration company, Company president a third party, with no consultation. —A consulting company, Vice-president Bolivian expropriation of mining assets. —An exploration company, Vice-president 64 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 65. Investment patterns Total exploration budgets for 2012 were US$6.2 bil- We asked miners whether they thought that the lion. Exploration budgets had increased from 2011, prices of these commodities over the next two years when exploration budgets were US$5.4 billion (fig- would increase by over 50 percent, between 20 per- ures 25a and b). cent and 50 percent, under 10 percent (in other words, stagnant prices just above or below the rate Over the last five years (2007-2012), just over half of inflation), or decline (see figure 26). (51.3%) of respondents increased their exploration expenditures (see table 4). Exploration investment · 86.4% of respondents thought diamond prices was led by producer companies with more than would increase by 10% or less, or decline over US$50M revenue, where almost 80% of respon- the next two years dents reported increased exploration expenditures. By contrast, only 34.4% of producer companies with · 83.8% of respondents thought coal prices would less than US$50M revenue increased their explora- increase by 10% or less, or decline over the next tion expenditure, while 40.6% decreased expendi- two years ture. Investments by exploration companies also · 82.7% of respondents thought nickel prices diverged, with 46.5% increasing investment, 38.1% would increase by 10% or less, or decline over decreasing investment, and 15.4% leaving their in- the next two years vestments unchanged between 2007 and 2012. · 81.5% of respondents thought zinc prices would Only 46% of respondents plan to increase their ex- increase by 10% or less, or decline over the next ploration budgets in 2013; down from 68% in 2012 two years and 82% in 2011 (see table 5). Producer companies with less than US$50M led the way, with 66.7% an- · 74.2% of respondents thought potash prices ticipating an increased exploration budget in 2013. would increase by 10% or less, or decline over This was followed by exploration companies, where the next two years 52.7% anticipated an increase in their exploration · 73.7% of respondents thought copper prices budget. Only 36.6% of producer companies with more would increase by 10% or less, or decline over than US$50M and 25% of consulting companies ex- the next two years pect to increase their exploration budgets in 2013. · 64.3% of respondents thought platinum prices Commodity prices would increase by 10% or less, or decline over the next two years Miners continue to be pessimistic about future commodity prices; more than half of the survey re- Projections for gold and silver prices were more spondents expect small increases (less than 10%) or positive. While 53.4% of respondents thought silver reduced prices for diamonds, coal, nickel, zinc, cop- prices would increase by 10% or less, or decline over per, potash, platinum, and silver over the next two the next two years, others were more positive. 41.5% years (see table 6). For a majority of respondents, of respondents expected prices to increase by only gold was expected to increase in value by more 20-50% and 5.2% expected price increases of more than 20% over the next two years. than 50% over the next two years. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 65
  • 66. Figure 25a: Exploration budget by Figure 25b: Exploration budget by company type ($US), 2011* company type in $US, 2012 Total = US$5.4 billion* Exploration Exploration company: company: $1,773,722,625 $1,650,883,617 Other: $170,079,000 Other: $192,725,000 Producer A producer company with less company with Producer Producer than US$50M: more than company with company with $136,485,000 US$50M: less than more than $3,314,463,307 US$50M: US$50M: Total = US$6.2 billion $110,080,000 $4,286,069,823 *Note: This is the total from the responses given to the 2012 survey; the number differs from the figures in last year’s re- port because a different group of miners responded to the survey this year. Table 4: Has your total (worldwide) Table 5: Do you anticipate your exploration expenditure increased, exploration budget will increase decreased, or remained the same over in 2013? the five-year period from 2007-2012? All respondents All Responses Increased 302 Yes 275 Decreased 174 No 320 Unchanged 113 Exploration Companies Exploration Companies Increased 160 Yes 183 Decreased 131 No 164 Unchanged 53 A producer company with less than US$50M A producer company Increased 11 Yes 22 with less than US$50M Decreased 13 No 11 Unchanged 8 A producer company with more than US$50M revenue A producer company Increased 98 Yes 45 with more than US$50M Decreased 13 revenue No 78 Unchanged 12 A consulting company A consulting company Increased 18 Yes 13 Decreased 11 No 39 Unchanged 23 Other Other Increased 15 Yes 12 Decreased 6 No 28 Unchanged 17 66 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 67. Figure 26: Do you believe that for the following minerals, prices over the next two years will: 70% Increase by more than 50% Increase by 20-50% Increase by 10% or less Decline 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Cu (Copper) Ag (Silver) Zn (Zinc) Au (Gold) Ni (Nickel) PGM (Platinum) Diamonds Coal Potash Gold price projections were the most positive. Only what optimistic in the long term, with 48% expect- 38.8% thought gold prices would either increase by ing prices to rise by up to 15%, 19% expecting prices 10% or less, or decline over the next two years; to rise by 15-30%, and 17% expecting stable prices 53.4% thought they would increase by 20% to 50%, over the next 10 years (see figure 27). while 7.7% expected increases of more than 50%. Finally, respondents were also asked about their Given the positive price expectations for gold, it is agreement with the statement, “many in the mining unsurprising that gold continues to be the com- industry believe the industry now has great diffi- modity assigned the largest proportion of the bud- culty raising funds compared to two years ago.” Of gets of survey respondents (see table 7). Gold was those who responded, 60% agreed strongly with this assigned the largest proportion of the budget for statement, 31% agreed somewhat, and only 9% dis- 49% of those responding to the question, followed agreed somewhat or strongly. Of those who agreed by copper (17%), and silver (6%). with the statement, nearly 80% believed the diffi- For the first time in our survey, respondents were culty raising funds was due to investors being wor- asked whether, despite recent price uncertainty, ried about the state of the world economy, 52% they believed that commodity prices would con- believed that investors are risk averse and see min- tinue to rise in real terms (inflation adjusted) over ing as risky, and 36% thought that investors are wor- the long term (over 10 years). Miners appear some- ried that costs in mining are rising (see figure 28). 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 67
  • 68. Table 6: Do you believe that for the following minerals, prices over the next two years will: increase by increase by increase by Decline more than 50% 20-50% 10% or less Cu (Copper) 9 141 346 75 Ag (Silver) 29 231 241 56 Zn (Zinc) 8 90 331 100 Au (Gold) 46 318 187 44 Ni (Nickel) 6 84 317 112 PGM (Platinum) 12 170 270 59 Diamonds 4 65 278 162 Coal 4 80 251 183 Potash 5 126 280 97 Figure 27: Despite recent price uncertainty, do you believe that commodity prices will continue to rise in real terms (inflation adjusted) over the long term— say, over the next 10 years? 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% No, prices will fall by No, they will fall but They will remain stable Yes, they will rise by Yes, they will rise by Yes, they will rise by more than 15% by less than 15% over the next 10 years up to 15% 15-30% over 30% 68 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 69. What miners are saying about investment patterns The comments in the following section have been The move towards yield in the resource sector shows edited for length, grammar and spelling, to retain a lack of investor understanding in the space [of confidentiality, and to clarify meanings. mining] as a growth investment rather than a yield investment. —A producer company with more than US$50M, Market concerns… Company president With companies trading at a fraction of the value of Exploration/mining are not generating returns com- their assets, it is obvious that the market is not work- mensurate with risk because governments, commu- ing properly right now. We can only hope that com- nities, and workers are gaining a larger piece of the mon sense brings things back to clarity. pie—combined with higher levels of regulation —An exploration company, Company president which adds cost and time—that render this business less than appealing. The political climate relative to mining has deterio- —A producer company with more than US$50M, rated almost globally over the last 5 years as govern- Manager ments, particularly in South America, have inserted themselves more and more into the economic and The investment model for junior miners is broken. regulatory framework—on an ad-hoc basis. The in- The costs of doing business and the regulatory re- vestment climate has also deteriorated during the quirements have risen dramatically over the last de- same period as miners have failed to deliver the full cade and the difficulty of exploration juniors to benefits of the commodity price boom, partially due attract funding is at an all-time low. to our own lack of discipline and partially for under- —An exploration company, Company president estimating the impacts of government. —A producer company with more than US$50M, Only a few stock exchanges are suitable for listing ex- Company president ploration company stocks. The TSX and LSE are the two largest and both have regulations suitable for Overall, the mining industry tends to destroy capital, speculative exploration. The failure to allow the so it is only when the wind is at our back, (i.e., rising merger between these two exchanges has deprived commodity prices and an increased appetite for risk) Canadian explorers, and non-Canadians listing on that money flows freely into mining exploration. the TSX, of access to a much larger pool of liquidity —An exploration company, Company president than is currently available. —A consulting company, Consultant The current risk-averse climate, especially towards junior exploration companies, is a major concern to Until we have a fundamental change in the way that the sector’s future ability to finance, explore, dis- decision-makers for investments in mining are re- cover, and develop new resources. Measured & Indi- munerated, i.e., those that reside in the investment cated (M&I) ounces in good jurisdictions valued at banks and fund management companies, we will not <$5/oz. in a $1,700 gold price environment is testa- see a change in the investment going to the riskier end ment to that. of the market that needs the cash, i.e., the juniors that —An exploration company, Company president guarantee the future replacement for the mid-caps 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 69
  • 70. Figure 28: If you agree miners are having difficulty raising funds, is this because: 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Investors believe Investors are worried Investors are risk Investors are worried Investors are Other commodity prices will about the state of the averse and see that costs in mining concerned about be weak for sometime world economy mining as risky are rising the impact of resource nationalism and the majors of continuously depleting resource nies. Some of the potential rewards that investors bases. You cannot remunerate people on a quarterly normally expect are being stripped by the issuance of performance for a stock that is involved in a derivatives in the market or by discounting of share long-term development business. It is the most ridic- values through sale of flow-through shares, etc. ulous contradiction that exists. The structural read- —An exploration company, Company president justment seen in the retail banking sector needs to flow through to the negative value adding invest- As long as the world economy is weak and uncertain, ment banking and fund management sector. investors will not speculate in exploration ventures. —A consulting company, Company president —An exploration company, Chairman & CEO The investment climate is simply hinging on the back of Chinese growth, which in part is linked to Euro- Current market conditions pean and US recovery and a return to fully function- ing consumerism. Until the latter occurs, there will Investors are worried about management’s ability to be ongoing uncertainty in commodities. deliver projects on time and budget. —A producer company with more than US$50M, —Development company, Company president Manager Funds are available for good quality advanced pro- The investment industry is now backing investment jects. Funds are difficult to source for junior explora- in gold and precious metals directly and through tion companies. ETFs rather than in mining and exploration compa- —An exploration company, Managing director 70 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 71. Table 7: What commodity is assigned the Table 8: Who responded largest proportion of your budget? to the survey? Mineral Percent Number Whom do you REPRESENT? Au (Gold) 49% 304 An exploration company 397 54% Cu (Copper) 17% 105 Ag (Silver) 6% 36 A producer company with 41 6% less than US$50M Coal 4% 25 Zn (Zinc) 4% 24 A producer company with 145 20% more than US$50M U (Uranium ) 4% 22 Fe (Iron) 3% 19 A consulting company 86 12% Ni (Nickel) 3% 18 Other 68 9% Rare Earths 1% 9 Diamonds 1% 8 What is your POSITION? PGM (Platinum) 1% 6 Li (Lithium) 1% 6 Company president 301 42% Other (please specify) 6% 36 Vice president 112 16% Manager 115 16% Table 9: How do you rate the importance of mineral Other Senior Management 65 9% potential versus policy factors? (Must total 100%) Consultant 45 6% Mineral Potential 58.65% Other 84 12% Policy Factors 41.35% Cash flow is king, meaning that junior mineral ex- Doubtless, the mining executives have all had nice ploration companies are having a far more difficult bonuses and increased salaries over the period, but time raising funding in equity markets than produc- investors have been abused. Management of majors ers or mine builders who can still raise project debt should hang their heads... oh, no it’s alright, they still financing for good projects. have a war chest with which to pick up distressed ju- —An exploration company, Company president nior assets so it’s a win-win! —An exploration company, Company president The recent underperformance of gold share prices is wholly due to the irresponsible actions of the major This is the first time in my memory that exploration gold producers, which has hammered investor confi- fell off, in spite of fairly good commodity prices. In- dence. Investors must be bemused that rather than vestors are looking for liquidity and worried about delivering increased rewards and dividends to long term investments in mineral exploration. shareholders over the last 10 years of increasing gold World economics and negative media reporting prices, the majors have whittled away profits by min- compounds the problem. I don’t know what will turn ing ever more low grade, increasing their production it around for the business. costs and not benefiting from the rise in gold price. —An exploration company, Vice-president 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 71
  • 72. Investors are avoiding investing in exploration pro- smooth out volatility which is generated by this form jects, even if the upside is high, and prefer those pro- of trading. Increasing costs of resource production is jects which are at feasibility stage or higher. starting to become apparent and over time produc- —An exploration company, Manager ers will have to get higher commodity prices to gener- ate reasonable profits. Exploration companies with no revenue are being —An exploration company, Company president asked to underwrite expensive community relations programs—they are usually the first to arrive in a We always go up and down with the prices.... community—but investors want their money to go —A producer company with less than US$50M, into the ground, not into philanthropy. If the indus- Company president try wants a robust project pipeline, there needs to be a way to fund these important but non-core issues. Risk has been re-calibrated given the excesses in the —An exploration company, Company president US and UK banking industry. The “Boomer” genera- tion has realized they can’t risk the treasure chest as Although there are available funds in the “West,” the the clock has ticked and there is no time to recoup entire process of financial modeling is very conserva- lost and risky investments. Mining exploration is a tive. “Eastern” countries have a more optimistic out- risky business and that appetite has lessened, until look and hence dominate investment into the mining the next upward swing in commodity prices brings industry. risk capital back to the mining industry. —An exploration company, Manager —An exploration company, Vice-president Looking forward… As the traditional methods of financing disappear for junior explorers, there will be a large void created Social and community problems will be the perma- in “greenfields-type” exploration. Major mining nent preoccupation for new investments in the min- companies will be unable to continue to meet the de- ing sector. mand for metals as they exhaust their reserves, and —A producer company with more than US$50M, will almost certainly be forced to mine marginal de- Company president posits in politically risky areas of the world. The end result will be companies whose balance sheets are There is little investment at the greenfields stage. We more subject to political instability and fluctuating will face a significant problem within ten years. commodity prices. —A consulting company, Consultant —An exploration company, Company president Mining is a supply and demand industry linked di- We are about to experience a mining renaissance rectly to economic development and or sustained around the globe. A solution for many crisis affected economic equilibrium. Emerging economies in Asia areas of the world is to permit projects expeditiously. and South America will mostly drive new de- —Development, Vice-president mand—these are experiencing slower growth in 2012 and buffer new demand. Also, short term My medium-term view is that commodities will “hedge trading” in commodities often produces false track sideways for the next few years, tracking stron- value in commodity prices not really related to de- ger thereafter. Exploration successes will become less mand cycles—longer periods of slowing demand frequent due to a drop-off in investment, restricted 72 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 73. access to prospective areas, the rise of social opposi- Compliments received tion to mining (particularly in emerging economies with good prospectivity), and the added burden I hope you get a lot of responses for this survey, the placed on explorers to meet tightening government more the better the data. controls and rising community expectations. This —An exploration company, Company president lack of success and stunting of new supply from a greenfields source will underpin a stable to moder- ately rising commodity process environment. In Thanks again for your efforts. short, exploration is becoming too expensive, too —An exploration company, Manager time consuming, too uncertain, and potentially too controversial to be sufficiently attractive to the Usually a very good survey; clear questions. broader capital markets. —A consulting company, Manager —A producer company with less than US$50M, Vice-president The survey covers most aspects of the mining and ex- With dramatically increasing capex and opex costs, ploration industry. Well done... resources increasingly in higher risk countries, —An exploration company, Company president grades de creas ing dra mat i cally, per mit ting timeframes blowing out everywhere coupled with a Great survey. I also send a copy to the various Minis- lack of global discovery, the cost of metals will con- ters of Mines and Finance in the various jurisdic- tinue to increase. However, what the industry needs tions we operate in. They may not like what their is smaller footprint, higher grade projects with less country rating is, but it certainly focuses their minds impact that are easier to permit in GOOD countries. on the problems in their jurisdictions. Great survey, Grassroots discoveries and innovation in explora- please keep it up. tion is mandatory for the mining industry. —A producer company with more than US$50M, —An exploration company, Company president Company president Appendix: Tabular material The following tables provide a complete description of the answers for each policy question for each juris- diction. Tables A1 through A18 parallel figures in the main body of the report. Table A19 provides the an- swer to the question: Which jurisdiction has the best (worst) policy environment? Jurisdictions are ranked by best “net” response—the number of respondents who rated a jurisdiction “best” minus the number or re- spondents that rated the same jurisdiction “worst.” The table only includes jurisdictions listed in the survey. Rows may not sum to 100% due to rounding. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 73
  • 74. Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 35% 44% 15% 6% 2% British Columbia 33% 36% 24% 7% 1% Manitoba 32% 38% 15% 9% 6% New Brunswick 38% 48% 14% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 32% 58% 8% 3% 0% Northwest Territories 43% 31% 18% 7% 2% Nova Scotia 30% 41% 22% 7% 0% Nunavut 30% 49% 19% 0% 2% Ontario 39% 41% 14% 6% 1% Quebec 35% 42% 16% 7% 1% Saskatchewan 53% 39% 7% 2% 0% Yukon 51% 39% 8% 3% 0% USA Alaska 56% 31% 12% 1% 0% Arizona 36% 48% 13% 1% 1% California 19% 27% 24% 23% 7% Colorado 13% 41% 29% 16% 1% Idaho 25% 54% 17% 4% 0% Michigan 20% 45% 35% 0% 0% Minnesota 21% 43% 32% 4% 0% Montana 23% 36% 25% 14% 2% Nevada 55% 35% 11% 0% 0% New Mexico 16% 61% 21% 3% 0% Utah 40% 42% 16% 2% 0% Washington 9% 30% 40% 19% 2% Wyoming 52% 36% 9% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 15% 54% 26% 4% 0% Northern Territory 46% 39% 14% 2% 0% Queensland 34% 43% 17% 6% 0% South Australia 34% 48% 15% 3% 0% Tasmania 14% 39% 25% 21% 0% Victoria 18% 43% 28% 13% 0% Western Australia 47% 42% 9% 3% 0% Oceania Indonesia 11% 29% 27% 24% 9% New Zealand 28% 53% 15% 5% 0% Papua New Guinea 12% 35% 32% 18% 3% Philippines 11% 31% 42% 14% 3% 74 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 75. Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 39% 42% 19% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 36% 39% 19% 7% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 16% 16% 16% 42% 11% Egypt 8% 8% 33% 42% 8% Ghana 32% 49% 17% 2% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 14% 29% 29% 29% 0% Madagascar 8% 8% 50% 25% 8% Mali 15% 37% 32% 17% 0% Mauritania 25% 33% 42% 0% 0% Morocco 20% 40% 33% 0% 7% Namibia 21% 59% 15% 3% 3% Niger 30% 20% 40% 10% 0% South Africa 13% 30% 33% 18% 7% Tanzania 18% 47% 29% 5% 0% Zambia 6% 64% 21% 9% 0% Zimbabwe 3% 14% 21% 35% 28% Argentina Catamarca 19% 33% 33% 10% 5% Chubut 7% 25% 29% 18% 21% Jujuy 6% 33% 33% 22% 6% La Rioja 0% 35% 35% 18% 12% Mendoza 16% 29% 16% 24% 16% Neuquen 14% 36% 36% 7% 7% Rio Negro 12% 41% 24% 12% 12% Salta 12% 55% 24% 9% 0% San Juan 17% 45% 26% 10% 2% Santa Cruz 12% 15% 38% 27% 9% Table 1 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 75
  • 76. Table A1: Mineral potential, assuming current regulation/land use restrictions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 12% 21% 47% 21% and the Brazil 21% 46% 30% 3% 0% Caribbean Chile 40% 47% 11% 2% 0% Basin Colombia 29% 36% 29% 7% 0% Ecuador 3% 17% 33% 25% 22% Dominican Republic 17% 48% 30% 4% 0% French Guiana 9% 46% 18% 18% 9% Guatemala 0% 16% 37% 42% 5% Guyana 39% 39% 19% 4% 0% Honduras 6% 0% 50% 19% 25% Mexico 29% 47% 17% 6% 1% Panama 21% 47% 26% 0% 5% Peru 27% 44% 24% 6% 0% Suriname 7% 53% 27% 7% 7% Venezuela 3% 15% 15% 29% 38% Eurasia Bulgaria 9% 55% 36% 0% 0% China 11% 37% 20% 9% 23% Finland 55% 38% 8% 0% 0% Greenland 56% 40% 4% 0% 0% Greece 0% 25% 58% 8% 8% India 6% 44% 19% 19% 13% Ireland 38% 29% 26% 5% 2% Kazakhstan 14% 33% 38% 10% 5% Kyrgyzstan 29% 21% 29% 7% 14% Mongolia 12% 29% 35% 12% 12% Norway 38% 38% 14% 5% 5% Poland 14% 29% 36% 14% 7% Romania 12% 36% 20% 32% 0% Russia 21% 38% 17% 13% 13% Serbia 20% 60% 0% 20% 0% Spain 24% 48% 24% 0% 5% Sweden 54% 37% 3% 3% 3% Turkey 32% 49% 19% 0% 0% Vietnam 8% 39% 8% 46% 0% 76 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 77. Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and assuming industry “best practices” 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 34% 46% 18% 2% 0% British Columbia 57% 30% 10% 3% 1% Manitoba 46% 45% 4% 4% 0% New Brunswick 34% 51% 12% 0% 2% Newfoundland and Labrador 51% 34% 14% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 52% 42% 7% 0% 0% Nova Scotia 19% 42% 15% 19% 4% Nunavut 59% 30% 11% 0% 0% Ontario 60% 31% 8% 1% 1% Quebec 58% 29% 6% 6% 0% Saskatchewan 53% 41% 5% 0% 0% Yukon 65% 31% 4% 0% 0% USA Alaska 67% 22% 8% 1% 1% Arizona 48% 41% 12% 0% 0% California 34% 34% 19% 11% 2% Colorado 37% 38% 24% 2% 0% Idaho 30% 53% 15% 0% 2% Michigan 21% 47% 32% 0% 0% Minnesota 26% 48% 26% 0% 0% Montana 40% 40% 16% 5% 0% Nevada 60% 31% 8% 0% 1% New Mexico 30% 38% 27% 5% 0% Utah 43% 41% 16% 0% 0% Washington 17% 41% 38% 5% 0% Wyoming 50% 39% 11% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 29% 40% 29% 0% 2% Northern Territory 48% 41% 11% 0% 0% Queensland 57% 30% 10% 3% 0% South Australia 49% 39% 10% 2% 0% Tasmania 25% 43% 29% 4% 0% Victoria 23% 35% 33% 10% 0% Western Australia 61% 31% 6% 2% 0% Oceania Indonesia 70% 18% 9% 2% 2% New Zealand 26% 41% 26% 8% 0% Papua New Guinea 74% 12% 12% 0% 3% Philippines 65% 19% 14% 0% 3% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 77
  • 78. Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and assuming industry “best practices” 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 56% 38% 6% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 36% 39% 16% 7% 3% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 62% 16% 9% 9% 4% Egypt 50% 8% 33% 8% 0% Ghana 37% 41% 15% 4% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 32% 23% 32% 9% 5% Madagascar 50% 17% 25% 8% 0% Mali 20% 55% 15% 8% 3% Mauritania 33% 33% 17% 8% 8% Morocco 13% 40% 40% 0% 7% Namibia 41% 41% 15% 0% 3% Niger 20% 30% 30% 10% 10% South Africa 34% 44% 15% 5% 2% Tanzania 50% 34% 13% 0% 3% Zambia 38% 44% 12% 3% 3% Zimbabwe 28% 48% 10% 10% 3% Argentina Catamarca 29% 57% 14% 0% 0% Chubut 29% 39% 14% 11% 7% Jujuy 39% 39% 17% 6% 0% La Rioja 29% 53% 12% 0% 6% Mendoza 30% 41% 16% 5% 8% Neuquen 14% 43% 36% 0% 7% Rio Negro 24% 41% 29% 0% 6% Salta 27% 44% 24% 6% 0% San Juan 34% 46% 15% 2% 2% Santa Cruz 41% 41% 9% 3% 6% Table 2 continued next page ... 78 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 79. Table A2: Policy/mineral potential, assuming no land use restrictions in place, and assuming industry “best practices” 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 31% 36% 16% 9% 9% and the Brazil 51% 28% 16% 3% 2% Caribbean Chile 60% 30% 6% 3% 1% Colombia 57% 28% 13% 0% 2% Basin Ecuador 41% 26% 10% 21% 3% Dominican Republic 21% 46% 29% 4% 0% French Guiana 8% 58% 33% 0% 0% Guatemala 22% 44% 33% 0% 0% Guyana 39% 32% 25% 0% 4% Honduras 6% 47% 41% 0% 6% Mexico 56% 33% 9% 2% 0% Panama 28% 28% 39% 6% 0% Peru 52% 27% 18% 3% 1% Suriname 20% 53% 27% 0% 0% Venezuela 29% 34% 26% 3% 9% Eurasia Bulgaria 9% 46% 36% 0% 9% China 43% 31% 14% 6% 6% Finland 51% 37% 12% 0% 0% Greenland 52% 44% 4% 0% 0% Greece 17% 17% 50% 8% 8% India 56% 25% 13% 0% 6% Ireland 23% 47% 23% 7% 0% Kazakhstan 43% 48% 5% 0% 5% Kyrgyzstan 50% 43% 0% 7% 0% Mongolia 77% 14% 6% 0% 3% Norway 38% 38% 10% 14% 0% Poland 0% 69% 31% 0% 0% Romania 28% 28% 40% 4% 0% Russia 58% 15% 19% 8% 0% Serbia 50% 30% 20% 0% 0% Spain 19% 48% 24% 5% 5% Sweden 51% 31% 14% 3% 0% Turkey 61% 28% 11% 0% 0% Vietnam 39% 46% 8% 8% 0% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 79
  • 80. Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and enforcement of existing regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 62% 28% 8% 2% 2% British Columbia 24% 31% 32% 12% 1% Manitoba 45% 21% 9% 21% 4% New Brunswick 64% 30% 7% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 49% 33% 14% 4% 0% Northwest Territories 29% 34% 21% 15% 2% Nova Scotia 52% 35% 10% 3% 0% Nunavut 28% 35% 28% 7% 2% Ontario 35% 30% 25% 9% 1% Quebec 47% 21% 22% 9% 1% Saskatchewan 62% 30% 8% 0% 0% Yukon 55% 29% 14% 2% 0% USA Alaska 39% 38% 18% 3% 1% Arizona 20% 49% 28% 2% 1% California 1% 14% 15% 45% 25% Colorado 8% 25% 30% 26% 11% Idaho 19% 42% 25% 14% 0% Michigan 9% 32% 55% 5% 0% Minnesota 16% 16% 48% 19% 0% Montana 4% 17% 45% 21% 13% Nevada 48% 33% 16% 3% 1% New Mexico 13% 35% 37% 15% 0% Utah 40% 45% 13% 2% 0% Washington 4% 21% 29% 35% 10% Wyoming 57% 33% 8% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 16% 45% 31% 6% 2% Northern Territory 47% 40% 9% 4% 0% Queensland 24% 31% 36% 9% 0% South Australia 58% 20% 18% 3% 0% Tasmania 3% 38% 28% 21% 10% Victoria 17% 29% 29% 24% 2% Western Australia 41% 37% 20% 2% 0% Oceania Indonesia 5% 10% 24% 40% 22% New Zealand 20% 46% 24% 10% 0% Papua New Guinea 5% 41% 33% 17% 5% Philippines 0% 15% 32% 39% 15% 80 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 81. Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and enforcement of existing regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 61% 36% 3% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 32% 41% 18% 9% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 6% 6% 22% 41% 26% Egypt 8% 0% 8% 54% 31% Ghana 26% 43% 26% 6% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 7% 14% 25% 43% 11% Madagascar 0% 15% 23% 62% 0% Mali 14% 33% 31% 20% 2% Mauritania 39% 39% 15% 8% 0% Morocco 40% 45% 15% 0% 0% Namibia 36% 38% 20% 4% 2% Niger 15% 23% 46% 15% 0% South Africa 13% 17% 30% 31% 10% Tanzania 11% 29% 44% 11% 4% Zambia 14% 60% 22% 5% 0% Zimbabwe 3% 3% 21% 21% 53% Argentina Catamarca 13% 54% 8% 17% 8% Chubut 3% 19% 25% 25% 28% Jujuy 10% 43% 10% 24% 14% La Rioja 0% 40% 15% 25% 20% Mendoza 7% 15% 17% 30% 30% Neuquen 28% 17% 17% 17% 22% Rio Negro 16% 26% 21% 16% 21% Salta 34% 32% 18% 13% 3% San Juan 21% 35% 21% 19% 4% Santa Cruz 15% 26% 28% 23% 8% Table 3 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 81
  • 82. Table A3: Uncertainty concerning the administration, interpretation, and enforcement of existing regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 4% 11% 36% 47% and the Brazil 24% 47% 19% 8% 1% Caribbean Chile 53% 39% 7% 1% 1% Colombia 25% 39% 24% 10% 1% Basin Ecuador 2% 7% 30% 33% 28% Dominican Republic 17% 53% 27% 3% 0% French Guiana 22% 11% 33% 11% 22% Guatemala 9% 14% 32% 36% 9% Guyana 33% 39% 18% 9% 0% Honduras 0% 14% 24% 29% 33% Mexico 45% 34% 15% 5% 1% Panama 27% 32% 23% 18% 0% Peru 22% 36% 29% 12% 1% Suriname 12% 41% 35% 6% 6% Venezuela 3% 3% 5% 16% 74% Eurasia Bulgaria 8% 46% 39% 8% 0% China 7% 21% 34% 23% 16% Finland 47% 40% 9% 4% 0% Greenland 54% 39% 8% 0% 0% Greece 0% 21% 29% 43% 7% India 13% 19% 19% 31% 19% Ireland 42% 38% 11% 9% 0% Kazakhstan 4% 33% 26% 26% 11% Kyrgyzstan 0% 5% 45% 20% 30% Mongolia 7% 12% 33% 33% 14% Norway 38% 48% 14% 0% 0% Poland 7% 27% 47% 20% 0% Romania 0% 29% 25% 39% 7% Russia 7% 29% 23% 19% 23% Serbia 15% 54% 23% 8% 0% Spain 8% 50% 27% 12% 4% Sweden 65% 30% 5% 0% 0% Turkey 23% 61% 14% 2% 0% Vietnam 0% 39% 15% 23% 23% 82 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 83. Table A4: Environmental regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 38% 44% 19% 0% 0% British Columbia 6% 26% 43% 23% 3% Manitoba 18% 43% 20% 17% 1% New Brunswick 23% 55% 23% 0% 0% Newfoundland and Labrador 18% 51% 25% 6% 0% Northwest Territories 11% 42% 29% 17% 2% Nova Scotia 4% 54% 39% 4% 0% Nunavut 6% 50% 39% 4% 2% Ontario 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% Quebec 21% 44% 24% 10% 1% Saskatchewan 32% 56% 13% 0% 0% Yukon 24% 49% 22% 3% 1% USA Alaska 14% 44% 30% 11% 1% Arizona 5% 43% 43% 6% 3% California 1% 7% 21% 37% 34% Colorado 5% 12% 36% 36% 10% Idaho 9% 29% 46% 16% 0% Michigan 10% 19% 57% 14% 0% Minnesota 0% 29% 48% 16% 7% Montana 4% 15% 42% 25% 14% Nevada 21% 48% 26% 4% 1% New Mexico 7% 33% 26% 33% 2% Utah 24% 56% 19% 2% 0% Washington 6% 15% 26% 36% 17% Wyoming 29% 52% 14% 4% 2% Australia New South Wales 2% 40% 43% 13% 2% Northern Territory 19% 53% 23% 2% 2% Queensland 9% 33% 40% 17% 0% South Australia 28% 38% 25% 8% 0% Tasmania 3% 20% 40% 23% 13% Victoria 5% 14% 55% 26% 0% Western Australia 27% 42% 23% 8% 1% Oceania Indonesia 2% 32% 32% 29% 6% New Zealand 2% 29% 48% 17% 5% Papua New Guinea 12% 43% 38% 7% 0% Philippines 0% 30% 43% 18% 10% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 83
  • 84. Table A4: Environmental regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 39% 56% 6% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 18% 74% 6% 3% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 8% 35% 31% 19% 8% Egypt 15% 54% 15% 15% 0% Ghana 19% 54% 15% 12% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 15% 33% 30% 22% 0% Madagascar 0% 43% 36% 14% 7% Mali 16% 66% 12% 6% 0% Mauritania 33% 33% 25% 8% 0% Morocco 30% 40% 25% 5% 0% Namibia 27% 52% 21% 0% 0% Niger 7% 64% 21% 7% 0% South Africa 7% 53% 30% 7% 3% Tanzania 7% 68% 21% 5% 0% Zambia 17% 69% 11% 3% 0% Zimbabwe 3% 34% 29% 20% 14% Argentina Catamarca 12% 48% 24% 12% 4% Chubut 3% 13% 38% 25% 22% Jujuy 5% 14% 43% 19% 19% La Rioja 5% 35% 30% 20% 10% Mendoza 2% 9% 35% 28% 26% Neuquen 17% 17% 39% 11% 17% Rio Negro 11% 16% 42% 21% 11% Salta 27% 35% 24% 11% 3% San Juan 17% 40% 38% 6% 0% Santa Cruz 8% 46% 33% 8% 5% Table 4 continued next page ... 84 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 85. Table A4: Environmental regulations 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 4% 27% 25% 29% 15% and the Brazil 11% 55% 32% 3% 0% Caribbean Chile 19% 58% 19% 3% 0% Basin Colombia 9% 46% 27% 16% 3% Ecuador 2% 11% 39% 34% 14% Dominican Republic 10% 52% 31% 7% 0% French Guiana 17% 28% 11% 17% 28% Guatemala 0% 14% 67% 10% 10% Guyana 12% 67% 18% 3% 0% Honduras 0% 21% 42% 21% 16% Mexico 27% 60% 11% 1% 1% Panama 5% 42% 37% 16% 0% Peru 12% 41% 33% 13% 2% Suriname 12% 47% 41% 0% 0% Venezuela 3% 18% 18% 26% 34% Eurasia Bulgaria 15% 39% 15% 31% 0% China 7% 50% 21% 14% 9% Finland 18% 52% 25% 5% 0% Greenland 27% 58% 12% 4% 0% Greece 0% 7% 43% 36% 14% India 6% 31% 31% 19% 13% Ireland 19% 51% 21% 9% 0% Kazakhstan 7% 54% 29% 11% 0% Kyrgyzstan 5% 37% 37% 11% 11% Mongolia 5% 52% 26% 10% 7% Norway 14% 38% 43% 5% 0% Poland 7% 13% 53% 27% 0% Romania 0% 36% 25% 25% 14% Russia 7% 40% 37% 10% 7% Serbia 27% 46% 18% 9% 0% Spain 4% 54% 27% 12% 4% Sweden 11% 53% 36% 0% 0% Turkey 7% 66% 21% 7% 0% Vietnam 0% 39% 46% 8% 8% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 85
  • 86. Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 19% 50% 27% 3% 0% British Columbia 8% 37% 38% 16% 1% Manitoba 15% 45% 26% 12% 3% New Brunswick 32% 44% 24% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 15% 50% 31% 4% 0% Northwest Territories 9% 39% 35% 15% 2% Nova Scotia 14% 61% 21% 4% 0% Nunavut 7% 33% 49% 9% 2% Ontario 16% 41% 34% 8% 1% Quebec 18% 46% 24% 12% 1% Saskatchewan 24% 57% 19% 0% 0% Yukon 26% 45% 22% 7% 0% USA Alaska 10% 51% 30% 7% 2% Arizona 6% 46% 38% 9% 1% California 0% 15% 25% 40% 21% Colorado 7% 21% 42% 22% 8% Idaho 6% 40% 44% 11% 0% Michigan 5% 19% 71% 5% 0% Minnesota 0% 30% 53% 17% 0% Montana 2% 41% 28% 20% 10% Nevada 16% 49% 30% 5% 0% New Mexico 2% 37% 46% 15% 0% Utah 16% 46% 35% 4% 0% Washington 2% 26% 30% 28% 13% Wyoming 16% 50% 32% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 2% 49% 38% 9% 2% Northern Territory 9% 67% 20% 4% 0% Queensland 8% 37% 34% 21% 0% South Australia 11% 60% 16% 12% 2% Tasmania 3% 30% 37% 30% 0% Victoria 5% 42% 29% 22% 2% Western Australia 13% 58% 23% 7% 0% Oceania Indonesia 2% 19% 30% 38% 11% New Zealand 15% 37% 44% 5% 0% Papua New Guinea 12% 33% 36% 19% 0% Philippines 3% 20% 30% 40% 8% 86 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 87. Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 44% 56% 0% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 18% 62% 12% 9% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 6% 22% 18% 38% 16% Egypt 15% 0% 54% 31% 0% Ghana 14% 57% 20% 10% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 4% 26% 30% 41% 0% Madagascar 7% 29% 14% 43% 7% Mali 10% 43% 35% 12% 0% Mauritania 31% 31% 31% 8% 0% Morocco 25% 40% 30% 5% 0% Namibia 21% 56% 19% 2% 2% Niger 7% 43% 36% 14% 0% South Africa 6% 33% 40% 17% 4% Tanzania 7% 40% 42% 11% 0% Zambia 17% 57% 17% 6% 3% Zimbabwe 0% 15% 21% 29% 35% Argentina Catamarca 13% 29% 33% 13% 13% Chubut 3% 6% 34% 34% 22% Jujuy 5% 29% 24% 29% 14% La Rioja 0% 15% 35% 35% 15% Mendoza 4% 13% 38% 26% 19% Neuquen 17% 17% 33% 17% 17% Rio Negro 11% 21% 37% 21% 11% Salta 16% 21% 42% 16% 5% San Juan 13% 23% 48% 15% 2% Santa Cruz 3% 28% 36% 26% 8% Table 5 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 87
  • 88. Table A5: Regulatory duplication and inconsistencies (includes federal/provincial, federal/state, inter-departmental overlap, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 4% 22% 22% 39% 14% and the Carib- Brazil 10% 48% 34% 8% 0% bean Basin Chile 16% 64% 16% 3% 0% Colombia 11% 41% 35% 11% 1% Ecuador 2% 14% 33% 40% 12% Dominican Republic 7% 53% 40% 0% 0% French Guiana 17% 39% 17% 22% 6% Guatemala 0% 14% 71% 10% 5% Guyana 6% 61% 30% 3% 0% Honduras 0% 0% 63% 32% 5% Mexico 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% Panama 5% 57% 29% 10% 0% Peru 8% 38% 43% 9% 2% Suriname 6% 41% 41% 12% 0% Venezuela 0% 5% 16% 38% 41% Eurasia Bulgaria 15% 39% 31% 15% 0% China 0% 33% 28% 28% 12% Finland 36% 44% 11% 9% 0% Greenland 36% 44% 16% 4% 0% Greece 0% 21% 43% 29% 7% India 0% 25% 31% 31% 13% Ireland 24% 42% 27% 7% 0% Kazakhstan 4% 36% 39% 21% 0% Kyrgyzstan 5% 15% 40% 20% 20% Mongolia 10% 32% 29% 22% 7% Norway 14% 57% 24% 5% 0% Poland 7% 27% 53% 13% 0% Romania 4% 25% 32% 29% 11% Russia 3% 24% 24% 35% 14% Serbia 8% 46% 31% 15% 0% Spain 4% 46% 35% 12% 4% Sweden 28% 56% 14% 3% 0% Turkey 7% 62% 27% 4% 0% Vietnam 0% 8% 54% 39% 0% 88 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 89. Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent, non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 60% 34% 3% 0% 3% British Columbia 36% 47% 13% 5% 1% Manitoba 41% 40% 11% 5% 3% New Brunswick 51% 49% 0% 0% 0% Newfoundland and Labrador 49% 46% 4% 1% 0% Northwest Territories 42% 35% 21% 2% 0% Nova Scotia 54% 32% 14% 0% 0% Nunavut 37% 39% 22% 0% 2% Ontario 46% 39% 10% 4% 2% Quebec 43% 35% 19% 3% 1% Saskatchewan 44% 52% 3% 0% 0% Yukon 47% 48% 6% 0% 0% USA Alaska 40% 42% 13% 4% 0% Arizona 27% 49% 18% 5% 1% California 10% 35% 22% 19% 14% Colorado 32% 28% 26% 10% 4% Idaho 24% 56% 16% 2% 2% Michigan 18% 64% 9% 9% 0% Minnesota 26% 55% 13% 7% 0% Montana 14% 52% 23% 10% 2% Nevada 38% 47% 15% 1% 0% New Mexico 20% 46% 24% 9% 2% Utah 37% 46% 17% 0% 0% Washington 17% 35% 25% 19% 4% Wyoming 44% 54% 2% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 48% 44% 6% 0% 2% Northern Territory 53% 47% 0% 0% 0% Queensland 39% 47% 11% 3% 0% South Australia 53% 39% 9% 0% 0% Tasmania 40% 43% 13% 3% 0% Victoria 45% 41% 12% 2% 0% Western Australia 58% 35% 8% 0% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 2% 34% 38% 27% New Zealand 55% 31% 12% 2% 0% Papua New Guinea 5% 21% 43% 29% 2% Philippines 2% 12% 24% 42% 20% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 89
  • 90. Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent, non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 43% 51% 6% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 6% 32% 53% 6% 3% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 2% 17% 44% 37% Egypt 0% 0% 23% 54% 23% Ghana 14% 45% 33% 6% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 4% 0% 30% 56% 11% Madagascar 0% 21% 29% 50% 0% Mali 2% 29% 47% 16% 6% Mauritania 23% 46% 8% 15% 8% Morocco 10% 50% 25% 10% 5% Namibia 22% 49% 24% 0% 4% Niger 7% 29% 43% 7% 14% South Africa 6% 23% 40% 22% 10% Tanzania 2% 29% 44% 20% 4% Zambia 5% 41% 41% 8% 5% Zimbabwe 0% 9% 9% 20% 63% Argentina Catamarca 12% 24% 28% 24% 12% Chubut 3% 9% 31% 38% 19% Jujuy 10% 10% 25% 30% 25% La Rioja 5% 10% 30% 30% 25% Mendoza 11% 9% 32% 23% 26% Neuquen 12% 12% 24% 29% 24% Rio Negro 16% 11% 37% 21% 16% Salta 24% 24% 29% 18% 5% San Juan 9% 24% 41% 20% 7% Santa Cruz 8% 18% 41% 28% 5% Table 6 continued next page ... 90 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 91. Table A6: Legal System (includes legal processes that are fair, transparent, non-corrupt, timely, efficiently administered, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 0% 14% 48% 37% and the Brazil 4% 37% 51% 8% 0% Caribbean Chile 24% 57% 18% 1% 0% Colombia 4% 45% 34% 17% 0% Basin Ecuador 2% 9% 25% 48% 16% Dominican Republic 13% 27% 43% 17% 0% French Guiana 22% 61% 11% 6% 0% Guatemala 0% 9% 41% 41% 9% Guyana 3% 46% 39% 9% 3% Honduras 0% 5% 33% 48% 14% Mexico 12% 41% 39% 7% 1% Panama 9% 32% 46% 14% 0% Peru 9% 39% 41% 9% 2% Suriname 6% 24% 59% 6% 6% Venezuela 0% 5% 5% 33% 56% Eurasia Bulgaria 8% 25% 42% 25% 0% China 2% 11% 25% 36% 25% Finland 67% 24% 9% 0% 0% Greenland 62% 31% 8% 0% 0% Greece 0% 14% 36% 36% 14% India 0% 13% 31% 44% 13% Ireland 48% 41% 9% 2% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 14% 43% 32% 11% Kyrgyzstan 0% 10% 40% 20% 30% Mongolia 0% 12% 39% 34% 15% Norway 50% 41% 9% 0% 0% Poland 0% 40% 47% 7% 7% Romania 0% 25% 21% 43% 11% Russia 0% 16% 29% 23% 32% Serbia 8% 39% 31% 23% 0% Spain 4% 54% 27% 12% 4% Sweden 70% 27% 3% 0% 0% Turkey 14% 52% 27% 7% 0% Vietnam 0% 8% 50% 17% 25% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 91
  • 92. Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 39% 49% 12% 0% 0% British Columbia 18% 49% 29% 5% 0% Manitoba 21% 47% 26% 6% 1% New Brunswick 23% 63% 14% 0% 0% Newfoundland and Labrador 19% 53% 25% 3% 0% Northwest Territories 23% 58% 19% 0% 0% Nova Scotia 21% 54% 21% 4% 0% Nunavut 15% 54% 30% 2% 0% Ontario 19% 53% 22% 6% 1% Quebec 26% 37% 25% 13% 0% Saskatchewan 22% 62% 17% 0% 0% Yukon 28% 62% 10% 0% 0% USA Alaska 30% 53% 17% 0% 0% Arizona 12% 65% 21% 1% 1% California 3% 30% 31% 26% 10% Colorado 11% 48% 31% 9% 1% Idaho 6% 71% 23% 0% 0% Michigan 5% 65% 25% 5% 0% Minnesota 12% 42% 31% 15% 0% Montana 6% 52% 35% 6% 0% Nevada 24% 55% 20% 1% 0% New Mexico 10% 49% 31% 10% 0% Utah 31% 55% 12% 2% 0% Washington 11% 43% 32% 9% 5% Wyoming 35% 50% 13% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 4% 44% 33% 19% 0% Northern Territory 4% 46% 35% 13% 2% Queensland 7% 42% 35% 17% 0% South Australia 9% 36% 42% 14% 0% Tasmania 7% 39% 32% 18% 4% Victoria 7% 54% 27% 10% 2% Western Australia 10% 38% 40% 11% 2% Oceania Indonesia 4% 38% 32% 20% 7% New Zealand 13% 60% 25% 3% 0% Papua New Guinea 13% 46% 28% 13% 0% Philippines 0% 38% 48% 10% 5% 92 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 93. Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 43% 40% 17% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 16% 50% 34% 0% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 2% 25% 39% 25% 10% Egypt 8% 15% 39% 31% 8% Ghana 6% 58% 26% 10% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 19% 58% 23% 0% Madagascar 14% 21% 43% 14% 7% Mali 7% 41% 41% 9% 2% Mauritania 15% 39% 46% 0% 0% Morocco 32% 47% 16% 5% 0% Namibia 9% 50% 34% 5% 2% Niger 0% 46% 46% 9% 0% South Africa 4% 29% 39% 25% 3% Tanzania 5% 29% 50% 12% 5% Zambia 6% 44% 44% 6% 0% Zimbabwe 0% 6% 27% 35% 32% Argentina Catamarca 17% 22% 35% 17% 9% Chubut 4% 21% 39% 25% 11% Jujuy 11% 21% 32% 26% 11% La Rioja 0% 25% 44% 19% 13% Mendoza 5% 26% 47% 14% 9% Neuquen 7% 36% 21% 21% 14% Rio Negro 12% 24% 35% 24% 6% Salta 11% 34% 37% 14% 3% San Juan 9% 39% 30% 21% 2% Santa Cruz 3% 34% 26% 29% 9% Table 7 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 93
  • 94. Table A7: Taxation regime (includes personal, corporate, payroll, capital, and other taxes, and complexity of tax compliance) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 15% 28% 41% 13% and the Carib- Brazil 6% 40% 44% 10% 0% bean Basin Chile 15% 68% 16% 1% 1% Colombia 3% 68% 26% 3% 0% Ecuador 3% 16% 32% 41% 8% Dominican Republic 8% 62% 27% 4% 0% French Guiana 24% 53% 12% 12% 0% Guatemala 5% 29% 43% 24% 0% Guyana 10% 61% 23% 7% 0% Honduras 5% 32% 42% 21% 0% Mexico 15% 60% 21% 3% 1% Panama 10% 57% 24% 10% 0% Peru 10% 56% 26% 6% 1% Suriname 7% 33% 47% 13% 0% Venezuela 0% 6% 28% 33% 33% Eurasia Bulgaria 46% 9% 36% 9% 0% China 3% 33% 45% 15% 5% Finland 35% 51% 14% 0% 0% Greenland 28% 48% 20% 4% 0% Greece 0% 29% 43% 29% 0% India 7% 27% 47% 13% 7% Ireland 34% 46% 18% 2% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 44% 39% 17% 0% Kyrgyzstan 6% 24% 47% 12% 12% Mongolia 5% 14% 54% 22% 5% Norway 36% 27% 18% 14% 5% Poland 0% 29% 57% 14% 0% Romania 0% 38% 42% 21% 0% Russia 19% 15% 33% 15% 19% Serbia 25% 33% 25% 17% 0% Spain 13% 54% 25% 8% 0% Sweden 40% 37% 14% 6% 3% Turkey 7% 68% 20% 5% 0% Vietnam 0% 31% 46% 15% 8% 94 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 95. Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 28% 40% 28% 0% 3% British Columbia 11% 22% 30% 33% 4% Manitoba 18% 26% 27% 22% 7% New Brunswick 27% 50% 21% 2% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 17% 42% 26% 15% 0% Northwest Territories 14% 40% 25% 20% 2% Nova Scotia 21% 50% 29% 0% 0% Nunavut 22% 42% 26% 11% 0% Ontario 14% 29% 32% 21% 4% Quebec 21% 40% 28% 10% 1% Saskatchewan 16% 53% 30% 2% 0% Yukon 21% 42% 33% 2% 1% USA Alaska 30% 47% 18% 3% 1% Arizona 16% 65% 16% 3% 1% California 14% 57% 17% 6% 6% Colorado 14% 65% 14% 6% 1% Idaho 15% 66% 19% 0% 0% Michigan 24% 52% 19% 5% 0% Minnesota 28% 48% 17% 7% 0% Montana 18% 55% 18% 6% 2% Nevada 27% 61% 11% 0% 0% New Mexico 15% 58% 23% 3% 3% Utah 26% 66% 8% 0% 0% Washington 18% 52% 18% 9% 2% Wyoming 34% 57% 9% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 6% 55% 32% 6% 0% Northern Territory 13% 49% 26% 11% 2% Queensland 11% 56% 25% 8% 0% South Australia 15% 47% 30% 5% 3% Tasmania 10% 47% 33% 7% 3% Victoria 12% 50% 29% 7% 2% Western Australia 16% 49% 28% 7% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 20% 33% 37% 10% New Zealand 15% 56% 29% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 0% 15% 45% 35% 5% Philippines 0% 18% 35% 30% 18% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 95
  • 96. Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 40% 49% 11% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 13% 63% 22% 0% 3% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 2% 17% 25% 38% 19% Egypt 25% 17% 25% 33% 0% Ghana 10% 56% 24% 8% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 7% 30% 37% 22% 4% Madagascar 7% 36% 14% 29% 14% Mali 0% 64% 27% 7% 2% Mauritania 23% 39% 23% 8% 8% Morocco 21% 42% 26% 5% 5% Namibia 21% 48% 25% 5% 2% Niger 8% 50% 25% 8% 8% South Africa 1% 35% 29% 29% 6% Tanzania 2% 33% 48% 12% 5% Zambia 6% 46% 37% 3% 9% Zimbabwe 0% 9% 21% 24% 47% Argentina Catamarca 22% 39% 22% 13% 4% Chubut 14% 36% 36% 11% 4% Jujuy 11% 32% 32% 11% 16% La Rioja 6% 35% 41% 6% 12% Mendoza 7% 42% 35% 12% 5% Neuquen 20% 20% 40% 7% 13% Rio Negro 24% 41% 24% 6% 6% Salta 20% 34% 40% 3% 3% San Juan 14% 46% 32% 9% 0% Santa Cruz 8% 56% 28% 8% 0% Table 8 continued next page ... 96 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 97. Table A8: Uncertainty concerning disputed land claims 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 9% 13% 55% 21% and the Brazil 6% 45% 37% 10% 2% Caribbean Chile 19% 62% 16% 2% 1% Basin Colombia 9% 44% 28% 16% 3% Ecuador 8% 18% 15% 40% 20% Dominican Republic 8% 52% 36% 4% 0% French Guiana 24% 53% 18% 0% 6% Guatemala 0% 10% 50% 30% 10% Guyana 0% 50% 38% 9% 3% Honduras 6% 12% 29% 47% 6% Mexico 7% 45% 36% 11% 1% Panama 5% 43% 38% 10% 5% Peru 7% 28% 38% 24% 3% Suriname 7% 20% 53% 20% 0% Venezuela 0% 8% 16% 38% 38% Eurasia Bulgaria 18% 27% 36% 18% 0% China 3% 43% 23% 20% 13% Finland 37% 47% 16% 0% 0% Greenland 50% 42% 8% 0% 0% Greece 0% 14% 50% 36% 0% India 0% 38% 19% 31% 13% Ireland 39% 48% 9% 5% 0% Kazakhstan 22% 22% 35% 13% 9% Kyrgyzstan 12% 12% 18% 29% 29% Mongolia 0% 36% 33% 14% 17% Norway 27% 59% 9% 5% 0% Poland 0% 43% 36% 21% 0% Romania 4% 28% 52% 16% 0% Russia 4% 26% 26% 30% 15% Serbia 0% 67% 33% 0% 0% Spain 8% 71% 17% 4% 0% Sweden 44% 44% 8% 3% 0% Turkey 10% 67% 19% 5% 0% Vietnam 0% 31% 54% 8% 8% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 97
  • 98. Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness, parks, or archeological sites 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 16% 48% 28% 5% 3% British Columbia 3% 23% 45% 25% 4% Manitoba 7% 37% 34% 19% 3% New Brunswick 14% 56% 28% 2% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 9% 47% 36% 9% 0% Northwest Territories 3% 38% 43% 16% 0% Nova Scotia 7% 41% 44% 7% 0% Nunavut 8% 36% 45% 9% 2% Ontario 7% 31% 41% 17% 3% Quebec 10% 37% 39% 12% 2% Saskatchewan 10% 60% 30% 0% 0% Yukon 11% 46% 36% 6% 1% USA Alaska 8% 45% 28% 17% 2% Arizona 5% 38% 41% 15% 1% California 1% 20% 27% 33% 19% Colorado 1% 27% 30% 37% 6% Idaho 4% 49% 38% 9% 0% Michigan 5% 48% 38% 10% 0% Minnesota 3% 52% 35% 10% 0% Montana 2% 41% 25% 31% 2% Nevada 11% 55% 27% 7% 0% New Mexico 3% 48% 28% 23% 0% Utah 18% 55% 18% 8% 0% Washington 4% 40% 22% 24% 9% Wyoming 15% 62% 19% 4% 0% Australia New South Wales 4% 50% 35% 10% 0% Northern Territory 6% 53% 32% 9% 0% Queensland 4% 42% 39% 11% 4% South Australia 7% 55% 23% 13% 2% Tasmania 0% 37% 27% 23% 13% Victoria 5% 45% 31% 14% 5% Western Australia 11% 54% 28% 7% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 36% 38% 16% 10% New Zealand 0% 48% 45% 8% 0% Papua New Guinea 3% 63% 23% 10% 3% Philippines 3% 34% 50% 5% 8% 98 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 99. Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness, parks, or archeological sites 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 31% 58% 11% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 15% 79% 6% 0% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 54% 29% 13% 4% Egypt 15% 54% 15% 15% 0% Ghana 6% 78% 14% 2% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 7% 70% 11% 11% 0% Madagascar 0% 43% 43% 7% 7% Mali 7% 86% 7% 0% 0% Mauritania 31% 62% 8% 0% 0% Morocco 26% 68% 5% 0% 0% Namibia 18% 68% 11% 2% 0% Niger 8% 92% 0% 0% 0% South Africa 12% 54% 26% 4% 4% Tanzania 9% 65% 12% 12% 2% Zambia 11% 69% 17% 3% 0% Zimbabwe 3% 41% 21% 21% 15% Argentina Catamarca 9% 52% 22% 9% 9% Chubut 0% 41% 17% 31% 10% Jujuy 0% 50% 11% 22% 17% La Rioja 6% 31% 25% 31% 6% Mendoza 7% 30% 30% 14% 19% Neuquen 7% 33% 33% 13% 13% Rio Negro 6% 35% 29% 18% 12% Salta 12% 46% 27% 12% 3% San Juan 14% 46% 21% 21% 0% Santa Cruz 6% 43% 29% 20% 3% Table 9 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 99
  • 100. Table A9: Uncertainty over which areas will be protected as wilderness, parks, or archeological sites 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 27% 48% 17% 6% and the Brazil 3% 46% 43% 9% 0% Caribbean Chile 16% 59% 20% 4% 1% Colombia 3% 40% 37% 19% 2% Basin Ecuador 0% 26% 26% 33% 15% Dominican Republic 7% 48% 33% 11% 0% French Guiana 12% 41% 12% 18% 18% Guatemala 5% 40% 30% 20% 5% Guyana 10% 58% 29% 3% 0% Honduras 6% 22% 39% 28% 6% Mexico 11% 60% 22% 7% 0% Panama 5% 48% 38% 10% 0% Peru 8% 46% 27% 19% 1% Suriname 8% 39% 39% 8% 8% Venezuela 3% 17% 26% 29% 26% Eurasia Bulgaria 0% 50% 25% 25% 0% China 3% 68% 15% 5% 10% Finland 16% 56% 21% 7% 0% Greenland 12% 60% 28% 0% 0% Greece 0% 36% 21% 36% 7% India 0% 27% 33% 27% 13% Ireland 23% 52% 21% 5% 0% Kazakhstan 9% 68% 18% 5% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 53% 29% 6% 12% Mongolia 5% 46% 35% 5% 8% Norway 14% 48% 29% 10% 0% Poland 0% 46% 31% 23% 0% Romania 0% 33% 42% 21% 4% Russia 4% 57% 25% 4% 11% Serbia 8% 50% 42% 0% 0% Spain 8% 58% 17% 13% 4% Sweden 19% 56% 22% 3% 0% Turkey 5% 60% 29% 7% 0% Vietnam 0% 46% 46% 8% 0% 100 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 101. Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads, power availability, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 52% 37% 12% 0% 0% British Columbia 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% Manitoba 26% 39% 29% 6% 0% New Brunswick 54% 42% 5% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 24% 28% 37% 11% 0% Northwest Territories 14% 21% 23% 38% 5% Nova Scotia 50% 39% 11% 0% 0% Nunavut 9% 7% 26% 52% 6% Ontario 33% 41% 23% 3% 0% Quebec 41% 35% 20% 5% 0% Saskatchewan 26% 48% 26% 0% 0% Yukon 15% 24% 38% 19% 4% USA Alaska 12% 20% 39% 27% 2% Arizona 39% 52% 7% 1% 1% California 24% 61% 13% 1% 0% Colorado 37% 47% 13% 3% 1% Idaho 26% 60% 11% 2% 0% Michigan 52% 43% 0% 5% 0% Minnesota 52% 41% 3% 3% 0% Montana 31% 55% 14% 0% 0% Nevada 46% 47% 7% 0% 0% New Mexico 24% 59% 10% 7% 0% Utah 43% 53% 2% 2% 0% Washington 26% 60% 12% 2% 0% Wyoming 43% 47% 9% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 29% 53% 14% 4% 0% Northern Territory 21% 47% 28% 4% 0% Queensland 23% 51% 22% 4% 0% South Australia 25% 42% 18% 15% 0% Tasmania 28% 41% 24% 7% 0% Victoria 36% 45% 12% 7% 0% Western Australia 28% 47% 19% 6% 0% Oceania Indonesia 2% 20% 48% 28% 2% New Zealand 20% 66% 15% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 0% 2% 34% 59% 5% Philippines 0% 13% 60% 23% 5% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 101
  • 102. Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads, power availability, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 22% 39% 36% 3% 0% Burkina Faso 3% 27% 47% 21% 3% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 2% 2% 16% 66% 14% Egypt 0% 54% 39% 8% 0% Ghana 12% 39% 37% 10% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 4% 7% 33% 52% 4% Madagascar 0% 23% 39% 31% 8% Mali 0% 17% 63% 17% 2% Mauritania 8% 8% 54% 23% 8% Morocco 11% 53% 32% 0% 5% Namibia 21% 43% 23% 11% 2% Niger 8% 8% 50% 25% 8% South Africa 11% 44% 32% 11% 3% Tanzania 5% 26% 45% 17% 7% Zambia 3% 44% 41% 9% 3% Zimbabwe 3% 24% 24% 32% 18% Argentina Catamarca 9% 48% 26% 13% 4% Chubut 14% 31% 28% 21% 7% Jujuy 5% 53% 16% 11% 16% La Rioja 11% 33% 33% 17% 6% Mendoza 16% 50% 21% 5% 9% Neuquen 20% 27% 33% 7% 13% Rio Negro 28% 28% 33% 6% 6% Salta 17% 47% 33% 3% 0% San Juan 13% 49% 31% 7% 0% Santa Cruz 6% 44% 44% 3% 3% Table 10 continued next page ... 102 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 103. Table A10: Quality of infrastructure (includes access to roads, power availability, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 12% 29% 49% 8% and the Brazil 7% 35% 44% 11% 3% Caribbean Chile 12% 50% 30% 6% 3% Colombia 6% 33% 46% 12% 3% Basin Ecuador 7% 15% 44% 24% 10% Dominican Republic 4% 56% 37% 4% 0% French Guiana 12% 12% 59% 18% 0% Guatemala 5% 19% 57% 14% 5% Guyana 0% 10% 52% 36% 3% Honduras 5% 20% 45% 25% 5% Mexico 12% 59% 23% 5% 1% Panama 0% 48% 48% 5% 0% Peru 4% 48% 37% 11% 1% Suriname 7% 7% 53% 33% 0% Venezuela 8% 14% 38% 27% 14% Eurasia Bulgaria 25% 58% 8% 0% 8% China 15% 24% 42% 12% 7% Finland 54% 40% 7% 0% 0% Greenland 4% 15% 54% 27% 0% Greece 7% 57% 29% 0% 7% India 6% 25% 44% 19% 6% Ireland 63% 33% 2% 2% 0% Kazakhstan 8% 38% 38% 17% 0% Kyrgyzstan 6% 24% 41% 18% 12% Mongolia 0% 5% 42% 45% 8% Norway 50% 41% 9% 0% 0% Poland 14% 50% 36% 0% 0% Romania 13% 46% 33% 8% 0% Russia 0% 31% 31% 28% 10% Serbia 42% 25% 33% 0% 0% Spain 38% 42% 17% 4% 0% Sweden 53% 33% 14% 0% 0% Turkey 26% 60% 14% 0% 0% Vietnam 0% 23% 62% 15% 0% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 103
  • 104. Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 33% 58% 9% 0% 0% British Columbia 15% 56% 23% 5% 1% Manitoba 16% 62% 13% 7% 2% New Brunswick 33% 52% 14% 0% 0% Newfoundland and Labrador 15% 62% 20% 3% 0% Northwest Territories 11% 42% 31% 15% 2% Nova Scotia 31% 58% 12% 0% 0% Nunavut 10% 35% 46% 10% 0% Ontario 20% 53% 21% 6% 1% Quebec 21% 52% 25% 3% 0% Saskatchewan 19% 67% 14% 0% 0% Yukon 16% 64% 18% 3% 0% USA Alaska 15% 59% 24% 2% 0% Arizona 19% 70% 9% 1% 1% California 19% 61% 6% 11% 3% Colorado 19% 54% 20% 4% 3% Idaho 12% 75% 12% 2% 0% Michigan 30% 55% 5% 10% 0% Minnesota 22% 59% 15% 4% 0% Montana 17% 64% 13% 4% 2% Nevada 27% 67% 5% 1% 0% New Mexico 16% 71% 11% 3% 0% Utah 25% 69% 4% 0% 2% Washington 11% 73% 7% 9% 0% Wyoming 33% 63% 2% 0% 2% Australia New South Wales 19% 64% 17% 0% 0% Northern Territory 13% 67% 17% 2% 0% Queensland 21% 58% 18% 3% 0% South Australia 20% 63% 17% 0% 0% Tasmania 17% 59% 17% 3% 3% Victoria 21% 62% 13% 3% 3% Western Australia 16% 67% 14% 3% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 32% 44% 21% 4% New Zealand 31% 49% 15% 5% 0% Papua New Guinea 3% 24% 41% 32% 0% Philippines 0% 26% 32% 40% 3% 104 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 105. Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 21% 50% 29% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 6% 31% 56% 6% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 16% 31% 39% 14% Egypt 8% 25% 42% 25% 0% Ghana 7% 47% 40% 2% 4% Guinea (Conakry) 8% 15% 35% 42% 0% Madagascar 0% 39% 54% 0% 8% Mali 2% 37% 59% 2% 0% Mauritania 15% 39% 46% 0% 0% Morocco 6% 38% 56% 0% 0% Namibia 12% 54% 32% 0% 2% Niger 8% 25% 58% 8% 0% South Africa 5% 34% 37% 20% 5% Tanzania 3% 38% 43% 14% 3% Zambia 6% 44% 38% 12% 0% Zimbabwe 7% 13% 17% 33% 30% Argentina Catamarca 18% 41% 36% 0% 5% Chubut 7% 21% 39% 18% 14% Jujuy 18% 24% 35% 12% 12% La Rioja 13% 25% 38% 13% 13% Mendoza 8% 38% 30% 10% 15% Neuquen 21% 21% 50% 0% 7% Rio Negro 24% 24% 41% 6% 6% Salta 18% 32% 35% 12% 3% San Juan 16% 37% 33% 12% 2% Santa Cruz 9% 35% 27% 27% 3% Table 11 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 105
  • 106. Table A11: Socioeconomic agreements/community development conditions (includes local purchasing, processing requirements, or supplying social infrastructure such as schools or hospitals, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 4% 28% 55% 11% and the Brazil 3% 52% 38% 6% 0% Chile 13% 69% 17% 2% 0% Caribbean Colombia 3% 53% 30% 13% 0% Basin Ecuador 5% 10% 39% 36% 10% Dominican Republic 4% 52% 44% 0% 0% French Guiana 15% 46% 23% 15% 0% Guatemala 5% 15% 35% 35% 10% Guyana 3% 53% 33% 10% 0% Honduras 0% 28% 28% 28% 17% Mexico 8% 56% 28% 8% 1% Panama 10% 35% 45% 10% 0% Peru 2% 29% 44% 25% 1% Suriname 7% 27% 47% 20% 0% Venezuela 3% 14% 22% 35% 27% Eurasia Bulgaria 9% 55% 18% 9% 9% China 3% 46% 32% 11% 8% Finland 53% 43% 5% 0% 0% Greenland 17% 42% 38% 4% 0% Greece 7% 21% 36% 21% 14% India 0% 50% 38% 6% 6% Ireland 33% 55% 13% 0% 0% Kazakhstan 5% 36% 55% 5% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 25% 50% 19% 6% Mongolia 0% 34% 47% 16% 3% Norway 43% 52% 5% 0% 0% Poland 14% 57% 29% 0% 0% Romania 0% 32% 50% 14% 5% Russia 4% 58% 17% 17% 4% Serbia 0% 64% 27% 9% 0% Spain 30% 52% 17% 0% 0% Sweden 46% 46% 9% 0% 0% Turkey 8% 65% 27% 0% 0% Vietnam 0% 39% 62% 0% 0% 106 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 107. Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit repatriation, currency restrictions, etc 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 46% 46% 7% 2% 0% British Columbia 33% 58% 7% 2% 0% Manitoba 33% 59% 7% 0% 0% New Brunswick 39% 59% 2% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 34% 60% 5% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 33% 61% 7% 0% 0% Nova Scotia 41% 56% 4% 0% 0% Nunavut 29% 61% 10% 0% 0% Ontario 39% 56% 5% 1% 0% Quebec 37% 49% 13% 1% 0% Saskatchewan 38% 55% 7% 0% 0% Yukon 45% 54% 1% 0% 0% USA Alaska 41% 52% 7% 0% 0% Arizona 36% 55% 8% 0% 2% California 36% 58% 3% 3% 0% Colorado 35% 62% 3% 0% 0% Idaho 35% 63% 2% 0% 0% Michigan 40% 55% 5% 0% 0% Minnesota 30% 59% 11% 0% 0% Montana 34% 57% 9% 0% 0% Nevada 43% 51% 6% 0% 0% New Mexico 28% 59% 13% 0% 0% Utah 35% 61% 4% 0% 0% Washington 36% 55% 9% 0% 0% Wyoming 40% 53% 7% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 34% 64% 2% 0% 0% Northern Territory 29% 62% 9% 0% 0% Queensland 31% 65% 4% 0% 0% South Australia 32% 56% 12% 0% 0% Tasmania 35% 62% 3% 0% 0% Victoria 40% 58% 3% 0% 0% Western Australia 35% 55% 9% 0% 1% Oceania Indonesia 0% 28% 42% 23% 7% New Zealand 33% 58% 8% 3% 0% Papua New Guinea 6% 53% 33% 8% 0% Philippines 3% 39% 39% 17% 3% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 107
  • 108. Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit repatriation, currency restrictions, etc 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 31% 56% 13% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 9% 58% 33% 0% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 21% 45% 26% 9% Egypt 0% 18% 36% 46% 0% Ghana 7% 63% 26% 4% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 9% 30% 39% 22% 0% Madagascar 15% 31% 31% 15% 8% Mali 8% 55% 26% 11% 0% Mauritania 25% 42% 25% 8% 0% Morocco 33% 40% 13% 13% 0% Namibia 15% 55% 25% 3% 3% Niger 10% 30% 30% 30% 0% South Africa 3% 42% 32% 16% 7% Tanzania 3% 61% 26% 8% 3% Zambia 9% 58% 33% 0% 0% Zimbabwe 7% 10% 19% 23% 42% Argentina Catamarca 5% 9% 23% 36% 27% Chubut 0% 4% 25% 43% 29% Jujuy 0% 6% 17% 50% 28% La Rioja 0% 0% 18% 53% 29% Mendoza 8% 13% 20% 40% 20% Neuquen 7% 0% 21% 43% 29% Rio Negro 12% 6% 18% 35% 29% Salta 6% 6% 31% 43% 14% San Juan 7% 12% 23% 42% 16% Santa Cruz 0% 3% 27% 38% 32% Table 12 continued next page ... 108 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 109. Table A12: Trade barriers—tariff and non-tariff barriers, restrictions on profit repatriation, currency restrictions, etc 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 4% 11% 26% 43% 17% and the Brazil 8% 46% 38% 8% 0% Caribbean Chile 29% 60% 11% 1% 0% Colombia 22% 52% 20% 7% 0% Basin Ecuador 3% 32% 26% 32% 8% Dominican Republic 19% 54% 27% 0% 0% French Guiana 15% 62% 15% 8% 0% Guatemala 0% 45% 50% 5% 0% Guyana 19% 54% 15% 12% 0% Honduras 11% 44% 33% 11% 0% Mexico 19% 56% 21% 4% 0% Panama 38% 38% 19% 5% 0% Peru 25% 46% 24% 6% 0% Suriname 7% 29% 43% 21% 0% Venezuela 3% 6% 6% 36% 50% Eurasia Bulgaria 27% 55% 18% 0% 0% China 3% 22% 41% 27% 8% Finland 61% 37% 2% 0% 0% Greenland 44% 48% 4% 4% 0% Greece 8% 62% 31% 0% 0% India 0% 33% 40% 20% 7% Ireland 55% 38% 5% 2% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 46% 27% 27% 0% Kyrgyzstan 6% 38% 25% 19% 13% Mongolia 0% 26% 51% 11% 11% Norway 52% 38% 10% 0% 0% Poland 21% 50% 21% 7% 0% Romania 23% 41% 32% 5% 0% Russia 4% 26% 37% 15% 19% Serbia 9% 55% 36% 0% 0% Spain 35% 57% 9% 0% 0% Sweden 53% 41% 6% 0% 0% Turkey 18% 71% 5% 3% 3% Vietnam 0% 23% 39% 39% 0% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 109
  • 110. Table A13: Political stability 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 63% 30% 4% 4% 0% British Columbia 39% 25% 26% 8% 1% Manitoba 46% 44% 6% 3% 1% New Brunswick 51% 49% 0% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 47% 46% 6% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 44% 40% 13% 3% 0% Nova Scotia 58% 35% 8% 0% 0% Nunavut 38% 49% 11% 2% 0% Ontario 50% 36% 10% 4% 1% Quebec 35% 31% 23% 10% 1% Saskatchewan 63% 35% 0% 2% 0% Yukon 63% 31% 5% 1% 0% USA Alaska 60% 29% 7% 5% 0% Arizona 40% 50% 6% 3% 1% California 26% 31% 19% 15% 9% Colorado 39% 33% 17% 8% 3% Idaho 53% 34% 9% 4% 0% Michigan 43% 33% 19% 5% 0% Minnesota 35% 38% 14% 14% 0% Montana 44% 29% 13% 13% 2% Nevada 54% 36% 9% 1% 0% New Mexico 35% 53% 8% 5% 0% Utah 52% 36% 10% 2% 0% Washington 32% 32% 16% 14% 7% Wyoming 64% 28% 6% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 56% 29% 13% 0% 2% Northern Territory 70% 26% 4% 0% 0% Queensland 55% 30% 15% 0% 0% South Australia 63% 29% 9% 0% 0% Tasmania 61% 25% 7% 4% 4% Victoria 65% 30% 5% 0% 0% Western Australia 65% 28% 6% 1% 0% Oceania Indonesia 2% 28% 44% 18% 9% New Zealand 65% 30% 5% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 0% 17% 47% 31% 6% Philippines 3% 18% 51% 21% 8% 110 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 111. Table A13: Political stability 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 50% 47% 0% 3% 0% Burkina Faso 3% 30% 55% 6% 6% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 2% 6% 13% 40% 40% Egypt 0% 0% 0% 75% 25% Ghana 26% 45% 21% 6% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 4% 25% 63% 8% Madagascar 0% 15% 31% 46% 8% Mali 0% 11% 23% 55% 11% Mauritania 23% 15% 23% 31% 8% Morocco 25% 56% 0% 13% 6% Namibia 36% 41% 17% 2% 5% Niger 7% 7% 36% 21% 29% South Africa 6% 15% 42% 27% 9% Tanzania 5% 54% 32% 5% 5% Zambia 18% 41% 27% 6% 9% Zimbabwe 0% 3% 3% 52% 42% Argentina Catamarca 14% 32% 27% 18% 9% Chubut 0% 25% 36% 21% 18% Jujuy 0% 22% 33% 22% 22% La Rioja 0% 18% 35% 24% 24% Mendoza 2% 24% 37% 20% 17% Neuquen 7% 29% 29% 14% 21% Rio Negro 6% 25% 38% 6% 25% Salta 6% 29% 37% 23% 6% San Juan 7% 32% 36% 18% 7% Santa Cruz 3% 21% 35% 29% 12% Table 13 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 111
  • 112. Table A13: Political stability 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 4% 19% 35% 42% and the Carib- Brazil 15% 52% 28% 3% 2% bean Basin Chile 40% 44% 14% 1% 1% Colombia 18% 40% 30% 10% 3% Ecuador 3% 15% 23% 35% 25% Dominican Republic 11% 63% 26% 0% 0% French Guiana 57% 29% 14% 0% 0% Guatemala 5% 0% 57% 33% 5% Guyana 19% 37% 37% 4% 4% Honduras 5% 0% 47% 32% 16% Mexico 18% 48% 27% 6% 1% Panama 11% 47% 26% 16% 0% Peru 11% 34% 39% 14% 2% Suriname 0% 27% 47% 20% 7% Venezuela 3% 3% 13% 29% 53% Eurasia Bulgaria 18% 55% 18% 0% 9% China 11% 49% 23% 11% 6% Finland 81% 17% 2% 0% 0% Greenland 52% 44% 0% 4% 0% Greece 7% 7% 50% 29% 7% India 20% 47% 27% 7% 0% Ireland 61% 27% 7% 5% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 38% 50% 13% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 17% 11% 56% 17% Mongolia 0% 6% 44% 39% 11% Norway 75% 15% 0% 10% 0% Poland 36% 36% 29% 0% 0% Romania 0% 31% 31% 31% 8% Russia 15% 37% 19% 22% 7% Serbia 0% 55% 27% 18% 0% Spain 23% 36% 27% 14% 0% Sweden 80% 9% 9% 3% 0% Turkey 15% 69% 13% 3% 0% Vietnam 23% 46% 15% 15% 0% 112 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 113. Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and labor militancy/work disruptions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 35% 55% 7% 3% 0% British Columbia 18% 51% 25% 6% 0% Manitoba 25% 62% 11% 1% 0% New Brunswick 36% 55% 7% 2% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 24% 55% 18% 3% 0% Northwest Territories 20% 64% 16% 0% 0% Nova Scotia 33% 48% 15% 4% 0% Nunavut 17% 69% 13% 2% 0% Ontario 22% 56% 18% 2% 1% Quebec 18% 54% 21% 8% 0% Saskatchewan 32% 64% 0% 3% 0% Yukon 35% 60% 4% 1% 0% USA Alaska 33% 54% 12% 1% 0% Arizona 23% 65% 9% 3% 1% California 14% 45% 27% 9% 5% Colorado 28% 52% 16% 3% 1% Idaho 31% 60% 8% 2% 0% Michigan 24% 57% 19% 0% 0% Minnesota 17% 59% 17% 7% 0% Montana 25% 58% 13% 4% 0% Nevada 38% 51% 9% 1% 0% New Mexico 18% 64% 13% 5% 0% Utah 33% 59% 6% 2% 0% Washington 23% 49% 26% 2% 0% Wyoming 45% 47% 4% 4% 0% Australia New South Wales 6% 46% 35% 13% 0% Northern Territory 15% 54% 24% 7% 0% Queensland 8% 56% 26% 10% 0% South Australia 7% 51% 34% 9% 0% Tasmania 7% 48% 28% 7% 10% Victoria 10% 45% 35% 5% 5% Western Australia 15% 50% 28% 7% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 41% 45% 12% 2% New Zealand 23% 56% 18% 3% 0% Papua New Guinea 6% 50% 36% 8% 0% Philippines 3% 45% 37% 13% 3% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 113
  • 114. Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and labor militancy/work disruptions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 21% 68% 12% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 9% 62% 29% 0% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 36% 30% 28% 6% Egypt 0% 8% 50% 33% 8% Ghana 4% 71% 23% 2% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 4% 33% 29% 33% 0% Madagascar 0% 46% 46% 0% 8% Mali 5% 43% 41% 12% 0% Mauritania 15% 54% 23% 8% 0% Morocco 7% 67% 27% 0% 0% Namibia 7% 63% 27% 2% 0% Niger 8% 33% 42% 17% 0% South Africa 2% 15% 26% 49% 8% Tanzania 0% 53% 38% 8% 3% Zambia 3% 53% 41% 3% 0% Zimbabwe 0% 19% 23% 42% 16% Argentina Catamarca 18% 41% 32% 5% 5% Chubut 4% 21% 43% 25% 7% Jujuy 6% 22% 50% 6% 17% La Rioja 6% 29% 47% 12% 6% Mendoza 5% 26% 36% 23% 10% Neuquen 14% 21% 50% 7% 7% Rio Negro 13% 25% 44% 13% 6% Salta 6% 41% 41% 9% 3% San Juan 9% 44% 30% 14% 2% Santa Cruz 3% 15% 39% 33% 9% Table 14 continued next page ... 114 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 115. Table A14: Labor regulations, employment agreements, and labor militancy/work disruptions 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 7% 28% 50% 15% and the Brazil 6% 41% 46% 6% 0% Caribbean Chile 11% 56% 27% 5% 0% Colombia 3% 61% 28% 8% 0% Basin Ecuador 3% 16% 46% 27% 8% Dominican Republic 12% 56% 32% 0% 0% French Guiana 7% 64% 14% 14% 0% Guatemala 0% 43% 43% 10% 5% Guyana 0% 82% 15% 4% 0% Honduras 0% 28% 61% 11% 0% Mexico 7% 55% 32% 6% 1% Panama 0% 62% 38% 0% 0% Peru 1% 39% 42% 17% 1% Suriname 0% 50% 43% 7% 0% Venezuela 0% 14% 17% 43% 26% Eurasia Bulgaria 8% 58% 17% 17% 0% China 11% 51% 24% 8% 5% Finland 41% 50% 10% 0% 0% Greenland 28% 64% 8% 0% 0% Greece 0% 21% 36% 29% 14% India 7% 27% 53% 13% 0% Ireland 19% 57% 19% 5% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 41% 50% 9% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 31% 31% 25% 13% Mongolia 3% 52% 33% 9% 3% Norway 33% 52% 10% 5% 0% Poland 15% 31% 46% 8% 0% Romania 4% 44% 32% 20% 0% Russia 0% 58% 27% 8% 8% Serbia 27% 46% 18% 9% 0% Spain 17% 39% 26% 17% 0% Sweden 34% 54% 9% 3% 0% Turkey 15% 64% 18% 3% 0% Vietnam 8% 62% 23% 8% 0% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 115
  • 116. Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps, ease of access to information, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 56% 37% 5% 2% 0% British Columbia 69% 29% 2% 0% 0% Manitoba 57% 36% 4% 3% 0% New Brunswick 62% 36% 2% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 66% 30% 5% 0% 0% Northwest Territories 52% 37% 10% 2% 0% Nova Scotia 63% 30% 7% 0% 0% Nunavut 41% 44% 15% 0% 0% Ontario 71% 24% 3% 1% 1% Quebec 76% 19% 3% 3% 0% Saskatchewan 62% 36% 0% 2% 0% Yukon 65% 33% 3% 0% 0% USA Alaska 56% 35% 8% 1% 0% Arizona 48% 41% 12% 0% 0% California 35% 45% 15% 5% 0% Colorado 51% 41% 7% 0% 1% Idaho 42% 46% 12% 0% 0% Michigan 15% 45% 30% 10% 0% Minnesota 40% 40% 10% 10% 0% Montana 55% 34% 9% 2% 0% Nevada 57% 36% 6% 2% 0% New Mexico 55% 34% 8% 3% 0% Utah 56% 38% 4% 2% 0% Washington 36% 41% 21% 2% 0% Wyoming 57% 38% 2% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 60% 40% 0% 0% 0% Northern Territory 67% 29% 4% 0% 0% Queensland 63% 34% 1% 1% 0% South Australia 81% 15% 3% 0% 0% Tasmania 48% 44% 0% 7% 0% Victoria 58% 33% 10% 0% 0% Western Australia 74% 22% 3% 1% 0% Oceania Indonesia 2% 39% 44% 14% 2% New Zealand 45% 45% 10% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 6% 46% 43% 6% 0% Philippines 6% 33% 47% 14% 0% 116 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 117. Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps, ease of access to information, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 21% 52% 27% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 0% 41% 50% 9% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 13% 38% 43% 6% Egypt 0% 33% 58% 8% 0% Ghana 13% 43% 38% 6% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 18% 36% 46% 0% Madagascar 8% 25% 58% 8% 0% Mali 0% 26% 62% 13% 0% Mauritania 17% 33% 33% 17% 0% Morocco 27% 27% 40% 7% 0% Namibia 30% 35% 33% 3% 0% Niger 0% 33% 50% 17% 0% South Africa 22% 51% 24% 2% 2% Tanzania 8% 36% 41% 15% 0% Zambia 12% 41% 38% 9% 0% Zimbabwe 0% 24% 31% 38% 7% Argentina Catamarca 29% 33% 29% 10% 0% Chubut 14% 29% 43% 4% 11% Jujuy 18% 41% 24% 12% 6% La Rioja 18% 35% 24% 18% 6% Mendoza 13% 36% 28% 15% 8% Neuquen 36% 21% 29% 7% 7% Rio Negro 29% 29% 29% 6% 6% Salta 18% 39% 39% 3% 0% San Juan 14% 45% 29% 7% 5% Santa Cruz 12% 38% 41% 6% 3% Table 15 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 117
  • 118. Table A15: Quality of geological database (includes quality and scale of maps, ease of access to information, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 4% 17% 47% 30% 2% and the Brazil 13% 52% 30% 5% 0% Caribbean Chile 25% 49% 21% 4% 0% Colombia 10% 37% 40% 13% 2% Basin Ecuador 5% 24% 37% 29% 5% Dominican Republic 8% 63% 25% 4% 0% French Guiana 39% 46% 15% 0% 0% Guatemala 0% 37% 47% 16% 0% Guyana 11% 26% 52% 11% 0% Honduras 6% 33% 44% 11% 6% Mexico 28% 51% 18% 3% 1% Panama 5% 26% 58% 11% 0% Peru 24% 49% 23% 5% 0% Suriname 7% 7% 57% 21% 7% Venezuela 0% 14% 36% 31% 19% Eurasia Bulgaria 20% 30% 50% 0% 0% China 0% 26% 43% 23% 9% Finland 76% 24% 0% 0% 0% Greenland 52% 44% 4% 0% 0% Greece 9% 46% 18% 27% 0% India 7% 47% 33% 13% 0% Ireland 61% 33% 7% 0% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 45% 50% 5% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 40% 33% 13% 13% Mongolia 6% 38% 41% 9% 6% Norway 52% 33% 10% 5% 0% Poland 29% 21% 36% 7% 7% Romania 4% 44% 30% 13% 9% Russia 12% 50% 23% 8% 8% Serbia 22% 33% 22% 22% 0% Spain 14% 68% 9% 9% 0% Sweden 69% 23% 6% 3% 0% Turkey 13% 58% 21% 8% 0% Vietnam 0% 23% 62% 15% 0% 118 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 119. Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 79% 19% 0% 2% 0% British Columbia 71% 28% 1% 0% 0% Manitoba 61% 31% 7% 0% 1% New Brunswick 83% 17% 0% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 74% 22% 3% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 73% 22% 5% 0% 0% Nova Scotia 89% 11% 0% 0% 0% Nunavut 69% 31% 0% 0% 0% Ontario 72% 24% 2% 2% 0% Quebec 70% 27% 1% 1% 0% Saskatchewan 69% 29% 0% 2% 0% Yukon 78% 22% 0% 0% 0% USA Alaska 72% 26% 2% 0% 0% Arizona 55% 37% 7% 1% 0% California 55% 38% 8% 0% 0% Colorado 70% 27% 3% 0% 0% Idaho 66% 34% 0% 0% 0% Michigan 80% 20% 0% 0% 0% Minnesota 77% 20% 0% 3% 0% Montana 67% 30% 2% 0% 0% Nevada 70% 29% 1% 0% 0% New Mexico 56% 31% 10% 3% 0% Utah 70% 26% 2% 2% 0% Washington 69% 27% 4% 0% 0% Wyoming 73% 23% 0% 4% 0% Australia New South Wales 77% 23% 0% 0% 0% Northern Territory 82% 18% 0% 0% 0% Queensland 79% 21% 0% 0% 0% South Australia 80% 20% 0% 0% 0% Tasmania 89% 7% 4% 0% 0% Victoria 85% 15% 0% 0% 0% Western Australia 83% 15% 2% 0% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 25% 43% 29% 4% New Zealand 80% 20% 0% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 0% 3% 50% 39% 8% Philippines 0% 5% 45% 40% 11% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 119
  • 120. Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 44% 50% 3% 3% 0% Burkina Faso 6% 25% 53% 9% 6% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 2% 2% 17% 45% 34% Egypt 0% 17% 58% 17% 8% Ghana 20% 52% 24% 4% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 18% 32% 46% 5% Madagascar 8% 42% 42% 8% 0% Mali 0% 7% 32% 51% 10% Mauritania 8% 42% 25% 25% 0% Morocco 40% 13% 33% 0% 13% Namibia 33% 53% 8% 5% 3% Niger 0% 0% 46% 31% 23% South Africa 3% 20% 36% 35% 6% Tanzania 3% 40% 40% 18% 0% Zambia 9% 62% 21% 6% 3% Zimbabwe 0% 18% 18% 25% 39% Argentina Catamarca 43% 43% 14% 0% 0% Chubut 25% 46% 25% 4% 0% Jujuy 33% 44% 17% 0% 6% La Rioja 35% 53% 12% 0% 0% Mendoza 26% 49% 21% 3% 3% Neuquen 36% 50% 14% 0% 0% Rio Negro 29% 59% 12% 0% 0% Salta 24% 47% 29% 0% 0% San Juan 31% 45% 21% 2% 0% Santa Cruz 21% 50% 24% 6% 0% Table 16 continued next page ... 120 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 121. Table A16: Security situation (includes physical security due to the threat of attack by terrorists, criminals, guerrilla groups, etc.) 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 20% 33% 35% 13% and the Brazil 8% 51% 32% 10% 0% Caribbean Chile 47% 41% 10% 3% 0% Colombia 0% 10% 60% 24% 6% Basin Ecuador 3% 25% 50% 18% 5% Dominican Republic 15% 58% 23% 4% 0% French Guiana 39% 39% 23% 0% 0% Guatemala 0% 0% 50% 40% 10% Guyana 4% 46% 36% 14% 0% Honduras 6% 0% 50% 39% 6% Mexico 2% 8% 43% 42% 5% Panama 15% 45% 30% 10% 0% Peru 2% 27% 52% 19% 1% Suriname 7% 20% 67% 7% 0% Venezuela 0% 5% 24% 38% 32% Eurasia Bulgaria 27% 55% 0% 18% 0% China 17% 47% 22% 8% 6% Finland 88% 12% 0% 0% 0% Greenland 84% 16% 0% 0% 0% Greece 17% 33% 42% 8% 0% India 6% 31% 63% 0% 0% Ireland 73% 16% 9% 2% 0% Kazakhstan 5% 43% 43% 10% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 36% 7% 43% 14% Mongolia 14% 54% 23% 6% 3% Norway 76% 19% 0% 5% 0% Poland 79% 14% 0% 7% 0% Romania 13% 42% 42% 4% 0% Russia 11% 32% 32% 11% 14% Serbia 20% 40% 20% 20% 0% Spain 32% 55% 14% 0% 0% Sweden 80% 17% 0% 3% 0% Turkey 16% 49% 32% 3% 0% Vietnam 23% 46% 31% 0% 0% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 121
  • 122. Table A17: Availability of labor and skills 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 37% 28% 30% 5% 0% British Columbia 39% 44% 14% 3% 0% Manitoba 32% 47% 19% 1% 0% New Brunswick 46% 44% 10% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 39% 47% 9% 5% 0% Northwest Territories 27% 34% 34% 5% 0% Nova Scotia 44% 48% 7% 0% 0% Nunavut 17% 33% 44% 6% 0% Ontario 45% 42% 11% 2% 0% Quebec 48% 35% 16% 1% 0% Saskatchewan 28% 52% 20% 0% 0% Yukon 33% 40% 25% 3% 0% USA Alaska 33% 47% 16% 3% 0% Arizona 36% 48% 16% 0% 0% California 27% 41% 25% 8% 0% Colorado 37% 47% 14% 0% 1% Idaho 37% 49% 14% 0% 0% Michigan 14% 62% 19% 5% 0% Minnesota 20% 60% 17% 3% 0% Montana 39% 46% 13% 2% 0% Nevada 47% 40% 12% 0% 0% New Mexico 34% 45% 21% 0% 0% Utah 41% 47% 12% 0% 0% Washington 32% 43% 25% 0% 0% Wyoming 42% 46% 13% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 33% 46% 17% 4% 0% Northern Territory 31% 42% 27% 0% 0% Queensland 25% 49% 24% 3% 0% South Australia 35% 42% 22% 2% 0% Tasmania 29% 39% 21% 7% 4% Victoria 31% 56% 8% 5% 0% Western Australia 37% 30% 23% 10% 0% Oceania Indonesia 5% 38% 50% 7% 0% New Zealand 23% 49% 28% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 3% 20% 51% 26% 0% Philippines 16% 29% 47% 8% 0% 122 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 123. Table A17: Availability of labor and skills 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 9% 30% 61% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 7% 17% 53% 23% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 11% 28% 48% 13% Egypt 17% 8% 58% 17% 0% Ghana 17% 40% 30% 13% 0% Guinea (Conakry) 5% 19% 29% 48% 0% Madagascar 0% 17% 50% 25% 8% Mali 0% 24% 51% 22% 2% Mauritania 0% 33% 42% 25% 0% Morocco 20% 47% 20% 13% 0% Namibia 15% 33% 43% 10% 0% Niger 0% 33% 25% 33% 8% South Africa 12% 35% 37% 12% 3% Tanzania 3% 38% 43% 15% 3% Zambia 9% 38% 44% 9% 0% Zimbabwe 21% 3% 31% 38% 7% Argentina Catamarca 19% 52% 19% 10% 0% Chubut 7% 32% 43% 14% 4% Jujuy 11% 67% 11% 11% 0% La Rioja 6% 59% 24% 12% 0% Mendoza 13% 45% 26% 11% 5% Neuquen 21% 57% 7% 14% 0% Rio Negro 18% 53% 12% 18% 0% Salta 24% 33% 24% 18% 0% San Juan 17% 46% 22% 15% 0% Santa Cruz 9% 39% 15% 33% 3% Table 17 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 123
  • 124. Table A17: Availability of labor and skills 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 2% 24% 24% 44% 7% and the Brazil 13% 54% 27% 6% 0% Caribbean Chile 31% 40% 26% 4% 0% Basin Colombia 5% 43% 43% 10% 0% Ecuador 0% 16% 45% 37% 3% Dominican Republic 0% 48% 48% 4% 0% French Guiana 15% 46% 31% 8% 0% Guatemala 5% 10% 65% 10% 10% Guyana 0% 30% 59% 11% 0% Honduras 6% 11% 61% 17% 6% Mexico 21% 46% 28% 4% 1% Panama 5% 45% 45% 5% 0% Peru 17% 51% 26% 7% 0% Suriname 0% 14% 71% 14% 0% Venezuela 3% 8% 35% 32% 22% Eurasia Bulgaria 27% 55% 9% 9% 0% China 14% 44% 28% 8% 6% Finland 45% 52% 2% 0% 0% Greenland 8% 40% 36% 16% 0% Greece 8% 25% 58% 8% 0% India 6% 50% 38% 0% 6% Ireland 48% 34% 18% 0% 0% Kazakhstan 5% 50% 40% 5% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 43% 29% 7% 21% Mongolia 0% 24% 49% 24% 3% Norway 10% 62% 24% 5% 0% Poland 43% 36% 21% 0% 0% Romania 4% 46% 42% 8% 0% Russia 15% 56% 26% 4% 0% Serbia 30% 50% 0% 20% 0% Spain 32% 55% 14% 0% 0% Sweden 40% 51% 6% 3% 0% Turkey 28% 44% 25% 3% 0% Vietnam 8% 46% 31% 15% 0% 124 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 125. Table A18: Corruption 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 65% 32% 0% 2% 2% British Columbia 60% 37% 3% 0% 0% Manitoba 55% 37% 4% 3% 1% New Brunswick 71% 29% 0% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 66% 33% 0% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 63% 28% 8% 2% 0% Nova Scotia 78% 22% 0% 0% 0% Nunavut 47% 46% 6% 2% 0% Ontario 60% 32% 6% 2% 1% Quebec 47% 35% 13% 5% 1% Saskatchewan 57% 42% 0% 2% 0% Yukon 68% 28% 3% 1% 0% USA Alaska 65% 30% 5% 0% 0% Arizona 50% 46% 3% 0% 1% California 52% 36% 8% 3% 2% Colorado 58% 35% 6% 1% 0% Idaho 65% 35% 0% 0% 0% Michigan 57% 33% 10% 0% 0% Minnesota 60% 33% 3% 3% 0% Montana 54% 35% 7% 4% 0% Nevada 60% 34% 7% 0% 0% New Mexico 55% 32% 13% 0% 0% Utah 65% 29% 4% 2% 0% Washington 57% 30% 9% 5% 0% Wyoming 62% 34% 2% 2% 0% Australia New South Wales 51% 43% 4% 0% 2% Northern Territory 64% 31% 4% 0% 0% Queensland 56% 42% 3% 0% 0% South Australia 64% 32% 3% 0% 0% Tasmania 54% 36% 11% 0% 0% Victoria 65% 30% 5% 0% 0% Western Australia 68% 28% 3% 1% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 4% 26% 46% 25% New Zealand 80% 21% 0% 0% 0% Papua New Guinea 3% 14% 47% 36% 0% Philippines 3% 5% 36% 51% 5% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 125
  • 126. Table A18: Corruption 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 27% 49% 15% 9% 0% Burkina Faso 13% 29% 42% 13% 3% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 0% 9% 46% 46% Egypt 0% 0% 58% 42% 0% Ghana 11% 32% 32% 23% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 5% 29% 52% 14% Madagascar 0% 8% 42% 42% 8% Mali 0% 17% 52% 29% 2% Mauritania 17% 42% 8% 33% 0% Morocco 13% 47% 13% 27% 0% Namibia 15% 48% 25% 10% 3% Niger 0% 33% 42% 17% 8% South Africa 2% 19% 37% 37% 6% Tanzania 0% 18% 50% 30% 3% Zambia 3% 32% 41% 18% 6% Zimbabwe 3% 3% 24% 21% 48% Argentina Catamarca 14% 29% 24% 19% 14% Chubut 7% 21% 36% 29% 7% Jujuy 6% 22% 28% 28% 17% La Rioja 6% 29% 24% 18% 24% Mendoza 11% 21% 32% 29% 8% Neuquen 21% 29% 21% 14% 14% Rio Negro 24% 24% 24% 18% 12% Salta 12% 27% 38% 21% 3% San Juan 14% 24% 36% 24% 2% Santa Cruz 3% 18% 38% 38% 3% Table 18 continued next page ... 126 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 127. Table A18: Corruption 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 7% 23% 50% 21% and the Brazil 2% 37% 48% 13% 2% Caribbean Chile 41% 42% 14% 3% 1% Basin Colombia 0% 39% 45% 16% 0% Ecuador 0% 16% 51% 19% 14% Dominican Republic 4% 32% 52% 12% 0% French Guiana 54% 46% 0% 0% 0% Guatemala 0% 0% 55% 30% 15% Guyana 0% 35% 46% 12% 8% Honduras 0% 0% 44% 44% 11% Mexico 4% 21% 52% 20% 3% Panama 0% 25% 60% 10% 5% Peru 2% 38% 47% 13% 0% Suriname 0% 20% 60% 20% 0% Venezuela 0% 6% 14% 39% 42% Eurasia Bulgaria 0% 20% 60% 20% 0% China 3% 26% 31% 29% 11% Finland 81% 19% 0% 0% 0% Greenland 64% 36% 0% 0% 0% Greece 0% 25% 33% 33% 8% India 0% 6% 38% 50% 6% Ireland 57% 36% 2% 5% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 10% 40% 50% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 0% 36% 43% 21% Mongolia 0% 12% 53% 21% 15% Norway 71% 24% 0% 5% 0% Poland 8% 62% 8% 15% 8% Romania 0% 8% 50% 21% 21% Russia 0% 18% 21% 46% 14% Serbia 0% 10% 70% 20% 0% Spain 13% 57% 22% 9% 0% Sweden 77% 20% 0% 3% 0% Turkey 8% 58% 32% 3% 0% Vietnam 0% 15% 46% 23% 15% 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 127
  • 128. Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Canada Alberta 46% 40% 12% 2% 0% British Columbia 16% 33% 37% 12% 2% Manitoba 33% 31% 16% 16% 4% New Brunswick 48% 48% 5% 0% 0% Newfoundland & Labrador 35% 51% 12% 2% 0% Northwest Territories 28% 46% 21% 3% 2% Nova Scotia 42% 54% 4% 0% 0% Nunavut 28% 46% 24% 0% 2% Ontario 27% 38% 23% 11% 2% Quebec 17% 33% 36% 12% 3% Saskatchewan 41% 52% 7% 0% 0% Yukon 40% 45% 14% 1% 0% USA Alaska 34% 35% 27% 5% 0% Arizona 19% 53% 24% 3% 2% California 9% 28% 29% 26% 8% Colorado 15% 33% 29% 22% 1% Idaho 20% 47% 31% 2% 0% Michigan 5% 70% 20% 5% 0% Minnesota 21% 39% 25% 14% 0% Montana 20% 33% 31% 13% 2% Nevada 32% 49% 17% 2% 0% New Mexico 6% 58% 22% 14% 0% Utah 28% 57% 13% 2% 0% Washington 12% 35% 30% 23% 0% Wyoming 44% 40% 16% 0% 0% Australia New South Wales 19% 36% 38% 6% 0% Northern Territory 25% 48% 25% 2% 0% Queensland 19% 36% 39% 7% 0% South Australia 24% 40% 28% 9% 0% Tasmania 21% 25% 32% 18% 4% Victoria 15% 35% 45% 5% 0% Western Australia 32% 40% 25% 4% 0% Oceania Indonesia 0% 11% 39% 41% 9% New Zealand 25% 60% 13% 3% 0% Papua New Guinea 0% 18% 47% 32% 3% Philippines 0% 9% 46% 34% 11% 128 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 129. Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Africa Botswana 19% 68% 13% 0% 0% Burkina Faso 0% 38% 48% 14% 0% Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) 0% 7% 16% 56% 22% Egypt 0% 0% 17% 58% 25% Ghana 7% 44% 42% 4% 2% Guinea (Conakry) 0% 15% 10% 70% 5% Madagascar 0% 17% 33% 50% 0% Mali 0% 10% 33% 50% 8% Mauritania 18% 27% 9% 46% 0% Morocco 21% 36% 36% 7% 0% Namibia 18% 40% 40% 0% 3% Niger 0% 20% 40% 20% 20% South Africa 7% 7% 31% 48% 8% Tanzania 3% 36% 39% 19% 3% Zambia 6% 39% 42% 12% 0% Zimbabwe 0% 7% 14% 35% 45% Argentina Catamarca 10% 30% 30% 20% 10% Chubut 0% 24% 20% 28% 28% Jujuy 0% 29% 24% 35% 12% La Rioja 0% 31% 25% 31% 13% Mendoza 5% 24% 19% 35% 16% Neuquen 8% 39% 31% 15% 8% Rio Negro 6% 38% 19% 19% 19% Salta 3% 39% 24% 27% 6% San Juan 5% 35% 25% 30% 5% Santa Cruz 0% 27% 18% 36% 18% Table 19 continued next page ... 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 129
  • 130. Table A19: Growing (or lessening) uncertainty 1: Encourages Investment 2: Not a Deterrent to investment 3: Mild Deterrent 4: Strong Deterrent 5: Would not pursue investment due to this factor Response 1 2 3 4 5 Latin America Bolivia 0% 2% 16% 49% 33% and the Brazil 11% 52% 32% 5% 0% Caribbean Chile 28% 53% 18% 1% 1% Basin Colombia 10% 40% 35% 15% 0% Ecuador 0% 8% 40% 37% 16% Dominican Republic 8% 54% 33% 4% 0% French Guiana 0% 64% 36% 0% 0% Guatemala 5% 25% 30% 30% 10% Guyana 0% 52% 41% 7% 0% Honduras 6% 6% 33% 50% 6% Mexico 8% 45% 35% 12% 1% Panama 15% 45% 30% 10% 0% Peru 7% 30% 53% 9% 1% Suriname 0% 27% 40% 33% 0% Venezuela 0% 9% 9% 34% 49% Eurasia Bulgaria 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% China 6% 29% 34% 23% 9% Finland 52% 33% 12% 2% 0% Greenland 36% 56% 8% 0% 0% Greece 0% 27% 27% 46% 0% India 7% 40% 40% 7% 7% Ireland 35% 50% 13% 3% 0% Kazakhstan 0% 26% 42% 32% 0% Kyrgyzstan 0% 7% 36% 36% 21% Mongolia 0% 13% 31% 41% 16% Norway 45% 45% 5% 5% 0% Poland 8% 62% 31% 0% 0% Romania 0% 30% 30% 39% 0% Russia 4% 23% 39% 23% 12% Serbia 22% 33% 22% 22% 0% Spain 23% 36% 14% 23% 5% Sweden 52% 42% 6% 0% 0% Turkey 14% 63% 23% 0% 0% Vietnam 0% 25% 67% 8% 0% 130 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 131. Table A20: Number of respondents indicating a jurisdiction has the most/least favorable policies towards mining Jurisdiction* Most Least Diff. Jurisdiction* Most Least Diff. Quebec 159 16 143 New Mexico 6 8 -2 Nevada 132 5 127 Tasmania 8 10 -2 Chile 131 4 127 New Zealand 11 13 -2 Alberta 94 10 84 Spain 6 9 -3 Saskatchewan 68 1 67 Michigan 4 8 -4 Ontario 79 14 65 Madagascar 1 5 -4 Mexico 70 6 64 Panama 4 8 -4 Western Australia 71 10 61 Poland 0 4 -4 Yukon 61 2 59 Minnesota 5 10 -5 New Brunswick 41 2 39 French Guiana 2 9 -7 South Australia 36 4 32 Honduras 2 9 -7 Botswana 34 2 32 Mali 8 16 -8 British Columbia 70 39 31 Argentina: San Juan 11 19 -8 Newfoundland & Labrador 37 6 31 Argentina: Salta 14 23 -9 Peru 40 9 31 Romania 5 14 -9 Brazil 31 1 30 Montana 8 19 -11 Northern Territory 32 3 29 Papua New Guinea 6 17 -11 Alaska 36 10 26 Guatemala 1 13 -12 Queensland 29 4 25 Philippines 3 16 -13 Sweden 28 3 25 Argentina: Neuquen 2 15 -13 Finland 26 2 24 Argentina: Catamarca 4 18 -14 Manitoba 37 15 22 Vietnam 3 17 -14 Northwest Territories 29 9 20 Guinea (Conakry) 0 15 -15 Arizona 25 7 18 Niger 3 18 -15 Wyoming 23 6 17 Washington 3 19 -16 Nunavut 19 4 15 Argentina: Rio Negro 3 19 -16 Ghana 23 9 14 Argentina: La Rioja 2 19 -17 Greenland 17 3 14 Mongolia 6 23 -17 Nova Scotia 14 2 12 Colorado 4 22 -18 Burkina Faso 14 4 10 Argentina: Jujuy 2 20 -18 Zambia 15 5 10 Argentina: Santa Cruz 4 22 -18 Ireland 12 2 10 South Africa 17 38 -21 Turkey 13 3 10 India 3 25 -22 Utah 13 4 9 Kyrgyzstan 0 22 -22 Tanzania 10 3 7 Greece 0 25 -25 Namibia 12 6 6 China 9 35 -26 Colombia 20 15 5 Egypt 1 31 -30 Idaho 10 6 4 Argentina: Chubut 1 33 -32 Norway 9 5 4 Russia 6 39 -33 New South Wales 12 9 3 Argentina: Mendoza 1 37 -36 Missouri 3 1 2 Indonesia 5 44 -39 Victoria 10 8 2 Ecuador 2 42 -40 Mauritania 4 3 1 Bolivia 5 76 -71 Dominican Republic 3 2 1 Democratic Republic of 6 84 -78 Guyana 4 3 1 Congo (DRC) Suriname 4 4 0 Zimbabwe 2 89 -87 Bulgaria 1 1 0 California 1 92 -91 Kazakhstan 14 14 0 Venezuela 3 145 -142 Serbia 2 2 0 *This list is limited to jurisdictions that were included in the Morocco 3 4 -1 survey.
  • 132. About the authors Alana Wilson is a Policy Analyst with the Fraser Institute’s Centre for Energy and Natural Resource Studies. She has a M.Sc. in Local Economic Development from the London School of Economics & Political Sci- ences, and a B.Sc. Agroecology (Honours) in Food and Resource Economics from the University of British Columbia. Her research has focused on the domestic and international impacts of mining, natural resource economics, and economic development; she has worked in Canada and internationally for government, in- ternational organizations, and industry. Fred McMahon is a Fraser Institute Resident Fellow and holder of the Dr. Michael A. Walker Research Chair in Economic Freedom. He manages the Economic Freedom of the World Project and coordinates the Economic Freedom Network, an international alliance of 86 independent think tanks around the world. His research focuses on global issues such as development, trade, governance, and economic structure. Mr. McMahon is the author of numerous research articles and several books. He has a MA in Economics from McGill University, Montreal. Miguel Angel Cervantes is a research economist with the Fraser Institute. He has an academic background in Economics; he holds Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in Economics from the University of Texas at El Paso. He has lectured at Vanier College, and HEC business school in Montreal. He has been the co-ordinator of the Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies since the 2008/2009 edition, and the Fraser In- stitute Global Petroleum Survey since the 2009 edition. He was also a co-author of the Economic Freedom of the Arab World 2010, 2011, and 2012 Annual Reports. Kenneth P. Green is Senior Director, Energy and Natural Resources at The Fraser Institute. He received his doctorate in Environmental Science and Engineering from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), a M.S. in Molecular Genetics from San Diego State University, and a B.S. Biology from UCLA. Dr. Green has studied public policy involving risk, regulation, and the environment for more than 16 years at public policy research institutions across North America. Ken has testified before several state legislatures and regulatory agencies, as well as giving testimony to a variety of committees of the U.S. House and Senate. 132 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 133. Supporting the Fraser Institute To learn how to support the Fraser Institute, please contact Development Department, The Fraser Institute, Fourth Floor, 1770 Burrard Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada V6J 3G7 telephone, toll-free: 1.800.665.3558 ext. 586 e-mail: development@fraserinstitute.org Purpose, funding, and independence The Fraser Institute provides a useful public service. We report objective information about the economic and social effects of current public policies, and we offer evidence-based research and education about pol- icy options that can improve the quality of life. The Institute is a non-profit organization. Our activities are funded by charitable donations, unrestricted grants, ticket sales and sponsorships from events, the licensing of products for public distribution, and the sale of publications. All research is subject to rigorous review by external experts, and is conducted and published separately from the Institute’s Board of Trustees and its donors. The opinions expressed by staff or author(s) are those of the individuals themselves, and should not be inter- preted to reflect those of the Institute, its Board of Trustees, or its donors and supporters. As a healthy part of public discussion among fellow citizens who desire to improve the lives of people through better public policy, the Institute welcomes evidence-focused scrutiny of the research we publish, including verification of data sources, replication of analytical methods, and intelligent debate about the practical effects of policy recommendations. 2012/2013 Survey of Mining Companies 133
  • 134. Lifetime Patrons For their long-standing and valuable support contributing to the success of the Fraser Institute, the follow- ing people have been recognized and inducted as Lifetime Patrons of the Fraser Institute. Sonja Bata Raymond Heung Charles Barlow Bill Korol Ev Berg Bill Mackness Art Grunder Fred Mannix Jim Chaplin Jack Pirie Serge Darkazanli Con Riley John Dobson Catherine Windels Editorial Advisory Board Professor Terry L. Anderson Professor Michael Parkin Professor Robert Barro Professor Friedrich Schneider Professor Michael Bliss Professor Lawrence B. Smith Professor Jean-Pierre Centi Dr. Vito Tanzi Professor John Chant Professor Bev Dahlby Past members Professor Erwin Diewert Professor Armen Alchian* Professor Stephen Easton Professor James M. Buchanan*† Professor J.C. Herbert Emery Professor Friedrich A. Hayek*† Professor Jack L. Granatstein Professor H. G. Johnson* Professor Herbert G. Grubel Professor F. G. Pennance* Professor James Gwartney Professor George Stigler*† Professor Ronald W. Jones Professor Edwin G. West* Dr. Jerry Jordan Sir Alan Walters* Professor Ross McKitrick * Deceased † Nobel Laureate 134 www.fraserinstitute.org
  • 135. The Fraser Institute’s Annual Survey of Mining Companies Print copies of The Fraser Institute’s Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2011/2012 are available for order. If you would like to receive a copy of this report, or of previous editions, please complete and return the fol- lowing form: # Copies ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2012/2013 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2011/2012 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2010/2011 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2009/2010 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2008/2009 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2007/2008 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2006/2007 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2005/2006 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2004/2005 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2003/2004 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2002/2003 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2001/2002 $40.00 ___ Fraser Institute Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2000/2001 $20.00 To cover shipping and handling costs, please include $10.00 for 1 book and $1.00 for each additional book. Canadian residents add 5% GST to the total. GST#R119233823. Name ________________________________________________________________________________ Title _________________________________________________________________________________ Organization __________________________________________________________________________ Address ______________________________________________________________________________ City __________________________________________________________________________________ Province/State Postal/Zip Code __________________________________________________________ I have enclosed a cheque for $ ______________________________ payable to The Fraser Institute, or please charge my credit card: q Visa q Mastercard q American Express Card # ________________________________________________ Exp. Date ____________ / _____________ Signature /Date ____________________________________________________________________________ If you would like to participate in The Fraser Institute’s Annual Survey of Mining Companies 2013/2014, please respond before September 3, 2013, and indicate here: q Yes, my opinion counts! Please include me in next year’s survey. Send completed forms to: Mining Survey Co-ordinator, Centre for Energy and Natural Resources The Fraser Institute, 4th Floor, 1770 Burrard Street Vancouver, BC, Canada V6J 3G7 or fax: (604) 688-8539