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NEURAL NETWORKS WITH
ANTICIPATION:
PROBLEMS AND
PROSPECTS

   Alexander MAKARENKO
   Institute for Applied System Analysis at
   National Technical University of Ukraine
   (KPI)
INTRODUCTION
Nonlinear networks science
(problems and effects):
stability
bifurcations
chaos
sinchronisation
turbulence
chimera states
MODELS AND SYSTEMS
(RECENTLY):
coupled oscillators
coupled maps
neural networks
cellular automata
o.d.e. system
………
MAINLY of NEUTRAL or
WITH DELAY
ANTICIPATION
 Neural network learning (Sutton, Barto,
  1982)
 Control theory (Pyragas, 2000?)
 Neuroscience (1970-1980,… , 2009)
 Traffic investigations and models (1980,
  …, 2008)
 Biology (R. Rosen, 1950- 60- ….)
 Informatics, physics, cellular automata,
  etc. (D. Dubois, 1982 - ….)
 Models of society (Makarenko, 1998 - …)
ANTICIPATION
   The anticipation property is that the individual
    makes a decision accounting the future states of
    the system [1].
   One of the consequences is that the accounting
    for an anticipatory property leads to advanced
    mathematical models. Since 1992 starting from
    cellular automata the incursive relation had been
    introduced by D. Dubois for the case when
   „the values of of state X(t+1) at time t+1 depends
    on values X(t-i) at time t-i, i=1,2,…, the value X(t)
    at time t and the value X(t+j) at time t+j, j=1,2,…
    as the function of command vector p‟ [1].
ANTICIPATION
   In the simplest cases of discrete systems this
    leads to the formal dynamic equations (for the
    case of discrete time t=0, 1, ..., n, ... and finite
    number of elements M):
    si (t 1) Gi ({si (t )},...,{si (t g (i))}, R),



   where R is the set of external parameters
    (environment, control), {si(t)} the state of the
    system at a moment of time t (i=1, 2, …, M), g(i)
    horizon of forecasting, {G} set of nonlinear
    functions for evolution of the elements states.
“In the same way, the hyperincursion is an
extension of the hyper recursion in which several
different solutions can be generated at each time
step” [1, p.98].

According [1] the anticipation may be of „weak‟ type
(with predictive model for future states of system,
the case which had been considered by R. Rosen)
and of „strong‟ type when the system cannot make
predictions.
HOPFIELD TYPE NETWORK
WITH ANTICIPATION
SOME EXAMPLES OF
MODELS

x j (n 1) f      w ji xi (n)     w ji xi (n 1)

                  N              N
x j (n 1) f (1   ) w ji xi (n)        w ji xi (n 1)
                  i1             i1
EXAMPLE OF ACTIVATION
FUNCTION
          0, якщо x 0
 f ( x)   x, якщо x [0,1)
          1, якщо x 1
Network with 2 coupled neurons
   Single-valued periodicity
Neuronert with 2 neuroons
                  1,2          Multi-valued ciclicity
                    1


                  0,8
2 нейрон




                  0,6


                  0,4


                  0,2


                    0
           -0,2          0       0,2   0,4      0,6   0,8   1   1,2
                  -0,2
                                         1 нейрон
Netework with 6 neurons. Ciclicity
Network with 8 neurons
The influence on anticipation
parameter
PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS
RESEARCH DIRECTIONS
   I. General investigations of abstract
    mathematical objects:
   Definitions of regimes:
   Periodicity;
   Chaos;
   Solitons;
   Chimera states;
   Bifurcations;
    Attractors;
   Etc.
RESEARCH DIRECTIONS
 II. Investigation of concrete models and
  solutions
 In artificial neural networks
 In cellular automata
 In coupled maps
 Solitons, traveling waves
 Self-organization
 Collapses
 Etc.
RESEARCH DIRECTIONS
   III. Interpretations and applications

   Traffic modeling
   Crowds movement
   Socio- economical systems
   Control applications
   Neuroscience
   Conscious problem
   Physics
   IT
REFERENCES
1. Dubois D. Generation of fractals from incursive automata, digital
diffusion and wave equation systems. BioSystems, 43 (1997) 97-114.

2 Makarenko A., Goldengorin B. , Krushinski D. Game „Life‟ with
Anticipation Property. Proceed. ACRI 2008, Lecture Notes Computer
Science, N. 5191, Springer, Berlin-Heidelberg, 2008. p. 77-82

3. B. Goldengorin, D.Krushinski, A. Makarenko Synchronization of
Movement for Large – Scale Crowd. In: Recent Advances in Nonlinear
Dynamics and Synchronization: Theory and applications. Eds. Kyamakya
K., Halang W.A., Unger H., Chedjou J.C., Rulkov N.F.. Li Z., Springer,
Berlin/Heidelberg, 2009 277 – 303

4. Makarenko A., Stashenko A. (2006) Some two- steps discrete-time
anticipatory models with „boiling‟ multivaluedness. AIP Conference

Proceedings, vol.839, ed. Daniel M. Dubois, USA, pp.265-272.

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Neural Networks with Anticipation: Problems and Prospects

  • 1. NEURAL NETWORKS WITH ANTICIPATION: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS Alexander MAKARENKO Institute for Applied System Analysis at National Technical University of Ukraine (KPI)
  • 2. INTRODUCTION Nonlinear networks science (problems and effects): stability bifurcations chaos sinchronisation turbulence chimera states
  • 3. MODELS AND SYSTEMS (RECENTLY): coupled oscillators coupled maps neural networks cellular automata o.d.e. system ……… MAINLY of NEUTRAL or WITH DELAY
  • 4. ANTICIPATION  Neural network learning (Sutton, Barto, 1982)  Control theory (Pyragas, 2000?)  Neuroscience (1970-1980,… , 2009)  Traffic investigations and models (1980, …, 2008)  Biology (R. Rosen, 1950- 60- ….)  Informatics, physics, cellular automata, etc. (D. Dubois, 1982 - ….)  Models of society (Makarenko, 1998 - …)
  • 5. ANTICIPATION  The anticipation property is that the individual makes a decision accounting the future states of the system [1].  One of the consequences is that the accounting for an anticipatory property leads to advanced mathematical models. Since 1992 starting from cellular automata the incursive relation had been introduced by D. Dubois for the case when  „the values of of state X(t+1) at time t+1 depends on values X(t-i) at time t-i, i=1,2,…, the value X(t) at time t and the value X(t+j) at time t+j, j=1,2,… as the function of command vector p‟ [1].
  • 6. ANTICIPATION  In the simplest cases of discrete systems this leads to the formal dynamic equations (for the case of discrete time t=0, 1, ..., n, ... and finite number of elements M): si (t 1) Gi ({si (t )},...,{si (t g (i))}, R),   where R is the set of external parameters (environment, control), {si(t)} the state of the system at a moment of time t (i=1, 2, …, M), g(i) horizon of forecasting, {G} set of nonlinear functions for evolution of the elements states.
  • 7. “In the same way, the hyperincursion is an extension of the hyper recursion in which several different solutions can be generated at each time step” [1, p.98]. According [1] the anticipation may be of „weak‟ type (with predictive model for future states of system, the case which had been considered by R. Rosen) and of „strong‟ type when the system cannot make predictions.
  • 9. SOME EXAMPLES OF MODELS x j (n 1) f w ji xi (n) w ji xi (n 1) N N x j (n 1) f (1 ) w ji xi (n) w ji xi (n 1) i1 i1
  • 10. EXAMPLE OF ACTIVATION FUNCTION 0, якщо x 0 f ( x) x, якщо x [0,1) 1, якщо x 1
  • 11. Network with 2 coupled neurons Single-valued periodicity
  • 12. Neuronert with 2 neuroons 1,2 Multi-valued ciclicity 1 0,8 2 нейрон 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 -0,2 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1 1,2 -0,2 1 нейрон
  • 13. Netework with 6 neurons. Ciclicity
  • 14. Network with 8 neurons
  • 15. The influence on anticipation parameter
  • 17. RESEARCH DIRECTIONS  I. General investigations of abstract mathematical objects:  Definitions of regimes:  Periodicity;  Chaos;  Solitons;  Chimera states;  Bifurcations;  Attractors;  Etc.
  • 18. RESEARCH DIRECTIONS  II. Investigation of concrete models and solutions  In artificial neural networks  In cellular automata  In coupled maps  Solitons, traveling waves  Self-organization  Collapses  Etc.
  • 19. RESEARCH DIRECTIONS  III. Interpretations and applications  Traffic modeling  Crowds movement  Socio- economical systems  Control applications  Neuroscience  Conscious problem  Physics  IT
  • 20. REFERENCES 1. Dubois D. Generation of fractals from incursive automata, digital diffusion and wave equation systems. BioSystems, 43 (1997) 97-114. 2 Makarenko A., Goldengorin B. , Krushinski D. Game „Life‟ with Anticipation Property. Proceed. ACRI 2008, Lecture Notes Computer Science, N. 5191, Springer, Berlin-Heidelberg, 2008. p. 77-82 3. B. Goldengorin, D.Krushinski, A. Makarenko Synchronization of Movement for Large – Scale Crowd. In: Recent Advances in Nonlinear Dynamics and Synchronization: Theory and applications. Eds. Kyamakya K., Halang W.A., Unger H., Chedjou J.C., Rulkov N.F.. Li Z., Springer, Berlin/Heidelberg, 2009 277 – 303 4. Makarenko A., Stashenko A. (2006) Some two- steps discrete-time anticipatory models with „boiling‟ multivaluedness. AIP Conference Proceedings, vol.839, ed. Daniel M. Dubois, USA, pp.265-272.