Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, Applied to the Temperature Control in a Smart Building, Luis LOPEZ
1 like875 views
The document discusses the application of an ISO 31000-compliant resilience engineering method for temperature control in smart buildings, presented at the 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference 2016. It highlights the integration of the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) and Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) to improve resilience and risk management in smart building systems. The conclusions emphasize the method's value in assessing resilience and supporting communication among experts and non-experts.
![6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Combination FRAM FMEA
“Resilience Engineering complements existing safety methods. It offers a different
perspective, but is not intended to be a wholesale replacement” [7].
FMEA
FMEA
FMEA
Systemic view
“The FRAM way”
“The FMEA way”
L*I=RPV
Single components view](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/operationalization-of-an-iso-31000compliant-resilience-engineering-method-applied-to-the-temperature-160830160051/85/Operationalization-of-an-ISO-31000-Compliant-Resilience-Engineering-Method-Applied-to-the-Temperature-Control-in-a-Smart-Building-Luis-LOPEZ-5-320.jpg)
![6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
[1] International Organization for Standardization, ISO 37151:20015 Smart
community infrastructures — Principles and requirements for performance metrics,
2015 (2015).
[2] International Organization for Standardization, Guide 73b Risk Management —
Vocabulary, ISO Stand. (2009) 15.
[3] A. Zolli, A.M. Healy, Resilience, Why Things Bounce Back, London, 2012.
[4] B. Walker, C.S. Holling, S.R. Carpenter, A. Kinzig, Resilience, adaptability and
transformability in social-ecological systems, Ecol. Soc. 9 (2004). doi:5.
[5] E. Hollnagel, J. Pariès, D.D. Woods, J. Wreathhall, Resilience Engineering in Practice:
a Guidebook, Ashgate, Surrey, 2011.
[6] R.W. Scholz, Y.B. Blumer, F.S. Brand, Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and
resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective, J. Risk Res. 15 (2011) 313–330.
doi:10.1080/13669877.2011.634522.
[7] E. Hollnagel, FRAM: the Functional Resonanace Analysis Method, Ashgate, Surrey,
2012.
[8] R. Mock, Risk Assessment: Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, in: Safe Des. Oper.
Chem. Process Ind. African Reg., Wuppertal, 2015.
Works Cited](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/operationalization-of-an-iso-31000compliant-resilience-engineering-method-applied-to-the-temperature-160830160051/85/Operationalization-of-an-ISO-31000-Compliant-Resilience-Engineering-Method-Applied-to-the-Temperature-Control-in-a-Smart-Building-Luis-LOPEZ-15-320.jpg)
![6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Risk Management, Concepts
The ability of a system to absorb shock,
reorganize and return to a functional state [4]
[5]
Resilience Engineering:
“intrinsic properties of
something resulting in
susceptibility to a risk
source that can lead to
an event with a
consequence”
Vulnerability
The ability of the system to defend itself
against risks, it is the hardness of the system
[3], or its capability not to collapse.
Robustness
The effect of
uncertainty
on objectives
Risk
Enhanced technological
performance [...] to contribute to
sustainable development and
resilience.
Smart
Sustainability
Environment, Social, Economic](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/operationalization-of-an-iso-31000compliant-resilience-engineering-method-applied-to-the-temperature-160830160051/85/Operationalization-of-an-ISO-31000-Compliant-Resilience-Engineering-Method-Applied-to-the-Temperature-Control-in-a-Smart-Building-Luis-LOPEZ-17-320.jpg)
![6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Risk Assessment: FMEA (ISO 31000)
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
L
x
I
RPV
= Source: [8]](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/operationalization-of-an-iso-31000compliant-resilience-engineering-method-applied-to-the-temperature-160830160051/85/Operationalization-of-an-ISO-31000-Compliant-Resilience-Engineering-Method-Applied-to-the-Temperature-Control-in-a-Smart-Building-Luis-LOPEZ-19-320.jpg)
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, Applied to the Temperature Control in a Smart Building, Luis LOPEZ
- 1. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, Applied to the Temperature Control in a Smart Building Luis López lopz@zhaw.ch Ralf Mock mock@zhaw.ch Christian Zipper zipp@zhaw.ch ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur, Switzerland Please add your logo here
- 2. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Evolution Risk Management FMEA ISO 31000 FRAM Why Resilience?
- 3. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Objectives
- 4. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Bringing everything together Method for Resilience Engineering FRAM Method for Risk Management (ISO 31000 Compliant) FMEA • Single components of the system • “What went wrong?” • Quantitative (historical data) • Whole system view • “Why did it go right?” • Work as done (always changing)Source: tagtoys.com
- 5. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Combination FRAM FMEA “Resilience Engineering complements existing safety methods. It offers a different perspective, but is not intended to be a wholesale replacement” [7]. FMEA FMEA FMEA Systemic view “The FRAM way” “The FMEA way” L*I=RPV Single components view
- 6. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Case Study: Smart Building weather forecast move window cooling heating blinds window sensorblinds sensor indoors thermometer outdoors thermometer cloud and internet services two-person household actuators energy storage energy resources disturbances from outside (hackers) sensors
- 7. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org FRAM Status Smart
- 8. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Combination FRAM FMEA - Resonance
- 9. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Results Smart Without Disturbances Nr. Function (type - name) Failure Mode L I RPV Potential consequence S5 2 Variable Sudden change F16O1 9 6 54 can cause health effects to users S16 5 Actuator No F06O01 (function deactivated) 4 8 32 can cause health effects to users S17 6 Indis- pensable No F17O1 Internet connection 7 4 28 increased energy consumption / discomfort S18 6 Indis- pensable No F17O1 Internet connection 7 4 28 leads to failure 6 S19 7 Sensor Inaccurate F08O01 (indoors temperature reading) 8 6 48 increased energy consumption / discomfort
- 10. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org FRAM FMEA – Smart with Disturbances
- 11. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Results Smart with Disturbances
- 12. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Conclusions Case Study OK!SmartToday
- 13. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Conclusions Method ≈FRAM promises resonance analysis, in practice is difficult to identify ≈Is FRAM a suited method for large infrastructure projects? ISO 31000 compliant approach to semi- quantitatively assess resilience. FMEA FRAM FMEA gains accuracy with historical data and supports systems audits FRAM is a useful tool to communicate with experts and non-experts
- 14. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Thank you for your attention! Questions? Luis Lopez lopz@zhaw.ch
- 15. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org [1] International Organization for Standardization, ISO 37151:20015 Smart community infrastructures — Principles and requirements for performance metrics, 2015 (2015). [2] International Organization for Standardization, Guide 73b Risk Management — Vocabulary, ISO Stand. (2009) 15. [3] A. Zolli, A.M. Healy, Resilience, Why Things Bounce Back, London, 2012. [4] B. Walker, C.S. Holling, S.R. Carpenter, A. Kinzig, Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems, Ecol. Soc. 9 (2004). doi:5. [5] E. Hollnagel, J. Pariès, D.D. Woods, J. Wreathhall, Resilience Engineering in Practice: a Guidebook, Ashgate, Surrey, 2011. [6] R.W. Scholz, Y.B. Blumer, F.S. Brand, Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective, J. Risk Res. 15 (2011) 313–330. doi:10.1080/13669877.2011.634522. [7] E. Hollnagel, FRAM: the Functional Resonanace Analysis Method, Ashgate, Surrey, 2012. [8] R. Mock, Risk Assessment: Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, in: Safe Des. Oper. Chem. Process Ind. African Reg., Wuppertal, 2015. Works Cited
- 16. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org 16 Resilience: How to Avoid Breakdown Impact Evaluation 1 System works normally 2 System works almost normally 3 First signs of abnormality in system's flow 4 Performance of the system decreased 5 System can cope but with increased stress to adjacent functions 6 System can cope but with increased stress to adjacent and upstream functions 7 System can barely cope 8 System on the brink of collapse 9 System breakdown but quickly repairable 10 System breakdown failure longer than one week
- 17. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Risk Management, Concepts The ability of a system to absorb shock, reorganize and return to a functional state [4] [5] Resilience Engineering: “intrinsic properties of something resulting in susceptibility to a risk source that can lead to an event with a consequence” Vulnerability The ability of the system to defend itself against risks, it is the hardness of the system [3], or its capability not to collapse. Robustness The effect of uncertainty on objectives Risk Enhanced technological performance [...] to contribute to sustainable development and resilience. Smart Sustainability Environment, Social, Economic
- 18. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Risk Assessment: FMEA FMEA Table & Risk Matrix Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
- 19. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Risk Assessment: FMEA (ISO 31000) Failure Mode and Effects Analysis L x I RPV = Source: [8]
- 20. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Functional Resonance Analysis Method • Graphical representation of systems • Work as done vs work as imagined • Variability of the output / propagation • Qualitative (!)
- 21. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Smart Building smart smart cities smart buildings temperature control
- 22. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Transition to Smart Building Current Building RP0 t0 Smart Building RP1 t1 Transition towards sustainability & resiliency
- 23. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Case Study: Smart Building Temperature Control Status Today • Current Building • Risk Profile (RP0) • Time 2015 (t0)
- 24. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org FRAM Status Today
- 25. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org FRAM FMEA – Status Today
- 26. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Case Study: Smart Building Temperature Control Status Smart • Smart Building • Risk Profile (RP1) • Time 2025 (t1) energy Storage cooling heating blinds move windowwindow sensor blinds sensor indoors thermometer outdoors thermometer weather forecast internet connection user 2 user 1 actuator sensor master node variable indispensable background Types of functions: energy
Editor's Notes
- #5: Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA)
- #6: Risk Priority Number (RPN)
- #9: Verspricht es Anwendung schwierig zu finden.
- #10: Combo – Smart Alles O.K. Muss aber Internet vorhanden sein Interaktion Mesnch-Maschine kann problematisch sein.
- #11: Verspricht es Anwendung schwierig zu finden.
- #12: Combo – Smart Alles O.K. Muss aber Internet vorhanden sein Interaktion Mesnch-Maschine kann problematisch sein.
- #13: Ersilience analyse komplexe systeme Eignet sich die methode grossen infrastrukturen Im prinzip ja aber nuicht einfach Ausblick welche möglichkeiten Quick and dirty methode Interesse and komplexe systeme gering Tage wochen nicht länger unterschiedlich als Paper für ESREL Titel... Autoren... Abstract review
- #14: Ersilience analyse komplexe systeme Eignet sich die methode grossen infrastrukturen Im prinzip ja aber nuicht einfach Ausblick welche möglichkeiten Quick and dirty methode Interesse and komplexe systeme gering Tage wochen nicht länger unterschiedlich als Paper für ESREL Titel... Autoren... Abstract review
- #15: Werbung Bücher
- #22: Beispiel für moderne infrastruktru Einfaches beispiel Methide testen Nahchert projeklte wie I4.0 Komplexe Infrastruktur IoT