![‘‘Illegal fishing in Australia’s northern waters has
increased dramaKcally in the past five years.
More than 240 foreign vessels –most of them
Indonesian – have been apprehended this year
for fishing illegally… Illegal fishing depletes fish
stocks and poses serious environmental,
quaranKne and security risks to Australia’’ [56].
Rosen and Olsson 2013](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/olssonsersdfeb2016mondo-160304075540/85/Per-Olsson-Transformation-lecture-72-320.jpg)
Per Olsson Transformation lecture
- 5. TextText A safe and just space for humanity Source: Oxfam
- 6. TextText A safe and just space for humanity World Social Science Report 2013
- 8. Adaptability and Transformability • ADAPTABILITY is the capacity of a SES to adjust its responses to changing external drivers and internal processes and thereby allow for development within the current stability domain, along the current trajectory. • TRANSFORMABILITY is the capacity to create new stability domains for development, a new stability landscape, and cross thresholds into a new development trajectory.” Walker et al. 2004, Folke et al. 2010
- 10. “…some now consider it easier to accept future temperature increases of up to 4 °C or more within this century (along with other environmental and social changes) than to pursue transformative strategies to avoid such changes.” O’Brian (2012)
- 12. 1TransformaKon
- 15. LimitaKons with exisKng frameworks • Tends to miss the ecological dimension of such shifts addressing only the social dimension will not be sufficient to guide society toward sustainable outcomes. • Societies may undergo major transformations without improving their capacity to learn from, respond to, and manage environmental feedback from dynamic ecosystems Olsson et al. 2014
- 19. Prepare Window of Opportunity Navigate Stabilize
- 22. Preparing for transformation • Engage stakeholders to identify dysfunctional states and raise awareness of problems • Identify thresholds, plausible alternative states, pathways, and triggers • Identify the barriers to change, potential change agents, and strategies to overcome barriers • Build strategic networks Navigating the transition • Identify potential crises and use them as opportunities to initiate change • Maintain flexible strategies and transparency • Foster institutions that facilitate cross-scale and cross-organizational interactions and stakeholder participation Building resilience of the new regime • Create incentives and foster values for stewardship in the new context • Initiate and mobilize social networks of key individuals for problem- solving • Foster interactions and support of decision makers at other levels
- 23. M. Leach 2012
- 24. Olsson et al 2004 Triggers
- 25. Transformations in a water management regime in the Tiscza River, Hungary
- 27. Transformations in a water management regime in the Tiscza River, Hungary Sendzimir et al 2008
- 28. Shadow networks Olsson et al. 2006 • Characterized by political independence and out of the fray of regulation and implementation • Incubators - places to develop alternative policies, dare to learn from each other, and think creatively about how to resolve resource problems • Their ability to link in to the formal political arenas and networks at different levels
- 29. Exercise
- 36. Gelcich et al. 2010
- 38. Exercise • Apply the transition management framework to create a timeline of the development of the governance transformation in Chile • Identify significant events and transition points. Think about political, social, cultural, economic, and ecological aspects. • Observe and analyze relationships across time and scales - success or failure at one level might be explained by opportunities or barriers at other levels – alignment, breakthrough or falling apart, accomplishments, crisis, failures, etc.
- 39. 2Scaling
- 48. Changing the system dynamics that created the problem in the first place A social innovaKon is any iniKaKve, product, process, program or design that challenges and, over Kme, changes, the defining rou$nes, resource and authority flows or beliefs of the broader social system in which it is introduced. Successful social innovaKons have durability, scale and transformaKve impact.
- 50. Veta la Palma - Integrated Fish Farm
- 56. Bricolage - drawn from the junk collectors in France and defined as making creative and resourceful use of whatever materials are at hand - regardless of their original purpose Recombining existing and new ideas to form something novel (Levi- Strauss 1962)
- 61. Exercise!
- 64. 3Agency
- 69. Key Actors • Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Papua New Guinea, Timor Leste, Solomon Islands • ConservaKon InternaKonal, CI, WorldWildlifeFund, WWF, Nature Conservancy, TNC • Asian Development Bank, ADB • Asian Pacific Economic CooperaKon, APEC • Global Environment Facility, GEF • United States Agency for InternaKonal Development, USAID Coral Triangle IniEaEve (CTI) an internaKonal agreement and partnership for ecosystem- based management of coastal and marine resources in the Coral Triangle. Nexus – climate change, biodiversity and food security