SlideShare a Scribd company logo
ProductEnd
Dates
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
EndsWorkshop
Services 2 week holiday, 3
year degree,
Pay As You Go, Points
on your driving license
Parcel delivered, boiler
fixed, car serviced,
concert watched,
operation successful,
money transferred
Expectation cut short.

Break the contract,
leave the film early.
A pension that you no
longer pay into. An
unused gym
membership.
Move outside of
covered area.
Writing letters.
Rag&Bone man

Waiting
Bigger, Better, Faster
Products Sell by Date
Warranty
Battery Empty Used disposable items Product Broken Old non-fitting clothes.
E-Waste old phones in
draws.

Changing
demographic/age
Items in loft Kindle
Sliver Cross Pram
Top Loading Washing
Machine
Bigger, Better, Faster
Digital 1 year software
subscription,
Gems in Clash of Clans Game completed Provider has shut
down, sold out, gone
bust.
App deleted yet service
capturing data. Unused
email accounts.

Social media
comments and images
Apple to Android
GDPR and LA Times
MySpace
Yahoo
AOL
Bigger, Better, Faster
Ending types.
8 types of ending experienced by consumers
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering Proximity
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Style/Trends Competition
CCO by Ryan Stone
PolaroidPic-300InstantFilm
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
Warranty 1 year
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Battery Exhaustion
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
Battery Exhaustion
8
Broken:(Mtbf)
MeanTimeBetweenFailures
The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under
specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time.
Decreasing
Failure Rate
Constant Failure
Rate
Increasing Failure
Rate
Key
Observed Failure Rate
Constant (random) Failures
Wear Out Failures
Early Failure
Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc.
FailureRate
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Time
9
The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under
specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time.
Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc.
PercentageR(t)
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Hours (in millions)
1
0
0.5
0.75
0.25
“Although the MTBF is 1 million
hours, the R(t) = e-λt curve,
shown in the graph below, tells
us that only 36.7% of units are
statistically likely to operate for
this long. 60.6% can be
expected to operate for
500,000 hours, and further we
can expect 90.5% to last for a
lifetime of 100,000 hours.”
0.367
0.606
0.905
1 2 3 4 5
57 years
11 years
Broken:(Mtbf)
MeanTimeBetweenFailures
10
The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under
specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time.
Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc.
PercentageR(t)
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Hours (in millions)
1
0
0.5
0.75
0.25
“Although the MTBF is 1 million
hours, the R(t) = e-λt curve,
shown in the graph below, tells
us that only 36.7% of units are
statistically likely to operate for
this long. 60.6% can be
expected to operate for
500,000 hours, and further we
can expect 90.5% to last for a
lifetime of 100,000 hours.”
0.367
0.606
0.905
1 2 3 4 5
57 years
11 years
ButThisIsFor1
Component
Broken:(Mtbf)
MeanTimeBetweenFailures
11
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
“On average, consumers expect
most CE products to last
approximately five years.”
www.cta.tech
Broken:Expectation
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
Battery Exhaustion
13
Lingering:DemographicChange
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic.
Battery Exhaustion
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic.
Battery Exhaustion
16
Style:
Pantone’s Colour Of The Year Over The Last Few Years.
Bellacor Has Observed These Trends In 5 Year Cycles.
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic.
Battery Exhaustion
5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor.
CCO by Ryan Stone
Competition
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic.
Battery Exhaustion
5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor.
Returned in warranty or opportunity when product ends elsewhere.
Time out
Exhaustion
/Credit Out
Task / Event
completion
Broken /
Withdrawal
Lingering
Proximity
Style
Weeks Years DecadesMonths
ProductEndDates
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4
andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
Competition
Warranty 60 days
12x Images
Warranty 1 year
Take a photo. 10 mins
5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip
Failure of many chips 11 years
4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic.
Battery Exhaustion
5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor.
Returned in warranty or opportunity when product ends elsewhere.

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Product End Dates. Ends Workshop.

  • 1. ProductEnd Dates andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co EndsWorkshop
  • 2. Services 2 week holiday, 3 year degree, Pay As You Go, Points on your driving license Parcel delivered, boiler fixed, car serviced, concert watched, operation successful, money transferred Expectation cut short.
 Break the contract, leave the film early. A pension that you no longer pay into. An unused gym membership. Move outside of covered area. Writing letters. Rag&Bone man
 Waiting Bigger, Better, Faster Products Sell by Date Warranty Battery Empty Used disposable items Product Broken Old non-fitting clothes. E-Waste old phones in draws.
 Changing demographic/age Items in loft Kindle Sliver Cross Pram Top Loading Washing Machine Bigger, Better, Faster Digital 1 year software subscription, Gems in Clash of Clans Game completed Provider has shut down, sold out, gone bust. App deleted yet service capturing data. Unused email accounts.
 Social media comments and images Apple to Android GDPR and LA Times MySpace Yahoo AOL Bigger, Better, Faster Ending types. 8 types of ending experienced by consumers Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Style/Trends Competition
  • 3. CCO by Ryan Stone PolaroidPic-300InstantFilm andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
  • 4. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition
  • 5. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days Warranty 1 year
  • 6. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Battery Exhaustion
  • 7. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins Battery Exhaustion
  • 8. 8 Broken:(Mtbf) MeanTimeBetweenFailures The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time. Decreasing Failure Rate Constant Failure Rate Increasing Failure Rate Key Observed Failure Rate Constant (random) Failures Wear Out Failures Early Failure Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc. FailureRate andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Time
  • 9. 9 The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time. Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc. PercentageR(t) andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Hours (in millions) 1 0 0.5 0.75 0.25 “Although the MTBF is 1 million hours, the R(t) = e-λt curve, shown in the graph below, tells us that only 36.7% of units are statistically likely to operate for this long. 60.6% can be expected to operate for 500,000 hours, and further we can expect 90.5% to last for a lifetime of 100,000 hours.” 0.367 0.606 0.905 1 2 3 4 5 57 years 11 years Broken:(Mtbf) MeanTimeBetweenFailures
  • 10. 10 The probability that an individual unit of the product, operating under specified conditions, will work correctly for a specified length of time. Jeff Smoot. CUI Global Inc. PercentageR(t) andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Hours (in millions) 1 0 0.5 0.75 0.25 “Although the MTBF is 1 million hours, the R(t) = e-λt curve, shown in the graph below, tells us that only 36.7% of units are statistically likely to operate for this long. 60.6% can be expected to operate for 500,000 hours, and further we can expect 90.5% to last for a lifetime of 100,000 hours.” 0.367 0.606 0.905 1 2 3 4 5 57 years 11 years ButThisIsFor1 Component Broken:(Mtbf) MeanTimeBetweenFailures
  • 11. 11 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co “On average, consumers expect most CE products to last approximately five years.” www.cta.tech Broken:Expectation
  • 12. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years Battery Exhaustion
  • 14. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years 4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic. Battery Exhaustion
  • 15. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years 4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic. Battery Exhaustion
  • 16. 16 Style: Pantone’s Colour Of The Year Over The Last Few Years. Bellacor Has Observed These Trends In 5 Year Cycles. andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
  • 17. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years 4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic. Battery Exhaustion 5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor.
  • 18. CCO by Ryan Stone Competition andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co
  • 19. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years 4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic. Battery Exhaustion 5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor. Returned in warranty or opportunity when product ends elsewhere.
  • 20. Time out Exhaustion /Credit Out Task / Event completion Broken / Withdrawal Lingering Proximity Style Weeks Years DecadesMonths ProductEndDates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 andEnd. Joe Macleod. @mrmacleod andEnd.co Competition Warranty 60 days 12x Images Warranty 1 year Take a photo. 10 mins 5 years. Consumer Expectations of CE product. Source www.cta.tech 57 years. Failure of a chip Failure of many chips 11 years 4 years. Target audience. Changes in demographic. Battery Exhaustion 5 years. Colour trends in 5 year cycles according to Bellacor. Returned in warranty or opportunity when product ends elsewhere.