QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for March 15, 2018 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر‎

Technical Spotlight
Sunday, January 14, 2018
1
‫اليومي‬ ‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬–‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬
Daily Technical Trader – QATAR
Thursday, March 15, 2018
QSE Index Overview QSE Index Daily Chart ‫السوق‬ ‫لمؤشر‬ ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬
As we expected, the Index
filled the price gap through a
drop in yesterday’s session.
The good news is that the
Index managed to reduce
much of its intraday losses
and closed slightly lower.
That been said, we remains
cautious on the Index until it
manages to break above the
9,000 resistance level.
‫كما‬‫توقعنا‬‫أمس‬ ‫تقرير‬ ‫في‬،
‫ومأل‬ ‫للسوق‬ ‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫انخفض‬
‫االنخفاض‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫في‬‫الفجوة‬‫السعرية‬
‫اثناء‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫على‬ ‫المتكونة‬
‫جلسة‬‫األمس‬.‫والخبر‬‫السار‬‫هو‬‫أن‬
‫المؤشر‬‫تمكن‬‫من‬‫تقليل‬‫معظم‬
‫خسائره‬‫خالل‬‫الجلسة‬.‫ومع‬،‫ذلك‬
‫فإننا‬‫ما‬‫زلنا‬‫حذرين‬‫في‬‫المؤشر‬
‫ي‬ ‫أن‬ ‫الى‬‫تمكن‬‫من‬‫اختراق‬‫مستوى‬
‫المقاومة‬‫مستوى‬ ‫فوق‬9,000
‫نقطة‬.
Expected Resistance Level:
9,000
Expected Support Level:
8,650
Market Indicators ‫السوق‬ ‫مؤشرات‬
14 Mar 13 Mar % ∆
Index Last Close 8,750.32 8,801.75 -0.58 ‫العام‬ ‫للمؤشر‬ ‫إقفال‬ ‫آخر‬
Value (QR mn) 469.9 520.3 -9.7 )‫لاير‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫المتداولة‬ ‫القيمة‬
Exchange Market
Cap. (QR bn)
475.3 480.5 -1.1
‫السوقية‬ ‫القيمة‬‫إلجمالي‬
‫االسهم‬)‫لاير‬ ‫(مليار‬
Volume (mn) 18.0 14.1 27.8 )‫سهم‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬
Number of Trans. 5,911 5,852 1.0 ‫المنفذة‬ ‫العقود‬ ‫عدد‬
Companies Traded 41 40 2.5 ‫المتداولة‬ ‫الشركات‬ ‫عدد‬
Market Breadth 16:24 22:17 – ‫السوق‬ ‫عمق‬
:‫المتوقع‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬
9,000
:‫المتوقع‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬
8,650

2
UNITED DEVELOPMENT ‫للتنمية‬ ‫المتحدة‬
Stock Overview Daily Chart ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬‫السهم‬
We expect the name to
continue with its short term
uptrend, given a certain
criteria. The price has
created a falling-wedge
formation; it is a bullish
continuation price pattern.
However, the pattern needs
to be confirmed. Risk takers
may capture the move once
the price breaks above
yesterday’s high (QR16.06),
but it is safer to wait until
the formation is confirmed
with a breakout above the
QR16.40 level.
‫نتوقع‬‫أن‬‫يستمر‬‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬‫في‬
‫اتجاهه‬‫الصعودي‬‫على‬‫المدى‬
،‫القصير‬‫ا‬ً‫ق‬‫وف‬‫لشروط‬‫معينة‬.‫فقد‬
‫كون‬‫السعر‬‫تشكيل‬falling-
wedge.‫إنه‬‫نموذج‬‫سعر‬‫ي‬
‫يرجح‬‫استمراري‬‫ة‬‫الصعود‬.‫ومع‬
،‫ذلك‬‫يجب‬‫تأكيد‬‫النمط‬‫وهو‬ ،
‫إلكتمال‬ ‫تحقيقه‬ ‫المطلوب‬ ‫الشرط‬
‫الممكن‬ ‫فمن‬ .‫السعري‬ ‫التشكيل‬
‫التقاط‬‫هذه‬‫الحركة‬‫بمجرد‬‫كسر‬
‫السعر‬‫فوق‬‫أعلى‬‫سعر‬‫ليوم‬‫أمس‬
(16.06‫لاير‬‫قطري‬)،‫ولكن‬‫من‬
‫األفضل‬‫االنتظار‬‫حتى‬‫يتم‬‫تأكيد‬
‫التشكيل‬‫عند‬‫اختراق‬‫السعر‬‫فوق‬
‫مستوى‬16.40‫لاير‬.
Expected Target Price:
QR16.80 – QR17.60
A price breakout above
QR16.06 triggers the buy
idea.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price:
QR15.50
Last Px. ‫سعر‬‫االقفال‬ % ∆ ‫التغير‬ % Volume ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬
15.90 1.60 1,862,021
Resistance/Support Levels ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬
Level 1st
‫األول‬ 2nd
‫الثاني‬ 3rd
‫الثالث‬ ‫المستوى‬
Resistance 16.06 16.80 17.60 ‫مقاومة‬
Support 15.50 14.58 13.55 ‫دعم‬
:‫المتوقعة‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األهداف‬
16.80‫لاير‬–17.60‫لاير‬
‫نرجح‬‫الشراء‬‫اختراق‬ ‫حال‬ ‫في‬
‫السعر‬‫فوق‬‫مستوى‬16.06‫لاير‬.
‫ا‬ ‫مستوى‬:‫المقترح‬ ‫الخسارة‬ ‫يقاف‬
15.50‫لاير‬

3
:‫التعريفات‬
:‫اليابانية‬ ‫الشموع‬‫مح‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أدنى‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫يحدد‬ .‫قديمة‬ ‫يابانية‬ ‫طريقة‬ ‫على‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫رسم‬ ‫طرق‬ ‫أحد‬ ‫هي‬ ‫و‬‫و‬ .‫ددة‬
‫ال‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أن‬ ‫تعني‬ ‫الملونة‬ ‫الشمعة‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلفتتاح‬ ‫بسعر‬ ‫تتحدد‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"جسم‬ ‫من‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫تتكون‬.‫البيضاء‬ ‫للشمعة‬ ‫بالنسبة‬ ‫صحيح‬ ‫عكس‬
‫ال‬ ‫شكل‬ ‫فإن‬ ,‫عامة‬ ‫بصورة‬ .‫المطلوبة‬ ‫الفترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫يحدد‬ ‫لظل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"ظل‬ ‫بـ‬ ‫يسمى‬ ‫ما‬ ‫اليابانية‬ ‫للشمعة‬‫استمرار‬ ‫من‬ ‫كثيرة‬ ‫دالالت‬ ‫له‬ ‫شمعة‬
.‫انعكاسه‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫التجاه‬
:‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬‫د‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ,‫البيع‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫على‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫المتداولين‬ ‫يشارك‬ ‫أن‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫الذي‬ ‫المستوى‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬.‫نية‬
:‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬‫ا‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫و‬ ,‫الشراء‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫بالبيع‬ ‫المتداولون‬ ‫يقوم‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫حيث‬ ,‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫عكس‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬.‫أعلى‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫لى‬
:‫البسيط‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬‫و‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫عالمات‬ ‫إعطاء‬ ‫في‬ ‫متأخر‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ‫السبب‬ ‫لهذا‬ ‫المختارة‬ ‫الفترات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محدد‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫معدل‬ ‫يحسب‬ ‫حسابي‬ ‫متوسط‬ ‫هو‬
‫ك‬ ‫أغراضا‬ ‫للمتوسطات‬ ،‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫تحليلنا‬ ‫في‬ ‫المستخدمة‬ ‫المتوسطات‬ .‫الشراء‬‫و‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫تقلبات‬ ‫حدة‬ ‫تقليل‬ ،‫تأشيري‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫لمعرفة‬ ‫أداة‬ ‫مثل‬ ،‫ثيرة‬
.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫غير‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫المستويات‬
‫ال‬ ‫عمق‬:‫سوق‬.‫معين‬ ‫يوم‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتراجعة‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫مقابل‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫على‬ ‫أقفلت‬ ‫و‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫تم‬ ‫التي‬ ‫المالية‬ ‫األوراق‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫يشير‬
( ‫التباعد‬ / ‫التقارب‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬MACD:)‫و‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫و‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫في‬ ‫التغيرات‬ ‫على‬ ‫يدل‬ ‫تداول‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬‫حسابات‬ ‫مجموعة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫من‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫زخم‬‫مكونة‬‫ثالثة‬ ‫من‬
‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫بيانات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محسوبة‬ ‫زمنية‬ ‫سالسل‬.‫التاريخية‬
( ‫النسبية‬ ‫القوة‬ ‫مؤشر‬RSI:)‫سعر‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫يقارن‬ ‫فني‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫بين‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫يتذبذب‬ .‫المتداولين‬ ‫قبل‬ ‫من‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫أو‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫منه‬ ‫محاولة‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬
‫ال‬0‫ال‬ ‫و‬100‫ال‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫قراءات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫وصول‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ,‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ ‫و‬ .‫درجة‬70‫ال‬ ‫تحت‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫مناطق‬ ‫الى‬ ‫وصل‬ ‫قد‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫بأن‬ ‫درجة‬30‫لمستويات‬ ‫درجة‬
.‫البيع‬ ‫ذروة‬
‫نمط‬:‫األسعار‬ ‫شكل‬ /‫(مث‬ ‫مختلفة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫في‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األنماط‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫تأتي‬ ‫و‬ .‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬ ‫وسط‬ ‫في‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫يتم‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫حسب‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫استقراء‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫الرأس‬ ‫ل‬
‫ونقا‬ ‫انعكاسها‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االتجاهات‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫األشكال‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫و‬ .)‫الخ‬ ،‫واألعالم‬ ،‫والمثلثات‬ ‫والكتفين‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫غيرها‬ ‫و‬ ‫والخروج‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫ط‬
:‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫انسحابات‬,‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫ليوناردو‬ ‫الرياضيات‬ ‫لعالم‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫نسبت‬‫و‬‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لسعر‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫أو‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫المناطق‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫تشير‬ ‫التي‬ ‫األفقية‬ ‫الخطوط‬ ‫هي‬
‫التالية‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫تستخدم‬ .‫السابقة‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫حركة‬ ‫أساس‬‫هي‬ ‫و‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لذلك‬ ‫السابقة‬ ‫للحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫كأهم‬ ‫للسهم‬23.6,%38.2,%50.0,%61.8%
‫ال‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫و‬100.0.‫السابقة‬ ‫الحركة‬ ‫أجزاء‬ ‫من‬ %
:‫البينية‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫و‬ ‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫محور‬‫م‬ ‫حسابات‬ ‫المحور‬ ‫لهذا‬ .‫أعاله‬ ‫المذكورة‬ ‫لالنسحابات‬ ‫تماما‬ ‫مختلف‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬‫أقل‬ ‫و‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫مع‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫عينة‬
.‫اليومي‬ ‫للتداول‬ ‫متوقعة‬ ‫بينية‬ ‫مقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫دعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫منها‬ ‫يستخلص‬ ‫السابق‬ ‫لليوم‬ ‫سعر‬

4
Definitions
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by
the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle
denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show
the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the
positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising
or causing the security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is
thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a
smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and
duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods
(we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with
a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes
(such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and
exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price
movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intraday Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From
the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

5
Contacts
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe
Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa
Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA
Head of Research
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa
Shahan Keushgerian
Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Mohamed Abo Daff
Tel: (+974) 4476 6589
mohd.abodaff@qnbfs.com.qa
Ahmed El-Khudary
Head of Trading
Tel: (+974) 4476 6533
ahmed.elkhudary@qnbfs.com.qa
Feras al-Sarraj
Head of Sales
Tel: (+974) 4476 6514
feras.alsarraj@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.)
(“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the
views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal,
tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on
the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent
professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not
independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the
information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the
right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even
contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for March 15, 2018 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر‎

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QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for March 15, 2018 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر‎