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Technical Spotlight
Sunday, January 14, 2018
1
‫اليومي‬ ‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬–‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬
Daily Technical Trader – QATAR
Wednesday, April 04, 2018
QSE Index Overview QSE Index Daily Chart ‫السوق‬ ‫لمؤشر‬ ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬
The market edged down
marginally by 0.08%.
However, the Index is
gradually moving towards the
upper end of the correction
channel. Further confirmation
is needed through a breakout
from this channel towards the
9,000 level.
‫تراجع‬‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬‫ل‬‫لسوق‬‫بشكل‬
‫طفيف‬‫بنسبة‬0.08.٪‫ومع‬‫ذلك‬،
‫فإن‬‫المؤشر‬‫يتحرك‬‫ًا‬‫ي‬‫تدريج‬‫نحو‬
‫الطرف‬‫العلوي‬‫لقناة‬‫التصحيح‬.
‫و‬‫هناك‬‫حاجة‬‫إلى‬‫مزيد‬‫من‬‫التأكيد‬
‫من‬‫خالل‬‫اختراق‬‫هذه‬‫القناة‬‫نحو‬
‫مس‬‫توى‬9000.
Expected Resistance Level:
9,000
Expected Support Level:
8,500
Market Indicators ‫السوق‬ ‫مؤشرات‬
03 Apr 02 Apr % ∆
Index Last Close 8,721.75 8,729.15 -0.1 ‫العام‬ ‫للمؤشر‬ ‫إقفال‬ ‫آخر‬
Value (QR mn) 223.2 302.5 -26.2 ‫لاير‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫المتداولة‬ ‫القيمة‬)
Exchange Market Cap.
(QR bn)
479.7 479.8 0.0
‫السوقية‬ ‫القيمة‬‫إلجمالي‬
‫االسهم‬)‫لاير‬ ‫(مليار‬
Volume (mn) 10.0 15.0 -33.3 )‫سهم‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬
Number of Trans. 4,200 3,645 15.2 ‫المنفذة‬ ‫العقود‬ ‫عدد‬
Companies Traded 44 43 2.3 ‫المتداولة‬ ‫الشركات‬ ‫عدد‬
Market Breadth 16:22 23:16 – ‫السوق‬ ‫عمق‬
:‫المتوقع‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬
9,000
:‫المتوقع‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬
8,500
2
GULF INTERNATIONAL SERVICES ‫الخليج‬‫للخدمات‬ ‫الدولية‬
Stock Overview Daily Chart ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬‫اليومي‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬‫السهم‬
The stock, which has been in
uptrend in recent sessions,
has moved up towards its
resistance level of 21.00. The
stock has formed a bearish
Harami pattern, which points
to likely downtrend in the
coming sessions.
‫ارتفع‬‫سعر‬‫السهم‬،‫الذي‬‫كان‬‫في‬
‫اتجاه‬‫صعودي‬‫خالل‬‫الجلسات‬
‫األخيرة‬،‫نحو‬‫مستوى‬‫المقاومة‬‫عند‬
21.00.‫لاير‬‫و‬‫شكل‬‫السهم‬‫نمط‬
‫انعكاسي‬‫هابط‬(Harami)،‫مما‬
‫يشير‬‫إلى‬‫اتجاه‬‫هابط‬‫محتمل‬‫في‬
‫الجلسات‬‫القادمة‬.
Expected Target Price:
QR18.72 – QR17.52
If price falls below QR19.92, it
triggers the sell idea.
Suggested Stop-Loss Level:
QR23.80
Last Px. ‫سعر‬‫االقفال‬ % ∆ ‫الت‬ %‫غير‬ Volume ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬
20.28 -0.83 563,643
Resistance/Support Levels ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬
Level 1st ‫األول‬ 2nd ‫الثاني‬ 3rd ‫الثالث‬ ‫المستوى‬
Resistance 21.00 23.80 28.10 ‫مقاومة‬
Support 19.92 18.72 16.04 ‫دعم‬
‫المتوقعة‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األهداف‬:
18.72‫لاير‬–17.52‫لاير‬
‫نرجح‬‫البيع‬‫سعر‬ ‫اختراق‬ ‫حال‬ ‫في‬
‫تحت‬ ‫السهم‬‫مستوى‬19.92‫لاير‬
‫قطري‬.
:‫المقترح‬ ‫الخسارة‬ ‫ايقاف‬ ‫مستوى‬
23.80.‫لاير‬
3
:‫التعريفات‬
:‫اليابانية‬ ‫الشموع‬‫أدن‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫يحدد‬ .‫قديمة‬ ‫يابانية‬ ‫طريقة‬ ‫على‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫رسم‬ ‫طرق‬ ‫أحد‬ ‫هي‬ ‫و‬‫و‬ .‫محددة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫ى‬
‫العك‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أن‬ ‫تعني‬ ‫الملونة‬ ‫الشمعة‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلفتتاح‬ ‫بسعر‬ ‫تتحدد‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"جسم‬ ‫من‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫تتكون‬.‫البيضاء‬ ‫للشمعة‬ ‫بالنسبة‬ ‫صحيح‬ ‫س‬
‫أق‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫يحدد‬ ‫لظل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"ظل‬ ‫بـ‬ ‫يسمى‬ ‫ما‬ ‫اليابانية‬ ‫للشمعة‬‫استمرار‬ ‫من‬ ‫كثيرة‬ ‫دالالت‬ ‫له‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫شكل‬ ‫فإن‬ ,‫عامة‬ ‫بصورة‬ .‫المطلوبة‬ ‫الفترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫ل‬
.‫انعكاسه‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫التجاه‬
:‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬‫د‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ,‫البيع‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫على‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫المتداولين‬ ‫يشارك‬ ‫أن‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫الذي‬ ‫المستوى‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬.‫نية‬
:‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬.‫أعلى‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫و‬ ,‫الشراء‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫بالبيع‬ ‫المتداولون‬ ‫يقوم‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫حيث‬ ,‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫عكس‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬
:‫البسيط‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬‫يعتبر‬ ‫السبب‬ ‫لهذا‬ ‫المختارة‬ ‫الفترات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محدد‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫معدل‬ ‫يحسب‬ ‫حسابي‬ ‫متوسط‬ ‫هو‬‫و‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫عالمات‬ ‫إعطاء‬ ‫في‬ ‫متأخر‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫هذا‬
‫تأ‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫لمعرفة‬ ‫أداة‬ ‫مثل‬ ،‫كثيرة‬ ‫أغراضا‬ ‫للمتوسطات‬ ،‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫تحليلنا‬ ‫في‬ ‫المستخدمة‬ ‫المتوسطات‬ .‫الشراء‬‫و‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫تقلبات‬ ‫حدة‬ ‫تقليل‬ ،‫شيري‬
‫االستخ‬ ‫من‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫غير‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫المستويات‬.‫دامات‬
‫ال‬ ‫عمق‬:‫سوق‬.‫معين‬ ‫يوم‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتراجعة‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫مقابل‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫على‬ ‫أقفلت‬ ‫و‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫تم‬ ‫التي‬ ‫المالية‬ ‫األوراق‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫يشير‬
( ‫التباعد‬ / ‫التقارب‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬MACD:)‫و‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫و‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫في‬ ‫التغيرات‬ ‫على‬ ‫يدل‬ ‫تداول‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬‫حسابا‬ ‫مجموعة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫من‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫زخم‬‫ت‬‫مكونة‬‫ثالثة‬ ‫من‬
‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫بيانات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محسوبة‬ ‫زمنية‬ ‫سالسل‬.‫التاريخية‬
( ‫النسبية‬ ‫القوة‬ ‫مؤشر‬RSI:)‫المؤش‬ ‫يتذبذب‬ .‫المتداولين‬ ‫قبل‬ ‫من‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫أو‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫منه‬ ‫محاولة‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫يقارن‬ ‫فني‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫بين‬ ‫ر‬
‫ال‬0‫ال‬ ‫و‬100‫بشكل‬ ‫و‬ .‫درجة‬‫ال‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫قراءات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫وصول‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ,‫عام‬70‫ال‬ ‫تحت‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫مناطق‬ ‫الى‬ ‫وصل‬ ‫قد‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫بأن‬ ‫درجة‬30‫لمستويات‬ ‫درجة‬
.‫البيع‬ ‫ذروة‬
:‫األسعار‬ ‫شكل‬ / ‫نمط‬‫أش‬ ‫في‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األنماط‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫تأتي‬ ‫و‬ .‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬ ‫وسط‬ ‫في‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫يتم‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫حسب‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫استقراء‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫الرأس‬ ‫(مثل‬ ‫مختلفة‬ ‫كال‬
‫و‬ ‫والخروج‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫ونقاط‬ ‫انعكاسها‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االتجاهات‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫األشكال‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫و‬ .)‫الخ‬ ،‫واألعالم‬ ،‫والمثلثات‬ ‫والكتفين‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫غيرها‬
:‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫انسحابات‬,‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫ليوناردو‬ ‫الرياضيات‬ ‫لعالم‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫نسبت‬‫و‬‫الخطو‬ ‫هي‬‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لسعر‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫أو‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫المناطق‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫تشير‬ ‫التي‬ ‫األفقية‬ ‫ط‬
‫هي‬ ‫و‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لذلك‬ ‫السابقة‬ ‫للحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫كأهم‬ ‫للسهم‬ ‫التالية‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫تستخدم‬ .‫السابقة‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫حركة‬ ‫أساس‬23.6,%38.2,%50.0,%61.8%
‫ال‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫و‬100.0‫الحركة‬ ‫أجزاء‬ ‫من‬ %.‫السابقة‬
:‫البينية‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫و‬ ‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫محور‬‫أقل‬ ‫و‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫مع‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫حسابات‬ ‫المحور‬ ‫لهذا‬ .‫أعاله‬ ‫المذكورة‬ ‫لالنسحابات‬ ‫تماما‬ ‫مختلف‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬
.‫اليومي‬ ‫للتداول‬ ‫متوقعة‬ ‫بينية‬ ‫مقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫دعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫منها‬ ‫يستخلص‬ ‫السابق‬ ‫لليوم‬ ‫سعر‬
4
Definitions
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the
opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing
price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low
prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low,
opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or
causing the security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an
indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a
trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we
generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI
above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as,
head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price
movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intraday Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base
Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
5
Contacts
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe
Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa
Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA
Head of Research
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa
Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Mohamed Abo Daff
Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6589
mohd.abodaff@qnbfs.com.qa
Ahmed El-Khudary
Head of Trading
Tel: (+974) 4476 6533
ahmed.elkhudary@qnbfs.com.qa
Feras al-Sarraj
Head of Sales
Tel: (+974) 4476 6514
feras.alsarraj@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (“QNB”).
QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of
QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial
advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the
investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment
decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be
accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that
respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental
Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any
time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be
reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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QNBFS Daily Technical Trader - Qatar for April 04, 2018 التحليل الفني اليومي لبورصة قطر‎

  • 1. Technical Spotlight Sunday, January 14, 2018 1 ‫اليومي‬ ‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬–‫قطر‬ ‫بورصة‬ Daily Technical Trader – QATAR Wednesday, April 04, 2018 QSE Index Overview QSE Index Daily Chart ‫السوق‬ ‫لمؤشر‬ ‫اليومي‬ ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬ The market edged down marginally by 0.08%. However, the Index is gradually moving towards the upper end of the correction channel. Further confirmation is needed through a breakout from this channel towards the 9,000 level. ‫تراجع‬‫العام‬ ‫المؤشر‬‫ل‬‫لسوق‬‫بشكل‬ ‫طفيف‬‫بنسبة‬0.08.٪‫ومع‬‫ذلك‬، ‫فإن‬‫المؤشر‬‫يتحرك‬‫ًا‬‫ي‬‫تدريج‬‫نحو‬ ‫الطرف‬‫العلوي‬‫لقناة‬‫التصحيح‬. ‫و‬‫هناك‬‫حاجة‬‫إلى‬‫مزيد‬‫من‬‫التأكيد‬ ‫من‬‫خالل‬‫اختراق‬‫هذه‬‫القناة‬‫نحو‬ ‫مس‬‫توى‬9000. Expected Resistance Level: 9,000 Expected Support Level: 8,500 Market Indicators ‫السوق‬ ‫مؤشرات‬ 03 Apr 02 Apr % ∆ Index Last Close 8,721.75 8,729.15 -0.1 ‫العام‬ ‫للمؤشر‬ ‫إقفال‬ ‫آخر‬ Value (QR mn) 223.2 302.5 -26.2 ‫لاير‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫المتداولة‬ ‫القيمة‬) Exchange Market Cap. (QR bn) 479.7 479.8 0.0 ‫السوقية‬ ‫القيمة‬‫إلجمالي‬ ‫االسهم‬)‫لاير‬ ‫(مليار‬ Volume (mn) 10.0 15.0 -33.3 )‫سهم‬ ‫(مليون‬ ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬ Number of Trans. 4,200 3,645 15.2 ‫المنفذة‬ ‫العقود‬ ‫عدد‬ Companies Traded 44 43 2.3 ‫المتداولة‬ ‫الشركات‬ ‫عدد‬ Market Breadth 16:22 23:16 – ‫السوق‬ ‫عمق‬ :‫المتوقع‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬ 9,000 :‫المتوقع‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ 8,500
  • 2. 2 GULF INTERNATIONAL SERVICES ‫الخليج‬‫للخدمات‬ ‫الدولية‬ Stock Overview Daily Chart ‫البياني‬ ‫الرسم‬‫اليومي‬ ‫على‬ ‫نظرة‬‫السهم‬ The stock, which has been in uptrend in recent sessions, has moved up towards its resistance level of 21.00. The stock has formed a bearish Harami pattern, which points to likely downtrend in the coming sessions. ‫ارتفع‬‫سعر‬‫السهم‬،‫الذي‬‫كان‬‫في‬ ‫اتجاه‬‫صعودي‬‫خالل‬‫الجلسات‬ ‫األخيرة‬،‫نحو‬‫مستوى‬‫المقاومة‬‫عند‬ 21.00.‫لاير‬‫و‬‫شكل‬‫السهم‬‫نمط‬ ‫انعكاسي‬‫هابط‬(Harami)،‫مما‬ ‫يشير‬‫إلى‬‫اتجاه‬‫هابط‬‫محتمل‬‫في‬ ‫الجلسات‬‫القادمة‬. Expected Target Price: QR18.72 – QR17.52 If price falls below QR19.92, it triggers the sell idea. Suggested Stop-Loss Level: QR23.80 Last Px. ‫سعر‬‫االقفال‬ % ∆ ‫الت‬ %‫غير‬ Volume ‫التداول‬ ‫حجم‬ 20.28 -0.83 563,643 Resistance/Support Levels ‫والمقاومة‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ Level 1st ‫األول‬ 2nd ‫الثاني‬ 3rd ‫الثالث‬ ‫المستوى‬ Resistance 21.00 23.80 28.10 ‫مقاومة‬ Support 19.92 18.72 16.04 ‫دعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األهداف‬: 18.72‫لاير‬–17.52‫لاير‬ ‫نرجح‬‫البيع‬‫سعر‬ ‫اختراق‬ ‫حال‬ ‫في‬ ‫تحت‬ ‫السهم‬‫مستوى‬19.92‫لاير‬ ‫قطري‬. :‫المقترح‬ ‫الخسارة‬ ‫ايقاف‬ ‫مستوى‬ 23.80.‫لاير‬
  • 3. 3 :‫التعريفات‬ :‫اليابانية‬ ‫الشموع‬‫أدن‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫الرسم‬ ‫يحدد‬ .‫قديمة‬ ‫يابانية‬ ‫طريقة‬ ‫على‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫رسم‬ ‫طرق‬ ‫أحد‬ ‫هي‬ ‫و‬‫و‬ .‫محددة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫ى‬ ‫العك‬ ‫و‬ ‫االفتتاح‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫أقل‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أن‬ ‫تعني‬ ‫الملونة‬ ‫الشمعة‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫و‬ ‫اإلفتتاح‬ ‫بسعر‬ ‫تتحدد‬ ‫حيث‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"جسم‬ ‫من‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫تتكون‬.‫البيضاء‬ ‫للشمعة‬ ‫بالنسبة‬ ‫صحيح‬ ‫س‬ ‫أق‬ ‫و‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫يحدد‬ ‫لظل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشمعة‬ "‫"ظل‬ ‫بـ‬ ‫يسمى‬ ‫ما‬ ‫اليابانية‬ ‫للشمعة‬‫استمرار‬ ‫من‬ ‫كثيرة‬ ‫دالالت‬ ‫له‬ ‫الشمعة‬ ‫شكل‬ ‫فإن‬ ,‫عامة‬ ‫بصورة‬ .‫المطلوبة‬ ‫الفترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫وصله‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫ل‬ .‫انعكاسه‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫التجاه‬ :‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬‫د‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫انخفاض‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ ,‫البيع‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫على‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫المتداولين‬ ‫يشارك‬ ‫أن‬ ‫فيه‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫الذي‬ ‫المستوى‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬.‫نية‬ :‫المقاومة‬ ‫مستوى‬.‫أعلى‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫احتمال‬ ‫من‬ ‫يقلل‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫و‬ ,‫الشراء‬ ‫من‬ ‫أكثر‬ ‫بالبيع‬ ‫المتداولون‬ ‫يقوم‬ ‫أن‬ ‫يتوقع‬ ‫حيث‬ ,‫الدعم‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫عكس‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬ :‫البسيط‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬‫يعتبر‬ ‫السبب‬ ‫لهذا‬ ‫المختارة‬ ‫الفترات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محدد‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫معدل‬ ‫يحسب‬ ‫حسابي‬ ‫متوسط‬ ‫هو‬‫و‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫عالمات‬ ‫إعطاء‬ ‫في‬ ‫متأخر‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫تأ‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫لمعرفة‬ ‫أداة‬ ‫مثل‬ ،‫كثيرة‬ ‫أغراضا‬ ‫للمتوسطات‬ ،‫عام‬ ‫بشكل‬ .‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫تحليلنا‬ ‫في‬ ‫المستخدمة‬ ‫المتوسطات‬ .‫الشراء‬‫و‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫تقلبات‬ ‫حدة‬ ‫تقليل‬ ،‫شيري‬ ‫االستخ‬ ‫من‬ ‫ذلك‬ ‫غير‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫و‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫المستويات‬.‫دامات‬ ‫ال‬ ‫عمق‬:‫سوق‬.‫معين‬ ‫يوم‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫في‬ ‫المتراجعة‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫مقابل‬ ‫ارتفاع‬ ‫على‬ ‫أقفلت‬ ‫و‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫تم‬ ‫التي‬ ‫المالية‬ ‫األوراق‬ ‫عدد‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫يشير‬ ( ‫التباعد‬ / ‫التقارب‬ ‫المتحرك‬ ‫المتوسط‬MACD:)‫و‬ ‫اتجاه‬ ‫و‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫في‬ ‫التغيرات‬ ‫على‬ ‫يدل‬ ‫تداول‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬‫حسابا‬ ‫مجموعة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫من‬ ‫األسهم‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫زخم‬‫ت‬‫مكونة‬‫ثالثة‬ ‫من‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫أسعار‬ ‫بيانات‬ ‫من‬ ‫محسوبة‬ ‫زمنية‬ ‫سالسل‬.‫التاريخية‬ ( ‫النسبية‬ ‫القوة‬ ‫مؤشر‬RSI:)‫المؤش‬ ‫يتذبذب‬ .‫المتداولين‬ ‫قبل‬ ‫من‬ ‫البيع‬ ‫أو‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫منه‬ ‫محاولة‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫فترة‬ ‫خالل‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫تحرك‬ ‫قوة‬ ‫يقارن‬ ‫فني‬ ‫مؤشر‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫بين‬ ‫ر‬ ‫ال‬0‫ال‬ ‫و‬100‫بشكل‬ ‫و‬ .‫درجة‬‫ال‬ ‫فوق‬ ‫قراءات‬ ‫الى‬ ‫المؤشر‬ ‫وصول‬ ‫يعتبر‬ ,‫عام‬70‫ال‬ ‫تحت‬ ‫و‬ ‫الشراء‬ ‫ذروة‬ ‫مناطق‬ ‫الى‬ ‫وصل‬ ‫قد‬ ‫السعر‬ ‫بأن‬ ‫درجة‬30‫لمستويات‬ ‫درجة‬ .‫البيع‬ ‫ذروة‬ :‫األسعار‬ ‫شكل‬ / ‫نمط‬‫أش‬ ‫في‬ ‫السعرية‬ ‫األنماط‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫تأتي‬ ‫و‬ .‫الفني‬ ‫التحليل‬ ‫وسط‬ ‫في‬ ‫تداولها‬ ‫يتم‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫أشكال‬ ‫حسب‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫استقراء‬ ‫هو‬ ‫و‬‫الرأس‬ ‫(مثل‬ ‫مختلفة‬ ‫كال‬ ‫و‬ ‫والخروج‬ ‫الدخول‬ ‫ونقاط‬ ‫انعكاسها‬ ‫أو‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االتجاهات‬ ‫لتحديد‬ ‫األشكال‬ ‫تستخدم‬ ‫و‬ .)‫الخ‬ ،‫واألعالم‬ ،‫والمثلثات‬ ‫والكتفين‬.‫االستخدامات‬ ‫من‬ ‫غيرها‬ :‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫انسحابات‬,‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫ليوناردو‬ ‫الرياضيات‬ ‫لعالم‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫هذه‬ ‫نسبت‬‫و‬‫الخطو‬ ‫هي‬‫على‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لسعر‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫أو‬ ‫للدعم‬ ‫المتوقعة‬ ‫المناطق‬ ‫إلى‬ ‫تشير‬ ‫التي‬ ‫األفقية‬ ‫ط‬ ‫هي‬ ‫و‬ ‫السهم‬ ‫لذلك‬ ‫السابقة‬ ‫للحركة‬ ‫المحتملة‬ ‫االنسحابات‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫كأهم‬ ‫للسهم‬ ‫التالية‬ ‫المستويات‬ ‫تستخدم‬ .‫السابقة‬ ‫األسعار‬ ‫حركة‬ ‫أساس‬23.6,%38.2,%50.0,%61.8% ‫ال‬ ‫مستوى‬ ‫و‬100.0‫الحركة‬ ‫أجزاء‬ ‫من‬ %.‫السابقة‬ :‫البينية‬ ‫المقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫الدعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫و‬ ‫فيبوناتشي‬ ‫محور‬‫أقل‬ ‫و‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫أعلى‬ ‫مع‬ ‫اإلغالق‬ ‫سعر‬ ‫من‬ ‫معينة‬ ‫حسابات‬ ‫المحور‬ ‫لهذا‬ .‫أعاله‬ ‫المذكورة‬ ‫لالنسحابات‬ ‫تماما‬ ‫مختلف‬ ‫هذا‬ ‫و‬ .‫اليومي‬ ‫للتداول‬ ‫متوقعة‬ ‫بينية‬ ‫مقاومة‬ ‫و‬ ‫دعم‬ ‫مستويات‬ ‫منها‬ ‫يستخلص‬ ‫السابق‬ ‫لليوم‬ ‫سعر‬
  • 4. 4 Definitions Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intraday Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 5. 5 Contacts Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa Saugata Sarkar, CFA, CAIA Head of Research Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Mohamed Abo Daff Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6589 mohd.abodaff@qnbfs.com.qa Ahmed El-Khudary Head of Trading Tel: (+974) 4476 6533 ahmed.elkhudary@qnbfs.com.qa Feras al-Sarraj Head of Sales Tel: (+974) 4476 6514 feras.alsarraj@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services Co. W.L.L. (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.