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Emilio BENFENATI
Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri
The second prize after the Nobel Prize in 1998 to John Pople and Alter Kohn for
computational chemistry
The Nobel Prizes in Chemistry 1998, 2013
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2013 has gone to Michael Levitt, Martin Karplus
and Arieh Warshel, who “took the chemical experiments into cyberspace”
Chemistry and cyberspace
All science is computer science (New York Times)
Millions of data to be processed, more and
more common
In silico methods like the glue to integrate
multiple evidences
Seven Reasons
to use QSAR
1. Innovation (also in view of millions of new data - ToxCast)
2. Time for experiments
3. Occurrence of enough laboratories/resources
4. Reduction of costs
5. Use of animals
6. Prioritization needs
7. Pro-active approach for greener chemicals
= f ( )
CHEMICALS: GOOD and EVIL
6
QSAR flow-chart
MOLECULAR FRAGMENTS AND ALERTS
ASHBY identified RESIDUES for GENOTOXIC EFFECTS
MUTAGENICITY: Performance of QSAR models
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
CAESAR SARpy ACD T.E.S.T. Topkat ADMET
out AD
in AD
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
0,80
0,90
1,00
CAESAR SARpy Toxtree TEST Consensus
out AD
in AD
Accuracy
Issues: Work in progress
 Max accuracy for carcinogenicity models: 0.75
(Toxtree, in VEGA)
 Max accuracy for devtox models: 0.78 (SARpy + P&G,
in VEGA), but MCC 0.24 (false negatives)
 Problem 1: Complexity of the endpoints
 Problem 2: Lack of data
QSAR and computational tools
www.vega-qsar.eu
Read-across
Read-across: a correlation or relationship between two separate things
From a chemical point of view: Read-across is a method for data-gap filling where
information from one or more chemicals is used to predict the same endpoint for a target
chemical
www.toxgate.eu
QSAR and computational tools
CONCLUSIONS
 Computational models as support to human experts
 Navigation within data and reasoning
 No conflict between “computer” and man
 Multiple in silico approaches
 Integrating multiple approaches (weight of evidence)
 Comparison with the experimental
uncertainty/vairability

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QSAR and computational tools

  • 1. Emilio BENFENATI Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri
  • 2. The second prize after the Nobel Prize in 1998 to John Pople and Alter Kohn for computational chemistry The Nobel Prizes in Chemistry 1998, 2013 The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2013 has gone to Michael Levitt, Martin Karplus and Arieh Warshel, who “took the chemical experiments into cyberspace”
  • 3. Chemistry and cyberspace All science is computer science (New York Times) Millions of data to be processed, more and more common In silico methods like the glue to integrate multiple evidences
  • 4. Seven Reasons to use QSAR 1. Innovation (also in view of millions of new data - ToxCast) 2. Time for experiments 3. Occurrence of enough laboratories/resources 4. Reduction of costs 5. Use of animals 6. Prioritization needs 7. Pro-active approach for greener chemicals
  • 5. = f ( )
  • 8. MOLECULAR FRAGMENTS AND ALERTS ASHBY identified RESIDUES for GENOTOXIC EFFECTS
  • 9. MUTAGENICITY: Performance of QSAR models 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 CAESAR SARpy ACD T.E.S.T. Topkat ADMET out AD in AD 0,00 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80 0,90 1,00 CAESAR SARpy Toxtree TEST Consensus out AD in AD Accuracy
  • 10. Issues: Work in progress  Max accuracy for carcinogenicity models: 0.75 (Toxtree, in VEGA)  Max accuracy for devtox models: 0.78 (SARpy + P&G, in VEGA), but MCC 0.24 (false negatives)  Problem 1: Complexity of the endpoints  Problem 2: Lack of data
  • 13. Read-across Read-across: a correlation or relationship between two separate things From a chemical point of view: Read-across is a method for data-gap filling where information from one or more chemicals is used to predict the same endpoint for a target chemical
  • 16. CONCLUSIONS  Computational models as support to human experts  Navigation within data and reasoning  No conflict between “computer” and man  Multiple in silico approaches  Integrating multiple approaches (weight of evidence)  Comparison with the experimental uncertainty/vairability