Reconstructing Third World Elite Rotation Events from Newspapers
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This document summarizes a research project that aims to analyze how political elites in Indonesia change after regime changes by extracting networks of relationships between elites from newspaper articles. It outlines the sources of data, how entities and networks will be extracted from the unstructured newspaper text, potential network analysis methods to study changes in elite centrality and clustering before and after regime changes, and the need for experts in Indonesian history to help with interpretation. The focus is on elite rotations after major political transitions in Indonesia, including independence, the fall of Suharto, and the transition to democracy.
Reconstructing Third World Elite Rotation Events from Newspapers
- 1. Reconstructing Third World Elite Rotation Events from Newspapers V.A. Traag1, J. Hicks1, R. Reinanda2, M. de Rijke2, A. Scharnhorst3, G. van Klinken1 1KITLV, Leiden, the Netherlands, 2University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands, 3VKS, KNAW, the Netherlands 3 September 2012
- 2. Overview Indonesia Regime changes • After WWII Indonesia gained independence (1945–1950) • After fall of Suharto (1998), autocratic to democratic transition • How does the elite (network) change after a regime change? • Data based on newspaper articles Beginning of research project. Focus on key ideas and challenges.
- 3. Data Sources • NIOD, KB, Internet, etc. . . (about 1930–2012) • Newspapers articles (about 140 000 for 2000-2012) • Unstructured data Data extraction • Create index of data (∼ Search Engine) • Entity detection (person) Work by Ridho Reinanda & Maarten de Rijke.
- 4. Network extraction Co-occurrence • Word/paragraph distance • Comparison to random model • More sophisticated models? • Sentiment analysis? Ground-truth for training and verification (who’s who guides). Interpretation • What do relationships signify? • News events play important role • Go beyond short-lived interactions Need for experts on Indonesian history: Gerry van Klinken, Jacky Hicks.
- 5. Network analysis Elites • How do elites change after regime change? • Focus on centrality (degree), change before and after Some possible effects • Cohesive elites: effect of clustering • Infectious centrality: neighbourhood dependence • Ripple effect: distance to most central person
- 6. Network analysis Elites • How do elites change after regime change? • Focus on centrality (degree), change before and after Some possible effects • Cohesive elites: effect of clustering • Infectious centrality: neighbourhood dependence • Ripple effect: distance to most central person
- 7. Network analysis Elites • How do elites change after regime change? • Focus on centrality (degree), change before and after Some possible effects • Cohesive elites: effect of clustering • Infectious centrality: neighbourhood dependence • Ripple effect: distance to most central person 01 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
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Kusumah Syarief Hassan Iberamsjah Markus Junianto Sihaloho Rusadi Kantaprawira Benny Kabur Harman Daan Dimara Hayono Hayono Isman Nazaruddin Sjamsuddin Nachrowi Ramli Andi Malaranggeng Pramono Anung Taufik Effendi Taufiq Effendy Haryono Isman Mr Nazaruddin M. Nazaruddin Wayan Koster Andang Andang Bachtiar Anders Fogh Rasmussen Donald Tusk Anderson McVey Arsyad Wafid Muharram Choel Dewi Yasin Limpo Chairuman Harahap Misbakhun Ganjar Mashuri Choel Mallarangeng Ganjar Pranowo Toli Toli Ridwan Gede Pasek Suardika Bonny Hargens Hari Perppu Agun Gunanjar Sudarsa Suhadi Khatibul Umam Wiranu Dewie Ramadan Pohan Rafli Amar Dorman Baskoro Yudhoyono Ray Rangkuti Bonny Wafid Sanggar Anak Bulungan Jose Baskoro Radityo Hari Almafintono Jimly Andi Arief Pius Lustrilanang Desmond J. Mahesa Nezar Patria Faisol Riza Muhajir Utomo Haryanto Taslam Velix Vernando Wanggai Aan Rusdianto Mugiyanto Andi Azikin Suyuti Andi Hajramurni Apriadi Gunawan Panca Nugraha Kusumasari Ayuningtyas Andi Kosasih Haposan Hutagalung Gayus T. Tambunan Arafat Enanie Sjahril Djohan Andi Malarangeng Rita Subowo Urbaningrum Nugraha Besoes Kastorius Andi Mapparesa Syamsul Mu'arif Hafiz Putu Prasetyo Sudrajat Aziz Mashuri Hasan Suripto Bambang Setyadi Anis Matta Andreas Eugenio Ismail Hasani Heri Ariyanto Budiharjo Abu Halmas Ryan Andreas A. Yewangoe Andreas Harry Andreas Wayan Sukumaran Matthew Norman Siswanto Si Yi Chen Renae Lawrence Tan Duc Thanh Nguyen Myuran Scott Anthony Rush Rush Myuran Sukamaran Lawrence Karlis Salna Mr McMahon Olopan Nainggolan Norman Michael EdithYunita Sianturi James Norman and Tan Duc Thanh...Trotter Alice Yang Czugaj Francis Lee Shaode Cao Mr Lubis Ly Hyung Lee Andrinof Chaniago Angela Merkel Gordon Brown Sarkozy David Cameron Mr. Schroder Steffen Seibert Adjie Massaid Anggaibak Anggito Fahmi Idris Anggoro Widjojo Bibit Samad Rianto Anggoro Bonaran Situmeang Ari Muladi Thomson Situmeang Bonaran Chandra M Hamzah Masaro Radiokom Ari Bibit-Chandra Suwarji Emerson Eddy Sumarsono Hasril Ritonga Farman Sugeng Thomson Irwan Hardjono Chandra Hamzah Bibit Samad Riyanto Masaro Anggoro Widjaja Joko Tjandra Wandojo Ketut Angkasa Pura II Tri Sunoko Trisno Heryadi Hari Cahyono Sudaryanto Ketut Fery Utameyasa Sarwo Edhie Wibowo Sunarti Sri Hadiyah Hadi Utomo Taufik Kurniawan Erwin Ani Bambang Yudhoyono Ani Yu-dhoyono Pramono Edhie Wibowo Herawati Aulia Pohan Kristiani Herawati Heru Gatot Pramono Edhie Madiun Julian Aldrin Pasha Edi Baskoro Anies Baswedan Anifah Marty Anike Yunus Wainggai Anis Anis Hidayah Rubingah Tifatul Sembiring Hilmi Aminuddin Fahri Hamzah Yusuf Supendi Luthfi Hasan Ishaq Luthfi Hasan Ishaaq Anita Rachman Heru Andriyanto Armando Siahaan Anjasmara Isabel Yahya Davy Linggar Agus Suwage Jim Supangkat Damarwulan Anna Iqbal Astro Hazare Eckhard Ian Martin Louise Arbour Anne Ansyaad Mbai Antaboga Anton Tantular Sarijaya Hartawan Aluwi Hendro Wiryanto Hartawan Alwi Hendro Wiyanto Antam Alwin Syah Loebis Bukit Asam Alwinsyah Lubis Dedi Aditya Sumanagara Alwin Aneka Tambang Bimo Budi Satriyo Tayan Dairi Loebis Alwinsyah Loebis Inalum Bimo Satryo Alwinsyah Lubis Aditya Sumanagara Sofyan Dedi Aditya Sumanegara Djaja Tambunan Sumanagara Cameron Tough Gudang Garam Kurniadi Atmosasmito North Konawe Bimo Alwin Syah Lubis Muhammad Lutfi Deddy Aditya Sumanegara Eko Endriawan Zainul Cibaliung Satriyo Bimo Budi Satryo Lutfi Martabe Jindal Miraza Bambang Setiawan Suamanagara Tato Multicapital Satryo Samuel Sekuritas Martokoesoemo Tato Miraza Dedi Atmosasmito Alwin Lubis Maruwai Sukrisno Showa Denko Pamekasan Lukman Nasruddin Zulkarnaen Nasrudin Zulkarnaen Rani Juliani Wiliardi Rani Juniver Girsang Sigid Sigid Haryo Wibisono Rhani Juliani Ari Yusuf Amir Cirus Sinaga Rhani Juniver Williardi Maqdir Ismail Mr Nasrudin Wahyono Wiliardi Wizard Williardi Wizar Emerson Yuntho Ida Laksmiwati Wiliardi Wizar Urip Tri Gunawan Hadiatmoko Iriawan Jerry Maqdir Assegaf Mandala Putra Mun Putra Rajawali Banjaran Williardi Wizard Ida Patrialis Neta Ms Rani Irawati Ariendha Marwan Effendy Nasruddin Zulkarnain Oegroseno Investigasi Budi Ibrahim Daniel Daen Sabon Jasman Panjaitan Ms Rhani Endang Nugroho Setiadji Haryono Umar Tanri Cyrus Sinaga Neta S. Pane Tumpak Tumpak Hatorangan Panggabean Jasman Artidjo Bibit Samat Riyanto Jasman Pandjaitan Waluyo Wizar Antawirya Antawirya J. Dipodiputro Anthony Hamka Rusli David `` Spike '' Stewart Sjamsul Rusli Simanjuntak Artalyta Hamka Yamdhu Asnar Ashari David Stewart Anthony Deutsch Vijay Joshi Niniek Karmini Ali Kotarumalos Anthony Zeidra Abidin Hamka Yandhu Anto Tuti Hayat Helmi Mauser Malinda Dzainal Syarief Kamoro Jalan Jaksa Blaponte Imam Munandar Operasi Kikis Mahmud Trikasno Djody Anton Apriantono Anton Apriyantono Siti Fadilah Supari Mari Elka Pangestu Mari E. Pangestu Musim Mas Mustaqim Adamrah Malam Sambat Kaban Anton Bachrul Alam Beni Asri FrederickWong Mabes Polri M. Syarif Helmi Arman Arman Antoni Judge Lucas Sahabat Duha Antonius Agustinus Anggaibak Hardi Sugumol Yulianus Deikme Yairus Kiwak Esau Onawame Kelly Kwalik Antony Asnar Antony Zeidra Abidin Kuala Lumpur Saiful Parti Keadilan Rakyat Saiful Bukhari Azlan Pakatan Rakyat Permatang Pauh Mohamad Saiful Bukhari Azlan Mohd Saiful Bukhari Azlan Tian Chua Wan Azizah Wan Ismail Pakatan Parti Keadilan Mr Saiful Azmin Ali Karpal Singh Zaid Ibrahim Rosmah Al Gore Sankara Nair Rais Yatim Munawar Anees Wan Azizah Arisan Amri MohamadSaiful Bukhari Azlan Amri Sanusi Nurul Izzah Mohamad Zabidin Diah Sivarasa Rasiah Andy Judge Mohd Zabidin Mohd Diah Paul Wolfowitz Angus Grigg James Chin Judge Mohamad Zabidin Diah Syed Hamid Ehud Barak Dewan Rakyat Rodwan Mohd Yusof Joni Sim Kwang Yang Yusof Zainal Abiden Abdul Gani Patail Zabidin Hishammuddin Hussein Phil Robertson Azizah William Leong Syed Husin Ali Azizah Ismail Judge Mohamad Zabidin Chua Rodwan Mr. Ibrahim Ahmad Fairuz Hendra Yospin Nick Grace Salim Mengga Mohamad Saiful Petra Jayabaya Mahathir Mohammed Lina Joy Munawar Ismail Omar Malay-Muslim Lim Guan Eng Slamet Subagyo Saiful Bukhari Khairiansyah Zaid Arif Shah Omar Shah VK Lingam Musa Hassan James Keith Rahim Noor Moerdiono Mamuju Shawn W Crispin Sivarasa Mahathir Mohamed Terry Gilliam AnwarIbrahim Lingam Mr. Najib Mr. Mahathir Mr Abdullah Simon Montlake Mr. Anwar Nurul Izzah Anwar Mr Nizar Erwida Maulia Hadi Awang Wan Azizah Ismail SAPP Abdul Razak Naipaul Abdul Hadi Awang Datuk Seri Anwar Udju Djuhaeri Harijanto Gusti Agung Made Rai R. Maulana Ibrahim Danpac Mulyana Pak Anwar Anwar Suprijadi Eddy Abdurrahman Anyian Aprisindo Eddy Widjanarko Apriyantono Nano Abdul Muis Benigno Marcos Corazon Aquino Ferdinand Marcos Villar Estrada Corazon Joseph Estrada Corona Manuel Villar Cory Hacienda Luisita Cojuangco Mar Roxas Ramos Binay Leila de Lima Jr. Manny Villar Imelda Ninoy Benigno Aquino III Noynoy Manuel Villar Jr Renato Corona Teuku Faizasyah Hu Jintao Joel D Adriano Mrs. Arroyo Gloria Oplan Bantay Laya Florencio Edwin Lacierda Al Haj Murad Ibrahim Franklin Drilon Bangit Coloma Juan Ponce Enrile Steven Rood Mr. Aquino Liang Guanglie Abad Donald Dee Ramon Casiple Benigno Aquino Jr. Jejomar Binay Homobono A. Adaza Alexander Padilla Liang Joan Malacanang Rico Puno Benigno Aquino Aquino III Casiple Rolando Galman Ms. Rice Al Juneid Olivier Roy Al Kaff Mr. Abbas Batak Mr. Ludlow Mr. Alpher Mr. Meshal Shboul Gamal Abdel Nasser al-Arabiya Sri Sumartini Roberto Santonius Edmond Harley Sumartini Ito Sumardi Fadil Ito Muhtadi Asnun Harley Davidson Arbi Asvi Marwan Adam Saurip Kadi Arbour Ardin Susianti Sigit Nalinkant Putri Achmad Faisal Rini Soemarno Ari Haryo Wibowo Hardjojudanto Ari Sigit Ari Hudaya Bumi Andrew Beckham Nalinkant Amratlal Rathod Sugeng Teguh Santoso Sigit Harjojudanto Ari Soemarno Karen Agustiawan Natuna Platts Iin Arifin Takhyan Karen Arun Ariadi Ariadi Ahmad Arie Udju Rendra Achmad Bakrie Award Arief Budiman Achmad Basuki Mardiansyah Donald Henry Arif A. Kuswardono Bunga Manggiasih Arifah Chafsoh Rahman Tjipta Lesmana Hilmi Bob Hippy Laksamana Yanti Darul Hakim Suharman Zondhy Budi Santoso Suroso Miharjo Nurdin Djohar Gusti Syaifuddin Jordan Laksamana Sukardi Sophan Sophiaan Roy BB Janis Guruh Sukarnoputra Sukowaluyo Mintohardjo Guruh Noviantika Nasution Halid Janis Sukowaluyo Mintorahardjo Arifinto Surahman Arimawan Arimawan Bayu Aji Ario Sudarso Bagus Budi Pranoto Mohamad Syahrir Hadi Susilo Muhammad Kurniawan Syaifudin Zuhri bin Djaelani I... Aris Elnusa Aristides Katoppo Ignacio Bunye Eduardo Ermita Ampatuan Jose Miguel Arroyo Virgilio Garcillano Reyes Panfilo Lacson Castro Jose Miguel Fernando Poe Jr. Poe Diosdado Macapagal Jose de Venecia Anthony Golez Mike Arroyo Antonio Trillanes De Venecia Benjamin Abalos Garci Romulo Neri Fernando Poe Jr Michael Defensor Honasan Cerge Remonde Noli de Castro Jesus Dureza Abalos Bayan Bayan Muna Aquilino Pimentel Smith Gilberto Teodoro Gloria Macapagal Lacson Alberto Romulo Alexander Yano Merceditas Gutierrez Juan Miguel Bunye Roilo Golez Jose Melo Gilbert Teodoro Jr Oscar Cruz Susan Roces Mike Pimentel Melo Alston Neri Nguyen Tan Dung Arthur Yap Delfin Bangit JoseMiguel Arroyo Gonzalez Joseph Tim Parritt Bobby Tuazon Ocampo Bayani Fernando Cardinal Jaime Sin St. Luke Ferdinand Marcos Jr Mrs Arroyo Roxas Bravo De Castro Teofisto Guingona Sen. Rodolfo Biazon Oliver Lozano Philip Alston Mohagher Iqbal Cory Aquino Irene Umbra Kato Silvester Affable Dureza Edcel Lagman Luis Bersamin Satur Ocampo Teresita Deles Gutierrez Panetta Kristie Kenney Raul Lambino Greggy Araneta Benigno S. Aquino III Francis Escudero Reynato Puno Green Gabriel Claudio Abdurahman Macapaar Rex Robles Lagdameo Zaimar Nesyawati Makhfud Dirwan Mahmud Dirwan NeshawatyNeshawati Hamdan Zoelva Akil Urip Sjamsul Nursalim Kemas SalimKemas Yahya Rahman Anthony Salim Itjih Untung Muhammad Salim Untung Udji Santoso Untung Sugiono Kemas Yahya Judge Andi Bachtiar Hatta Ali Arteria Dahlan Yulianto Ary Sigit Ary Haryo Wibowo Harjojudanto Arya Aryanto Aryanto Boedihardjo Aryunadi Asep Ruchimat Sudjana Hengky Baramuli Teuku Muhammad Nurlif Reza Kamarullah Ashraf Ali Prya Asiah Salekan Mariani Baramuli Ribka Tjiptaning Aslim Aslim Tadjuddin Bun Bunan Hutapea Maman Soemantri Maman Sumantri Maman H. Soemantri Bunbunan Hutapea Hutapea EJHutapea Maman H. Somantri Dow JonesSyahril Sabirin Asmara Nababan Hendropriyono Suciwati Fikri Jufri Zoemrotin K. Susilo Rizal Sukma Shanti Poesposoetjipto Tommy Legowo Dillon Bara Hasibuan Harry Tjan Silalahi Tuty Herati Nurhadi Marsudhi Hanafi Sjafii Maarif Abdullah Hendropriyono Fajrul Falaakh Father J. Budi Hernawan Wolfowitz Asnun Aso Tamogami Aspinall Priyanto Polly Pak Susno Assif Shameen Asvi Asvi Warman Adam Mona Lohanda Anhar Gonggong MamanMaman Somantri Agus Yudhoyono Annisa Soedrajad Djiwandono Iwan R. Prawiranata Sabirin Syafardi Soedrajat Djiwandono Dr Susilo Aulia Tantowi Pohan Suu Kyi Ibrahim Gambari Aung San Gambari Ban Ki-moon Aung Kyi Nelson Mandela Michael Aris Hillary Clinton Than Shwe AungSan Suu Kyi Jared Genser Natalegawa Ban Jeremy Woodrum John Yettaw Benjamin Zawacki Mr Thaksin U Myint Khin Moe Moe WILSON Khin Nyunt Lwin Laksono Wunna Maung Lwin Laura Bush Mandela Zin Linn Salvador Allende Min Ko Naing Ko Naing Yeo Mr Ramos-Horta Sean McCormack Liam Cochrane Mae Sot Robert Wood Sein Win Yitzhak Rabin MichaelAris Aung Naing Oo Mahmood Ayatollah Khamene'i Mahmud Ahmadinezhad Ayu Azhari Julia Perez Maria Eva Venna Melinda Ayu Utami SamanLarung Agus Noor Rois Cholili Thoifah Muqatilah Da'i Bachtiar Da'i Ken Conboy Makbul Hasan Noordin Mohamad Top Sugiarto Budi Darmawan Noordin Moh Parmin Jalan Flamboyan Mr Keelty Malaysian Noordin Mohamed Top Sogir Antok Fajar Taslim Noordin Mohamed Noordin Mohammad Noordin Mohd Noordin Moh Top Azhar Pondok Patin Sjarifuddin Hasan Jonny Yopie Sebastian Salang Al Amin Nasution Azis Elmadon Muluk Azis Mansyur Azis Syamsuddin Tantowi Yahya Aziz Syamsuddin Prya Ramadhani Nono Sampono Ramadhani Djan Faridz Azmi Khalid Azwar Sarjan Hilman Fachri Chandra Antonio Tan Azwar Abubakar Nasir Djamil Nasir Jamil M. Nasir Fachri Andi Leluasa Hilman Indra Yusuf Erwin Faishal Imam Syuja Indria Octavia Muaja Mufid A. Busyairi Markum Singo Dimejo Sumiati Djoemad Tjiptowardoyo Robert Yoppi Cardinal Azyumardi Mr Suharto B.J Habibie Mr. Mubarak Benjamin Mangkoedilaga Omar Suleiman Hasri Ainun Habibie BOEDIONO BURT Richard Boucher Eko Joko Sarjono Thalib Babai Suhaimi Nurmahmudi Badrul Bacharuddin Jusuf Habibie Ladang Sutera Bachtiar Chamsyah Rafidah Aziz Nur Mahmudi Yuyun Wirasaputra Syihabuddin Achmad Agus Supriyanto Syihabuddin Ahmad Badrul Kamal Nur Mahmudi Ismail Derry Drajat Gagah Sunu Soemantri Supriyanto Badung Tabanan Gianyar Karangasem Bangli Klungkung Jembrana Mengwi Buleleng AdnyanaMangku Pastika Christine Cheryl Pura Taman Ayun Sugianyar A.A. Gde Agung Anom Bagindo Quirinno Taswin Taswin Zein Probosutedjo Harini Harini Wiyoso Usman KarimMenon Harifin A. Tumpa judge Kresna Menon Sutiyono Iskandar Kamil Todung Parman Suparman Kresna Menon Pono Waluyo Joko Sarwoko KPUD Depok Pono Rendi A. Witular Urwah Bahana Baharudin Sabit Bahasyim Sri Purwanti Kartini Fachrizal Rico Pandeirot Winda Arum Hapsari Hekinus Manao Bakhtiar Abdullah Zaini AbdullahMohammed Nur Djuli Malik Mahmood Said Fuad Zakaria Nur Djuli Malik Mahmud Malik Mahmood Al Haytar Bakin Soeripto Bakorinda Iwan Hardja Bobby Gafur Umar Vallar Berau Firmansyah Nat Rothschild Edwin Borneo Lumbung Yanuar Rizky Walujo Rupert Murdoch Nat Julian Horn-Smith Danatama Makmur Toriq Hadad Ikhsan Binarto Bob Hassan Nalinkant Rathod Patrick Minarak Lapindo Jaya Samin Patrick Walujo Mara Balinese Ketut Sumarta Bandem Nyoman Gunarsa Sidia Balkenende Beatrix Timur Tri Jayadi Damanik Sosrodjojo Syarifuddin Trimedya Panjaitan Saleh Tri Rismaharini Soewandi Nazirin Zaenal Tjatur Sapto Edy Wawan Iwan alias Marwan Wak Geng Nudirman Munir Cheung Toni Suparno Teguh Juwarno Decky Nembiri North Jakarta Nela Ibnu Bona Sigalingging Bambang Darmono Farid Husain Bambang Eka Cahya Widodo Bambang Hartono Robert Budi Hartono Bambang Harymurti Tommy Winata Teuku Iskandar Ali Metta Dharmasaputra Paul Ahmad Taufik Munir Said Thalib Syamsir Siregar Suryadharma Ali Dicky Christanto Boim Kemal Bambang Irawan Bambang Kesowo Bambang Prasetyo Widodo Khoirul Huda Yuniwati Teryana Bambang Sadono Muhammad Adnan Muhammad Tamzil Agus Soeyitno Abdul Rozak Rais Sukawi Sutarip Kholiq Arif Bambang Sapto Pratomosunu Golkar Malik Fajar Muchlas Abror Malik Fadjar Yahya Muhaimin Bambang Susatyo Bambang Trihadmodjo Bambang Trihatmodjo Hary Hary Tanoesoedibjo Soergiarto Adikoesoemo Siti Hardijanti Rukmana Siti Hediati Hariyadi Halimah Siti Hutami Endang Adiningsih Mayangsari Bambang Trihatmojo Saldi Isra Teten Masduki Muhammad Busyro Muqoddas Muqoddas Smita Notosusanto Melli Darsa Bambang Wuryanto Bambang Yudhoyono Papua Cikeas Julian Jens Stoltenberg Kuntoro Mangkusubroto Kim Jong Il Daniel Sparingga Kontras Dino Pati Djalal Muhammad Qodari Rajasa Ruki Roh Moo-hyun Yusuf Kalla Faizasyah Ray Wikileaks Puan Ruyati Bantarto Bandoro Blair Heru Lelono Jose Manuel Barroso Jacques Chirac Ifdhal Kasim WikiLeaks Sudi Sutresna Daniel Hidayat Tarja Halonen Taufiq Kiemas Sjafrie Ms Megawati Effendi Gazali Kastorius Sinaga Elfian Effendi Purnomo Putin Lee Myung-bak Wen Jiabao Teuku Tony Blair Siti Hajar Wirjawan YUDHOYONO Kristiani Sukardi Fillon Kim Wen Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva Lohia Syamsuddin Haris Yusgiantoro Surin Pitsuwan Nila Irwandi Yusuf O'Rourke Irwandi Tempointeraktif Kaban Radjasa Edhi Baskoro Yudhoyono Nana Sutresna Effendy Choirie Julia Umar Said Yudi Latif Mr Bush Hanava Gates Syamsul Maarif Ritz Carlton Haris Azhar Mahendra Felipe Calderon Siti Fadillah Supari Hu Sukarwo Santa Cruz Effendy Gatot M. Suwondo Didi Widayadi Riza Damanik Medina Burhanudin Muhtadi Pearson Jusuf Wanandi Karang Tengah Ryaas AndiMattalata Saul Effendi Ghazali Dino Pati Jalal Permadi Sukardi Rinakit Bustar Bill Gates Roh Jusuf Rizal Desra Percaya Julian Pasha Zulkifeli Puri Cikeas Siniora Wanggai Mahendra Siregar Trimedya Pandjaitan Nur Mr Marciel Yukio Hatoyama Taufiq Chinese-Indonesian pope SyamsuddinSNOWDON Fadjroel Dhimas Puskaptis Fauzi Ichsan Michael Somare Geert Wilders Garibaldi Sujatmiko Bima Arya Barroso Yenny Zannuba Wahid Setara Yunarto Widjaja Hatoyama Robert Zoellick Cliff Muntu Maluku Hotli Simanjuntak Nani Afrida Wakatobi Des Alwi Aguswandi Scot Marciel Sarah Ferguson Raja Ampat Jacques Cousteau NaniAfrida Mick Jagger Diana Illiza Sa'aduddin Djamal Sail Banda HotliSimanjuntak Adi Warsidi Pidie Makassar Sigli Faqih Simeulue Zulkifli Hasan di Tiro Lampuuk Aceh Barat Zakaria Abraham Lincoln Baiturrahman Nagan Raya Illiza Pieter Feith Powell ColinPowell Ulee Lheue Yudi Simon Field Aceh Hotli Simanjuntak Barnabas Suebu Yani Fuadi Tiarma Siboro Djamal Lai Fuk Nyen Mawardy Nurdin Mr Feith Zulfikar Oakley Brooks Ahmad Humam Hamid Edy Jane Perlez Sarah Alamsyah Rini Bener Meriah Iskandar Muda Hasbi Abdullah Ujang BANDA Zulfahri Azhari Bandar Lampung Oyos Saroso H.N. Kanan Hendrawan Nurhayati Syofiardi Bachyul Jb Oyos Saroso H. N Mungliana Ciamis Banggai Tojo Una-Una Morowali Parigi Moutong Buol Tojo Bangka-Belitung Hudarni Rani Eko Maulana Ali Imam Sudjarwo Susrama Prabangsa Nyoman Susrama Nengah Arnawa Kintamani Banjar Petak Bantar Gebang Sunter Ciangir Marunda Bantarto Banten North Sulawesi Djoko Munandar Hudi Syafrudin Ismail McCain John McCain Barry Ann Dunham Menteng Lolo Soetoro AMY GOODMAN Michelle Obama Hillary Rodham Clinton Robert Gibbs Michelle Dalai Lama Damien Dematra Malia Sasha Mrs. Clinton Soetoro Elaine Pearson Leon Panetta Lolo Maya Soetoro-Ng Maya HillaryClinton George Bush Sen. 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Lutfi Camelia Pasandaran Susilo Bambang Yu-dhoyono Wayne Swan Susilo Bambang Yudho-yono Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin Maruarar Sirait SriMulyani Indrawati Taufik Darusman Ms. Sri Mulyani Hartati Murdaya Teo Chee Hean Marsillam Simanjuntak Erman Gusti Syarifudin Suding Juwono Soedarsono Murdaya Ron Aston M. Ikhsan Mega Ismeth Abdullah Erman Suparno Eric Schmidt Rizal Malarangeng Herawati Boediono Gayus H. Tambunan Megawati Soekarnoputri-Prabowo... Indover Hartadi A. Sarwono Winang Budoyo MS Hidayat Schmidt James Van Zorge J. 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David Welch Steven Weisman Javier Solana Vasu Rasiah Erwin Siregar Robin Tampoe Ron Bakir Bali Nine Rosleigh Rose Lily Lubis Mr Hutapea Mr Rasiah Mark Trowell Hotman Paris Hutapea Karen Michelmore Mr Trowell Tampoe Mr Siregar Judge Linton Sirait Linton Sirait Bonella Renae Judge SiraitLindsey Bakir Kathryn Bonella Kerry Smith-Douglas Ellison Ilham DjayaAnna Bligh John Patrick Ford Made Suardana Tim Lindsey Jonathan Phillips Ida Bagus Wiswantanu Tom Percy Ms Lubis Russell Crowe Suardana Iskandar Nawing Michelle Leslie Dr Phillips Mercedes Corby Mr Bakir Ilham Djaja Ngurah Rai Hotman Mr Djaja Paul Wilson Djaya Hosking Ros Michael Corby Mr Mattalata Judge I Gusti Lanang Dauh Phillip Laskaris Pan Macmillan MrRudd Ms Rose Bambang Sugiarto Cucu Ahmad Kurnia DINO DJALAL Tentena Pak Erwin M. Ma Irman Daan Hamdani Amin Erick S. Paat Untung Sastrawijaya Pak Rusadi Nazaruddin Syamsuddin Hamid Awaludin Safder Yussac Chusnul Mar Dachamer Dachmer Munthe Dada Edi Siswadi Dada Rosada Achim Steiner Yogaswara Rachmat Dadong Nyoman Dharnawati Jawa Pos Fahmi Mochtar Amir Machmud Jacobus Purwono Sofjan Wanandi Asep Asep Djaja Fabby Tumiwa Chairul Tanjung Sang Hyang Seri Pertani Pak Eddie Fatah Wibisono Goodwill Zubair Abdul Mu Rosyad Sholeh Humbang Hasundutan Pematang Siantar Tumanggor Dake Damanik Danareksa Lin Che Wei Judi Sadewa Michael Hawari Lin Priyo Santoso Vicky Ganda Saputra Damal Moni Lani Kwamki Lama Yali Kartono Wangsadisastra Nugi Ekari Nana Hendrikus Kia Walen Heri Santosa Heri Santoso Harry Lerik Hendrikus Karen Smith Uu Rukmana Wahyu Kurnia Ijuddin Budhyana Irianto Danuri Bareskrim Daoed Daoed Joesoef Abdul Hadi Djamal Paulus Tumewu Herwidayatmo Hadi Purnomo Gunarni Soeworo Fuad Rahmany Novrida Manurung Amari Basrief Darsem Dawud Tawar Sapubi Wallace Mr Ramos Horta Pires Jon Tippett Angelita Pires Alfred Russel Wallace Colin McDonald Priyono Mr Gusmao Freddy Joseph Hooker Charles Darwin Robert Connolly Roger East Walker Roger Martin Charles Lyell Richard Dawkins Rezasyah Ferdi Tanoni James Moore Harun Yahya Salman Ms Pires Naoshima Darwin Saleh Mr Hatta Thamrin Sihite Das Kapital Karl Marx Marx Hasta Mitra Datin Seri Rosmah Mansor Ibu Ani Yudhoyono Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi Datuk Seri Rais Yatim Rosmah Mansor Abdul Razak Baginda Mrs Brown Khoo Kay Peng Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad Gowa Datuk Seri Abdullah Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak Harun Sunyoto Syamsudin Reza Sungkar Chan Kap Luk Iwan Piliang David Hartanto Widjaja William John Mavroudis Hartono Wijaya Rohadi Bambang Sumardiono Bonderman Kemat David Jenkins Davies Lusi Budhi Munawwar Rachman Gaspari Anthony Gaspari Andri Siswanto Nurul Dr Gaspari Musholla Dr. Anthony Gaspari Ihat Achmad Heryawan Erna Kiagus Ahmad Bella Sati Suganda Gumelar VennaMelinda Suti Karno Edo Kondologit Rieke Diah Pitaloka ApriadiGunawan Deming Deni Edward ScottAnthony Rush Peradi Yunus Hussein Santosa Mas Achmad Ismet Pukat Milana Anggraeni Sardan Marbun Herman Effendi Sony Laksono Kadana Ota Denny JA Denny Januar Ali Bahrudin Saud Gorries Mere Nurmahmudi Ismail Jalan Margonda Raya Iwan Siswanto Pasar Minggu Hasyim Widhiarto Betty Sitorus Helmy Jabodetabekpunjur Margonda Manggarai Kepulauan Seribu Desi Anwar Desmon Mahesa Desmond Junaidi Mahesa Khaled Meshaal Sumardjono Dewa Parsana Sigi Dewi Sukarno Dewi Tantular Mestariyani Habie Dewa Laskar Cinta Yahudi Militan Dhani Nawawi Dadong Irbarelawan Nyoman Suisnaya Farhat Abbas Alam Jaya Papua Nyoman Suisanaya Rahmat Jaya Dhyah Diah Diani Munir Karta Gamawan Mr. Libby Didi Didi Sadili Muhammadiyah Tarmizi Taher Baitul Muslimin Prince Charles Din Syamsudin Mr HasjimMuntik Dion Bisara Dipasena Mahar Sembiring Dipo Alam Diponegoro Djasri Slamet Djasri Marin Slamet Kirbiantoro Abdul Wahab Makodongan Ryamizard Sjahril judge Husni Rizal Sam Zarifi Bakorkamla Ratu Atut Chosiyah Theo L. Sambuaga Paulus Djoko Chandra Jusman Syafii Djamal Lebaran Judge Husni Djoko Rahardjo Djoko Raharjo Slamet Soebijanto Koesmayadi Slamet Subiyanto Herman Prayitno Hadi Waluyo Desmond Kuek Talangsari Marshall Herman Prayitno Kusnanto Anggoro Air Marshall Djoko Suyanto Djoko Soemaryono Kristiani Yudhoyono Ferdi Marty Natelagawa Kusnanto Slamet Subijanto Djoko Utomo Djuanda Djuhri Portanigra Indarto Heru Chairuddin Walter Sigalingging judge Sri Mulyani Dodi Ambardi Doel Rano Dofa Fasila Dominggus Da Silva Marinus Fabianus Tibo Marianus Riwu Don Marinus Riwu Roy Rening Pope Benedict XVI Don Bosco Selamun Donal Fariz Stephen Cambone Robert B. Zoellick Richard Myers Donggi-Senoro Robert Christie Murdoch Costello Dr B. J. Habibie Dr Boediono Dr Indrawati Dr Habibie Mr Badawi Tengku Razaleigh Mr Lim Barry Wain Daim Zainuddin Robert Mugabe Mr Boediono Mr Jusuf Kalla Mr Munir Mr Supandji Mr Djalal Maswadi Rauf Mr Andi Mr Taufik Kiemas Istana Merdeka Bruce Gale Mr Burhanuddin Gen Sutart Network around Go kar Party: 1 1998–2004 (before e ect ons, Megawat ) 2 2005–2012 (after e ect ons, Yudhoyono) n = 8638, m = 26185, k ≈ 6, c ≈ 0.55
- 10. Degree distribution 1998–2004 100 101 102 103 k 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 100 Pr(X>k) Degree distribution 2005–2012 100 101 102 103 104 k 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 100 Pr(X>k) Degree distribution
- 11. Comparing the degrees k1 = degree from 1998–2004 k2 = degree from 2005–2012 100 101 102 103 K1 100 101 102 103K2 K1 vs K2 Correlation R ≈ 0.026
- 12. Cohesive elites 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Clustering Coefficient 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500 DeltaK Delta K vs Clustering Correlation R ≈ 0.17. Cohesive elites more resilient.
- 13. Infectious 250 200 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 Delta Knn 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500 DeltaK Delta K vs Delta Knn Correlation R ≈ −0.05. No indication of infectious effect.
- 14. Distance 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Distance 300 200 100 0 100 200 300 400 500 DeltaK Delta K vs Distance Correlation R ≈ 0.15. Distance might play some role.
- 15. Conclusions Conclusions • Cohesive elites might play a role • Infectious effects seem not present • Distance might have some effect Issues • Comparison to randomized networks • Other operationalisations of hypotheses? • Example not on actual regime change
- 16. Questions Interesting dataset, lots of potential Questions • How to identify elites in data? • How to extract “meaningful” relationships? • Network analysis Questions? Comments? Answers? Twitter: @vtraag