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DECIPHERING THE MASSIVE OPEN ONLINE
COURSES (MOOCS) ECOSYSTEM: WHAT
MAKES SUCCESSFUL MOOCS?
Ido Roll, Will Engle, Simon Bates!
@hummus_monster @infology @simonpbates @CTLT_UBC!
Centre for Teaching, Learning, and Technology!
University of British Columbia
1
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
Please raise your hand if you have pre-teen
child(ren) at home.!
Please keep it up if you know where the following
sentence is taken from:!
“The snow glows white on the mountain tonight”
2
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
LEARNING FROM VIDEO !
IS POSSIBLE
3
If someone wants to learn, you cannot stop them.!
@eric_mazur #STLHE2014
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
WE KNOW A LOT ABOUT
UNIVERSITY TEACHING
What works?!
Small classrooms!
Interactivity!
With material!
With peers!
With instructors!
Feedback!
…
4
MOOCs
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
THREE KEY QUESTIONS
5
Who are !
our learners?
What defines !
success?
What course design
supports that?
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
CONTEXT
Four UBC courses (Spring/Summer 2013)!
Climate Literacy; Useful Genetics; Program Design; Game
Theory!
330,000 learners registered. !
Five Edinburgh courses (Winter/Spring 2013)!
Introduction to Philosophy; Artificial Intelligence;
Astrobiology; Nutrition; Critical Thinking.!
309,000 learners registered.!
https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/6683!
6
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
VIDEO PRODUCTION
7
Averagelengthpervideo(min)
0
6
12
18
24
Average # of videos per week
0 4 8 12 16
UBC 1
UBC 2
UBC 3
UBC 4
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
THREE KEY QUESTIONS
8
Who are
our learners?
What defines !
success?
What course design
supports that?
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
WHO ARE OUR LEARNERS?
General demographics consistent across courses
and with Coursera.
9
Education level
%responses
0
25
50
75
100
UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 Coursera
High School Diploma
Professional School
Some College
Bachelor’s Degree
Master’s Degree
Doctorate Degree
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
WHO ARE OUR LEARNERS?
General demographics consistent across courses
and with Coursera.
10
Ethnicity
%responses
0
25
50
75
100
UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 Coursera
White or Caucasian
South Asian
East Asian
Other Asian
Black or African American
Decline to State
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY
Does location matter? Are MOOCs “local”?
11
Country of Origin
%responses
0
15
30
45
60
UBC overall Coursera Edinburgh
11
3.6
3.9
United States
India
Canada
United Kingdom
Spain
Brazil
Germany
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY
Does location matter? Are MOOCs “local”?
12
Country of Origin
%responses
0
15
30
45
60
UBC overall Coursera Edinburgh
43.9
5.2
United States
India
Canada
United Kingdom
Spain
Brazil
Germany
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY
Break down by course.
weighting by overall
registration, population of
country:!
How many more students
are local, per 10,000
registrants, per capita?!
In Canada, !
~150 additional local
students!
~500 Canadians overall
13
Extralocallearnersper10,000
registrants,1,000,000residents
0
2.5
5
7.5
10
UBC Edinburgh
2.0
1.0
55.7
3.3
5.5
4.8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
THREE KEY QUESTIONS
14
Who are !
our learners?
What defines
success?
What course design
support that?
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
WHAT DEFINES SUCCESS?
Definitions:!
Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.
15
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
Definitions:!
Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.!
Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.
16
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
Definitions:!
Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.!
Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.!
Learners: watch videos all the way through.
17
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
Definitions:!
Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.!
Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.!
Learners: watch videos all the way through. !
Active learners: problem sets, discussion forums.
18
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
Definitions:!
Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.!
Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.!
Learners: watch videos all the way through. !
Active learners: problem sets, discussion forums.
19
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
Metrics:!
Attractiveness: convertVisitors to Tasters.!
Retention: convert Tasters to Learners!
Interactivity: convert Learners to Active Learners.
20
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Visitors
Tasters Learners
Active Learners
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
METRICS OF SUCCESS
21
0
0.15
0.3
0.45
0.6
Attractiveness Retention Interactivity
48%
54%
35%
50%
31%29%
52%
58%
36% 35%
57%
24%
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Visitors
Tasters Learners
Active Learners
17k 13k 49k 85k 2k 3k 4k 16k
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
THREE KEY QUESTIONS
22
Who are !
our learners?
What defines !
success?
What course design
support that?
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
WHAT AFFECTS CONVERSION
RATES?
Correlate with:!
Average length per video!
Average length per week
23
Activities
Videos
Website
Week
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Visitors
Tasters Learners
Active Learners
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
ATTRACTIVENESS
Visitors -> Tasters: How many of those who
visited the website watched Week 2 videos?!
By length per week: r = -0.72*, r² = 0.52!
24
%ofVisitorswho
arealsoTasters
0%
20%
40%
60%
Overall legth of videos per week (min)
0 45 90 135 180
UBC
Edinburgh
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
ATTRACTIVENESS
Visitors -> Tasters: How many of those who
visited the website watched Week 2 videos?!
By length per video: r = -0.33!
25
%ofVisitorswho
arealsoTasters
0%
20%
40%
60%
Average length per video
5 8 11 14 17
UBC
Edinburgh
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
RETENTION
Tasters -> Learners: How many of those who
watched @ Week 2 also watched @ Week 5?!
By length per week: r = -0.29!
26
%ofTasterswho
arealsoLearners
0%
26.667%
53.333%
80%
Overall legth of videos per week (min)
0 45 90 135 180
UBC
Edinburgh
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
RETENTION
Tasters -> Learners: How many of those who
watched @ Week 2 also watched @ Week 5?!
By length per video: r = 0.55, r² = 0.30
27
%ofTasterswho
arealsoLearners
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Average length per video
5 8 11 14 17
UBC
Edinburgh
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
INTERACTIVITY
How many of the students who watch videos also
submit problem sets?
28
%ofvideowatchers
whosubmitted
problemsets
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Week
0 2 4 6 8
UBC 1
UBC 2
UBC 3
UBC 4
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
SUMMARY
Local matters!
Courses have unique “signatures”!
Structure, e.g., # and length of videos!
Engagement, e.g., % active learning.!
Overall length of videos is negatively correlated
with retention!
But length of individual videos does not show such
relationship. !
True for both universities
29
@hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014
DESIGN RECOMMENDATIONS
Long videos may be okay!
Especially later in the course!
Keep overall load reasonable.!
Active learning is not affected by week-by-week
variations!
Two-stage courses: attractiveness and retention.
30

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Deciphering the MOOC ecosystem: what makes successful MOOCs

  • 1. DECIPHERING THE MASSIVE OPEN ONLINE COURSES (MOOCS) ECOSYSTEM: WHAT MAKES SUCCESSFUL MOOCS? Ido Roll, Will Engle, Simon Bates! @hummus_monster @infology @simonpbates @CTLT_UBC! Centre for Teaching, Learning, and Technology! University of British Columbia 1
  • 2. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 Please raise your hand if you have pre-teen child(ren) at home.! Please keep it up if you know where the following sentence is taken from:! “The snow glows white on the mountain tonight” 2
  • 3. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 LEARNING FROM VIDEO ! IS POSSIBLE 3 If someone wants to learn, you cannot stop them.! @eric_mazur #STLHE2014
  • 4. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 WE KNOW A LOT ABOUT UNIVERSITY TEACHING What works?! Small classrooms! Interactivity! With material! With peers! With instructors! Feedback! … 4 MOOCs
  • 5. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 THREE KEY QUESTIONS 5 Who are ! our learners? What defines ! success? What course design supports that?
  • 6. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 CONTEXT Four UBC courses (Spring/Summer 2013)! Climate Literacy; Useful Genetics; Program Design; Game Theory! 330,000 learners registered. ! Five Edinburgh courses (Winter/Spring 2013)! Introduction to Philosophy; Artificial Intelligence; Astrobiology; Nutrition; Critical Thinking.! 309,000 learners registered.! https://www.era.lib.ed.ac.uk/handle/1842/6683! 6
  • 7. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 VIDEO PRODUCTION 7 Averagelengthpervideo(min) 0 6 12 18 24 Average # of videos per week 0 4 8 12 16 UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 UBC 4
  • 8. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 THREE KEY QUESTIONS 8 Who are our learners? What defines ! success? What course design supports that?
  • 9. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 WHO ARE OUR LEARNERS? General demographics consistent across courses and with Coursera. 9 Education level %responses 0 25 50 75 100 UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 Coursera High School Diploma Professional School Some College Bachelor’s Degree Master’s Degree Doctorate Degree
  • 10. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 WHO ARE OUR LEARNERS? General demographics consistent across courses and with Coursera. 10 Ethnicity %responses 0 25 50 75 100 UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 Coursera White or Caucasian South Asian East Asian Other Asian Black or African American Decline to State
  • 11. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY Does location matter? Are MOOCs “local”? 11 Country of Origin %responses 0 15 30 45 60 UBC overall Coursera Edinburgh 11 3.6 3.9 United States India Canada United Kingdom Spain Brazil Germany
  • 12. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY Does location matter? Are MOOCs “local”? 12 Country of Origin %responses 0 15 30 45 60 UBC overall Coursera Edinburgh 43.9 5.2 United States India Canada United Kingdom Spain Brazil Germany
  • 13. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 ROLE OF GEOGRAPHY Break down by course. weighting by overall registration, population of country:! How many more students are local, per 10,000 registrants, per capita?! In Canada, ! ~150 additional local students! ~500 Canadians overall 13 Extralocallearnersper10,000 registrants,1,000,000residents 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 UBC Edinburgh 2.0 1.0 55.7 3.3 5.5 4.8
  • 14. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 THREE KEY QUESTIONS 14 Who are ! our learners? What defines success? What course design support that?
  • 15. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 WHAT DEFINES SUCCESS? Definitions:! Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator. 15 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 16. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS Definitions:! Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.! Tasters: watch a video on Week 2. 16 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 17. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS Definitions:! Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.! Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.! Learners: watch videos all the way through. 17 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 18. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS Definitions:! Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.! Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.! Learners: watch videos all the way through. ! Active learners: problem sets, discussion forums. 18 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 19. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS Definitions:! Visitors: log in at least once. Our denominator.! Tasters: watch a video on Week 2.! Learners: watch videos all the way through. ! Active learners: problem sets, discussion forums. 19 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 20. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS Metrics:! Attractiveness: convertVisitors to Tasters.! Retention: convert Tasters to Learners! Interactivity: convert Learners to Active Learners. 20 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Visitors Tasters Learners Active Learners
  • 21. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 METRICS OF SUCCESS 21 0 0.15 0.3 0.45 0.6 Attractiveness Retention Interactivity 48% 54% 35% 50% 31%29% 52% 58% 36% 35% 57% 24% Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Visitors Tasters Learners Active Learners 17k 13k 49k 85k 2k 3k 4k 16k
  • 22. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 THREE KEY QUESTIONS 22 Who are ! our learners? What defines ! success? What course design support that?
  • 23. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 WHAT AFFECTS CONVERSION RATES? Correlate with:! Average length per video! Average length per week 23 Activities Videos Website Week 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Visitors Tasters Learners Active Learners
  • 24. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 ATTRACTIVENESS Visitors -> Tasters: How many of those who visited the website watched Week 2 videos?! By length per week: r = -0.72*, r² = 0.52! 24 %ofVisitorswho arealsoTasters 0% 20% 40% 60% Overall legth of videos per week (min) 0 45 90 135 180 UBC Edinburgh
  • 25. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 ATTRACTIVENESS Visitors -> Tasters: How many of those who visited the website watched Week 2 videos?! By length per video: r = -0.33! 25 %ofVisitorswho arealsoTasters 0% 20% 40% 60% Average length per video 5 8 11 14 17 UBC Edinburgh
  • 26. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 RETENTION Tasters -> Learners: How many of those who watched @ Week 2 also watched @ Week 5?! By length per week: r = -0.29! 26 %ofTasterswho arealsoLearners 0% 26.667% 53.333% 80% Overall legth of videos per week (min) 0 45 90 135 180 UBC Edinburgh
  • 27. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 RETENTION Tasters -> Learners: How many of those who watched @ Week 2 also watched @ Week 5?! By length per video: r = 0.55, r² = 0.30 27 %ofTasterswho arealsoLearners 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Average length per video 5 8 11 14 17 UBC Edinburgh
  • 28. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 INTERACTIVITY How many of the students who watch videos also submit problem sets? 28 %ofvideowatchers whosubmitted problemsets 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Week 0 2 4 6 8 UBC 1 UBC 2 UBC 3 UBC 4
  • 29. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 SUMMARY Local matters! Courses have unique “signatures”! Structure, e.g., # and length of videos! Engagement, e.g., % active learning.! Overall length of videos is negatively correlated with retention! But length of individual videos does not show such relationship. ! True for both universities 29
  • 30. @hummus_monster @simonpbates @UBC_CTLT #STLHE2014 DESIGN RECOMMENDATIONS Long videos may be okay! Especially later in the course! Keep overall load reasonable.! Active learning is not affected by week-by-week variations! Two-stage courses: attractiveness and retention. 30