SilverlanceDigital
- 2. million square meters of commercial and residential space needs to be built times - the number by which GDP will have multiplied by 2030 million people will live in cities, twice as of many countries kilometers of metros and subways will need to be constructed- 20 times the capacity added in the past decade billion square meters of roads will have to be paved, 20 times the capacity added in the past decade 5 590 7400 2.5 trillion capacity investment is necessary to meet projected demand in Indian cities $1. 2 percent of net new employment will be generated in cities70 million urban households will be middle class, up from 22 million today 91 THE URBAN AWAKENING cities will have population of one million plus, up from 42 today68 700-900
- 3. 0 500 1000 2007 2030 Supply Basic service demand 0 50 100 150 200 2007 2030 Supply Demand On current trends and quality of Urban Services 0 100 200 2007 2030 Supply Demand 0 5000 10000 2007 2030 Supply Demand Private Transportation Thousand lane kilometers Gap rises 2x to 440,000 lane kilometers Rail-Based Mass-Transit Directional route kilometers Gap triples to 6,400 kilometers Water Supply Billion liters per day Gap increases 3.5x to 94 billion liters per day Sewage Billion liters per day Gap doubles to 109 billion liters per day
- 4. 0 200 400 2007 2030 Supply Demand 0 50 2007 2030 Supply Demand Solid waste Million tons per annum Gap Rises 4x to 82 million tons per annum Gap rises to 38 million units Affordable Housing Demand for houses, million units SOURCE: United Nations, Handbook of benchmarks, Ministry of Urban development; W. Smith, Transportation Policies and Strategies in Urban India; National Council for Applied Economic Research; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
- 5. 0 1000 2000 1991 2001 2008 2030 InMillions Urban Population Urbanization Rate Urban Population Total Population Cities are likely to house 40% of India’s Population by 2030 Defined as the ratio of urban to total population based on the sensus definition of urban areas; population >5,000; density >400 persons per square kilometer; 75 percent of male workers in non-agricultural sectors; and other statutory urban areas SOURCE: India Urbanization Econometric Model; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
- 6. 0% 50% 100% 1990 2001 2008 2030Rural Urban 8.0% GDP growth rate is assumed between 2009- 2018, stabilizing to 7.0% between 2018-2030. Capital investment is necessary to erase our infrastructure backlog and the rest to fund cities’ future needs. Transportation and housing stand out as the two most capital-intensive sectors. The challenge for us will be to ramp up investment in line with economic growth. One trajectory would involve annual spending of around $30 billion through 2015, ratcheting up to $60 billion a year by 2020 and $90 billion annually by 2030. SOURCE: India Urbanization Econometric Model; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
- 8. • The construction planning must be based on carrying capacity of the national resources. • First a national survey must be done so that we can figure out how much we have and where must be the production centers. For e.g. :- Where is the fertile land to grow crops ? How many people are in various locations ? what is the state of their health? this will help us determine where the hospitals should be built and how many. 4%3%3% 9% 26% 12% 9% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% Share of States in Value of Mineral Production Assam Goa Karnataka Remaining States Offshore Odisha Chattisgarh Rajasthan Andhra Pradesh Gujrat Jharkhand Madhya Pradesh
- 9. • The Energy consumption of these production centers should be optimized so as to minimize the wastage. • Power plants must be set up which uses renewable sources of Energy as means to generate energy and electricity. 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 THERMAL NUCLEAR HYDRO RES TOTAL CAPTIVE 153848 4780 39623 27542 225793 34444 ALL INDIA GENERATING INSTALLED CAPACITY ( MW ) (As on 30-06-2013 ) • Achieve a level of production that is so high that scarcity no longer exists. • Automate the production procedure as much as possible in the shortest period of time, the more the robotic automation in the production assembly, the less will be the time taken and cost price of the cost and hence brings abundance spontaneously.
- 10. • We won't accumulate or store outdated products any more, we will recycle it and make it better. • The city will have in-built transportation system so that there will be no accidents. Inter-Citys transportation will be by Mono Rails and Metros. • For residential construction, the techniques will be vastly different from which we deployed at present. Extruded and self erecting structures can revolutionized and speed up construction process. • These light weight durable apartment, the outer shells of these materials shall serve as photo-voltaic cells and heat concentrators.
- 11. WHAT ARE THE SYMPTOMS ? It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society. Our societies residing in mega-cities today are suffering from poor sanitation, inefficient transport system, mindless energy consumption and many more, but all these attributes are mere symptoms which are hiding among the plain sight. The main culprit is chaotic unplanned urban development. WHAT IS THE PROBLEM ? Poverty, greed, crime and corruption are not a natural part of human behavior but the very by-product of this unplanned in-efficient urban development. Human nature is determined environmentally, therefore the better the environment, the higher the standards of human living and hence we need sustainable development programs to build the cities of the future which perhaps will ensure all the necessary amenities to its civilians. Since we now the real culprit behind all these symptoms we must find the cure... WHAT IS THE CURE ? To find the cure we must first understand the root of this problem i.e., poverty and crime so as to say. The primary factor that results in poverty and crime is the scarcity of resources. The only way to tackle the problem of scarcity is by creating a country of national abundance.
- 12. WHAT AND WHY WE NEED 'NATIONAL ABUNDANCE’ ? Abundance is basically a situation which ensure the access of necessary privileges to every individual of the society irrespective of any possible discrimination. Why we need a situation of national abundance is because if every individual will enjoy the necessary privileges of a society than he/she will never have to endure in mid-road huts and steal for survival. HOW CAN WE ACHIEVE ‘NATIONAL ABUNDANCE’ ? Before we can understand the procedure we must understand what is the thing that have ever improve human lives? It’s not money when it comes to its purchasing power, it’s not politics, and it’s not religion... It’s the technology. Technology is the pencil our children use to solidify their ideas on paper for communication, Technology is an automobile like Scooty which has allowed our women to become independent and make them travel faster than the feet would do. Technology is the pair of eye-glasses which enables sight to our old persons and there’s no end to it, from kitchen utensils to Satellite Launching Vehicles, technology have always improve human lives or at least have done more good than harm. WHAT IS THE BIG PICTURE ? The situation of national abundance can only be and can be attained from our present day technology which the nation already have. By efficient use of technology we can tackle the problem of national scarcity. By using alternative sources of energy, smart home, smart power grid, smart infrastructure and better planning from governing authority will itself ensure the scenario of National Abundance. Once achieved will make almost all kind of crime and violence obsolete. The NRIs working abroad will observe the scenario of National Abundance in India, this will initiate the process of Brain Gain. The situation of National Abundance will facilitates the Women Empowerment projects. This scenario will be able to resolve virtually all the problems of the nation and perhaps Mankind.
- 13. APPENDIX REFERENCES • Central Electricity Authority (cea.nic.in) • India Urbanization Econometric Model; McKinsey Global Institute analysis • United Nations, Handbook of benchmarks, Ministry of Urban development • W. Smith, Transportation Policies and Strategies in Urban India • National Council for Applied Economic Research