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Spectral Analysis
2
Frequency domain approach
 Examines contributions of different
frequencies in explaining the variance.
 Analysis based on the estimated spectral
density function.
 Provides the information on the properties of
the time series data.
 Applied to econometric problems*.
3
Example
Monthly growth rate of IP , T = 513
peaks at k = 18, 44, 89, 128, 171, 210
cycle vk = k/T = 18/513, 44/513, .., 210/513
period Tk = 1/vk = 28.5, 12, … months
(28.5/12=2.3 yrs business cycle, 12, ..
seasonality,, )
frequency wk = 2vk = 2(18/513), ..
(per unit time in radian)
4
Use of the spectral density function
S(wk) of X, where wk = 2vk
Total area under the curve from 0 to 
= .5 Var(X)
(Symmetric from  to 2)
We examine if low or high frequency dominates.
Examples (using “PEST” program)
unit root process (low)
white noise (horizontal line)
Stationary MA(1), AR(1) process (high)
5
Background
 Fourier transformation
Xt=  {over k=0 to T/2} Xt(vk)
=  [akcos(wkt) + bksin(wkt)]
where ak and bk are orthogonal Fourier coefficients.
• Xt(vj) and Xt(vk) are orthogonal.
 Variance decomposition
Var(Xt) =  Var(Xt(vk)) =  k
2
… The variance is decomposed over different frequencies.
6
 Another form of (Discrete) Fourier
transformation
X(k) = T-1  Xt exp(-iwkt) = Xc(k) - iXs(k)
Inverse Fourier transformation
Xt = sum {over k=-(T/2) to (T/2)} X(k)exp(iwkt)
 Periodogram
I(wk) = 2T[Xc(k)2 + Xs(k)2]
.. Not-consistent estimator for the spectral density
Background
7
Spectral density function
 Spectral density function
Sx(wk) = (1/2) {over j= -to}j exp(-iwj)
= (1/2)[0 + 2 {over j=0 to} j cos(wj)]
fx(wk) = Sx(wk)/ 0
.. Normalized spectral density
 Inversion
0 = integral {from - to}Sx(wk) dw
8
 Smoothed spectral density
Sx(wk) = (1/2) {over j= -to}j exp(-iwj)
= (1/2)[0 + 2 {over k=1 toM} wn(k)j cos(wj)]
where wn(k) is a lag window (kernel)
M is a bandwidth.
Note: Automatic bandwidth by Andrews(1991)
Spectral density function
9
Applications to Econometrics
Spectral density at frequency zero
Sx(0) = (1/2) {over j= -to} j
“longrun variance” = 2 Sx(0)
2 = 0 + 2 {over k=1 toM} wn(k)j
… captures “unknown” error structure
(non-parametric estimation)
10
 Autocorrelation-heteroskedasticity
consistent standard error in regression
Recall:
White’s Heteroskedasticity consistent standard
error
Extension to allow for autocorrelation as well.
Example
Applications to Econometrics
11
Hannan’s efficient estimator
yt = Xt’ +ut with unknown autocorrelation
Transform yt & Xt in frequency domain, then
do OLS on the transformed variables, say yt* & Xt*.
Transformation is based on the cross spectral
density of
yt & ut (also, Xt & ut), then inverse transformation
Applications to Econometrics
12
Goodness-of-fit test
.. Testing for a white noise process (or any ARMA)
Based on the cumulative peridogram
Max difference follows Kolmogorov-Smirnov
statistics.
Applications to Econometrics
13
Cross, coherence & phase spectra
Cross Spectrum
Using cross covariance, XY(j)
Coherence Spectrum
like correlation coefficient
Phase spectrum
lead & lag analysis (like Causality)
14
Bi-spectrum
Bi-varaite joint density
S(w1, w2)
Testing for linearity
15
16
This Side: Long Time Period
j small, wj small, & T large
Short Time Period
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
z=e^(iw)
24
Fourier Transform
F(a) is the Fourier transform of f(x)
f x
F
F a
25
Fourier Transform
26
Laplace Transform
F(t) Laplace Transform
f s
L
F t

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Spactral analysis in earthquake engineering

  • 2. 2 Frequency domain approach  Examines contributions of different frequencies in explaining the variance.  Analysis based on the estimated spectral density function.  Provides the information on the properties of the time series data.  Applied to econometric problems*.
  • 3. 3 Example Monthly growth rate of IP , T = 513 peaks at k = 18, 44, 89, 128, 171, 210 cycle vk = k/T = 18/513, 44/513, .., 210/513 period Tk = 1/vk = 28.5, 12, … months (28.5/12=2.3 yrs business cycle, 12, .. seasonality,, ) frequency wk = 2vk = 2(18/513), .. (per unit time in radian)
  • 4. 4 Use of the spectral density function S(wk) of X, where wk = 2vk Total area under the curve from 0 to  = .5 Var(X) (Symmetric from  to 2) We examine if low or high frequency dominates. Examples (using “PEST” program) unit root process (low) white noise (horizontal line) Stationary MA(1), AR(1) process (high)
  • 5. 5 Background  Fourier transformation Xt=  {over k=0 to T/2} Xt(vk) =  [akcos(wkt) + bksin(wkt)] where ak and bk are orthogonal Fourier coefficients. • Xt(vj) and Xt(vk) are orthogonal.  Variance decomposition Var(Xt) =  Var(Xt(vk)) =  k 2 … The variance is decomposed over different frequencies.
  • 6. 6  Another form of (Discrete) Fourier transformation X(k) = T-1  Xt exp(-iwkt) = Xc(k) - iXs(k) Inverse Fourier transformation Xt = sum {over k=-(T/2) to (T/2)} X(k)exp(iwkt)  Periodogram I(wk) = 2T[Xc(k)2 + Xs(k)2] .. Not-consistent estimator for the spectral density Background
  • 7. 7 Spectral density function  Spectral density function Sx(wk) = (1/2) {over j= -to}j exp(-iwj) = (1/2)[0 + 2 {over j=0 to} j cos(wj)] fx(wk) = Sx(wk)/ 0 .. Normalized spectral density  Inversion 0 = integral {from - to}Sx(wk) dw
  • 8. 8  Smoothed spectral density Sx(wk) = (1/2) {over j= -to}j exp(-iwj) = (1/2)[0 + 2 {over k=1 toM} wn(k)j cos(wj)] where wn(k) is a lag window (kernel) M is a bandwidth. Note: Automatic bandwidth by Andrews(1991) Spectral density function
  • 9. 9 Applications to Econometrics Spectral density at frequency zero Sx(0) = (1/2) {over j= -to} j “longrun variance” = 2 Sx(0) 2 = 0 + 2 {over k=1 toM} wn(k)j … captures “unknown” error structure (non-parametric estimation)
  • 10. 10  Autocorrelation-heteroskedasticity consistent standard error in regression Recall: White’s Heteroskedasticity consistent standard error Extension to allow for autocorrelation as well. Example Applications to Econometrics
  • 11. 11 Hannan’s efficient estimator yt = Xt’ +ut with unknown autocorrelation Transform yt & Xt in frequency domain, then do OLS on the transformed variables, say yt* & Xt*. Transformation is based on the cross spectral density of yt & ut (also, Xt & ut), then inverse transformation Applications to Econometrics
  • 12. 12 Goodness-of-fit test .. Testing for a white noise process (or any ARMA) Based on the cumulative peridogram Max difference follows Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics. Applications to Econometrics
  • 13. 13 Cross, coherence & phase spectra Cross Spectrum Using cross covariance, XY(j) Coherence Spectrum like correlation coefficient Phase spectrum lead & lag analysis (like Causality)
  • 15. 15
  • 16. 16 This Side: Long Time Period j small, wj small, & T large Short Time Period
  • 17. 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22
  • 24. 24 Fourier Transform F(a) is the Fourier transform of f(x) f x F F a
  • 26. 26 Laplace Transform F(t) Laplace Transform f s L F t