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Ch 3 -1 
Chapter 3The External Assessment 
Ch 3 -2 
Ch 3 -3 
“It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.” –Charles Darwin 
External Assessment 
“Nothing focuses the mind better than the constant sight of a competitor who wants to wipe you off the map.” 
–Wayne Calloway, Former CEO, PepsiCo 
Ch 3 -4 
External Strategic Management Audit 
–Environmental Scanning 
–Industry Analysis 
Ch 3 -5 
Identify & evaluate factors beyond the control of a single firm 
Increased foreign competition 
Population shifts 
Aging society 
Fear of traveling 
Stock market volatility 
External Strategic Management Audit 
Ch 3 -6 
Purpose of an External Audit 
Develop a finite list of 
opportunities that could benefit a firm 
threats that should be avoided 
External Strategic Management Audit
2 
Ch 3 -7 Ch 3 -8 
 Gather competitive intelligence 
 Assimilate information 
 Evaluate 
Resulting in a list of the most 
important key external factors 
External Audit 
Ch 3 -9 
Performing External Audit 
External 
Factors 
Measurable 
Long-term Orientation 
Applicable to 
Competing Firms 
Hierarchical 
Ch 3 -10 
Industrial Organization 
(I/O) View 
Industry factors are more important 
than internal factors 
 Performance determined by industry 
forces 
Ch 3 -11 
Economies of Scale 
Industry Properties 
Barriers to Market Entry 
Product Differentiation 
The Economy 
I/O Perspective Firm Performance 
Level of Competitiveness 
Ch 3 -12 
Economic Forces 
 GDP 
 Trends in the dollar’s value 
 Unemployment rates
3 
Ch 3 -13 Ch 3 -14 
Social, Cultural, Demographic, and 
Natural Environmental Forces 
Major Impact – 
•Products 
•Services 
•Markets 
•Customers 
Ch 3 -15 
Social, Cultural, Demographic, and 
Natural Environmental Forces 
 US Facts 
 Aging population 
 Less White 
 Widening gap between rich & poor 
 2025 = 18.5% population > 65 years 
 2075 = no ethnic or racial majority 
Ch 3 -16 
Social, Cultural, Demographic, and 
Natural Environmental Forces 
 Facts 
 World population 7 billion 
 World population = 8 billion by 2028 
 World population = 9 billion by 2054 
 U.S. population > 310 million 
Ch 3 -17 
 Trends 
 More American households with 
people living alone 
 Aging Americans – affects all 
organizations 
Social, Cultural, Demographic, and 
Natural Environmental Forces 
Ch 3 -18 
Political, Governmental, and 
Legal Forces 
Key opportunities & threats 
 Antitrust legislation 
 Tax rates 
 Lobbying activities 
 Patent laws 
Government Regulation
4 
Ch 3 -19 
Political, Governmental, and Legal Forces 
Protectionist policies 
Governments taking equity stakes in companies 
Ch 3 -20 
Technological Forces 
Major Impact – 
•Internet 
Ch 3 -21 
Technological Forces 
Significance of IT 
•Chief Information Officer (CIO) 
•Chief Technology Officer (CTO) 
Ch 3 -22 
Technological Forces 
Essential for nearly every strategic decision 
Ch 3 -23 
Competitive Forces 
Collection & evaluation of data on competitors is essential for successful strategy formulation 
Ch 3 -24 
Competitive Forces 
•Strengths 
•Weaknesses 
•Capabilities 
•Opportunities 
•Threats 
•Objectives 
•Strategies 
Identify Rival Firms’
5 
Ch 3 -25 
Competitive Forces 
Competition in virtually all industries can be described as intense 
Ch 3 -26 
Key Questions Concerning Competitors 
Their strengths 
Their weaknesses 
Their objectives and strategies 
Their responses to external variables 
Their vulnerability to our alternative strategies 
Our vulnerability to strategic counterattack 
Ch 3 -27 
Key Questions Concerning Competitors 
Our product/service positioning 
Entry and exit of firms in the industry 
Key factors for our current position in industry 
Sales/profit ranking of competitors over time 
Nature of supplier and distributor relationships 
The threat of substitute products/services 
Ch 3 -28 
Competitive Forces 
7 characteristics of most competitive firms 
Market share matters 
Understanding what business you are in 
Broke or not, fix it 
Innovate or evaporate 
Acquisition is essential to growth 
People make a difference 
No substitute for quality 
Ch 3 -29 
Competitive Intelligence 
A systematic and ethical process for gathering and analyzing information about the competition’s activities and general business trends to further a business’s own goals 
Ch 3 -30 
Sources of Competitive Intelligence 
Internet 
Employees 
Managers 
Suppliers 
Distributors 
Customers 
Creditors 
Consultants 
Trade journals 
Want ads 
Newspaper articles 
Government filings 
Competitors
6 
Ch 3 -31 
Objectives of Competitive Intelligence 
 Provide a general understanding of industry 
and competitors 
 Identify areas where competitors are 
vulnerable and assess impact of actions on 
competitors 
 Identify potential moves that a competitor 
might make 
Ch 3 -32 
Market Commonality 
 The number and significance of 
markets that a firm competes in 
with rivals 
Ch 3 -33 
Resource Similarity 
 Extent to which the type and 
amount of a firm’s internal 
resources are comparable to a 
rival 
Ch 3 -34 
The Five-Forces Model of Competition 
Ch 3 -35 
Steps to Determine if an Acceptable 
Profit Can Be Earned 
1. Identify key aspects or elements of each 
competitive force 
2. Evaluate how strong and important each 
element is for the firm 
3. Decide whether the collective strength of 
the elements is worth the firm entering or 
staying in the industry 
Ch 3 -36 
The Five-Forces Model 
 Rivalry among competing firms 
 Most powerful of the five forces 
 Focus on competitive advantage of 
strategies over other firms
7 
Ch 3 -37 
Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms 
High number of competing firms 
Similar size of firms competing 
Similar capability of firms competing 
Falling demand for the industry’s products 
Falling product/service prices in the industry 
Ch 3 -38 
Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms 
Consumers can switch brands easily 
Barriers to leaving the market are high 
Barriers to entering the market are low 
Fixed costs are high among firms competing 
The product is perishable 
Ch 3 -39 
Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms 
Rivals have excess capacity 
Consumer demand is falling 
Rivals have excess inventory 
Rivals sell similar products/services 
Mergers are common in the industry 
Ch 3 -40 
The Five-Forces Model 
Potential Entry of New Competitors 
Barriers to entry are important 
Quality, pricing, and marketing can overcome barriers 
Ch 3 -41 
The Five-Forces Model 
Potential development of substitute products 
Pressure increases when: 
Prices of substitutes decrease 
Consumers’ switching costs decrease 
Ch 3 -42 
The Five-Forces Model 
Bargaining Power of Suppliers is increased when there are: 
Large numbers of suppliers 
Few substitutes 
Costs of switching raw materials is high 
Backward integration is gaining control or ownership of suppliers
8 
Ch 3 -43 
The Five-Forces Model 
Bargaining power of consumers 
Customers being concentrated or buying in volume affects intensity of competition 
Consumer power is higher where products are standard or undifferentiated 
Ch 3 -44 
Conditions Where Consumers GainBargaining Power 
If buyers can inexpensively switch 
If buyers are particularly important 
If sellers are struggling in the face of falling consumer demand 
If buyers are informed about sellers’ products, prices, and costs 
If buyers have discretion in whether and when they purchase the product 
Ch 3 -45 
Sources of External Information: Unpublished Sources 
Customer surveys 
Market research 
Speeches at professional or shareholder meetings 
Television programs 
Interviews and conversations with stakeholders 
Ch 3 -46 
Sources of External Information: Published Sources 
Periodicals 
Journals 
Reports 
Government documents 
Abstracts 
Books 
Directories 
Newspapers 
Manuals 
Ch 3 -47 
Sources of External Information: Web Sites 
http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com 
http://moneycentral.msn.com 
http://finance.yahoo.com 
www.clearstation.com 
https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/markets 
www.hoovers.com 
Ch 3 -48 
Forecasting Tools and Techniques 
Forecasts are educated assumptions about future trends and events 
Quantitative techniques –most appropriate when historical data is available and there is a constant relationship 
Qualitative techniques
9 
Ch 3 -49 
Assumptions 
Estimates of future events based 
upon the best available 
information in the present 
Ch 3 -50 
Industry Analysis: The External 
Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix 
 Economic 
 Social 
 Cultural 
 Demographic 
 Environmental 
 Political 
 Governmental 
 Technological 
 Competitive 
 Legal 
Ch 3 -51 
EFE Matrix Steps 
1. List key external factors 
2. Weight from 0 to 1 
3. Rate effectiveness of current strategies 
4. Multiply weight * rating 
5. Sum weighted scores 
Ch 3 -52 
Ch 3 -53 Ch 3 -54 
Total weighted score of 4.0 
 Organization response is outstanding to threats 
and weaknesses 
Industry Analysis EFE 
Total weighted score of 1.0 
 Firm’s strategies not capitalizing on opportunities 
or avoiding threats
10 
Ch 3 -55 
Industry Analysis: Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM) 
Identifies firm’s major competitors and their strengths & weaknesses in relation to a sample firm’s strategic positions 
Critical success factors include internal and external issues 
Ch 3 -56 
Ch 3 -57 
Industry Analysis CPM 
Just because one firm receives a 3.2 rating and another receives a 2.8 rating, it does not follow that the first firm is 20 percent better than the second. 
Important –

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St. mgt. chapter 3

  • 1. 1 Ch 3 -1 Chapter 3The External Assessment Ch 3 -2 Ch 3 -3 “It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.” –Charles Darwin External Assessment “Nothing focuses the mind better than the constant sight of a competitor who wants to wipe you off the map.” –Wayne Calloway, Former CEO, PepsiCo Ch 3 -4 External Strategic Management Audit –Environmental Scanning –Industry Analysis Ch 3 -5 Identify & evaluate factors beyond the control of a single firm Increased foreign competition Population shifts Aging society Fear of traveling Stock market volatility External Strategic Management Audit Ch 3 -6 Purpose of an External Audit Develop a finite list of opportunities that could benefit a firm threats that should be avoided External Strategic Management Audit
  • 2. 2 Ch 3 -7 Ch 3 -8  Gather competitive intelligence  Assimilate information  Evaluate Resulting in a list of the most important key external factors External Audit Ch 3 -9 Performing External Audit External Factors Measurable Long-term Orientation Applicable to Competing Firms Hierarchical Ch 3 -10 Industrial Organization (I/O) View Industry factors are more important than internal factors  Performance determined by industry forces Ch 3 -11 Economies of Scale Industry Properties Barriers to Market Entry Product Differentiation The Economy I/O Perspective Firm Performance Level of Competitiveness Ch 3 -12 Economic Forces  GDP  Trends in the dollar’s value  Unemployment rates
  • 3. 3 Ch 3 -13 Ch 3 -14 Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Natural Environmental Forces Major Impact – •Products •Services •Markets •Customers Ch 3 -15 Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Natural Environmental Forces  US Facts  Aging population  Less White  Widening gap between rich & poor  2025 = 18.5% population > 65 years  2075 = no ethnic or racial majority Ch 3 -16 Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Natural Environmental Forces  Facts  World population 7 billion  World population = 8 billion by 2028  World population = 9 billion by 2054  U.S. population > 310 million Ch 3 -17  Trends  More American households with people living alone  Aging Americans – affects all organizations Social, Cultural, Demographic, and Natural Environmental Forces Ch 3 -18 Political, Governmental, and Legal Forces Key opportunities & threats  Antitrust legislation  Tax rates  Lobbying activities  Patent laws Government Regulation
  • 4. 4 Ch 3 -19 Political, Governmental, and Legal Forces Protectionist policies Governments taking equity stakes in companies Ch 3 -20 Technological Forces Major Impact – •Internet Ch 3 -21 Technological Forces Significance of IT •Chief Information Officer (CIO) •Chief Technology Officer (CTO) Ch 3 -22 Technological Forces Essential for nearly every strategic decision Ch 3 -23 Competitive Forces Collection & evaluation of data on competitors is essential for successful strategy formulation Ch 3 -24 Competitive Forces •Strengths •Weaknesses •Capabilities •Opportunities •Threats •Objectives •Strategies Identify Rival Firms’
  • 5. 5 Ch 3 -25 Competitive Forces Competition in virtually all industries can be described as intense Ch 3 -26 Key Questions Concerning Competitors Their strengths Their weaknesses Their objectives and strategies Their responses to external variables Their vulnerability to our alternative strategies Our vulnerability to strategic counterattack Ch 3 -27 Key Questions Concerning Competitors Our product/service positioning Entry and exit of firms in the industry Key factors for our current position in industry Sales/profit ranking of competitors over time Nature of supplier and distributor relationships The threat of substitute products/services Ch 3 -28 Competitive Forces 7 characteristics of most competitive firms Market share matters Understanding what business you are in Broke or not, fix it Innovate or evaporate Acquisition is essential to growth People make a difference No substitute for quality Ch 3 -29 Competitive Intelligence A systematic and ethical process for gathering and analyzing information about the competition’s activities and general business trends to further a business’s own goals Ch 3 -30 Sources of Competitive Intelligence Internet Employees Managers Suppliers Distributors Customers Creditors Consultants Trade journals Want ads Newspaper articles Government filings Competitors
  • 6. 6 Ch 3 -31 Objectives of Competitive Intelligence  Provide a general understanding of industry and competitors  Identify areas where competitors are vulnerable and assess impact of actions on competitors  Identify potential moves that a competitor might make Ch 3 -32 Market Commonality  The number and significance of markets that a firm competes in with rivals Ch 3 -33 Resource Similarity  Extent to which the type and amount of a firm’s internal resources are comparable to a rival Ch 3 -34 The Five-Forces Model of Competition Ch 3 -35 Steps to Determine if an Acceptable Profit Can Be Earned 1. Identify key aspects or elements of each competitive force 2. Evaluate how strong and important each element is for the firm 3. Decide whether the collective strength of the elements is worth the firm entering or staying in the industry Ch 3 -36 The Five-Forces Model  Rivalry among competing firms  Most powerful of the five forces  Focus on competitive advantage of strategies over other firms
  • 7. 7 Ch 3 -37 Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms High number of competing firms Similar size of firms competing Similar capability of firms competing Falling demand for the industry’s products Falling product/service prices in the industry Ch 3 -38 Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms Consumers can switch brands easily Barriers to leaving the market are high Barriers to entering the market are low Fixed costs are high among firms competing The product is perishable Ch 3 -39 Conditions that Cause High Rivalry Among Competing Firms Rivals have excess capacity Consumer demand is falling Rivals have excess inventory Rivals sell similar products/services Mergers are common in the industry Ch 3 -40 The Five-Forces Model Potential Entry of New Competitors Barriers to entry are important Quality, pricing, and marketing can overcome barriers Ch 3 -41 The Five-Forces Model Potential development of substitute products Pressure increases when: Prices of substitutes decrease Consumers’ switching costs decrease Ch 3 -42 The Five-Forces Model Bargaining Power of Suppliers is increased when there are: Large numbers of suppliers Few substitutes Costs of switching raw materials is high Backward integration is gaining control or ownership of suppliers
  • 8. 8 Ch 3 -43 The Five-Forces Model Bargaining power of consumers Customers being concentrated or buying in volume affects intensity of competition Consumer power is higher where products are standard or undifferentiated Ch 3 -44 Conditions Where Consumers GainBargaining Power If buyers can inexpensively switch If buyers are particularly important If sellers are struggling in the face of falling consumer demand If buyers are informed about sellers’ products, prices, and costs If buyers have discretion in whether and when they purchase the product Ch 3 -45 Sources of External Information: Unpublished Sources Customer surveys Market research Speeches at professional or shareholder meetings Television programs Interviews and conversations with stakeholders Ch 3 -46 Sources of External Information: Published Sources Periodicals Journals Reports Government documents Abstracts Books Directories Newspapers Manuals Ch 3 -47 Sources of External Information: Web Sites http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com http://moneycentral.msn.com http://finance.yahoo.com www.clearstation.com https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/markets www.hoovers.com Ch 3 -48 Forecasting Tools and Techniques Forecasts are educated assumptions about future trends and events Quantitative techniques –most appropriate when historical data is available and there is a constant relationship Qualitative techniques
  • 9. 9 Ch 3 -49 Assumptions Estimates of future events based upon the best available information in the present Ch 3 -50 Industry Analysis: The External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix  Economic  Social  Cultural  Demographic  Environmental  Political  Governmental  Technological  Competitive  Legal Ch 3 -51 EFE Matrix Steps 1. List key external factors 2. Weight from 0 to 1 3. Rate effectiveness of current strategies 4. Multiply weight * rating 5. Sum weighted scores Ch 3 -52 Ch 3 -53 Ch 3 -54 Total weighted score of 4.0  Organization response is outstanding to threats and weaknesses Industry Analysis EFE Total weighted score of 1.0  Firm’s strategies not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding threats
  • 10. 10 Ch 3 -55 Industry Analysis: Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM) Identifies firm’s major competitors and their strengths & weaknesses in relation to a sample firm’s strategic positions Critical success factors include internal and external issues Ch 3 -56 Ch 3 -57 Industry Analysis CPM Just because one firm receives a 3.2 rating and another receives a 2.8 rating, it does not follow that the first firm is 20 percent better than the second. Important –