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Startup Metrics:
Identify, Measure, & Drive Your Startup
Hala Saleh
www.27sprints.com | @HalaSaleh1
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
•  <<Name>>
•  I work at <<Startup, Not-Startup>>
•  The top 3 things I want to learn about Startup
Metrics are: ______________________________
_________________________________________
_________________________________________
3	
  
10	
  
76	
  
231	
  
567	
  
819	
  
0	
  
100	
  
200	
  
300	
  
400	
  
500	
  
600	
  
700	
  
800	
  
900	
  
Month1	
   Month2	
   Month3	
   Month4	
   Month5	
  
#	
  Subscrip+ons	
  
What Does Progress Look Like?
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
100% OF US LIE TO
OURSELVES
4	
  2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
100% of us lie to ourselves
5
“We’re killing it!”
“The market isn’t ready.”
“Our user base has increased
100% We’re on a solid growth path.”
“We got 10K views this week.
Conversion will be a breeze!”
“My Tweet got 13 Retweets.
I NAILED it (and am a genius).”
“My FB status got 231 Likes.
I am kind of a big deal.”
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
PDCA:
TO IMPROVE WE MUST MEASURE
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Plan -> Do -> Check -> Act
METRICS:
THE GOOD, THE BAD, & THE REST
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Good Metrics
1.  Comparable:
“90% click-through rate” OR
“Decreased click-through rate” ?
2.  Understandable:
Your audience should be able to understand your
metrics.
3.  Ratios:
“# Purchases per free account” OR
“# Purchases” ?
4.  THEY CHANGE THE WAY WE BEHAVE
- By answering a specific Business Question
- By being the right metric to track at the right time
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Bad Metrics
Most importantly:
Bad metrics = The wrong metric to
track at the wrong time
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Types of Metrics: What to Consider
1.  Qualitative vs. Quantitative
2.  Vanity vs. Actionable
3.  Exploratory vs. Reporting
4.  Leading vs. Lagging
5.  Correlated vs. Causal
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Metrics ‘Tricks’ for Ninjas
1.  Segmentation
2.  Cohort Analysis
3.  A/B Testing
4.  Multivariate Analysis
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Segmentation
Segment: A group that shares a common
characteristic.
E.g.:
-  Users who run Chrome
-  Customers with Premium Subscription
-  Users by geographic region/ country
What makes sense for your business? Investigate.
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Cohort Analysis
Cohort Analysis: Comparing similar groups of
users over time
E.g.: % of users who signed up after visiting your
site, grouped by # weeks.
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
A/B Testing
A/B Testing: Comparing results of changing
one element of a webpage while keeping all
other elements equal.
OR: Comparing results of multiple completely
different versions to get a general idea of what
type of page to go with (Landing page?
Marketing page? Infinite scroll?)
E.g.: Sign up button stating “Sign Up Today” for
50% of users, and “Subscribe Now” for 50%.
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Multivariate Testing
Multivariate Testing: Comparing results of
changing multiple elements of a webpage &
analyzing the effect of the different elements’
combinations.
E.g.:
MEASURING:
FUNNELS, PIRATES, & LEAN EVERYTHING
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
18	
  
What’s a Conversion Funnel?
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
19	
  
Pirate Metrics* (AARRR!)
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Acquisition
Activation
Retention
Referral
Revenue
$$$*Pirate Metrics, coined by Dave McClure
@davemcclure
20	
  
Conversion Funnel: Acquisition
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Acquisition:
How you get users/ customers
to know about you or to come
to your site.
Marketing Channels (SEO, Email, Biz
Dev, Affiliates, Direct, Social Media,..)
21	
  
Conversion Funnel: Activation
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Activation:
Getting users to create an
account, sign up, or subscribe.
22	
  
Conversion Funnel: Retention
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Retention:
Getting users with an account
to come back/ interact/ be
active on your site or with your
product.
23	
  
Conversion Funnel: Revenue
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Revenue:
Making $$$ off of active
users
24	
  
Conversion Funnel: Referral
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Referral:
Getting active users to refer
others to your product/ site.
25	
  
Mapping Exercise
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Acquisition
Activation
Retention
Referral
Revenue
$$$
# Visits
Time since last visit
Completed onboarding process
Forwarded newsletter
Churn
Shopping cart size
Conversion rate
Viral coefficient
User content created
Stayed on site > 10 s, clicked 3X
26	
  
Mapping: An Example
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
YOUR Funnel
Stage User State/ Activity Goal Conversion % Actual Conversion %
Acquisition Visit YourHomepage.com homepage 100% 
Acquisition
Stays on YourHomepage.com
(Min. 10 seconds, 3+ clicks) 75% 
Activation
Ideal 1st Visit
(3+ pages, 15+ seconds, 5+ clicks) 66% 
Activation Sign Up for Account 50% 
Retention Opens Email & Clicks links 45% 
Retention
Repeat Visits:
(5+ visitis in first 30 days) 40% 
Revenue User subscribes to service 25% 
Referral User shares invite to subscribe with social network 10% 
Referral User forwards newsletter to others 5% 
27	
  
Conversion: Measure Exercise
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
0	
  
100,000	
  
200,000	
  
300,000	
  
400,000	
  
500,000	
  
600,000	
  
700,000	
  
AcquisiAon	
   AcAvaAon	
   RetenAon	
   Revenue	
  
Measure conversion % at every step
28	
  
Conversion Funnel: Optimize
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Optimize for CONVERSION at
each step:
1) Look for:
–  Largest volume
–  Lowest cost
–  Best performance
2) A/B Test A LOT
–  Validately
–  Optimizely
–  Unbounce
29	
  
Let’s Optimize
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
0	
  
100,000	
  
200,000	
  
300,000	
  
400,000	
  
500,000	
  
600,000	
  
700,000	
  
AcquisiAon	
   AcAvaAon	
   RetenAon	
   Revenue	
  
Referral (PR, Guest blog, ..)
Social (FB, Twitter, LinkedIn)
Email (Email campaigns)
Paid Ads
Landing page
UX
Mktng copy
Prod Features
System triggers
Event-based emails/alerts
Valuable content
Rev Model
Ads
Price
30	
  
Lean Analytics
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
31	
  
Lean Startup
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Lean Analytics
•  What needs to improve?
•  Create an experiment
•  Run the experiment
•  Decide what to do
Goal: Avoid building something
NOBODY WANTS.
32	
  
The One Metric That Matters
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
OMTM: The one metric you will focus on above
everything else, derived from your current stage
and biggest risk.
Early on, the OMTM creates focus around
optimizing the one metric that will make the most
difference.
33	
  
The Lean Analytics Cycle
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Case Study: AirBnB Photography
Metric: # nights booked
Hypothesis: Better pictures -> More bookings
MVP caused 2-3X increase in bookings
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
AirBnB’s Lean Analytics Cycle
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Case Study: High Score House
37	
  
10	
  
76	
  
231	
  
567	
  
819	
  
0	
  
100	
  
200	
  
300	
  
400	
  
500	
  
600	
  
700	
  
800	
  
900	
  
Month1	
   Month2	
   Month3	
   Month4	
   Month5	
  
XYZ	
  Company:	
  #	
  Subscrip+ons	
  
Remember This? A Case Study
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
38	
  
XYZ’s OMTM: Churn
2015	
  Hala	
  Saleh	
  |	
  @HalaSaleh1	
  |	
  27Sprints	
  
Churn: % of people who abandon service over time.
XYZ was looking at # of subscriptions, but didn’t pay
attention to churn.
Qualitative analytics showed people didn’t use
service enough times within a month to want a
subscription.
Changed to per transaction payment, revenues
increased.
Q&A
Hala Saleh

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Startup Metrics: Learn How to Measure & Drive Your Startup

  • 1. Startup Metrics: Identify, Measure, & Drive Your Startup Hala Saleh www.27sprints.com | @HalaSaleh1
  • 2. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   •  <<Name>> •  I work at <<Startup, Not-Startup>> •  The top 3 things I want to learn about Startup Metrics are: ______________________________ _________________________________________ _________________________________________
  • 3. 3   10   76   231   567   819   0   100   200   300   400   500   600   700   800   900   Month1   Month2   Month3   Month4   Month5   #  Subscrip+ons   What Does Progress Look Like? 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 4. 100% OF US LIE TO OURSELVES 4  2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 5. 100% of us lie to ourselves 5 “We’re killing it!” “The market isn’t ready.” “Our user base has increased 100% We’re on a solid growth path.” “We got 10K views this week. Conversion will be a breeze!” “My Tweet got 13 Retweets. I NAILED it (and am a genius).” “My FB status got 231 Likes. I am kind of a big deal.” 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 6. PDCA: TO IMPROVE WE MUST MEASURE 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 7. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Plan -> Do -> Check -> Act
  • 8. METRICS: THE GOOD, THE BAD, & THE REST 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 9. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Good Metrics 1.  Comparable: “90% click-through rate” OR “Decreased click-through rate” ? 2.  Understandable: Your audience should be able to understand your metrics. 3.  Ratios: “# Purchases per free account” OR “# Purchases” ? 4.  THEY CHANGE THE WAY WE BEHAVE - By answering a specific Business Question - By being the right metric to track at the right time
  • 10. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Bad Metrics Most importantly: Bad metrics = The wrong metric to track at the wrong time
  • 11. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Types of Metrics: What to Consider 1.  Qualitative vs. Quantitative 2.  Vanity vs. Actionable 3.  Exploratory vs. Reporting 4.  Leading vs. Lagging 5.  Correlated vs. Causal
  • 12. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Metrics ‘Tricks’ for Ninjas 1.  Segmentation 2.  Cohort Analysis 3.  A/B Testing 4.  Multivariate Analysis
  • 13. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Segmentation Segment: A group that shares a common characteristic. E.g.: -  Users who run Chrome -  Customers with Premium Subscription -  Users by geographic region/ country What makes sense for your business? Investigate.
  • 14. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Cohort Analysis Cohort Analysis: Comparing similar groups of users over time E.g.: % of users who signed up after visiting your site, grouped by # weeks.
  • 15. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   A/B Testing A/B Testing: Comparing results of changing one element of a webpage while keeping all other elements equal. OR: Comparing results of multiple completely different versions to get a general idea of what type of page to go with (Landing page? Marketing page? Infinite scroll?) E.g.: Sign up button stating “Sign Up Today” for 50% of users, and “Subscribe Now” for 50%.
  • 16. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Multivariate Testing Multivariate Testing: Comparing results of changing multiple elements of a webpage & analyzing the effect of the different elements’ combinations. E.g.:
  • 17. MEASURING: FUNNELS, PIRATES, & LEAN EVERYTHING 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 18. 18   What’s a Conversion Funnel? 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 19. 19   Pirate Metrics* (AARRR!) 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Acquisition Activation Retention Referral Revenue $$$*Pirate Metrics, coined by Dave McClure @davemcclure
  • 20. 20   Conversion Funnel: Acquisition 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Acquisition: How you get users/ customers to know about you or to come to your site. Marketing Channels (SEO, Email, Biz Dev, Affiliates, Direct, Social Media,..)
  • 21. 21   Conversion Funnel: Activation 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Activation: Getting users to create an account, sign up, or subscribe.
  • 22. 22   Conversion Funnel: Retention 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Retention: Getting users with an account to come back/ interact/ be active on your site or with your product.
  • 23. 23   Conversion Funnel: Revenue 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Revenue: Making $$$ off of active users
  • 24. 24   Conversion Funnel: Referral 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Referral: Getting active users to refer others to your product/ site.
  • 25. 25   Mapping Exercise 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Acquisition Activation Retention Referral Revenue $$$ # Visits Time since last visit Completed onboarding process Forwarded newsletter Churn Shopping cart size Conversion rate Viral coefficient User content created Stayed on site > 10 s, clicked 3X
  • 26. 26   Mapping: An Example 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   YOUR Funnel Stage User State/ Activity Goal Conversion % Actual Conversion % Acquisition Visit YourHomepage.com homepage 100%  Acquisition Stays on YourHomepage.com (Min. 10 seconds, 3+ clicks) 75%  Activation Ideal 1st Visit (3+ pages, 15+ seconds, 5+ clicks) 66%  Activation Sign Up for Account 50%  Retention Opens Email & Clicks links 45%  Retention Repeat Visits: (5+ visitis in first 30 days) 40%  Revenue User subscribes to service 25%  Referral User shares invite to subscribe with social network 10%  Referral User forwards newsletter to others 5% 
  • 27. 27   Conversion: Measure Exercise 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   0   100,000   200,000   300,000   400,000   500,000   600,000   700,000   AcquisiAon   AcAvaAon   RetenAon   Revenue   Measure conversion % at every step
  • 28. 28   Conversion Funnel: Optimize 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Optimize for CONVERSION at each step: 1) Look for: –  Largest volume –  Lowest cost –  Best performance 2) A/B Test A LOT –  Validately –  Optimizely –  Unbounce
  • 29. 29   Let’s Optimize 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   0   100,000   200,000   300,000   400,000   500,000   600,000   700,000   AcquisiAon   AcAvaAon   RetenAon   Revenue   Referral (PR, Guest blog, ..) Social (FB, Twitter, LinkedIn) Email (Email campaigns) Paid Ads Landing page UX Mktng copy Prod Features System triggers Event-based emails/alerts Valuable content Rev Model Ads Price
  • 30. 30   Lean Analytics 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 31. 31   Lean Startup 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Lean Analytics •  What needs to improve? •  Create an experiment •  Run the experiment •  Decide what to do Goal: Avoid building something NOBODY WANTS.
  • 32. 32   The One Metric That Matters 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   OMTM: The one metric you will focus on above everything else, derived from your current stage and biggest risk. Early on, the OMTM creates focus around optimizing the one metric that will make the most difference.
  • 33. 33   The Lean Analytics Cycle 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 34. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Case Study: AirBnB Photography Metric: # nights booked Hypothesis: Better pictures -> More bookings MVP caused 2-3X increase in bookings
  • 35. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   AirBnB’s Lean Analytics Cycle
  • 36. 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Case Study: High Score House
  • 37. 37   10   76   231   567   819   0   100   200   300   400   500   600   700   800   900   Month1   Month2   Month3   Month4   Month5   XYZ  Company:  #  Subscrip+ons   Remember This? A Case Study 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints  
  • 38. 38   XYZ’s OMTM: Churn 2015  Hala  Saleh  |  @HalaSaleh1  |  27Sprints   Churn: % of people who abandon service over time. XYZ was looking at # of subscriptions, but didn’t pay attention to churn. Qualitative analytics showed people didn’t use service enough times within a month to want a subscription. Changed to per transaction payment, revenues increased.