STATISTICS &
  PROBABILITY

Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution




                      X
µ=85                                    Mo =85
  ~=
  x 85                                    sx =5
                         0.5       0.5

                                                      X
             70    75 80 85 90 95            100
                  The Normal Distribution

1. The mean = median = mode.
2. It is symmetrical about the mean.
3. The tails or ends are asymptotic relative to the horizontal axis.
4. The total area under the normal curve is 1.0 or 100%.
5. The normal curve area maybe subdivided into standard
   deviations, at least 3 to the left and 3 to the right of the mean
µ = 85 and s = 5                                             x −µ
     Fig. I                                         z=
                                                              σ

                                                               X
             70     75 80 85 90          95 100
                    The Normal Distribution




           µ − 3σ   µ − 2σ µ − 1σ   µ + 1σ µ + 2σ   µ + 3σ    Z
            -3    -2 -1    0   1      2    3
           The Standard Normal Distribution
µ = 80 and s = 10                                            x −µ
      Fig. II                                        z=
                                                              σ

                                                               X
             50     60 70 80 90 100                   110
                    The Normal Distribution




           µ − 3σ µ − 2σ   µ − 1σ   µ + 1σ   µ + 1σ µ + 1σ
                                                              Z
            -3    -2 -1    0    1     2     3
           The Standard Normal Distribution
x−µ
z=
    σ

    µ − 3σ µ − 2σ µ − 1σ   µ + 1σ   µ + 2σ µ + 3σ   Z
     -3    -2 -1    0    1     2     3
    The Standard Normal Distribution

               Properties
      1. The mean is equal to zero.
2. The standard deviation is equal to one.
ALGEB     ENGLISH                        x − µ 85 − 80 5
       80        75      Z of Juan in ALGEB =        =       = = 1.0
                                                σ        5    5
        5        5                               x − µ 82 − 75 7
       85        82      Z of Juan in ENGLISH =        =       = = 1 .4
                                                   σ       5    5

                                          ALGEB
                                           ENGLISH
  Example 1:

                                                      Z
              -3 -2 -1 0        1     2    3
Juan’s score in ALGEB is 1 standard deviation above the mean,
while his score in ENGLISH is 1.4 standard deviation above the mean
Therefore, Juan performed better in English test than in ALGEB.
Example 2: A classmate of Juan in Algebra has a
           Z-score of 2.1. What was his score?
Solution: Using the formula for Z-score, we have:
          Given: Z = 2.1, µ = 80, σ = 5

          x−µ          x − 80
       Z=      ; 2.1 =
           σ             5
             x − 80 = 2.1(5)
             x − 80 = 10.5
                   x = 90.5 ≈ 91
Finding the areas under the normal curve is the same as
                  finding the Probability.
     Example 1:                     1. Find the area from
                                       Z = 0 to Z = 1.35




                                                    Z
            -3    -2 -1    0    1      2    3

Step1. Shade the required region.
 Step2. Find the area using the table.          A = 0.4115
        Area is at Z = 1.3 at column 5.         P = 41.15%
Example 2:         Find P(-2.0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.5)




                                        8
                                A=0.493
                      772
                      0.4
                    A=
                                                      Z
         -3    -2     -1    0          1    2   3
Step1. Shade the required region.
Step2. Find the area using the table.               A = 0.9710
  Area from Z = 0 to Z = -2.0 is 0.4772 Add!        P = 97.10%
  Area from Z = 0 to Z = 2.5 is 0.4938
                                 0.9710
Example 3: Find P(Z ≥ -2.5)




                    38



                                0
                              00
                  49


                           0.5
                0.
                                                  Z
        -3    -2 -1      0     1      2    3
Step1. Shade the required region.              A = 0.9938
Step2. Find the area using the table.          P = 99.38%
 Area from Z = 0 to Z =- 2.5 is 0.4938    Area of half of
                             + 0.5000     the normal curve
                           A = 0.9938
Example 4: Find P(0.5    ≤ Z≤            2.5)

                                                          0.4938




                                 0.1915
                                          A=
                                            0. 30
                                                 23
                                                                   Z
              -3    -2   -1    0            1         2     3
Step1. Shade the required region.
                                                           A = 0.3023
Step2. Find the area using the table.                      P = 30.23%
 Area from Z = 0 to Z = 2.5 is 0.4938 Subtract!
 Area from Z = 0 to Z = 0.5 is 0.1915
                          A = 0.3023
Example 5: Find P(Z     ≥ 0.5)

                                                     0.5000




                                  0.1915
                                           A
                                           =0
                                             .30
                                                85
                                                              Z
              -3    -2 -1       0    1           2     3
Step1. Shade the required region.                      A = 0.3085
  Step2. Find the area using the table.                P = 30.85%
                                      0.5000         Subtract
        Area from Z = 0 to Z = 0.5 is 0.1915
                                 A = 0.3085
Finding the Z given the areas under the Normal Curve

 Example 6:     Find Z if the area to the right of +Z is 0.3085.




                                          A
                           A = 0.1915




                                            =
                                              0.
                                                 3
                                                08
                                                 5
                                                     Z
                          0 Z=? Z = 0.5
Step1. Shade the given area. Since Z is “+” it is at the right
of Z=0. Since half of the Normal curve has A = 0.5000
                    Subtract the given area A = 0.3085
                                              A = 0.1915
Finding the Z given the areas under the Normal Curve
   Example 7: Find Z if the area to the right of Z is 0.7612.


              A = 0.2612                                 A = 0.5000


                                   0.7612

                                                                Z
                       Z=-? 0
   Step1. Shade the given area. In this case, where is Z?
  Step2. Find the area from Z = 0 to the unknown -Z.
                  And the given area is 0.7612 Subtract
Since half of the Normal curve has A = 0.5000
                                    A = 0.2612      Z = -0.71
APPLICATIONS:

1. In an examination in Statistics, the mean
   grade is 72 and the standard deviation is
   6. Find the probability that a particular
   student will have a score:
    a. higher than or equal to 75
    b. from 65 to 80
    c. lower than or equal to 60.
2. The scores of 400 applicants who took the
 examination in a certain company approximate a
 normal distribution, with a mean of 75 and a
 standard deviation of 5.
  a. How many applicants got a score of 80 and
 above?
  b. How many applicants got a score of 70 and
 below?
  c. How many applicants got a score from 70 to
 80?
  d. How many applicants got a score of
 88?
3. The mean weight of 200 male students at
  a certain college is 68.5 kgs. and the
  standard deviation is 6.8. Assuming that
  the weight are normally distributed, find
  how many students weigh:
   a. more than or equal to 83.9 kgs.?
   b. less than or equal to 58.1 kgs.?
   c. between 54.2 and 70.3kgs.?
   d. exactly 60.5 kgs.
4. A teacher decided to fail 20% of the class. Exam
  marks are approximately normally distributed
  with a mean of 72 and a standard deviation of 6.
  What mark must a student get to pass?

5. The actual amount of instant coffee that a filling
  machine deposits into a “6-ounce” jars varies
  from jar to jar, and may be looked upon as a
  random variable having a normal distribution
  with a standard deviation of 0.04 ounce. If only
  2% of the jars are to contain less than 6 ounces
  of coffee, what must be the mean fill of these
  jars?
6. The sardines processed by a cannery
  have a mean length of 4.54 inches with a
  standard deviation of 0.25 inch. If the
  distribution of the lengths of the sardines
  are normally distributed, what percentage
  of the sardines are :
   a. shorter than 4.00 inches;
   b. between 4.40 and 4.60 inches long?
   c. longer than 5.3 inches
7. In reference to problem 6, find x so that
  only 20% of the sardines processed by the
  cannery are longer than x.

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Statistics Presentation week 6

  • 1. STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Normal Distribution
  • 3. µ=85 Mo =85 ~= x 85 sx =5 0.5 0.5 X 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 The Normal Distribution 1. The mean = median = mode. 2. It is symmetrical about the mean. 3. The tails or ends are asymptotic relative to the horizontal axis. 4. The total area under the normal curve is 1.0 or 100%. 5. The normal curve area maybe subdivided into standard deviations, at least 3 to the left and 3 to the right of the mean
  • 4. µ = 85 and s = 5 x −µ Fig. I z= σ X 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 The Normal Distribution µ − 3σ µ − 2σ µ − 1σ µ + 1σ µ + 2σ µ + 3σ Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 The Standard Normal Distribution
  • 5. µ = 80 and s = 10 x −µ Fig. II z= σ X 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 The Normal Distribution µ − 3σ µ − 2σ µ − 1σ µ + 1σ µ + 1σ µ + 1σ Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 The Standard Normal Distribution
  • 6. x−µ z= σ µ − 3σ µ − 2σ µ − 1σ µ + 1σ µ + 2σ µ + 3σ Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 The Standard Normal Distribution Properties 1. The mean is equal to zero. 2. The standard deviation is equal to one.
  • 7. ALGEB ENGLISH x − µ 85 − 80 5 80 75 Z of Juan in ALGEB = = = = 1.0 σ 5 5 5 5 x − µ 82 − 75 7 85 82 Z of Juan in ENGLISH = = = = 1 .4 σ 5 5 ALGEB ENGLISH Example 1: Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Juan’s score in ALGEB is 1 standard deviation above the mean, while his score in ENGLISH is 1.4 standard deviation above the mean Therefore, Juan performed better in English test than in ALGEB.
  • 8. Example 2: A classmate of Juan in Algebra has a Z-score of 2.1. What was his score? Solution: Using the formula for Z-score, we have: Given: Z = 2.1, µ = 80, σ = 5 x−µ x − 80 Z= ; 2.1 = σ 5 x − 80 = 2.1(5) x − 80 = 10.5 x = 90.5 ≈ 91
  • 9. Finding the areas under the normal curve is the same as finding the Probability. Example 1: 1. Find the area from Z = 0 to Z = 1.35 Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Step1. Shade the required region. Step2. Find the area using the table. A = 0.4115 Area is at Z = 1.3 at column 5. P = 41.15%
  • 10. Example 2: Find P(-2.0 ≤ Z ≤ 2.5) 8 A=0.493 772 0.4 A= Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Step1. Shade the required region. Step2. Find the area using the table. A = 0.9710 Area from Z = 0 to Z = -2.0 is 0.4772 Add! P = 97.10% Area from Z = 0 to Z = 2.5 is 0.4938 0.9710
  • 11. Example 3: Find P(Z ≥ -2.5) 38 0 00 49 0.5 0. Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Step1. Shade the required region. A = 0.9938 Step2. Find the area using the table. P = 99.38% Area from Z = 0 to Z =- 2.5 is 0.4938 Area of half of + 0.5000 the normal curve A = 0.9938
  • 12. Example 4: Find P(0.5 ≤ Z≤ 2.5) 0.4938 0.1915 A= 0. 30 23 Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Step1. Shade the required region. A = 0.3023 Step2. Find the area using the table. P = 30.23% Area from Z = 0 to Z = 2.5 is 0.4938 Subtract! Area from Z = 0 to Z = 0.5 is 0.1915 A = 0.3023
  • 13. Example 5: Find P(Z ≥ 0.5) 0.5000 0.1915 A =0 .30 85 Z -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Step1. Shade the required region. A = 0.3085 Step2. Find the area using the table. P = 30.85% 0.5000 Subtract Area from Z = 0 to Z = 0.5 is 0.1915 A = 0.3085
  • 14. Finding the Z given the areas under the Normal Curve Example 6: Find Z if the area to the right of +Z is 0.3085. A A = 0.1915 = 0. 3 08 5 Z 0 Z=? Z = 0.5 Step1. Shade the given area. Since Z is “+” it is at the right of Z=0. Since half of the Normal curve has A = 0.5000 Subtract the given area A = 0.3085 A = 0.1915
  • 15. Finding the Z given the areas under the Normal Curve Example 7: Find Z if the area to the right of Z is 0.7612. A = 0.2612 A = 0.5000 0.7612 Z Z=-? 0 Step1. Shade the given area. In this case, where is Z? Step2. Find the area from Z = 0 to the unknown -Z. And the given area is 0.7612 Subtract Since half of the Normal curve has A = 0.5000 A = 0.2612 Z = -0.71
  • 16. APPLICATIONS: 1. In an examination in Statistics, the mean grade is 72 and the standard deviation is 6. Find the probability that a particular student will have a score: a. higher than or equal to 75 b. from 65 to 80 c. lower than or equal to 60.
  • 17. 2. The scores of 400 applicants who took the examination in a certain company approximate a normal distribution, with a mean of 75 and a standard deviation of 5. a. How many applicants got a score of 80 and above? b. How many applicants got a score of 70 and below? c. How many applicants got a score from 70 to 80? d. How many applicants got a score of 88?
  • 18. 3. The mean weight of 200 male students at a certain college is 68.5 kgs. and the standard deviation is 6.8. Assuming that the weight are normally distributed, find how many students weigh: a. more than or equal to 83.9 kgs.? b. less than or equal to 58.1 kgs.? c. between 54.2 and 70.3kgs.? d. exactly 60.5 kgs.
  • 19. 4. A teacher decided to fail 20% of the class. Exam marks are approximately normally distributed with a mean of 72 and a standard deviation of 6. What mark must a student get to pass? 5. The actual amount of instant coffee that a filling machine deposits into a “6-ounce” jars varies from jar to jar, and may be looked upon as a random variable having a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 0.04 ounce. If only 2% of the jars are to contain less than 6 ounces of coffee, what must be the mean fill of these jars?
  • 20. 6. The sardines processed by a cannery have a mean length of 4.54 inches with a standard deviation of 0.25 inch. If the distribution of the lengths of the sardines are normally distributed, what percentage of the sardines are : a. shorter than 4.00 inches; b. between 4.40 and 4.60 inches long? c. longer than 5.3 inches 7. In reference to problem 6, find x so that only 20% of the sardines processed by the cannery are longer than x.