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American Community Survey

 When Will the 2010 Census Kick In?
Population Weighting and
                           Controls
• Every sample survey has to have a weighting
  scheme so that respondents represent the
  “total” population
• The ACS scheme is very complicated
  – Sampling rate
  – Interview rate
  – Demographic characteristics
• Control to the population universe
Current Population Controls

•   Annual Census Bureau Estimates
•   Methodology based on the 2000 Census
•   Accuracy declines further from base date
•   Limited characteristics
    – Total Population at the County Level
    – Age/Race and Household characteristics
End of Decade “Error of
       Closure”
Census Estimates Terminology

• Postcensal Estimates
  • Released annually
  • Identified by their vintage (release year)
  • Entire time series back to the previous census is
    recalculated for each vintage
• Intercensal estimates
  • Prepared once in the decade with new Census results
  • Covers the time series from one census to the next
    census (e.g., Census 2000 to 2010 Census)
  • Smoothes out any error present in the postcensal
    estimates “Error of Closure”
When Does it Happen?

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Use of 2010 census

  • 1. American Community Survey When Will the 2010 Census Kick In?
  • 2. Population Weighting and Controls • Every sample survey has to have a weighting scheme so that respondents represent the “total” population • The ACS scheme is very complicated – Sampling rate – Interview rate – Demographic characteristics • Control to the population universe
  • 3. Current Population Controls • Annual Census Bureau Estimates • Methodology based on the 2000 Census • Accuracy declines further from base date • Limited characteristics – Total Population at the County Level – Age/Race and Household characteristics
  • 4. End of Decade “Error of Closure”
  • 5. Census Estimates Terminology • Postcensal Estimates • Released annually • Identified by their vintage (release year) • Entire time series back to the previous census is recalculated for each vintage • Intercensal estimates • Prepared once in the decade with new Census results • Covers the time series from one census to the next census (e.g., Census 2000 to 2010 Census) • Smoothes out any error present in the postcensal estimates “Error of Closure”
  • 6. When Does it Happen?