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Vast lands & variable data:
systematic analyses to understand
the patterns and processes of
mammal decline
Small-mammal declines in northern
Australia
Alex Kutt, CSIRO
Chris Johnson, JCU/UTas
Diana Fisher, UQ
Michael Lawes, CDU
Susanne Fritz, BiK-F Germany
Hamish McCallum, UQ
Jeremy VanDerWal, JCU
Colette Thomas, CSIRO
Alaric Fisher, NT DLRM
Iain Gordon, CSIRO
Brett Abbott, CSIRO
Anke Frank, JCU/UTas
Sarah Legge, AWC
Michael Letnic, UNSW
Small mammals in Kakadu NP,
Woinarski et al. (2011) Cons Lett
Vast lands and variable data: patterns and processes of mammal decline. Chris Johnson ACEAS Grand 2014
Problems in diagnosing cause
Lots of contenders: fire, grazing, cats,
climate/weather, disease, toads…
Patchy survey, observational & historical data,
spread unevenly over a vast area
Almost no in-depth study of declining
populations
Declines happening fast
Our aims:
Collate and analyse existing data & evidence
Evaluate hypotheses/formulate new hypotheses
Guide new policies for land management
Some results and impacts
1. Review of hypothesis set, through a formal
deliberative process
Interaction of factors crucial:
predation by feral cats, interacting with fire and
grazing
Vast lands and variable data: patterns and processes of mammal decline. Chris Johnson ACEAS Grand 2014
2. Comparative analysis
of traits associated
with mammal decline,
north and south
[size, life history,
ecology, climate etc]
Small body size and open habitat predict decline
Similar to past declines in the south
But smaller species affected in the north
The main results:
3. Improved distribution/abundance
database for Australian mammals
Data from fauna surveys, added to museum
(etc) data; > 600,000 records
Better models of distribution & change due to
climate/weather – work continuing
see mammal distribution visualisation portal
Vast lands and variable data: patterns and processes of mammal decline. Chris Johnson ACEAS Grand 2014
Thanks ACEAS

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Vast lands and variable data: patterns and processes of mammal decline. Chris Johnson ACEAS Grand 2014

  • 1. Vast lands & variable data: systematic analyses to understand the patterns and processes of mammal decline
  • 2. Small-mammal declines in northern Australia Alex Kutt, CSIRO Chris Johnson, JCU/UTas Diana Fisher, UQ Michael Lawes, CDU Susanne Fritz, BiK-F Germany Hamish McCallum, UQ Jeremy VanDerWal, JCU Colette Thomas, CSIRO Alaric Fisher, NT DLRM Iain Gordon, CSIRO Brett Abbott, CSIRO Anke Frank, JCU/UTas Sarah Legge, AWC Michael Letnic, UNSW
  • 3. Small mammals in Kakadu NP, Woinarski et al. (2011) Cons Lett
  • 5. Problems in diagnosing cause Lots of contenders: fire, grazing, cats, climate/weather, disease, toads… Patchy survey, observational & historical data, spread unevenly over a vast area Almost no in-depth study of declining populations Declines happening fast
  • 6. Our aims: Collate and analyse existing data & evidence Evaluate hypotheses/formulate new hypotheses Guide new policies for land management
  • 8. 1. Review of hypothesis set, through a formal deliberative process Interaction of factors crucial: predation by feral cats, interacting with fire and grazing
  • 10. 2. Comparative analysis of traits associated with mammal decline, north and south [size, life history, ecology, climate etc]
  • 11. Small body size and open habitat predict decline Similar to past declines in the south But smaller species affected in the north The main results:
  • 12. 3. Improved distribution/abundance database for Australian mammals Data from fauna surveys, added to museum (etc) data; > 600,000 records Better models of distribution & change due to climate/weather – work continuing see mammal distribution visualisation portal