Vulnerability and Resilience: Developing Metrics to
Measure Sustainable Diets and Food Systems
T. Allen, P. Prosperi, I. Peri, B. Cogill and M. Padilla
Resilience 2014 – 7 May 2014 – Montpellier, France
2
 Address gaps in our understanding of what
constitutes sustainable diets
 Strengthen the evidence base of the role of
biodiversity in sustainable diets
 Identify a process for developing metrics and
guidelines aimed at measuring the sustainability of
the diets
Objectives
3
Why metrics?
What are metrics?
 An organized system of information
combined to provide a perspective
What is counted is what counts...
Metrics target three principal objectives:
 Inform civil society, industry, public
officials and all stakeholders
 Measure progress toward defined goals
 Aid decision-making processesSource: Fanzo et al. (2012)
4
Sequence of activities
 Developing a Framework
 Reviewing and listing 1,500 indicators
 Focus group: Setting up a small panel
of experts to discuss framework,
shortlist 136 indicators and test an
online questionnaire
 Delphi online survey: Setting up a large
panel of experts to discuss framework
and identify a suite of 24 indicators
 A workshop to further discuss key
results and gaps
Framework
6
Sustainable diets are those diets with low
environmental impacts which contribute to
food and nutrition security and to healthy life
for present and future generations.
Source: FAO and Bioversity International (2012)
Sustainable diets protect and respect
biodiversity and ecosystems while being
culturally acceptable, accessible, affordable,
nutritionally adequate, safe, and healthy.
A nutrition-driven perspective
Developing sustainable solutions to improved nutrition
7
A system-orientated approach
 Diets – and related outcomes – are the results of complex
interactions among interdependent components within food
systems
 The concept of sustainability evolved from an approach to
agriculture to a system property (Hansen, 1996)
Sustainability as the ability of a system to maintain or enhance its
essential outcomes over time
 Preserving essential human and natural assets and the flows of
services they provide is key
Promoting economically, socially and environmentally
sustainable food systems that concurrently ensure food and
nutrition security
8
A Vulnerability/Resilience Framework
Vulnerability, as the degree of loss suffered by a social-
ecological system because of a given risk or change
(Turner et al., 2003), is a function of:
 Exposure: Nature and degree to which a system is
likely to be affected by the occurrence of a change
 Sensitivity: Degree to which a system is affected,
either adversely or beneficially, by a change
 Resilience: Ability of a system to anticipate,
absorb, accommodate, or recover from the effects
of a potentially hazardous event in a timely and
efficient manner, including through ensuring the
preservation, restoration, or improvement of its
essential basic structures and functions.
(IPCC, 2012)
9
Focus group 1: From drivers to outcomes
A major question: ‘Vulnerability/Resilience of what to what?’
 Identification of 4 main context-specific food and nutrition security issues
 Identification of 4 main global and regional drivers of change
Source: Adapted from Prosperi et al. (2014)
Indicators
11
Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
 Setting up a long list of indicators
derived from the literature
 Shortlisting 136 indicators discussed
during a focus group
 8 interactions/3 components
12
Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
13
Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
14
Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
Using a Delphi expert consultation protocol
 Setting up a long list of indicators
derived from the literature
 Shortlisting 136 indicators discussed
during a focus group
 Gaining consensus through an exchange
of opinions
 Recognizing and acknowledging the
contribution of each participant within
an interpretative paradigm
 Testing an online Delphi questionnaire
15
The Delphi technique
An iterative survey of experts:
 A Delphi technique is a structured group interaction
process that is directed in ‘rounds’ of opinion collection
and feedback
 Opinion collection is achieved by conducting a series of
surveys using questionnaires
 The result of each survey are presented to the group –
feedback – and the questionnaire used in the next round
is built upon the result of the previous round
16
Delphi survey – Round 1
 51 experts
 Economists (32%), nutritionists (26%), “Sustainability scientists”
(12%), agronomists (10%), environmental scientists (8%), food
policy and governance (8%) and food technologists (4%).
In partnership with:
www.bioversityinternational.org
Thank you
19
References
IPCC (2012). Summary for Policymakers. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and
Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and
II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-19.
Fanzo, J., Cogill, B., & F. Mattei (2012). Metrics of Sustainable Diets and Food Systems.
Bioversity International, Rome, Italy.
FAO/Bioversity International (2012). Sustainable Diets and Biodiversity. Directions and
solutions for policy, research and actions. FAO, Rome, Italy.
Hansen, J. W. (1996). Is agricultural sustainability a useful concept?. Agricultural systems,
50(2), 117-143.
Prosperi, P., Allen, T., Padilla, M., Peri, I. & B. Cogill (2014). Sustainability and Food &
Nutrition Security: A Vulnerability Assessment Framework for the Mediterranean Region.
Sage Open [forthcoming].
Turner, B. L., Kasperson, R. E., Matson, P. A., McCarthy, J. J., Corell, R. W., Christensen, L., ...
& Schiller, A. (2003). A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science.
Proceedings of the national academy of sciences, 100(14), 8074-8079.

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Vulnerability and Resilience: Developing Metrics to Measure Sustainable Diets and Food Systems

  • 1. Vulnerability and Resilience: Developing Metrics to Measure Sustainable Diets and Food Systems T. Allen, P. Prosperi, I. Peri, B. Cogill and M. Padilla Resilience 2014 – 7 May 2014 – Montpellier, France
  • 2. 2  Address gaps in our understanding of what constitutes sustainable diets  Strengthen the evidence base of the role of biodiversity in sustainable diets  Identify a process for developing metrics and guidelines aimed at measuring the sustainability of the diets Objectives
  • 3. 3 Why metrics? What are metrics?  An organized system of information combined to provide a perspective What is counted is what counts... Metrics target three principal objectives:  Inform civil society, industry, public officials and all stakeholders  Measure progress toward defined goals  Aid decision-making processesSource: Fanzo et al. (2012)
  • 4. 4 Sequence of activities  Developing a Framework  Reviewing and listing 1,500 indicators  Focus group: Setting up a small panel of experts to discuss framework, shortlist 136 indicators and test an online questionnaire  Delphi online survey: Setting up a large panel of experts to discuss framework and identify a suite of 24 indicators  A workshop to further discuss key results and gaps
  • 6. 6 Sustainable diets are those diets with low environmental impacts which contribute to food and nutrition security and to healthy life for present and future generations. Source: FAO and Bioversity International (2012) Sustainable diets protect and respect biodiversity and ecosystems while being culturally acceptable, accessible, affordable, nutritionally adequate, safe, and healthy. A nutrition-driven perspective Developing sustainable solutions to improved nutrition
  • 7. 7 A system-orientated approach  Diets – and related outcomes – are the results of complex interactions among interdependent components within food systems  The concept of sustainability evolved from an approach to agriculture to a system property (Hansen, 1996) Sustainability as the ability of a system to maintain or enhance its essential outcomes over time  Preserving essential human and natural assets and the flows of services they provide is key Promoting economically, socially and environmentally sustainable food systems that concurrently ensure food and nutrition security
  • 8. 8 A Vulnerability/Resilience Framework Vulnerability, as the degree of loss suffered by a social- ecological system because of a given risk or change (Turner et al., 2003), is a function of:  Exposure: Nature and degree to which a system is likely to be affected by the occurrence of a change  Sensitivity: Degree to which a system is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by a change  Resilience: Ability of a system to anticipate, absorb, accommodate, or recover from the effects of a potentially hazardous event in a timely and efficient manner, including through ensuring the preservation, restoration, or improvement of its essential basic structures and functions. (IPCC, 2012)
  • 9. 9 Focus group 1: From drivers to outcomes A major question: ‘Vulnerability/Resilience of what to what?’  Identification of 4 main context-specific food and nutrition security issues  Identification of 4 main global and regional drivers of change Source: Adapted from Prosperi et al. (2014)
  • 11. 11 Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators  Setting up a long list of indicators derived from the literature  Shortlisting 136 indicators discussed during a focus group  8 interactions/3 components
  • 12. 12 Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
  • 13. 13 Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators
  • 14. 14 Focus group 2: Shortlisting indicators Using a Delphi expert consultation protocol  Setting up a long list of indicators derived from the literature  Shortlisting 136 indicators discussed during a focus group  Gaining consensus through an exchange of opinions  Recognizing and acknowledging the contribution of each participant within an interpretative paradigm  Testing an online Delphi questionnaire
  • 15. 15 The Delphi technique An iterative survey of experts:  A Delphi technique is a structured group interaction process that is directed in ‘rounds’ of opinion collection and feedback  Opinion collection is achieved by conducting a series of surveys using questionnaires  The result of each survey are presented to the group – feedback – and the questionnaire used in the next round is built upon the result of the previous round
  • 16. 16 Delphi survey – Round 1  51 experts  Economists (32%), nutritionists (26%), “Sustainability scientists” (12%), agronomists (10%), environmental scientists (8%), food policy and governance (8%) and food technologists (4%).
  • 19. 19 References IPCC (2012). Summary for Policymakers. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-19. Fanzo, J., Cogill, B., & F. Mattei (2012). Metrics of Sustainable Diets and Food Systems. Bioversity International, Rome, Italy. FAO/Bioversity International (2012). Sustainable Diets and Biodiversity. Directions and solutions for policy, research and actions. FAO, Rome, Italy. Hansen, J. W. (1996). Is agricultural sustainability a useful concept?. Agricultural systems, 50(2), 117-143. Prosperi, P., Allen, T., Padilla, M., Peri, I. & B. Cogill (2014). Sustainability and Food & Nutrition Security: A Vulnerability Assessment Framework for the Mediterranean Region. Sage Open [forthcoming]. Turner, B. L., Kasperson, R. E., Matson, P. A., McCarthy, J. J., Corell, R. W., Christensen, L., ... & Schiller, A. (2003). A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proceedings of the national academy of sciences, 100(14), 8074-8079.