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Mobile Network Market Overview
H1 2013

0
Contents
I.

Recent M&A Activity

II.

Mobile Network Market Overview

III.

Key Highlights

1
Recent M&A Activity

2
M&A Accelerating in the Sector
Transaction

EV/Revenue

Value ($M)

Multiple (x)

04/08/13

NA

NA

Microsoft Corporation, Mediaroom IPTV Business comprises Internet protocol television business of Microsoft
Corporation which designs software used by phone companies to deliver television over the Internet.

2)

04/03/13

NA

NA

Tekelec, Inc. develops telecommunications products for fixed, mobile, and packet networks worldwide. It provides
policy management, diameter and SIP signaling, subscriber data management, performance intelligence center, and
SS7 signaling products.

3)

04/03/13

$310.0

NA

Ubiquisys Ltd., a mobile communications company, designs and develops communications devices for mobile
operators and consumers.

4)

02/04/13

$2,003.8

5.8x

Acme Packet, Inc. provides session delivery network solutions that enable the delivery of voice, video, data, and
unified communications services and applications across Internet protocol networks.

5)

01/23/13

$475.0

NA

Intucell Ltd. provides self optimizing network solutions to mobile operators worldwide.

6)

01/23/13

$20.0

NA

Neuralitic Inc. provides mobile data intelligence solutions.

7)

01/07/13

$27.4

NA

Vineyard Networks develops and provides network application intelligence solutions.

8)

05/07/12

$145.0

3.0x

Anue Systems, Inc. provides networking solutions to telecommunication and cable service providers, government
agencies, and corporations with data centers and enterprise networks.

9)

05/01/12

$30.0

NA

Ortiva Wireless, Inc. provides video optimization solutions for mobile network operators (MNOs) and managed
service providers (MSPs).

10)

02/21/12

$400.0

NA

BelAir Networks Inc. provides mobile wireless broadband mesh networking solutions for video, voice, and data.

11)

02/20/12

$129.7

NA

Traffix Systems Ltd. provides next generation networks (NGN) control plane and diameter solutions for
telecommunication companies.

12)

06/14/11

$1,150.0

NA

Traffix Systems Ltd. provides next generation networks (NGN) control plane and diameter solutions for
telecommunication companies.

#

Date

1)

Acquirer

Target

Target Business Description

3
Mobile Network Market Overview

4
Mobile Network Market Map
Packet Core

Media
GW

Diameter
Routing

BSS / OSS

Macrosite
RAN

CSCF

Back office IT

Network and
Subscriber
Analytics

RAN

IMS Functions

Applications
Services

HLR/HSS

Subscriber
Management,
Athentication,
Roaming

PCRF

Wifi
Offload RAN
Metrocell
RAN

ADCs

E-RAN
Serving GW
PDN GW
MME

Femto GW

CDN
functions

Network
Security

Flow
Processing

DPI

SON / RAN
Optimization

Backhaul

Femtocells

eNodeB

5
Companies in the Mobile Network Sector
Packet Core
Network Security

Serving GW/PDN GW/MME

FemtoGW

DPI

Flow Processing

CDN

SON/RAN Optimization

6
Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.)
Packet Core
IMS Functions
PCRF

CSCF

ADCs

Media GW

Subscriber Management, Authentication, and Roaming

HLR/HSS

Diameter Routing

7
Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.)
RAN
Backhaul Equipment

Femtocells

Metrocell RAN

Wifi Offload RAN

eNodeB

Macrosite RAN

Enterprise RAN

8
Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.)
Back Office IT
BSS/OSS

Mobile Analytics

9
Key Highlights

10
Key Highlights:
Packet Core and Network Functions Virtualization


Mobile Packet Core is dominated by tier 1 suppliers
— Cisco, Ericsson, Huawei, NSN. New entrants include Juniper, Alcatel-Lucent, FIV



New hardware and software solutions increasingly introduced to optimize network performance
— Network security, subscriber security, policy management, policy enforcement, deep packet
inspection, ADC (app delivery controller), video processing, diameter routing, many IMS
functions.
— We expect major suppliers to fill in portfolios through acquisitions



Strong trends to virtualize many functions from “big iron” hardware to software on carrier grade
servers



Along with incumbents, FIV is in prime position to expand its portfolio with acquisitions

11
Key Highlights: Radio Access Network (RAN)
Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offload


Consumer femtocell market established and maturing



Carrier owned and managed Wi-Fi market entering high growth
— Lowest cost bandwidth to dense pedestrian users
— Maturing systems market with leaders – Cisco, Ericsson, Ruckus, Huawei
— Software ecosystem still developing. M&A likely needed to fill out client apps, policy,
authentication



Outdoor small cell (licensed) market developing quickly
— Major RAN vendors expected to dominate Ericsson, Huawei, NSN, Alcatel-Lucent
— Small hardware and software tuck-ins likely required to fill portfolio – custom ASICs, SR wireless
backhaul



Indoor small cell (licensed) market still nascent
— Opportunity for non-RAN vendors to participate – Cisco, Spidercloud (private), Ruckus, Aruba
Networks, and others
— Interoperability with RAN and mobile core remains a big challenge
12
Key Highlights: Back Office IT
Network and Subscriber Analytics: Mobile Analytics


Deriving network data for sophisticated analysis is new and a very hot market likely to see
significant M&A. New area of study for WCP Research



Highly fragmented market with dozens of small and large suppliers but no obvious winners
— Likely leaders: Oracle, IBM, Ericsson, Cisco and JDSU
— Healthy venture investment in past 2 years
— Hot small players with valuable carrier wins

13

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WCP Mobile Network Market Overview

  • 1. Mobile Network Market Overview H1 2013 0
  • 2. Contents I. Recent M&A Activity II. Mobile Network Market Overview III. Key Highlights 1
  • 4. M&A Accelerating in the Sector Transaction EV/Revenue Value ($M) Multiple (x) 04/08/13 NA NA Microsoft Corporation, Mediaroom IPTV Business comprises Internet protocol television business of Microsoft Corporation which designs software used by phone companies to deliver television over the Internet. 2) 04/03/13 NA NA Tekelec, Inc. develops telecommunications products for fixed, mobile, and packet networks worldwide. It provides policy management, diameter and SIP signaling, subscriber data management, performance intelligence center, and SS7 signaling products. 3) 04/03/13 $310.0 NA Ubiquisys Ltd., a mobile communications company, designs and develops communications devices for mobile operators and consumers. 4) 02/04/13 $2,003.8 5.8x Acme Packet, Inc. provides session delivery network solutions that enable the delivery of voice, video, data, and unified communications services and applications across Internet protocol networks. 5) 01/23/13 $475.0 NA Intucell Ltd. provides self optimizing network solutions to mobile operators worldwide. 6) 01/23/13 $20.0 NA Neuralitic Inc. provides mobile data intelligence solutions. 7) 01/07/13 $27.4 NA Vineyard Networks develops and provides network application intelligence solutions. 8) 05/07/12 $145.0 3.0x Anue Systems, Inc. provides networking solutions to telecommunication and cable service providers, government agencies, and corporations with data centers and enterprise networks. 9) 05/01/12 $30.0 NA Ortiva Wireless, Inc. provides video optimization solutions for mobile network operators (MNOs) and managed service providers (MSPs). 10) 02/21/12 $400.0 NA BelAir Networks Inc. provides mobile wireless broadband mesh networking solutions for video, voice, and data. 11) 02/20/12 $129.7 NA Traffix Systems Ltd. provides next generation networks (NGN) control plane and diameter solutions for telecommunication companies. 12) 06/14/11 $1,150.0 NA Traffix Systems Ltd. provides next generation networks (NGN) control plane and diameter solutions for telecommunication companies. # Date 1) Acquirer Target Target Business Description 3
  • 6. Mobile Network Market Map Packet Core Media GW Diameter Routing BSS / OSS Macrosite RAN CSCF Back office IT Network and Subscriber Analytics RAN IMS Functions Applications Services HLR/HSS Subscriber Management, Athentication, Roaming PCRF Wifi Offload RAN Metrocell RAN ADCs E-RAN Serving GW PDN GW MME Femto GW CDN functions Network Security Flow Processing DPI SON / RAN Optimization Backhaul Femtocells eNodeB 5
  • 7. Companies in the Mobile Network Sector Packet Core Network Security Serving GW/PDN GW/MME FemtoGW DPI Flow Processing CDN SON/RAN Optimization 6
  • 8. Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.) Packet Core IMS Functions PCRF CSCF ADCs Media GW Subscriber Management, Authentication, and Roaming HLR/HSS Diameter Routing 7
  • 9. Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.) RAN Backhaul Equipment Femtocells Metrocell RAN Wifi Offload RAN eNodeB Macrosite RAN Enterprise RAN 8
  • 10. Companies in the Mobile Network Sector (cont.) Back Office IT BSS/OSS Mobile Analytics 9
  • 12. Key Highlights: Packet Core and Network Functions Virtualization  Mobile Packet Core is dominated by tier 1 suppliers — Cisco, Ericsson, Huawei, NSN. New entrants include Juniper, Alcatel-Lucent, FIV  New hardware and software solutions increasingly introduced to optimize network performance — Network security, subscriber security, policy management, policy enforcement, deep packet inspection, ADC (app delivery controller), video processing, diameter routing, many IMS functions. — We expect major suppliers to fill in portfolios through acquisitions  Strong trends to virtualize many functions from “big iron” hardware to software on carrier grade servers  Along with incumbents, FIV is in prime position to expand its portfolio with acquisitions 11
  • 13. Key Highlights: Radio Access Network (RAN) Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offload  Consumer femtocell market established and maturing  Carrier owned and managed Wi-Fi market entering high growth — Lowest cost bandwidth to dense pedestrian users — Maturing systems market with leaders – Cisco, Ericsson, Ruckus, Huawei — Software ecosystem still developing. M&A likely needed to fill out client apps, policy, authentication  Outdoor small cell (licensed) market developing quickly — Major RAN vendors expected to dominate Ericsson, Huawei, NSN, Alcatel-Lucent — Small hardware and software tuck-ins likely required to fill portfolio – custom ASICs, SR wireless backhaul  Indoor small cell (licensed) market still nascent — Opportunity for non-RAN vendors to participate – Cisco, Spidercloud (private), Ruckus, Aruba Networks, and others — Interoperability with RAN and mobile core remains a big challenge 12
  • 14. Key Highlights: Back Office IT Network and Subscriber Analytics: Mobile Analytics  Deriving network data for sophisticated analysis is new and a very hot market likely to see significant M&A. New area of study for WCP Research  Highly fragmented market with dozens of small and large suppliers but no obvious winners — Likely leaders: Oracle, IBM, Ericsson, Cisco and JDSU — Healthy venture investment in past 2 years — Hot small players with valuable carrier wins 13