What does it mean for East Africa’s development?
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This document discusses the implications of urbanization and infrastructure development in East Africa. It notes that urbanization is associated with higher energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. The massive infrastructure development expected to support growing urban populations in East Africa over the next two decades presents an opportunity for mitigation efforts. Successful mitigation options implemented at the city-scale can provide co-benefits like improved health, employment, growth and resilience if bundled policy instruments are used. While many cities have climate action plans, their overall impact on emissions is uncertain.
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What does it mean for East Africa’s development?
- 1. What does it mean for East Africa’s development? Human Settlements Infrastructure and Spatial Planning Shuaib Lwasa, Lead Author WG III
- 2. 2 Human Settlements, Infrastructure, and Spatial Planning
- 3. There is far more carbon in the ground than emitted in any baseline scenario. 3 Based on SRREN Figure 1.7 Economic Growth and Population will most likely continue to dominate extraction and consumption of these resources Northern Corridor Uganda Albertine graben Oil and Natural Gas off TZ
- 4. 4 Key Messages and implications for East Africa
- 5. “ ” Urbanization is a global trend and is associated with increases in income, and higher urban incomes are correlated with higher consumption of energy and GHG emissions (medium evidence, high agreement) WG III Chapter 12
- 6. “ ” The next two decades present a window of opportunity for mitigation in urban areas, as a large portion of the world’s urban areas will be developed during this period (limited evidence, high agreement). WG III Chapter 12
- 7. ” “ WG III Chapter 12 The anticipated growth in urban population will require a massive build-up of urban infrastructure, which is a key driver of emissions across multiple sectors limited evidence, high agreement Existing System Future System Based on Old System Future System Totally New System Leapfrog Transformative development
- 8. “ ” Mitigation options in urban areas vary by urbanization trajectories and are expected to be most effective when policy instruments are bundled (robust evidence, high agreement WG III Chapter 12 Micro to meso-scale interventions
- 9. “ ” Successful implementation of urban‐scale climate change mitigation strategies can provide co-benefits (robust evidence, high agreement). WG III Chapter 12 Health, employment, growth, resilience
- 10. “ ” Thousands of cities are undertaking climate action plans, but their aggregate impact on urban emissions is uncertain (robust evidence, high agreement) WG III Chapter 12
- 11. Conclusion • Cities and national governments have started to work towards reducing GHG emissions • But future urban trajectories indicate that most likely pathway for cities is characterized by high extraction and consumption • Reducing GHG emissions from cities and making them sustainable is key to a national, regional and global cumulative reduction of emissions