Wsu interns 12 final
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The document summarizes the state of Washington's budget outlook and K-12 funding. It notes that projected budget shortfalls have increased from $1.4 billion to $5.1 billion. The 2011 legislative session addressed some of this with a series of cuts, including reducing K-12 education funding by $1.8 billion. Looking to 2012, the budget outlook remains challenging due to slower economic recovery and rising costs. The governor has proposed a special legislative session to address a further $2 billion shortfall, including $370 million in additional K-12 reductions.
Wsu interns 12 final
- 1. WSU Superintendents‘ Certification Program Olympia, January 6, 2012
- 2. 2011 Legislative Session Review 2011-13 Budget Outlook 2011 Special Session Review 2012 Regular Session Preview WASA Legislative Platform 2
- 3. Budget, Budget, Budget 2009-11 budget (ending June 30, 2011): ◦ Projected shortfall: $1.4 billion 2011-13 budget: ◦ Projected shortfall before 2011 session: $4.6 billion ◦ Projected shortfall end of 2011 session: $5.1 billion 3
- 4. Transfer federal ―EduJobs‖ funds to General Fund ($208 million) Eliminate K-4 Class Size Enhancement, Feb. ‗11 ($39.4 million) Reduce education reform ($9.2 million) OSPI reductions ($3.7 million) Total Savings = $588 million K-12 Education Reductions = $257.5 million 4
- 5. Eliminate K-4 Class Size, Sept. ‗10-Jan. ‗11 ($25.4 million) Safety Net Adjustment ($24.8 million) Food Service Funding ($3.0 million) Summer Voc. Skills Centers ($1.8 million) Schools for Blind/Deaf ($1.0 million) OSPI admin & program funding ($2.7 million) Total Savings = $367 million K-12 Education Reductions = $58.62 million 5
- 6. Suspend I-728 ($860.7 million) Plan 1 Uniform COLA ($275.3 million) Suspend I-732 ($265.7 million) K-12 Salary Reduction ($179.0 million) K-4 Class Size Enhancement ($169.6 million) National Board Bonus ($61.1 million) Student Assessment System ($50.5 million) Total Savings = $4.6 billion K-12 Education Reductions = $1.8 billion 6
- 7. The K-12 budget was reduced from the Maintenance Level by a net $1.8 billion REDUCTIONS: Suspend I-728, Student Achievement Fund $-861 Suspend Plan 1 Retirees‘ COLA -275 Suspend I-732 COLA -266 Eliminate K-4 Class Size Reduction -223 K-12 Salary Reductions -179 National Board Bonus Program Changes -61 Assessment Program Changes & Savings -51 ALE Funding Adjustment -41 Limit Running Start FTEs to 1.2 -6 Reduce Food Service Funding -6 All Other Reductions <$5 Million -37 Total Reductions, Including Compensation: $-2,006 7
- 8. The K-12 budget was reduced from the Maintenance Level by a net $1.8 billion INCREASES: K-3 Class Size in High Poverty Schools $34 New Funding Formula Hold-Harmless 25 Kindergarten Phase-in 5 Transportation Enhancement 5 IT Academy 4 Teacher and Principal Evaluation Pilots 3 PASS Act (Drop-out Prevention) Program 3 2011 Session Bills & Other Increases 3 June 2011 Apportionment (less contingency 115 fund) Total Increases from Maintenance Level $196 Net Policy Changes: $-1,810 8
- 9. FY 2009-13 Budget Solutions The Legislature has addressed $18 billion in budget shortfalls since the start of the ―Great Recession‖—with the largest share being reductions in spending Source: Office of Financial Management, 11/11 9
- 10. FY 2009-13 Budget Reductions 10 Source: Office of Financial Management, 11/11
- 12. Slower than expected economic recovery • June Rev. Forecast: $560 million less revenue • Sept. Rev. Forecast: Another $1.4 billion down • Nov. Rev. Forecast: Another $122 million down Budget adopted with $743 million in reserve. Following three downward revisions in revenue projections, projected shortfall is $1.4 billion. Caseloads continue to rise Medical Assistance: 3.2% per year K-12 Enrollment: 1.1% per year K-12 Special Ed: 1.7% per year TANF enrollment: 2.0% per year 12
- 13. State Budget-driver: K-12 Enrollment Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 13
- 14. State Budget-driver: Public Higher Education Enrollment Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 14
- 15. State Budget-driver: Medical Assistance Caseload Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 15
- 16. State Budget-driver: Prison Inmate Population Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 16
- 17. State Budget-driver: Medical Costs Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 17
- 18. 2012 Budget Outlook Source: Office of Program Research, 12/11 18
- 19. Dr. Arun Raha, Washington‘s Chief Economist: ―The economy is off life-support, but still in intensive care.‖ (Nov. 2010) ―The national economy remains fragile…and recent geopolitical developments have cast yet another shadow over the economic recovery.‖ (March 2011) ―We will see stronger growth in the second half of 2011 as oil prices stabilize, Japanese supply chains are restored and rebuilding picks up.‖ (June 2011) ―We no longer expect growth to pick up momentum later this year—instead the most likely scenario is an extended period of muddle-through.‖ (Sept. 2011) 19
- 20. Dr. Arun Raha, Washington‘s Chief Economist ―We are in the fragile aftermath of the Great Recession, where a return to normalcy seems like a mirage in the desert — the closer we get to it, the further it moves away.‖ (Oct. 2011) ―Data releases since the September forecast have been mildly encouraging, but only because expectations were so low....Our current economic forecast is very similar to our September forecast, with the same muddle- through conditions expected for the rest of the biennium, along with a high degree of downside risk.‖ (Nov. 2011) 20
- 21. On Aug. 8, Governor Gregoire instructed her agency directors to submit 5 percent and 10 percent ―reduction options‖ ◦ 10% across-the-board = $1.7 billion 2012 Supplemental Budget submittals are also limited to: ◦ Non-discretionary changes in caseloads; ◦ Necessary technical corrections; and ◦ Additional federal/local funding expected to be received in the remainder of the biennium 21
- 22. Sept. 22 – Governor Gregoire announces that she will call legislators in for a Special Session, beginning Nov. 28: ―Once again, we are facing a shortfall....My only option is across-the-board cuts, and that option is unacceptable. Solving this budget crisis will require the Legislature to act.‖ Projected shortfall to address, with ―healthy‖ reserves = $2.0 billion 22
- 23. Total 2011-13 Budget = $32.0 billion 63% of the Budget is constitutionally/legally protected (includes: Basic Education, Medicaid and debt service) or is ―difficult to get to‖ ―Targetable‖ reductions available = $8.7 billion A $2.0 billion reduction would be a 23% cut of unprotected funding 23
- 24. Over 60% of the Budget is Constitutionally/Legally Protected 24 Source: Office of Financial Management, 10/11
- 25. K-12 ―Basic Education‖ vs. ―Non-Basic Education‖ 93% of the K-12 portion of the biennial operating budget is ―protected‖ Basic Education funding 25
- 26. K-12 ―Basic Education‖ vs. ―Non-Basic Education‖ 26
- 27. K-12 Budget Reduction Alternatives & Governor‘s ―Preferred Choices‖ 27 Source: Governor‘s Office, 10/11
- 28. Proposed solution: $1.7 billion savings + $600 million reserve K-12 reductions = $370 million 28
- 29. Governor‘s Proposed Revenue Package (Referendum to the People) 29
- 30. Policy changes/reductions = $226 million Maintenance level reductions = $97 million Fund transfers = $106 million Unclaimed property = $51 million Total Savings = $479.7 million K-12 Education Reductions = $74.9 million ◦ ($54 million policy + $20.9 million maintenance) 30
- 31. Short (60-day), ―non-budget‖ session ◦ Main focus = Budget, Budget, Budget $1.5 billion budget solution needed Obstacles: ◦ 60% of budget protected from cuts ◦ 2/3 majority necessary for revenue enhancements ◦ McCleary education funding decision ◦ Election year 31
- 32. No further reductions to K–12 education No mid-year reductions to the K–12 portion of the budget No reduction in LEA funding—and no changes to LEA formula/structure Any K-12 reductions must be fair and equitable 32
- 33. Source: Office of Financial Management, 12/11 33
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- 36. Education Policy Issues Likely to be Addressed: Teacher/Principal Evaluation Pilots and statewide expansion Modifications to Local Effort Assistance formula Changes to Alternative Learning Experience formula Implementation of a new Transitional Bilingual Instructional Program (TBIP) funding formula 36
- 37. 1. Create a revenue-neutral ―swap‖ of local levies for the state Common School Levy (aka State Property Tax)—and use the new BEA model to drive out the new funding to schools 2. Allow growth greater than the current 1% restriction on the Common School Levy 3. Reset local levy caps at $2500 per student 4. Make local levies reliable by making them permanent (with automatic adjustments for COLAs and enrollment growth) www.rosshunter.info (Nov19 & Nov 30) 37
- 38. Rep. Hunter K-12 Funding Plan Source: Rep. Ross Hunter, 11/11 38
- 40. It is the paramount duty of the state to make ample provision for the education of all children residing within its borders without distinction or preference on account of race, color, caste, or sex. (§ 1) The legislature shall provide for a general and uniform system of public schools. (§ 2) Constitution of the State of Washington Article IX - Education 40
- 41. Support continued implementation of the basic education finance system (HB 2261); support adopted funding phase-in schedule (HB 2776)—with full and equitable funding by 2018 Oppose further K-12 cuts—including changes to or reductions of LEA. As economy recovers, re-investment in K-12 funding should be first priority 41
- 42. An educated citizenry is critical to the state‘s democracy; a well-educated population is the foundation of our democracy, our economy, and the American dream Public education plays a critical role in promoting equality, operating as the great equalizer; public education provides unprivileged citizens with the tools they need to compete on a level playing field with citizens born into wealth or privilege 42
- 43. Education plays a critical role in building and maintaining a strong economy; public education builds the well-educated workforce necessary to attract more stable and higher wage jobs to the state‘s economy Washington‘s duty to education is constitutionally declared to be its paramount duty In summary: Public education is a wise ―investment‖ in the future 43
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- 46. WASA: www.wasa-oly.org Education Associations: ◦ WSSDA: www.wssda.org ◦ AWSP: www.awsp.org ◦ WEA: www.washingtonea.org ◦ PTA: www.wastatepta.org Education Agencies: ◦ OSPI: www.k12.wa.us ◦ SBE: www.sbe.wa.gov ◦ PESB: www.pesb.wa.gov Legislative-related: ◦ Legislature Homepage: www.leg.wa.gov ◦ Governor‘s Homepage: www.governor.wa.gov ◦ LEAP (Budget info): http://leap.leg.wa.gov/leap/default.asp 46
- 47. Questions? The prophetic oracular sphere from Tyco®
- 48. Daniel P. Steele Assistant Executive Director, Government Relations 825 Fifth Avenue SE Olympia, WA 98501 360.489.3642 dsteele@wasa-oly.org WSU Supts‘ Program 2012
Editor's Notes
- #18: Health care, including employee health insurance and medical assistance, is over 20 percent of the general fund budget.The size of the health care budget, combined with rapid growth in per capital health care costs, make this a prime source of pressure on spending.Except for a brief period in the mid-1990s and during the recession in 2008, health care costs have grown much faster than general inflation as measured by the Implicit Price Deflator (IPD) for personal consumption.Beginning in 2002, cost shifts from employers to employees resulted in much of the decrease in growth of employer medical costs.
- #28: $3.8 billion PLUS $330 million apportionment shift (and FY11 underexpenditures of $60 million) = $4.2 billion &$2.0 billion