1. Price Interpretability of Prediction Markets: A Convergence Analysis. (2023). Wang, Zizhuo ; Wu, Weiping ; Gao, Jianjun ; Yu, Dian.
   In: Papers.
   RePEc:arx:papers:2205.08913.

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2. The Market-Based Asset Price Probability. (2022). Olkhov, Victor.
   In: MPRA Paper.
   RePEc:pra:mprapa:115382.

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3. The Market-Based Asset Price Probability. (2022). Olkhov, Victor.
   In: MPRA Paper.
   RePEc:pra:mprapa:113096.

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4. Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets. (2022). Singleton, Carl ; De Angelis, Luca ; Angelini, Giovanni.
   In: International Journal of Forecasting.
   RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:1:p:282-299.

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5. Put your money where your forecast is: Supply chain collaborative forecasting with cost-function-based prediction markets. (2022). Zaerpour, Nima ; Karimi, Majid.
   In: European Journal of Operational Research.
   RePEc:eee:ejores:v:300:y:2022:i:3:p:1035-1049.

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6. Betting market equilibrium with heterogeneous beliefs: A prospect theory-based model. (2022). Wang, Tongyao ; Gao, Jianjun ; Yu, Dian.
   In: European Journal of Operational Research.
   RePEc:eee:ejores:v:298:y:2022:i:1:p:137-151.

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7. Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets. (2021). Singleton, Carl ; De Angelis, Luca ; Angelini, Giovanni.
   In: Economics Discussion Papers.
   RePEc:rdg:emxxdp:em-dp2019-20.

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8. The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets. (2021). Jia, Yanwei ; Kou, Steven ; Dai, Min.
   In: Journal of Econometrics.
   RePEc:eee:econom:v:222:y:2021:i:1:p:561-578.

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9. Predicting the replicability of social science lab experiments. (2019). Johannesson, Magnus ; Dreber, Anna ; Camerer, Colin ; Altmejd, Adam ; Huber, Juergen ; Nave, Gideon ; Forsell, Eskil ; Imai, Taisuke ; Kirchler, Michael.
   In: PLOS ONE.
   RePEc:plo:pone00:0225826.

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10. A Bias Aggregation Theorem. (2019). Schneider, Mark.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:chu:wpaper:19-03.

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11. On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules. (2018). Dimitrov, Stanko ; Karimi, Majid.
    In: Decision Analysis.
    RePEc:inm:ordeca:v:15:y:2018:i:2:p:72-89.

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12. The Importance of Suspense and Surprise in Entertainment Demand: Evidence from Wimbledon. (2016). Paolo, Bizzozero ; Franck, Egon ; Flepp, Raphael.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:zrh:wpaper:357.

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13. State-dependent Preferences in Prediction Markets and Prices as Aggregate Statistic. (2016). Khan, Urmee.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201609.

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14. Far from the Madding Crowd: Collective Wisdom in Prediction Markets. (2016). Bottazzi, Giulio ; Giachini, Daniele.
    In: LEM Papers Series.
    RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2016/14.

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15. Belief Aggregation with Automated Market Makers. (2016). Sethi, Rajiv ; Vaughan, Jennifer Wortman.
    In: Computational Economics.
    RePEc:kap:compec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10614-015-9514-7.

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16. The importance of suspense and surprise in entertainment demand: Evidence from Wimbledon. (2016). Franck, Egon ; Flepp, Raphael ; Bizzozero, Paolo.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:130:y:2016:i:c:p:47-63.

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17. Risk aversion in prediction markets: A framed-field experiment. (2016). Comeig, Irene ; Boulu-Reshef, Béatrice ; Donze, Robert ; Weiss, Gregory D.
    In: Journal of Business Research.
    RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:69:y:2016:i:11:p:5071-5075.

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18. US Corporate Investment Over the Political Cycle. (2015). Yonce, Adam.
    In: Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF).
    RePEc:wsi:qjfxxx:v:05:y:2015:i:01:n:s2010139215500159.

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19. A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs. (2015). Tremewan, James ; Schlag, Karl ; Weele, Joel.
    In: Experimental Economics.
    RePEc:kap:expeco:v:18:y:2015:i:3:p:457-490.

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20. Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely. (2015). Rothschild, David.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:952-964.

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21. Divided governments and futures prices. (2015). Sojli, Elvira ; Tham, Wing Wah.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:187:y:2015:i:2:p:622-633.

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22. A Penny for your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods of Eliciting Beliefs. (2014). Tremewan, James ; Schlag, Karl ; van der Weele, Joel.
    In: Vienna Economics Papers.
    RePEc:vie:viennp:vie1401.

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23. A Penny for Your Thoughts:A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs.. (2014). Schlag, Karl ; van der Weele, Joel ; Tremewan, James.
    In: Vienna Economics Papers.
    RePEc:vie:viennp:1401.

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24. The impact of political majorities on firm value: Do electoral promises or friendship connections matter?. (2014). Sangnier, Marc ; Coulomb, Renaud.
    In: Journal of Public Economics.
    RePEc:eee:pubeco:v:115:y:2014:i:c:p:158-170.

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25. Tools for Consumer Rights Protection in the Prediction of Electronic Virtual Market and Technological Changes. (2014). Plevn, Miroslav ; Gangur, Mikula .
    In: The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal.
    RePEc:aes:amfeco:v:36:y:2014:i:16:p:578.

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26. Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football. (2013). Reade, J ; Akie, Sachiko .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-005.

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27. Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting. (2013). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik ; Zitzewitz, Eric.
    In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:ecofch:2-657.

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28. Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts?-super-. (2013). Page, Lionel ; Clemen, Robert T..
    In: Economic Journal.
    RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:123:y:2013:i:568:p:491-513.

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29. Informational Feedback, Adverse Selection, and Optimal Disclosure Policy. (2013). Gao, Pingyang ; Liang, Pierre Jinghong.
    In: Journal of Accounting Research.
    RePEc:bla:joares:v:51:y:2013:i:5:p:1133-1158.

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30. Efficiency and the Disposition Effect in NFL Prediction Markets. (2012). Hartzmark, Samuel M ; Solomon, David H.
    In: Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF).
    RePEc:wsi:qjfxxx:v:02:y:2012:i:03:n:s2010139212500139.

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31. Heterogeneous Beliefs and Prediction Market Accuracy. (2012). TREICH, Nicolas ; He, Xuezhong (Tony).
    In: TSE Working Papers.
    RePEc:tse:wpaper:27155.

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32. Market efficiency and continuous information arrival: evidence from prediction markets. (2012). Easton, Steve ; Docherty, Paul.
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2461-2471.

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33. Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach. (2012). Solis, Daniel ; Letson, David ; Kelly, David ; Nelson, Forrest ; Nolan, David S. ; Sols, Daniel.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:81:y:2012:i:2:p:644-663.

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34. Learning Performance of Prediction Markets with Kelly Bettors. (2012). Langford, John ; Pennock, David ; Beygelzimer, Alina.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:1201.6655.

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35. Combinatorial Modelling and Learning with Prediction Markets. (2012). Hu, Jinli.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:1201.3851.

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36. How Prediction Markets can Save Event Studies. (2011). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: CAMA Working Papers.
    RePEc:een:camaaa:2011-07.

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37. Pricing externalities. (2010). Tideman, Nicolaus T. ; Plassmann, Florenz .
    In: European Journal of Political Economy.
    RePEc:eee:poleco:v:26:y:2010:i:2:p:176-184.

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38. Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets. (2010). Geweke, John ; Rietz, Thomas A. ; Berg, Joyce E..
    In: Quantitative Economics.
    RePEc:ecm:quante:v:1:y:2010:i:1:p:163-186.

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39. Prognosen auf Agrarmärkten: Prediction Markets – eine innovative Prognosemethode auch für die Landwirtschaft?. (2010). Müller, R. A. E., ; Loy, J.-P., ; Hedtrich, F.
    In: Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”.
    RePEc:ags:gewipr:260139.

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40. An Experiment on Prediction Markets in Science. (2009). Pfeiffer, Thomas ; Kittlitz, Ken ; Almenberg, Johan.
    In: PLOS ONE.
    RePEc:plo:pone00:0008500.

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41. Sports forecasting: a comparison of the forecast accuracy of prediction markets, betting odds and tipsters. (2009). Spann, Martin ; Skiera, Bernd.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:1:p:55-72.

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42. Private Investor Participation and Commercialization Rates for Government‐sponsored Research and Development: Would a Prediction Market Improve the Performance of the SBIR Programme?. (2009). Scott, John ; Link, Albert.
    In: Economica.
    RePEc:bla:econom:v:76:y:2009:i:302:p:264-281.

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43. Party Influence in Congress and the Economy. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12751.

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44. New uses for new macro derivatives. (2006). Wolfers, Justin.
    In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
    RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2006:i:aug25:n:2006-21.

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45. Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets. (2006). Wolfers, Justin ; Leigh, Andrew.
    In: The Economic Record.
    RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:82:y:2006:i:258:p:325-340.

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2. Black, Fisher (1976), Studies of Stock Price Volatility Changes, in Proceedings of the 1976 Meetings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, 171-181.
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3. Dominitz, Jeff and Charles Manski (2004), How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence, Journal of Economics Perspectives 18(2), 51-66.

4. Gjerstad, Steven (2005), Risk Aversion, Beliefs, and Prediction Market Equilibrium, mimeo University of Arizona.

5. Leigh, Andrew, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz (2003), What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?, NBER Working Paper 9587.

6. Levitt, Steven (2004), Why Are Gambling Markets Organised So Differently from Financial Markets?, Economic Journal, vol. 114.

7. Manski, Charles (2004), Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets, NBER Working Paper 10359, March 2004.

8. Ottaviania, Marco and Peter Norman Sørensen (2006), Aggregation of Information and Beliefs in Prediction Markets, mimeo, London Business School.
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9. Servan-Schreiber, Emile, Justin Wolfers, David Pennock and Brian Galebach (2004) Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter?, Electronic Markets 14(3).

1. Efficiency of the Experimental Prediction Market: Public Information, Belief Evolution, and Personality Traits. (2021). Yang, Chih-Hwa ; Chie, Bin-Tzong.
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2. Salience and the Disposition Effect: Evidence from the Introduction of `Cash-Outs in Betting Markets. (2015). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
   In: University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series.
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3. Does society underestimate women? Evidence from the performance of female jockeys in horse racing. (2015). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
   In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
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4. Constant Bet Size? Dont Bet on It! Testing Expected Utility Theory on Betfair Data. (2015). Kopriva, Frantisek.
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5. The Role of Speculative Trade in Market Efficiency: Evidence from a Betting Exchange. (2014). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
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6. Why prediction markets work : the role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting. (2014). Siemroth, Christoph.
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7. Why prediction markets work : The role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting. (2014). Siemroth, Christoph.
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8. Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Betting: an Evolutionary Explanation. (2014). Watanabe, Takahiro ; Kajii, Atsushi.
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9. The Gates Hillman prediction market. (2013). Sandholm, Tuomas ; Othman, Abraham.
   In: Review of Economic Design.
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10. The house doesn’t always win: Evidence of anchoring among Australian bookies. (2013). Moul, Charles ; McAlvanah, Patrick.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:90:y:2013:i:c:p:87-99.

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11. Aggregation of information and beliefs on prediction markets with non-bayesian traders. (2012). Segol, Matthieu.
    In: Post-Print.
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12. Das Wettmonopol in Deutschland: Status Quo und Reformansätze. (2010). Schmidt, Ulrich ; Maschke, Mario .
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13. Das Wettmonopol in Deutschland: Status Quo und Reformansätze. (2010). Schmidt, Ulrich ; Maschke, Mario .
    In: Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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14. Symposium Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behavior. (2010). Smith, Michael A. ; Peirson, John.
    In: Southern Economic Journal.
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15. Pay-to-Bid Auctions. (2010). Price, Joseph ; Platt, Brennan ; Tappen, Henry .
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16. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?. (2010). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
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17. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?. (2010). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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18. Noise, Information, and the Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Predictions. (2010). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco ; Sorensen, Peter Norman.
    In: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics.
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19. Aggregation of Information and Beliefs: Asset Pricing Lessons from Prediction Markets. (2009). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco.
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20. An Explanation of Optimal Each-Way Bets based on Non-Expected Utility Theory. (2009). Peel, David ; Law, Davind .
    In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics.
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21. A More General Non‐expected Utility Model as an Explanation of Gambling Outcomes for Individuals and Markets. (2009). Peel, David ; Law, David.
    In: Economica.
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22. Surprised by the Parimutuel Odds?. (2009). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco ; Peter Norman Sørensen, .
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23. Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behaviour. (2008). Peirson, John.
    In: Studies in Economics.
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24. Do horses like vodka and sponging? - On market manipulation and the favourite-longshot bias. (2008). Winter, Stefan ; Kukuk, Martin.
    In: Applied Economics.
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25. An Alternative Explanation of the Favorite-Longshot Bias. (2008). Winter, Stefan ; Kukuk, Martin.
    In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics.
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26. Empirical evidence of error in pricing of favorites and longshots in greyhound racing. (2007). Shetty, Shekar ; Gulati, Anil .
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27. Testing Market Efficiency in a Fixed Odds Betting Market. (2007). Jakobsson, Robin ; Karlsson, Niklas.
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28. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
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29. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
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30. Exploring Decision Makers Use of Price Information in a Speculative Market. (2006). Jones, Owen ; Tang, Leilei ; Johnnie E. V. Johnson, .
    In: Management Science.
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31. Why people choose negative expected return assets - an empirical examination of a utility theoretic explanation. (2006). Garrett, Thomas ; Bhattacharyya, Nalinaksha.
    In: Working Papers.
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32. Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
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33. Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets. (2006). Manski, Charles.
    In: Economics Letters.
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34. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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35. Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets. (2004). Manski, Charles.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
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36. The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market. (2004). Pope, Peter F. ; Dixon, Mark J..
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:697-711.

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37. Betting on long shots in NCAA basketball games and implications for skew loving behavior. (2004). Swidler, Steve ; Godwin, Norman H. ; Colquitt, Lee L..
    In: Finance Research Letters.
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38. An examination of the empirical derivatives of the favourite-longshot bias in racetrack betting. (2003). Sobel, Russell ; Raines, Travis S..
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:371-385.

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39. How Do Markets Function? An Empirical Analysis of Gambling on the National Football League. (2003). Levitt, Steven.
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40. The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Sequential Parimutuel Betting with Non-Expected Utility Players. (2003). Ziegelmeyer, Anthony ; Koessler, Frederic ; Broihanne, Marie-Hélène.
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41. Racetrack betting and consensus of subjective probabilities. (2003). Lin, YI ; Brown, Lawrence D..
    In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
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42. The representative bettor, bet size, and prospect theory. (2003). Bradley, Ian .
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43. The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Sequential parimutuel Betting with Non-Expected Utility Players. (2002). Ziegelmeyer, Anthony ; Koessler, Frederic ; Broihanne, Marie-Hélène.
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44. State Lotteries and Consumer Behavior. (2002). Kearney, Melissa.
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45. Monopoly Rents and Price Fixing in Betting Markets. (2001). Vaughan Williams, Leighton ; Paton, David.
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46. RATIONED ACCESS AND WELFARE: CASE OF PUBLIC RESOURCE LOTTERIES. (2001). Berrens, Robert ; Scrogin, David.
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47. Developments in Non-expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk. (2000). Starmer, Chris.
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48. Gamblers favor skewness, not risk: Further evidence from United States lottery games. (1999). Sobel, Russell ; Garrett, Thomas.
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49. Bets and bids: favorite-longshot bias and winners curse. (1997). Potters, Jan ; Wit, Jorgen.
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