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Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets. (2006). Manski, Charles.
In: Economics Letters.
RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:91:y:2006:i:3:p:425-429.

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  2. Risk aversion and information aggregation in binary‐asset markets. (2023). Mantovani, Marco ; Filippin, Antonio.
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  3. A logarithmic market scoring rule agent-based model to evaluate prediction markets. (2023). Silveira, Douglas ; Ely, Regis ; Cajueiro, Daniel O.
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  4. Integrating fundamental model uncertainty in policy analysis. (2023). Mukashov, Askar ; Ziesmer, Johannes ; Jin, Ding ; Henning, Christian.
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  5. What drives biased odds in sports betting markets: Bettors’ irrationality and the role of bookmakers. (2023). Yamada, Toru ; Goto, Shingo.
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  6. Betting on a buzz: Mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks. (2023). Singleton, Carl ; Reade, J ; Ramirez, Philip.
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  7. Price Interpretability of Prediction Markets: A Convergence Analysis. (2023). Wang, Zizhuo ; Wu, Weiping ; Gao, Jianjun ; Yu, Dian.
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  8. Betting on a buzz, mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks. (2022). Singleton, Carl ; Reade, J ; Ramirez, Philip.
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  9. Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets. (2022). Singleton, Carl ; De Angelis, Luca ; Angelini, Giovanni.
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  17. Aggregation mechanisms for crowd predictions. (2020). Palan, Stefan ; Senninger, Larissa ; Huber, Jurgen.
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  22. Far from the madding crowd: collective wisdom in prediction markets. (2019). Bottazzi, Giulio ; Giachini, D.
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  23. Convergence within binary market scoring rules. (2019). Tarnaud, Razvan.
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  25. Risk Aversion and Information Aggregation in Asset Markets. (2019). Mantovani, Marco ; Filippin, Antonio ; Marco, Mantovani ; Antonio, Filippin.
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  26. Aggregation Mechanisms for Crowd Predictions. (2019). Palan, Stefan ; Senninger, Larissa ; Huber, Jrgen.
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  28. A Bias Aggregation Theorem. (2019). Schneider, Mark.
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  29. The Wisdom of the Crowd in Dynamic Economies. (2018). Massari, Filippo ; Dindo, Pietro.
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  30. On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules. (2018). Dimitrov, Stanko ; Karimi, Majid.
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  33. Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise. (2017). Manski, Charles.
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  34. Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise. (2017). Manski, Charles F.
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  35. Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls. (2017). Swift, Samuel A ; Rescober, Phillip ; Tetlock, Philip ; Atanasov, Pavel ; Ungar, Lyle ; Stone, Eric ; Servan-Schreiber, Emile ; Mellers, Barbara.
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  37. State-dependent Preferences in Prediction Markets and Prices as Aggregate Statistic. (2016). Khan, Urmee.
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  38. Far from the Madding Crowd: Collective Wisdom in Prediction Markets. (2016). Bottazzi, Giulio ; Giachini, Daniele.
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  39. State-dependent Preferences in Prediction Markets and Prices as Aggregate Statistic. (2016). Khan, Urmee.
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  42. Risk aversion in prediction markets: A framed-field experiment. (2016). Comeig, Irene ; Boulu-Reshef, Béatrice ; Donze, Robert ; Weiss, Gregory D.
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  43. SURPRISE ME IF YOU CAN: THE INFLUENCE OF NEWSPAPER ENDORSEMENTS IN U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS. (2016). Trindade, Andre ; Fawaz, Yarine ; Casas, Agustin.
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  44. The Informational Content of the Limit Order Book: An Empirical Study of Prediction Markets. (2016). Groeger, Joachim.
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  45. Corporate Prediction Markets: Evidence from Google, Ford, and Firm X. (2015). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Cowgill, Bo.
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  46. A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs. (2015). Tremewan, James ; Schlag, Karl ; Weele, Joel.
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  47. Nonconvex Equilibrium Prices in Prediction Markets. (2015). Seshadri, Ashwin K.
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  83. Prediction Markets: Alternative Mechanisms for Complex Environments with Few Traders. (2010). Linardi, Sera ; Ledyard, John ; Healy, Paul ; Lowery, Richard J..
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  84. Equilibrium in prediction markets with buyers and sellers. (2010). Megiddo, Nimrod ; Agrawal, Shipra ; Armbruster, Benjamin.
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  85. Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets. (2010). Geweke, John ; Rietz, Thomas A. ; Berg, Joyce E..
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  86. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?. (2010). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
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  87. An Experiment on Prediction Markets in Science. (2009). Pfeiffer, Thomas ; Kittlitz, Ken ; Almenberg, Johan.
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  88. Aggregation of Information and Beliefs: Asset Pricing Lessons from Prediction Markets. (2009). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco.
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  89. Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market. (2008). Chen, Keith ; Jonathan E. Ingersoll, Jr., ; Kaplan, Edward H..
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  90. Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections. (2007). Working, Yale ; Fair, Ray ; Discussion, Cowles.
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  91. Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections. (2007). Fair, Ray.
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  92. Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Presidential Elections. (2006). .
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  93. Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data. (2004). Fair, Ray.
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Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Efficiency of the Experimental Prediction Market: Public Information, Belief Evolution, and Personality Traits. (2021). Yang, Chih-Hwa ; Chie, Bin-Tzong.
    In: Advances in Management and Applied Economics.
    RePEc:spt:admaec:v:11:y:2021:i:4:f:11_4_3.

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  2. Salience and the Disposition Effect: Evidence from the Introduction of `Cash-Outs in Betting Markets. (2015). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
    In: University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:uea:aepppr:2012_71.

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  3. Does society underestimate women? Evidence from the performance of female jockeys in horse racing. (2015). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:111:y:2015:i:c:p:106-118.

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  4. Constant Bet Size? Dont Bet on It! Testing Expected Utility Theory on Betfair Data. (2015). Kopriva, Frantisek.
    In: CERGE-EI Working Papers.
    RePEc:cer:papers:wp545.

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  5. The Role of Speculative Trade in Market Efficiency: Evidence from a Betting Exchange. (2014). Yang, Fuyu ; Brown, Alasdair.
    In: University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:uea:aepppr:2012_68.

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  6. Why prediction markets work : the role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting. (2014). Siemroth, Christoph.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:mnh:wpaper:37452.

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  7. Why prediction markets work : The role of information acquisition and endogenous weighting. (2014). Siemroth, Christoph.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:mnh:wpaper:35257.

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  8. Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Betting: an Evolutionary Explanation. (2014). Watanabe, Takahiro ; Kajii, Atsushi.
    In: KIER Working Papers.
    RePEc:kyo:wpaper:907.

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  9. The Gates Hillman prediction market. (2013). Sandholm, Tuomas ; Othman, Abraham.
    In: Review of Economic Design.
    RePEc:spr:reecde:v:17:y:2013:i:2:p:95-128.

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  10. The house doesn’t always win: Evidence of anchoring among Australian bookies. (2013). Moul, Charles ; McAlvanah, Patrick.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:90:y:2013:i:c:p:87-99.

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  11. Aggregation of information and beliefs on prediction markets with non-bayesian traders. (2012). Segol, Matthieu.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:dumas-00809694.

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  12. Das Wettmonopol in Deutschland: Status Quo und Reformansätze. (2010). Schmidt, Ulrich ; Maschke, Mario .
    In: Kiel Policy Brief.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:18.

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  13. Das Wettmonopol in Deutschland: Status Quo und Reformansätze. (2010). Schmidt, Ulrich ; Maschke, Mario .
    In: Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:32848.

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  14. Symposium Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behavior. (2010). Smith, Michael A. ; Peirson, John.
    In: Southern Economic Journal.
    RePEc:sej:ancoec:v:76:4:y:2010:p:976-992.

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  15. Pay-to-Bid Auctions. (2010). Price, Joseph ; Platt, Brennan ; Tappen, Henry .
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:15695.

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  16. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?. (2010). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:iza:izadps:dp4884.

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  17. Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?. (2010). Wolfers, Justin ; Snowberg, Erik.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_3029.

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  18. Noise, Information, and the Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Predictions. (2010). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco ; Sorensen, Peter Norman.
    In: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics.
    RePEc:aea:aejmic:v:2:y:2010:i:1:p:58-85.

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  19. Aggregation of Information and Beliefs: Asset Pricing Lessons from Prediction Markets. (2009). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0914.

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  20. An Explanation of Optimal Each-Way Bets based on Non-Expected Utility Theory. (2009). Peel, David ; Law, Davind .
    In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics.
    RePEc:buc:jgbeco:v:3:y:2009:i:2:p:15-35.

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  21. A More General Non‐expected Utility Model as an Explanation of Gambling Outcomes for Individuals and Markets. (2009). Peel, David ; Law, David.
    In: Economica.
    RePEc:bla:econom:v:76:y:2009:i:302:p:251-263.

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  22. Surprised by the Parimutuel Odds?. (2009). Sørensen, Peter ; Ottaviani, Marco ; Peter Norman Sørensen, .
    In: American Economic Review.
    RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:99:y:2009:i:5:p:2129-34.

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  23. Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behaviour. (2008). Peirson, John.
    In: Studies in Economics.
    RePEc:ukc:ukcedp:0819.

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  24. Do horses like vodka and sponging? - On market manipulation and the favourite-longshot bias. (2008). Winter, Stefan ; Kukuk, Martin.
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:75-87.

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  25. An Alternative Explanation of the Favorite-Longshot Bias. (2008). Winter, Stefan ; Kukuk, Martin.
    In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics.
    RePEc:buc:jgbeco:v:2:y:2008:i:2:p:79-96.

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  26. Empirical evidence of error in pricing of favorites and longshots in greyhound racing. (2007). Shetty, Shekar ; Gulati, Anil .
    In: Journal of Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:31:y:2007:i:1:p:49-58.

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  27. Testing Market Efficiency in a Fixed Odds Betting Market. (2007). Jakobsson, Robin ; Karlsson, Niklas.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hhs:oruesi:2007_012.

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  28. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12200.

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  29. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:iza:izadps:dp2092.

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  30. Exploring Decision Makers Use of Price Information in a Speculative Market. (2006). Jones, Owen ; Tang, Leilei ; Johnnie E. V. Johnson, .
    In: Management Science.
    RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:52:y:2006:i:6:p:897-908.

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  31. Why people choose negative expected return assets - an empirical examination of a utility theoretic explanation. (2006). Garrett, Thomas ; Bhattacharyya, Nalinaksha.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2006-014.

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  32. Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2006-11.

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  33. Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets. (2006). Manski, Charles.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:91:y:2006:i:3:p:425-429.

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  34. Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5676.

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  35. Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets. (2004). Manski, Charles.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10359.

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  36. The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market. (2004). Pope, Peter F. ; Dixon, Mark J..
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:697-711.

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  37. Betting on long shots in NCAA basketball games and implications for skew loving behavior. (2004). Swidler, Steve ; Godwin, Norman H. ; Colquitt, Lee L..
    In: Finance Research Letters.
    RePEc:eee:finlet:v:1:y:2004:i:2:p:119-126.

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  38. An examination of the empirical derivatives of the favourite-longshot bias in racetrack betting. (2003). Sobel, Russell ; Raines, Travis S..
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:371-385.

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  39. How Do Markets Function? An Empirical Analysis of Gambling on the National Football League. (2003). Levitt, Steven.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9422.

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  40. The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Sequential Parimutuel Betting with Non-Expected Utility Players. (2003). Ziegelmeyer, Anthony ; Koessler, Frederic ; Broihanne, Marie-Hélène.
    In: Theory and Decision.
    RePEc:kap:theord:v:54:y:2003:i:3:p:231-248.

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  41. Racetrack betting and consensus of subjective probabilities. (2003). Lin, YI ; Brown, Lawrence D..
    In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
    RePEc:eee:stapro:v:62:y:2003:i:2:p:175-187.

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  42. The representative bettor, bet size, and prospect theory. (2003). Bradley, Ian .
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:78:y:2003:i:3:p:409-413.

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  43. The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Sequential parimutuel Betting with Non-Expected Utility Players. (2002). Ziegelmeyer, Anthony ; Koessler, Frederic ; Broihanne, Marie-Hélène.
    In: Working Papers of BETA.
    RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2002-12.

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  44. State Lotteries and Consumer Behavior. (2002). Kearney, Melissa.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:9330.

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  45. Monopoly Rents and Price Fixing in Betting Markets. (2001). Vaughan Williams, Leighton ; Paton, David.
    In: Review of Industrial Organization.
    RePEc:kap:revind:v:19:y:2001:i:3:p:265-278.

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  46. RATIONED ACCESS AND WELFARE: CASE OF PUBLIC RESOURCE LOTTERIES. (2001). Berrens, Robert ; Scrogin, David.
    In: 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL.
    RePEc:ags:aaea01:20472.

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  47. Developments in Non-expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk. (2000). Starmer, Chris.
    In: Journal of Economic Literature.
    RePEc:aea:jeclit:v:38:y:2000:i:2:p:332-382.

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  48. Gamblers favor skewness, not risk: Further evidence from United States lottery games. (1999). Sobel, Russell ; Garrett, Thomas.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:63:y:1999:i:1:p:85-90.

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  49. Bets and bids: favorite-longshot bias and winners curse. (1997). Potters, Jan ; Wit, Jorgen.
    In: Microeconomics.
    RePEc:wpa:wuwpmi:9706003.

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  50. Testing risklove in an experimental racetrack. (1995). Piron, Robert ; Smith, Ray L..
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:27:y:1995:i:3:p:465-474.

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