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State of IPv6 in 2018: IETF 101

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The document provides insights into global IPv6 deployment, noting that around 18% of the world has IPv6 capability, with slight variations placing it closer to 20%. Major economies like India lead with 49% IPv6 capability, while developed countries show lower percentages. It highlights a potential two-track internet risk due to uneven IPv6 adoption and investment across various economies.

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World IPv6 Trends George Michaelson APNIC ggm@apnic.net
Stats on IPv6 deployment worldwide
The world is on around 18% IPv6 Capability Capability as in ‘can use IPv6’ not necessarily preferring it. Measured as % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web asset embedded in a web advertisement. 15million or more samples per day, worldwide Figures adjusted for relative internet population We over-sample the US, under-sample India Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% or better Consider APNIC a ‘low side’ count and them as ‘high side count’ Its pretty well bracketed. It’s a high confidence figure. Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below 18%
CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% Economies Ranked around 18% IPv6 Capability
How much of the world IPv6 is each economy
How much of the world IPv6 is each economy Lets re-scale this to reflect the % of world Internet broken out by economies and then calculate the % of worldwide IPv6 each economy is contributing by relative size. Lets focus on the top 15.
Guess which Economy is Which..
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49% USA 22%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% USA 22%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2%
Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea Belgium Malaysia 1% Vietnam Australia Thailand Mexico <1%
Lets mark out some economic groups
CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% G8 Economies
CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% G20 Economies Missing: CN ID SA TR ZA
CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% OECD Missing: CL IS TR
CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% APEC Missing BN CL CN HK ID PG PH
Take-away messages There is no strong indication that specific sector-economy drivers are making IPv6 happen We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 We have emerging Internet Economies with significant IPv6 There are signs that suggest a two-track internet risks emerging Lack of capital investment to upgrade to dualstack or IPv6 IPv6 is interesting because of the future potential to innovate Don’t get caught behind incumbent thinking!
India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea Belgium Malaysia 1% Vietnam Australia Thailand Mexico <1% Looking into the top 15 economies
Lets look at the top 15 in more detail
Whats going on inside these economies? Look at the per-AS statistics on when their top ASN (by measured share of experiments) enabled IPv6. Focusses on the most ‘impactful’ ASN, and their deployment stories What can this say about competitive ‘tension’ in services? Can we see signs of active competition in IPv6? Do we see signs of market dominance?
AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts
AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6
AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6 Length denotes %capable
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2013-06 2014-02 2014-10 2015-06 2016-02 2016-10 2017-06 2018-02 55836 38266 45271 55441 V6 capability & eyeball share, India 49% AS NUMBER active in IPv6 Y axis is %IPv6 capable in that ASN X axis is date 30 day smoothed sample
AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2013-06 2014-02 2014-10 2015-06 2016-02 2016-10 2017-06 2018-02 55836 38266 45271 55441 V6 capability & eyeball share, India 49%
AS21928 - T-MOBILE-AS21928 - T-Mobile USA, Inc. AS22394 - CELLCO - Cellco Partnership DBA Verizon Wireless AS7018 - ATT-INTERNET4 - ATT Services, Inc. AS7922 - COMCAST-7922 - Comcast Cable Communications, LLC AS20057 - ATT-MOBILITY-LLC-AS20057 - ATT Mobility LLC AS22773 - ASN-CXA-ALL-CCI-22773-RDC - Cox Communications Inc. AS10796 - SCRR-10796 - Time Warner Cable Internet LLC AS20115 - CHARTER-NET-HKY-NC - Charter Communications AS701 - UUNET - MCI Communications Services, Inc. dba Verizon Business AS209 - CENTURYLINK-US-LEGACY-QWEST - Qwest Communications Company, LLC 3951 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 7922 7018 22394 20115 21928 20057 22773 10796 V6 capability & eyeball share, USA 22%
AS26599 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS26615 - Tim Celular S.A. AS27699 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS28573 - CLARO S.A. AS18881 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS7738 - Telemar Norte Leste S.A. AS8167 - Brasil Telecom SA - Filial Distrito Federal AS22085 - Claro SA 3713 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 28573 7738 18881 27699 8167 26615 26599 V6 capability & eyeball share, Brazil 6%
AS2516 - KDDI KDDI CORPORATION AS2518 - BIGLOBE BIGLOBE Inc. AS2527 - SO-NET So-net Entertainment Corporation AS17676 - GIGAINFRA Softbank BB Corp. AS4713 - OCN NTT Communications Corporation AS9605 - DOCOMO NTT DOCOMO, INC. AS17511 - K-OPTICOM K-Opticom Corporation AS9824 - JTCL-JP-AS Jupiter Telecommunication Co. Ltd 175 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 17676 2516 4713 2527 9605 2518 10010 V6 capability & eyeball share, Japan 6%
AS8881 - VERSATEL AS31334 - KABELDEUTSCHLAND-AS AS6830 - LGI-UPC formerly known as UPC Broadband Holding B.V. AS3320 - DTAG Internet service provider operations AS29562 - KABELBW-ASN AS8422 - NETCOLOGNE AS6805 - TDDE-ASN1 AS39706 - O2-GERMANY-AS AS3209 - VODANET International IP-Backbone of Vodafone 255 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2015-07 2016-01 2016-07 2017-01 2017-07 2018-01 3320 31334 6805 6830 29562 8881 8422 V6 capability & eyeball share, Germany 5%
AS5607 - BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS AS2856 - BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network AS12576 - ORANGE-PCS AS60339 - H3GUK AS5089 - NTL AS9105 - TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK AS13285 - OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited AS6871 - PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider AS43234 - TT-AOLUK-AS 276 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 5607 2856 12576 V6 capability & eyeball share, United Kingdom 3%
AS3215 - AS3215 AS12322 - PROXAD AS16276 - OVH AS5410 - ASN-BOUYGTEL-ISP AS12876 - AS12876 AS15557 - LDCOMNET AS8228 - CEGETEL-AS AS51207 - FREEM AS21502 - ASN-NUMERICABLE 194 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 3215 12322 16276 V6 capability & eyeball share, France 2%
AS852 - ASN852 - TELUS Communications Inc. AS812 - ROGERS-COMMUNICATIONS - Rogers Communications Canada Inc. AS7992 - COGECOWAVE - Cogeco Cable AS5645 - TEKSAVVY - TekSavvy Solutions, Inc. AS5769 - VIDEOTRON - Videotron Telecom Ltee AS6327 - SHAW - Shaw Communications Inc. AS577 - BACOM - Bell Canada AS855 - CANET-ASN-4 - Bell Canada AS803 - SASKTEL - Saskatchewan Telecommunications AS11260 - EASTLINK-HSI - EastLink 389 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 812 852 7992 5645 V6 capability & eyeball share, Canada 1%
AS12392 - ASBRUTELE VOO AS6848 - TELENET-AS AS5432 - BELGACOM-SKYNET-AS AS47377 - MES KPN Belgium Business NV has been acquired by Mobistar AS44216 - CODITEL %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 5432 6848 12392 2611 V6 capability & eyeball share, Belgium 1%
AS4818 - DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. AS4788 - TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider AS9930 - TTNET-MY TIME dotCom Berhad AS9534 - MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad AS38466 - UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd AS10030 - CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2012-01 2012-12 2013-11 2014-10 2015-09 2016-08 2017-07 4788 9534 4818 10030 38466 9930 38322 45960 38044 V6 capability & eyeball share, Malaysia 1%
AS9644 - SKTELECOM-NET-AS SK Telecom AS17853 - LGTELECOM-AS-KR LGTELECOM AS4766 - KIXS-AS-KR Korea Telecom AS3786 - LGDACOM LG DACOM Corporation AS9318 - SKB-AS SK Broadband Co Ltd AS17858 - POWERVIS-AS-KR LG POWERCOMM 197 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-12 2012-10 2013-08 2014-06 2015-04 2016-02 2016-12 2017-10 9644 17853 V6 capability & eyeball share, South Korea 1%
AS18403 - FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology AS45899 - VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp AS45543 - SCTV-AS-VN SaiGon Tourist cable Televition Company AS7552 - VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group AS24086 - VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-08 2013-06 2014-04 2015-02 2015-12 2016-10 2017-08 45899 18403 V6 capability & eyeball share, Vietnam < 1%
AS133481 - AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre AS131445 - AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network AS17552 - TRUE-AS-AP True Internet Co.,Ltd. AS23969 - TOT-NET TOT Public Company Limited AS132061 - REALMOVE-AS-AP Realmove Company Limited AS24378 - ENGTAC-AS-TH-AP Total Access Communication PLC. AS45758 - TRIPLETNET-AS-AP Triple T InternetTriple T Broadband AS45629 - JASTEL-NETWORK-TH-AP JasTel Network International Gateway 80 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2014-12 2015-05 2015-10 2016-03 2016-08 2017-01 2017-06 2017-11 131445 133481 V6 capability & eyeball share, Thailand < 1%
AS8151 - Uninet S.A. de C.V. AS13999 - Mega Cable, S.A. de C.V. AS17072 - TOTAL PLAY TELECOMUNICACIONES SA DE CV AS11888 - Television Internacional, S.A. de C.V. AS28548 - Cablevisin, S.A. de C.V. AS28509 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV AS28545 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV 130 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-07 2013-04 2014-01 2014-10 2015-07 2016-04 2017-01 2017-10 8151 V6 capability & eyeball share, Mexico <1%
AS1221 - ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd AS4739 - INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd AS133612 - VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd AS4804 - MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD AS7545 - TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited AS9443 - INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications AS38285 - M2TELECOMMUNICATIONS-AU M2 Telecommunications Group Ltd AS45510 - TELCOINABOX-AU Level 10, 9 Hunter Street 152 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011-10 2012-08 2013-06 2014-04 2015-02 2015-12 2016-10 2017-08 1221 4739 V6 capability & eyeball share, Australia < 1%
Observations/Conclusions Economically diverse economies are deploying IPv6 There are signs it encourages competition in the ISP sector There are signs that some economies have very entrenched, dominant ISPs IPv6 is a significant element of global Internet deployment Its too big to ignore Its fate is not certain, but the trends are very encouraging It looks like good capital investment to deploy Where is your economy in this story?

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State of IPv6 in 2018: IETF 101

  • 1. World IPv6 Trends George Michaelson APNIC ggm@apnic.net
  • 2. Stats on IPv6 deployment worldwide
  • 3. The world is on around 18% IPv6 Capability Capability as in ‘can use IPv6’ not necessarily preferring it. Measured as % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web asset embedded in a web advertisement. 15million or more samples per day, worldwide Figures adjusted for relative internet population We over-sample the US, under-sample India Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% or better Consider APNIC a ‘low side’ count and them as ‘high side count’ Its pretty well bracketed. It’s a high confidence figure. Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below 18%
  • 4. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% Economies Ranked around 18% IPv6 Capability
  • 5. How much of the world IPv6 is each economy
  • 6. How much of the world IPv6 is each economy Lets re-scale this to reflect the % of world Internet broken out by economies and then calculate the % of worldwide IPv6 each economy is contributing by relative size. Lets focus on the top 15.
  • 7. Guess which Economy is Which..
  • 8. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%
  • 9. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49% USA 22%
  • 10. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% USA 22%
  • 11. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22%
  • 12. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5%
  • 13. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3%
  • 14. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2%
  • 15. Guess which Economy is Which.. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea Belgium Malaysia 1% Vietnam Australia Thailand Mexico <1%
  • 16. Lets mark out some economic groups
  • 17. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% G8 Economies
  • 18. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% G20 Economies Missing: CN ID SA TR ZA
  • 19. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% OECD Missing: CL IS TR
  • 20. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BE 59.24% IN 58.26% UY 43.90% US 43.82% DE 41.67% GR 38.92% LU 30.95% CH 30.19% JP 27.81% MY 25.94% GB 25.81% TT 25.54% FR 23.98% BR 23.26% IE 23.11% FI 22.98% PT 21.09% CA 21.07% NZ 19.53% PE 19.47% EE 18.43% AU 16.52% EC 15.95% KR 15.38% NL 14.36% SA 14.00% NO 12.51% ZW 12.41% MO 12.27% PR 12.08% SI 11.36% TH 11.22% RO 10.31% HU 10.10% GT 9.42% VN 9.37% SG 9.05% CZ 8.68% AR 7.72% AT 7.50% LK 6.91% SE 6.84% PL 6.54% MX 5.42% BA 4.74% SK 4.69% DK 4.69% BO 3.75% ES 3.35% LI 2.88% IL 2.65% IR 2.09% AE 1.88% IT 1.74% BG 1.62% DO 1.39% TW 1.27% RU 1.12% MD 1.10% LR 1.09% KE 0.92% APEC Missing BN CL CN HK ID PG PH
  • 21. Take-away messages There is no strong indication that specific sector-economy drivers are making IPv6 happen We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6 We have emerging Internet Economies with significant IPv6 There are signs that suggest a two-track internet risks emerging Lack of capital investment to upgrade to dualstack or IPv6 IPv6 is interesting because of the future potential to innovate Don’t get caught behind incumbent thinking!
  • 22. India 49%Brazil 6% Japan 6% USA 22% Germany 5% United Kingdom 3% France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea Belgium Malaysia 1% Vietnam Australia Thailand Mexico <1% Looking into the top 15 economies
  • 23. Lets look at the top 15 in more detail
  • 24. Whats going on inside these economies? Look at the per-AS statistics on when their top ASN (by measured share of experiments) enabled IPv6. Focusses on the most ‘impactful’ ASN, and their deployment stories What can this say about competitive ‘tension’ in services? Can we see signs of active competition in IPv6? Do we see signs of market dominance?
  • 25. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts
  • 26. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6
  • 27. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 How to interpret the charts AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6 Length denotes %capable
  • 28. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2013-06 2014-02 2014-10 2015-06 2016-02 2016-10 2017-06 2018-02 55836 38266 45271 55441 V6 capability & eyeball share, India 49% AS NUMBER active in IPv6 Y axis is %IPv6 capable in that ASN X axis is date 30 day smoothed sample
  • 29. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd., Telecommunication - Value Added Services AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 716 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2013-06 2014-02 2014-10 2015-06 2016-02 2016-10 2017-06 2018-02 55836 38266 45271 55441 V6 capability & eyeball share, India 49%
  • 30. AS21928 - T-MOBILE-AS21928 - T-Mobile USA, Inc. AS22394 - CELLCO - Cellco Partnership DBA Verizon Wireless AS7018 - ATT-INTERNET4 - ATT Services, Inc. AS7922 - COMCAST-7922 - Comcast Cable Communications, LLC AS20057 - ATT-MOBILITY-LLC-AS20057 - ATT Mobility LLC AS22773 - ASN-CXA-ALL-CCI-22773-RDC - Cox Communications Inc. AS10796 - SCRR-10796 - Time Warner Cable Internet LLC AS20115 - CHARTER-NET-HKY-NC - Charter Communications AS701 - UUNET - MCI Communications Services, Inc. dba Verizon Business AS209 - CENTURYLINK-US-LEGACY-QWEST - Qwest Communications Company, LLC 3951 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 7922 7018 22394 20115 21928 20057 22773 10796 V6 capability & eyeball share, USA 22%
  • 31. AS26599 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS26615 - Tim Celular S.A. AS27699 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS28573 - CLARO S.A. AS18881 - TELEFNICA BRASIL S.A AS7738 - Telemar Norte Leste S.A. AS8167 - Brasil Telecom SA - Filial Distrito Federal AS22085 - Claro SA 3713 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 28573 7738 18881 27699 8167 26615 26599 V6 capability & eyeball share, Brazil 6%
  • 32. AS2516 - KDDI KDDI CORPORATION AS2518 - BIGLOBE BIGLOBE Inc. AS2527 - SO-NET So-net Entertainment Corporation AS17676 - GIGAINFRA Softbank BB Corp. AS4713 - OCN NTT Communications Corporation AS9605 - DOCOMO NTT DOCOMO, INC. AS17511 - K-OPTICOM K-Opticom Corporation AS9824 - JTCL-JP-AS Jupiter Telecommunication Co. Ltd 175 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 17676 2516 4713 2527 9605 2518 10010 V6 capability & eyeball share, Japan 6%
  • 33. AS8881 - VERSATEL AS31334 - KABELDEUTSCHLAND-AS AS6830 - LGI-UPC formerly known as UPC Broadband Holding B.V. AS3320 - DTAG Internet service provider operations AS29562 - KABELBW-ASN AS8422 - NETCOLOGNE AS6805 - TDDE-ASN1 AS39706 - O2-GERMANY-AS AS3209 - VODANET International IP-Backbone of Vodafone 255 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2015-07 2016-01 2016-07 2017-01 2017-07 2018-01 3320 31334 6805 6830 29562 8881 8422 V6 capability & eyeball share, Germany 5%
  • 34. AS5607 - BSKYB-BROADBAND-AS AS2856 - BT-UK-AS BTnet UK Regional network AS12576 - ORANGE-PCS AS60339 - H3GUK AS5089 - NTL AS9105 - TISCALI-UK ISP Network, UK AS13285 - OPALTELECOM-AS TalkTalk Communications Limited AS6871 - PLUSNET UK Internet Service Provider AS43234 - TT-AOLUK-AS 276 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 5607 2856 12576 V6 capability & eyeball share, United Kingdom 3%
  • 35. AS3215 - AS3215 AS12322 - PROXAD AS16276 - OVH AS5410 - ASN-BOUYGTEL-ISP AS12876 - AS12876 AS15557 - LDCOMNET AS8228 - CEGETEL-AS AS51207 - FREEM AS21502 - ASN-NUMERICABLE 194 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 3215 12322 16276 V6 capability & eyeball share, France 2%
  • 36. AS852 - ASN852 - TELUS Communications Inc. AS812 - ROGERS-COMMUNICATIONS - Rogers Communications Canada Inc. AS7992 - COGECOWAVE - Cogeco Cable AS5645 - TEKSAVVY - TekSavvy Solutions, Inc. AS5769 - VIDEOTRON - Videotron Telecom Ltee AS6327 - SHAW - Shaw Communications Inc. AS577 - BACOM - Bell Canada AS855 - CANET-ASN-4 - Bell Canada AS803 - SASKTEL - Saskatchewan Telecommunications AS11260 - EASTLINK-HSI - EastLink 389 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 812 852 7992 5645 V6 capability & eyeball share, Canada 1%
  • 37. AS12392 - ASBRUTELE VOO AS6848 - TELENET-AS AS5432 - BELGACOM-SKYNET-AS AS47377 - MES KPN Belgium Business NV has been acquired by Mobistar AS44216 - CODITEL %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-10 2013-10 2014-10 2015-10 2016-10 2017-10 5432 6848 12392 2611 V6 capability & eyeball share, Belgium 1%
  • 38. AS4818 - DIGIIX-AP DiGi Telecommunications Sdn. Bhd. AS4788 - TMNET-AS-AP TM Net, Internet Service Provider AS9930 - TTNET-MY TIME dotCom Berhad AS9534 - MAXIS-AS1-AP Binariang Berhad AS38466 - UMOBILE-AS-AP U Mobile Sdn Bhd AS10030 - CELCOMNET-AP Celcom Internet Service Provider %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2012-01 2012-12 2013-11 2014-10 2015-09 2016-08 2017-07 4788 9534 4818 10030 38466 9930 38322 45960 38044 V6 capability & eyeball share, Malaysia 1%
  • 39. AS9644 - SKTELECOM-NET-AS SK Telecom AS17853 - LGTELECOM-AS-KR LGTELECOM AS4766 - KIXS-AS-KR Korea Telecom AS3786 - LGDACOM LG DACOM Corporation AS9318 - SKB-AS SK Broadband Co Ltd AS17858 - POWERVIS-AS-KR LG POWERCOMM 197 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-12 2012-10 2013-08 2014-06 2015-04 2016-02 2016-12 2017-10 9644 17853 V6 capability & eyeball share, South Korea 1%
  • 40. AS18403 - FPT-AS-AP The Corporation for Financing Promoting Technology AS45899 - VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp AS45543 - SCTV-AS-VN SaiGon Tourist cable Televition Company AS7552 - VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group AS24086 - VIETTEL-AS-VN Viettel Corporation %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-08 2013-06 2014-04 2015-02 2015-12 2016-10 2017-08 45899 18403 V6 capability & eyeball share, Vietnam < 1%
  • 41. AS133481 - AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre AS131445 - AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network AS17552 - TRUE-AS-AP True Internet Co.,Ltd. AS23969 - TOT-NET TOT Public Company Limited AS132061 - REALMOVE-AS-AP Realmove Company Limited AS24378 - ENGTAC-AS-TH-AP Total Access Communication PLC. AS45758 - TRIPLETNET-AS-AP Triple T InternetTriple T Broadband AS45629 - JASTEL-NETWORK-TH-AP JasTel Network International Gateway 80 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2014-12 2015-05 2015-10 2016-03 2016-08 2017-01 2017-06 2017-11 131445 133481 V6 capability & eyeball share, Thailand < 1%
  • 42. AS8151 - Uninet S.A. de C.V. AS13999 - Mega Cable, S.A. de C.V. AS17072 - TOTAL PLAY TELECOMUNICACIONES SA DE CV AS11888 - Television Internacional, S.A. de C.V. AS28548 - Cablevisin, S.A. de C.V. AS28509 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV AS28545 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV 130 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2011-10 2012-07 2013-04 2014-01 2014-10 2015-07 2016-04 2017-01 2017-10 8151 V6 capability & eyeball share, Mexico <1%
  • 43. AS1221 - ASN-TELSTRA Telstra Pty Ltd AS4739 - INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd AS133612 - VODAFONE-AS-AP Vodafone Australia Pty Ltd AS4804 - MPX-AS Microplex PTY LTD AS7545 - TPG-INTERNET-AP TPG Telecom Limited AS9443 - INTERNETPRIMUS-AS-AP Primus Telecommunications AS38285 - M2TELECOMMUNICATIONS-AU M2 Telecommunications Group Ltd AS45510 - TELCOINABOX-AU Level 10, 9 Hunter Street 152 other ASN %IPv6 %IPv4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2011-10 2012-08 2013-06 2014-04 2015-02 2015-12 2016-10 2017-08 1221 4739 V6 capability & eyeball share, Australia < 1%
  • 44. Observations/Conclusions Economically diverse economies are deploying IPv6 There are signs it encourages competition in the ISP sector There are signs that some economies have very entrenched, dominant ISPs IPv6 is a significant element of global Internet deployment Its too big to ignore Its fate is not certain, but the trends are very encouraging It looks like good capital investment to deploy Where is your economy in this story?