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Mapping Session at GigaOM RoadMap
Conference November 5, 2012:
Next-generation UIs – What comes after Siri?
Mapping Session Outline

• Interactive discussion
• Input into GigaOM Research analysis
• Identify “Disruption Vectors”
   – Key technologies, business models, customer adoption patterns
   – Smart companies can ride or drive Vectors to revenue, market share
     gains
• Assess their relative importance
• Mapping Session results as GigaOM Pro blog post, continued
  discussion
• Later – apply Disruption Vector analysis to Sector RoadMap report
Panelists

GigaOM Pro analysts
• David Coleman – Founder and Managing Director, Collaborative
   Strategies Inc. https://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcoleman/
• Larry Cornett – Founder, Brilliant Forge
   https://pro.gigaom.com/members/larrycornett/
• George Gilbert – Principal, TechAlpha Partners
   https://pro.gigaom.com/members/georgegilbert/
• Lynn Langit – Founder and Consultant, Lynn Langit Inc.
   https://pro.gigaom.com/members/lynnlangit/

David Card, VP, GigaOM Research
https://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcard/
Sophisticated WoW Display




            ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
Heads Up Displays Sold Today




  Recon Mod live Alpine Goggles
                      ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
The technology-packed AirWave snow goggles
have GPS, jump analytics, caller-id, text
messaging, Bluetooth, and music controls, all
available from a heads-up display. Oakley
Products




                 ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
Minority Report Computer Display




              ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
Options for Neural Interfaces




                                           The BrainGate2 Neural Interface
 Can show you on a                         System detects brain signals that can
 screen what area of the                   be translated by a computer into
 brain are involved in a                   machine instructions, enabling
 specific task                             thought control of robotic devices.
                   ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
Wireless Headband portable EEG




Muse lets users monitor their brain waves on mobile devices
Want to know what your brain is up to? Soon, it may be as simple as
slipping on a wireless headband, then accessing an app. That’s the
idea behind Muse, a wearable device developed by Toronto-based tech
company InteraXon. Essentially a lightweight portable EEG
(electroencephalography) machine, it lets users monitor their neural
activity in real time via their mobile device.

                        ©2012 Collaborative Strategies           9
The Big Data Visualization Problem

Tables are to BigData Visualization as Folders are to the File System
Data Artists – Art + Math
Example: Wind Map
Example: AlloSphere (the Sound of Data…)
Some Questions

• Why has Siri flopped? Can Apple still innovate in UI, post-Jobs?
• What can we learn from twin-screen TV viewing?
• Should the same UI drive a phone, a PC, a tablet, and a TV set?
• Same question, but with a task orientation?
• Where are the opportunities for Big Data feeds and visualizations to
  play out?
• Facebook, Twitter, Google - there’s a lot to be said for utility and
  ranking algorithms, but where’s the pizazz? Don’t say “Pinterest.”
Potential Next-Gen UI Disruption Vectors

•   New input methods 30%
     – Gesture
     – Voice
•   New output methods 30%
     – Visual
     – Aural
     – Physical/haptic
•   Big Data 30%
     – Geo, time, other contextual
     – Including impact on sorting, suggesting algorithms
•   Less consensus on impact of:
     –   Passive participation, including alerts, in-car, second screen, etc.
     –   New metaphors
     –   New, or multiple devices
     –   Enterprise versus consumer tensions
Key Takeaways

• Siri’s grand experiment overreached:
    – Voice input and output
    – Multiple data sources based on context
    – Conversational UI doesn’t impose enough structure on searches; no
      APIs
• No dominating “Disruption Vector” for UI
    – Consensus: roughly equal impact from Input, Output, and Big Data
      technologies
• Likely outcome: multiple UIs for different contexts, tasks
• Enterprise UI moving from transactional to collaborative
• Opportunities in ambient interfaces – partial attention, alerts

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Mapping sessionu ispost

  • 1. Mapping Session at GigaOM RoadMap Conference November 5, 2012: Next-generation UIs – What comes after Siri?
  • 2. Mapping Session Outline • Interactive discussion • Input into GigaOM Research analysis • Identify “Disruption Vectors” – Key technologies, business models, customer adoption patterns – Smart companies can ride or drive Vectors to revenue, market share gains • Assess their relative importance • Mapping Session results as GigaOM Pro blog post, continued discussion • Later – apply Disruption Vector analysis to Sector RoadMap report
  • 3. Panelists GigaOM Pro analysts • David Coleman – Founder and Managing Director, Collaborative Strategies Inc. https://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcoleman/ • Larry Cornett – Founder, Brilliant Forge https://pro.gigaom.com/members/larrycornett/ • George Gilbert – Principal, TechAlpha Partners https://pro.gigaom.com/members/georgegilbert/ • Lynn Langit – Founder and Consultant, Lynn Langit Inc. https://pro.gigaom.com/members/lynnlangit/ David Card, VP, GigaOM Research https://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcard/
  • 4. Sophisticated WoW Display ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
  • 5. Heads Up Displays Sold Today Recon Mod live Alpine Goggles ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
  • 6. The technology-packed AirWave snow goggles have GPS, jump analytics, caller-id, text messaging, Bluetooth, and music controls, all available from a heads-up display. Oakley Products ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
  • 7. Minority Report Computer Display ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
  • 8. Options for Neural Interfaces The BrainGate2 Neural Interface Can show you on a System detects brain signals that can screen what area of the be translated by a computer into brain are involved in a machine instructions, enabling specific task thought control of robotic devices. ©2012 Collaborative Strategies
  • 9. Wireless Headband portable EEG Muse lets users monitor their brain waves on mobile devices Want to know what your brain is up to? Soon, it may be as simple as slipping on a wireless headband, then accessing an app. That’s the idea behind Muse, a wearable device developed by Toronto-based tech company InteraXon. Essentially a lightweight portable EEG (electroencephalography) machine, it lets users monitor their neural activity in real time via their mobile device. ©2012 Collaborative Strategies 9
  • 10. The Big Data Visualization Problem Tables are to BigData Visualization as Folders are to the File System
  • 11. Data Artists – Art + Math
  • 13. Example: AlloSphere (the Sound of Data…)
  • 14. Some Questions • Why has Siri flopped? Can Apple still innovate in UI, post-Jobs? • What can we learn from twin-screen TV viewing? • Should the same UI drive a phone, a PC, a tablet, and a TV set? • Same question, but with a task orientation? • Where are the opportunities for Big Data feeds and visualizations to play out? • Facebook, Twitter, Google - there’s a lot to be said for utility and ranking algorithms, but where’s the pizazz? Don’t say “Pinterest.”
  • 15. Potential Next-Gen UI Disruption Vectors • New input methods 30% – Gesture – Voice • New output methods 30% – Visual – Aural – Physical/haptic • Big Data 30% – Geo, time, other contextual – Including impact on sorting, suggesting algorithms • Less consensus on impact of: – Passive participation, including alerts, in-car, second screen, etc. – New metaphors – New, or multiple devices – Enterprise versus consumer tensions
  • 16. Key Takeaways • Siri’s grand experiment overreached: – Voice input and output – Multiple data sources based on context – Conversational UI doesn’t impose enough structure on searches; no APIs • No dominating “Disruption Vector” for UI – Consensus: roughly equal impact from Input, Output, and Big Data technologies • Likely outcome: multiple UIs for different contexts, tasks • Enterprise UI moving from transactional to collaborative • Opportunities in ambient interfaces – partial attention, alerts

Editor's Notes

  • #11: http://petewarden.typepad.com/searchbrowser/2011/11/lessons-from-failed-visualizations.html
  • #14: http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_images.jsp?cntn_id=121535&org=NSFhttp://www.allosphere.ucsb.edu/media.php