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Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal
Agility with OKR
www.leanperformance.com
Felipe Castro
Agile2016: Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal Agility with OKR
@meetfelipe
Loosing my religion
@meetfelipe
The Agile Manifesto
is Wrong
@meetfelipe
Agile was created for managing
software projects.
As such, it is focused on
managing deliverables (user
stories or features).
@meetfelipe
There are no
ceremonies for
tracking results.
@meetfelipe
“Working Software”
Is not the same as
“Valuable Software”
The First Mistake
@meetfelipe
“Working software is the
primary measure of
progress.”
Agile Manifesto
@meetfelipe
“Working software is the
primary measure of
progress.”
Agile Manifesto
✘
@meetfelipe
“Our highest priority is to
satisfy the customer
through early and
continuous delivery
of valuable software.”
Agile Manifesto
@meetfelipe
Marty Cagan,
Silicon Valley Product Group
“Teams today are all too
often feature factories, with
little regard for whether the
features actually solve
business problems.”
Book Recommendation
@meetfelipe
What is Value?
@meetfelipe
Value is
measured after
delivery
@meetfelipe
User Stories are
experiments
@meetfelipe
Estimating Value
Is not the same as
Delivering Value
The Second Mistake
Decision by Committee
Commissioned Study by Forrester Consulting
Decision by Committee
Commissioned Study by Forrester Consulting
HiPPO
Personal Opinions
Agile2016: Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal Agility with OKR
Ron Kohavi
Microsoft, General
Manager, Analysis &
Experimentation
Amazon, Ex-Director,
Data Mining &
Personalization
“Humbling Statistics”
•Only 1/3 of ideas created a statistically
significant positive change.
•1/3 produced no significant difference.
•1/3 created statistically significant negative
change.
•In general, 60-90% of ideas do not improve
the desired metrics.
@meetfelipe
User Stories are
experiments
….with a low success rate
@meetfelipe
Where is Empiricism
when it comes to Value?
@meetfelipe
Where is
Inspect and Adapt?
We need to move away from
value estimation towards
value measurement.
@meetfelipe
We need to evolve
“Silicon Valley
is Coming”
Jamie Dimon,
CEO JP Morgan
Two Models
What is your target?
Plan-Driven Vs. Data-Driven
Plan-Driven Vs. Data-Driven
Deterministic
Phase-Gate
Waterfall
Command&
Control
Iterative
Agile
Distributed
@meetfelipe
Why do we believe in
plans?
Daniel
Kahneman
Nobel Prize
Winner
Planning Fallacy
We underestimate the
time, costs, and risks
of future actions.
While overestimating
the benefits.
The Plan-Driven model is
still alive
Estimating without
measuring is Plan-Driven
and a fallacy
Discovery-Driven Planning
Planning includes making
a series of assumptions
that are:
•Implicit
•Non Validated
“Your idea is
just a series of
non validated
hypotheses.”
Steve Blank
“No plan survives contact
with the enemy”.
Helmuth von Moltke
(1800-1891)
Although we are using Agile
tactically,
we are using waterfall for
strategy and goal setting
Static Annual Planning 1
@meetfelipe
“The only way
it's all going to go
according to plan
is if you don't
learn anything.”
Kent Beck
Jeff Immelt
CEO GE
“In the digital age, sitting
down once a year to do
anything is weird,
is just bizarre.”
Jeff Immelt, CEO General Electric
Goals Cascade ?
Top-Down
Unidirectional
Irreversible Flow
No Feedback Loops
Ends Crashing on the Rocks
Cascade (or waterfall):
Laszlo Bock
VP of People Operations, Google
“Research agrees with your
intuition:
Having goals improve
performance.
Spending hours cascading
goals does not.”
There has to be another way
Full-Stack Agility
Strategy
Tactics
Operations
Culture
Goals
The Stack
Strategy
Tactics
Operations
Culture
Goals
Waterfall Development
Big non-validated bets,
long feedback cycles
Annual Static
Planning
Top-Down,
Command & Control
Cascading
(Waterfall)
Goals
The Traditional Stack
Strategy
Tactics
Operations Agile Development
Lean Startup +
Lean Prod Mgmt.
Culture
Goals
Half-Baked Agility
Cascading
(Waterfall)
Goals
Annual Static
Planning
Top-Down,
Command & Control
Strategy
Tactics
Operations Agile Development
Lean Startup +
Lean Prod Mgmt.
Culture
Goals
Half-Baked Agility
Cascading
(Waterfall)
Goals
Annual Static
Planning
Top-Down,
Command & Control
Waterfall Legacy
The Waterfall Legacy is in
direct conflict with Agile
70%of Agile practitioners
Report tension between
their teams and the rest
of the organization.
Embracing Agile, HBR - 2016
Strategy
Tactics
Operations Agile Development
Culture
Goals
Data Driven, Iterative,
Hypothesis Validation
“Silicon Culture”
OKR
(Goal
Agility)
Full-Stack Agility
Lean Startup +
Lean Prod Mgmt.
Silicon Culture’s 7As
Agility Iterative, incremental, fast feedback
Agnosticism
Data driven, hypothesis validation,
experiments
Asymmetry Power Laws, Moonshots, 10x Talent
Autonomy
Self-managed teams that question
“orders”
Alignment 360º Alignment, continuous feedback
Accountability Focus on delivering value
Authenticity Purpose, consistent values
James March
Stanford University
“Culture is
Poetryand
Plumbing”
When properly used,
OKR can change the
“cultural plumbing”
How Silicon Valley
sets goals?
OKR -
Objectives and Key Results
Created by Intel
Goal Agility
1
Simplicity
2
Adopted by
Google in 1999
Agile2016: Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal Agility with OKR
John Doerr
Doerr’s Goal Formula
I will ____ as measured by ______
Doerr’s Goal Formula
I will (Objective) as measured by (this
set of Key Results)
@meetfelipe3
Measurement
Objective:
•Aspirational.
•Memorable – Simpler, shorter, remarkable.
•Qualitative.
OKR: Components
Key Results:
•2-5 per Objective.
•Quantitative & Measurable.
•Metrics (recommended) or Milestones.
@meetfelipe
Engaging Objectives 4
@meetfelipe
“Ensure the dream”
@meetfelipe
“Move to the clouds”
@meetfelipe
Make Everybody
Happy ;)
Key Results:
•Increase average weekly visits to 3.3 per
active user
•Reach a Net Promoter Score of 52%.
•Increase non paid (organic) traffic to 80%.
•Reduce revenue churn to 1%.
•Increase engagement (users that complete a
full profile) to 75%.
Objective: Delight our customers
OKR - Example
Activity #01:
Creating one OKR
•Create one Objective with up to 5 Key
Results for one initiative you are working on.
Talk to your neighbor
5-minute exercise
Key Results:
•Increase average weekly visits to 3.3 per
active user
•Reach a Net Promoter Score of 52%.
•Increase non paid (organic) traffic to 80%.
•Reduce revenue churn to 1%.
•Increase engagement (users that complete a
full profile) to 75%.
Objective: Delight our customers
OKR - Example
•Activity-based Key Results: Measure the
completion of tasks and activities or the
delivery of project milestones or deliverables.
•Value-based Key Results: Measure actual
results and the successful delivery of value
(or a value component) to the organization.
Value-based key results measure the
outcomes of successful activities.
Choosing your Key Results
There are two basic types of Key Results:
Tactical shorter-term OKRs for the teams
High level strategic OKRs for the company
~60% Bottom Up
Transparency
How OKR complements
Agile and Lean
A
Moving from features to value
@meetfelipe
@meetfelipe
OKR helps to create a culture
focused on measuring and
delivering business value.
@meetfelipe
From Activities To Value
Definition
of Done
Acceptance
Criteria
Success
Criteria
(OKRs)
B
Enabling autonomy
Is Agile
Command & Control?
@meetfelipe
Command&Control is still here
“Because
Sam said.”
“When Sam is
OK with it.”
@meetfelipe
Command&Control is still here
We call them our
delivery team…
…because they deliver
what we tell them to.
“To achieve the
success criteria
as defined in
the OKRs.”
“To deliver the
features the
stakeholders
want.”
What is the purpose of the team?
Vs.
C
OKR incentivizes leaner
approaches and smaller
batches
Is your project too big?
Value-based Timebox
You have to deliver value until
the end of the OKR cycle.
OKR helps prioritize the
backlog
D
“If a feature idea doesn’t
speak directly to one the
OKRs, it’s generally off the
list.”
Marty Cagan, Silicon Valley Product
Group
E
Enabling Agile Transformation
Why executives
resist to Agile?
“You want us to replace our
GANTT charts with what?”
“With a bunch of
people standing up”
“…and post-it
notes!”
“Lots of
them!”
“And we have a
MANIFESTO!”
Agile2016: Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal Agility with OKR
Enabling Agile Transformation
Perceived
predictability
Delivered
Value
Instead of committing to
deliver X by Y date, the
team commits to iterate
towards the agreed
results.
Transforming
Activities into Value
If we are successful with
____________,
we will have more ________
and/or less __________
If we are successful with
the new campaign,
we will have more
customer satisfaction (NPS)
and/or less churn
Group Activity #02:
Transforming Activities
into Value
Talk to your neighbor
•Evaluate your Key Results and separate
those that are Activity-based and those that
are Value-based.
•Select one Activity-based Key Result and
convert it into Value.
OR
•Select one initiative that you have worked
on and convert it into Value.
5-minute exercise
If we are successful with
the new campaign,
we will have more
customer satisfaction (NPS)
and/or less churn
A different mindset
@meetfelipe
IT Mindset
Vs.
Product Mindset
IT Mindset Product Mindset
Exists to service the perceived
needs of "the business."
Exists to service the needs of
the customers.
Requirements gathering Product Discovery
Functional Silos Multi-functional teams
Measured by projects Measured by results
Engineers focus on delivery
Engineers help create
technology-inspired products
How to handle the
transition?
Activities
Goal Agility
Autonomy
Static Plan
Top-Down
Content
Process
Value
“IT/Delivery
Mindset”
Decoupling Process and Content
1
2
3
Transformation
Routes
Engaging
Working
Delivered
Valuable Business
Goal Maturity Levels
Engineering & Team
Product & UX
Project Management
Level Delivered Working Engaging Valuable
Goals
Project
Management
Engineering &
Team
Product & UX Business
• Schedule
• Budget
• Scope
• Predictability
• # de Bugs
• MTTR
• Uptime
• Response Time
• Lead time
• Cycle time
• Delivery
frequency
• % Test
Coverage
• Spotify Health
Check
• Team Maturity
HEART
• Happiness
• Engagement
• Adoption
• Retention
• Task success
•Revenue
•EBIDTA
•Revenue per
employee
•Value obtained
by the client:
•ROI
•Benefits
•“Customer
Success”
@meetfelipe
OKR Coach,
Partner @ Lean Performance
Felipe Castro
leanperformance.com
linkedin.com/in/meetfelipe
@meetfelipe

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Agile2016: Stop Using Agile with Waterfall Goals: Goal Agility with OKR