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Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?
IBusiness Analyst for 6 years and
IIBA NW&E Branch member
Joined Sigma in July 2012
Working on Agile projects for the
past 4 years
Certified Scrum Product Owner
Understand the importance of estimating size and
duration separately.
Understand how a team can use relative
estimating.
Give it a go!
Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?
Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?
• How long a user story will take (effort)
• Influenced by complexity, uncertainty,
risk, volume of work, etc.
• Relative values are what is important:
• A login screen is a 2.
• A search feature is an 8.
• Basic math properties should hold
• 5+5 = 10
Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?
Lion
Kangaroo
Rhinoceros
Bear
Giraffe
Gorilla
Hippopotamus
Tiger
• Look for the things you know,
that have known estimates or
sizes
• Use them to help compare tasks
to ensure that they are
relatively similar in size
• A little effort helps
a lot
• A lot of effort only
helps a little more
• Can you distinguish a 1-point story
from a 2?
• How about a 17 from an 18?
• Use a set of numbers that make
sense; I like: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40,
100
• Stay mostly in a 1-10 range
An iterative approach to estimating
Steps
1. Each estimator is given a deck of cards,
each card has a valid estimate written
on it
2. Product owner/Scrum master reads a
story and it’s discussed briefly
3. Each estimator selects a card that’s his
or her estimate
4. Cards are turned over so all can see
them
5. Discuss differences (especially outliers)
6. Re-estimate until estimates converge
Round 1 Round 2
Player 1 5 8
Player 2 5 8
Player 3 8 8
Player 4 20 13
Task (backlog item) Estimate?
Read (and understand) a high-level, 10-page overview of agile software
development in a celebrity news magazine.
Read (and understand) a densely written 5-page research paper about agile
software development in an academic journal.
Your uncle owns a clock store and wants to sell clocks over the internet. Write a
product backlog for him that he can use to get bids from teams in India to build
his site.
Recruit, interview, and hire a new member for your team.
Create a 60-minute presentation about agile software development for your co-
workers.
Wash and wax your boss’ Camper Van. 2
Read (and understand) a 150-page book on agile software development. 8
Write a 5 page summary on this for your line manager
www.planningpoker.com
• Estimate size; derive duration
• A little effort helps a lot
• Triangulate
• Use the right scale / range
• Estimate as a team
• Discuss differences (especially outliers)
• Re-estimate until estimates converge
Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?

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Agile estimating - what's the point(s)?

  • 2. IBusiness Analyst for 6 years and IIBA NW&E Branch member Joined Sigma in July 2012 Working on Agile projects for the past 4 years Certified Scrum Product Owner
  • 3. Understand the importance of estimating size and duration separately. Understand how a team can use relative estimating. Give it a go!
  • 6. • How long a user story will take (effort) • Influenced by complexity, uncertainty, risk, volume of work, etc. • Relative values are what is important: • A login screen is a 2. • A search feature is an 8. • Basic math properties should hold • 5+5 = 10
  • 9. • Look for the things you know, that have known estimates or sizes • Use them to help compare tasks to ensure that they are relatively similar in size
  • 10. • A little effort helps a lot • A lot of effort only helps a little more
  • 11. • Can you distinguish a 1-point story from a 2? • How about a 17 from an 18? • Use a set of numbers that make sense; I like: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40, 100 • Stay mostly in a 1-10 range
  • 12. An iterative approach to estimating Steps 1. Each estimator is given a deck of cards, each card has a valid estimate written on it 2. Product owner/Scrum master reads a story and it’s discussed briefly 3. Each estimator selects a card that’s his or her estimate 4. Cards are turned over so all can see them 5. Discuss differences (especially outliers) 6. Re-estimate until estimates converge
  • 13. Round 1 Round 2 Player 1 5 8 Player 2 5 8 Player 3 8 8 Player 4 20 13
  • 14. Task (backlog item) Estimate? Read (and understand) a high-level, 10-page overview of agile software development in a celebrity news magazine. Read (and understand) a densely written 5-page research paper about agile software development in an academic journal. Your uncle owns a clock store and wants to sell clocks over the internet. Write a product backlog for him that he can use to get bids from teams in India to build his site. Recruit, interview, and hire a new member for your team. Create a 60-minute presentation about agile software development for your co- workers. Wash and wax your boss’ Camper Van. 2 Read (and understand) a 150-page book on agile software development. 8 Write a 5 page summary on this for your line manager
  • 16. • Estimate size; derive duration • A little effort helps a lot • Triangulate • Use the right scale / range • Estimate as a team • Discuss differences (especially outliers) • Re-estimate until estimates converge