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1
 University of Tehran, Iran
 Survey and Geomatic Engineer (GIS, Remote Sensing,
Photogrammetry and Geodesy)
 University of Tehran, Iran
 GIS
 Purdue University, USA
 Department of Forestry and Natural Resource
 University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA
 Wisconsin Energy Institute
 Landscape Ecology
 University of California-Riverside, USA
 Center for Conservation Biology
 Department of Botany and Plant Sciences 2
 Introduction
 Land cover and land use
 History of land change science
 Sustainability
 Big data and land use change science
 Software development -> LTM-HPC
 Summary of other projects
3
 Introduction
 Land cover and land use
 History of land change science
 Sustainability
 Big data and land use change science
 Software development -> LTM-HPC
 Summary of other projects
4
 Land cover and land use
 One third to one-half (Turner, 1995)
 Land use cover change (Foley et al., 2005)
 Land change science
5
 Moving to urban areas
 In 1900 (<10%)
 In 2050 (>50%)
 Occurred on <3%
 Doubles every 30 years
 Approach 10% by 2070
 78% of carbon emissions
 60% of water use
 …
6
 Conversion of forest to agriculture in the Amazon
 Local temperature
 Carbon dioxide
7
8
 Fragmentation of natural habitats
 Richness and abundance
9
 Earth as a system
 Sustainability
 Current and future needs
 Land change science (Turner, 2007)
 Future and historical land use map
10
 Introduction
 Land cover and land use
 History of land change science
 Sustainability
 Big data and land use change science
 Software development -> LTM-HPC
 Summary of other projects
11
Using Big Data to Simulate Land Use Change at a
National Scale: An Application of Land
Transformation Model-High Performance
Computing (LTM-HPC)
12
 Managing the nation’s fish habitat at multiple spatial
and temporal scales in a rapidly changing climate
 Land use
 Climate change
 Fish habitat
 Research team
 Scientists from the USGS, University of Missouri,
Michigan State University, and Purdue University
 Series of meeting (3 years)
13
 Limitations
 Discrete time periods
 Particular regions
 Coarse spatial resolution
 Multiple land uses
 Understand global process
 Forecasting annual multiple land use changes at
continental scale -> 2000 to 2100
14
 Modeling land use change
 Big data (GIS and remote sensing)
 Data mining (Artificial neural network)
 Calibration
 Validation
 Forecasting
 Products and applications
 Software
 Programming (Python, C#, C++ and batch)
 Communication (XML)
 Parallel processing (High performance
computing)
16
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 17
Drivers in time 1 Land use change
18
 Workstation
 Quantity of files
 Size of files
 Server
 Parallel processing
 …
19
20
Drivers in 1992 Land use map Results
Distance to road NLCD 1992 Pattern file
Distance to urban NLCD 2001 Suitability map
Distance to stream Change map Simulated map
Distance to city center ---- Error map
Distance to highway ---- ----
Slope ---- ----
Gross domestic product ---- ----
Exclusionary zone (existing urban,
water, state parks and others)
---- ----
20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K
20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K
21
Slope_16_003.asc
22
23
20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K
20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K
24
25
26
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 27
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11
12
13
14
15
16
18
17
28
29
30
 10000.net file
31
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 32
 Quantity of change between times 1 and 2
 Simulated map in time 2
 Sort suitability values
Reference map (time 2)
Status 1 (Non-Urban) Status 2 (Urban)
Reference map (time 1) Status 1 (Non-Urban) A B
Status 2 (Urban) C D
Drivers in time 1 Suitability Map
33
B
34
20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K
20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K
35
36
37
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 38
Reference map (time 2)
Status 1 (Non-Urban) Status (Urban)
Simulated map (time 2) Status 1 (Non-Urban) True Negative (TN) False Negative (FN)
Status 2 (Urban) False Positive (FP) True Positive (TP)
Future Scenario
39
20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K
20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K
40
41
42
43
44
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 45
46
20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K
20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K
47
48
49
50
51
52
 Big data (Python)
 Create pattern file (C# executable)
 Data mining
 Artificial neural network (C++ executable)
 Calibration
 Land use change quantity (C# executable)
 Suitability map (C# executable)
 Simulated map (C# executable)
 Validation (C# executable)
 Forecasting (C# executable)
 Products and applications 53
 In Great Lakes area, LaBeau et al., (2014), used the
future land use maps (between 2010-2050)
 Land use (agriculture and urban) and phosphorus
delivery
 Increase P loadings by 3.5–9.5%
54
55
56
 Developing a model to simulate land use change at
continental scale
 LTM-HPC
 Sustainability
 Climate, water quality and biodiversity
 Big data and land change science
 Land use legacy
57
 Tayyebi, A., Pekin, B. K., Pijanowski, B. C., Plourde, J. D., Doucette, J. S.,
and D. Braun. (2013). Hierarchical modeling of urban growth across the
conterminous USA: Developing meso-scale quantity drivers for the Land
Transformation Model. Journal of Land Use Science, 8(4), 422-442.
 Pijanowski, B. C., Tayyebi, A., Doucette, J., Pekin, B. K., Braun, D., and J.
Plourde. (2014). A big data urban growth simulation at a national scale:
Configuring the GIS and neural network based Land Transformation Model
to run in a High Performance Computing environment. Environmental
Modelling & Software, 51, 250-268.
 Tayyebi, A., Pekin, B. K., and B. C. Pijanowski. (In review). Urbanization
trends across the conterminous of USA from 1900 to 2100: Lessons learned
from studies in 11 mega-regions. Regional Environmental Change.
58
Advisor -> Bryan C Pijanowski
Post Doc -> Burak K Pekin
GIS Specialist -> Jarrod Doucette
GIS Specialist -> James Plourde
IT Specialist -> David Braun
59
 Introduction
 Land cover and land use
 History of land change science
 Sustainability
 Big data and land use change science
 Software development -> LTM-HPC
 Summary of other projects
60
SmartScape™: A web-based decision support
system for strategic agricultural land use
policy development
61
62
63
Urban Heat Island Variation across a Dramatic
Coastal to Desert Climate Gradient: An
Application to Los Angeles, CA Metropolitan Area
64
65
 Video time
66
67
68
69
 Mike Batty
70

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Amin tayyebi: Big Data and Land Use Change Science

  • 1. 1
  • 2.  University of Tehran, Iran  Survey and Geomatic Engineer (GIS, Remote Sensing, Photogrammetry and Geodesy)  University of Tehran, Iran  GIS  Purdue University, USA  Department of Forestry and Natural Resource  University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA  Wisconsin Energy Institute  Landscape Ecology  University of California-Riverside, USA  Center for Conservation Biology  Department of Botany and Plant Sciences 2
  • 3.  Introduction  Land cover and land use  History of land change science  Sustainability  Big data and land use change science  Software development -> LTM-HPC  Summary of other projects 3
  • 4.  Introduction  Land cover and land use  History of land change science  Sustainability  Big data and land use change science  Software development -> LTM-HPC  Summary of other projects 4
  • 5.  Land cover and land use  One third to one-half (Turner, 1995)  Land use cover change (Foley et al., 2005)  Land change science 5
  • 6.  Moving to urban areas  In 1900 (<10%)  In 2050 (>50%)  Occurred on <3%  Doubles every 30 years  Approach 10% by 2070  78% of carbon emissions  60% of water use  … 6
  • 7.  Conversion of forest to agriculture in the Amazon  Local temperature  Carbon dioxide 7
  • 8. 8
  • 9.  Fragmentation of natural habitats  Richness and abundance 9
  • 10.  Earth as a system  Sustainability  Current and future needs  Land change science (Turner, 2007)  Future and historical land use map 10
  • 11.  Introduction  Land cover and land use  History of land change science  Sustainability  Big data and land use change science  Software development -> LTM-HPC  Summary of other projects 11
  • 12. Using Big Data to Simulate Land Use Change at a National Scale: An Application of Land Transformation Model-High Performance Computing (LTM-HPC) 12
  • 13.  Managing the nation’s fish habitat at multiple spatial and temporal scales in a rapidly changing climate  Land use  Climate change  Fish habitat  Research team  Scientists from the USGS, University of Missouri, Michigan State University, and Purdue University  Series of meeting (3 years) 13
  • 14.  Limitations  Discrete time periods  Particular regions  Coarse spatial resolution  Multiple land uses  Understand global process  Forecasting annual multiple land use changes at continental scale -> 2000 to 2100 14
  • 15.  Modeling land use change  Big data (GIS and remote sensing)  Data mining (Artificial neural network)  Calibration  Validation  Forecasting  Products and applications  Software  Programming (Python, C#, C++ and batch)  Communication (XML)  Parallel processing (High performance computing)
  • 16. 16
  • 17.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Suitability map (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 17
  • 18. Drivers in time 1 Land use change 18
  • 19.  Workstation  Quantity of files  Size of files  Server  Parallel processing  … 19
  • 20. 20 Drivers in 1992 Land use map Results Distance to road NLCD 1992 Pattern file Distance to urban NLCD 2001 Suitability map Distance to stream Change map Simulated map Distance to city center ---- Error map Distance to highway ---- ---- Slope ---- ---- Gross domestic product ---- ---- Exclusionary zone (existing urban, water, state parks and others) ---- ----
  • 21. 20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K 20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K 21
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K 20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Suitability map (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 27
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30
  • 32.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Suitability map (C# executable)  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 32
  • 33.  Quantity of change between times 1 and 2  Simulated map in time 2  Sort suitability values Reference map (time 2) Status 1 (Non-Urban) Status 2 (Urban) Reference map (time 1) Status 1 (Non-Urban) A B Status 2 (Urban) C D Drivers in time 1 Suitability Map 33
  • 34. B 34
  • 35. 20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K 20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K 35
  • 36. 36
  • 37. 37
  • 38.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Suitability map (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 38
  • 39. Reference map (time 2) Status 1 (Non-Urban) Status (Urban) Simulated map (time 2) Status 1 (Non-Urban) True Negative (TN) False Negative (FN) Status 2 (Urban) False Positive (FP) True Positive (TP) Future Scenario 39
  • 40. 20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K 20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K 40
  • 41. 41
  • 42. 42
  • 43. 43
  • 44. 44
  • 45.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Suitability map (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 45
  • 46. 46
  • 47. 20722 × 11 = 227942 ~ 228K 20722 × 4 = 82888 ~ 83K 47
  • 48. 48
  • 49. 49
  • 50. 50
  • 51. 51
  • 52. 52
  • 53.  Big data (Python)  Create pattern file (C# executable)  Data mining  Artificial neural network (C++ executable)  Calibration  Land use change quantity (C# executable)  Suitability map (C# executable)  Simulated map (C# executable)  Validation (C# executable)  Forecasting (C# executable)  Products and applications 53
  • 54.  In Great Lakes area, LaBeau et al., (2014), used the future land use maps (between 2010-2050)  Land use (agriculture and urban) and phosphorus delivery  Increase P loadings by 3.5–9.5% 54
  • 55. 55
  • 56. 56
  • 57.  Developing a model to simulate land use change at continental scale  LTM-HPC  Sustainability  Climate, water quality and biodiversity  Big data and land change science  Land use legacy 57
  • 58.  Tayyebi, A., Pekin, B. K., Pijanowski, B. C., Plourde, J. D., Doucette, J. S., and D. Braun. (2013). Hierarchical modeling of urban growth across the conterminous USA: Developing meso-scale quantity drivers for the Land Transformation Model. Journal of Land Use Science, 8(4), 422-442.  Pijanowski, B. C., Tayyebi, A., Doucette, J., Pekin, B. K., Braun, D., and J. Plourde. (2014). A big data urban growth simulation at a national scale: Configuring the GIS and neural network based Land Transformation Model to run in a High Performance Computing environment. Environmental Modelling & Software, 51, 250-268.  Tayyebi, A., Pekin, B. K., and B. C. Pijanowski. (In review). Urbanization trends across the conterminous of USA from 1900 to 2100: Lessons learned from studies in 11 mega-regions. Regional Environmental Change. 58
  • 59. Advisor -> Bryan C Pijanowski Post Doc -> Burak K Pekin GIS Specialist -> Jarrod Doucette GIS Specialist -> James Plourde IT Specialist -> David Braun 59
  • 60.  Introduction  Land cover and land use  History of land change science  Sustainability  Big data and land use change science  Software development -> LTM-HPC  Summary of other projects 60
  • 61. SmartScape™: A web-based decision support system for strategic agricultural land use policy development 61
  • 62. 62
  • 63. 63
  • 64. Urban Heat Island Variation across a Dramatic Coastal to Desert Climate Gradient: An Application to Los Angeles, CA Metropolitan Area 64
  • 65. 65
  • 67. 67
  • 68. 68
  • 69. 69