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AUTM Intro and BMC
what is the happiest place on
earth?
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
the startup story
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
THIS IS STARTUP!
no
hard work
long hours
little or no pay
>50% gone
in the FIRST year
only 5% ever
raise ANY money
only 0.62% ever
raise any VC money
75% of all
VC-backed startups
FAIL
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
the math is bad
it is hard ...
... but we know
a better way
Evidence-Based
Entrepreneurship
and the
Business Model
Canvas
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
NASDAQ
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
$1,000,000,000,000
we know something now that we
didn’t know before
...
we know something now that we
didn’t know before
we know how to build
startups
engineer
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
CoE
CoS
CoC
CoA
CoLA
CoB
AUTM Intro and BMC
what is a company?
A organization which sells a product
or service in exchange for revenue
and profit
Dutch West India Company 1620
1856 - First Org Chart
1908
Tools for the 20th Century
“Century of the Corporation”
AUTM Intro and BMC
... but what about startups?
Startups are a Smaller Version 

of a Large Company
Startups are a Smaller Version 

of a Large Company
How to create a startup
(before 2010) ...
All I Need to Do is Execute the Plan
All I Need to Do is Make the Forecast
Step 1. Business Plan
Step 2. Five-year Forecast
Step 3. ???
Step 4. PROFIT!
What we know now
(and have known all along)...
Business Plans
are
FICTION
"Everybody has a
plan until they
get punched in
the mouth."
AUTM Intro and BMC
Five year forecast?
Five year forecast?
MAGICAL
THINKING
Previous
5-Year Plans
AUTM Intro and BMC
1908
... but what about startups?
Startups Search 

Companies Execute
what is a startup?
a temporary organization
designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
business model
definition of “startup”
Business Model 

Product/Service
Startups
Companies
what is a business
model?
Business Model Generation
2010
AUTM Intro and BMC
Motivation
A good plan
violently executed
now is better than a
perfect plan
executed next week.
Business
Model
Business
Plan>
Motivation #1
a better tool for startups
Core Idea or
Technology Company
Core Idea or
Technology Company
Core Idea or
Technology Company
1
Core Idea or
Technology Company
N
Motivation #2
shared language for
strategic conversations
(smart people sitting around
a table)
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
the canvas has a very
specific organization
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
Think of it as a theater…
parts of the model
VP
AUTM Intro and BMC
Value Proposition
products & services
A list of all the products
and services a value
proposition is built
around
pain relievers
describe how your
products and services
alleviate customer pains
gain creators
describe how your
products and services
create customer gains
VP CS
AUTM Intro and BMC
Customer Segment
customer jobs
what customers are
trying to get done in
their work and in their
lives
task to perform, problem to solve, needs to satisfy
customer pains
describe bad outcomes,
risks, and obstacles
related to customer
jobs
customer gains
describe the more or
less expected benefits
the customers are
seeking
VP CS
Product /Market Fit!
The set of value proposition benefits that you design to attract customers.
Create Observe
The set of customer characteristics that you assume, observe, and verify in the market.
Fit
Outcome
If a Pain reliever or Gain cre
anything, it may not be cre
value. Don't worry if not all
checked – you can't satisfy
yourself, how well does you
tion really fit your Custome
customer profilevalue map
What About My Technology?
Customers want
your technology.
MYTH
Customers want
your technology.
MYTH
REALITY Customers want
their jobs done;
their problems addressed;
their pain killed;
their dreams achieved.
Research
Core Idea or
Technology Company
Research
Core Idea or
Technology Company
Our POV
Research
Core Idea or
Technology Company
OVER
VALUED
Core Idea or
Technology Company
X
Core Idea or
Technology Company
UNDER VALUED
Core Idea or
Technology Company
> 95% PIVOT
Customers want
your technology.
MYTH
REALITY Customers want
their jobs done;
their problems addressed;
their pain killed;
their dreams achieved.
Why do we call it
evidence-based entrepreneurship?
AUTM Intro and BMC
Provide evidence
showing “what”
customers care about
before focusing on
“how” to help them
First, establish the customer
Provide evidence
showing that your
customers care about
how your products
and services kill pains
and create gains
Then, develop the value proposition
Provide evidence
showing that the way
you intend to create,
deliver, and capture
value is likely to work
Finally, consider the whole model
I find out what
the world needs.
Then I go ahead
and try to invent it.
- Thomas Edison
parts of the model
continued
VP CS
C
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
CKR
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
KA
KR
P
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
KA
KR
P
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
P
KA
KR
C$
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
P
KA
KR
C$ R$
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
P
KA
KR
C$ R$
AUTM Intro and BMC
VP CS
C
R$
Cost?
Value?
VP CS
C
P
KA
KR
C$ R$
AUTM Intro and BMC
AUTM Intro and BMC
Soccer
Moms
Kids
Grandparents
Make guesses
about
who or what
goes into
each
of the nine
boxes
BUT…they are just
GUESSES!
?
? ?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
AUTM Intro and BMC
the scientific method
applies to business
create a startup thesis
the scientific method
create a startup thesis
the scientific method
generate hypotheses
?
? ?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
create a startup thesis
the scientific method
generate hypotheses
make predictions
create a startup thesis
the scientific method
generate hypotheses
make predictions
do the iteration loop
the iteration loop
?
? ?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
Choose
one of
these
make
hypotheses
& predictions
design
tests
prioritize
hypotheses
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220
* Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
prioritize
tests
reflect &
learn
run
tests
the iteration loopTesting Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220
* Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220
* Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220
* Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221•••
the process
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
thesisTesting Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220
* Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
basis for
company
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
Testing Overview
Test Card
+
-Extract Hypotheses Prioritize Hypotheses Design Test
Design Testing220
TESTINGVALUEPROPOSTIONS
220 * Working preview content for private review only, do not distribute — © Copyright Osterwalder, Pigneur, Bernarda, Smith, and Papadakos
Learning Card
+
!
-Prioritize Tests Run Tests Capture Learnings Make Progress
221
many repetitions!
critical
the info you
need to know is
somewhere out
in the world
the info you
need to know is
not in your lab
or in your office
GOOTB!
advice
The first principle is that
you must not fool
yourself – and you are
the easiest person to
fool.
“Now I’m going to discuss how we would look for a new law.
In general, we look for a new law by the following process.
First, we guess it … no, don’t laugh, that’s the truth. Then we
compute the consequences of the guess, to see what, if this
is right, if this law we guess is right, to see what it would
imply and then we compare the computation results to
nature or we say compare to experiment or experience,
compare it directly with observations to see if it works.
If it disagrees with experiment, it’s WRONG. In that
simple statement is the key to science. It doesn’t make
any difference how beautiful your guess is, it doesn’t
matter how smart you are who made the guess,… If it
disagrees with experiment, it’s wrong. That’s all there is
to it.”
useful heuristics
useful heuristics
useful heuristics
remember
it’s a process
169
Evidence-based
Entrepreneurship
Core Idea or
Technology
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
Customer
Creation
Company
Building
Startup Company
171
GOOTB!
Expectations
Interviews
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
100+ even
more
just a few more…
MVPMinimum Viable Product
AUTM Intro and BMC
175
Progression
Core Idea or
Technology
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
✓✓
176
Progression
Core Idea or
Technology
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
✓✓
What if you’re
WRONG?
PIVOT
AUTM Intro and BMC
PIVOT vs PIVOT
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
Startup Mode
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
VP CS
C
P
KA
KR
C$ R$
Start here …
Customer
Discovery
Customer
Validation
? ✓
a temporary organization
designed to search
for a repeatable and scalable
business model
definition of “startup”
AUTM Intro and BMC
N
Your search begins
OW
venturelab.gatech.edu
@venturelab / @keithmcgreggor
keith@venturelab.gatech.edu
75 Fifth St NW, Suite 415, Atlanta GA 30308

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AUTM Intro and BMC