Vitor Silva 
GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy 
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Region of interest: Nepal 
1. 
2221 locations 
2. 
9144 assets 
3. 
5 taxonomies 
4. 
≈140.000 km2 
5. 
Number, area, economic value, retrofitting cost.
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Scenario Risk Calculator 
Magnitude: 7.0 Mw, Mean loss: 8.7 billion EUR, Standard deviation: 2.1 billion EUR
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Scenario Damage Calculator 
Magnitude: 7.0 Mw 
Damage distribution per asset 
Total damage distribution 
Damage distribution per taxonomy
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Scenario Damage Calculator 
Magnitude: 7.0 Mw
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Benefit/Cost Ratio Calculator 
Pre-code and retrofitted vulnerability functions. 
Original vulnerability model 
Retrofitted vulnerability model
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
0 
3000 
6000 
9000 
12000 
15000 
EAL-C 
EAL-R 
Average exceedance annual loss (dollars)
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Benefit/Cost Ratio Calculator 
Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Seismic hazard map for 475 years
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Vulnerability model for structural components
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Vulnerability model for structural components
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Loss exceedance curves
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Optimal design map
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Optimal design map
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
2012 Mw=5.9 Emilia-Romagna earthquake 
24 fatalities 
400 injured 
20,000 homeless 
$17.4B direct losses
Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 
Thank you.
Except where otherwise noted, thiswork is licensed under: 
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 
Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to - www.globalearthquakemodel.org

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Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting

  • 1. Vitor Silva GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting
  • 2. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Region of interest: Nepal 1. 2221 locations 2. 9144 assets 3. 5 taxonomies 4. ≈140.000 km2 5. Number, area, economic value, retrofitting cost.
  • 3. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Scenario Risk Calculator Magnitude: 7.0 Mw, Mean loss: 8.7 billion EUR, Standard deviation: 2.1 billion EUR
  • 4. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Scenario Damage Calculator Magnitude: 7.0 Mw Damage distribution per asset Total damage distribution Damage distribution per taxonomy
  • 5. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Scenario Damage Calculator Magnitude: 7.0 Mw
  • 6. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Benefit/Cost Ratio Calculator Pre-code and retrofitted vulnerability functions. Original vulnerability model Retrofitted vulnerability model
  • 7. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 0 3000 6000 9000 12000 15000 EAL-C EAL-R Average exceedance annual loss (dollars)
  • 8. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Benefit/Cost Ratio Calculator Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
  • 9. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
  • 10. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Benefit/cost ratio, AAL(original) and AAL(retrofitted).
  • 11. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Seismic hazard map for 475 years
  • 12. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Vulnerability model for structural components
  • 13. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Vulnerability model for structural components
  • 14. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Loss exceedance curves
  • 15. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Optimal design map
  • 16. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Optimal design map
  • 17. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting 2012 Mw=5.9 Emilia-Romagna earthquake 24 fatalities 400 injured 20,000 homeless $17.4B direct losses
  • 18. Calculating costs and benefits of investing in retrofitting Thank you.
  • 19. Except where otherwise noted, thiswork is licensed under: creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Please attribute to the GEM Foundation with a link to - www.globalearthquakemodel.org