Can learning analytics offer
meaningful assessment?
Dragan Gašević
@dgasevic
EARLI SIG Assessment
August 29, 2018
Helsinki, Finland
Feedback loops between
students and instructors
are missing/weak!
Learning
environment
Educators
Learners
Student
Information
Systems
Blogs
Videos/slides
Mobile
Search
Educators
Learners
Networks
Student
Information
Systems
Learning
environment
Blogs
Mobile
Search
Networks
Educators
Learners
Student
Information
Systems
Learning
environment
Videos/slides
Data in education not new, but…
Real-time insights and longitudinal nature
Analytics for
custom made environments
e.g., intelligent tutoring systems
Moment by moment learning
Baker , R. S., Hershkovitz, A., Rossi, L. M., Goldstein, A. B, & Gowda, S. M. (2013) Predicting Robust Learning With the Visual Form of the Moment by-
Moment Learning Curve, Journal of the Learning Sciences, 22(4), 639-666, DOI: 10.1080/10508406.2013.836653
Open ended and general purpose
environments
Different from custom made environments
Learning analytics purpose
Understanding and supporting learning
Current state in learning analytics
Moving away from deficit models
High interest in adoption of
learning analytics
Is everything that shiny?
CHALLENGES IN
LEARNING ANALYTICS
Scrutinize learning analytics against
assessment properties
Challenges
Validity – Progression
Challenges
Validity – Progression
Framework
Unified theory of construct validity
Messick, S. (1994). Validity of Psychological Assessment: Validation of Inferences from Persons’ Responses and Performances as Scientific Inquiry into
Score Meaning. ETS Research Report Series, 1994(2), i-28. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.2333-8504.1994.tb01618.x
Content
Engagement is primarily discussed in
learning analytics
Content
But, how is engagement
defined and measured?
Content
Content
Are simple counts of clicks
measures of engagement?
Content
Who makes decisions about
instrumentation?
Purposeful measurement
Can we trust some of measures?
Time on task
Kovanovic, V., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Joksimovic, S., & Baker, R. S. (2016). Does Time-on-task Estimation Matter? Implications on Validity of Learning
Analytics Findings. Journal of Learning Analytics, 2(3), 81–110. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2015.23.6
Purposeful measurement
Can we trust some of measures?
Network centrality
Fincham, E., Gašević, D., Pardo, A. (2018). From Social Ties to Network Processes: Do Tie Definitions Matter?. Journal of Learning Analytics, 5(2), 9–28.
Consequential (aka actionable)
Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Rogers, T., & Gasevic, D. (2016). Learning analytics should not promote one size fits all: The effects of instructional conditions
in predicting learning success. The Internet and Higher Education, 28, 68–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.10.002
How can we act based on
the count of logins?
Consequential
Tanes, Z., Arnold, K. E., King, A. S., & Remnet, M. A. (2011). Using Signals for appropriate feedback: Perceptions and practices. Computers &
Education, 57(4), 2414-2422.
Can teaching be improved?
Generalizability
Difficulty to replicate findings
Open Academic Analytics Initiative
http://nextgenlearning.org/grantee/marist-college
Inconsistent associations of
network centrality on performance
External validity
Joksimović, S., Manataki, A., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Kovanović, V., & De Kereki, I. F. (2016). Translating network position into performance:
importance of centrality in different network configurations. In Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Learning Analytics &
Knowledge (pp. 314-323). ACM.
Structural validity
Do existing* measures correspond to
trace-based measures?
*mostly self-reported
Gašević, D., Jovanović, J., Pardo, A., & Dawson, S. (2017). Detecting Learning Strategies with Analytics: Links with Self-reported Measures and Academic
Performance. Journal of Learning Analytics, 4(2), 113–128.
Understanding learning strategies
Detection of learning tactics Detection of learning strategy
Fincham, E., Gašević, D., Jovanović, Pardo, A. (2018). From Study Tactics to Learning Strategies: An Analytical Method for Extracting Interpretable
Representations. IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies (in press), https://doi.org/10.1109/TLT.2018.2823317
Challenges
Validity – Progression
Challenge
How do we measure progression?
Challenge
Does increase in number of clicks
means progression?
Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning
Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Joksimović, S., Hatala, M., & Adesope, O. (2015). Analytics of communities of inquiry: Effects of learning technology use on
cognitive presence in asynchronous online discussions. The Internet and Higher Education, 27, 74–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.06.002
Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning
Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Joksimović, S., Hatala, M., & Adesope, O. (2015). Analytics of communities of inquiry: Effects of learning technology use on
cognitive presence in asynchronous online discussions. The Internet and Higher Education, 27, 74–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.06.002
Jovanović, J., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Pardo, A., & Mirriahi, N. (2017). Learning analytics to unveil learning strategies in a flipped classroom. The Internet
and Higher Education, 33, 74–85.
Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning
Jovanović, J., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Pardo, A., & Mirriahi, N. (2017). Learning analytics to unveil learning strategies in a flipped classroom. The Internet
and Higher Education, 33, 74–85.
Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning
A
Negative predictors of learning
Student-content (counts)
Student-teacher (time)
Joksimović, S., Gašević, D., Loughin, T. M., Kovanović, V., & Hatala, M. (2015). Learning at distance: Effects of interaction traces on academic achievement.
Computers & Education, 87, 204–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compedu.2015.07.002
Kovanović, V., Joksimović, S., Waters, Z., Gašević, D., Kitto, K., Hatala, M., Siemens, G. (2016). Towards Automated Content Analysis of Discussion
Transcripts: A Cognitive Presence Case. Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (pp. 15-24).
Cognitive presence
DIRECTIONS
Strengthening links between
learning analytics and assessment
Critical dimensions
Gašević, D., Kovanović, V., & Joksimović, S. (2017). Piecing the Learning Analytics Puzzle: A Consolidated Model of a Field of Research and Practice.
Learning: Research and Practice, 3(2), 63-78. doi:10.1080/23735082.2017.1286142
Challenges
Validity – Progression
Content
Extraction of
theoretically informed traces
Purposeful measurement
Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning
Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
Purposeful measurement
Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning
Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
Purposeful measurement
Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning
Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
Purposeful measurement
Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning
Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
Purposeful measurement
Transparency in measurement
Kovanovic, V., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Joksimovic, S., & Baker, R. S. (2016). Does Time-on-task Estimation Matter? Implications on Validity of Learning
Analytics Findings. Journal of Learning Analytics, 2(3), 81–110. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2015.23.6
Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Rogers, T., Gašević, D. (2016). Learning analytics should not promote one size fits all: The effects of course-specific technology
use in predicting academic success. The Internet and Higher Education, 28, 68–84.
Generalizability
Instructional conditions shape
learning analytics results
Structural validity
Zhou, M., & Winne, P. H. (2012). Modeling academic achievement by self-reported versus traced goal orientation. Learning and Instruction, 22(6), 413–
419. doi:10.1016/j.learninstruc.2012.03.004
Achievement goal
orientation (2x2)
Quid pro quo
Traced measures and quid pro quo
External validity
Network centrality with weak ties
creates advantage only
Joksimović, S., Manataki, A., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Kovanović, V., & De Kereki, I. F. (2016, April). Translating network position into performance:
importance of centrality in different network configurations. In Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Learning Analytics &
Knowledge (pp. 314-323). ACM.
Measurement of engagement
Joksimović, S., Poquet, O., Kovanović, V., Dowell, D., Mills, C., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Graesser, A. C., Brooks , C. (2018). How do we measure learning
at scale? A systematic review of the literature. Review of Educational Research, 88(1), 43-86.
Challenges
Validity – Progression
Progression
Trace data based measures of
the crowd-sourced learning skill
E.g., Dreyfus model of skill acquisition
Milligan, S. (2015). Crowd-sourced learning in MOOCs: learning analytics meets measurement theory. In Proceedings of the 5th International Conference
on Learning Analytics And Knowledge (pp. 151-155). ACM.
Progression
Topic modeling to extract
Guttman scales from online discussions
He, J., Rubinstein, B. I., Bailey, J., Zhang, R., Milligan, S., & Chan, J. (2016). MOOCs Meet Measurement Theory: A Topic-Modelling Approach. Proceedings
of the 30th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (pp. 1195-1201).
Tracking progression
Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions.
In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126).
Tracking progression
Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions.
In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126).
Integration
Exploration
Triggering event
Tracking progression
Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions.
In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126).
Tracking progression
FINAL REMARKS
Opportunities afforded by
continuous streams of data
Data science methods can be helpful
but not sufficient
von Davier, A. A. (2016). Computational psychometrics in support of collaborative educational assessments. Journal of Educational Measurement,
54(1), 3-11.
Links with methods from assessment
and psychometric needed
Tolerance to
some measurement imperfections
Generalizability in machine learning is
an open research challenge too
Can learning analytics offer meaningful assessment?
Can learning analytics offer
meaningful assessment?
Dragan Gašević
@dgasevic
EARLI SIG Assessment
August 29, 2018
Helsinki, Finland

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Can learning analytics offer meaningful assessment?

  • 1. Can learning analytics offer meaningful assessment? Dragan Gašević @dgasevic EARLI SIG Assessment August 29, 2018 Helsinki, Finland
  • 2. Feedback loops between students and instructors are missing/weak!
  • 6. Data in education not new, but… Real-time insights and longitudinal nature
  • 7. Analytics for custom made environments e.g., intelligent tutoring systems
  • 8. Moment by moment learning Baker , R. S., Hershkovitz, A., Rossi, L. M., Goldstein, A. B, & Gowda, S. M. (2013) Predicting Robust Learning With the Visual Form of the Moment by- Moment Learning Curve, Journal of the Learning Sciences, 22(4), 639-666, DOI: 10.1080/10508406.2013.836653
  • 9. Open ended and general purpose environments Different from custom made environments
  • 10. Learning analytics purpose Understanding and supporting learning
  • 11. Current state in learning analytics Moving away from deficit models
  • 12. High interest in adoption of learning analytics
  • 15. Scrutinize learning analytics against assessment properties
  • 18. Framework Unified theory of construct validity Messick, S. (1994). Validity of Psychological Assessment: Validation of Inferences from Persons’ Responses and Performances as Scientific Inquiry into Score Meaning. ETS Research Report Series, 1994(2), i-28. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.2333-8504.1994.tb01618.x
  • 19. Content Engagement is primarily discussed in learning analytics
  • 20. Content But, how is engagement defined and measured?
  • 22. Content Are simple counts of clicks measures of engagement?
  • 23. Content Who makes decisions about instrumentation?
  • 24. Purposeful measurement Can we trust some of measures? Time on task Kovanovic, V., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Joksimovic, S., & Baker, R. S. (2016). Does Time-on-task Estimation Matter? Implications on Validity of Learning Analytics Findings. Journal of Learning Analytics, 2(3), 81–110. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2015.23.6
  • 25. Purposeful measurement Can we trust some of measures? Network centrality Fincham, E., Gašević, D., Pardo, A. (2018). From Social Ties to Network Processes: Do Tie Definitions Matter?. Journal of Learning Analytics, 5(2), 9–28.
  • 26. Consequential (aka actionable) Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Rogers, T., & Gasevic, D. (2016). Learning analytics should not promote one size fits all: The effects of instructional conditions in predicting learning success. The Internet and Higher Education, 28, 68–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.10.002 How can we act based on the count of logins?
  • 27. Consequential Tanes, Z., Arnold, K. E., King, A. S., & Remnet, M. A. (2011). Using Signals for appropriate feedback: Perceptions and practices. Computers & Education, 57(4), 2414-2422. Can teaching be improved?
  • 29. Open Academic Analytics Initiative http://nextgenlearning.org/grantee/marist-college
  • 30. Inconsistent associations of network centrality on performance External validity Joksimović, S., Manataki, A., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Kovanović, V., & De Kereki, I. F. (2016). Translating network position into performance: importance of centrality in different network configurations. In Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (pp. 314-323). ACM.
  • 31. Structural validity Do existing* measures correspond to trace-based measures? *mostly self-reported Gašević, D., Jovanović, J., Pardo, A., & Dawson, S. (2017). Detecting Learning Strategies with Analytics: Links with Self-reported Measures and Academic Performance. Journal of Learning Analytics, 4(2), 113–128.
  • 32. Understanding learning strategies Detection of learning tactics Detection of learning strategy Fincham, E., Gašević, D., Jovanović, Pardo, A. (2018). From Study Tactics to Learning Strategies: An Analytical Method for Extracting Interpretable Representations. IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies (in press), https://doi.org/10.1109/TLT.2018.2823317
  • 34. Challenge How do we measure progression?
  • 35. Challenge Does increase in number of clicks means progression?
  • 36. Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Joksimović, S., Hatala, M., & Adesope, O. (2015). Analytics of communities of inquiry: Effects of learning technology use on cognitive presence in asynchronous online discussions. The Internet and Higher Education, 27, 74–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.06.002
  • 37. Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Joksimović, S., Hatala, M., & Adesope, O. (2015). Analytics of communities of inquiry: Effects of learning technology use on cognitive presence in asynchronous online discussions. The Internet and Higher Education, 27, 74–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iheduc.2015.06.002
  • 38. Jovanović, J., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Pardo, A., & Mirriahi, N. (2017). Learning analytics to unveil learning strategies in a flipped classroom. The Internet and Higher Education, 33, 74–85. Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning
  • 39. Jovanović, J., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Pardo, A., & Mirriahi, N. (2017). Learning analytics to unveil learning strategies in a flipped classroom. The Internet and Higher Education, 33, 74–85. Increase in activity ≠ increase in learning A
  • 40. Negative predictors of learning Student-content (counts) Student-teacher (time) Joksimović, S., Gašević, D., Loughin, T. M., Kovanović, V., & Hatala, M. (2015). Learning at distance: Effects of interaction traces on academic achievement. Computers & Education, 87, 204–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compedu.2015.07.002
  • 41. Kovanović, V., Joksimović, S., Waters, Z., Gašević, D., Kitto, K., Hatala, M., Siemens, G. (2016). Towards Automated Content Analysis of Discussion Transcripts: A Cognitive Presence Case. Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (pp. 15-24). Cognitive presence
  • 43. Strengthening links between learning analytics and assessment
  • 44. Critical dimensions Gašević, D., Kovanović, V., & Joksimović, S. (2017). Piecing the Learning Analytics Puzzle: A Consolidated Model of a Field of Research and Practice. Learning: Research and Practice, 3(2), 63-78. doi:10.1080/23735082.2017.1286142
  • 47. Purposeful measurement Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
  • 48. Purposeful measurement Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
  • 49. Purposeful measurement Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
  • 50. Purposeful measurement Siadaty, M., Gašević, D., & Hatala, M. (2016). Trace-based Micro-analytic Measurement of Self-Regulated Learning Processes. Journal of Learning Analytics, 3(1), 183–214. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2016.31.11
  • 51. Purposeful measurement Transparency in measurement Kovanovic, V., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Joksimovic, S., & Baker, R. S. (2016). Does Time-on-task Estimation Matter? Implications on Validity of Learning Analytics Findings. Journal of Learning Analytics, 2(3), 81–110. https://doi.org/10.18608/jla.2015.23.6
  • 52. Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Rogers, T., Gašević, D. (2016). Learning analytics should not promote one size fits all: The effects of course-specific technology use in predicting academic success. The Internet and Higher Education, 28, 68–84. Generalizability Instructional conditions shape learning analytics results
  • 53. Structural validity Zhou, M., & Winne, P. H. (2012). Modeling academic achievement by self-reported versus traced goal orientation. Learning and Instruction, 22(6), 413– 419. doi:10.1016/j.learninstruc.2012.03.004 Achievement goal orientation (2x2)
  • 55. Traced measures and quid pro quo
  • 56. External validity Network centrality with weak ties creates advantage only Joksimović, S., Manataki, A., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Kovanović, V., & De Kereki, I. F. (2016, April). Translating network position into performance: importance of centrality in different network configurations. In Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Learning Analytics & Knowledge (pp. 314-323). ACM.
  • 57. Measurement of engagement Joksimović, S., Poquet, O., Kovanović, V., Dowell, D., Mills, C., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Graesser, A. C., Brooks , C. (2018). How do we measure learning at scale? A systematic review of the literature. Review of Educational Research, 88(1), 43-86.
  • 59. Progression Trace data based measures of the crowd-sourced learning skill E.g., Dreyfus model of skill acquisition Milligan, S. (2015). Crowd-sourced learning in MOOCs: learning analytics meets measurement theory. In Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Learning Analytics And Knowledge (pp. 151-155). ACM.
  • 60. Progression Topic modeling to extract Guttman scales from online discussions He, J., Rubinstein, B. I., Bailey, J., Zhang, R., Milligan, S., & Chan, J. (2016). MOOCs Meet Measurement Theory: A Topic-Modelling Approach. Proceedings of the 30th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (pp. 1195-1201).
  • 61. Tracking progression Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions. In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126).
  • 62. Tracking progression Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions. In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126). Integration Exploration Triggering event
  • 63. Tracking progression Ferreira, R., Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., & Rolim, V. (2018). Towards Combined Network and Text Analytics of Student Discourse in Online Discussions. In Proceeding of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Education (pp. 111-126).
  • 67. Data science methods can be helpful but not sufficient von Davier, A. A. (2016). Computational psychometrics in support of collaborative educational assessments. Journal of Educational Measurement, 54(1), 3-11.
  • 68. Links with methods from assessment and psychometric needed
  • 70. Generalizability in machine learning is an open research challenge too
  • 72. Can learning analytics offer meaningful assessment? Dragan Gašević @dgasevic EARLI SIG Assessment August 29, 2018 Helsinki, Finland