N° 07 FEBRUARY 2015
Strategies for the Age of Digital Disruption
Digital transformation review_7
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Strategies for the Age of Digital Disruption
CapgeminiConsulting’sEditorialBoard
didier.bonnet@capgemini.com,
@didiebon
@capgeminiconsul
www.linkedin.com/company/capgemini-consulting
N° 07 FEBRUARY 2015
Chief Executive Officer
Senior Vice President
Chief Digital Officer
Head of Research
Cyril Garcia
Didier Bonnet
Fernando Alvarez Tabio
Jerome Buvat
jerome.buvat@capgemini.com,
@jeromebuvat
dtri.in@capgemini.com
Research Institute
The Digital Transformation
www.capgemini-consulting.com
Contents
8
12
22
28
36
The Age of Digital Disruption: Editorial
Digital Disruptions: Making Sense of it All
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a
Digitally-Disrupted World
Rita McGrath, Columbia Business School
A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy
for the Digital Age
Philippe Lemoine
The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business
Models are Shaping a New Economy
Rachel Botsman
15 Startups to Watch in 2015
Brian Solis, Altimeter Group
78
52
60
68
Winning Digital Disruptions
Collaboration Redefined: Engaging with The Disruptor
When Digital Disruptions Strike: How Can Incumbents Respond?
by Capgemini Consulting
Black Swan Startups: Spotting Tomorrow’s Big Digital Disruptors
Saul Klein, Index Ventures
Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New
Digital Future, the FT Way
Caspar de Bono, Financial Times
44The Silicon Network: How Big Corporates and Digital
Startups Can Create a More Innovative World
David Cohen, Techstars
Designing Transformational Business Models
Serguei Netessine, INSEAD
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 076
The Age of Digital Disruption – Editorial
T
hese are uncertain and
challenging times for
traditional organizations
across every industry. The digital
economy is turning the traditional
rules of the game upside down, as
a scan of business press headlines
illustrates. “Since 2000, 52% of
companies in the Fortune 500
have either gone bankrupt, been
acquired or ceased to existi
”.
“Uber Valued at $40 Billion in
$1.2 Billion Equity Fundingii
.”
“Is Silicon Valley the Future of
Finance?iii
” “How Bitcoin can and
will disrupt the financial systemiv
.”
This small sample of recent press
headlines reveals why the leaders
of traditional organizations might
feel a strong sense of disquiet.
Disruption can happen at any
time, in any sector, and its effect
on traditional organizations can
be fundamental. Against this
backdrop, this seventh edition of
the Digital Transformation Review
is dedicated to three themes:
• Understanding more about the
nature and context of digital
disruption, from assessing
where disruptors gain their
competitive advantage to the
emerging disruptors of the
coming years.
• Examining how collaboration
and engagement can help both
incumbents and disruptors.
How can we plan for the
emergence of disruptors?
We open the Review with Rita
Gunther McGrath, a professor at
Columbia Business School, who
is a globally recognized expert on
strategy in uncertain and volatile
environments. “It is important
to understand that most digital
disruptions don’t happen suddenly.
They take place over time,” she
explains. “Most companies often
get so caught up in everyday
operations that they don’t take a
step back to think about what the
future might hold.”
Why are we seeing so many
disruptions?
Philippe Lemoine, who recently
authored a report for the French
government on the digital
transformation of the country’s
economy, outlines three factors
driving disruption: automation,
dematerialization (substitution of
physical products and processes
with digital alternatives) and
changes to the value chain.
• Assessing the most effective
strategic response to existing
disruptions with an analysis
by Capgemini Consulting of
incumbents’ winning strategies.
Digital Disruptions –
Making Sense of It All
Working with a global panel
of industry leaders, venture
capitalists and academics (see
Figure 1), we have built a detailed
picture of the digital disruption
phenomenon, probing the key
questions that organizations need
answers to:
• How can we plan for the
emergence of disruptors?
• Why are we seeing so many
disruptions?
• What shape are these
disruptions taking?
• Which startups are likely to
emerge to disrupt sector value
chains over the coming years?
i Forbes, “Ray Wang: Cloud Is The ‘Foundation For Digital Transformation’”, December 2014
ii Bloomberg, “Uber Valued at $40 Billion in $1.2 Billion Equity Funding”, December 2014
iii NY Mag, “Is Silicon Valley the Future of Finance?”, June 2014
iv Visual Capitalist, “How Bitcoin can and will disrupt the financial system”, July 2014
The Age of Digital Disruption
Introduction By Capgemini Consulting’s Editorial Board
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 7
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
What shape are these
disruptions taking?
Rachel Botsman is a global
thought leader on one of the
emerging business models of
the disruptive segment: the
collaborative economy. “The
collaborative economy drives a
shift from centralized asset-heavy
organizations to decentralized
asset-light networks and
marketplaces,” she explains. “It
typically does this by creating
business models that enable
underutilized assets - from spaces
to skills to “stuff” - to be used more
efficiently.” She believes there are
five key drivers of disruption –
wastage of resources, redundancy,
complexity, limited access and
broken trust. Each of these areas
creates new opportunities for
startups and incumbents alike.
Which startups are likely to
emerge to disrupt sector value
chains over the coming years?
Brian Solis is a digital analyst,
anthropologist, and futurist at
Altimeter Group. He studies the
effects of disruptive technology
on business and society. He
identifies a select set of startups
that he believes will start hitting
the headlines in 2015. The eclectic
list spans companies from the
sharing economy, virtual reality,
3D Printing and more.
Collaboration Redefined
– Engaging with Potential
Disruptors
Understanding the nature and
contextofdisruptionisthefirststep.
Crafting a response is the second,
and collaboration and engagement
are important approaches that
Rachel Botsman,
Sydney, Australia
Serguei Netessine,
SingaporeRita McGrath,
New York, USA
Caspar de
Bono,
London, UK
Saul Klein,
London, UK
David Cohen
Boulder, Colorado, USA
Philippe Lemoine
Paris, France
Brian Solis,
San Francisco, USA
Figure 1: Guest Contributors to the Digital Transformation Review N 07
many large firms are often
ignoring. There are, however,
some traditional incumbents that
understand that they do not have
all the answers and are partnering
with startups across sectors. We
spoke to two individuals who are
closely associated with startups to
understand how incumbents can
engage with startups at an early
stage of their lifecycle. This allows
the incumbent and potential future
disruptor to cooperate rather than
simply compete.
David Cohen is the founder,
Managing Partner, and CEO of
startup accelerator Techstars. The
Techstarsnetworkhassofarfunded
484 companies and it works with
large corporates to run mutually
valuable mentoring initiatives.
“Techstars runs the program and
is also the investor. The corporates
don’t take direct equity in the
startup; they don’t take rights to
o
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 078
The Age of Digital Disruption – Editorial
follow on or acquire the startup or
anything like that,” he explains.
“They simply provide mentors and
access to their technologies.” By
doing so, these corporates secure
new insights into how third-
parties can use their APIs and data
in innovative ways.
Saul Klein is a Partner with
Index Ventures, an early-stage
venture capital firm with €3
billion under management and a
portfolio of 140 companies across
20 countries in almost all sectors.
Saul Klein believes that traditional
incumbents need to respond to
‘big-bang’ disruption by really
engaging with smaller companies,
not in the least because the
Figure 2: Response Tactics of Successful Incumbents
Judicial Route
32%
36%
48%
Acquiring
Competition
Acquiring Digital
Talent
32%
Mimicking
Competition
smaller firms are often driving the
technology innovation. Instead,
he argues, big companies focus on
buyingfrombigcompaniesandfail
to engage with small companies.
He says: “Big companies will truly
engage with the startup ecosystem
when they spend between 5% and
25% of their tech and innovation
budget with a small company.”
Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis
N = 84
Note: Figures refer to percentage of companies adopting a particular approach. Multiple responses per company
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 9
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Winning Digital Disruptions
Responding to digital disruption
is now a critical weapon that all
organizations need to have in their
strategic armory. The story of the
Financial Times’s response to the
digital disruption of the media
industry is a salutary example.
Caspar de Bono, Managing
Director, B2B at the FT, outlines
the organization’s response and
how it has turned digital disruption
to its advantage, with digital
subscriptions now constituting
nearly two-thirds of the FT’s total
paying audience. “Technology
helped us establish a direct
relationship with customers,” he
explains. “This was very disruptive
and the FT has significantly
benefited from this disruption.”
A key response to digital
disruption is to constantly
innovate business models. Serguei
Netessine, professor at INSEAD
in Singapore, believes that most
companies do not focus enough
on their business models and that
is a major handicap when they are
faced with disruption. His research
has revealed that only 5% of
companies practice business model
innovation and he proposes an
alternative framework to improve
performance.
We close this seventh edition of the
Digital Transformation Review
with Capgemini Consulting’s
view on how organizations can
respond when digital disruptions
strike. Our research, involving
over 100 companies, draws on the
lessons learned from incumbents
that have successfully tackled
disruption and outlines the key
strategic responses. Our analysis
shows that successful companies
have a relatively even spread across
different tactics (see Figure 2): they
have acquired competition, hired
digital talent and gone down the
legal route too.
For more information, please contact:
Didier Bonnet (didier.bonnet@capgemini.com, @didiebon)
Jerome Buvat (jerome.buvat@capgemini.com, @jeromebuvat)
The Digital Transformation Research Institute (dtri.in@capgemini.com)
We hope this edition of the Digital
Transformation Review has helped
increase understanding of the
disruptive and challenging times
we live in. Digital disruption is a
fact of life and a sweeping force for
business change. Senior executives
therefore need to be confident in
their abilities to assess and respond
to exactly this kind of disruption.
We hope this Review has helped in
that regard and please do contact
us if you would like to discuss any
of these issues further.
Digital transformation review_7
Digital Disruptions:
Making Sense of it All
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0712
Fast Thinking: Reinventing
Strategy for a Digitally-
Disrupted World
Interview with
Rita McGrath
– Professor at Columbia Business School
@rgmcgrath
R
ita Gunther McGrath, a Professor at Columbia Business School, is
a globally recognized expert on strategy in uncertain and volatile
environments. She is a popular instructor, a sought-after speaker,
and a consultant to various senior leadership teams. She was chosen as one
of the top10 global management thinkers in the 2013 Thinkers50 awards,
and won the strategy category. In her latest book – “The End of Competitive
Advantage: How to Keep Your Strategy Moving as Fast As Your Business” –
she outlines a new approach to strategy in an economy defined by transient
advantage. Capgemini Consulting interviewed Rita McGrath to understand
how companies can steer themselves around digital disruptions.
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 13
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Companies should
pay attention to
areas where startups
are identifying
and addressing a
customer pain point.
Staying Tuned to Digital
Disruptions
How can companies identify
technologies or startups that
are truly disruptive?
It is difficult for companies to
distinguish the truly disruptive
startups from the hype. This is
because most startups never really
achieve critical mass. However,
I think what companies can do is
pay attention to where startups
have identified and are addressing
a customer pain point. They should
ask themselves: “Where are some
of these digital startups solving a
problem for my customers where
I’m doing less of a good job? What
are the areas where my business
model is making our customers
unhappy?” Companies that fail
to do this, and have dissatisfied
customers, leave themselves
vulnerable to digital disruption.
A great example of this is the cable
television industry in America.
In a digital world, consumers
have grown accustomed to
on-demand services. But US
cable television companies still
force their customers to pay for
expensive packages rather than
giving them the option to pay only
for what they want to watch. US
cable companies are illustrative
of a class of incumbents that has
a lot to worry about from digital
disruptions.
Is there a way in which
companies can anticipate
potential future disruptions?
Yes, companies can spot the early
warning signs of disruption by
looking at the right data. There
are three categories of data – I call
these lagging, current and leading
indicators. Lagging indicators are
often highly accurate and precise
but they only reflect past events
that can’t be changed. Most
financial information, including
profitability, is a lagging indicator.
A company’s profits today are
a function of what it did for
customers and how it responded
to competition in the past. Current
indicators, on the other hand,
are data about where a company
stands at the moment. Examples
of current indicators include
inventory levels or the pipeline
of opportunities. Finally, leading
indicators provide information
on where a company might be
headed. They are often subjective
and are hard to get a consensus
around because people frequently
disagree about their meaning. As
a result, they are often overlooked.
An example of a leading indicator
could be data that shows a new
product from an unconventional
competitor gaining popularity
with customers. This could be an
early warning sign of disruption.
Companiesthatonlylookatlagging
indicators tend to systematically
under-invest in the things that will
drive profitability in the future. It
is important to understand that
most digital disruptions don’t
happen suddenly. They take place
over time. So, I always recommend
that companies really think hard
about leading indicators. But in
many companies, the processes
for detecting leading indicators are
incredibly weak. Most companies
often get so caught up in everyday
operations that they don’t take a
step back to think about what the
future might hold.
Could you give us an example
of a company or an industry
that failed to anticipate digital
disruptions?
Yes, the print news media business
is an example of an entire industry
that overlooked digital disruption
because it was too focused on
routine issues. A person from the
industry that I spoke with had
a very interesting observation
on this. She said: “If you were a
news company executive in days
gone by, you weren’t worried
about the news or necessarily the
revenue. You were worried about
things like unionized workers
striking, the price of fuel, and
the distribution and cost of the
paper. These were the things on
your mind. You weren’t thinking
about who was going to buy ads
if consumers shifted to digital.” I
thought that was very interesting.
If you’re worried about issues like
union contracts, then your line of
sight to what could fundamentally
undermine your revenue flows is
very weak.
Responding to Digital
Disruptions: Success Lies in
Openness to Change
How do large companies
typically react when faced with
disruptions?
The reaction occurs in stages.
The first stage is denial. For
instance, a company might say:
“Oh, that’s just a two-person
startup, how could it possibly
hurt us?” This kind of denial is a
problem. It results in companies
not classifying a disruption as
a threat. Then, there’s the stage
where companies get alarmed
and realize that the disruption
could indeed have a significant
impact. And the third stage is
when companies try to deal with
the disruption by trying to stamp
14
Denial is a problem
because it results
in companies
not classifying a
disruption as a
threat.
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World
it out. For instance, many large
companies end up acquiring a
would-be disruptor just to weed
out potential competition. They
put the disruptor’s technology
on ice and continue to do what
they’re doing. There are some
exceptions to this, like Avis. It saw
ZipCar as a viable business model
and has continued to support it
even after acquiring the company.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
What are the main challenges
that companies face in reacting
to disruptions?
Technology is seldom the
problem. The big issues tend to
be political. Resources get locked
into divisions, because senior
executives want to hold on to
their resources and not let go.
You have cases where powerful
political players feel threatened by
innovation and try and bury it so
that it never sees the light of day.
You also have situations where
coalitions build up in companies,
and groups of executives decide
to work against a disruptive new
innovation because none of them
want it to happen. Unfortunately,
the right path is ignored when
companies get into these political
situations.
15
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Companies often
find it very hard to
acknowledge that
their old business
model does not work
anymore.
The other reason why companies
are unable to deal with
disruptions fast enough is due
to a phenomenon that can be
called “nostalgia as business
strategy”. By this I mean that
companies often find it very hard
to acknowledge that their old
business model does not work
anymore. They find themselves
unable to conceive of a new
reality. Take the leaders at RIM
(now BlackBerry), for example.
They had never experienced a
serious setback so the thought that
their business could evaporate
was inconceivable to them. They
were so confident about their hold
over the business user segment
that it didn’t even dawn on them
that the iPhone or the Android
devices could become legitimate
threats. They saw the onslaught
coming but more or less ignored
it.
In your opinion, why was
Sony not as successful as
Apple in the digital music
business, despite having all the
technology for it?
Sony is a classic example of a
company that ceded its entire
dominance of a market because
it tried too hard to preserve
the status quo. Sony actually
increased its investment in its
Walkman division when it faced
the disruption of digital music
players. So, despite having all
the technology for digital music
players – including the hardware,
software and the content –
Sony failed to capitalize on
the opportunity. Sony also
faltered in its ability to get all
its different teams to collaborate
and work together on digital
music players. The teams had
conflicting visions for Sony. The
hardware team wanted to charge
for hardware and give away
software for free. The content
team, on the other hand, wanted
to charge for content and give
away hardware for free. There
was no one who mediated the
differences between the different
teams. At Apple, on the other
hand, Steve Jobs played the role
of a centralizing function. He
was able to bring the different
warring parts of the company
together and ensure that they all
worked towards the same vision.
How has Fuji been so successful
in reinventing its business model,
where players like Kodak were
unable to do so?
The CEO of Fuji brought in
a different mindset to the
organization. This helped it
withstand digital disruptions
much better than others,
like Kodak, which went
bankrupt. He was prepared to
throw the full weight of the
company behind doing things
differently. He commissioned
a study of Fuji’s administrative
overheads and even though
they were doing much better
than their Japanese peers, he
said: “It’s not good enough.” He
decided that Fuji needed to do
away with consensus decision-
making, be more proactive and
take tougher decisions. I think
this ultimately led to Fuji’s
success.
At Apple, Steve Jobs
was able to bring
the different warring
parts of the company
together and ensure
that they all worked
towards the same
vision.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Establish a common
set of values and
shared beliefs to
break down
organizational silos
Give more autonomy
to employees, while
maintaining a strong
central framework
Develop the ability to
continually reallocate
resources and
reorganize rapidly
Look for opportunities
outside of industry
boundaries
E.g. data that shows a new product from an
unconventional competitor gaining
popularity with customers.
Pay attention to where
startups are addressing a
customer pain point
Think hard about leading indicators
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for
a Digitally-Disrupted World
Staying Tuned to Digital Disruptions
Most companies often get so caught up in everyday operations
that they don’t take a step back to think about what the future might hold.
- Professor Rita McGrath
Building Resilient Organizational Structures
17
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
The payment industry is
witnessing a lot of disruptions
due to startups. If you were
the CEO of MasterCard, how
would you respond to these
disruptions?
As CEO, I would first of all look
at business practices that are
making our customers unhappy.
For instance, companies like
Visa and MasterCard tend to
charge merchants very high
interchange fees. I would look
at this very seriously because
I think what they’re doing is
not sustainable. There is bound
to be a customer backlash
at some point. I would also
watch the startups and new
entrants operating in this
space very closely to see how
MasterCard could reinvent
itself for the digital world,
rather than defend its existing
way of doing business. Mobile
payment startups like LevelUp
have already begun to put
pressure on the existing model.
When customers use LevelUp’s
mobile app to make purchases,
merchants need to pay only
a fraction of the interchange
charges that traditional cards
cost them. LevelUp makes
this possible by aggregating a
large number of transactions
through the day before hitting
the interchange system once.
This could be potentially very
disruptive for the payments
industry. Interestingly, Apple’s
payments model is hurting the
banks more than it is hurting
the major card companies,
even though it is claiming
revenues from financial
services businesses for itself.
It remains to be seen how they
will compete when and if their
business makes serious inroads
into payment behaviour.
Would you consider Airbnb to be
a threat to the hotel industry?
I think there are two ways to
look at this. In some ways, we
could say that Airbnb has not
necessarily been a direct threat
to large hotel chains because
it has primarily targeted a
different customer segment.
This is a segment that was not
travelling earlier because it
could not afford hotel stays.
So, in that sense, Airbnb may
have extended the size of the
overall market without taking
away that much business from
the large hotel chains.
But in the future, Airbnb is
likely to be much more of a
direct threat to large hotels. We
are now starting to see Airbnb
break into a market that has
long been the staple of large
hotels – the business traveller
segment. Airbnb offers novelty
to business travellers, for whom
staying constantly in hotels
often becomes an unexciting
experience. It is now making it
possible for business travellers
to get Airbnb stays reimbursed
through their corporate
accounts. If business travellers
start using Airbnb more
frequently, I think it could be
very disruptive to the existing
hotel business.
If you were the CEO of a major
hotel chain, how would you
react to the disruption caused by
Airbnb?
I would think of ways in
which we could become more
competitive in comparison to
players like Airbnb. So, I would
evaluate what makes Airbnb
attractive to people besides a
lower price. For instance, some
people prefer the authentic
experience, having a local host,
and the personal atmosphere of
a private accommodation. And
then I would try to see if I could
potentially add those attributes
to my offer.
For example, some hotels are
now focusing increasingly on
millennials. Millennial business
travellers tend to differ from
their baby boomer counterparts
in how they like to spend
time at a hotel. While baby
boomers prefer to remain in
their room at the end of a long
day, millennials like to be in a
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
18
Being stable at
the core enables
companies to take
the right decisions at
the right time.
more communal and shared
environment. So, some hotels
are starting to reshape their
physical plants to create such
environments for Millennials.
In your view, how should
companies time their shift to new
business models?
It’s really hard to get the timing
right. Companies need to
simultaneously disengage from
an existing business model
while engaging with a new
one, which is very tricky. It has
to be done very systematically.
Companies should start with
the early adopters among
their customers, shifting them
first to a new business model,
and then gradually shift more
mainstream customers to it.
The sequence is important
because not all customers will
be ready for a new business
model at the same time.
Netflix, for example, understood
that it needed to transition
from DVDs to streaming video,
but it did not manage the
transition correctly. Many of
Netflix’s reconfiguration moves
infuriated customers. For
example, Netflix lost a large
number of customers when it
decided to split its streaming
and DVD businesses into two
separate companies. The split
meant that each service would
Building Resilient
Organizational Structures
How can companies build an
organization that is resilient to
disruptions?
During the research for my
book, I found that stability
is the key to creating an
organization that is resilient to
Giving more
autonomy to
employees is
a big part of
creating a resilient
organization.
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World
have its own separate website
and management. While Netflix
was convinced that customers
would prefer streaming to
DVDs, customers were actually
very unhappy with this move
because it meant that they
needed to store their content
on both websites if they wanted
to continue to access both
formats. Further, since DVDs
offered more movie choices at
that point, it also meant that
customers would need to look
in both places if they wanted to
find what they were looking for.
In trying to force the transition
on customers who were not
ready for it, Netflix made a
major strategic mistake.
disruption. Being stable at the
core enables companies to take
the right decisions at the right
time. To achieve this stability,
companies need to reduce the
uncertainty associated with
business model transitions.
Companies that have been
able to survive disruptions
successfully have crafted
social structures that reduce
this uncertainty. In these
companies, employees tend to
worry less about organizational
roles and structures than in less
successful companies.
In order to create stability,
companies should establish
a common set of values and
shared beliefs. These help
break down silos across the
organization. Take the US-
based electricity distributor
Atmos Energy. It has an HR
department whose main goal
is to implement these common
values. When everyone knows
all the ground rules, you have
this thread of stability that
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
runs at the core of how the
business operates. And then it
becomes much easier to take
action quickly and adapt to
situations.
Should companies give more
autonomy to employees to enable
a resilient organization?
Yes, giving more autonomy
to employees is a big part of
creating a resilient organization.
It is almost impossible for a
company to move as fast as
some markets are evolving if
19
it operates with a hierarchy
that is too rigid. That being
said, there is still the need for
a strong central framework.
A good example here is Ford
Motor Company. When Alan
Mulally took over as CEO of
Ford, the senior team operated
in silos and weren’t brilliant
at working together. Mulally
imposed a centralized structure
in which senior executives
were required to meet on a
weekly basis to go through
their business plans and also
to hear what was going on
in the rest of the company.
This brought together people
who had different lines of
sight on the early warnings of
disruption, and leveraged the
talent in the top team to help
resolve problems. At the same
time, it did not take away from
the autonomy of the executives
to operate in their own business
activities.
20
Continuous
reconfiguration
provides both
stability as well as
dynamism, unlike
a strategy that
is based on the
notion of sustained
competitive
advantage.
Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World
How can large organizations be
disruptors themselves?
I think large organizations
have enormous potential to
be disruptors themselves. For
example, Google is potentially
disrupting the healthcare
and automotive segments.
The critical criteria for a
large organization seeking
to be a disruptor is that they
have to have appropriate
business models and financial
structures for the markets they
are going after – generally,
they won’t succeed if they go
into new markets with the
same structures they used for
existing ones. I have said this
for years – industry boundaries
are fading and every company
should be looking for
opportunities outside their
own industries.
Industry boundaries
are fading and every
company should
be looking for
opportunities outside
their own industries.
Can you tell us about the
continuous reconfiguration process
that you suggest companies should
follow?
Continuous reconfiguration
implies that companies
should develop the ability to
continually reallocate resources
and reorganize themselves
rapidly. I have found that
firms that deliver consistent
performance over time do
this instead of resorting to
wrenching restructurings.
Continuous reconfiguration
provides both stability as well
as dynamism, unlike a strategy
that is based on the notion
of sustained competitive
advantage. It encourages
companies to disengage from
exhausted opportunities and
repurpose valuable resources,
rather than vainly defending
existing competitive advantages.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
21
“Companies need to look for
business model by trying to see if
there is a mismatch between what
the customer wants and what they
deliver.”
“Companies can spot the early
warning signs of disruption by
looking at the right data categories – I
call these lagging, current and leading
indicators.”
black swan. If it were that easy,
everyone would be able to do it.”
- Tim O’Reilly
- Serguei Netessine
- Rita McGrath
- Saul Klein
- TimTT O’Reilly
“I look for instances where there are
really interesting and abundant forms
of supply and when a company is
either tapping into existing demand
or creating demand in ways that
would change consumer behavior.”
- Rachel Botsman
HOW TO ANTICIPATE DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS
AND IDENTIFY DISRUPTIVE STARTUPS?
22 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0722
A New French Revolution?
Building a National
Economy for the Digital Age
Interview with
Philippe Lemoine
– Chairman of the Fing
(Next Generation Internet Foundation)
P
hilippe Lemoine is Chairman of the Fing (Next Generation Internet
Foundation), the author of numerous reports and books on information
technology, a former Co-President of French department store Galeries
Lafayette Group and CEO of consumer finance group LaSer. He also serves
on several boards. In early 2014, he was asked to lead a government-backed
initiative into the digital transformation of the French economy. Drawing on
nine months of effort, and the input of over 500 people, the resulting report
– “The new grammar of success – The digital transformation of the French
economy” – was released in November 2014. Capgemini Consulting spoke with
Philippe Lemoine to understand the drivers of digital disruption and the new
rules of success that France needs to master in order to thrive in the digital age.
A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age
23
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 23
What’s new about
this phase –
characterized by the
word “digital” – is
that the technology
race is no longer
driven by large
organizations, but
by people.
The intensifying
impact of
technology in
the digital age is
linked with three
factors: automation,
dematerialization
and changes in the
value chain.
Understanding the Impact
of Digital Disruption
While technological
transformation has been
occurring continually over the
last several decades, what sets
the digital age apart and makes
it so disruptive?
To my mind, we entered a
new phase in the evolution of
technology in 2008 – the year
when Apple began marketing the
iPhone. What’s new about this
phase – characterized by the word
“digital” – is that the technology
race is no longer driven by large
organizations, but by people.
People today are equipped with
technology to a huge degree and
are constantly using new digital
tools. And they have found new
ways to communicate, invent,
consume and share.
In your opinion, what are the
sources of the digital disruption
that we are seeing in almost
every sector?
Theintensifyingimpactoftechnology
in the digital age is linked with three
factors:automation,dematerialization
andchangestothevaluechain.
Increasing automation, driven by
digital technologies, is amplifying
labor productivity and enhancing
efficiency in the use of raw materials
andenergy.
Dematerialization, which refers
to the substitution of physical
products and processes with digital
alternatives, has its own distinct
effects. First, it has led to the
emergence of new online channels
of communication and distribution
that have replaced or transformed
physical channels. Second,
dematerialization has lowered the
marginal cost of production. In a
digital economy, the majority of
production costs – which include
the cost of designing, prototyping
and testing – accrue when the first
copy of the product is created. The
cost of reproduction is virtually
zero. Third, dematerialization
has lowered transaction costs by
facilitatingmoreopenrelationships
between internal and external
stakeholders in an organization.
This has been accompanied by an
increase in co-opetition and inter-
sectoral competition.
Finally, the digital economy has
given rise to new actors that are
stepping in as intermediaries
between traditional businesses
and their customers. These new
actors are reinventing established
business models, which is resulting
in the reorganization of traditional
value chains. There are two key
effects of this reorganization –
we see consumers playing new
roles and data emerging as an
increasingly valuable resource.
Companies have found a way to
create value, using data as an asset.
24
There is a lot of talk about
the potential negative impact
of digital on employment, for
example. What are the risks of
digital disruption, not only for
companies, but for society in
general?
It is a fact that digital technologies
have had a major impact on
employment. According to the MIT,
47% of jobs in America will either
disappear or be fundamentally
transformedbydigitaltechnologies.
In Europe, 54% of jobs are
estimated to be similarly affected.
I personally think that digital
technologies will create as many as
jobs as those that will disappear due
to it. The problem, however, is that
the institutions that are responsible
for making the employment market
function are not always effective.
Forexample,theyarenotorganized
to put digital at the forefront of
permanent professional training,
which is extremely important. The
concept of professional training
itself needs to evolve – training
needs to be provided throughout
an individual’s career. There is
also the need for an evolution in
the structure and nomenclature
of existing jobs, and even in the
concept of employment, which is
constantly changing due to the
diversification of working patterns.
On the employment front, the major
risk lies in not making the necessary
efforts in enhancing training and
in understanding what constitutes
new employment opportunities in
the digital age.
24
On the employment
front, the major risk
lies in not making
the necessary efforts
towards enhancing
training and in
understanding
what constitutes
new employment
opportunities in the
digital age.
The digital age
requires that
organizations follow
a scheme of letting
go and innovating
freely, rather than
limiting themselves
to attaining mastery
within their core
business.
A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age
What are the biggest
challenges that organizations
face in responding to digital
disruption?
There are three main challenges.
First, organizations need to adapt
to a whole new “open” culture.
They need to increasingly rely
on external partners rather than
on internal teams alone. Second,
organizations need to be able to
transform existing jobs to suit the
needs of the digital age. The third
challenge is the most important.
Over the last 20 to 25 years,
organizations have functioned
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
according to the notion that they
should innovate in line with their
DNA and within the bounds of
their core business. But, the digital
age requires a different approach.
Organizations need to let go
and innovate freely rather than
limiting themselves to mastery
within their core business. They
need to understand that the
rhythm of digital transformation
is determined by the customer.
As a result, everything must be
designed and developed based
on the customer’s needs and
priorities.
25
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
How should incumbents react
to startups that are disrupting
their industries? For example,
we see a lot of conflict between
incumbent taxi service providers
and new players like Uber.
Should the taxi industry use
regulations to counter Uber?
I think that the taxi industry is
reacting just like any business
that feels endangered. But it is
dangerous for a profession to
surviveonlybecauseofregulation.
There are many incumbents in
highly regulated sectors, such
as the banking industry who
believe that they are protected
from technological disruptions
by existing regulations. I believe
that’s a very big mistake that
they are making. Sometimes,
organizations that are protected
by regulations lag in innovation.
The worst thing that companies
in highly regulated sectors can do
is to completely ignore the fact
that technology is offering new
solutions and making consumers
more demanding. You cannot
break the progress of technology
to maintain an old way of working
– you must adapt and transform.
25
Crafting a New Digital Future
for France and Europe
In your view, how do France
and Europe compare with the US
when it comes to leveraging the
opportunities of the digital age?
There is an interesting indicator
that illustrates the difference
between France, Europe and the
US in how they are adapting
to technological disruptions. If
you take the top 100 companies
that are less than 30 years old in
France, Europe and the US, you
see a very striking trend. France
has only 1 such company in its
There are many
incumbents in
highly regulated
sectors who
believe that they
are protected from
technological
disruptions by
existing regulations.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
26
What should France do to adapt
to digital transformation?
Digital transformation has its own
“grammar of success” – there are
new rules to be followed. France
will need to master these new
rules and adapt to the competition
of the 21st century. For too long
now, France has not been able to
unite a realistic view of the future
with a bold, utopian one. It is true
that France has been traumatized
by the bursting of the Internet
bubble ten years ago. It is therefore
afraid to look naïve again. But we
must understand that the context
is different now and France must
adapt. Great entrepreneurs have
a capacity to envision utopia. In
France today, large companies, as
well as public powers, are quite
far from being able to do that. We
must change that.
How can France emulate new
startup ecosystems such as
Finland or Israel?
I think that we need to distinguish
between two things. On the one
hand, we need to learn from
them and adapt ourselves. But
on the other hand, we also need
to innovate based on our own
values. For example, we should
focus on building an egalitarian
peer-to-peer Internet architecture
– one that creates new rights
and new digital freedoms. This
message has strong links to the
values of Liberty, Equality and
Fraternity, which are at the core
of the French system.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0726
A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age
top 100, Europe has 9, and the US
has 63. This is a very important
statistic when you consider that
businesses should be creating
new markets or new ways of
consuming in the digital age. It
helps us understand how well
a society is adapting to digital
innovation.
Digital
transformation has
its own “grammar
of success” – there
are new rules to be
followed.
For too long now,
France has not
been able to unite a
realistic view of the
future with a bold,
utopian one.
Why do you think France and
Europe have not produced as
many digital leaders as the US?
I would put it down to the lack of
real competition. Take the retail
industry for example. In the US,
Walmart has implemented huge
digital transformation efforts in
order to try and compete with,
and even beat, Amazon. In the UK
as well, companies like Tesco are
doing some wonderful things with
digital to compete with pure-play
digital actors. In France, however,
you don’t have many companies
that are truly digital, so there isn’t
the same intensity of competition.
I think that there is a sort of shift
that has not taken place in France.
27
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 27
transformation is determined by the
customer. As a result, everything
must be designed and developed
based on the customer’s needs and
priorities.”
“Companies that only look at
lagging indicators tend to
systematically under-invest in the
in the future… I always recommend
that companies really think hard
about leading indicators.”
transformation was about asking the
fundamental question of why the
business exists and what purpose it
serves.”
“Executives need to recognize the
speed at which their industries are
getting disrupted by new models.”
“Giving more autonomy to employees
is a big part of creating a resilient
organization.”
- Tim O’Reilly
- Philippe Lemoine
- Rita McGrath
- Caspar De Bono
- Rita McGrath
- Rachel Botsman
- TTTTimimimimTTTTTTTT OOOO’RRRReieieieillllllllyyyy
organizations follow a scheme of
letting go and innovating freely,
rather than limiting themselves to
attaining mastery within their core
business.”
- Philippe Lemoine
SURVIVING & WINNING DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS
“It’s important for big companies to
think about what their core values are
and then think about how new
emerging technologies could be
incorporated to their strategic
advantage.”
- Saul Klein
28
The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy
The Power of Sharing:
How Collaborative
Business Models are
Shaping a New Economy
Interview with
Rachel Botsman
– Global Thought Leader
@rachelbotsman
R
achel Botsman is a global thought leader on collaboration and
sharing using digital technologies to transform the way we live, work
and consume. She has inspired a new consumer economy with her
influential book “What’s Mine is Yours: How Collaborative Consumption Is
Changing The Way We Live”. Rachel was recently named a 2013 Young Global
Leader by the World Economic Forum, which recognizes individuals for their
commitment to improving the state of the world. In 2014, she was named by
Fast Company as one of the ‘Most Creative People in Business.’ Capgemini
Consulting spoke with Rachel to understand how companies should adapt
their business models for this new collaborative economy.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Collaborative Business Models are
Disrupting the Economy
What makes the collaborative
economy such a disruptive
force?
The collaborative economy
is disruptive for three key
reasons. First, it drives a shift
from centralized asset-heavy
organizations to decentralized
asset-light networks and
marketplaces. It typically does
this by creating business models
that enable underutilized assets
from spaces to skills to ‘stuff’ to be
used more efficiently. Take Airbnb
and Hilton Hotels. Unlike Hilton
Hotels, Airbnb doesn’t actually
own accommodation. Instead,
it facilitates access to existing
spare rooms, holiday houses,
treehouses, castles etc. all around
the world. On-demand ride-
sharing services such as Lyft and
Uber are similar examples from
the taxi industry. They don’t own
the cars or employ the drivers,
but facilitate access to an existing
inventory and allow assets be
used more efficiently.
Second, technology is making it
easier for us to trust strangers and
to interact, exchange and share
in ways that were not possible
before. This is giving rise to
different forms of peer-to-peer
commerce that bypass traditional
institutions.
29
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
The third reason relates to the
shift in consumer behavior from
physicalownershipofassetstoon-
demand access. In the digital age,
consumers no longer necessarily
need to own assets; they can
instead pay to access benefits
through different service models.
We are seeing this emerging from
Spotify and Netflix in media, to
Zipcar and bike share schemes in
transportation, to rental services
from Solar City to Rent the
Runway.
When you consider these three
factors, they are all disrupting
different industries – from travel
to transportation to financial
services – in a profound way.
There are multiple definitions
of the sharing or collaborative
economy; what is your
definition?
I define the sharing economy and
collaborativeeconomydifferently.
The sharing economy is an
economic model based on sharing
underutilized assets – including
skills, spaces and intellectual
property – for monetary or non-
monetary benefits. In my view,
the sharing economy is the first
wave of the bigger collaborative
economy.
The collaborative economy is a
larger concept based on the shift
from centralized hierarchical
institutions to decentralized
networks and communities.
It includes ‘sharing’ ventures
but also new learning models
such as Massive Open Online
Courses; decentralized forms
of production such as 3D
Printing and Makerspaces and
many forms of finance such
as crowdfunding and peer-to-
peer lending. The Collaborative
In the digital age,
consumers no longer
necessarily need to
own assets; they can
instead pay to access
benefits through
different service
models.
The sharing
economy is the
first wave of the
bigger collaborative
economy.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
30
Millennials treat
mobile phones as
remote controls to
the physical world.
It took Hilton Hotels
93 years to build an
inventory of over
600,000 rooms;
Airbnb got there
in just 4 years, and
they now have close
to 900,000 rooms.
Economy transforms how we can
produce, consume, finance, and
learn. It may or may not involve
asset sharing and includes
other behaviors such as renting,
lending, bartering, swapping and
selling.
What is the economic weight of
the collaborative economy?
Company valuation is probably
the most accurate indicator
that you can rely on right
now to estimate the size of the
collaborative economy. Startups
like Lending Club, Uber, and
Airbnb have multi-billion dollar
valuations. So, the market is big
and it is getting bigger.
To get a better idea of the
potential of the collaborative
economy, let us look at individual
examples. It took Hilton Hotels
93 years to build an inventory
of over 600,000 rooms; Airbnb
got there in just four years, and
they now have close to 900,000
rooms. More importantly, they are
at a point from where they can
scale up incredibly fast. Another
interesting example is BlaBlaCar,
which is a true ride-sharing
platform. They now transport
more than two million people
every month, which is more than
the Eurostar.
Changing Consumer Behavior is
Giving Rise to Collaborative Models
In what ways is changing
consumer behavior, especially
among millennials, driving the
collaborative economy?
There are three factors that are
distinctly shaping the behavior
of millennials, and driving the
collaborative economy. First,
millennials are growing up with
a different attitude towards
sharing and interacting with
strangers. These attitudes and
behaviors are now dispersing into
different areas of their lives. Thus,
millennials are more inclined
to think about say sharing cars
in the same way that they think
about sharing photos. The second
thing is that millennials view
technology differently. For older
generations, mobile phones are
a tool for digital communication
and content, whereas for
millennials, they are remote
controls to the physical world.
Millennials look at their phones
The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
to provide them with access to
whatever they need, whenever
they need it. This “on-demand,
instant gratification” culture fits
in perfectly with models of access
as opposed to those of ownership.
The third factor is a backlash
against consumerism. If you
think of the 80s, the 90s and the
early 2000s, you had a generation
that defined themselves by how
much they consumed. It was an
economy built around “I, me
and myself”. Today, there is a
resurgence of “we” – a revival in
the belief of community. We are
seeing an entire generation that
wants to be a part of brands and
experiences that are bigger than
the individual self.
Millennials think
about sharing cars
in the same way that
they think about
sharing photos.
31
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
How can companies
identify opportunities in the
collaborative space?
I have developed a framework
to help companies identify
opportunities in the collaborative
economy. To build the framework,
I looked at the real problems
that collaborative startups were
solving and found five key drivers
of disruption.
The first driver is waste. Smart
entrepreneurs identify an unused
asset, create efficiency around it
and unlock new forms of value.
Airbnb is a great example. Airbnb
recognizes that there is unutilized
capacity – from holiday homes
to spare rooms to tree houses to
boats – that they can now make
liquid.
Today, there is a
resurgence of “we”
– a revival in the
belief of community.
We are seeing an
entire generation
that wants to be a
part of brands and
experiences which
are bigger than the
individual self.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
The second driver is redundancy
– when there are layers of
redundant people or processes
that can easily be bypassed using
technology. A good example
of this would be peer-to-peer
currency transfer. Companies like
TransferWise or CurrencyFair are
becoming popular because they
allow you to save as much as 95%
on transfer fees.
The third driver is complexity.
Many collaborative startups find
ways to simplify complex and
frustrating customer experiences.
For example, Uber and Lyft have
simplified an otherwise complex
and unreliable experience for
customers of taxi services.
The fourth driver is limited
access. For example, many luxury
products are out of reach for
most people. So we see startups
developing systems that enable
shared access to such products.
TakethecaseofBMW-on-Demand
where you are not required to
have full ownership of the car, but
you get shared access to it and are
charged by the minute meaning
you only pay for usage.
The last driver is broken trust.
This comes into the picture
when trust in big institutions is
broken, and people who want
to trust their peers can interact
with them directly. An example
is the massive rise of peer-to-peer
lending, provided by platforms
like Funding Circle and Zopa.
It took Hilton Hotels 93 years
to build an inventory of over 600,000
rooms
Airbnb got there in just 4 years,
and now has close to 900,000
rooms
BlaBlaCar, a ride sharing platform,
now transports more than
2 million people
every month
This is more than the number of
people transported by
Eurostarevery month
Transforming Consumer Pain Point into Disruption Opportunity
Collaborative Business Models are Disrupting the Economy
Consumer Pain Point Disruption Opportunity
Waste
Redundant Intermediaries
Limited Access
Complexity
Broken Trust
Airbnb provides access to private accommodation
TransferWise enables peer-to-peer currency transfer
Uber gives a simplified, hassle-free experience to riders
BMW-on-Demand enables people to ride luxury BMW cars at a much lower cost
Funding Circle facilitates peer-to-peer lending
Consumers no longer need to necessarily own assets; they can instead
access benefits through different service models. - Rachel Botsman
Collaborative Business Models: Shaping
a New Economy
© Rachel Botsman
33
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
The B2B space will
be the goldmine of
the collaborative
economy.
Music majors spent
10 years fighting
Napster, and while
they were doing so,
iTunes, Spotify and
Pandora emerged.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
GE has partnered
with Quirky to open
up unused patents to
innovators to start
building products
and solutions.
Can you give us some
examples of companies that are
adapting their business model
and joining the collaborative
economy?
Let us start with the automotive
sector. Many of the major
brands are realizing that the
future of their business is
probably not in selling cars, but
in providing mobility services.
Thus, Volkswagen has launched
a car-sharing service called
Volkswagen Quicar. Similarly,
BMW, Daimler and other major
brands have either launched or
acquired car-sharing services. If
we look at sectors like hospitality,
Marriott has partnered with
LiquidSpace to give people access
to workspace on-demand within
their hotels. Another interesting
angle is to think of idle assets in
the form of intellectual property.
For example, GE has partnered
with Quirky to open up unused
patents to innovators to start
building products and solutions.
There are examples in the
B2B space too. The idea of an
unutilized asset being made liquid
applies strongly to B2B markets.
For example, Getable is a startup
that provides a rental marketplace
for tools and construction
equipment, allowing tons of
unutilized capacity to be opened
up. Without a doubt, though there
are currently fewer examples, the
B2B space will be the goldmine of
the collaborative economy.
Bigger Companies Need to Adapt
to the New Rules of the Game
How do you convince CXOs to
launch collaborative business
models that can look quite
marginal compared with the
rest of their business?
Executives need to recognize the
speed at which their industries are
getting disrupted by these new
models. Companies like Airbnb
and Uber are examples of how fast
disruptions are happening. Also,
executives are starting to realize
that besides value destruction,
where these companies could take
away their margins, there is also
scope for a lot of value creation.
They can reach new audiences
and create value from existing
assets in various innovative ways.
How do you think incumbents
respond to disruptive
innovation? Are they doing it
right?
I have seen traditional incumbents
respond to disruptive innovation
in three ways; ostriches, fighters
or pioneers. ’Ostriches’ are when
the organization tends to dismiss
disruption as a short-term trend
that will go away, and is not
really a threat. ’Fighters’ are when
an incumbent acknowledges that
the threat is not going to go away,
and decides to fight it with the law
or regulatory battles. The third
and most progressive response is
where an incumbent chooses to
be a ‘pioneer’ and embraces the
change.
34
The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
If you were the CEO of a big
hotel chain, how would you try
to counter the threat of Airbnb?
I think that Airbnb will transform
the entire ecosystem of travel.
From the perspective of a hotel,
the biggest threat of Airbnb is the
hyper-personalization that it can
offer. You know, when I check
into a hotel, I do not remember
the person at the reception.
But I do remember my Airbnb
hosts. Thus, hotels need to see
how they actually compete with
the level of customization and
personalization that is embedded
into the brand of Airbnb. I would
also pay close attention to One
Fine Stay who I think will crack
the super luxury end of the market.
They are providing the services of
a five star hotel in multi-million
dollar homes.
Executives are
starting to realize
that besides value
destruction, where
these companies
could take away
their margins, there
is also scope for a lot
of value creation.
Peeking into the Crystal Ball
Going forward, what are
the sectors that are most
likely to be disrupted by the
collaborative economy?
Financialserviceswithoutadoubt,
because if you think of the five
drivers that we discussed earlier,
they are strongly applicable to
financial services. Healthcare is
another – there may be very little
activity in this sector at present,
but we will see a lot of it over the
next couple of years. The utilities
sector also has a lot of potential.
Forexample,thereisaninteresting
platform called Vandebron based
in the Netherlands that connects
renewable energy providers
directly with customers. For
example, one wind turbine
can power about two hundred
households – think of a scenario
where customers and providers
can find one another and form
contracts in less than five
minutes. It is a peer-to-peer
marketplace and a classic case of
disintermediation.
These are highly regulated
industries, but this is where I think
there will be shifts in the business
model, and established brands
will start to do interesting things
that could be difficult for startups
to achieve.
How do you identify disruptive
startups?
It involves an assessment of
multiple factors. One way is to
see the value of the unutilized
asset that the startup is trying to
unlock or make liquid. Another
way is to look at the magnitude
and importance of the problem
that it is trying to solve. I also look
at opportunities where supply
and demand are broken and
‘providers’ and customers both
want to interact in new ways.
In short, I look for instances where
there are really interesting and
abundant forms of supply and
when a company is either tapping
into existing demand or creating
demand in ways that would
change consumer behavior.
Beyond the collaborative
economy, we are seeing many
new technologies emerging.
What are the key technologies
that are going to transform our
economies over the next few
years?
Technologies related to identity,
such as cross-platform identity
and reputation systems are going
to emerge in a big way. Related
technologies such as geo location,
payments and data privacy
are also going to get a boost.
Biometrics and nanotechnology
are two other spaces that I think
are really interesting.
Digital transformation review_7
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0736
15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley
15 Companies to Watch
in 2015: A Personal View
from the Valley
Brian Solis
– Altimeter Group
@briansolis
T
his is a perspective that originates in Silicon Valley, but is certainly not
limited to it. Innovation can happen anywhere, by anyone, at any time.
As a digital analyst, it’s my job to track disruptive technology and its
impact on business and consumer markets. As a digital anthropologist, I also
study how new technology affects consumer behavior and expectations.
In this list of 15 companies to watch this year, there is a wide range of
companies that are disrupting existing markets or creating new ones. But this
elite group is hardly complete. It’s merely a conversation starter and a call
for you and your business to start to think and act like a startup so that you
become the disruptor in your space rather than the disrupted.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 37
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
With a valuation of $41 billion
at the time of this writing, it’s
not the newest startup on the list.
However, this company is going
(or maybe has gone by the time
you read this) public. In a story
thatranonCNNattheendof2014,
Uber was listed as the “Alibaba
of 2015.” The company is using
current investments to expand
markets around the world. At
the same time, there isn’t enough
money in Uber’s bank account
nor enough influence to simply
walk into new markets without
political resistance. But make no
mistake, if and when Uber IPOs,
the transportation industry will
get Uberized and every other
market where startups refer to
themselves as “the Uber of…”
will be further encouraged to
disrupt their respective markets.
www.uber.com
Asamotorcyclerider,I’minstantly
drawn to this company. In 2015,
Skully is going to introduce a
smart helmet that merges the real
and augmented world for drivers.
The company’s AR-1 is by far the
most advanced motorcycle helmet
ever developed. At the center of
the user experience is a heads up
display (HUD) that provides an
intuitive Google Glass-like view
inside the helmet. Add to that a
rear-facing 180-degree camera,
bluetooth connectivity, embedded
battery and speakers among many
other features, and the AR-1
starts to take shape. More so,
it’s what hasn’t been debuted or
invented yet that truly holds the
promise for the future of riding
and transportation in general.
Imagine embedded sensors that
talk to “smart” cars on the road
to prevent drivers from swiping,
clipping or intercepting riders.
Essentially, the helmet becomes
a platform for innovation on
the bike, surrounding cars and
also in traffic engineering.
www.skullysystems.com
I love the vibe of this little
French company. While Uber and
AirBnB are the most well known
representatives of the so-called
sharing economy, BlaBlaCar is
solving the underserved market
for people looking to carpool to
long-distance locations. Whereas
someone might take the train,
bus or fly, there are always
others willing to drive. With
BlaBlaCar, drivers and passengers
can connect to offset expenses
and also make new friends, all
while making the trip a bit more
interesting. I expect this service to
take off around the world in 2015
while also spawning potential
competitors in each country.
www.blablacar.com
Founder Jeremy Johnson is
introducing an incredible new
paradigm for education, but with
a twist. He believes that Africa as a
continent and economic power, is
grossly underestimated. He’s willing
to back up his belief with his time,
money and resources. Andela is a
uniqueprogramthatunitesqualified
African students (regardless of age
or income) with invaluable access
to leading developers who teach
them to code. More so, Andela pays
students to learn so that they do not
acquire debt as many students do
in the United States, for instance.
And, once students graduate,
they become part of a workforce
that serves a thriving roster of
companies hiring in-demand
developers for important projects.
www.andela.co
Innovation can
happen anywhere,
by anyone, at any
time.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0738
15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley
The world of virtual reality will
finally become a reality in 2015.
The Facebook-owned startup will
ship public beta this year and it
will transform the way consumers
experience the digital world. You
should also be prepared to take
motion sickness medication if
you’re easily upset. But once you
immerse yourself in these new
worlds, coming back to reality will
be a bit difficult. While initially
aimed at the gaming world, the
potential for virtual engagement
spans exploration, entertainment
and education across existing and
not-yet-imagined applications.
www.oculus.com
Silicon Valley is always in search
of its unicorns: those companies
destined to join the billion-dollar
club.Oneofthecompaniesstoking
the imagination is Magic Leap,
a company based in Florida that
recently claimed notable science
fiction author and game designer
Neal Stephenson as its Chief
Futurist. Stephensen revealed in
a post that he was lured to Magic
Leap after seeing a demonstration
of the company’s technology.
“Magic Leap is mustering an
arsenal of techniques…to produce
a synthesized light field that
falls upon the retina in the same
way as light reflected from real
objects in your environment,” he
shared. Like Oculus, it will cater
to gamers as well as “readers,
learners, scientists, and artists.”
www.magicleap.com
Makerbot is the darling of
consumer-facing 3D printing.
We can all appreciate that 3D
printing is going to completely
transform every industry and also
supporting supply chains. But, at
the same time, Makerbot is going
to teach consumers, slowly at first
but faster over time, how to think
differently about products and
parts. It’s not unheard of to think
about 3D printing something you
might need rather than buying it.
Or, you might order up a recipe
from a particular manufacturer
to print upgrades or replacement
parts. This capability will only
become more advanced. In mid-
to-late 2015, MakerBot will create
new composite filaments and
supporting tech for its printers
to enable consumers to print
prototypes with bronze, maple
wood, and iron-like materials.
www.makerbot.com
On the subject of 3D printing,
imagine owning hardware that
could clone artifacts simply
by rendering a 3D model on
the fly. Fuel3D is the developer
of SCANIFY, an affordable
handled 3D-scanner that could
do just that. The technology
was originally designed for the
medical imaging market. But
now, with SCANIFY, consumers,
businesses, and also industry
professionals will have the ability
to 3D-scan objects for a variety
of applications. Partnered with
Makerbot or other 3D printers, the
possibilities are mind-boggling.
www.fuel-3d.com
Everyone seems to be talking
about Instacart. In December
2014, the company raised a
whopping 100 million at a
valuation of $2 billion to allow
consumers to order groceries
from their phone or desktop and
have them delivered to their
door in less than an hour. If you
lived through Web 1.0 and the
dotbomb bust like I did, you might
automatically recall Webvan. But
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 39
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
the difference here is that Instacart
employs a new generation
of the on-demand freelance
workforce. Watch this space
though. Even if Instacart isn’t the
clear winner, Google’s Shopping
Express and AmazonFresh will
collectively build-out an on-
demand market for groceries.
At the same time, they’ll further
condition consumers to expect
and get whatever they want,
when and how they want it.
www.instacart.com
Everyone remembers the digital
picture frames that adorned
desks and walls everywhere. Just
kidding. For some reason, the
digital frame market never really
materialized to push old school
paper pictures and posters out
of the mainstream. But, Electric
Objects is taking a new approach
to make digital art relevant in
an analog world. The idea is to
rethink what art could be and
how it lives digitally, whether
it’s on a wall or on a desk. The
company secured $1.7 million
in funding in 2014 and then
raised an additional $800,000
on Kickstarter later in the year.
The company is introducing a
digital frame that is controllable
via a mobile or desktop app. It
is also working with artists to
commission a new genre of living
digital art to bring these frames
alive beyond static imagery.
www.electricobjects.com
Messaging is the new social media.
And anonymous posting rooted in
geo-location community forums
is the new messaging according
to Yik Yak. Consumers - mostly
from the college and high school
demographics - are flocking to it
in droves. Yik Yak is an app that
allows anyone to post anything
without a username. In fact,
you don’t even need a password
to log in. The timeline of Yik
Yak looks like Twitter, operates
like Whisper or Secret, and
feels a lot like Reddit. The most
interesting thing though is that
all engagement is done without
photos or handles. Since the app
is localized, those users within 1.5
miles of the message can read it.
www.yikyakapp.com
As of October 2014, Slack was
the fastest-growing workplace
software ever. It’s a pretty
astounding feat considering
that the company launched
in 2014 and, just nine months
later, announced $120 million in
funding with a valuation of $1.12
billion. It’s been called a fancy chat
room. Instead, it brings unbundled
conversations strewn across
multiple apps back to one place.
It is also a powerful repository of
all company engagement tied to
a powerful search platform. The
pitch for Slack is that it makes you
more productive by reducing the
amount of time you spend on other
productivity-related tasks. P.S.
Slack is brought to you by Stewart
Butterfield, co-founder of the now
Yahoo-owned Flickr photo service.
In 2015, you will also see
Facebook at Work rollout slowly
at first and then at scale as
time and the app age a bit. It is
designed to help groups of users
collaborate, share documents and
manage projects in the workplace.
My partner at Altimeter Group –
Charlene Li – asked why Facebook
for a generous sum, not because
the company’s assets are usable,
but because the team is talented
enough to apply to another more
profitable effort.
Enter ExitRound. Founded by
Jacob Mullins and Greg Dean,
ExitRoundisaprivate,anonymous
marketplace for buyers and sellers
of technology companies. It helps
buyers find technology companies
that fit squarely within their
target. ExitRound also eliminates
inbound chaos by automating
prospecting. Essentially, buyers
only speak to companies that
fit their strategic interests. This
also optimizes potential exits for
startups. In the end, these types
of deals come down to human
relationships and people. The
software, if you will, applies a
sophisticated human algorithm
that creates unmatched efficiency
and desirable outcomes. While
this is traditionally done through
highly connected personal
networks, there appeared to be an
opportunity to add marketplace
dynamics and algorithmic
sophistication to gain a high level
of scale in connecting buyers and
sellerswhomaybeaperfectmatch,
but otherwise may not have met.
www.exitround.com
Brands are always looking for
ways to capitalize on the latest
trends. PopUp shops continue
to cause a stir among connected
consumers. We Are Pop Up is
basically the AirBnB of temporary
retail space, connecting landlords
and temporary tenants with
commercial grade space. The result
is a creative, short-term use of space
to engage customers, generate
buzz and also test new ideas.
www.wearepopup.com
You caught me. There’s no startup by
this name. But, the space as a whole
is one to watch this year. Google is,
of course, a big investor in essentially
making a version of Google Maps for
theinsideofspacesusedbythepublic
such as airports, malls, buildings, etc.
Apple is too. There have been several
recent acquisitions in fact, with
major brands vying for a top spot.
Last September, Baidu invested $10
million in Finnish mapping startup
Indoor Atlas. The applications are
great. From retail to real estate to
general consumer navigation, indoor
mapping is worthy of tracking this
year and next.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0740
15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley
should or would venture down
this path. Her answer was this,
“Easy, they can.” She pointed out
that Facebook has been using
this tool internally for the last
four years, and think it’s robust
enough to launch for the general
public. “We have a long history
of successfully connecting people
and connecting businesses,”
said Elisabeth Diana, corporate
communications director at
Facebook. “It’s a worthwhile test
to explore.” As Charlene notes,
enterprises could potentially have
a hard time keeping employees
on Chatter, Yammer, or other
internal social networks when
the Facebook interface is already
so familiar and functional.
www.slack.com
It’s not a secret that Silicon Valley
and any worthy tech epicenter
around the world is burgeoning
with new cash aimed at funding
new startups. We all know,
however, that most of the new
startups, even those that are the
most promising, are likely to
fail. All hope is not lost. There
are several possible exits beyond
demise. Aquirehires are most
prevalent of course. This is where
Company “A” buys Company “B”
Indoor Mapping
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 41
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
“All sectors that have been disrupted
will be disrupted again because of
mobile and social.”
“In the near term, I think any sector
that is based on a brokerage model
will be vulnerable to disruption.”
“Financial Services without a doubt.”
enormous amount of potential for
disruption.”
- Tim O’Reilly
- Saul Klein
- David Cohen
- Saul Klein
- Rachel Botsman
- TTTTimimimimTTTTTTTT OOOO’RRRReieieieillllllllyyyy
“In the long-term, crypto-currencies
and crypto-equities could potentially
- David Cohen
WHERE WILL DISRUPTION HIT NEXT?
“Healthcare is another sector up for
disruption – there may be very little
activity in this sector at present, but
we will see a lot of it over the next
couple of years.”
- Rachel Botsman
Digital transformation review_7
Collaboration Redefined:
Engaging with the Disruptor
44
The Silicon Network: How
Big Corporates and Digital
Startups Can Create a
More Innovative World
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0744
The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
Interview with
David Cohen
– Founder, Managing Partner,
and CEO - Techstars
@davidcohen
D
avid Cohen is the founder, Managing Partner, and CEO of mentorship-
driven startup accelerator Techstars. Techstars provides startups
with seed funding, intensive mentorship, and a network of mentors
and alumni. Previously, David was a founder of several software and web
technology companies. He is an active startup advocate and technology
advisor. He also serves as a member of the Entrepreneurial Advisory Board
at the Silicon Flatirons Center for Law, Technology, and Entrepreneurship at
the University of Colorado. Capgemini Consulting spoke with David Cohen
to understand his views on disruptive startups and ways in which large
organizations can engage with startups to cope with digital disruptions.
45
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Nurturing Innovation: A
Glimpse into Techstars
Can you give us an overview of
how Techstars works?
Techstars provides startups with
seed funding and mentorship.
Every year we run 14 programs
with 10 startups each. Our mentor
pool is made up of 1,200 mentors
who are among the most notable
entrepreneurs in places like New
York, Boston or London. Each
company that is accepted into a
Techstars program gets to engage
with 10 mentors on an average.
So far we have funded 484
companies, 56 of which have
been acquired through M&A
transactions. About $1.1 billion
in venture capital has flowed
into these companies, and their
combined market capitalization is
over $3 billion.
We also run programs in
partnership with large corporates.
For instance, we have partners
like Disney, Barclays, Sprint,
Kaplan, and others for whom we
run accelerator programs.
What is the secret to
Techstars’ success?
I would have to say it’s the
network around Techstars. The
Techstars network has over 3,000
entrepreneurs, mentors, investors,
and corporate partners. The network
is a huge competitive advantage
because it allows entrepreneurs to
avoid the mistakes that others have
made and also gives them access to
introductions or business connections
intopracticallyanywhereintheworld.
But I think that most entrepreneurs
undervalue the importance of a
powerful network, especially early in
theircareer.
What are the criteria that
Techstars uses to select startups
for its accelerator program?
Wereceiveabout1,000applications
for each of our 14 programs – so
that’s nearly 14,000 companies
applying to us every year. Of these,
we pick only about 1%. Since these
are early stage startups, there’s
typically not a lot of revenue to
look at. So we use other criteria.
First, we look at the team running
the startup. We put a lot of
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 45
Our mentor pool
is made up of
1,200 mentors
who are among
the most notable
entrepreneurs in
places like New York,
Boston or London.
I think that most
entrepreneurs
undervalue the
importance of a
powerful network,
especially early in
their career.
emphasis on who the founders are,
and what their skills are. We really
try to understand the source of their
passion, and how they imagine the
world differently. That gives us a
sense of how disruptive the startup
can be.
We then look at the market that
the startup is trying to address.
We look at whether that market is
changing, growing or shrinking.
Next, we look for some form of
progress because we believe that
entrepreneurs actually do things,
rather than just talk about doing
things. Finally, we look at the
idea. We deliberately put that
last, because we know that the
idea often changes significantly.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0746
How should large companies
respond to disruptions?
Large companies can either
continue to focus on what they
are doing and hope that they
won’t get disrupted or they can
be proactive and participate in the
disruption. By helping a startup
be successful, for instance, they
will be in a position to make that
first offer to acquire it, invest
in it or partner with it. If they
do not engage with the startup
community, they might be the last
ones to know of a disruption. By
then, it can also be too late.
Should you really engage with
a disruptive startup that is
planning to reduce your margins
by 90%?
Yes. I think it’s counterintuitive,
but I think that’s exactly right. So,
if that’s what they’re planning,
they’re either going to be
successful or they’re going to fail.
By investing in them or acquiring
them, you can have a relationship
that’s symbiotic and beneficial
to both parties. Being around
the disruption at the early stages
– and spotting it before others
do – gives you a competitive
advantage and you can help the
startup grow at the same time.
flow of services or limiting the
availability of inventory. In the
taxi industry, for example, brokers
were charging 50% to 60% of the
fare, while the driver received just
40%. Both Airbnb and Uber saw a
future where such imbalances are
corrected and where resources are
used more efficiently.
Uber, for instance, saw a future
with fewer cars, where fewer
people would have to own a
second car, and where the world
would be more efficient with
its roads and transportation. I
think that’s the ingredient for
true disruption – being able to
vividly imagine the future with a
10-20 year horizon, in a way that
impacts a large number of people.
Both Airbnb and Uber were able
to do that.
Understanding Digital
Disruptions: An Accelerator’s
Perspective
Why are we seeing so many
disruptions in recent years?
I think the fundamental reason is
that the Internet has become really
accessible in the last 20 years. We
are seeing more disruptions as
the Internet matures, as Internet
speeds get faster, and as the
knowhow to develop systems on
the Internet gets cheaper, faster,
and better. In fact, the speed of
innovation is just vastly different
today than it was 20 years ago,
because of the maturity of the
Internet.
What makes startups like Airbnb
and Uber truly disruptive?
I think Airbnb and Uber are quite
similar. They are both operating
in what I call “imbalanced
marketplaces”. These are markets
where there is some sort of a
broker that is controlling the
First, we look at the
team running the
startup. We put a lot
of emphasis on who
the founders are, and
what their skills are.
Both Airbnb and
Uber saw a future
where imbalances
are corrected and
where resources
are used more
efficiently.
The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 47
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
vertical that is of interest to
the partner. Techstars runs the
program and is also the investor.
The corporates don’t take direct
equity in the startup; they don’t
take rights to follow on or acquire
the startup or anything like that.
They simply provide mentors and
access to their technologies. So
it’s a pure “give first” approach
that they follow. I think that the
corporates we work with have
really figured out that it’s not
about what you can get. It’s about
being around the activity and
seeing the innovation, assisting
it, and building relationships
with the entrepreneurs who really
matter.
Could you give us a concrete
example of how a large company
has benefited from the Techstars
program?
Nike is a good example. When
Nike launched its NikeFuel APIs,
we picked 10 startups run by very
talented entrepreneurs that would
be the first 10 companies in the
world to ever experience those
APIs. Nike executives were able
to literally watch how the startups
used their APIs. The feedback that
they got from the entrepreneurs
was very valuable and I think
the APIs meaningfully improved
because of that experience. Nike
also struck business deals with
several of the startups directly,
and I think in one case even
might be able to engage with
them through a revenue share
agreement or as investors. That
way we would get to be part of
the disruption rather than have to
compete with it.
Learning from Startups
Very often, we see large
companies struggling to work
with startups. In your view, what
are the reasons for this?
We’ve seen many corporate
venture funds and incubators
come and go. The reason is they
don’t have a long-term view.
They’re not purely focused on
helping the startups. It’s all about,
“How can we fund a company that
helps us be successful?” That’s not
what startups care about. Startups
care about their vision of the
world and how they’re going to
achieve it.
How can large companies
participate in accelerator
programs such as Techstars?
At Techstars, we partner with
corporates to run vertically
focused programs. For example,
we partner with Kaplan on
education technology, with
Barclays on financial technology,
with Disney on entertainment
technology, and so on. We filter
the startups that we accept into
our programs based on the
There is another strategy, which
is defensive acquisition: you
acquire the startup and you kill
it! This is not the best strategy but
certainly an option if you want to
gain some time. A better option is
to grow the startup and create a
barrier to the next person coming
along and just doing the same
thing.
If you were leading a major hotel
chain, how would you respond
to the Airbnb disruption?
I would want to engage with them
very early on. Hotels have a large
distribution network through their
relationships with travel listing
sites. I would say to Airbnb: “We
have a relationship with Expedia
and the other travel listing sites.
Why don’t we help get you on
there?” By helping Airbnb with
our distribution network, we
We’ve seen many
corporate venture
funds and incubators
come and go. The
reason is they don’t
have a long-term
view. They’re not
purely focused on
helping the startups.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0748
vertical search engines for that.
So, we’ve invested in vertical
search firms like Mocavo and
Next Big Sound.
In your view, what are the
startups to watch in 2015?
I think PivotDesk is a really
interesting company to watch.
PivotDesk’s model is working
really well where it connects
businesses that are looking to rent
office space with companies that
have space to spare. Businesses
get to pay for office space on a
month-by-month basis rather
than having to commit to long-
term leases. PivotDesk has
recently expanded to overseas
markets as well.
DigitalOcean is an interesting
startup in the infrastructure space.
It’s a New York-based firm that
provides a simple and easy-to-use
web hosting service. Then there
are companies like SendGrid.
SendGrid is now delivering about
2% of the world’s legitimate
e-mail and growing really fast.
It sounds really easy to deliver
e-mail, but it’s not. It turns out
that 10% to 20% of legitimate
corporate e-mail isn’t received
by the recipient. And it’s really
hard to scale your infrastructure
to support so much outbound
e-mail. SendGrid does that as a
service.
Looking Ahead: Future
Sources of Digital Disruption
What are the themes that your
deal flow focuses on?
Our areas of focus include
“imbalanced marketplaces”. We
believe that the day of the broker
who takes a 50% cut is just gone; it’s
not going to work. So, we’re looking
at “imbalanced marketplaces” or
unfair markets and at companies
like Uber, Airbnb and PivotDesk that
are trying to correct the imbalance
by taking spare resources and
allocating them more efficiently.
We focus a lot on human
computer interaction. In a 20-
year horizon, the way we interact
with computers will be completely
different. We look for startups that
are finding new ways to interact
with data and information. One
example of a company in that
space is Oblong, which we’ve
invested in. If you remember the
movie “Minority Report”, this
was literally those people. They’re
inventing new ways to interact
with computers.
We’re also really interested in
vertical search engines. We
still believe that it’s too hard to
find some things in the online
world. Google is not the answer
to everything. It’s easier to find
a flight because you have great
acquired an interest in one of
them. I remember the media
headlines “Nike gets startups.”
Priceless for them.
What are the key lessons that
large companies can take from
startups?
I think a key lesson for large
corporates is that they need to
thinkandoperatedifferentlyifthey
want to innovate. Unlike startups,
large corporates have too many
processes that really slow things
down. To be innovative, they need
to move away from their normal
processes for budgeting, go-to-
market, or marketing. They need
to have a new way of doing things.
But a lot of large corporations look
at entrepreneurship and say, “It’s
hard for us to go back to those
days.” One way for them to create
an innovation culture within the
organization is to engage with
the entrepreneur community and
learn from startups.
We look for startups
that are finding new
ways to interact
with data and
information.
The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
Building an Innovative World: When Corporates
and Startups Work in Tandem
Fostering Innovation: How Techstars Works
Accelerating Innovation: How Techstars Helps Large Enterprises Innovate
Looking Forward: Potential Disruptors of the Future
14,000applications a year,
only about 1%get picked
Nurtures a large network of
1200 mentors, most are
notable entrepreneurs
Invests in startups and provides
mentorship through
14 programswith
10 startups each, every year
Techstars provides investment,
staff and processes to
run ‘accelerator’ programs in
partnership with corporates
Enterprises provide mentors and
access to their technologies Nike and Barclays benefited
from learning and partnering
with startups through Techstars
Imbalanced marketplaces
are ripe for
disruption - companies like
Uber, Airbnb and
PivotDesk correct such
imbalances
Startups like Oblong are
working in the exciting
domain of Human-Computer
Interaction
Vertical search engines,
such as Mocavo and
Next Big Sound, allow
focused search in a domain
Startups working on
crypto-equities and
crypto-currencies
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0750
The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
everywhere else. We believe that
you can build Internet software
companies just as well in Dublin,
Tokyo or Tel-Aviv, and we want
to be part of such up-and-coming
startup communities around the
world.
In the near term, I think any sector
that is based on a brokerage model
will be vulnerable to disruption.
Real-estate is an example of such
a sector. Here in the US, you pay
a 6% brokerage fee even if it
takes just two days to sell a house
after it’s listed online. The market
needs to be more flexible, and
technologycanhelpwiththat.So,I
think you’ll see startups that come
in with transactional systems that
address the inefficiencies in the
brokerage model. We are working
with one such startup that charges
a brokerage fee commensurate
with the effort involved in a sale.
We see more and more tech hubs
across the world in countries
such as Finland and Israel. Is
Techstars planning to be present
in tech hubs outside the UK or
the US?
Yes, absolutely! People ask me
all the time, “David, are you
anti-Silicon Valley?” I say, “No,
not at all!” It’s not that we’re
anti-Silicon Valley. We’re pro
What are the sectors that will be
disrupted the most over the next
few years based on what you
can see?
In the long-term, crypto-
currencies and crypto-equities
could potentially disrupt the
financial world. We recently
funded a crypto-equities startup
that allows you to invest in a
company without ever using
traditional money. I think that
this has the potential to disrupt
the global economy and banking
systems. It’s still a use-case
currently.Buttome,it’sapotential
Internet-scale disruption that
could change the way we transact.
In the near term,
I think any sector
that is based on a
brokerage model
will be vulnerable to
disruption.
Digital transformation review_7
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 075252
Black swan startups: Spotting tomorrow’s big digital disruptors
Black Swan Startups:
Spotting Tomorrow’s Big
Digital Disruptors
S
aul Klein is a Partner with Index Ventures, one of the largest venture
capital firms specializing in technology investments. Saul has 20 years
of experience in building tech companies in both the US and Europe.
He is the co-founder of Kano and Seedcamp; he also co-founded and was the
original CEO of Lovefilm International, which was acquired by Amazon; and
part of the original executive team at Skype, which was acquired by eBay.
Capgemini Consulting spoke to Saul Klein to examine the disruptive impacts
of startups and their implications for traditional incumbents.
Interview with
Saul Klein
– Partner with Index Ventures
@cape
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 53
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
The Rise of Big Bang
Disruptions
Could you give us an overview
of Index Ventures?
Index Ventures is an early-stage
venture capital firm, founded in 1996
with €3 billion under management
across various funds. We have a
portfolio of 140 companies across
20 countries and 39 cities, in almost
all sectors where technology is a
disruptive force. The combined
revenues of these companies amount
to around €6.5 billion, with an
average growth rate of circa 117%,
and employing 25,000 people. Over
just the last 12 months, we have
had 10 companies that have gone
publicorexitedatmorethanabillion
dollars.TheyincludeKing,Criteo,Just
Eat, Arista, Climate Corporation and
Supercell. Many of our companies
reachthe100millionmarkinrevenue
in less than five years. Some of them
are generating billions in revenue in
less than three years.
How do you assess the
disruptive potential of startups?
Well, there is never one specific
thing. Spotting disruption is like
finding a black swan. If it were that
easy, everyone would be able to do
it. However, the things that we look
out for are: market opportunity,
strong leadership, and a product
that fundamentally changes the
customer experience within that
sector. The market and leadership
team are relatively easy to ascertain,
but the product or customer
experience are more difficult. In
sector after sector, we are looking
for businesses that are delivering a
product that serves a real need. But
the mode of delivering that need
should change the dynamics of the
industry in a way that it becomes
hard for incumbents to compete.
53
Spotting disruption
is like finding a
black swan. If it were
that easy, everyone
would be able to do
it.
You recently argued that it
takes less and less time to
create $10 billion in value
today. Does it mean that we
are now seeing more big bang
disruptions?
Yes, absolutely, we will see more
and more big bang disruptions. Let’s
be clear on one point – the Internet
changes everything. There are three
billion people connected to the
Internet with smart phones, which
is going to increase to nearly six
billion in the next five years. Until
10 years ago, the Internet was only
used by 300 million people, mainly
in the U.S. and Western Europe.
With the growing addressable
market, the opportunities are 10x,
20x, or 50x bigger on the consumer
side than 10 years ago. On the
enterprise side, it used to take six to
twelve months to land a $1 million
annual contract. Today, you can get
to 10,000 customers with virtually
no sales force. Also, until a few
years back, the customer base of
cloud computing and SaaS was the
Fortune 500. Today, it’s the Fortune
5 Million. Businesses are witnessing
customer growth and revenue
growth at extraordinary speeds.
The emergence of a new
entrepreneurial culture is certainly
accentuating this new wave of
disruptions. We recently conducted
researchandfoundthat,onFacebook,
there are 55 million people interested
54
Do you believe that big
businesses are not tech-savvy
enough?
It is not that big companies do
not take tech seriously. Most big
companies spend over a billion
dollars a year on IT. Whether they
spend it wisely or not is a completely
different matter. Big companies
do not get enough exposure to the
truly innovative technology and
business models that start-ups are
involved with. This is because big
companiesfocusonbuyingfrombig
companies, and not really engaging
with small companies. But before
you know it, these small companies
are actually pretty big, driving most
of the technology changes.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0754
capacity for risk taking. All these
factors together put the incumbent
in a tough spot. Incumbents have
huge assets in terms of their balance
sheets, distribution channels and
humancapital.However,unlessthey
are prepared to be aggressive and
take risks, it is very hard to compete.
in entrepreneurship. This is a huge
numberandnotfarfromtheamountof
peoplewhoareinterestedincelebrities
like Beyoncé or Ronaldo. People
starting their own businesses has
become a mainstream phenomenon.
Becoming an entrepreneur is also
much more accessible: the tools of
production are now incredibly low-
cost; the distribution platforms – app
stores and social media – are often
free; and the ability to access capital
through platforms like crowdfunding
iswidelyandgloballyavailable.
Big Companies Reacting
to Digital Disruptions
Why do you think big
companies are not well
equipped to combat disruption
from startups?
I think there are a number of
different levels. Firstly, startups
have a cost base – OpEx and CapEx
– that is radically different from
the incumbent. Incumbents have
high legacy cost in everything
from infrastructure to IT. Trying to
compete with someone who has a
lightweight or a cloud-based cost
base is difficult. Secondly, very
few incumbents have boards or
C-suites that are equipped with the
right digital skills compared to the
strong digital skills that startups
have. Finally, incumbents have
profit pools that they are perpetually
trying to protect, restricting their
Very few incumbents
have boards or
CXO suites that are
equipped with the
right digital skills.
Black swan startups: Spotting tomorrow’s big digital disruptors
You also need a C-suite that really
understands technology. What
companies need is a board or
a C-suite that really challenges
and critiques the company’s IT/
technology investments. This is a
board that would point to the results
achieved by startups and question
why their company cannot emulate
them. For example, they might point
to Adyen – a payments technology
firm – that can process billions of
transactions in 130 countries at
much lower cost. Or Instagram,
which built a global network of 400
million people with 30 developers.
How do you think big
companies should react to
disruption from smaller, newer
players?
It’s important for big companies to
think about what their core values
are and then think about how
emerging technologies – robotics,
virtual reality, AI, etc – could be
incorporated to their strategic
advantage. One of the reasons that
bigcompanieshavebeeninbusiness
foralongtimeisbecausetheyhavea
set of values that has been successful
over time. Companies like GE or
Marks & Spencer – which have been
in business for over a hundred years
– have been successful because they
are consistent with their values.
Companies succeed best when they
are true to who they are, not when
they try and be something that they
are not.
55
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Is acquiring the disruptor a
good approach to fight back?
Ithinkitabsolutelyneedstobeapart
of the toolkit. However, companies
have not been great at doing that.
When you look at innovation, 80
to 90% of risky innovation fails,
but it is the 10 to 20% that succeed
that create 40% of your profit pool.
In the venture business, 62% of the
capital that you invest returns 1x or
below. So, let’s apply that thinking
to M&A. The wrong way to think
about M&A is that every acquisition
I make is going to succeed. The right
way to think of M&A is that some
will succeed and some will fail. I
will significantly overpay on some
companies and I will massively
underpay on others. If Google
bought YouTube today, it would be
$50 to 100 billion. They bought it at
1.6, and everyone thought they were
insane.
We see many big companies
investing in accelerators and
acquiring incubators. Do
you believe this is the right
approach to engage with the
startup ecosystem?
Big companies will truly engage
with the startup ecosystem when
they spend between 5% and
25% of their tech and innovation
budget with a small company.
Accelerators are nothing but
Corporate Social Responsibility.
They help big companies participate
55
The right way to
think of M&A is
some will succeed
and some will fail.
I will significantly
overpay on some
companies and I will
massively underpay
on others.
We will see more
and more big bang
disruptions.
in the ecosystem and gain visibility.
However, it means nothing until
there is commercial engagement
that happens through procurements
and purchase orders.
Europe as a Startup Hub
Is Europe catching up with the
US on the startup front?
Itisclearthatbillion-dollarcompanies
now come from anywhere in the
world and not just from Silicon
Valley. However, it is much easier to
be an enterprise company in the Bay
Area because big companies in the
Bay Area are earlier adopters of new
technology.
Nurturing the Innovators: An Overview of Index Ventures
Many companies reach
100 million
in revenues in less than
five years
Combined revenues of
€6.5 billion,,average
growth rate of 117%,
25,000 employees
Portfolio of 140
companies across
20 countries and
39 cities
€
€ 100
How Should Big Companies React to Disruptions?
Digitally equip your C-suite Embrace technology, but
stick to your core values
80 to 90%of
risky innovation fails
that succeeds
Apply the same
mindsetto
acquisitions
Acquire Startups, but be Prepared for Failures
Spotting the Digital Disruptors of Tomorrow
The
10 to 20%
creates
of your
profit pool
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 57
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
Looking Ahead
Which are the key startups to
watch for in 2015?
On the enterprise side you have
companies like Hortonworks in
Big Data, Pure Storage in the
storage sector or Dropbox in cloud
computing, Adyen in financial
services, and LookOut in mobile
security. Then you have some really
interestingconsumerbusinesses,like
BlaBlaCar, Etsy and SoundCloud.
The list is endless. In every sector
and geography there are 5 or 10
companies that are poised to break
out and go mainstream.
In terms of sectors, which ones
are going to suffer most from
disruption in the next year?
All sectors that have been
disrupted will be disrupted again
because of mobile and social.
Media & entertainment, retail
and travel have been disrupted
once, and they are going to get
repeatedly disrupted again. The
financial services sector also has
an enormous amount of potential
for disruption. No one will be
exempt!
The financial
services sector
has an enormous
amount of potential
for disruption.
What can Europe learn
from countries like Israel
regarding startups and the tech
ecosystem?
There are a lot of successful tech
ecosystems now in Europe. London
is probably the biggest, but you
have great ecosystems building
in Berlin, Stockholm, Dublin and
Paris. However, Israel is unique as
it is almost akin to a Silicon Valley
to the rest of the world. You have a
diverse technology ecosystem and
strong infrastructure. Within the
spaceofanhour’sdrive,youcansee
the cutting-edge, including ad:tech,
cleantech, cybersecurity, cloud
computing, storage, networking,
semiconductors, e-commerce, and
consumermobile.Thedensityofthe
Israeli ecosystem is unique when
you compare it with other markets
andlocationsbeyondSiliconValley.
To create an ecosystem, you need to
look at the specific attributes of the
geographical location. You want
to see small businesses, venture
capital, universities, governments,
and big companies. These are the
fivedimensionsofanecosystemyou
need for fruitful cross-pollination.
Europe always had great micro-
centers of innovation, but they
were never effectively connected.
This is starting to change.
Digital transformation review_7
Winning Digital Disruptions
60 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0760
Riding the Wave of Digital
Disruption: Scripting a New
Digital Future, the FT Way
Interview with
Caspar de Bono
– Managing Director,
B2B at the Financial Times
T
he Financial Times (FT) is one of the world’s leading business news organizations,
providing news, comment, data and analysis for the global business community.
In 2014, the FT’s total circulation reached an all-time high with 700,000
subscriptions and sales across print and online. Significantly, digital subscriptions
increased 23% year-on-year and now constitute nearly two-thirds of the FT’s total
paying audience. Further, the FT has seen sustained mobile growth - mobile now
accounts for almost 50% of the FT’s total traffic and 20% of new digital subscriptions.
In an industry that has been swept by digital disruptions in the last decade, the
FT stands out as one of the few incumbents that have successfully managed these
disruptions. Capgemini Consulting spoke with Caspar de Bono, Managing Director, B2B
at the FT, to discuss the impact of digital on the news media industry and the response
of the organization to that tidal wave of change.
Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way
61
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 61
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
We realized early on
that we needed to
get busy changing
our source of
revenue.
In 2000, the US
newspaper industry
was generating
$60 billion in print
advertising. Ten years
later, print advertising
revenues dropped to
$20 billion.
We introduced a
metered model in
2007 where we
began to use demand
to help us price.
Responding in a News
Industry Hit Hard by Digital
What disruptions have you
faced since the 1990s?
We used to be almost entirely
funded by our advertisers, so 80%
of our revenues in the late 1990s
came from print advertising.
As both reader and advertiser
demand shifted to digital, the
whole economics of advertising
changed as well. The oversupply
of advertising inventory online
meant that advertising rates fell
substantially. This has had a
very significant impact on the
newspaper industry’s revenues. To
put that into perspective, take the
United States as an example. In
2000, the US newspaper industry
was generating $60 billion in print
advertising. Ten years later, print
advertising revenues dropped
to $20 billion and the same
newspapers were only generating
$1.3 billion in online advertising.
Did you anticipate the
strength and the speed of the
disruptions you were facing?
We knew that the prices we were
getting for the same audience online
were a fraction of the prices in print.
People were hoping that it was just a
matteroftimebeforeonlineaudiences
would be so massive that everything
would resolve itself. But I think
where we differed from many of our
competitors was in our realism. We
realized early on that this hope was
too optimistic to be credible, and that
we needed to get busy changing our
sourceofrevenue.Thebenefitofbeing
a specialist provider of information is
that we know from our readers that
what we produce is valuable. We put
thattothetestbyaskingpeopletopay
for accessing our journalism digitally.
We started doing that in 2001, and
we’vebeenexperimentingandscaling
whatworkseversince.
Experimenting with Digital
to Build a New Content
Universe
As part of your response, you
launched a range of initiatives
and experiments. Can you tell
us more about your response?
In 2001, we made the decision that we
were going to ask readers to subscribe
and pay for access to our journalism.
We tried a binary solution, where
some content was always free and
somecontentwasalwayspaidfor.We
found that while that worked initially,
it plateaued, so we ended up with
about 90,000 subscribers and then it
didn’tgrowmuchbeyondthatpoint.
FT Stands Apart in a News Industry Hit Hard by Digital
: Riding the Wave
of Digital Disruption
Online advertising revenues
stood at just $1.3 billion
in 2010
In 2014, FT
subscriptions and sales
reached an all time high
of 700,000
Digital subscribers
accounted for
two-thirds of the FT’s
total paying audience
Mobile accounts
for 50% of the
FT’s total
traffic
The US newspaper industry lost
$40 billion in print
advertising revenues in10
years since 2000
50%
Continually Experimenting with Digital to Build a New Content Universe
2001 – Began
charging readers for
access to publications
2007 – Introduced a
metered charging model,
using consumer demand
to price content
2007 – Established
direct contractual
relationships
with content aggregators
More than doubledd
prp int prices in the
last ten years to make
print profitable in its
own right
Resource
Allocation
Focused on data
analytics to enable
targeted
advertising that
guarantees
“attention time”
Investments in
Technology
Regularly organizes
“Digital Learning
Week”
to familiarize employees
with digital technologies
Upgrading Skill
Levels
Built direct sales,
marketing, and
customer support
capabilities, which did
not exist before
Acquired a sos ftware
company, which later
became FT Labss
Organizational
Changes
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 63
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
That’s why we introduced a metered
model in 2007 where we began to
use demand to help us price. We were
saying “let’s not have the FT decide
what content is worth paying for and
whatshouldbefree,letdemanddecide
that.” So, we let customers register to
accessalimitednumberoffreearticles
of their choosing. We realized that if a
customerhadnevercomeacrosstheFT
before,theywouldwanttoreadalittle
andtodecidewhetherourcontentwas
relevant to them and worth paying
for. Once they had exhausted their
free articles, we invited customers to
purchaseasubscription.
This had a profound impact on
subscriptions. It meant that our
acquisition costs were now much
lower because rather than trying to
acquire subscribers anonymously,
we were now marketing to registered
users. It was a much more nuanced
marketing approach and one of the
fundamental reasons why we were
able to re-kick start our subscriptions
growth.
Can you give us an example of
how you benefited from digital
disruptions?
Previously,wereliedonintermediaries
– wholesalers and retailers – to reach
customers.Infact,mostpublishersstill
allow third-party news aggregators
to buy intellectual property rights
wholesale and then retail the content
and the software solution as one
package. The aggregators sell the
content and the software solution to
banks, governments, corporations,
universities,andanykindofcollection
of readers where the purchase is done
centrally and the access is managed
centrally. The pricing of the content is
very commoditized since institutional
customers have a lot of buying power
–giventheybuyabout20,000sources
from an aggregator for one price. We
felt that even though we were getting
a high margin from this model, the
amount of profits that we earned was
actually a fraction of what we could
earn if we went directly to customers.
Not having a direct relationship
with customers also meant that we
didn’t have access to direct customer
feedback. We didn’t know where we
were adding value, where there were
missed opportunities, and where we
neededtoimprove.
Technology helped
us establish a
direct relationship
with customers.
This was very
disruptive and the
FT has significantly
benefited from this
disruption.
So, in 2007, we went to all seven
aggregators we had at the time and
said - “we are going to terminate our
licenseswithyoufortherightstoretail
the FT. But what we are prepared to
do is continue to have key content
available on your platform if the
end customer has bought a license
from us.” This was probably the most
profound change that technology
enabled for us. It helped us establish
a direct contractual relationship with
customers. This was very disruptive
and the FT has benefited significantly
from this disruption. Technology has
given us a lot more insight into the
customer. We now know who our
readers are. We have a dialogue with
themabouthowweprovidevalue.We
have very objective evidence of how
customers are using the FT and how
we’re delivering value. Our customers
have benefited as well because it has
given them more transparency. They
now know that they only pay for the
FTonceandcanthenaccessitthrough
any of now nearly 50 third-party
solutions. They also have evidence of
theirutilization,whichtheycanuseto
decide whether their money is being
well spent and whether they should
spendmoreornot.
Asaconsequenceofthischangeinour
licensing model, we now have more
than 4,000 institutional customers,
more than 300,000 readers who
benefitfromourlicenses,andwehave
increased profit by a factor of nearly
five.Wealsohavea90%renewalrate.
a world where you anticipate that
advertising is going to be challenged,
you want to make sure that print is
profitable on its own. Equally, you
wanttobeabletoputasmuchofyour
surplus into digital and not use it to
subsidize a loss-making print activity.
So, we increased the prices for our
print product quite significantly, in
factbymorethandoubleinthelast10
years. And we are very pleased with
thefactthatwe’vemanagedtogetour
printbusinesstoaprofitablepointand
adapt to the digital world at the same
time.
6464
Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Building the Organization,
Capabilities and Skills for a
Digital World
Can you outline some of the
organizational changes that
you implemented as part of
your digital response?
In order to have a direct relationship
with consumers, we had to build
out our direct sales, marketing, and
support capabilities, which we didn’t
have before. In particular, we brought
our customer service in-house. We
agreed that if we wanted to build a
direct relationship with customers, we
neededtoservicethemdirectlyandwe
couldn’t outsource that relationship.
We were driven by the desire to get
feedback from our customers because
that feedback is crucial to help us
adaptandlearn.
How did you evolve your
resource allocation between
print and digital?
Westillhavemanycustomerswhosee
the print version as valuable and who
are willing to pay for it. Our transition
strategy has been sympathetic to
that. This is why, for example, we
redesigned the newspaper recently.
But we also made the decision that
we wanted the print business to be
profitable in its own right and before
advertising. In the days when 80% of
your revenue came from advertising,
it was fine for your circulation to
be subsidized by advertising. But in
What level of investment have
you made in technology?
We are investing a lot in technology.
For instance, when we made the
shift to a direct licensing model,
we launched a mobile app for our
customers. Initially we developed an
iOS app, but when Apple changed its
commercial terms, which effectively
meant that Apple would own the
customer relationship, we decided to
We made the
decision that we
wanted the print
business to be
profitable in its own
right and before
advertising.
We have invested
heavily in the
collection of data
and have built up
quite a significant
capability in data
analytics.
come out of iTunes and launch our
own HTML5 app. The app was built
quicklyandcosteffectivelybyahighly
specialized independent software
house. We ended up acquiring that
business,whichthenbecameFTLabs.
How about data analytics?
We have invested heavily in the
collection of data and have built up
quite a significant capability in data
analytics. We have worked very hard
at improving the targeting that we’re
able to offer our advertisers. It’s one
of the reasons that we’ve been able
to be bold in reframing how we’re
going to sell advertising. We made
a statement a few months ago that
we’re now going to sell what in effect
are “attention minutes”, in addition
to inventory. As you know, most
advertisers sell impressions, and they
might sell the consequence of those
impressions, such as clicks or even
purchase. We’ll still do this, but now
advertisers will also be able to buy a
guarantee that an advertisement will
65
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
65DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Digital Learning
Week is intended to
stop people feeling
that just because
they started their
career in print media
they don’t have a lot
of potential and a lot
to offer with digital
media.
be seen by a particular target group
for a specified period of time. So, you
arebuyingminutesorhoursoftimein
front of that audience and it’s verified
that it’s really a person there, it’s not a
machine.
In terms of your people, what
training initiatives have you
launched and can you tell us
more about Digital Learning
Week?
Digital Learning Week is a fantastic
festival: an exhibition of different
aspects of what it means to be digital.
This could mean helping our people
understand how to use social media
better or how to market effectively
in digital media. Overall, though,
it’s really about familiarization. It is
intended to stop people feeling that
just because they started their career
in print media they don’t have a lot
of potential and a lot to offer with
digital media. That’s very important
culturally. Digital should not be seen
as a specialist activity done by a few
technicalexperts.
Do you face emerging
competitors in the digital space,
such as LinkedIn, which is now
investing in producing original
editorial content?
Any organization that is investing
in original content that is of interest
to our target audience – leaders in
government or business who are
makingmulti-million-dollardecisions–
isacompetitor.Butalotoforganizations
are aggregating, repurposing or
republishing content that’s been
originated by others. Origination is our
USP.
I think the other competition is time.
Our audiences are very time-poor;
thereisahugeamountofcompetition
for their attention. Therefore, we can’t
think of our competitors as just direct
substitutes for what we do, but also
substitutes for a reader’s time. We
therefore have to be very clear about
how we improve the productivity of
our readers. How do we help them
discover interesting and compelling
content effectively? How do we make
thebestuseoftheirtime?
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0766
That’s a fairly profound change.
It needs a lot more evidence to be
collected. It requires a much more
trusting and direct relationship with
thecustomerandit’sgoingtorelyalot
ondata.
Learning the Lessons
of Digital
What are the key lessons
that you learned from this
transformation and what could
be the key takeaways for
companies across sectors?
I think it’s about asking the
fundamental question of why the
business exists and what purpose
it serves. Then, you must be brave
and confident about adopting
a strategy to deliver that. Both
competitors and customers told
us outright that our ambition to
charge for our journalism wasn’t
going to work. But we went back
to the fundamental reason that we
exist: that the market sees value in
having information sourced and
validated in an independent way
so they can make decisions on
it. We came up with a strategy to
deliver that in a world where the
whole economics of distribution
and funding had changed.
How do you decide to evolve
your business model?
We have regular discussions on
different forums on the changes
and adaptations that we need
to make. That’s not only done at
board level. We have a product
council that involves multiple
stakeholders across the business.
We also look at changes in
customer feedback and sentiment.
We take all of these measures to
ensure that we continually review
our business model.
66
Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way
We ensure that we
continually review
our business model.
What are the next phases
of transformation for the
Financial Times?
We are moving much more to being
a service organization. We are
looking at whether we can work with
our customers to measure what a
beneficialoutcomeforthemisinusing
our journalism. For example, we have
business education clients who we’re
workingwithtobuildonearlyinsights
we’re getting that students who have
readtheFTaremorecompellinginjob
interviews. These students are able to
link theory to practice, to relate what
they heard in the classroom to what’s
happening in the market, and are able
to apply what they have learnt. How
do we improve that? Can we measure
that?
We are moving
much more to
being a service
organization.
Digital transformation review_7
68
Designing Transformational Business Models
Designing Transformational
Business Models
Interview with
Serguei Netessine
– Chaired Professor of Global
Technology and Innovation at INSEAD
@snetesin
S
erguei Netessine is The Timken Chaired Professor of Global Technology
and Innovation at INSEAD and the Research Director of the INSEAD-
Wharton alliance. Before joining INSEAD in 2010, Professor Netessine
was a faculty member at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. He
has co-authored dozens of publications in prominent management journals.
His latest book - “The Risk-Driven Business Model: Four Questions that will
Define Your Company” (www.defineyourcompany.com) - co-authored with
Professor Karan Girotra of INSEAD, provides a toolkit to help organizations
design innovative business models. Capgemini Consulting spoke with Professor
Netessine to understand how companies should adapt their business models to
survive digital disruptions.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Business Model Innovation
is the Key to Surviving
Disruption
Why is business model
innovation so important today?
The shortcomings of traditional
innovation approaches that focus
on new technologies and new
products alone are becoming
increasingly evident to many
organizations. For example,
pharmaceutical companies spend
as much as 30% of their revenues
on R&D, trying to develop new
products or technologies. But
the return from this enormous
expenditure has been very elusive
and it is a common problem across
industries. For every successful
new product that a company
creates, there are typically 10
that fail. For example, Apple has
many new product successes
to its credit, but it has also seen
some major failures, such as the
Newton project. This was a series
of handheld computers that Apple
produced in the 1990s that lost it
close to $1.5 billion.
We also see more and more
companies – such as Airbnb,
Uber or Alibaba – that do not
really invent any products or
technologies. Yet, they have huge
market capitalizations as a result of
their innovative business models.
I think this is the main driver of
business model innovation.
Would you argue that
groundbreaking technology
rarely achieves mass adoption
without an innovative business
model?
Yes, I believe that is true. The
challenge with new technologies
is that they usually have very
different cost and revenue
parametersfromanoldtechnology.
This makes their adoption using an
old business model very difficult.
Take the case of energy-efficient
light bulbs. They help consumers
save on electricity and are more
environmentally friendly, but
they are also more expensive
than normal bulbs. This is why
the adoption of energy-efficient
bulbs has been very slow in some
countries. However, we are now
seeing new business models,
pioneered by energy efficiency
services companies, which are
driving up the adoption. These
energy efficiency services
companies replace old bulbs with
energy-efficient ones free of
charge. Commercial consumers
don’t have to pay anything for the
new bulbs. Instead, they need to
measure how much money they
save on electricity by using the
new bulbs. At the end of the year,
the savings are split between the
consumer and the energy services
company. This new business model
is in large part responsible for the
increasing adoption of energy-
69
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
It is becoming
increasingly more
evident to many
organizations
that traditional
innovation
approaches that
focus on new
technologies and
new products alone,
often do not work.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
70
efficient bulbs.
The Risk-Driven Approach to
Business Model Innovation
What are the different ways
in which organizations can
innovate their business models?
Companies can redesign their
business models by changing
their cost or revenue structure.
For instance, a company could
go from charging per song (like
iTunes) to charging per month
(like Spotify). This changes the
revenue structure. Companies can
also change their cost structure
by, for example, outsourcing
manufacturing to a low-cost
country. But I think most
companies realize that these kinds
of innovation are quite common
and are relatively easy to copy.
There is another approach to
business model innovation
that companies should explore:
redesigning their business models
by changing the way risk is
Companies can
also redesign their
business models by
changing the way
in which risk is
managed.
You identified two types of
risks - information risk and
incentive-alignment risk.
Could you tell us about the
differences between them?
If I go back to the example of Dell,
most computer manufacturers were
producing computers without
really knowing exactly which
configuration the customer wanted.
They were producing based on
forecasts. This is what we call
information risk – a situation where
companies make decisions without
enough information.
Incentive-alignment risk arises
whenincentivesarenotalignedon
a value chain. This happens very
often with new technologies. For
example, Netafim, an irrigation
company based in Israel, develops
advanced irrigation equipment
that increases crop yields by
400-500% with very little water.
Despite the dramatic improvement
in crop yield, Netafim found
it very difficult to sell their
equipment. The technology was
expensive and farmers lacked
managed. Dell is an interesting
example of a company that used
the risk-driven approach to stay
ahead of the competition. Dell’s
innovation, which disrupted
the computer industry, was to
produce computers on demand.
In doing so, Dell eliminated
the fundamental risk that other
computer manufacturers were
facing – the risk of uncertain
demand. Dell’s competitors were
often forced to liquidate excess
stock or lower prices significantly
because of lower than expected
demand. In contrast, Dell
completely eliminated the risk of
mismatch between demand and
supply by producing only what
customers wanted when they
wanted it.
It is important to note that Dell’s
cost structure was higher as a
result of this approach. In order
to deliver on demand, it had
to manufacture close to where
its customers were. This meant
producing in the United States
rather than in low-cost countries
like China. Further, since it
retailed its products for about
the same price as its competitors,
Dell’s revenue structure was about
the same as that of its competitors.
Despite this, Dell managed to
dominate the industry for many
years by building its business
model around managing risk
more effectively.
Information risk is
a situation where
companies make
decisions without
enough information.
Designing Transformational Business Models
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
The fundamental
issue with most
companies is
that they never
re-evaluate their
business models.
Are there startups that have
adopted a risk-driven business
model?
Yes, San Francisco-based startup
Timbuk2, a consumer products
company, has adopted a risk-
driven business model. Timbuk2
produces quality, custom-made
bags to order. They manufacture
the bags locally in San Francisco,
which is one of the most expensive
cities in the world. Nevertheless,
they are highly successful because
they produce on demand. As a
result, they completely eliminate
information risk.
Uber is another example of a
company that has adopted a
risk-driven business model.
Taxi service providers are
exposed to the risk of mismatch
between demand and supply.
They need to purchase cars, hire
taxi drivers, and pay wages to
drivers. However, the demand for
taxis may exceed or fall short of
supply, which results in losses. By
offering higher rates to drivers
when demand outstrips supply,
Uber incentivizes more drivers to
offer their services. As a result,
whenever demand increases, it
is matched by a corresponding
increase in supply. By aligning
incentives in this manner, Uber
has been able to mitigate one of
the taxi industry’s fundamental
problems.
Successful Companies
Constantly Reinvent their
Business Models
In your opinion, why are some
companies more successful than
others in surviving disruption?
The fundamental issue with
most companies is that they
never re-evaluate their business
models. Blockbuster, for instance,
pioneered the revenue-sharing
businessmodelinthevideorentals
industry. Before Blockbuster
introduced the new model, studios
charged retailers very high rates
for tapes. Under the new model,
Blockbuster paid studios lower
rates upfront but shared revenues
with them instead. The new model
helped Blockbuster increase
its market share from 25% to
38% in just two years. However,
Blockbuster never really revisited
its business model again. And
when they did revisit it, it was too
late. They were already far behind
their competitors.
71
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
the educational background to
fully understand the benefits. So,
in this case, the incentives were
fundamentally misaligned. Farmers
were not convinced of the value of
investing in the equipment, despite
its seemingly obvious benefits.
To fix this problem, Netafim
decided to sell services instead of
products. They offered to install
their products free of charge for
farmers. At the end of the year, they
would measure crop yield. If it had
increased by the promised 400%,
they would take a share of the
difference in revenues. This helped
align incentives in the value chain.
Farmers were now willing to use the
equipment since they did not need
to pay anything upfront, which
minimized any downside risk. By
eliminating incentive-alignment
risk, companies can create business
models where everybody benefits.
Incentive-alignment
risk arises when
incentives are not
aligned in a value
chain.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
72
Amazon is one
of those amazing
companies that
constantly and
relentlessly tries to
analyze its business
model and tries to
disrupt it before
being disrupted by
others.
What are some of the lessons
we can draw from Amazon’s
success?
Amazon is one of those amazing
companies that constantly and
relentlessly analyzes its business
model and tries to disrupt it before
being disrupted by others. When
Jeff Bezos started Amazon as an
online retailer of books, he realized
that it was impractical for a cash-
strapped startup to carry millions
of books in inventory. So, he
invented a business model that he
called “Sell All, Carry Few”. In this
model, Amazon operated like a
virtual retailer and outsourced most
of its fulfillment to distributors
and wholesalers. Within a few
years, however, Bezos realized
that most of its distributors were
not good at fulfilling individual
book orders. This was negatively
affecting customer satisfaction and
damaging Amazon’s reputation.
So, he completely turned Amazon’s
model around and started investing
heavily in warehouses in order to
stock all inventory internally.
In 2001, Amazon started offering
its website development, order
fulfillment, and customer service
capabilities to other companies
like Toys “R” Us, Borders, and
Target. In 2006, it went further and
began to offer these capabilities to
small retailers as well. So, Amazon
came full circle from completely
outsourcing fulfillment to
distributors and wholesalers to
selling its fulfillment capabilities
to others.
Apart from the innovations
on the fulfillment side,
what are some of the other
ways in which Amazon has
experimented with its business
model?
In 2005, Amazon made a major
change to its revenue stream
when it launched Amazon Prime.
Experience had shown that a lot of
customers chose not to buy online
because they were deterred by high
shipping costs. So, with Amazon
Prime, Amazon began offering
customers a shipping subscription.
This meant that customers did not
have to worry about paying for
individual shipments. Amazon
also experimented with its product
mix. In the late 1990s, Amazon
started expanding beyond books
into categories such as music,
videos and games that required
similar logistics capabilities as
books. It has continued to expand
its product portfolio constantly,
even with unrelated product
categories, as a way to hedge risks.
Its expansion into computing
services such as cloud computing
and electronic data systems is an
example of this.
In hindsight, there is a lot that
they could have done. For
instance, they could have thought
of new ways to structure their
relationship with customers.
Instead of charging exorbitant
penalties in late fees, they could
have graduated to a subscription
model like Netflix. And, of course,
Blockbuster should have thought
earlier about delivering DVDs
by mail and offering video on
demand.
Designing Transformational Business Models
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Companies need to
look for symptoms
of inefficiencies in
their business model
by trying to see if
there is a mismatch
between what the
customer wants and
what they deliver.
Have you been
observing similar success
stories in business model
innovation in more traditional
industries?
I think the larger the company,
the less frequent the innovation.
But, we certainly see some
interesting innovations in
traditional companies. Maersk
Shipping Line is one example
that comes to my mind. Maersk
is an industry leader in shipping
and one of the oldest and largest
shipping companies globally.
I really like their recent major
innovation, which is called “Daily
Maersk”. Maersk performed a very
extensive analysis of customer
pain points to understand what
bothered their customers the
most. They realized that the
biggest challenge that customers
faced was the uncertainty in
container arrival times. In fact,
there was a 55% chance that
containers did not arrive on
time. As a result, customers had
to make various provisions to
manage the resulting uncertainty,
such as holding more inventory
or making their production
capabilities more flexible, which
led to additional costs.
Maerskdecidedtofixthisproblem.
They began to guarantee the
arrival time for their containers
and offered to pay a penalty to
customers in case a shipment did
not arrive on time. They added
many more ships on their routes
to make sure that there were daily
departures and customers did not
have to worry and plan ahead. In
exchange for helping customers
better manage uncertainty,
Maersk charged a premium for
this service. I really like how they
questioned their business model,
tried to understand customer
pain points, and adopted a new
strategy in response. They did
it very openly, with the CEO
speaking publicly about the new
strategy. It is very rare to see this
kind of an organized process.
73
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
Pharma companies spend
~30% of revenues on R&D, but without
much return
Companies like Airbnb, Uber or Alibaba do not invent any
new products - yet are successful due to their innovative
business models
30% {
Unlike technological or product innovations, business model innovation cannot
be relegated to the R&D department. It needs to be driven by the top management.
- Professor Serguei Netessine
Designing Transformational Business Models
Business Model Innovation is the Key to Surviving Disruption
Returns from traditional product innovation can be elusive
What - Companies look at
the kinds of decisions they
want to make
e.g. Zappos decided
to focus on a single
product line
When - Companies look at
the timing of decisions
e.g. Dell decided to sell
a product first, and
produce it later
Who - Companies change
the decision-maker
e.g. Google allocates
20% of any employee’s
time to do whatever they
think is best
Why - Companies change
the incentives that exist in a
value chain
e.g. In the US healthcare
sector, doctors recommend
many procedures as their
incentives are tied to them
A Framework for Innovating Business Models
P O W E R E D b y S E R V I C E™EE
75
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
they think is best. Google realizes
that employees are best positioned
to identify the most important
projects to work on. The “Who”
strategy has produced nearly 50%
of all innovations at Google.
The “Why” approach changes the
incentivesthatexistinavaluechain.
For example, the fundamental
problem in the US healthcare sector
is that doctors are compensated per
procedure. This results in doctors
prescribing too many procedures
and leads to higher healthcare
costs for companies. This is an
incentive problem. To change
these incentives, many companies
have started integrating doctors
within their organizations and
paying them a fixed salary. This
has reduced the cost of healthcare
for companies and increased the
quality of care.
Companies need to apply these
approaches and identify ideas for
business model innovation. As a
next step, they need to experiment
with these ideas. Experimentation is
veryimportantbecauseitisdifficult
to accurately predict the success of
an innovation. Companies need to
develop scaled-down versions of
their new business models and test
them with a subset of customers.
Could you tell us about the
framework you have developed
in order to help companies
innovate their business model?
We have developed four different
approaches for companies to deal
with information and incentive-
alignmentrisksandwedenotethem
by four words: “What”, “When”,
“Who”, and “Why”.
In a “What” approach, companies
needtolookatthekindsofdecisions
they want to make and how they
can increase or reduce risks using
those decisions. For instance, they
could decide to focus on a narrower
set of decisions. A good example
would be companies like Zappos
and diapers.com that only sell a
single product category (both were
acquired by Amazon.com).
The “When” approach changes
the timing of decisions. A good
example here would be Dell. Instead
of first producing a product and
then selling it, Dell began selling
a product first and producing it
later, in response to actual customer
orders.
The “Who” approach changes who
makes the decisions. For instance,
Google allocates 20% of any
employee’s time to do whatever
Companies need to
develop scaled-down
versions of their
new business models
and test them with a
subset of customers.
Building a Culture of Sustained
Business Model Reinvention
How can companies anticipate
if their business model is
becoming obsolete?
Companies need to look for
symptoms of inefficiencies in their
business model by trying to see if
there is a mismatch between what
the customer wants and what they
deliver. There are many troubling
symptoms that indicate that the
business model is not working well.
These could be large fluctuations in
financialperformance,underutilized
employees or excessive inventory.
To start with, companies need to
conduct a business model audit in
order to identify information or
incentive-alignment risks in their
current business model.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
76
audit the business model, identify
inefficiencies and generate ideas,
companies should set up a small
team tasked with testing these ideas
and implementing them on a small
scale. It is important that this team
is not affected by resistance from
within the organization. It should
therefore operate independently, in
astartup-likeenvironment.Oncean
idea is tested and found to generate
positive results, companies can
then start rolling out the innovation
across the organization.
How can companies create
a culture that encourages
constant business model
innovation?
We recently conducted research
in Singapore which showed that
only about 5% of manufacturing
organizationsinSingaporepractice
business model innovation. This
number is consistent with some
Unlike technological
or product
innovations,
business model
innovation cannot
be relegated to the
R&D department.
What kind of an organizational
structure should companies
build for business model
innovation?
Unlike technological or product
innovations, business model
innovation cannot be relegated
to the R&D department. Business
model innovation needs to be
driven by the top management.
Business model audits should
have the support of CEOs and
potentially board members and
should involve top managers from
all functional roles. Once they
sectors in Europe. Companies very
often lack basic understanding
about what the business model is
and why they should look at it. So,
I think the process of creating a
culture of constant business model
innovation should begin with
education. Next, organizations
should make a habit of making
business model audits a regular
exercise. Innovation should not
happen only when a company is in
financial trouble but on a frequent
basis, driven by the CEO.
Designing Transformational Business Models
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
77
“Unlike startups, large corporates
have too many processes that really
slow things down.”
companies is that they never
re-evaluate their business models.”
“Technology is seldom the problem.
- Tim O’Reilly
- David Cohen
- Serguei Netessine
- Rita McGrath
-- TTTTiimimimTTTTTTT OOOO’R’RRR ieieieillllllllyyy
WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES IN RESPONDING
TO DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS?
“Over the last 20 to 25 years,
organizations have functioned
according to the notion that they should
innovate in line with their DNA and
within the bounds of their core
business. But, the digital age requires a
- Rita McGrath
- Philippe Lemoine
to acknowledge that their old
business model does not work
anymore.”
.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 077878
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
When Digital Disruption Strikes
How Can Incumbents Respond?
By Didier Bonnet, Jerome Buvat and Subrahmanyam KVJ, Capgemini Consulting
Volatility and Corporate
Darwinism
Since 2000, 52% of companies in
the Fortune 500 have either gone
bankrupt, been acquired or ceased
to exist1
. US corporations in the
S&P 500 in 1958 remained in the
index for an average of 61 years.
By 1980, the average tenure of an
S&P 500 firm was 25 years, and by
2011 that average shortened to 18
years based on seven-year rolling
averages2
. These are challenging
times for companies as the speed,
volume and complexity of change
intensify.
While there are several reasons
for companies vanishing from the
radar or going bankrupt, technology
disruptions are playing a big part
in amplifying this development.
One critical manifestation of
this heightened volatility is the
emergence of technology-driven
startups across multiple sectors.
Venture funding to startups is at
historic highs. In just one startup
hotspot, Silicon Valley, venture
capital investment in the first
Figure 1: Venture Capital Investments in Silicon Valley, 1995-Q3 2014 ($ Billions)
Source: NVCA, “National Venture Capital Association Yearbook”, 2014
1.81
3.37
4.63
5.88
17.79
33.40
12.67
7.26 6.73
8.00 8.13
9.77
11.55 11.53
8.29
9.39
12.17
11.15
12.42
16.96
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Dotcom bust
Financial
downturn
Till Q3 2014
Since 2000, 52% of
companies in the
Fortune 500 have
either gone bankrupt,
been acquired or
ceased to exist.
@didiebon, @jeromebuvat and @SuB8u
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 79
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
79
traditional incumbents respond to
digital disruption, we conducted
research spanning 100+ companies
(see research methodology at the
end of the article).
Three Quarters of Incumbents
Responded Late to Digital
Disruptions
There are three broad and linear
stages to disruptiona
. The first stage,
Onset, is typically within the first
yearofthearrivalofdisruption.That
ismarkedbytheentryofadisruptive
startup that either brings forth a new
technology, or a new technology-
three-quarters of 2014 was around
$17 billion, a figure that is only
surpassed by the peak of the dotcom
era in 2000 (see Figure 1).
Digitalinnovationisshakingthecore
of every industry and incumbents
are struggling to respond. The
emergence of startups such as Uber
– which disrupt entire sectors with
their agile, innovative business
models – is worrying traditional
incumbents. In recent research by
GE,two-thirdsofrespondentsagreed
that businesses have to encourage
creative behaviors and must disrupt
their internal processes in order
to do so3
. What does a successful
strategyforrespondingtodisruption
look like? How fast have companies
responded to digital disruptions?
To understand more about how
Figure 2: Response of Incumbents to Digital Disruptions by Stage
enabled business model. The next
stage, Spread, typically takes place
two or three years post the arrival of
a disruptive technology/company.
In this stage, the main disruptor
starts growing in popularity, and
there are multiple me-too services
that mimic the disruptor. The final
stage – Mainstream Adoption – is
when the disruption reaches large-
scale acceptance and is over four
years from its arrival.
a Adapted from Steven Sinofsky, Board Partner,
Andreessen Horowitz; http://recode.net/2014/
01/06/the-four-stages-of-disruption-2/.
In the Silicon Valley,
venture capital
investment in the first
three-quarters of 2014
was only surpassed
by the peak of the
dotcom era in 2000.
N=100
Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis
A response is an action taken specifically to ward off the disruption/disruptive startup, such as the
acquisition of the disruptor or the development of a new business model.
26%
36%
38%
Onset Spread Mainstream Adoption
74%
Our research found that nearly 74%
of companies responded to digital
disruptions only after the second
yearoftheiroccurrence.Worryingly,
over 38% of incumbents respondedb
to the emergence of a disruptive
company after the fourth year. This
is the period when the disruption
starts to move more mainstream (see
Figure 2). Our research also showed
that the vast majority of companies
that went bankrupt responded only
when the digital disruption had
already firmly taken root.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0780
Why Incumbents Struggle
to Respond to Digital
Disruptions
In most organizations, decision cycles
lagtechnologycycles.However,thatis
not the only reason why incumbents
struggle to respond to digital
disruptions.Wefoundfiverootcauses
behindincumbents’slowresponses.
80
Nearly 74%
of companies
responded to digital
disruptions only
after the second year
of their occurrence.
In most
organizations,
decision cycles lag
technology cycles.
One key reason
for organizations
becoming
complacent is
management inertia
– failure to sense the
need to change.
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
Slow Decision Cycle
Old-school approaches to designing
change – such as annual strategy
meetings–aretoocumbersomefora
non-linear,fast-paceddigitalworld.
Technology cycles are becoming
shorter than corporate decision
cycles4
as technology progression
accelerates. Organizations are
finding it increasingly hard to
match the pace of rapid technology
changes. Thirty-seven percent of
respondents in a global survey of
industry executives reported being
worried that their organizations
would not be able to keep pace with
technology changes and as a result,
lose their competitive edge5
.
Complacency about Existing
Business Models
One of the biggest challenges
in responding to disruption is
complacency. When disruption
strikes, companies find it difficult to
keep pace with the fast-moving and
changing world as they cling on to
the old successful business model.
One key reason for organizations
becomingcomplacentismanagement
inertia – failure to sense the need to
change. INSEAD’s Professor Serguei
Netessine believes that organizations
do not ask enough hard questions of
theirbusinessmodels.Asheexplains:
“I like to compare it to financial
auditing, which every organization
does every year, many times. Often,
a public company will do it once a
quarter. But then you ask the same
company how often [it examines] its
own business models, they’ll tell you,
‘Well, I don’t know. Twenty years
ago? Thirty years ago?’”6
.
b A response is an action taken specifically to
ward off the disruption/disruptive startup,
such as the acquisition of the disruptor or
the development of a new business model.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 81
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
81
Figure 3: Major Causes Behind Incumbents’ Slow Responses
Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis
Complacency
Fear of
Cannibalization
Lower Margins
in the
Transition
Resources Unaligned to
Opportunities
Slow Decision
Cycle
Slow Reaction to
Digital Disruption
There are many examples of such
complacency. Consider the case
of RIM/BlackBerry. For years,
BlackBerry was the product leader
in enabling secure push mail on
mobilephones,earningacommitted
following with corporate users.
However, while RIM continued to
focus on its lead product, Apple was
reinventing what a mobile phone
could be. Apple’s iPhone married
email functionality to tools that up
until then were only possible on a
PC. BlackBerry’s core users began
to migrate in droves. RIM believed
its dominance of the enterprise
market was impregnable, but trends
such as Bring Your Own Device and
the growth of smartphones caused
massive challenges. It saw its
market share of the smartphone OS
market reduce from a high of 20%
in Q1 2009 to as low as 0.8% in Q3
of 20147
.
Fear of Cannibalizing
Existing Business
The threat of cannibalizing existing
business can prevent incumbents
from going to market with
innovative offerings. Take the case
of Kodak. Kodak, an innovator in
photography, invented the world’s
first digital camera in 1975. Despite
its solid lead in the film business,
it failed. Kodak had most of the
patents for the digital photography
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0782
technology, but did not
commercialize them aggressively
as it feared cannibalization of
its film business. Instead, other
firms licensed Kodak’s technology
and commercialized it. This
restricted Kodak from leading
the digital camera race8
. As Rita
McGrath, professor at Columbia
Business School says, “Kodak
continued to focus and invest in
film-based technologies in the
1980s and 1990s, while Fuji was
systematically extracting itself
from film-based photography and
shifting massive resources, both
financial and human, to the new
and unproven digital technology.
By 2003, Fujifilm had 5,000 digital
processing labs in chains stores
through the U.S. At that time,
Kodak had less than 1009
.”
82
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
A company that has embraced
cannibalization as a very
successful business strategy is
Apple. The company has launched
a variety of products (iPod, iPhone,
iPad) that have cannibalized one
another. Apple’s CEO Tim Cook
explains, “Our core philosophy is
to never fear cannibalization. If we
don’t do it, someone else will10
.”
Lower Margins in the
Transition
In industries where digital business
has lower margin than traditional
business, taking the digital path is
often perceived as a significant bet
on the company’s future revenues.
Incumbents hesitate to take the
plunge. The newspaper industry, for
example, has largely depended on
advertising revenue to subsidize low
subscription revenues. To transition
to digital, where advertising rates
are a fraction of what they are
on print, has a significant impact
on profitability. This can blind
management to the potential
opportunities of digital for new
business models and sources of
revenue.
One company that has successfully
tackled this challenge is the
Financial Times. Today, over two-
thirds of the FT’s audience is online.
Mobile readership drives 50% of
total traffic and 20% of digital
subscriptions. The total circulation,
acrossprintandonline,forthepaper
at the end of Q3 2014 was 690,000,
the highest in its 126-year history.
One key reason for this, according
to its manager of marketing and
audience development, is that the
FT thinks of itself as “a premium
brand with high quality content”,
and not as a newspaper11
.
Kodak had most of
the patents for the
digital photography
technology, but did
not commercialize
them aggressively
as it feared
cannibalization of
its film business.
Key Resources Unaligned to
Opportunities
In most organizations, people
are treated as resources tied to
divisions, products, services and
business units. Managers are
typically reluctant to let go of
resources assigned to them for
fear of any potential diminishing
of their authority. Similarly,
organizations tend to try and
retro-fit new opportunities into
existing organizational structures.
These political challenges pose
significant hurdles when it comes
to digital disruptions that, more
often than not, cut across the entire
organization.
48% of successful
companies relied
on hiring specialist
digital talent in the
wake of a disruption.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 83
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
83
c Successful companies are those that have
maintained and/or improved their market
position
Successful Responses to
Digital Disruptions
We studied the strategies
adopted by organizations that
have successfully withstood
digital disruptions (see research
methodology at the end of the
article)c
. We found four dominant
responses to disruptions adopted
by these organizations: acquiring
digital talent, mimicking the
competition, acquiring the
disruptor/ competitor and taking a
judicial approach. Most successful
companies adopt a combination of
these responses to ensure a robust
and well-rounded approach. In
this section, we examine each of
these winning responses in detail.
Acquiring Digital Talent Brings
in Fresh Thinking
Often, incumbents resort to
acquiring select digital talent
so they can start to build more
coherent responses in-house.
Travel agent Thomas Cook was
one of the early companies to be
disrupted by the advent of online
bookingsites.Thecompany,aspart
of its multi-pronged approach to
thisdigitaldisruption,hiredaseries
of executives with backgrounds in
digital technology as digital ‘gurus’
to join its Digital Advisory Board12
.
These executives were specialists
in areas such as innovation
management, customer experience
management, user interface design
and intelligent systems13
. In our
research, we found that 48% of
successful companies relied on
hiring specialist digital talent
in the wake of a disruption (see
Figure 4).
Mimicking Enables Incumbents
to Have a Ready Offering
We found that 32% of successful
companies launched services that
mimicked those of a disruptive
competitor (see Figure 4). In some
cases, the incumbent can throw
significant resources at creating
competing solutions. For instance,
eventhoughApple’siPod,iPhoneand
iPad are known to be path-breaking
and breakthrough innovations,
they were not the first of their
kinds. A number of digital music
players existed before the iPod was
launched14
. Similarly, a number of
tablet PCs were launched in the 1990s
and early 2000s, but it was the entry
of the Apple iPad in 2010 that sent the
tablet market soaring15
. Apple’s focus
oncreatingproductsthatdramatically
improve on competing offerings
from disruptors in its industry has
enabledittocontinuallystayaheadof
competition.
32% of successful
companies launched
services that
mimicked those
of a disruptive
competitor.
Acquisitions Help Incumbents
Compete and Scale-Up
A common response to disruption
is to acquire one of the leading
disruptors. Our research found that
36% of successful companies relied
on acquiring companies as a tactic
to access disruptive technology/
innovation (see Figure 4). Once it
has completed an acquisition, the
incumbent might either choose to
absorbthedisruptorinitsoperations
or continue with business-as-usual.
Over the years
Walmart has
acquired multiple
startups in
innovative fields and
subsequently folded
the teams into their
operations.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0784
Anexampleoftheformercategory
is Walmart. The company,
through its Walmart Labs arm, has
over the years acquired multiple
startups in innovative fields and
subsequently folded the teams
into their operations. Luvocracy
is an example. The startup was
an online community of half
a million members that allows
consumers to discover and buy
products recommended by other
people. Walmart subsequently
closed the service and absorbed its
key technologies into existing and
proposed Walmart platforms16
.
In other instances, the acquirer
allows the innovator to continue
to do business without much
interference. For instance, car
sharing is disruptive to car rental
firms such as Avis and Hertz.
Realizing this, Avis paid over
$500 million to buy Zipcar, a
rent-by-the-hour startup17
. The
company continues to operate
independently and leverages
Avis’ global network.
Anotherkeydriverforacquisitions
is consolidation, which gives the
incumbent more scale to fight
back. The music industry, which
suffered significant disruption
from digital music, is a good
example. The six major labels
that existed pre-digital have now
become three, with the healthier
labels acquiring their struggling
brethren. By doing so, these labels
84
32% of successful
companies have
resorted to using
the legal route
to slowing down
disruption.
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
Aereo, for example, was a
disruptor that offered live-streams
of broadcast TV over the Internet.
Since traditional broadcasters and
distributors were cut-off from any
monetization opportunities in
this model, they sued Aereo in the
US courts. The case went all the
way to the Supreme Court, which
ruled that Aereo was ultimately in
violation of existing regulation.
The company subsequently went
into bankruptcy and shut down18
.
Similarly, Uber, the taxi-services
app, has seen significant pushback
from local taxi services in many
cities across the world. In Spain,
for instance, a local court ruled
that Uber was illegal and Uber had
to suspend its operations in the
country. Similarly, the company
has also been sued or legally
questioned in several US states
including California, Colorado,
Portland and Oregon19
. However,
the startup has only been going
from strength to strength. It
recently raised a billion dollars in
venture capital and is valued at
over $40 billion20
.
have increased scale, expanded
their rosters of top-selling artists
and increased their holdings
of recording and publishing
copyrights.
A Judicial Approach Slows
Down Disruptors
Digital technologies, because they
are so new, are often not covered
in existing regulatory legislation
and base their competitive model
on a disruptive approach that was
not anticipated by policy-makers.
Incumbents can thereby respond
by suing disruptive startups, citing
unfairadvantageundertheregulatory
frameworkthatgovernstheirindustry.
Other legal concerns that incumbents
typically raise against startups include
the evasion of taxes, and the exposure
of consumers to new risks due to
disruptive platforms. Our research
found that over 32% of successful
companies have resorted to using the
legalroutetoslowingdowndisruption
(seeFigure4).
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 85
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
85
Ultimately, if
the disruptive
technology has real
customer value, the
legal route has the
effect of delaying
the disruptor
development but
it rarely stops
the technology
development over
time.
Ultimately, if the disruptive
technology has real customer
value, the legal route has the
effect of delaying the disruptor
development but it rarely stops
the technology development over
time.
Ourresearchfoundthatthenumber
of companies taking the judicial
route has increased significantly.
While 8% of incumbents used
this approach over the 2000-2010
period, in the 2010-2013 period, it
has risen to 27%.
Establishing the Right Mix of
Responses
Drawing lessons from incumbents
that have successfully tackled
disruption – retained their market
position or have improved it – can
help organizations establish the
right mix of responses (see Figure
4).
Successful companies have a
relatively even spread across
different tactics. They have acquired
competition, hired digital talent
and gone down the legal route
too. Overall, the best approach
Figure 4: Response Tactics of Successful Incumbents
Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis
N = 84
Note: Figures refer to percentage of companies adopting a particular approach. Multiple responses per company
Judicial Route
32%
36%
48%
Acquiring
Competition
Acquiring Digital
Talent
32%
Mimicking
Competition
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0786
For example, Uber and Lyft have
simplified an otherwise complex
and unreliable experience for
customers of taxi services21
.”
While some incumbents react to
the emergence of the pain point
by denying its importance, the
market has been created.
Question the Status Quo and
Constantly Audit Your Business
Model
As INSEAD’s Serguei Netessine
explains, “Business models and the
advantages that flow from them
are transient. What is a competitive
collaborative economy, highlights
howthesestartupsdisruptexisting
markets by solving real customer
problems, “Many collaborative
startups find ways to simplify
complex and frustrating customer
experiences.
is a balanced one that uses a
mix of tactics (see Figure 5 for a
comparison).
Making the Most of
Digital Disruption
As technology cycles keep getting
shorter, disruptions will become
more prevalent. And as the world
increasingly becomes software-
driven, competitors will emerge
from adjacent industries rather
than just the ‘home’ industry of the
incumbent. Does this spell the end
of the centuries-old corporation?
Not necessarily. Incumbents need
to position digital innovation
at the heart of their business. To
achieve this, they can take a series
of practical steps.
Proactively Identify Customer
Pain Points
One of the biggest entry points
that disruptive startups take
is to identify customer pain
points. Resolving these customer
pain points then becomes the
unique selling proposition of
the disruptor. Startups such as
Airbnb, Uber and Lending Club,
which are based on a peer-to-peer
economy, have been successful
because they have identified
gaps in what customers want and
what incumbents provide. Rachel
Botsman, leading expert on the
86
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
strength today might be a burden
tomorrow22
.” It is vital for a company
to keep questioning the status quo.
Blockbuster’s innovative idea of
sharing revenues with the studios,
instead of paying the studio for each
product,revolutionizedthevideoand
DVD rental market. Blockbuster’s
market share skyrocketed. However,
they failed to look ahead and
anticipatetheimpactofstreamingand
eventually went bankrupt. Netflix,
on the other hand, thrived because
it adapted and actively cannibalized
its DVD business. Organizations will
constantlyhavetoquestionthestatus
quo and pose ‘what-if’ questions of
their core operating model.
As the world
increasingly
becomes software-
driven, competitors
will emerge from
adjacent industries
rather than just the
‘home’ industry of
the incumbent.
Incumbents need to
constantly revisit
their business model
to ensure it is not
outdated.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 87
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
87
Response to Digital Disruption Pros Cons
Acquiring Disruptor/
Competition
• Enables a certain level of ‘control’
over spread of disruption
• Gives the incumbent a head-start
over its competition
• Does not rule out the possibility of
other “me-too” services that operate
like the acquired disruptor
• Requires large investments that may
be hard to justify to investors
Acquiring Digital Talent • Brings in fresh thinking into the
company
• A more robust approach that
prepares the incumbent for future
disruptions
• Hard to hire certain digital skills, e.g.
analytics
• Requires a dedicated strategy to
attract and retain digital talent
Mimicking Competition • Ensures incumbent has offerings
matching the disruptor
• Helps reduce customer churn in the
short-term
• Risk of comparison with disruptors
and falling short of customers
expectations
• Challenges of replicating a true
disruptor within existing legacy
operations
Judicial Approach • Allows incumbents to gain time to
prepare a more coherent response
• Likely to antagonize existing/
prospective customers
Figure 5: Pros and Cons of Response Types
Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis
Many incumbents typically stick
to the same strategy playbook that
has served them for years. However,
the pace of technological change
has made this approach dangerous.
Incumbentsneedtoconstantlyrevisit
their business model to ensure it is
not outdated.
Reorganize Resource Allocation
around Opportunities
Most organizations are typically
organized by business units
or market units. Resources are
subsequently tied into what are
in reality independent fiefdoms.
Responding to digital disruptions
requires that organizations move
to a resource allocation that is
centrally governed and organized
around opportunities, not existing
structures. As Columbia Professor
Rita McGrath says, “In companies
[that have been able to survive
disruptions], employees tend to
worry less about organizational
roles and structures.23
”
Responding to
digital disruptions
requires that
organizations
move to a resource
allocation that
is centrally
governed and
organized around
opportunities, not
existing structures.
incubators and partnering with
startup accelerators. As David
Cohen, founder of leading startup
accelerator Techstars says, “Being
around the disruption at the early
stages – and spotting it before
others do – gives you a competitive
advantage and you can help the
startup grow at the same time24
.”
Digital disruptions are a fact of
economic life in the twenty-first
century. New digital technologies
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 078888
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
Move to an Open
Innovation Model
Large companies need to learn to
spot the early warning signs of
disruption to avoid being surprised
by their impact at a later stage.
This requires a shift to an open
innovation model that allows
them to stay tuned to sources of
disruptive innovation. An open
innovation model entails engaging
closely with the startup ecosystem
by setting up innovation labs and
do not care for organizational
history or tradition. In fact, they
sweep aside existing approaches
and models, creating a new world
order. Digital disruptions are in
many ways a very democratic force
and they can just as well originate
withinatwo-personstartupasthey
can in a $100 billion organization.
While that prospect might make
many incumbents feel vulnerable
and uncomfortable, the secret is to
see it as an opportunity.
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 89
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
89
We conducted a comprehensive study of 100 leading companies in North America and Europe to understand how they
negotiate digital disruption. For our study, we selected 10 leading players across 10 industry groups that have been digitally
disrupted. The industry groups included Public Transport, Healthcare, Hospitality, Education, Publishing, News and Media,
Photography, Music, Banking and Travel. All of these industries were carefully selected on the basis of disruption witnessed
at various stages. The incumbents that we studied have been leading players in these industries for over two decades.
In our research, 84 companies had been successful in withstanding digital disruptions – success implies that they have
maintained and/ or improved their market position – while 16 had been unsuccessful – these are companies that went
bankrupt.Ourfocuswastounderstandthevariousstrategiesusedbysuccessfulincumbentstorespondtodigitaldisruptions.
Research Methodology
How do you spot disruptions?
We actively look out for new technologies that can impact our industry
We gain insights into customer behavior by actively monitoring sentiment on social media sites,
understanding emerging behavior of millennials and tracking new startups globally
We have a good view of our customer’s pain points
We have a set of leading indicators (patent filings, consumer behavior etc) that we track to
foresee disruptions
How do you rate your organization’s agility in responding to disruptions?
Our leadership team has a digital vision that encompasses all organizational units
We can quickly pull together pilots based on new technologies and get them off the ground
We are ready to buy a disruptor if it makes strategic sense
We have a high-level roadmap for digital transformation, which is flexible based on changing
market scenarios
We revisit our business model regularly
What is your approach to scouting for opportunities outside of your business?
We have a ‘labs’ setup where we encourage investments in emerging technologies and trends
We invest our time and effort in hiring and nurturing digital skills
We have partnered with/ funded startups at various stages
We encourage our partners/ customers to contribute to our product development process
Checklist: Are you in a Position to Successfully Negotiate Digital Disruption?
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0790
1. Constellation Research, “Research Summary: Sneak Peeks From Constellation’s Futurist Framework And 2014 Outlook On Digital Disruption”,
February 2014
2. Innosight, “Creative Destruction Whips through Corporate America”, 2012
3. GE Ideas Lab, “Global Innovation Barometer”, 2014
4. Greg Satell, “Business Models and the Singularity”, May 2012
5. Economist Intelligence Unit, “Agent of change – The future of technology disruption in business”, 2012
6. INSEAD Knowledge, “Four Questions to Revolutionise Your Business Model”, July 2014
7. Source: IDC and Gartner, accessed through Statista.com
8. Innovate or die: Wisdom from Apple, Google and Toyota, TIME, Jan 2013
9. From IEDP Review of - Rita Gunther McGrath, “End of Competitive Advantage: How to Keep Your Strategy Moving as Fast as Your Business”,
April 2014
10. All Things Digital, “Apple CEO: Don’t Fear Cannibalization, Embrace It”, January 2013
11. Forbes, “Digital Transformation in Action at the Financial Times”, November 2014
12. Travel Weekly, “Thomas Cook appoints digital ‘gurus’ to add tech experience”, May 2014
13. Breakingtravelnews.com, “Thomas Cook appoints three digital experts to enhance tech experience”, May 2014
14. Fastcodesign.com, “Apple’s Inspiration for the iPod? Bang & Olufsen, Not Braun”, November 2013
15. Techradar.com, “Meet the tablets that had to die before the iPad could succeed”, 2014
16. Marketwatch, “Wal-Mart buys another tech startup, Luvocracy — only to shut it down”, July 2014
17. Wall Street Journal, “Avis to Buy Car-Sharing Service Zipcar”, January 2013
18. TechCrunch, “Aereo Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy”, November 2014
19. BBC, “Uber under pressure as more bans and lawsuits loom”, December 2014
20. Wall Street Journal, “Uber Gets an Uber-Valuation”, June 2014
21. Capgemini Consulting Interview
22. HBR, “Amazon Constantly Audits its Business Model”, November 2013
23. Capgemini Consulting Interview
24. Capgemini Consulting Interview
When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond?
90
DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW
About Capgemini Consulting
About Capgemini
Capgemini Consulting is the global strategy and transformation
consulting organization of the Capgemini Group, specializing in
advising and supporting enterprises in significant transformation,
from innovative strategy to execution and with an unstinting focus on
results. With the new digital economy creating significant disruptions
and opportunities, our global team of over 3,600 talented individuals
work with leading companies and governments to master Digital
Transformation, drawing on our understanding of the digital economy
and our leadership in business transformation and organizational
change.
Find out more at: www.capgemini-consulting.com
With more than 130,000 people in over 40 countries, Capgemini is one
of the world's foremost providers of consulting, technology and
outsourcing services. The Group reported 2013 global revenues of
EUR 10.1 billion. Together with its clients, Capgemini creates and
delivers business and technology solutions that fit their needs and
drive the results they want. A deeply multicultural organization,
Capgemini has developed its own way of working, the Collaborative
Business ExperienceTM
, and draws on Rightshore®
, its worldwide
delivery model.
Learn more about us at: www.capgemini.com
Rachel Botsman,
Global Thought Leader
Serguei Netessine, Chaired
Professor of Global Technology
and Innovation at INSEAD
Philippe Lemoine, Chairman of
the Fing (Next Generation Internet
Foundation)
Rita McGrath, Professor at
Columbia Business School
David Cohen, Founder,
Managing Partner, and CEO - Techstars
Brian Solis, Principal Analyst
Altimeter Group
Saul Klein, Partner with
Index Ventures
Caspar de Bono, Managing Director,
B2B at the Financial Times
Digital Transformation Review
Guest Contributors

More Related Content

PDF
Innovation and digital disruption in professional services
PDF
The New Reality - Full report
PPTX
Digital transformation: Managing the change
PDF
Digital Transformation Review
PDF
Let the games begin - using game mechanics to drive digital transformation - ...
PDF
Step up to the digital skills challenge
PDF
From 'Being Digital' to Becoming a 'Digital Being'
PDF
Digital Transformation - A Visual Orientation
Innovation and digital disruption in professional services
The New Reality - Full report
Digital transformation: Managing the change
Digital Transformation Review
Let the games begin - using game mechanics to drive digital transformation - ...
Step up to the digital skills challenge
From 'Being Digital' to Becoming a 'Digital Being'
Digital Transformation - A Visual Orientation

What's hot (17)

PDF
The Last Word: Enabling the Digitally Enhanced Business
PDF
2016 q3 McKinsey quarterly - elevating the customer experience
PDF
2017 q1 McKinsey quarterly - reinventing the core
PDF
2018 q2 McKinsey quarterly - taking aim with talent
PDF
Productive Disruptors - Five Characteristics that Differentiate Transformatio...
PDF
2018 q1 McKinsey quarterly - games in the strategy room
PDF
2016 q2 McKinsey quarterly - digital strategy, the economics of disruption
PDF
2017 q2 McKinsey quarterly - global forces
PDF
Digital Innovation Survey Synopsis
PDF
2015 q1 McKinsey quarterly - Marketing & sales
PDF
2016 q4 McKinsey quarterlyy - does your data have a purpose
PDF
2017 q4 McKinsey quarterly - artificial intelligence takes shape
PDF
Accounting Industry Disruption - Trends and Technology
PDF
Digital transformation review no 1 capgemini consulting - digitaltransforma...
PDF
Etude PwC "20ème édition de la CEO Survey" - Janvier 2017
PDF
The 10 most influential women in cloud in 2020
PDF
2017 q3 McKinsey quarterly - competing in a world of sectors without borders
The Last Word: Enabling the Digitally Enhanced Business
2016 q3 McKinsey quarterly - elevating the customer experience
2017 q1 McKinsey quarterly - reinventing the core
2018 q2 McKinsey quarterly - taking aim with talent
Productive Disruptors - Five Characteristics that Differentiate Transformatio...
2018 q1 McKinsey quarterly - games in the strategy room
2016 q2 McKinsey quarterly - digital strategy, the economics of disruption
2017 q2 McKinsey quarterly - global forces
Digital Innovation Survey Synopsis
2015 q1 McKinsey quarterly - Marketing & sales
2016 q4 McKinsey quarterlyy - does your data have a purpose
2017 q4 McKinsey quarterly - artificial intelligence takes shape
Accounting Industry Disruption - Trends and Technology
Digital transformation review no 1 capgemini consulting - digitaltransforma...
Etude PwC "20ème édition de la CEO Survey" - Janvier 2017
The 10 most influential women in cloud in 2020
2017 q3 McKinsey quarterly - competing in a world of sectors without borders
Ad

Viewers also liked (13)

PPTX
Kothe - International Society of Nutritional Psychiatry - 2014
PPTX
TEDxUTD Interest Session
DOCX
Band Image Analysis
PPTX
Текущая ситуация по развитию социального предпринимательства: опыт Южной Кореи
PDF
Course 14-days-14-march-2013
PDF
3.05.13.лебеди
PDF
Creating Communications That Connect
PPTX
Term loan
PDF
5 webinar-swans
PDF
Integration using web services
PDF
10 green business ideas
PDF
7занятие.лебеди 4
PPTX
Kothe - International Society of Nutritional Psychiatry - 2014
TEDxUTD Interest Session
Band Image Analysis
Текущая ситуация по развитию социального предпринимательства: опыт Южной Кореи
Course 14-days-14-march-2013
3.05.13.лебеди
Creating Communications That Connect
Term loan
5 webinar-swans
Integration using web services
10 green business ideas
7занятие.лебеди 4
Ad

Similar to Digital transformation review_7 (20)

PDF
Digital Transformation Review 9: The Digital Strategy Imperative #DTR9
PDF
The essential elements of a digital transformation strategy
PDF
What does Digital Disruption look like?
PDF
The Coming Wave of Digital Disruption
PPTX
What Going Digital Really Means to IT
PDF
Leading Through Digital Disruption
PDF
Digital Disruption
PDF
Digital Transformation
PDF
Digital Transformation and IOT
PDF
Digital Transformation Strategy: Framework & Tools
PDF
jim G. Digital_Vortex_06182015
PDF
Digital vortex v7
PDF
Building A Culture Of Digital Disruption
PDF
Digital innovation leadership: How to master digital transformation in the fa...
PDF
Digital innovation leadership: How to master digital transformation in the fa...
PDF
Deloitte University Press - Tech trends2016
PDF
Delloite tech trends 2016
PDF
Managing your Digital Transformation
PDF
Managing Digital Transformation
PPTX
Digital Transformation: A $1 Trillion Opportunity (Note: 2015 deck - somewhat...
Digital Transformation Review 9: The Digital Strategy Imperative #DTR9
The essential elements of a digital transformation strategy
What does Digital Disruption look like?
The Coming Wave of Digital Disruption
What Going Digital Really Means to IT
Leading Through Digital Disruption
Digital Disruption
Digital Transformation
Digital Transformation and IOT
Digital Transformation Strategy: Framework & Tools
jim G. Digital_Vortex_06182015
Digital vortex v7
Building A Culture Of Digital Disruption
Digital innovation leadership: How to master digital transformation in the fa...
Digital innovation leadership: How to master digital transformation in the fa...
Deloitte University Press - Tech trends2016
Delloite tech trends 2016
Managing your Digital Transformation
Managing Digital Transformation
Digital Transformation: A $1 Trillion Opportunity (Note: 2015 deck - somewhat...

Digital transformation review_7

  • 1. N° 07 FEBRUARY 2015 Strategies for the Age of Digital Disruption
  • 3. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Strategies for the Age of Digital Disruption CapgeminiConsulting’sEditorialBoard didier.bonnet@capgemini.com, @didiebon @capgeminiconsul www.linkedin.com/company/capgemini-consulting N° 07 FEBRUARY 2015 Chief Executive Officer Senior Vice President Chief Digital Officer Head of Research Cyril Garcia Didier Bonnet Fernando Alvarez Tabio Jerome Buvat jerome.buvat@capgemini.com, @jeromebuvat dtri.in@capgemini.com Research Institute The Digital Transformation www.capgemini-consulting.com
  • 4. Contents 8 12 22 28 36 The Age of Digital Disruption: Editorial Digital Disruptions: Making Sense of it All Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World Rita McGrath, Columbia Business School A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age Philippe Lemoine The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy Rachel Botsman 15 Startups to Watch in 2015 Brian Solis, Altimeter Group
  • 5. 78 52 60 68 Winning Digital Disruptions Collaboration Redefined: Engaging with The Disruptor When Digital Disruptions Strike: How Can Incumbents Respond? by Capgemini Consulting Black Swan Startups: Spotting Tomorrow’s Big Digital Disruptors Saul Klein, Index Ventures Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way Caspar de Bono, Financial Times 44The Silicon Network: How Big Corporates and Digital Startups Can Create a More Innovative World David Cohen, Techstars Designing Transformational Business Models Serguei Netessine, INSEAD
  • 6. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 076 The Age of Digital Disruption – Editorial T hese are uncertain and challenging times for traditional organizations across every industry. The digital economy is turning the traditional rules of the game upside down, as a scan of business press headlines illustrates. “Since 2000, 52% of companies in the Fortune 500 have either gone bankrupt, been acquired or ceased to existi ”. “Uber Valued at $40 Billion in $1.2 Billion Equity Fundingii .” “Is Silicon Valley the Future of Finance?iii ” “How Bitcoin can and will disrupt the financial systemiv .” This small sample of recent press headlines reveals why the leaders of traditional organizations might feel a strong sense of disquiet. Disruption can happen at any time, in any sector, and its effect on traditional organizations can be fundamental. Against this backdrop, this seventh edition of the Digital Transformation Review is dedicated to three themes: • Understanding more about the nature and context of digital disruption, from assessing where disruptors gain their competitive advantage to the emerging disruptors of the coming years. • Examining how collaboration and engagement can help both incumbents and disruptors. How can we plan for the emergence of disruptors? We open the Review with Rita Gunther McGrath, a professor at Columbia Business School, who is a globally recognized expert on strategy in uncertain and volatile environments. “It is important to understand that most digital disruptions don’t happen suddenly. They take place over time,” she explains. “Most companies often get so caught up in everyday operations that they don’t take a step back to think about what the future might hold.” Why are we seeing so many disruptions? Philippe Lemoine, who recently authored a report for the French government on the digital transformation of the country’s economy, outlines three factors driving disruption: automation, dematerialization (substitution of physical products and processes with digital alternatives) and changes to the value chain. • Assessing the most effective strategic response to existing disruptions with an analysis by Capgemini Consulting of incumbents’ winning strategies. Digital Disruptions – Making Sense of It All Working with a global panel of industry leaders, venture capitalists and academics (see Figure 1), we have built a detailed picture of the digital disruption phenomenon, probing the key questions that organizations need answers to: • How can we plan for the emergence of disruptors? • Why are we seeing so many disruptions? • What shape are these disruptions taking? • Which startups are likely to emerge to disrupt sector value chains over the coming years? i Forbes, “Ray Wang: Cloud Is The ‘Foundation For Digital Transformation’”, December 2014 ii Bloomberg, “Uber Valued at $40 Billion in $1.2 Billion Equity Funding”, December 2014 iii NY Mag, “Is Silicon Valley the Future of Finance?”, June 2014 iv Visual Capitalist, “How Bitcoin can and will disrupt the financial system”, July 2014 The Age of Digital Disruption Introduction By Capgemini Consulting’s Editorial Board
  • 7. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 7 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW What shape are these disruptions taking? Rachel Botsman is a global thought leader on one of the emerging business models of the disruptive segment: the collaborative economy. “The collaborative economy drives a shift from centralized asset-heavy organizations to decentralized asset-light networks and marketplaces,” she explains. “It typically does this by creating business models that enable underutilized assets - from spaces to skills to “stuff” - to be used more efficiently.” She believes there are five key drivers of disruption – wastage of resources, redundancy, complexity, limited access and broken trust. Each of these areas creates new opportunities for startups and incumbents alike. Which startups are likely to emerge to disrupt sector value chains over the coming years? Brian Solis is a digital analyst, anthropologist, and futurist at Altimeter Group. He studies the effects of disruptive technology on business and society. He identifies a select set of startups that he believes will start hitting the headlines in 2015. The eclectic list spans companies from the sharing economy, virtual reality, 3D Printing and more. Collaboration Redefined – Engaging with Potential Disruptors Understanding the nature and contextofdisruptionisthefirststep. Crafting a response is the second, and collaboration and engagement are important approaches that Rachel Botsman, Sydney, Australia Serguei Netessine, SingaporeRita McGrath, New York, USA Caspar de Bono, London, UK Saul Klein, London, UK David Cohen Boulder, Colorado, USA Philippe Lemoine Paris, France Brian Solis, San Francisco, USA Figure 1: Guest Contributors to the Digital Transformation Review N 07 many large firms are often ignoring. There are, however, some traditional incumbents that understand that they do not have all the answers and are partnering with startups across sectors. We spoke to two individuals who are closely associated with startups to understand how incumbents can engage with startups at an early stage of their lifecycle. This allows the incumbent and potential future disruptor to cooperate rather than simply compete. David Cohen is the founder, Managing Partner, and CEO of startup accelerator Techstars. The Techstarsnetworkhassofarfunded 484 companies and it works with large corporates to run mutually valuable mentoring initiatives. “Techstars runs the program and is also the investor. The corporates don’t take direct equity in the startup; they don’t take rights to o
  • 8. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 078 The Age of Digital Disruption – Editorial follow on or acquire the startup or anything like that,” he explains. “They simply provide mentors and access to their technologies.” By doing so, these corporates secure new insights into how third- parties can use their APIs and data in innovative ways. Saul Klein is a Partner with Index Ventures, an early-stage venture capital firm with €3 billion under management and a portfolio of 140 companies across 20 countries in almost all sectors. Saul Klein believes that traditional incumbents need to respond to ‘big-bang’ disruption by really engaging with smaller companies, not in the least because the Figure 2: Response Tactics of Successful Incumbents Judicial Route 32% 36% 48% Acquiring Competition Acquiring Digital Talent 32% Mimicking Competition smaller firms are often driving the technology innovation. Instead, he argues, big companies focus on buyingfrombigcompaniesandfail to engage with small companies. He says: “Big companies will truly engage with the startup ecosystem when they spend between 5% and 25% of their tech and innovation budget with a small company.” Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis N = 84 Note: Figures refer to percentage of companies adopting a particular approach. Multiple responses per company
  • 9. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 9 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Winning Digital Disruptions Responding to digital disruption is now a critical weapon that all organizations need to have in their strategic armory. The story of the Financial Times’s response to the digital disruption of the media industry is a salutary example. Caspar de Bono, Managing Director, B2B at the FT, outlines the organization’s response and how it has turned digital disruption to its advantage, with digital subscriptions now constituting nearly two-thirds of the FT’s total paying audience. “Technology helped us establish a direct relationship with customers,” he explains. “This was very disruptive and the FT has significantly benefited from this disruption.” A key response to digital disruption is to constantly innovate business models. Serguei Netessine, professor at INSEAD in Singapore, believes that most companies do not focus enough on their business models and that is a major handicap when they are faced with disruption. His research has revealed that only 5% of companies practice business model innovation and he proposes an alternative framework to improve performance. We close this seventh edition of the Digital Transformation Review with Capgemini Consulting’s view on how organizations can respond when digital disruptions strike. Our research, involving over 100 companies, draws on the lessons learned from incumbents that have successfully tackled disruption and outlines the key strategic responses. Our analysis shows that successful companies have a relatively even spread across different tactics (see Figure 2): they have acquired competition, hired digital talent and gone down the legal route too. For more information, please contact: Didier Bonnet (didier.bonnet@capgemini.com, @didiebon) Jerome Buvat (jerome.buvat@capgemini.com, @jeromebuvat) The Digital Transformation Research Institute (dtri.in@capgemini.com) We hope this edition of the Digital Transformation Review has helped increase understanding of the disruptive and challenging times we live in. Digital disruption is a fact of life and a sweeping force for business change. Senior executives therefore need to be confident in their abilities to assess and respond to exactly this kind of disruption. We hope this Review has helped in that regard and please do contact us if you would like to discuss any of these issues further.
  • 12. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0712 Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally- Disrupted World Interview with Rita McGrath – Professor at Columbia Business School @rgmcgrath R ita Gunther McGrath, a Professor at Columbia Business School, is a globally recognized expert on strategy in uncertain and volatile environments. She is a popular instructor, a sought-after speaker, and a consultant to various senior leadership teams. She was chosen as one of the top10 global management thinkers in the 2013 Thinkers50 awards, and won the strategy category. In her latest book – “The End of Competitive Advantage: How to Keep Your Strategy Moving as Fast As Your Business” – she outlines a new approach to strategy in an economy defined by transient advantage. Capgemini Consulting interviewed Rita McGrath to understand how companies can steer themselves around digital disruptions. Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World
  • 13. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 13 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Companies should pay attention to areas where startups are identifying and addressing a customer pain point. Staying Tuned to Digital Disruptions How can companies identify technologies or startups that are truly disruptive? It is difficult for companies to distinguish the truly disruptive startups from the hype. This is because most startups never really achieve critical mass. However, I think what companies can do is pay attention to where startups have identified and are addressing a customer pain point. They should ask themselves: “Where are some of these digital startups solving a problem for my customers where I’m doing less of a good job? What are the areas where my business model is making our customers unhappy?” Companies that fail to do this, and have dissatisfied customers, leave themselves vulnerable to digital disruption. A great example of this is the cable television industry in America. In a digital world, consumers have grown accustomed to on-demand services. But US cable television companies still force their customers to pay for expensive packages rather than giving them the option to pay only for what they want to watch. US cable companies are illustrative of a class of incumbents that has a lot to worry about from digital disruptions. Is there a way in which companies can anticipate potential future disruptions? Yes, companies can spot the early warning signs of disruption by looking at the right data. There are three categories of data – I call these lagging, current and leading indicators. Lagging indicators are often highly accurate and precise but they only reflect past events that can’t be changed. Most financial information, including profitability, is a lagging indicator. A company’s profits today are a function of what it did for customers and how it responded to competition in the past. Current indicators, on the other hand, are data about where a company stands at the moment. Examples of current indicators include inventory levels or the pipeline of opportunities. Finally, leading indicators provide information on where a company might be headed. They are often subjective and are hard to get a consensus around because people frequently disagree about their meaning. As a result, they are often overlooked. An example of a leading indicator could be data that shows a new product from an unconventional competitor gaining popularity with customers. This could be an early warning sign of disruption. Companiesthatonlylookatlagging indicators tend to systematically under-invest in the things that will drive profitability in the future. It is important to understand that most digital disruptions don’t happen suddenly. They take place over time. So, I always recommend that companies really think hard about leading indicators. But in many companies, the processes for detecting leading indicators are incredibly weak. Most companies often get so caught up in everyday operations that they don’t take a step back to think about what the future might hold. Could you give us an example of a company or an industry that failed to anticipate digital disruptions? Yes, the print news media business is an example of an entire industry that overlooked digital disruption because it was too focused on routine issues. A person from the industry that I spoke with had a very interesting observation on this. She said: “If you were a news company executive in days
  • 14. gone by, you weren’t worried about the news or necessarily the revenue. You were worried about things like unionized workers striking, the price of fuel, and the distribution and cost of the paper. These were the things on your mind. You weren’t thinking about who was going to buy ads if consumers shifted to digital.” I thought that was very interesting. If you’re worried about issues like union contracts, then your line of sight to what could fundamentally undermine your revenue flows is very weak. Responding to Digital Disruptions: Success Lies in Openness to Change How do large companies typically react when faced with disruptions? The reaction occurs in stages. The first stage is denial. For instance, a company might say: “Oh, that’s just a two-person startup, how could it possibly hurt us?” This kind of denial is a problem. It results in companies not classifying a disruption as a threat. Then, there’s the stage where companies get alarmed and realize that the disruption could indeed have a significant impact. And the third stage is when companies try to deal with the disruption by trying to stamp 14 Denial is a problem because it results in companies not classifying a disruption as a threat. Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World it out. For instance, many large companies end up acquiring a would-be disruptor just to weed out potential competition. They put the disruptor’s technology on ice and continue to do what they’re doing. There are some exceptions to this, like Avis. It saw ZipCar as a viable business model and has continued to support it even after acquiring the company. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 What are the main challenges that companies face in reacting to disruptions? Technology is seldom the problem. The big issues tend to be political. Resources get locked into divisions, because senior executives want to hold on to their resources and not let go. You have cases where powerful political players feel threatened by innovation and try and bury it so that it never sees the light of day. You also have situations where coalitions build up in companies, and groups of executives decide to work against a disruptive new innovation because none of them
  • 15. want it to happen. Unfortunately, the right path is ignored when companies get into these political situations. 15 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Companies often find it very hard to acknowledge that their old business model does not work anymore. The other reason why companies are unable to deal with disruptions fast enough is due to a phenomenon that can be called “nostalgia as business strategy”. By this I mean that companies often find it very hard to acknowledge that their old business model does not work anymore. They find themselves unable to conceive of a new reality. Take the leaders at RIM (now BlackBerry), for example. They had never experienced a serious setback so the thought that their business could evaporate was inconceivable to them. They were so confident about their hold over the business user segment that it didn’t even dawn on them that the iPhone or the Android devices could become legitimate threats. They saw the onslaught coming but more or less ignored it. In your opinion, why was Sony not as successful as Apple in the digital music business, despite having all the technology for it? Sony is a classic example of a company that ceded its entire dominance of a market because it tried too hard to preserve the status quo. Sony actually increased its investment in its Walkman division when it faced the disruption of digital music players. So, despite having all the technology for digital music players – including the hardware, software and the content – Sony failed to capitalize on the opportunity. Sony also faltered in its ability to get all its different teams to collaborate and work together on digital music players. The teams had conflicting visions for Sony. The hardware team wanted to charge for hardware and give away software for free. The content team, on the other hand, wanted to charge for content and give away hardware for free. There was no one who mediated the differences between the different teams. At Apple, on the other hand, Steve Jobs played the role of a centralizing function. He was able to bring the different warring parts of the company together and ensure that they all worked towards the same vision. How has Fuji been so successful in reinventing its business model, where players like Kodak were unable to do so? The CEO of Fuji brought in a different mindset to the organization. This helped it withstand digital disruptions much better than others, like Kodak, which went bankrupt. He was prepared to throw the full weight of the company behind doing things differently. He commissioned a study of Fuji’s administrative overheads and even though they were doing much better than their Japanese peers, he said: “It’s not good enough.” He decided that Fuji needed to do away with consensus decision- making, be more proactive and take tougher decisions. I think this ultimately led to Fuji’s success. At Apple, Steve Jobs was able to bring the different warring parts of the company together and ensure that they all worked towards the same vision. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 16. Establish a common set of values and shared beliefs to break down organizational silos Give more autonomy to employees, while maintaining a strong central framework Develop the ability to continually reallocate resources and reorganize rapidly Look for opportunities outside of industry boundaries E.g. data that shows a new product from an unconventional competitor gaining popularity with customers. Pay attention to where startups are addressing a customer pain point Think hard about leading indicators Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World Staying Tuned to Digital Disruptions Most companies often get so caught up in everyday operations that they don’t take a step back to think about what the future might hold. - Professor Rita McGrath Building Resilient Organizational Structures
  • 17. 17 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW The payment industry is witnessing a lot of disruptions due to startups. If you were the CEO of MasterCard, how would you respond to these disruptions? As CEO, I would first of all look at business practices that are making our customers unhappy. For instance, companies like Visa and MasterCard tend to charge merchants very high interchange fees. I would look at this very seriously because I think what they’re doing is not sustainable. There is bound to be a customer backlash at some point. I would also watch the startups and new entrants operating in this space very closely to see how MasterCard could reinvent itself for the digital world, rather than defend its existing way of doing business. Mobile payment startups like LevelUp have already begun to put pressure on the existing model. When customers use LevelUp’s mobile app to make purchases, merchants need to pay only a fraction of the interchange charges that traditional cards cost them. LevelUp makes this possible by aggregating a large number of transactions through the day before hitting the interchange system once. This could be potentially very disruptive for the payments industry. Interestingly, Apple’s payments model is hurting the banks more than it is hurting the major card companies, even though it is claiming revenues from financial services businesses for itself. It remains to be seen how they will compete when and if their business makes serious inroads into payment behaviour. Would you consider Airbnb to be a threat to the hotel industry? I think there are two ways to look at this. In some ways, we could say that Airbnb has not necessarily been a direct threat to large hotel chains because it has primarily targeted a different customer segment. This is a segment that was not travelling earlier because it could not afford hotel stays. So, in that sense, Airbnb may have extended the size of the overall market without taking away that much business from the large hotel chains. But in the future, Airbnb is likely to be much more of a direct threat to large hotels. We are now starting to see Airbnb break into a market that has long been the staple of large hotels – the business traveller segment. Airbnb offers novelty to business travellers, for whom staying constantly in hotels often becomes an unexciting experience. It is now making it possible for business travellers to get Airbnb stays reimbursed through their corporate accounts. If business travellers start using Airbnb more frequently, I think it could be very disruptive to the existing hotel business. If you were the CEO of a major hotel chain, how would you react to the disruption caused by Airbnb? I would think of ways in which we could become more competitive in comparison to players like Airbnb. So, I would evaluate what makes Airbnb attractive to people besides a lower price. For instance, some people prefer the authentic experience, having a local host, and the personal atmosphere of a private accommodation. And then I would try to see if I could potentially add those attributes to my offer. For example, some hotels are now focusing increasingly on millennials. Millennial business travellers tend to differ from their baby boomer counterparts in how they like to spend time at a hotel. While baby boomers prefer to remain in their room at the end of a long day, millennials like to be in a DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 18. 18 Being stable at the core enables companies to take the right decisions at the right time. more communal and shared environment. So, some hotels are starting to reshape their physical plants to create such environments for Millennials. In your view, how should companies time their shift to new business models? It’s really hard to get the timing right. Companies need to simultaneously disengage from an existing business model while engaging with a new one, which is very tricky. It has to be done very systematically. Companies should start with the early adopters among their customers, shifting them first to a new business model, and then gradually shift more mainstream customers to it. The sequence is important because not all customers will be ready for a new business model at the same time. Netflix, for example, understood that it needed to transition from DVDs to streaming video, but it did not manage the transition correctly. Many of Netflix’s reconfiguration moves infuriated customers. For example, Netflix lost a large number of customers when it decided to split its streaming and DVD businesses into two separate companies. The split meant that each service would Building Resilient Organizational Structures How can companies build an organization that is resilient to disruptions? During the research for my book, I found that stability is the key to creating an organization that is resilient to Giving more autonomy to employees is a big part of creating a resilient organization. Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World have its own separate website and management. While Netflix was convinced that customers would prefer streaming to DVDs, customers were actually very unhappy with this move because it meant that they needed to store their content on both websites if they wanted to continue to access both formats. Further, since DVDs offered more movie choices at that point, it also meant that customers would need to look in both places if they wanted to find what they were looking for. In trying to force the transition on customers who were not ready for it, Netflix made a major strategic mistake. disruption. Being stable at the core enables companies to take the right decisions at the right time. To achieve this stability, companies need to reduce the uncertainty associated with business model transitions. Companies that have been able to survive disruptions successfully have crafted social structures that reduce this uncertainty. In these companies, employees tend to worry less about organizational roles and structures than in less successful companies. In order to create stability, companies should establish a common set of values and shared beliefs. These help break down silos across the organization. Take the US- based electricity distributor Atmos Energy. It has an HR department whose main goal is to implement these common values. When everyone knows all the ground rules, you have this thread of stability that
  • 19. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW runs at the core of how the business operates. And then it becomes much easier to take action quickly and adapt to situations. Should companies give more autonomy to employees to enable a resilient organization? Yes, giving more autonomy to employees is a big part of creating a resilient organization. It is almost impossible for a company to move as fast as some markets are evolving if 19 it operates with a hierarchy that is too rigid. That being said, there is still the need for a strong central framework. A good example here is Ford Motor Company. When Alan Mulally took over as CEO of Ford, the senior team operated in silos and weren’t brilliant at working together. Mulally imposed a centralized structure in which senior executives were required to meet on a weekly basis to go through their business plans and also to hear what was going on in the rest of the company. This brought together people who had different lines of sight on the early warnings of disruption, and leveraged the talent in the top team to help resolve problems. At the same time, it did not take away from the autonomy of the executives to operate in their own business activities.
  • 20. 20 Continuous reconfiguration provides both stability as well as dynamism, unlike a strategy that is based on the notion of sustained competitive advantage. Fast Thinking: Reinventing Strategy for a Digitally-Disrupted World How can large organizations be disruptors themselves? I think large organizations have enormous potential to be disruptors themselves. For example, Google is potentially disrupting the healthcare and automotive segments. The critical criteria for a large organization seeking to be a disruptor is that they have to have appropriate business models and financial structures for the markets they are going after – generally, they won’t succeed if they go into new markets with the same structures they used for existing ones. I have said this for years – industry boundaries are fading and every company should be looking for opportunities outside their own industries. Industry boundaries are fading and every company should be looking for opportunities outside their own industries. Can you tell us about the continuous reconfiguration process that you suggest companies should follow? Continuous reconfiguration implies that companies should develop the ability to continually reallocate resources and reorganize themselves rapidly. I have found that firms that deliver consistent performance over time do this instead of resorting to wrenching restructurings. Continuous reconfiguration provides both stability as well as dynamism, unlike a strategy that is based on the notion of sustained competitive advantage. It encourages companies to disengage from exhausted opportunities and repurpose valuable resources, rather than vainly defending existing competitive advantages. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 21. 21 “Companies need to look for business model by trying to see if there is a mismatch between what the customer wants and what they deliver.” “Companies can spot the early warning signs of disruption by looking at the right data categories – I call these lagging, current and leading indicators.” black swan. If it were that easy, everyone would be able to do it.” - Tim O’Reilly - Serguei Netessine - Rita McGrath - Saul Klein - TimTT O’Reilly “I look for instances where there are really interesting and abundant forms of supply and when a company is either tapping into existing demand or creating demand in ways that would change consumer behavior.” - Rachel Botsman HOW TO ANTICIPATE DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS AND IDENTIFY DISRUPTIVE STARTUPS?
  • 22. 22 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0722 A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age Interview with Philippe Lemoine – Chairman of the Fing (Next Generation Internet Foundation) P hilippe Lemoine is Chairman of the Fing (Next Generation Internet Foundation), the author of numerous reports and books on information technology, a former Co-President of French department store Galeries Lafayette Group and CEO of consumer finance group LaSer. He also serves on several boards. In early 2014, he was asked to lead a government-backed initiative into the digital transformation of the French economy. Drawing on nine months of effort, and the input of over 500 people, the resulting report – “The new grammar of success – The digital transformation of the French economy” – was released in November 2014. Capgemini Consulting spoke with Philippe Lemoine to understand the drivers of digital disruption and the new rules of success that France needs to master in order to thrive in the digital age. A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age
  • 23. 23 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 23 What’s new about this phase – characterized by the word “digital” – is that the technology race is no longer driven by large organizations, but by people. The intensifying impact of technology in the digital age is linked with three factors: automation, dematerialization and changes in the value chain. Understanding the Impact of Digital Disruption While technological transformation has been occurring continually over the last several decades, what sets the digital age apart and makes it so disruptive? To my mind, we entered a new phase in the evolution of technology in 2008 – the year when Apple began marketing the iPhone. What’s new about this phase – characterized by the word “digital” – is that the technology race is no longer driven by large organizations, but by people. People today are equipped with technology to a huge degree and are constantly using new digital tools. And they have found new ways to communicate, invent, consume and share. In your opinion, what are the sources of the digital disruption that we are seeing in almost every sector? Theintensifyingimpactoftechnology in the digital age is linked with three factors:automation,dematerialization andchangestothevaluechain. Increasing automation, driven by digital technologies, is amplifying labor productivity and enhancing efficiency in the use of raw materials andenergy. Dematerialization, which refers to the substitution of physical products and processes with digital alternatives, has its own distinct effects. First, it has led to the emergence of new online channels of communication and distribution that have replaced or transformed physical channels. Second, dematerialization has lowered the marginal cost of production. In a digital economy, the majority of production costs – which include the cost of designing, prototyping and testing – accrue when the first copy of the product is created. The cost of reproduction is virtually zero. Third, dematerialization has lowered transaction costs by facilitatingmoreopenrelationships between internal and external stakeholders in an organization. This has been accompanied by an increase in co-opetition and inter- sectoral competition. Finally, the digital economy has given rise to new actors that are stepping in as intermediaries between traditional businesses and their customers. These new actors are reinventing established business models, which is resulting in the reorganization of traditional value chains. There are two key effects of this reorganization – we see consumers playing new roles and data emerging as an increasingly valuable resource. Companies have found a way to create value, using data as an asset.
  • 24. 24 There is a lot of talk about the potential negative impact of digital on employment, for example. What are the risks of digital disruption, not only for companies, but for society in general? It is a fact that digital technologies have had a major impact on employment. According to the MIT, 47% of jobs in America will either disappear or be fundamentally transformedbydigitaltechnologies. In Europe, 54% of jobs are estimated to be similarly affected. I personally think that digital technologies will create as many as jobs as those that will disappear due to it. The problem, however, is that the institutions that are responsible for making the employment market function are not always effective. Forexample,theyarenotorganized to put digital at the forefront of permanent professional training, which is extremely important. The concept of professional training itself needs to evolve – training needs to be provided throughout an individual’s career. There is also the need for an evolution in the structure and nomenclature of existing jobs, and even in the concept of employment, which is constantly changing due to the diversification of working patterns. On the employment front, the major risk lies in not making the necessary efforts in enhancing training and in understanding what constitutes new employment opportunities in the digital age. 24 On the employment front, the major risk lies in not making the necessary efforts towards enhancing training and in understanding what constitutes new employment opportunities in the digital age. The digital age requires that organizations follow a scheme of letting go and innovating freely, rather than limiting themselves to attaining mastery within their core business. A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age What are the biggest challenges that organizations face in responding to digital disruption? There are three main challenges. First, organizations need to adapt to a whole new “open” culture. They need to increasingly rely on external partners rather than on internal teams alone. Second, organizations need to be able to transform existing jobs to suit the needs of the digital age. The third challenge is the most important. Over the last 20 to 25 years, organizations have functioned DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 according to the notion that they should innovate in line with their DNA and within the bounds of their core business. But, the digital age requires a different approach. Organizations need to let go and innovate freely rather than limiting themselves to mastery within their core business. They need to understand that the rhythm of digital transformation is determined by the customer. As a result, everything must be designed and developed based on the customer’s needs and priorities.
  • 25. 25 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW How should incumbents react to startups that are disrupting their industries? For example, we see a lot of conflict between incumbent taxi service providers and new players like Uber. Should the taxi industry use regulations to counter Uber? I think that the taxi industry is reacting just like any business that feels endangered. But it is dangerous for a profession to surviveonlybecauseofregulation. There are many incumbents in highly regulated sectors, such as the banking industry who believe that they are protected from technological disruptions by existing regulations. I believe that’s a very big mistake that they are making. Sometimes, organizations that are protected by regulations lag in innovation. The worst thing that companies in highly regulated sectors can do is to completely ignore the fact that technology is offering new solutions and making consumers more demanding. You cannot break the progress of technology to maintain an old way of working – you must adapt and transform. 25 Crafting a New Digital Future for France and Europe In your view, how do France and Europe compare with the US when it comes to leveraging the opportunities of the digital age? There is an interesting indicator that illustrates the difference between France, Europe and the US in how they are adapting to technological disruptions. If you take the top 100 companies that are less than 30 years old in France, Europe and the US, you see a very striking trend. France has only 1 such company in its There are many incumbents in highly regulated sectors who believe that they are protected from technological disruptions by existing regulations. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 26. 26 What should France do to adapt to digital transformation? Digital transformation has its own “grammar of success” – there are new rules to be followed. France will need to master these new rules and adapt to the competition of the 21st century. For too long now, France has not been able to unite a realistic view of the future with a bold, utopian one. It is true that France has been traumatized by the bursting of the Internet bubble ten years ago. It is therefore afraid to look naïve again. But we must understand that the context is different now and France must adapt. Great entrepreneurs have a capacity to envision utopia. In France today, large companies, as well as public powers, are quite far from being able to do that. We must change that. How can France emulate new startup ecosystems such as Finland or Israel? I think that we need to distinguish between two things. On the one hand, we need to learn from them and adapt ourselves. But on the other hand, we also need to innovate based on our own values. For example, we should focus on building an egalitarian peer-to-peer Internet architecture – one that creates new rights and new digital freedoms. This message has strong links to the values of Liberty, Equality and Fraternity, which are at the core of the French system. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0726 A New French Revolution? Building a National Economy for the Digital Age top 100, Europe has 9, and the US has 63. This is a very important statistic when you consider that businesses should be creating new markets or new ways of consuming in the digital age. It helps us understand how well a society is adapting to digital innovation. Digital transformation has its own “grammar of success” – there are new rules to be followed. For too long now, France has not been able to unite a realistic view of the future with a bold, utopian one. Why do you think France and Europe have not produced as many digital leaders as the US? I would put it down to the lack of real competition. Take the retail industry for example. In the US, Walmart has implemented huge digital transformation efforts in order to try and compete with, and even beat, Amazon. In the UK as well, companies like Tesco are doing some wonderful things with digital to compete with pure-play digital actors. In France, however, you don’t have many companies that are truly digital, so there isn’t the same intensity of competition. I think that there is a sort of shift that has not taken place in France.
  • 27. 27 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 27 transformation is determined by the customer. As a result, everything must be designed and developed based on the customer’s needs and priorities.” “Companies that only look at lagging indicators tend to systematically under-invest in the in the future… I always recommend that companies really think hard about leading indicators.” transformation was about asking the fundamental question of why the business exists and what purpose it serves.” “Executives need to recognize the speed at which their industries are getting disrupted by new models.” “Giving more autonomy to employees is a big part of creating a resilient organization.” - Tim O’Reilly - Philippe Lemoine - Rita McGrath - Caspar De Bono - Rita McGrath - Rachel Botsman - TTTTimimimimTTTTTTTT OOOO’RRRReieieieillllllllyyyy organizations follow a scheme of letting go and innovating freely, rather than limiting themselves to attaining mastery within their core business.” - Philippe Lemoine SURVIVING & WINNING DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS “It’s important for big companies to think about what their core values are and then think about how new emerging technologies could be incorporated to their strategic advantage.” - Saul Klein
  • 28. 28 The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy Interview with Rachel Botsman – Global Thought Leader @rachelbotsman R achel Botsman is a global thought leader on collaboration and sharing using digital technologies to transform the way we live, work and consume. She has inspired a new consumer economy with her influential book “What’s Mine is Yours: How Collaborative Consumption Is Changing The Way We Live”. Rachel was recently named a 2013 Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum, which recognizes individuals for their commitment to improving the state of the world. In 2014, she was named by Fast Company as one of the ‘Most Creative People in Business.’ Capgemini Consulting spoke with Rachel to understand how companies should adapt their business models for this new collaborative economy. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 29. Collaborative Business Models are Disrupting the Economy What makes the collaborative economy such a disruptive force? The collaborative economy is disruptive for three key reasons. First, it drives a shift from centralized asset-heavy organizations to decentralized asset-light networks and marketplaces. It typically does this by creating business models that enable underutilized assets from spaces to skills to ‘stuff’ to be used more efficiently. Take Airbnb and Hilton Hotels. Unlike Hilton Hotels, Airbnb doesn’t actually own accommodation. Instead, it facilitates access to existing spare rooms, holiday houses, treehouses, castles etc. all around the world. On-demand ride- sharing services such as Lyft and Uber are similar examples from the taxi industry. They don’t own the cars or employ the drivers, but facilitate access to an existing inventory and allow assets be used more efficiently. Second, technology is making it easier for us to trust strangers and to interact, exchange and share in ways that were not possible before. This is giving rise to different forms of peer-to-peer commerce that bypass traditional institutions. 29 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW The third reason relates to the shift in consumer behavior from physicalownershipofassetstoon- demand access. In the digital age, consumers no longer necessarily need to own assets; they can instead pay to access benefits through different service models. We are seeing this emerging from Spotify and Netflix in media, to Zipcar and bike share schemes in transportation, to rental services from Solar City to Rent the Runway. When you consider these three factors, they are all disrupting different industries – from travel to transportation to financial services – in a profound way. There are multiple definitions of the sharing or collaborative economy; what is your definition? I define the sharing economy and collaborativeeconomydifferently. The sharing economy is an economic model based on sharing underutilized assets – including skills, spaces and intellectual property – for monetary or non- monetary benefits. In my view, the sharing economy is the first wave of the bigger collaborative economy. The collaborative economy is a larger concept based on the shift from centralized hierarchical institutions to decentralized networks and communities. It includes ‘sharing’ ventures but also new learning models such as Massive Open Online Courses; decentralized forms of production such as 3D Printing and Makerspaces and many forms of finance such as crowdfunding and peer-to- peer lending. The Collaborative In the digital age, consumers no longer necessarily need to own assets; they can instead pay to access benefits through different service models. The sharing economy is the first wave of the bigger collaborative economy. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 30. 30 Millennials treat mobile phones as remote controls to the physical world. It took Hilton Hotels 93 years to build an inventory of over 600,000 rooms; Airbnb got there in just 4 years, and they now have close to 900,000 rooms. Economy transforms how we can produce, consume, finance, and learn. It may or may not involve asset sharing and includes other behaviors such as renting, lending, bartering, swapping and selling. What is the economic weight of the collaborative economy? Company valuation is probably the most accurate indicator that you can rely on right now to estimate the size of the collaborative economy. Startups like Lending Club, Uber, and Airbnb have multi-billion dollar valuations. So, the market is big and it is getting bigger. To get a better idea of the potential of the collaborative economy, let us look at individual examples. It took Hilton Hotels 93 years to build an inventory of over 600,000 rooms; Airbnb got there in just four years, and they now have close to 900,000 rooms. More importantly, they are at a point from where they can scale up incredibly fast. Another interesting example is BlaBlaCar, which is a true ride-sharing platform. They now transport more than two million people every month, which is more than the Eurostar. Changing Consumer Behavior is Giving Rise to Collaborative Models In what ways is changing consumer behavior, especially among millennials, driving the collaborative economy? There are three factors that are distinctly shaping the behavior of millennials, and driving the collaborative economy. First, millennials are growing up with a different attitude towards sharing and interacting with strangers. These attitudes and behaviors are now dispersing into different areas of their lives. Thus, millennials are more inclined to think about say sharing cars in the same way that they think about sharing photos. The second thing is that millennials view technology differently. For older generations, mobile phones are a tool for digital communication and content, whereas for millennials, they are remote controls to the physical world. Millennials look at their phones The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 to provide them with access to whatever they need, whenever they need it. This “on-demand, instant gratification” culture fits in perfectly with models of access as opposed to those of ownership. The third factor is a backlash against consumerism. If you think of the 80s, the 90s and the early 2000s, you had a generation that defined themselves by how much they consumed. It was an economy built around “I, me and myself”. Today, there is a resurgence of “we” – a revival in the belief of community. We are seeing an entire generation that wants to be a part of brands and experiences that are bigger than the individual self.
  • 31. Millennials think about sharing cars in the same way that they think about sharing photos. 31 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW How can companies identify opportunities in the collaborative space? I have developed a framework to help companies identify opportunities in the collaborative economy. To build the framework, I looked at the real problems that collaborative startups were solving and found five key drivers of disruption. The first driver is waste. Smart entrepreneurs identify an unused asset, create efficiency around it and unlock new forms of value. Airbnb is a great example. Airbnb recognizes that there is unutilized capacity – from holiday homes to spare rooms to tree houses to boats – that they can now make liquid. Today, there is a resurgence of “we” – a revival in the belief of community. We are seeing an entire generation that wants to be a part of brands and experiences which are bigger than the individual self. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 The second driver is redundancy – when there are layers of redundant people or processes that can easily be bypassed using technology. A good example of this would be peer-to-peer currency transfer. Companies like TransferWise or CurrencyFair are becoming popular because they allow you to save as much as 95% on transfer fees. The third driver is complexity. Many collaborative startups find ways to simplify complex and frustrating customer experiences. For example, Uber and Lyft have simplified an otherwise complex and unreliable experience for customers of taxi services. The fourth driver is limited access. For example, many luxury products are out of reach for most people. So we see startups developing systems that enable shared access to such products. TakethecaseofBMW-on-Demand where you are not required to have full ownership of the car, but you get shared access to it and are charged by the minute meaning you only pay for usage. The last driver is broken trust. This comes into the picture when trust in big institutions is broken, and people who want to trust their peers can interact with them directly. An example is the massive rise of peer-to-peer lending, provided by platforms like Funding Circle and Zopa.
  • 32. It took Hilton Hotels 93 years to build an inventory of over 600,000 rooms Airbnb got there in just 4 years, and now has close to 900,000 rooms BlaBlaCar, a ride sharing platform, now transports more than 2 million people every month This is more than the number of people transported by Eurostarevery month Transforming Consumer Pain Point into Disruption Opportunity Collaborative Business Models are Disrupting the Economy Consumer Pain Point Disruption Opportunity Waste Redundant Intermediaries Limited Access Complexity Broken Trust Airbnb provides access to private accommodation TransferWise enables peer-to-peer currency transfer Uber gives a simplified, hassle-free experience to riders BMW-on-Demand enables people to ride luxury BMW cars at a much lower cost Funding Circle facilitates peer-to-peer lending Consumers no longer need to necessarily own assets; they can instead access benefits through different service models. - Rachel Botsman Collaborative Business Models: Shaping a New Economy © Rachel Botsman
  • 33. 33 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW The B2B space will be the goldmine of the collaborative economy. Music majors spent 10 years fighting Napster, and while they were doing so, iTunes, Spotify and Pandora emerged. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 GE has partnered with Quirky to open up unused patents to innovators to start building products and solutions. Can you give us some examples of companies that are adapting their business model and joining the collaborative economy? Let us start with the automotive sector. Many of the major brands are realizing that the future of their business is probably not in selling cars, but in providing mobility services. Thus, Volkswagen has launched a car-sharing service called Volkswagen Quicar. Similarly, BMW, Daimler and other major brands have either launched or acquired car-sharing services. If we look at sectors like hospitality, Marriott has partnered with LiquidSpace to give people access to workspace on-demand within their hotels. Another interesting angle is to think of idle assets in the form of intellectual property. For example, GE has partnered with Quirky to open up unused patents to innovators to start building products and solutions. There are examples in the B2B space too. The idea of an unutilized asset being made liquid applies strongly to B2B markets. For example, Getable is a startup that provides a rental marketplace for tools and construction equipment, allowing tons of unutilized capacity to be opened up. Without a doubt, though there are currently fewer examples, the B2B space will be the goldmine of the collaborative economy. Bigger Companies Need to Adapt to the New Rules of the Game How do you convince CXOs to launch collaborative business models that can look quite marginal compared with the rest of their business? Executives need to recognize the speed at which their industries are getting disrupted by these new models. Companies like Airbnb and Uber are examples of how fast disruptions are happening. Also, executives are starting to realize that besides value destruction, where these companies could take away their margins, there is also scope for a lot of value creation. They can reach new audiences and create value from existing assets in various innovative ways. How do you think incumbents respond to disruptive innovation? Are they doing it right? I have seen traditional incumbents respond to disruptive innovation in three ways; ostriches, fighters or pioneers. ’Ostriches’ are when the organization tends to dismiss disruption as a short-term trend that will go away, and is not really a threat. ’Fighters’ are when an incumbent acknowledges that the threat is not going to go away, and decides to fight it with the law or regulatory battles. The third and most progressive response is where an incumbent chooses to be a ‘pioneer’ and embraces the change.
  • 34. 34 The Power of Sharing: How Collaborative Business Models are Shaping a New Economy DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 If you were the CEO of a big hotel chain, how would you try to counter the threat of Airbnb? I think that Airbnb will transform the entire ecosystem of travel. From the perspective of a hotel, the biggest threat of Airbnb is the hyper-personalization that it can offer. You know, when I check into a hotel, I do not remember the person at the reception. But I do remember my Airbnb hosts. Thus, hotels need to see how they actually compete with the level of customization and personalization that is embedded into the brand of Airbnb. I would also pay close attention to One Fine Stay who I think will crack the super luxury end of the market. They are providing the services of a five star hotel in multi-million dollar homes. Executives are starting to realize that besides value destruction, where these companies could take away their margins, there is also scope for a lot of value creation. Peeking into the Crystal Ball Going forward, what are the sectors that are most likely to be disrupted by the collaborative economy? Financialserviceswithoutadoubt, because if you think of the five drivers that we discussed earlier, they are strongly applicable to financial services. Healthcare is another – there may be very little activity in this sector at present, but we will see a lot of it over the next couple of years. The utilities sector also has a lot of potential. Forexample,thereisaninteresting platform called Vandebron based in the Netherlands that connects renewable energy providers directly with customers. For example, one wind turbine can power about two hundred households – think of a scenario where customers and providers can find one another and form contracts in less than five minutes. It is a peer-to-peer marketplace and a classic case of disintermediation. These are highly regulated industries, but this is where I think there will be shifts in the business model, and established brands will start to do interesting things that could be difficult for startups to achieve. How do you identify disruptive startups? It involves an assessment of multiple factors. One way is to see the value of the unutilized asset that the startup is trying to unlock or make liquid. Another way is to look at the magnitude and importance of the problem that it is trying to solve. I also look at opportunities where supply and demand are broken and ‘providers’ and customers both want to interact in new ways. In short, I look for instances where there are really interesting and abundant forms of supply and when a company is either tapping into existing demand or creating demand in ways that would change consumer behavior. Beyond the collaborative economy, we are seeing many new technologies emerging. What are the key technologies that are going to transform our economies over the next few years? Technologies related to identity, such as cross-platform identity and reputation systems are going to emerge in a big way. Related technologies such as geo location, payments and data privacy are also going to get a boost. Biometrics and nanotechnology are two other spaces that I think are really interesting.
  • 36. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0736 15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley 15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley Brian Solis – Altimeter Group @briansolis T his is a perspective that originates in Silicon Valley, but is certainly not limited to it. Innovation can happen anywhere, by anyone, at any time. As a digital analyst, it’s my job to track disruptive technology and its impact on business and consumer markets. As a digital anthropologist, I also study how new technology affects consumer behavior and expectations. In this list of 15 companies to watch this year, there is a wide range of companies that are disrupting existing markets or creating new ones. But this elite group is hardly complete. It’s merely a conversation starter and a call for you and your business to start to think and act like a startup so that you become the disruptor in your space rather than the disrupted.
  • 37. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 37 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW With a valuation of $41 billion at the time of this writing, it’s not the newest startup on the list. However, this company is going (or maybe has gone by the time you read this) public. In a story thatranonCNNattheendof2014, Uber was listed as the “Alibaba of 2015.” The company is using current investments to expand markets around the world. At the same time, there isn’t enough money in Uber’s bank account nor enough influence to simply walk into new markets without political resistance. But make no mistake, if and when Uber IPOs, the transportation industry will get Uberized and every other market where startups refer to themselves as “the Uber of…” will be further encouraged to disrupt their respective markets. www.uber.com Asamotorcyclerider,I’minstantly drawn to this company. In 2015, Skully is going to introduce a smart helmet that merges the real and augmented world for drivers. The company’s AR-1 is by far the most advanced motorcycle helmet ever developed. At the center of the user experience is a heads up display (HUD) that provides an intuitive Google Glass-like view inside the helmet. Add to that a rear-facing 180-degree camera, bluetooth connectivity, embedded battery and speakers among many other features, and the AR-1 starts to take shape. More so, it’s what hasn’t been debuted or invented yet that truly holds the promise for the future of riding and transportation in general. Imagine embedded sensors that talk to “smart” cars on the road to prevent drivers from swiping, clipping or intercepting riders. Essentially, the helmet becomes a platform for innovation on the bike, surrounding cars and also in traffic engineering. www.skullysystems.com I love the vibe of this little French company. While Uber and AirBnB are the most well known representatives of the so-called sharing economy, BlaBlaCar is solving the underserved market for people looking to carpool to long-distance locations. Whereas someone might take the train, bus or fly, there are always others willing to drive. With BlaBlaCar, drivers and passengers can connect to offset expenses and also make new friends, all while making the trip a bit more interesting. I expect this service to take off around the world in 2015 while also spawning potential competitors in each country. www.blablacar.com Founder Jeremy Johnson is introducing an incredible new paradigm for education, but with a twist. He believes that Africa as a continent and economic power, is grossly underestimated. He’s willing to back up his belief with his time, money and resources. Andela is a uniqueprogramthatunitesqualified African students (regardless of age or income) with invaluable access to leading developers who teach them to code. More so, Andela pays students to learn so that they do not acquire debt as many students do in the United States, for instance. And, once students graduate, they become part of a workforce that serves a thriving roster of companies hiring in-demand developers for important projects. www.andela.co Innovation can happen anywhere, by anyone, at any time.
  • 38. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0738 15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley The world of virtual reality will finally become a reality in 2015. The Facebook-owned startup will ship public beta this year and it will transform the way consumers experience the digital world. You should also be prepared to take motion sickness medication if you’re easily upset. But once you immerse yourself in these new worlds, coming back to reality will be a bit difficult. While initially aimed at the gaming world, the potential for virtual engagement spans exploration, entertainment and education across existing and not-yet-imagined applications. www.oculus.com Silicon Valley is always in search of its unicorns: those companies destined to join the billion-dollar club.Oneofthecompaniesstoking the imagination is Magic Leap, a company based in Florida that recently claimed notable science fiction author and game designer Neal Stephenson as its Chief Futurist. Stephensen revealed in a post that he was lured to Magic Leap after seeing a demonstration of the company’s technology. “Magic Leap is mustering an arsenal of techniques…to produce a synthesized light field that falls upon the retina in the same way as light reflected from real objects in your environment,” he shared. Like Oculus, it will cater to gamers as well as “readers, learners, scientists, and artists.” www.magicleap.com Makerbot is the darling of consumer-facing 3D printing. We can all appreciate that 3D printing is going to completely transform every industry and also supporting supply chains. But, at the same time, Makerbot is going to teach consumers, slowly at first but faster over time, how to think differently about products and parts. It’s not unheard of to think about 3D printing something you might need rather than buying it. Or, you might order up a recipe from a particular manufacturer to print upgrades or replacement parts. This capability will only become more advanced. In mid- to-late 2015, MakerBot will create new composite filaments and supporting tech for its printers to enable consumers to print prototypes with bronze, maple wood, and iron-like materials. www.makerbot.com On the subject of 3D printing, imagine owning hardware that could clone artifacts simply by rendering a 3D model on the fly. Fuel3D is the developer of SCANIFY, an affordable handled 3D-scanner that could do just that. The technology was originally designed for the medical imaging market. But now, with SCANIFY, consumers, businesses, and also industry professionals will have the ability to 3D-scan objects for a variety of applications. Partnered with Makerbot or other 3D printers, the possibilities are mind-boggling. www.fuel-3d.com Everyone seems to be talking about Instacart. In December 2014, the company raised a whopping 100 million at a valuation of $2 billion to allow consumers to order groceries from their phone or desktop and have them delivered to their door in less than an hour. If you lived through Web 1.0 and the dotbomb bust like I did, you might automatically recall Webvan. But
  • 39. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 39 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW the difference here is that Instacart employs a new generation of the on-demand freelance workforce. Watch this space though. Even if Instacart isn’t the clear winner, Google’s Shopping Express and AmazonFresh will collectively build-out an on- demand market for groceries. At the same time, they’ll further condition consumers to expect and get whatever they want, when and how they want it. www.instacart.com Everyone remembers the digital picture frames that adorned desks and walls everywhere. Just kidding. For some reason, the digital frame market never really materialized to push old school paper pictures and posters out of the mainstream. But, Electric Objects is taking a new approach to make digital art relevant in an analog world. The idea is to rethink what art could be and how it lives digitally, whether it’s on a wall or on a desk. The company secured $1.7 million in funding in 2014 and then raised an additional $800,000 on Kickstarter later in the year. The company is introducing a digital frame that is controllable via a mobile or desktop app. It is also working with artists to commission a new genre of living digital art to bring these frames alive beyond static imagery. www.electricobjects.com Messaging is the new social media. And anonymous posting rooted in geo-location community forums is the new messaging according to Yik Yak. Consumers - mostly from the college and high school demographics - are flocking to it in droves. Yik Yak is an app that allows anyone to post anything without a username. In fact, you don’t even need a password to log in. The timeline of Yik Yak looks like Twitter, operates like Whisper or Secret, and feels a lot like Reddit. The most interesting thing though is that all engagement is done without photos or handles. Since the app is localized, those users within 1.5 miles of the message can read it. www.yikyakapp.com As of October 2014, Slack was the fastest-growing workplace software ever. It’s a pretty astounding feat considering that the company launched in 2014 and, just nine months later, announced $120 million in funding with a valuation of $1.12 billion. It’s been called a fancy chat room. Instead, it brings unbundled conversations strewn across multiple apps back to one place. It is also a powerful repository of all company engagement tied to a powerful search platform. The pitch for Slack is that it makes you more productive by reducing the amount of time you spend on other productivity-related tasks. P.S. Slack is brought to you by Stewart Butterfield, co-founder of the now Yahoo-owned Flickr photo service. In 2015, you will also see Facebook at Work rollout slowly at first and then at scale as time and the app age a bit. It is designed to help groups of users collaborate, share documents and manage projects in the workplace. My partner at Altimeter Group – Charlene Li – asked why Facebook
  • 40. for a generous sum, not because the company’s assets are usable, but because the team is talented enough to apply to another more profitable effort. Enter ExitRound. Founded by Jacob Mullins and Greg Dean, ExitRoundisaprivate,anonymous marketplace for buyers and sellers of technology companies. It helps buyers find technology companies that fit squarely within their target. ExitRound also eliminates inbound chaos by automating prospecting. Essentially, buyers only speak to companies that fit their strategic interests. This also optimizes potential exits for startups. In the end, these types of deals come down to human relationships and people. The software, if you will, applies a sophisticated human algorithm that creates unmatched efficiency and desirable outcomes. While this is traditionally done through highly connected personal networks, there appeared to be an opportunity to add marketplace dynamics and algorithmic sophistication to gain a high level of scale in connecting buyers and sellerswhomaybeaperfectmatch, but otherwise may not have met. www.exitround.com Brands are always looking for ways to capitalize on the latest trends. PopUp shops continue to cause a stir among connected consumers. We Are Pop Up is basically the AirBnB of temporary retail space, connecting landlords and temporary tenants with commercial grade space. The result is a creative, short-term use of space to engage customers, generate buzz and also test new ideas. www.wearepopup.com You caught me. There’s no startup by this name. But, the space as a whole is one to watch this year. Google is, of course, a big investor in essentially making a version of Google Maps for theinsideofspacesusedbythepublic such as airports, malls, buildings, etc. Apple is too. There have been several recent acquisitions in fact, with major brands vying for a top spot. Last September, Baidu invested $10 million in Finnish mapping startup Indoor Atlas. The applications are great. From retail to real estate to general consumer navigation, indoor mapping is worthy of tracking this year and next. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0740 15 Companies to Watch in 2015: A Personal View from the Valley should or would venture down this path. Her answer was this, “Easy, they can.” She pointed out that Facebook has been using this tool internally for the last four years, and think it’s robust enough to launch for the general public. “We have a long history of successfully connecting people and connecting businesses,” said Elisabeth Diana, corporate communications director at Facebook. “It’s a worthwhile test to explore.” As Charlene notes, enterprises could potentially have a hard time keeping employees on Chatter, Yammer, or other internal social networks when the Facebook interface is already so familiar and functional. www.slack.com It’s not a secret that Silicon Valley and any worthy tech epicenter around the world is burgeoning with new cash aimed at funding new startups. We all know, however, that most of the new startups, even those that are the most promising, are likely to fail. All hope is not lost. There are several possible exits beyond demise. Aquirehires are most prevalent of course. This is where Company “A” buys Company “B” Indoor Mapping
  • 41. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 41 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW “All sectors that have been disrupted will be disrupted again because of mobile and social.” “In the near term, I think any sector that is based on a brokerage model will be vulnerable to disruption.” “Financial Services without a doubt.” enormous amount of potential for disruption.” - Tim O’Reilly - Saul Klein - David Cohen - Saul Klein - Rachel Botsman - TTTTimimimimTTTTTTTT OOOO’RRRReieieieillllllllyyyy “In the long-term, crypto-currencies and crypto-equities could potentially - David Cohen WHERE WILL DISRUPTION HIT NEXT? “Healthcare is another sector up for disruption – there may be very little activity in this sector at present, but we will see a lot of it over the next couple of years.” - Rachel Botsman
  • 44. 44 The Silicon Network: How Big Corporates and Digital Startups Can Create a More Innovative World DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0744 The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world Interview with David Cohen – Founder, Managing Partner, and CEO - Techstars @davidcohen D avid Cohen is the founder, Managing Partner, and CEO of mentorship- driven startup accelerator Techstars. Techstars provides startups with seed funding, intensive mentorship, and a network of mentors and alumni. Previously, David was a founder of several software and web technology companies. He is an active startup advocate and technology advisor. He also serves as a member of the Entrepreneurial Advisory Board at the Silicon Flatirons Center for Law, Technology, and Entrepreneurship at the University of Colorado. Capgemini Consulting spoke with David Cohen to understand his views on disruptive startups and ways in which large organizations can engage with startups to cope with digital disruptions.
  • 45. 45 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Nurturing Innovation: A Glimpse into Techstars Can you give us an overview of how Techstars works? Techstars provides startups with seed funding and mentorship. Every year we run 14 programs with 10 startups each. Our mentor pool is made up of 1,200 mentors who are among the most notable entrepreneurs in places like New York, Boston or London. Each company that is accepted into a Techstars program gets to engage with 10 mentors on an average. So far we have funded 484 companies, 56 of which have been acquired through M&A transactions. About $1.1 billion in venture capital has flowed into these companies, and their combined market capitalization is over $3 billion. We also run programs in partnership with large corporates. For instance, we have partners like Disney, Barclays, Sprint, Kaplan, and others for whom we run accelerator programs. What is the secret to Techstars’ success? I would have to say it’s the network around Techstars. The Techstars network has over 3,000 entrepreneurs, mentors, investors, and corporate partners. The network is a huge competitive advantage because it allows entrepreneurs to avoid the mistakes that others have made and also gives them access to introductions or business connections intopracticallyanywhereintheworld. But I think that most entrepreneurs undervalue the importance of a powerful network, especially early in theircareer. What are the criteria that Techstars uses to select startups for its accelerator program? Wereceiveabout1,000applications for each of our 14 programs – so that’s nearly 14,000 companies applying to us every year. Of these, we pick only about 1%. Since these are early stage startups, there’s typically not a lot of revenue to look at. So we use other criteria. First, we look at the team running the startup. We put a lot of DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 45 Our mentor pool is made up of 1,200 mentors who are among the most notable entrepreneurs in places like New York, Boston or London. I think that most entrepreneurs undervalue the importance of a powerful network, especially early in their career. emphasis on who the founders are, and what their skills are. We really try to understand the source of their passion, and how they imagine the world differently. That gives us a sense of how disruptive the startup can be. We then look at the market that the startup is trying to address. We look at whether that market is changing, growing or shrinking. Next, we look for some form of progress because we believe that entrepreneurs actually do things, rather than just talk about doing things. Finally, we look at the idea. We deliberately put that last, because we know that the idea often changes significantly.
  • 46. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0746 How should large companies respond to disruptions? Large companies can either continue to focus on what they are doing and hope that they won’t get disrupted or they can be proactive and participate in the disruption. By helping a startup be successful, for instance, they will be in a position to make that first offer to acquire it, invest in it or partner with it. If they do not engage with the startup community, they might be the last ones to know of a disruption. By then, it can also be too late. Should you really engage with a disruptive startup that is planning to reduce your margins by 90%? Yes. I think it’s counterintuitive, but I think that’s exactly right. So, if that’s what they’re planning, they’re either going to be successful or they’re going to fail. By investing in them or acquiring them, you can have a relationship that’s symbiotic and beneficial to both parties. Being around the disruption at the early stages – and spotting it before others do – gives you a competitive advantage and you can help the startup grow at the same time. flow of services or limiting the availability of inventory. In the taxi industry, for example, brokers were charging 50% to 60% of the fare, while the driver received just 40%. Both Airbnb and Uber saw a future where such imbalances are corrected and where resources are used more efficiently. Uber, for instance, saw a future with fewer cars, where fewer people would have to own a second car, and where the world would be more efficient with its roads and transportation. I think that’s the ingredient for true disruption – being able to vividly imagine the future with a 10-20 year horizon, in a way that impacts a large number of people. Both Airbnb and Uber were able to do that. Understanding Digital Disruptions: An Accelerator’s Perspective Why are we seeing so many disruptions in recent years? I think the fundamental reason is that the Internet has become really accessible in the last 20 years. We are seeing more disruptions as the Internet matures, as Internet speeds get faster, and as the knowhow to develop systems on the Internet gets cheaper, faster, and better. In fact, the speed of innovation is just vastly different today than it was 20 years ago, because of the maturity of the Internet. What makes startups like Airbnb and Uber truly disruptive? I think Airbnb and Uber are quite similar. They are both operating in what I call “imbalanced marketplaces”. These are markets where there is some sort of a broker that is controlling the First, we look at the team running the startup. We put a lot of emphasis on who the founders are, and what their skills are. Both Airbnb and Uber saw a future where imbalances are corrected and where resources are used more efficiently. The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
  • 47. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 47 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW vertical that is of interest to the partner. Techstars runs the program and is also the investor. The corporates don’t take direct equity in the startup; they don’t take rights to follow on or acquire the startup or anything like that. They simply provide mentors and access to their technologies. So it’s a pure “give first” approach that they follow. I think that the corporates we work with have really figured out that it’s not about what you can get. It’s about being around the activity and seeing the innovation, assisting it, and building relationships with the entrepreneurs who really matter. Could you give us a concrete example of how a large company has benefited from the Techstars program? Nike is a good example. When Nike launched its NikeFuel APIs, we picked 10 startups run by very talented entrepreneurs that would be the first 10 companies in the world to ever experience those APIs. Nike executives were able to literally watch how the startups used their APIs. The feedback that they got from the entrepreneurs was very valuable and I think the APIs meaningfully improved because of that experience. Nike also struck business deals with several of the startups directly, and I think in one case even might be able to engage with them through a revenue share agreement or as investors. That way we would get to be part of the disruption rather than have to compete with it. Learning from Startups Very often, we see large companies struggling to work with startups. In your view, what are the reasons for this? We’ve seen many corporate venture funds and incubators come and go. The reason is they don’t have a long-term view. They’re not purely focused on helping the startups. It’s all about, “How can we fund a company that helps us be successful?” That’s not what startups care about. Startups care about their vision of the world and how they’re going to achieve it. How can large companies participate in accelerator programs such as Techstars? At Techstars, we partner with corporates to run vertically focused programs. For example, we partner with Kaplan on education technology, with Barclays on financial technology, with Disney on entertainment technology, and so on. We filter the startups that we accept into our programs based on the There is another strategy, which is defensive acquisition: you acquire the startup and you kill it! This is not the best strategy but certainly an option if you want to gain some time. A better option is to grow the startup and create a barrier to the next person coming along and just doing the same thing. If you were leading a major hotel chain, how would you respond to the Airbnb disruption? I would want to engage with them very early on. Hotels have a large distribution network through their relationships with travel listing sites. I would say to Airbnb: “We have a relationship with Expedia and the other travel listing sites. Why don’t we help get you on there?” By helping Airbnb with our distribution network, we We’ve seen many corporate venture funds and incubators come and go. The reason is they don’t have a long-term view. They’re not purely focused on helping the startups.
  • 48. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0748 vertical search engines for that. So, we’ve invested in vertical search firms like Mocavo and Next Big Sound. In your view, what are the startups to watch in 2015? I think PivotDesk is a really interesting company to watch. PivotDesk’s model is working really well where it connects businesses that are looking to rent office space with companies that have space to spare. Businesses get to pay for office space on a month-by-month basis rather than having to commit to long- term leases. PivotDesk has recently expanded to overseas markets as well. DigitalOcean is an interesting startup in the infrastructure space. It’s a New York-based firm that provides a simple and easy-to-use web hosting service. Then there are companies like SendGrid. SendGrid is now delivering about 2% of the world’s legitimate e-mail and growing really fast. It sounds really easy to deliver e-mail, but it’s not. It turns out that 10% to 20% of legitimate corporate e-mail isn’t received by the recipient. And it’s really hard to scale your infrastructure to support so much outbound e-mail. SendGrid does that as a service. Looking Ahead: Future Sources of Digital Disruption What are the themes that your deal flow focuses on? Our areas of focus include “imbalanced marketplaces”. We believe that the day of the broker who takes a 50% cut is just gone; it’s not going to work. So, we’re looking at “imbalanced marketplaces” or unfair markets and at companies like Uber, Airbnb and PivotDesk that are trying to correct the imbalance by taking spare resources and allocating them more efficiently. We focus a lot on human computer interaction. In a 20- year horizon, the way we interact with computers will be completely different. We look for startups that are finding new ways to interact with data and information. One example of a company in that space is Oblong, which we’ve invested in. If you remember the movie “Minority Report”, this was literally those people. They’re inventing new ways to interact with computers. We’re also really interested in vertical search engines. We still believe that it’s too hard to find some things in the online world. Google is not the answer to everything. It’s easier to find a flight because you have great acquired an interest in one of them. I remember the media headlines “Nike gets startups.” Priceless for them. What are the key lessons that large companies can take from startups? I think a key lesson for large corporates is that they need to thinkandoperatedifferentlyifthey want to innovate. Unlike startups, large corporates have too many processes that really slow things down. To be innovative, they need to move away from their normal processes for budgeting, go-to- market, or marketing. They need to have a new way of doing things. But a lot of large corporations look at entrepreneurship and say, “It’s hard for us to go back to those days.” One way for them to create an innovation culture within the organization is to engage with the entrepreneur community and learn from startups. We look for startups that are finding new ways to interact with data and information. The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world
  • 49. Building an Innovative World: When Corporates and Startups Work in Tandem Fostering Innovation: How Techstars Works Accelerating Innovation: How Techstars Helps Large Enterprises Innovate Looking Forward: Potential Disruptors of the Future 14,000applications a year, only about 1%get picked Nurtures a large network of 1200 mentors, most are notable entrepreneurs Invests in startups and provides mentorship through 14 programswith 10 startups each, every year Techstars provides investment, staff and processes to run ‘accelerator’ programs in partnership with corporates Enterprises provide mentors and access to their technologies Nike and Barclays benefited from learning and partnering with startups through Techstars Imbalanced marketplaces are ripe for disruption - companies like Uber, Airbnb and PivotDesk correct such imbalances Startups like Oblong are working in the exciting domain of Human-Computer Interaction Vertical search engines, such as Mocavo and Next Big Sound, allow focused search in a domain Startups working on crypto-equities and crypto-currencies
  • 50. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0750 The Silicon Network: How Big Corporate and Digital Startups can create a more innovative world everywhere else. We believe that you can build Internet software companies just as well in Dublin, Tokyo or Tel-Aviv, and we want to be part of such up-and-coming startup communities around the world. In the near term, I think any sector that is based on a brokerage model will be vulnerable to disruption. Real-estate is an example of such a sector. Here in the US, you pay a 6% brokerage fee even if it takes just two days to sell a house after it’s listed online. The market needs to be more flexible, and technologycanhelpwiththat.So,I think you’ll see startups that come in with transactional systems that address the inefficiencies in the brokerage model. We are working with one such startup that charges a brokerage fee commensurate with the effort involved in a sale. We see more and more tech hubs across the world in countries such as Finland and Israel. Is Techstars planning to be present in tech hubs outside the UK or the US? Yes, absolutely! People ask me all the time, “David, are you anti-Silicon Valley?” I say, “No, not at all!” It’s not that we’re anti-Silicon Valley. We’re pro What are the sectors that will be disrupted the most over the next few years based on what you can see? In the long-term, crypto- currencies and crypto-equities could potentially disrupt the financial world. We recently funded a crypto-equities startup that allows you to invest in a company without ever using traditional money. I think that this has the potential to disrupt the global economy and banking systems. It’s still a use-case currently.Buttome,it’sapotential Internet-scale disruption that could change the way we transact. In the near term, I think any sector that is based on a brokerage model will be vulnerable to disruption.
  • 52. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 075252 Black swan startups: Spotting tomorrow’s big digital disruptors Black Swan Startups: Spotting Tomorrow’s Big Digital Disruptors S aul Klein is a Partner with Index Ventures, one of the largest venture capital firms specializing in technology investments. Saul has 20 years of experience in building tech companies in both the US and Europe. He is the co-founder of Kano and Seedcamp; he also co-founded and was the original CEO of Lovefilm International, which was acquired by Amazon; and part of the original executive team at Skype, which was acquired by eBay. Capgemini Consulting spoke to Saul Klein to examine the disruptive impacts of startups and their implications for traditional incumbents. Interview with Saul Klein – Partner with Index Ventures @cape
  • 53. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 53 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW The Rise of Big Bang Disruptions Could you give us an overview of Index Ventures? Index Ventures is an early-stage venture capital firm, founded in 1996 with €3 billion under management across various funds. We have a portfolio of 140 companies across 20 countries and 39 cities, in almost all sectors where technology is a disruptive force. The combined revenues of these companies amount to around €6.5 billion, with an average growth rate of circa 117%, and employing 25,000 people. Over just the last 12 months, we have had 10 companies that have gone publicorexitedatmorethanabillion dollars.TheyincludeKing,Criteo,Just Eat, Arista, Climate Corporation and Supercell. Many of our companies reachthe100millionmarkinrevenue in less than five years. Some of them are generating billions in revenue in less than three years. How do you assess the disruptive potential of startups? Well, there is never one specific thing. Spotting disruption is like finding a black swan. If it were that easy, everyone would be able to do it. However, the things that we look out for are: market opportunity, strong leadership, and a product that fundamentally changes the customer experience within that sector. The market and leadership team are relatively easy to ascertain, but the product or customer experience are more difficult. In sector after sector, we are looking for businesses that are delivering a product that serves a real need. But the mode of delivering that need should change the dynamics of the industry in a way that it becomes hard for incumbents to compete. 53 Spotting disruption is like finding a black swan. If it were that easy, everyone would be able to do it. You recently argued that it takes less and less time to create $10 billion in value today. Does it mean that we are now seeing more big bang disruptions? Yes, absolutely, we will see more and more big bang disruptions. Let’s be clear on one point – the Internet changes everything. There are three billion people connected to the Internet with smart phones, which is going to increase to nearly six billion in the next five years. Until 10 years ago, the Internet was only used by 300 million people, mainly in the U.S. and Western Europe. With the growing addressable market, the opportunities are 10x, 20x, or 50x bigger on the consumer side than 10 years ago. On the enterprise side, it used to take six to twelve months to land a $1 million annual contract. Today, you can get to 10,000 customers with virtually no sales force. Also, until a few years back, the customer base of cloud computing and SaaS was the Fortune 500. Today, it’s the Fortune 5 Million. Businesses are witnessing customer growth and revenue growth at extraordinary speeds. The emergence of a new entrepreneurial culture is certainly accentuating this new wave of disruptions. We recently conducted researchandfoundthat,onFacebook, there are 55 million people interested
  • 54. 54 Do you believe that big businesses are not tech-savvy enough? It is not that big companies do not take tech seriously. Most big companies spend over a billion dollars a year on IT. Whether they spend it wisely or not is a completely different matter. Big companies do not get enough exposure to the truly innovative technology and business models that start-ups are involved with. This is because big companiesfocusonbuyingfrombig companies, and not really engaging with small companies. But before you know it, these small companies are actually pretty big, driving most of the technology changes. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0754 capacity for risk taking. All these factors together put the incumbent in a tough spot. Incumbents have huge assets in terms of their balance sheets, distribution channels and humancapital.However,unlessthey are prepared to be aggressive and take risks, it is very hard to compete. in entrepreneurship. This is a huge numberandnotfarfromtheamountof peoplewhoareinterestedincelebrities like Beyoncé or Ronaldo. People starting their own businesses has become a mainstream phenomenon. Becoming an entrepreneur is also much more accessible: the tools of production are now incredibly low- cost; the distribution platforms – app stores and social media – are often free; and the ability to access capital through platforms like crowdfunding iswidelyandgloballyavailable. Big Companies Reacting to Digital Disruptions Why do you think big companies are not well equipped to combat disruption from startups? I think there are a number of different levels. Firstly, startups have a cost base – OpEx and CapEx – that is radically different from the incumbent. Incumbents have high legacy cost in everything from infrastructure to IT. Trying to compete with someone who has a lightweight or a cloud-based cost base is difficult. Secondly, very few incumbents have boards or C-suites that are equipped with the right digital skills compared to the strong digital skills that startups have. Finally, incumbents have profit pools that they are perpetually trying to protect, restricting their Very few incumbents have boards or CXO suites that are equipped with the right digital skills. Black swan startups: Spotting tomorrow’s big digital disruptors You also need a C-suite that really understands technology. What companies need is a board or a C-suite that really challenges and critiques the company’s IT/ technology investments. This is a board that would point to the results achieved by startups and question why their company cannot emulate them. For example, they might point to Adyen – a payments technology firm – that can process billions of transactions in 130 countries at much lower cost. Or Instagram, which built a global network of 400 million people with 30 developers. How do you think big companies should react to disruption from smaller, newer players? It’s important for big companies to think about what their core values are and then think about how emerging technologies – robotics, virtual reality, AI, etc – could be incorporated to their strategic advantage. One of the reasons that bigcompanieshavebeeninbusiness foralongtimeisbecausetheyhavea set of values that has been successful over time. Companies like GE or Marks & Spencer – which have been in business for over a hundred years – have been successful because they are consistent with their values. Companies succeed best when they are true to who they are, not when they try and be something that they are not.
  • 55. 55 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Is acquiring the disruptor a good approach to fight back? Ithinkitabsolutelyneedstobeapart of the toolkit. However, companies have not been great at doing that. When you look at innovation, 80 to 90% of risky innovation fails, but it is the 10 to 20% that succeed that create 40% of your profit pool. In the venture business, 62% of the capital that you invest returns 1x or below. So, let’s apply that thinking to M&A. The wrong way to think about M&A is that every acquisition I make is going to succeed. The right way to think of M&A is that some will succeed and some will fail. I will significantly overpay on some companies and I will massively underpay on others. If Google bought YouTube today, it would be $50 to 100 billion. They bought it at 1.6, and everyone thought they were insane. We see many big companies investing in accelerators and acquiring incubators. Do you believe this is the right approach to engage with the startup ecosystem? Big companies will truly engage with the startup ecosystem when they spend between 5% and 25% of their tech and innovation budget with a small company. Accelerators are nothing but Corporate Social Responsibility. They help big companies participate 55 The right way to think of M&A is some will succeed and some will fail. I will significantly overpay on some companies and I will massively underpay on others. We will see more and more big bang disruptions. in the ecosystem and gain visibility. However, it means nothing until there is commercial engagement that happens through procurements and purchase orders. Europe as a Startup Hub Is Europe catching up with the US on the startup front? Itisclearthatbillion-dollarcompanies now come from anywhere in the world and not just from Silicon Valley. However, it is much easier to be an enterprise company in the Bay Area because big companies in the Bay Area are earlier adopters of new technology.
  • 56. Nurturing the Innovators: An Overview of Index Ventures Many companies reach 100 million in revenues in less than five years Combined revenues of €6.5 billion,,average growth rate of 117%, 25,000 employees Portfolio of 140 companies across 20 countries and 39 cities € € 100 How Should Big Companies React to Disruptions? Digitally equip your C-suite Embrace technology, but stick to your core values 80 to 90%of risky innovation fails that succeeds Apply the same mindsetto acquisitions Acquire Startups, but be Prepared for Failures Spotting the Digital Disruptors of Tomorrow The 10 to 20% creates of your profit pool
  • 57. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 57 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW Looking Ahead Which are the key startups to watch for in 2015? On the enterprise side you have companies like Hortonworks in Big Data, Pure Storage in the storage sector or Dropbox in cloud computing, Adyen in financial services, and LookOut in mobile security. Then you have some really interestingconsumerbusinesses,like BlaBlaCar, Etsy and SoundCloud. The list is endless. In every sector and geography there are 5 or 10 companies that are poised to break out and go mainstream. In terms of sectors, which ones are going to suffer most from disruption in the next year? All sectors that have been disrupted will be disrupted again because of mobile and social. Media & entertainment, retail and travel have been disrupted once, and they are going to get repeatedly disrupted again. The financial services sector also has an enormous amount of potential for disruption. No one will be exempt! The financial services sector has an enormous amount of potential for disruption. What can Europe learn from countries like Israel regarding startups and the tech ecosystem? There are a lot of successful tech ecosystems now in Europe. London is probably the biggest, but you have great ecosystems building in Berlin, Stockholm, Dublin and Paris. However, Israel is unique as it is almost akin to a Silicon Valley to the rest of the world. You have a diverse technology ecosystem and strong infrastructure. Within the spaceofanhour’sdrive,youcansee the cutting-edge, including ad:tech, cleantech, cybersecurity, cloud computing, storage, networking, semiconductors, e-commerce, and consumermobile.Thedensityofthe Israeli ecosystem is unique when you compare it with other markets andlocationsbeyondSiliconValley. To create an ecosystem, you need to look at the specific attributes of the geographical location. You want to see small businesses, venture capital, universities, governments, and big companies. These are the fivedimensionsofanecosystemyou need for fruitful cross-pollination. Europe always had great micro- centers of innovation, but they were never effectively connected. This is starting to change.
  • 60. 60 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0760 Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way Interview with Caspar de Bono – Managing Director, B2B at the Financial Times T he Financial Times (FT) is one of the world’s leading business news organizations, providing news, comment, data and analysis for the global business community. In 2014, the FT’s total circulation reached an all-time high with 700,000 subscriptions and sales across print and online. Significantly, digital subscriptions increased 23% year-on-year and now constitute nearly two-thirds of the FT’s total paying audience. Further, the FT has seen sustained mobile growth - mobile now accounts for almost 50% of the FT’s total traffic and 20% of new digital subscriptions. In an industry that has been swept by digital disruptions in the last decade, the FT stands out as one of the few incumbents that have successfully managed these disruptions. Capgemini Consulting spoke with Caspar de Bono, Managing Director, B2B at the FT, to discuss the impact of digital on the news media industry and the response of the organization to that tidal wave of change. Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way
  • 61. 61 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 61 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW We realized early on that we needed to get busy changing our source of revenue. In 2000, the US newspaper industry was generating $60 billion in print advertising. Ten years later, print advertising revenues dropped to $20 billion. We introduced a metered model in 2007 where we began to use demand to help us price. Responding in a News Industry Hit Hard by Digital What disruptions have you faced since the 1990s? We used to be almost entirely funded by our advertisers, so 80% of our revenues in the late 1990s came from print advertising. As both reader and advertiser demand shifted to digital, the whole economics of advertising changed as well. The oversupply of advertising inventory online meant that advertising rates fell substantially. This has had a very significant impact on the newspaper industry’s revenues. To put that into perspective, take the United States as an example. In 2000, the US newspaper industry was generating $60 billion in print advertising. Ten years later, print advertising revenues dropped to $20 billion and the same newspapers were only generating $1.3 billion in online advertising. Did you anticipate the strength and the speed of the disruptions you were facing? We knew that the prices we were getting for the same audience online were a fraction of the prices in print. People were hoping that it was just a matteroftimebeforeonlineaudiences would be so massive that everything would resolve itself. But I think where we differed from many of our competitors was in our realism. We realized early on that this hope was too optimistic to be credible, and that we needed to get busy changing our sourceofrevenue.Thebenefitofbeing a specialist provider of information is that we know from our readers that what we produce is valuable. We put thattothetestbyaskingpeopletopay for accessing our journalism digitally. We started doing that in 2001, and we’vebeenexperimentingandscaling whatworkseversince. Experimenting with Digital to Build a New Content Universe As part of your response, you launched a range of initiatives and experiments. Can you tell us more about your response? In 2001, we made the decision that we were going to ask readers to subscribe and pay for access to our journalism. We tried a binary solution, where some content was always free and somecontentwasalwayspaidfor.We found that while that worked initially, it plateaued, so we ended up with about 90,000 subscribers and then it didn’tgrowmuchbeyondthatpoint.
  • 62. FT Stands Apart in a News Industry Hit Hard by Digital : Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption Online advertising revenues stood at just $1.3 billion in 2010 In 2014, FT subscriptions and sales reached an all time high of 700,000 Digital subscribers accounted for two-thirds of the FT’s total paying audience Mobile accounts for 50% of the FT’s total traffic The US newspaper industry lost $40 billion in print advertising revenues in10 years since 2000 50% Continually Experimenting with Digital to Build a New Content Universe 2001 – Began charging readers for access to publications 2007 – Introduced a metered charging model, using consumer demand to price content 2007 – Established direct contractual relationships with content aggregators More than doubledd prp int prices in the last ten years to make print profitable in its own right Resource Allocation Focused on data analytics to enable targeted advertising that guarantees “attention time” Investments in Technology Regularly organizes “Digital Learning Week” to familiarize employees with digital technologies Upgrading Skill Levels Built direct sales, marketing, and customer support capabilities, which did not exist before Acquired a sos ftware company, which later became FT Labss Organizational Changes
  • 63. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 63 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW That’s why we introduced a metered model in 2007 where we began to use demand to help us price. We were saying “let’s not have the FT decide what content is worth paying for and whatshouldbefree,letdemanddecide that.” So, we let customers register to accessalimitednumberoffreearticles of their choosing. We realized that if a customerhadnevercomeacrosstheFT before,theywouldwanttoreadalittle andtodecidewhetherourcontentwas relevant to them and worth paying for. Once they had exhausted their free articles, we invited customers to purchaseasubscription. This had a profound impact on subscriptions. It meant that our acquisition costs were now much lower because rather than trying to acquire subscribers anonymously, we were now marketing to registered users. It was a much more nuanced marketing approach and one of the fundamental reasons why we were able to re-kick start our subscriptions growth. Can you give us an example of how you benefited from digital disruptions? Previously,wereliedonintermediaries – wholesalers and retailers – to reach customers.Infact,mostpublishersstill allow third-party news aggregators to buy intellectual property rights wholesale and then retail the content and the software solution as one package. The aggregators sell the content and the software solution to banks, governments, corporations, universities,andanykindofcollection of readers where the purchase is done centrally and the access is managed centrally. The pricing of the content is very commoditized since institutional customers have a lot of buying power –giventheybuyabout20,000sources from an aggregator for one price. We felt that even though we were getting a high margin from this model, the amount of profits that we earned was actually a fraction of what we could earn if we went directly to customers. Not having a direct relationship with customers also meant that we didn’t have access to direct customer feedback. We didn’t know where we were adding value, where there were missed opportunities, and where we neededtoimprove. Technology helped us establish a direct relationship with customers. This was very disruptive and the FT has significantly benefited from this disruption. So, in 2007, we went to all seven aggregators we had at the time and said - “we are going to terminate our licenseswithyoufortherightstoretail the FT. But what we are prepared to do is continue to have key content available on your platform if the end customer has bought a license from us.” This was probably the most profound change that technology enabled for us. It helped us establish a direct contractual relationship with customers. This was very disruptive and the FT has benefited significantly from this disruption. Technology has given us a lot more insight into the customer. We now know who our readers are. We have a dialogue with themabouthowweprovidevalue.We have very objective evidence of how customers are using the FT and how we’re delivering value. Our customers have benefited as well because it has given them more transparency. They now know that they only pay for the FTonceandcanthenaccessitthrough any of now nearly 50 third-party solutions. They also have evidence of theirutilization,whichtheycanuseto decide whether their money is being well spent and whether they should spendmoreornot. Asaconsequenceofthischangeinour licensing model, we now have more than 4,000 institutional customers, more than 300,000 readers who benefitfromourlicenses,andwehave increased profit by a factor of nearly five.Wealsohavea90%renewalrate.
  • 64. a world where you anticipate that advertising is going to be challenged, you want to make sure that print is profitable on its own. Equally, you wanttobeabletoputasmuchofyour surplus into digital and not use it to subsidize a loss-making print activity. So, we increased the prices for our print product quite significantly, in factbymorethandoubleinthelast10 years. And we are very pleased with thefactthatwe’vemanagedtogetour printbusinesstoaprofitablepointand adapt to the digital world at the same time. 6464 Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 Building the Organization, Capabilities and Skills for a Digital World Can you outline some of the organizational changes that you implemented as part of your digital response? In order to have a direct relationship with consumers, we had to build out our direct sales, marketing, and support capabilities, which we didn’t have before. In particular, we brought our customer service in-house. We agreed that if we wanted to build a direct relationship with customers, we neededtoservicethemdirectlyandwe couldn’t outsource that relationship. We were driven by the desire to get feedback from our customers because that feedback is crucial to help us adaptandlearn. How did you evolve your resource allocation between print and digital? Westillhavemanycustomerswhosee the print version as valuable and who are willing to pay for it. Our transition strategy has been sympathetic to that. This is why, for example, we redesigned the newspaper recently. But we also made the decision that we wanted the print business to be profitable in its own right and before advertising. In the days when 80% of your revenue came from advertising, it was fine for your circulation to be subsidized by advertising. But in What level of investment have you made in technology? We are investing a lot in technology. For instance, when we made the shift to a direct licensing model, we launched a mobile app for our customers. Initially we developed an iOS app, but when Apple changed its commercial terms, which effectively meant that Apple would own the customer relationship, we decided to We made the decision that we wanted the print business to be profitable in its own right and before advertising. We have invested heavily in the collection of data and have built up quite a significant capability in data analytics. come out of iTunes and launch our own HTML5 app. The app was built quicklyandcosteffectivelybyahighly specialized independent software house. We ended up acquiring that business,whichthenbecameFTLabs. How about data analytics? We have invested heavily in the collection of data and have built up quite a significant capability in data analytics. We have worked very hard at improving the targeting that we’re able to offer our advertisers. It’s one of the reasons that we’ve been able to be bold in reframing how we’re going to sell advertising. We made a statement a few months ago that we’re now going to sell what in effect are “attention minutes”, in addition to inventory. As you know, most advertisers sell impressions, and they might sell the consequence of those impressions, such as clicks or even purchase. We’ll still do this, but now advertisers will also be able to buy a guarantee that an advertisement will
  • 65. 65 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 65DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 Digital Learning Week is intended to stop people feeling that just because they started their career in print media they don’t have a lot of potential and a lot to offer with digital media. be seen by a particular target group for a specified period of time. So, you arebuyingminutesorhoursoftimein front of that audience and it’s verified that it’s really a person there, it’s not a machine. In terms of your people, what training initiatives have you launched and can you tell us more about Digital Learning Week? Digital Learning Week is a fantastic festival: an exhibition of different aspects of what it means to be digital. This could mean helping our people understand how to use social media better or how to market effectively in digital media. Overall, though, it’s really about familiarization. It is intended to stop people feeling that just because they started their career in print media they don’t have a lot of potential and a lot to offer with digital media. That’s very important culturally. Digital should not be seen as a specialist activity done by a few technicalexperts. Do you face emerging competitors in the digital space, such as LinkedIn, which is now investing in producing original editorial content? Any organization that is investing in original content that is of interest to our target audience – leaders in government or business who are makingmulti-million-dollardecisions– isacompetitor.Butalotoforganizations are aggregating, repurposing or republishing content that’s been originated by others. Origination is our USP. I think the other competition is time. Our audiences are very time-poor; thereisahugeamountofcompetition for their attention. Therefore, we can’t think of our competitors as just direct substitutes for what we do, but also substitutes for a reader’s time. We therefore have to be very clear about how we improve the productivity of our readers. How do we help them discover interesting and compelling content effectively? How do we make thebestuseoftheirtime?
  • 66. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0766 That’s a fairly profound change. It needs a lot more evidence to be collected. It requires a much more trusting and direct relationship with thecustomerandit’sgoingtorelyalot ondata. Learning the Lessons of Digital What are the key lessons that you learned from this transformation and what could be the key takeaways for companies across sectors? I think it’s about asking the fundamental question of why the business exists and what purpose it serves. Then, you must be brave and confident about adopting a strategy to deliver that. Both competitors and customers told us outright that our ambition to charge for our journalism wasn’t going to work. But we went back to the fundamental reason that we exist: that the market sees value in having information sourced and validated in an independent way so they can make decisions on it. We came up with a strategy to deliver that in a world where the whole economics of distribution and funding had changed. How do you decide to evolve your business model? We have regular discussions on different forums on the changes and adaptations that we need to make. That’s not only done at board level. We have a product council that involves multiple stakeholders across the business. We also look at changes in customer feedback and sentiment. We take all of these measures to ensure that we continually review our business model. 66 Riding the Wave of Digital Disruption: Scripting a New Digital Future, the FT Way We ensure that we continually review our business model. What are the next phases of transformation for the Financial Times? We are moving much more to being a service organization. We are looking at whether we can work with our customers to measure what a beneficialoutcomeforthemisinusing our journalism. For example, we have business education clients who we’re workingwithtobuildonearlyinsights we’re getting that students who have readtheFTaremorecompellinginjob interviews. These students are able to link theory to practice, to relate what they heard in the classroom to what’s happening in the market, and are able to apply what they have learnt. How do we improve that? Can we measure that? We are moving much more to being a service organization.
  • 68. 68 Designing Transformational Business Models Designing Transformational Business Models Interview with Serguei Netessine – Chaired Professor of Global Technology and Innovation at INSEAD @snetesin S erguei Netessine is The Timken Chaired Professor of Global Technology and Innovation at INSEAD and the Research Director of the INSEAD- Wharton alliance. Before joining INSEAD in 2010, Professor Netessine was a faculty member at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. He has co-authored dozens of publications in prominent management journals. His latest book - “The Risk-Driven Business Model: Four Questions that will Define Your Company” (www.defineyourcompany.com) - co-authored with Professor Karan Girotra of INSEAD, provides a toolkit to help organizations design innovative business models. Capgemini Consulting spoke with Professor Netessine to understand how companies should adapt their business models to survive digital disruptions. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 69. Business Model Innovation is the Key to Surviving Disruption Why is business model innovation so important today? The shortcomings of traditional innovation approaches that focus on new technologies and new products alone are becoming increasingly evident to many organizations. For example, pharmaceutical companies spend as much as 30% of their revenues on R&D, trying to develop new products or technologies. But the return from this enormous expenditure has been very elusive and it is a common problem across industries. For every successful new product that a company creates, there are typically 10 that fail. For example, Apple has many new product successes to its credit, but it has also seen some major failures, such as the Newton project. This was a series of handheld computers that Apple produced in the 1990s that lost it close to $1.5 billion. We also see more and more companies – such as Airbnb, Uber or Alibaba – that do not really invent any products or technologies. Yet, they have huge market capitalizations as a result of their innovative business models. I think this is the main driver of business model innovation. Would you argue that groundbreaking technology rarely achieves mass adoption without an innovative business model? Yes, I believe that is true. The challenge with new technologies is that they usually have very different cost and revenue parametersfromanoldtechnology. This makes their adoption using an old business model very difficult. Take the case of energy-efficient light bulbs. They help consumers save on electricity and are more environmentally friendly, but they are also more expensive than normal bulbs. This is why the adoption of energy-efficient bulbs has been very slow in some countries. However, we are now seeing new business models, pioneered by energy efficiency services companies, which are driving up the adoption. These energy efficiency services companies replace old bulbs with energy-efficient ones free of charge. Commercial consumers don’t have to pay anything for the new bulbs. Instead, they need to measure how much money they save on electricity by using the new bulbs. At the end of the year, the savings are split between the consumer and the energy services company. This new business model is in large part responsible for the increasing adoption of energy- 69 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW It is becoming increasingly more evident to many organizations that traditional innovation approaches that focus on new technologies and new products alone, often do not work. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 70. 70 efficient bulbs. The Risk-Driven Approach to Business Model Innovation What are the different ways in which organizations can innovate their business models? Companies can redesign their business models by changing their cost or revenue structure. For instance, a company could go from charging per song (like iTunes) to charging per month (like Spotify). This changes the revenue structure. Companies can also change their cost structure by, for example, outsourcing manufacturing to a low-cost country. But I think most companies realize that these kinds of innovation are quite common and are relatively easy to copy. There is another approach to business model innovation that companies should explore: redesigning their business models by changing the way risk is Companies can also redesign their business models by changing the way in which risk is managed. You identified two types of risks - information risk and incentive-alignment risk. Could you tell us about the differences between them? If I go back to the example of Dell, most computer manufacturers were producing computers without really knowing exactly which configuration the customer wanted. They were producing based on forecasts. This is what we call information risk – a situation where companies make decisions without enough information. Incentive-alignment risk arises whenincentivesarenotalignedon a value chain. This happens very often with new technologies. For example, Netafim, an irrigation company based in Israel, develops advanced irrigation equipment that increases crop yields by 400-500% with very little water. Despite the dramatic improvement in crop yield, Netafim found it very difficult to sell their equipment. The technology was expensive and farmers lacked managed. Dell is an interesting example of a company that used the risk-driven approach to stay ahead of the competition. Dell’s innovation, which disrupted the computer industry, was to produce computers on demand. In doing so, Dell eliminated the fundamental risk that other computer manufacturers were facing – the risk of uncertain demand. Dell’s competitors were often forced to liquidate excess stock or lower prices significantly because of lower than expected demand. In contrast, Dell completely eliminated the risk of mismatch between demand and supply by producing only what customers wanted when they wanted it. It is important to note that Dell’s cost structure was higher as a result of this approach. In order to deliver on demand, it had to manufacture close to where its customers were. This meant producing in the United States rather than in low-cost countries like China. Further, since it retailed its products for about the same price as its competitors, Dell’s revenue structure was about the same as that of its competitors. Despite this, Dell managed to dominate the industry for many years by building its business model around managing risk more effectively. Information risk is a situation where companies make decisions without enough information. Designing Transformational Business Models DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 71. The fundamental issue with most companies is that they never re-evaluate their business models. Are there startups that have adopted a risk-driven business model? Yes, San Francisco-based startup Timbuk2, a consumer products company, has adopted a risk- driven business model. Timbuk2 produces quality, custom-made bags to order. They manufacture the bags locally in San Francisco, which is one of the most expensive cities in the world. Nevertheless, they are highly successful because they produce on demand. As a result, they completely eliminate information risk. Uber is another example of a company that has adopted a risk-driven business model. Taxi service providers are exposed to the risk of mismatch between demand and supply. They need to purchase cars, hire taxi drivers, and pay wages to drivers. However, the demand for taxis may exceed or fall short of supply, which results in losses. By offering higher rates to drivers when demand outstrips supply, Uber incentivizes more drivers to offer their services. As a result, whenever demand increases, it is matched by a corresponding increase in supply. By aligning incentives in this manner, Uber has been able to mitigate one of the taxi industry’s fundamental problems. Successful Companies Constantly Reinvent their Business Models In your opinion, why are some companies more successful than others in surviving disruption? The fundamental issue with most companies is that they never re-evaluate their business models. Blockbuster, for instance, pioneered the revenue-sharing businessmodelinthevideorentals industry. Before Blockbuster introduced the new model, studios charged retailers very high rates for tapes. Under the new model, Blockbuster paid studios lower rates upfront but shared revenues with them instead. The new model helped Blockbuster increase its market share from 25% to 38% in just two years. However, Blockbuster never really revisited its business model again. And when they did revisit it, it was too late. They were already far behind their competitors. 71 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW the educational background to fully understand the benefits. So, in this case, the incentives were fundamentally misaligned. Farmers were not convinced of the value of investing in the equipment, despite its seemingly obvious benefits. To fix this problem, Netafim decided to sell services instead of products. They offered to install their products free of charge for farmers. At the end of the year, they would measure crop yield. If it had increased by the promised 400%, they would take a share of the difference in revenues. This helped align incentives in the value chain. Farmers were now willing to use the equipment since they did not need to pay anything upfront, which minimized any downside risk. By eliminating incentive-alignment risk, companies can create business models where everybody benefits. Incentive-alignment risk arises when incentives are not aligned in a value chain. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 72. 72 Amazon is one of those amazing companies that constantly and relentlessly tries to analyze its business model and tries to disrupt it before being disrupted by others. What are some of the lessons we can draw from Amazon’s success? Amazon is one of those amazing companies that constantly and relentlessly analyzes its business model and tries to disrupt it before being disrupted by others. When Jeff Bezos started Amazon as an online retailer of books, he realized that it was impractical for a cash- strapped startup to carry millions of books in inventory. So, he invented a business model that he called “Sell All, Carry Few”. In this model, Amazon operated like a virtual retailer and outsourced most of its fulfillment to distributors and wholesalers. Within a few years, however, Bezos realized that most of its distributors were not good at fulfilling individual book orders. This was negatively affecting customer satisfaction and damaging Amazon’s reputation. So, he completely turned Amazon’s model around and started investing heavily in warehouses in order to stock all inventory internally. In 2001, Amazon started offering its website development, order fulfillment, and customer service capabilities to other companies like Toys “R” Us, Borders, and Target. In 2006, it went further and began to offer these capabilities to small retailers as well. So, Amazon came full circle from completely outsourcing fulfillment to distributors and wholesalers to selling its fulfillment capabilities to others. Apart from the innovations on the fulfillment side, what are some of the other ways in which Amazon has experimented with its business model? In 2005, Amazon made a major change to its revenue stream when it launched Amazon Prime. Experience had shown that a lot of customers chose not to buy online because they were deterred by high shipping costs. So, with Amazon Prime, Amazon began offering customers a shipping subscription. This meant that customers did not have to worry about paying for individual shipments. Amazon also experimented with its product mix. In the late 1990s, Amazon started expanding beyond books into categories such as music, videos and games that required similar logistics capabilities as books. It has continued to expand its product portfolio constantly, even with unrelated product categories, as a way to hedge risks. Its expansion into computing services such as cloud computing and electronic data systems is an example of this. In hindsight, there is a lot that they could have done. For instance, they could have thought of new ways to structure their relationship with customers. Instead of charging exorbitant penalties in late fees, they could have graduated to a subscription model like Netflix. And, of course, Blockbuster should have thought earlier about delivering DVDs by mail and offering video on demand. Designing Transformational Business Models DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 73. Companies need to look for symptoms of inefficiencies in their business model by trying to see if there is a mismatch between what the customer wants and what they deliver. Have you been observing similar success stories in business model innovation in more traditional industries? I think the larger the company, the less frequent the innovation. But, we certainly see some interesting innovations in traditional companies. Maersk Shipping Line is one example that comes to my mind. Maersk is an industry leader in shipping and one of the oldest and largest shipping companies globally. I really like their recent major innovation, which is called “Daily Maersk”. Maersk performed a very extensive analysis of customer pain points to understand what bothered their customers the most. They realized that the biggest challenge that customers faced was the uncertainty in container arrival times. In fact, there was a 55% chance that containers did not arrive on time. As a result, customers had to make various provisions to manage the resulting uncertainty, such as holding more inventory or making their production capabilities more flexible, which led to additional costs. Maerskdecidedtofixthisproblem. They began to guarantee the arrival time for their containers and offered to pay a penalty to customers in case a shipment did not arrive on time. They added many more ships on their routes to make sure that there were daily departures and customers did not have to worry and plan ahead. In exchange for helping customers better manage uncertainty, Maersk charged a premium for this service. I really like how they questioned their business model, tried to understand customer pain points, and adopted a new strategy in response. They did it very openly, with the CEO speaking publicly about the new strategy. It is very rare to see this kind of an organized process. 73 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 74. Pharma companies spend ~30% of revenues on R&D, but without much return Companies like Airbnb, Uber or Alibaba do not invent any new products - yet are successful due to their innovative business models 30% { Unlike technological or product innovations, business model innovation cannot be relegated to the R&D department. It needs to be driven by the top management. - Professor Serguei Netessine Designing Transformational Business Models Business Model Innovation is the Key to Surviving Disruption Returns from traditional product innovation can be elusive What - Companies look at the kinds of decisions they want to make e.g. Zappos decided to focus on a single product line When - Companies look at the timing of decisions e.g. Dell decided to sell a product first, and produce it later Who - Companies change the decision-maker e.g. Google allocates 20% of any employee’s time to do whatever they think is best Why - Companies change the incentives that exist in a value chain e.g. In the US healthcare sector, doctors recommend many procedures as their incentives are tied to them A Framework for Innovating Business Models P O W E R E D b y S E R V I C E™EE
  • 75. 75 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW they think is best. Google realizes that employees are best positioned to identify the most important projects to work on. The “Who” strategy has produced nearly 50% of all innovations at Google. The “Why” approach changes the incentivesthatexistinavaluechain. For example, the fundamental problem in the US healthcare sector is that doctors are compensated per procedure. This results in doctors prescribing too many procedures and leads to higher healthcare costs for companies. This is an incentive problem. To change these incentives, many companies have started integrating doctors within their organizations and paying them a fixed salary. This has reduced the cost of healthcare for companies and increased the quality of care. Companies need to apply these approaches and identify ideas for business model innovation. As a next step, they need to experiment with these ideas. Experimentation is veryimportantbecauseitisdifficult to accurately predict the success of an innovation. Companies need to develop scaled-down versions of their new business models and test them with a subset of customers. Could you tell us about the framework you have developed in order to help companies innovate their business model? We have developed four different approaches for companies to deal with information and incentive- alignmentrisksandwedenotethem by four words: “What”, “When”, “Who”, and “Why”. In a “What” approach, companies needtolookatthekindsofdecisions they want to make and how they can increase or reduce risks using those decisions. For instance, they could decide to focus on a narrower set of decisions. A good example would be companies like Zappos and diapers.com that only sell a single product category (both were acquired by Amazon.com). The “When” approach changes the timing of decisions. A good example here would be Dell. Instead of first producing a product and then selling it, Dell began selling a product first and producing it later, in response to actual customer orders. The “Who” approach changes who makes the decisions. For instance, Google allocates 20% of any employee’s time to do whatever Companies need to develop scaled-down versions of their new business models and test them with a subset of customers. Building a Culture of Sustained Business Model Reinvention How can companies anticipate if their business model is becoming obsolete? Companies need to look for symptoms of inefficiencies in their business model by trying to see if there is a mismatch between what the customer wants and what they deliver. There are many troubling symptoms that indicate that the business model is not working well. These could be large fluctuations in financialperformance,underutilized employees or excessive inventory. To start with, companies need to conduct a business model audit in order to identify information or incentive-alignment risks in their current business model. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 76. 76 audit the business model, identify inefficiencies and generate ideas, companies should set up a small team tasked with testing these ideas and implementing them on a small scale. It is important that this team is not affected by resistance from within the organization. It should therefore operate independently, in astartup-likeenvironment.Oncean idea is tested and found to generate positive results, companies can then start rolling out the innovation across the organization. How can companies create a culture that encourages constant business model innovation? We recently conducted research in Singapore which showed that only about 5% of manufacturing organizationsinSingaporepractice business model innovation. This number is consistent with some Unlike technological or product innovations, business model innovation cannot be relegated to the R&D department. What kind of an organizational structure should companies build for business model innovation? Unlike technological or product innovations, business model innovation cannot be relegated to the R&D department. Business model innovation needs to be driven by the top management. Business model audits should have the support of CEOs and potentially board members and should involve top managers from all functional roles. Once they sectors in Europe. Companies very often lack basic understanding about what the business model is and why they should look at it. So, I think the process of creating a culture of constant business model innovation should begin with education. Next, organizations should make a habit of making business model audits a regular exercise. Innovation should not happen only when a company is in financial trouble but on a frequent basis, driven by the CEO. Designing Transformational Business Models DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07
  • 77. 77 “Unlike startups, large corporates have too many processes that really slow things down.” companies is that they never re-evaluate their business models.” “Technology is seldom the problem. - Tim O’Reilly - David Cohen - Serguei Netessine - Rita McGrath -- TTTTiimimimTTTTTTT OOOO’R’RRR ieieieillllllllyyy WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES IN RESPONDING TO DIGITAL DISRUPTIONS? “Over the last 20 to 25 years, organizations have functioned according to the notion that they should innovate in line with their DNA and within the bounds of their core business. But, the digital age requires a - Rita McGrath - Philippe Lemoine to acknowledge that their old business model does not work anymore.” .
  • 78. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 077878 When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? When Digital Disruption Strikes How Can Incumbents Respond? By Didier Bonnet, Jerome Buvat and Subrahmanyam KVJ, Capgemini Consulting Volatility and Corporate Darwinism Since 2000, 52% of companies in the Fortune 500 have either gone bankrupt, been acquired or ceased to exist1 . US corporations in the S&P 500 in 1958 remained in the index for an average of 61 years. By 1980, the average tenure of an S&P 500 firm was 25 years, and by 2011 that average shortened to 18 years based on seven-year rolling averages2 . These are challenging times for companies as the speed, volume and complexity of change intensify. While there are several reasons for companies vanishing from the radar or going bankrupt, technology disruptions are playing a big part in amplifying this development. One critical manifestation of this heightened volatility is the emergence of technology-driven startups across multiple sectors. Venture funding to startups is at historic highs. In just one startup hotspot, Silicon Valley, venture capital investment in the first Figure 1: Venture Capital Investments in Silicon Valley, 1995-Q3 2014 ($ Billions) Source: NVCA, “National Venture Capital Association Yearbook”, 2014 1.81 3.37 4.63 5.88 17.79 33.40 12.67 7.26 6.73 8.00 8.13 9.77 11.55 11.53 8.29 9.39 12.17 11.15 12.42 16.96 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Dotcom bust Financial downturn Till Q3 2014 Since 2000, 52% of companies in the Fortune 500 have either gone bankrupt, been acquired or ceased to exist. @didiebon, @jeromebuvat and @SuB8u
  • 79. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 79 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 79 traditional incumbents respond to digital disruption, we conducted research spanning 100+ companies (see research methodology at the end of the article). Three Quarters of Incumbents Responded Late to Digital Disruptions There are three broad and linear stages to disruptiona . The first stage, Onset, is typically within the first yearofthearrivalofdisruption.That ismarkedbytheentryofadisruptive startup that either brings forth a new technology, or a new technology- three-quarters of 2014 was around $17 billion, a figure that is only surpassed by the peak of the dotcom era in 2000 (see Figure 1). Digitalinnovationisshakingthecore of every industry and incumbents are struggling to respond. The emergence of startups such as Uber – which disrupt entire sectors with their agile, innovative business models – is worrying traditional incumbents. In recent research by GE,two-thirdsofrespondentsagreed that businesses have to encourage creative behaviors and must disrupt their internal processes in order to do so3 . What does a successful strategyforrespondingtodisruption look like? How fast have companies responded to digital disruptions? To understand more about how Figure 2: Response of Incumbents to Digital Disruptions by Stage enabled business model. The next stage, Spread, typically takes place two or three years post the arrival of a disruptive technology/company. In this stage, the main disruptor starts growing in popularity, and there are multiple me-too services that mimic the disruptor. The final stage – Mainstream Adoption – is when the disruption reaches large- scale acceptance and is over four years from its arrival. a Adapted from Steven Sinofsky, Board Partner, Andreessen Horowitz; http://recode.net/2014/ 01/06/the-four-stages-of-disruption-2/. In the Silicon Valley, venture capital investment in the first three-quarters of 2014 was only surpassed by the peak of the dotcom era in 2000. N=100 Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis A response is an action taken specifically to ward off the disruption/disruptive startup, such as the acquisition of the disruptor or the development of a new business model. 26% 36% 38% Onset Spread Mainstream Adoption 74%
  • 80. Our research found that nearly 74% of companies responded to digital disruptions only after the second yearoftheiroccurrence.Worryingly, over 38% of incumbents respondedb to the emergence of a disruptive company after the fourth year. This is the period when the disruption starts to move more mainstream (see Figure 2). Our research also showed that the vast majority of companies that went bankrupt responded only when the digital disruption had already firmly taken root. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0780 Why Incumbents Struggle to Respond to Digital Disruptions In most organizations, decision cycles lagtechnologycycles.However,thatis not the only reason why incumbents struggle to respond to digital disruptions.Wefoundfiverootcauses behindincumbents’slowresponses. 80 Nearly 74% of companies responded to digital disruptions only after the second year of their occurrence. In most organizations, decision cycles lag technology cycles. One key reason for organizations becoming complacent is management inertia – failure to sense the need to change. When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? Slow Decision Cycle Old-school approaches to designing change – such as annual strategy meetings–aretoocumbersomefora non-linear,fast-paceddigitalworld. Technology cycles are becoming shorter than corporate decision cycles4 as technology progression accelerates. Organizations are finding it increasingly hard to match the pace of rapid technology changes. Thirty-seven percent of respondents in a global survey of industry executives reported being worried that their organizations would not be able to keep pace with technology changes and as a result, lose their competitive edge5 . Complacency about Existing Business Models One of the biggest challenges in responding to disruption is complacency. When disruption strikes, companies find it difficult to keep pace with the fast-moving and changing world as they cling on to the old successful business model. One key reason for organizations becomingcomplacentismanagement inertia – failure to sense the need to change. INSEAD’s Professor Serguei Netessine believes that organizations do not ask enough hard questions of theirbusinessmodels.Asheexplains: “I like to compare it to financial auditing, which every organization does every year, many times. Often, a public company will do it once a quarter. But then you ask the same company how often [it examines] its own business models, they’ll tell you, ‘Well, I don’t know. Twenty years ago? Thirty years ago?’”6 . b A response is an action taken specifically to ward off the disruption/disruptive startup, such as the acquisition of the disruptor or the development of a new business model.
  • 81. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 81 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 81 Figure 3: Major Causes Behind Incumbents’ Slow Responses Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis Complacency Fear of Cannibalization Lower Margins in the Transition Resources Unaligned to Opportunities Slow Decision Cycle Slow Reaction to Digital Disruption There are many examples of such complacency. Consider the case of RIM/BlackBerry. For years, BlackBerry was the product leader in enabling secure push mail on mobilephones,earningacommitted following with corporate users. However, while RIM continued to focus on its lead product, Apple was reinventing what a mobile phone could be. Apple’s iPhone married email functionality to tools that up until then were only possible on a PC. BlackBerry’s core users began to migrate in droves. RIM believed its dominance of the enterprise market was impregnable, but trends such as Bring Your Own Device and the growth of smartphones caused massive challenges. It saw its market share of the smartphone OS market reduce from a high of 20% in Q1 2009 to as low as 0.8% in Q3 of 20147 . Fear of Cannibalizing Existing Business The threat of cannibalizing existing business can prevent incumbents from going to market with innovative offerings. Take the case of Kodak. Kodak, an innovator in photography, invented the world’s first digital camera in 1975. Despite its solid lead in the film business, it failed. Kodak had most of the patents for the digital photography
  • 82. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0782 technology, but did not commercialize them aggressively as it feared cannibalization of its film business. Instead, other firms licensed Kodak’s technology and commercialized it. This restricted Kodak from leading the digital camera race8 . As Rita McGrath, professor at Columbia Business School says, “Kodak continued to focus and invest in film-based technologies in the 1980s and 1990s, while Fuji was systematically extracting itself from film-based photography and shifting massive resources, both financial and human, to the new and unproven digital technology. By 2003, Fujifilm had 5,000 digital processing labs in chains stores through the U.S. At that time, Kodak had less than 1009 .” 82 When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? A company that has embraced cannibalization as a very successful business strategy is Apple. The company has launched a variety of products (iPod, iPhone, iPad) that have cannibalized one another. Apple’s CEO Tim Cook explains, “Our core philosophy is to never fear cannibalization. If we don’t do it, someone else will10 .” Lower Margins in the Transition In industries where digital business has lower margin than traditional business, taking the digital path is often perceived as a significant bet on the company’s future revenues. Incumbents hesitate to take the plunge. The newspaper industry, for example, has largely depended on advertising revenue to subsidize low subscription revenues. To transition to digital, where advertising rates are a fraction of what they are on print, has a significant impact on profitability. This can blind management to the potential opportunities of digital for new business models and sources of revenue. One company that has successfully tackled this challenge is the Financial Times. Today, over two- thirds of the FT’s audience is online. Mobile readership drives 50% of total traffic and 20% of digital subscriptions. The total circulation, acrossprintandonline,forthepaper at the end of Q3 2014 was 690,000, the highest in its 126-year history. One key reason for this, according to its manager of marketing and audience development, is that the FT thinks of itself as “a premium brand with high quality content”, and not as a newspaper11 . Kodak had most of the patents for the digital photography technology, but did not commercialize them aggressively as it feared cannibalization of its film business. Key Resources Unaligned to Opportunities In most organizations, people are treated as resources tied to divisions, products, services and business units. Managers are typically reluctant to let go of resources assigned to them for fear of any potential diminishing of their authority. Similarly, organizations tend to try and retro-fit new opportunities into existing organizational structures. These political challenges pose significant hurdles when it comes to digital disruptions that, more often than not, cut across the entire organization. 48% of successful companies relied on hiring specialist digital talent in the wake of a disruption.
  • 83. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 83 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 83 c Successful companies are those that have maintained and/or improved their market position Successful Responses to Digital Disruptions We studied the strategies adopted by organizations that have successfully withstood digital disruptions (see research methodology at the end of the article)c . We found four dominant responses to disruptions adopted by these organizations: acquiring digital talent, mimicking the competition, acquiring the disruptor/ competitor and taking a judicial approach. Most successful companies adopt a combination of these responses to ensure a robust and well-rounded approach. In this section, we examine each of these winning responses in detail. Acquiring Digital Talent Brings in Fresh Thinking Often, incumbents resort to acquiring select digital talent so they can start to build more coherent responses in-house. Travel agent Thomas Cook was one of the early companies to be disrupted by the advent of online bookingsites.Thecompany,aspart of its multi-pronged approach to thisdigitaldisruption,hiredaseries of executives with backgrounds in digital technology as digital ‘gurus’ to join its Digital Advisory Board12 . These executives were specialists in areas such as innovation management, customer experience management, user interface design and intelligent systems13 . In our research, we found that 48% of successful companies relied on hiring specialist digital talent in the wake of a disruption (see Figure 4). Mimicking Enables Incumbents to Have a Ready Offering We found that 32% of successful companies launched services that mimicked those of a disruptive competitor (see Figure 4). In some cases, the incumbent can throw significant resources at creating competing solutions. For instance, eventhoughApple’siPod,iPhoneand iPad are known to be path-breaking and breakthrough innovations, they were not the first of their kinds. A number of digital music players existed before the iPod was launched14 . Similarly, a number of tablet PCs were launched in the 1990s and early 2000s, but it was the entry of the Apple iPad in 2010 that sent the tablet market soaring15 . Apple’s focus oncreatingproductsthatdramatically improve on competing offerings from disruptors in its industry has enabledittocontinuallystayaheadof competition. 32% of successful companies launched services that mimicked those of a disruptive competitor. Acquisitions Help Incumbents Compete and Scale-Up A common response to disruption is to acquire one of the leading disruptors. Our research found that 36% of successful companies relied on acquiring companies as a tactic to access disruptive technology/ innovation (see Figure 4). Once it has completed an acquisition, the incumbent might either choose to absorbthedisruptorinitsoperations or continue with business-as-usual. Over the years Walmart has acquired multiple startups in innovative fields and subsequently folded the teams into their operations.
  • 84. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0784 Anexampleoftheformercategory is Walmart. The company, through its Walmart Labs arm, has over the years acquired multiple startups in innovative fields and subsequently folded the teams into their operations. Luvocracy is an example. The startup was an online community of half a million members that allows consumers to discover and buy products recommended by other people. Walmart subsequently closed the service and absorbed its key technologies into existing and proposed Walmart platforms16 . In other instances, the acquirer allows the innovator to continue to do business without much interference. For instance, car sharing is disruptive to car rental firms such as Avis and Hertz. Realizing this, Avis paid over $500 million to buy Zipcar, a rent-by-the-hour startup17 . The company continues to operate independently and leverages Avis’ global network. Anotherkeydriverforacquisitions is consolidation, which gives the incumbent more scale to fight back. The music industry, which suffered significant disruption from digital music, is a good example. The six major labels that existed pre-digital have now become three, with the healthier labels acquiring their struggling brethren. By doing so, these labels 84 32% of successful companies have resorted to using the legal route to slowing down disruption. When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? Aereo, for example, was a disruptor that offered live-streams of broadcast TV over the Internet. Since traditional broadcasters and distributors were cut-off from any monetization opportunities in this model, they sued Aereo in the US courts. The case went all the way to the Supreme Court, which ruled that Aereo was ultimately in violation of existing regulation. The company subsequently went into bankruptcy and shut down18 . Similarly, Uber, the taxi-services app, has seen significant pushback from local taxi services in many cities across the world. In Spain, for instance, a local court ruled that Uber was illegal and Uber had to suspend its operations in the country. Similarly, the company has also been sued or legally questioned in several US states including California, Colorado, Portland and Oregon19 . However, the startup has only been going from strength to strength. It recently raised a billion dollars in venture capital and is valued at over $40 billion20 . have increased scale, expanded their rosters of top-selling artists and increased their holdings of recording and publishing copyrights. A Judicial Approach Slows Down Disruptors Digital technologies, because they are so new, are often not covered in existing regulatory legislation and base their competitive model on a disruptive approach that was not anticipated by policy-makers. Incumbents can thereby respond by suing disruptive startups, citing unfairadvantageundertheregulatory frameworkthatgovernstheirindustry. Other legal concerns that incumbents typically raise against startups include the evasion of taxes, and the exposure of consumers to new risks due to disruptive platforms. Our research found that over 32% of successful companies have resorted to using the legalroutetoslowingdowndisruption (seeFigure4).
  • 85. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 85 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 85 Ultimately, if the disruptive technology has real customer value, the legal route has the effect of delaying the disruptor development but it rarely stops the technology development over time. Ultimately, if the disruptive technology has real customer value, the legal route has the effect of delaying the disruptor development but it rarely stops the technology development over time. Ourresearchfoundthatthenumber of companies taking the judicial route has increased significantly. While 8% of incumbents used this approach over the 2000-2010 period, in the 2010-2013 period, it has risen to 27%. Establishing the Right Mix of Responses Drawing lessons from incumbents that have successfully tackled disruption – retained their market position or have improved it – can help organizations establish the right mix of responses (see Figure 4). Successful companies have a relatively even spread across different tactics. They have acquired competition, hired digital talent and gone down the legal route too. Overall, the best approach Figure 4: Response Tactics of Successful Incumbents Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis N = 84 Note: Figures refer to percentage of companies adopting a particular approach. Multiple responses per company Judicial Route 32% 36% 48% Acquiring Competition Acquiring Digital Talent 32% Mimicking Competition
  • 86. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0786 For example, Uber and Lyft have simplified an otherwise complex and unreliable experience for customers of taxi services21 .” While some incumbents react to the emergence of the pain point by denying its importance, the market has been created. Question the Status Quo and Constantly Audit Your Business Model As INSEAD’s Serguei Netessine explains, “Business models and the advantages that flow from them are transient. What is a competitive collaborative economy, highlights howthesestartupsdisruptexisting markets by solving real customer problems, “Many collaborative startups find ways to simplify complex and frustrating customer experiences. is a balanced one that uses a mix of tactics (see Figure 5 for a comparison). Making the Most of Digital Disruption As technology cycles keep getting shorter, disruptions will become more prevalent. And as the world increasingly becomes software- driven, competitors will emerge from adjacent industries rather than just the ‘home’ industry of the incumbent. Does this spell the end of the centuries-old corporation? Not necessarily. Incumbents need to position digital innovation at the heart of their business. To achieve this, they can take a series of practical steps. Proactively Identify Customer Pain Points One of the biggest entry points that disruptive startups take is to identify customer pain points. Resolving these customer pain points then becomes the unique selling proposition of the disruptor. Startups such as Airbnb, Uber and Lending Club, which are based on a peer-to-peer economy, have been successful because they have identified gaps in what customers want and what incumbents provide. Rachel Botsman, leading expert on the 86 When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? strength today might be a burden tomorrow22 .” It is vital for a company to keep questioning the status quo. Blockbuster’s innovative idea of sharing revenues with the studios, instead of paying the studio for each product,revolutionizedthevideoand DVD rental market. Blockbuster’s market share skyrocketed. However, they failed to look ahead and anticipatetheimpactofstreamingand eventually went bankrupt. Netflix, on the other hand, thrived because it adapted and actively cannibalized its DVD business. Organizations will constantlyhavetoquestionthestatus quo and pose ‘what-if’ questions of their core operating model. As the world increasingly becomes software- driven, competitors will emerge from adjacent industries rather than just the ‘home’ industry of the incumbent. Incumbents need to constantly revisit their business model to ensure it is not outdated.
  • 87. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 87 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 87 Response to Digital Disruption Pros Cons Acquiring Disruptor/ Competition • Enables a certain level of ‘control’ over spread of disruption • Gives the incumbent a head-start over its competition • Does not rule out the possibility of other “me-too” services that operate like the acquired disruptor • Requires large investments that may be hard to justify to investors Acquiring Digital Talent • Brings in fresh thinking into the company • A more robust approach that prepares the incumbent for future disruptions • Hard to hire certain digital skills, e.g. analytics • Requires a dedicated strategy to attract and retain digital talent Mimicking Competition • Ensures incumbent has offerings matching the disruptor • Helps reduce customer churn in the short-term • Risk of comparison with disruptors and falling short of customers expectations • Challenges of replicating a true disruptor within existing legacy operations Judicial Approach • Allows incumbents to gain time to prepare a more coherent response • Likely to antagonize existing/ prospective customers Figure 5: Pros and Cons of Response Types Source: Capgemini Consulting Analysis Many incumbents typically stick to the same strategy playbook that has served them for years. However, the pace of technological change has made this approach dangerous. Incumbentsneedtoconstantlyrevisit their business model to ensure it is not outdated. Reorganize Resource Allocation around Opportunities Most organizations are typically organized by business units or market units. Resources are subsequently tied into what are in reality independent fiefdoms. Responding to digital disruptions requires that organizations move to a resource allocation that is centrally governed and organized around opportunities, not existing structures. As Columbia Professor Rita McGrath says, “In companies [that have been able to survive disruptions], employees tend to worry less about organizational roles and structures.23 ” Responding to digital disruptions requires that organizations move to a resource allocation that is centrally governed and organized around opportunities, not existing structures.
  • 88. incubators and partnering with startup accelerators. As David Cohen, founder of leading startup accelerator Techstars says, “Being around the disruption at the early stages – and spotting it before others do – gives you a competitive advantage and you can help the startup grow at the same time24 .” Digital disruptions are a fact of economic life in the twenty-first century. New digital technologies DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 078888 When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? Move to an Open Innovation Model Large companies need to learn to spot the early warning signs of disruption to avoid being surprised by their impact at a later stage. This requires a shift to an open innovation model that allows them to stay tuned to sources of disruptive innovation. An open innovation model entails engaging closely with the startup ecosystem by setting up innovation labs and do not care for organizational history or tradition. In fact, they sweep aside existing approaches and models, creating a new world order. Digital disruptions are in many ways a very democratic force and they can just as well originate withinatwo-personstartupasthey can in a $100 billion organization. While that prospect might make many incumbents feel vulnerable and uncomfortable, the secret is to see it as an opportunity.
  • 89. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 07 89 DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW 89 We conducted a comprehensive study of 100 leading companies in North America and Europe to understand how they negotiate digital disruption. For our study, we selected 10 leading players across 10 industry groups that have been digitally disrupted. The industry groups included Public Transport, Healthcare, Hospitality, Education, Publishing, News and Media, Photography, Music, Banking and Travel. All of these industries were carefully selected on the basis of disruption witnessed at various stages. The incumbents that we studied have been leading players in these industries for over two decades. In our research, 84 companies had been successful in withstanding digital disruptions – success implies that they have maintained and/ or improved their market position – while 16 had been unsuccessful – these are companies that went bankrupt.Ourfocuswastounderstandthevariousstrategiesusedbysuccessfulincumbentstorespondtodigitaldisruptions. Research Methodology How do you spot disruptions? We actively look out for new technologies that can impact our industry We gain insights into customer behavior by actively monitoring sentiment on social media sites, understanding emerging behavior of millennials and tracking new startups globally We have a good view of our customer’s pain points We have a set of leading indicators (patent filings, consumer behavior etc) that we track to foresee disruptions How do you rate your organization’s agility in responding to disruptions? Our leadership team has a digital vision that encompasses all organizational units We can quickly pull together pilots based on new technologies and get them off the ground We are ready to buy a disruptor if it makes strategic sense We have a high-level roadmap for digital transformation, which is flexible based on changing market scenarios We revisit our business model regularly What is your approach to scouting for opportunities outside of your business? We have a ‘labs’ setup where we encourage investments in emerging technologies and trends We invest our time and effort in hiring and nurturing digital skills We have partnered with/ funded startups at various stages We encourage our partners/ customers to contribute to our product development process Checklist: Are you in a Position to Successfully Negotiate Digital Disruption?
  • 90. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW N° 0790 1. Constellation Research, “Research Summary: Sneak Peeks From Constellation’s Futurist Framework And 2014 Outlook On Digital Disruption”, February 2014 2. Innosight, “Creative Destruction Whips through Corporate America”, 2012 3. GE Ideas Lab, “Global Innovation Barometer”, 2014 4. Greg Satell, “Business Models and the Singularity”, May 2012 5. Economist Intelligence Unit, “Agent of change – The future of technology disruption in business”, 2012 6. INSEAD Knowledge, “Four Questions to Revolutionise Your Business Model”, July 2014 7. Source: IDC and Gartner, accessed through Statista.com 8. Innovate or die: Wisdom from Apple, Google and Toyota, TIME, Jan 2013 9. From IEDP Review of - Rita Gunther McGrath, “End of Competitive Advantage: How to Keep Your Strategy Moving as Fast as Your Business”, April 2014 10. All Things Digital, “Apple CEO: Don’t Fear Cannibalization, Embrace It”, January 2013 11. Forbes, “Digital Transformation in Action at the Financial Times”, November 2014 12. Travel Weekly, “Thomas Cook appoints digital ‘gurus’ to add tech experience”, May 2014 13. Breakingtravelnews.com, “Thomas Cook appoints three digital experts to enhance tech experience”, May 2014 14. Fastcodesign.com, “Apple’s Inspiration for the iPod? Bang & Olufsen, Not Braun”, November 2013 15. Techradar.com, “Meet the tablets that had to die before the iPad could succeed”, 2014 16. Marketwatch, “Wal-Mart buys another tech startup, Luvocracy — only to shut it down”, July 2014 17. Wall Street Journal, “Avis to Buy Car-Sharing Service Zipcar”, January 2013 18. TechCrunch, “Aereo Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy”, November 2014 19. BBC, “Uber under pressure as more bans and lawsuits loom”, December 2014 20. Wall Street Journal, “Uber Gets an Uber-Valuation”, June 2014 21. Capgemini Consulting Interview 22. HBR, “Amazon Constantly Audits its Business Model”, November 2013 23. Capgemini Consulting Interview 24. Capgemini Consulting Interview When Digital Disruption Strikes: How Can Incumbents Respond? 90
  • 91. DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION REVIEW About Capgemini Consulting About Capgemini Capgemini Consulting is the global strategy and transformation consulting organization of the Capgemini Group, specializing in advising and supporting enterprises in significant transformation, from innovative strategy to execution and with an unstinting focus on results. With the new digital economy creating significant disruptions and opportunities, our global team of over 3,600 talented individuals work with leading companies and governments to master Digital Transformation, drawing on our understanding of the digital economy and our leadership in business transformation and organizational change. Find out more at: www.capgemini-consulting.com With more than 130,000 people in over 40 countries, Capgemini is one of the world's foremost providers of consulting, technology and outsourcing services. The Group reported 2013 global revenues of EUR 10.1 billion. Together with its clients, Capgemini creates and delivers business and technology solutions that fit their needs and drive the results they want. A deeply multicultural organization, Capgemini has developed its own way of working, the Collaborative Business ExperienceTM , and draws on Rightshore® , its worldwide delivery model. Learn more about us at: www.capgemini.com
  • 92. Rachel Botsman, Global Thought Leader Serguei Netessine, Chaired Professor of Global Technology and Innovation at INSEAD Philippe Lemoine, Chairman of the Fing (Next Generation Internet Foundation) Rita McGrath, Professor at Columbia Business School David Cohen, Founder, Managing Partner, and CEO - Techstars Brian Solis, Principal Analyst Altimeter Group Saul Klein, Partner with Index Ventures Caspar de Bono, Managing Director, B2B at the Financial Times Digital Transformation Review Guest Contributors