DSD-INT 2017 Collaborative modelling game Introduction - Warren
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The document discusses collaborative modeling techniques for addressing complex policy problems such as forecasting and flood management, emphasizing the role of stakeholder engagement and structured approaches. It introduces serious gaming as a tool for simulating various strategies to improve water management in the Angereb watershed, aiming to reduce pollution and water treatment costs. Key strategies include assessing challenges, selecting impact reduction measures, and simulating outcomes to identify the most effective solutions.
DSD-INT 2017 Collaborative modelling game Introduction - Warren
- 2. Forecasting models Flood models Water allocation models Complex models Stakeholders ?Serious gaming Scenario mapping System Dynamics Communication visualization tools Concept of Collaborative Modelling
- 4. When to use collaborative modelling? Complexity of policy problems: Stakeholder engagement structure Modelling approach Str. PATH Negotiation
- 5. Types of approaches & tools
- 6. Group Model Building & Mediated Modelling
- 8. Fast Integrated Systems Modelling (meta-modelling) • Integrates and simplifies complex system interactions and relevant feedbacks • Fast, low-resolution model (for example in Excel) • Used for high-level reasoning and communication, exploratory analysis and long term decision support taking into account deep uncertainties.
- 9. • Experiential learning • Promotes discussion and development of innovative solutions Serious Gaming
- 10. October 2017 Eskedar Gebremedhin Andrew Warren Angereb Watershed Game
- 11. Angereb River Watershed Upstream of Angereb River Angereb Reservoir Downstream of Angereb River Area F: Urban Area C: Treatment Plant Area D: Farmers Area E: Industry Area A: Farmers Area B: Reservoir
- 12. System Model: Water balance model Farmers Famers Industries City Treatment plant Reservoir
- 13. Game Objectives 1. Improve the existing situation 2. Find the best strategy that reduces total negative impacts in the model: • Pollution • Sediment inflows • Water treatment costs • Industrial demand deficit • Domestic water demand deficit • Irrigation water demand deficit
- 14. Instructions 1. Assess the challenges for the case study area 2. Select best impact reduction strategies through collaborative work • maximum 3 measures 3. Simulate actions in the model and review results Measure 11: • Can be combined with measures 2, 5, 8 and 10 • Reduces impacts by an additional 5% December 2014 Existing conditions 80% 80% 60% U/S D/S • High levels of pollution • High sediment inflows • High water treatment costs • High unmet water demands