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Global Headquarters: Empire State Building, New York
NEW YORK | TORONTO | LONDON | SINGAPORE | BEIJING
Mike Grehan
CMO & Managing Director
Chairman
Information Retrieval Vs Data Retrieval
• Data retrieval provides a solution to a user of a database system.
• It does not solve the problem of retrieving INFORMATION about a subject or
topic.
Authors Clifford Stoll and Gary Schubert say this:
Data is not information, information is not knowledge, knowledge is not understanding, understanding
is not wisdom.
What I hope to do today, is provide a few data points, some information that will get you as far as knowledge.
After that… It’s entirely up to you!
What Do You Mean?
!
?
Intention is a state of mind. A driving force behind human
behavior, powered by belief, desire and goal (and often also
referred to as thinking/feeling/doing).
It has been studied much in such disciplines
as philosophy and psychology.
And now, intent computing is a growing area
of research, particularly in the field of digital marketing.
Intent: A State of Mind
A Taxonomy of Web Search
• Informational
• Navigational
• Transactional
Professor Andrei Broder,
Distinguished Scientist,
Google.
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
• SEE / The Total Addressable Audience:
potential customers within the entire
marketplace
• THINK / The Actively interested
audience: Potential customers actively
researching solutions.
• DO / The Decision focused audience:
Potential customers ready to make a
purchase decision
See/Think/Do – Discern Intent.
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
The Intention Economy grows around buyers, not sellers. It leverages the simple fact that
buyers are the first source of money, and that they come ready-made. You don’t need
advertising to make them … In the Intention Economy, the buyer notifies the market of
the intent to buy, and sellers compete for the buyer’s purchase. Simple as that …
60 Year Old Methodologies & Metrics?
Reach: The total number of individuals or households
exposed to an advertisement at least once during a
given period of time.
Frequency: Curiosity, recognition and decision.
Demographics: Involves the statistical study of
human populations. A very general science.
Purchase Funnel: Theoretical Customer Journey
New Shopping Paths: Device, Location, Intent
The traditional purchase diagram, one which any marketer could sketch from memory, is officially dead.
The singular, orderly sequence of purchase stages has been scrambled, and marketers need to conform.
Consumers are changing the way they research and purchase online, and new shopping paths are emerging depending on
behavior, device, location and intent.
The Traditional Persuasion Model
High impact messaging. Requires active attention.
Central processing.
The Low Involvement Model
Slow burn, low level involvement. Requires passive attention.
Peripheral processing.
The Reinforcement Model
Occurs after usage of the product. Low level involvement.
Reinforcing brand-linked attitudes.
“Ah, to know what is going on in someone else’s head. At some
point we have all wished we could. Is she attracted to me?
Does he really mean that? There is a powerful allure to
knowing what someone is thinking. But without the ability to
mind read, we are condemned to communicate using crude
surrogates: words, facial expressions and body language.
Humans have been using spoken language for at least fifty
thousand years and physical expression for far longer, but both
remain open to potential misinterpretation and misdirection.
So pity us, the marketers, doomed to use these crude tools to
understand the motivations behind people’s behavior and
provide information to guide important business and social
decisions. “
In our overcommunicated society, to talk about the “impact” of your advertising is to
seriously overstate the potential effectiveness of your message. Advertising is not a
sledgehammer. It’s more like a light fog, a very light fog that envelops your prospects.
The mind, as a defense against the volume of today’s communications, screens and
rejects much of the information offered it. In general, the mind accepts only that
which matches prior knowledge or experience. Millions of dollars have been wasted
trying to change minds with advertising. Once a mind is made up, it’s almost
impossible to change it.
Certainly not with a weak force like advertising. “Don’t confuse me with the facts, my
mind’s made up.” That’s a way of life for most people. The average person will sit still
when being told something which he or she knows nothing about. (Which is why
“news” is an effective advertising approach.)
The Process Theory of Brand Choice
1. The experience a consumer receives from using a brand solidifies his or her perceptions of it. These fixed perceptions can rarely be changed through advertising
alone.
2. How a consumer perceives each of the different brands in a category determines which ones are used and which ones are not. The consumer may perceive
different brands to be superior on different desirable attributes and this results in his or her switching around within a set of brands rather than using a single
brand.
3. When a consumer uses a set of brands, the consumer’s fluctuating wants and desires are what causes switching from one brand to another.
4. In many categories, brand use itself is what causes a consumer’s desires to fluctuate. The consumer may temporarily satisfy certain desires by using one brand
but simultaneously deprive themselves of other satisfactions they could have received from a competing brand.
5. As consumers’ desires fluctuate relative to their fixed perceptions of brands, a consistent process of brand choice (brand switching) results over time.
6. Advertising and promotion intervene in the process of brand choice by temporarily changing the probability of a user purchasing the brand the next time the
category is shopped.
7. Advertising intervenes by temporarily intensifying the consumer’s desire for some benefit the brand is already perceived to provide.
8. Price promotion intervenes by temporarily changing the perception of price/value.
9. New brands, line extensions, product improvements, disequilibrium price changes and restages of existing brands change consumers’ perceptions and
permanently alter the process of brand choice (the probabilities of brands being selected) for some category users.
10. It is the fate of most brands that their own advertising will never improve users’ perceptions, but instead that new competitors will diminish these perceptions
over time.
Pinterest says that 95% of searches there are non-branded. This is the difference between search and discovery. In their world
people don’t find products, products find people. And, generally speaking, it’s a good analogy to describe the difference. Search
is about people actively looking for content. Discovery is about content actively looking for people.
Machines are generating a more complete understanding of the people who use them, which has in turn given rise to
innovations like people-based marketing, voice computing and image recognition technology. Are we really on the path to true
one to one marketing at scale, and what is search’s role in facilitating that across channels and platforms?
Amazon has been the birthplace of thousands of third party retailers like InstaNatural, a beauty and skincare products maker that
started selling on its platform in 2013 before eventually expanding into Walmart.com, Jet and other digital marketplaces. The
CMO explained why Amazon remains the backbone of InstaNatural’s business, while sharing insights into how brands can boost
rankings, enhance discoverability, foster favorable ratings and reviews, and leverage paid media offerings on Amazon and other
platforms.
One conversation posits that the future of marketing will be based entirely on
the reduction of all human interactions and interests into sets of data points that
can be analyzed and traded.
The other conversation posits that marketing success derives entirely from
content, context, environment and the qualitative engagement of human
emotion
Machine Learning & AI
Artificial intelligence broadly means anything a machine does to respond to its environment to maximize its
chances of success. The machines we use are computers and we set their goal as detecting complex patterns
that we cannot, in order to aid us in making better decisions. Some systems with low-level intelligence are
automated. Otherwise you are the one who needs to decide how to use the information
Combining signals and machine learning to power advertising.
In a world where content has exploded, and competition for attention has increased, curation becomes critical as does relevance
in the moment. This requires a model that understands intent, interests and behaviors at massive scale. And by reaching people
earlier on their path to purchase instead of waiting for them get to you at the end, helping, not selling, you create much earlier
brand affinity.
Key for modern marketers these days is to focus on growth marketing. Successful brands know that the customer journey has
changed dramatically and waiting for customers to eventually find you at the bottom of some sort of funnel is quite simply
suboptimal in a mobile first world.
Mobile has changed the way people discover, engage with and purchase from businesses. Facebook data says:
45% of all shopping journeys contain mobile.
72% of people primarily use their mobile phone for product research, compared to 48% using desktop.
56% of store purchases are influenced by digital interactions, 66% of those are mobile interactions.
Globally, nearly 40% of shoppers agree that when it comes to holiday shopping, their mobile device allows them to make a more
informed purchase.
Unleashing the True Power for Machine Learning on the World’s Largest CRM
At Oath we see 7 billion searches per month, $65 billion worth of purchase receipts annually, 1.2 billion users consuming
content and app usage from more than 1 million apps across 2 billion devices. Way too much information for a human to digest.
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
Google Uses Many Signals To Determine Intent.
Query expansion techniques
semantically tagging search
queries
Query chains
Matching click graph curves with
user behavior
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
Conductor
Partnership
• There is a big difference between
ranking and sorting.
• For example - You cannot optimize a
web page to rank higher than a
video. You need to create a better
video.
Optimizing the Content
Experience
There will be a natural shift from search engine optimization (SEO) to Content
Experience Analyst (CEA). The role will become more focused on identifying
and fulfilling content gaps to provide a more useful experience and more
extensive visibility and touch-points on the customer path to purchase.
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
Join us for the 2018 SEMPO Search Industry Forum taking place in
Miami Florida on April 5th & 6th
The 2018 Search Industry Forum hosted by SEMPO is an exciting event that will provide you
with actionable information and insights to improve job performance. Get up to speed with
current industry concerns, changes and technology innovation. Meet, greet and gather with
friends, colleagues and clients. Dive into sessions that will cover topics such as tactical SEO &
PPC, social media and video integration with SEO, a deeper look into domain names, and more.
Early Bird Pricing Ends February 15, 2018
Use code semrushweb17 when registering to receive 15% off!
For more information and to register, visit sempo.org
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan
Everybody knows what feelings, emotions and moods are – do the scientists? It is only during the last decade that a real
understanding of feelings, emotions and moods and their roles in decision making has begun to be achieved, specifically after
Damasio’s book Descartes’ Error (1995) and LeDoux’s book The Emotional Brain: The mysterious underpinnings of emotional life
(1996). While these two books by neurologists are the books that get most credited for the changing paradigm about emotions,
there are others that appeared at about the same time: Ronald de Sousa, The Rationality of Emotion (1990). He is a professor of
philosophy at the University of Toronto. Oatley and Jenkins, Understanding Emotions (1996). They are professors in psychology at
the University of Toronto. Paul E Griffiths, What Emotions Really Are (1997). He is a professor of history and philosophy of science
at Otago Univ., New Zealand.
Why do we make decisions? This might sound like a very trite question. However, if you want to understand ‘brand decisions’
then you need to understand ‘decision making’; and then you need to know what ‘decision making’ is trying to achieve. The
objective of decision making is to motivate us to do something. This ‘something’ is to make us either feel less bad or feel good.
We buy food brands so that we feel less hungry or we buy music brands so that we will feel good. This hedonistic view of why
people do what they do has spurred a lot of debate. Yet, when one understands how the brain works, it becomes obvious that
this is what we do. The objective for marketers becomes one of making sure that the brand they market will make their
consumers feel good.
The Lord’s Prayer 56 words
The Gettysburg Address 266 words
The Ten Commandments 297 words
The Declaration of Independence 300 words
A US Government order setting the price of cabbage 26,911 words
How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan

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How to deal with customer's intent by Mike Grehan

  • 1. Global Headquarters: Empire State Building, New York NEW YORK | TORONTO | LONDON | SINGAPORE | BEIJING Mike Grehan CMO & Managing Director Chairman
  • 2. Information Retrieval Vs Data Retrieval • Data retrieval provides a solution to a user of a database system. • It does not solve the problem of retrieving INFORMATION about a subject or topic.
  • 3. Authors Clifford Stoll and Gary Schubert say this: Data is not information, information is not knowledge, knowledge is not understanding, understanding is not wisdom. What I hope to do today, is provide a few data points, some information that will get you as far as knowledge. After that… It’s entirely up to you!
  • 4. What Do You Mean?
  • 5. ! ?
  • 6. Intention is a state of mind. A driving force behind human behavior, powered by belief, desire and goal (and often also referred to as thinking/feeling/doing). It has been studied much in such disciplines as philosophy and psychology. And now, intent computing is a growing area of research, particularly in the field of digital marketing. Intent: A State of Mind
  • 7. A Taxonomy of Web Search • Informational • Navigational • Transactional Professor Andrei Broder, Distinguished Scientist, Google.
  • 9. • SEE / The Total Addressable Audience: potential customers within the entire marketplace • THINK / The Actively interested audience: Potential customers actively researching solutions. • DO / The Decision focused audience: Potential customers ready to make a purchase decision See/Think/Do – Discern Intent.
  • 12. The Intention Economy grows around buyers, not sellers. It leverages the simple fact that buyers are the first source of money, and that they come ready-made. You don’t need advertising to make them … In the Intention Economy, the buyer notifies the market of the intent to buy, and sellers compete for the buyer’s purchase. Simple as that …
  • 13. 60 Year Old Methodologies & Metrics? Reach: The total number of individuals or households exposed to an advertisement at least once during a given period of time. Frequency: Curiosity, recognition and decision. Demographics: Involves the statistical study of human populations. A very general science.
  • 14. Purchase Funnel: Theoretical Customer Journey
  • 15. New Shopping Paths: Device, Location, Intent The traditional purchase diagram, one which any marketer could sketch from memory, is officially dead. The singular, orderly sequence of purchase stages has been scrambled, and marketers need to conform. Consumers are changing the way they research and purchase online, and new shopping paths are emerging depending on behavior, device, location and intent.
  • 16. The Traditional Persuasion Model High impact messaging. Requires active attention. Central processing. The Low Involvement Model Slow burn, low level involvement. Requires passive attention. Peripheral processing. The Reinforcement Model Occurs after usage of the product. Low level involvement. Reinforcing brand-linked attitudes.
  • 17. “Ah, to know what is going on in someone else’s head. At some point we have all wished we could. Is she attracted to me? Does he really mean that? There is a powerful allure to knowing what someone is thinking. But without the ability to mind read, we are condemned to communicate using crude surrogates: words, facial expressions and body language. Humans have been using spoken language for at least fifty thousand years and physical expression for far longer, but both remain open to potential misinterpretation and misdirection. So pity us, the marketers, doomed to use these crude tools to understand the motivations behind people’s behavior and provide information to guide important business and social decisions. “
  • 18. In our overcommunicated society, to talk about the “impact” of your advertising is to seriously overstate the potential effectiveness of your message. Advertising is not a sledgehammer. It’s more like a light fog, a very light fog that envelops your prospects. The mind, as a defense against the volume of today’s communications, screens and rejects much of the information offered it. In general, the mind accepts only that which matches prior knowledge or experience. Millions of dollars have been wasted trying to change minds with advertising. Once a mind is made up, it’s almost impossible to change it. Certainly not with a weak force like advertising. “Don’t confuse me with the facts, my mind’s made up.” That’s a way of life for most people. The average person will sit still when being told something which he or she knows nothing about. (Which is why “news” is an effective advertising approach.)
  • 19. The Process Theory of Brand Choice 1. The experience a consumer receives from using a brand solidifies his or her perceptions of it. These fixed perceptions can rarely be changed through advertising alone. 2. How a consumer perceives each of the different brands in a category determines which ones are used and which ones are not. The consumer may perceive different brands to be superior on different desirable attributes and this results in his or her switching around within a set of brands rather than using a single brand. 3. When a consumer uses a set of brands, the consumer’s fluctuating wants and desires are what causes switching from one brand to another. 4. In many categories, brand use itself is what causes a consumer’s desires to fluctuate. The consumer may temporarily satisfy certain desires by using one brand but simultaneously deprive themselves of other satisfactions they could have received from a competing brand. 5. As consumers’ desires fluctuate relative to their fixed perceptions of brands, a consistent process of brand choice (brand switching) results over time. 6. Advertising and promotion intervene in the process of brand choice by temporarily changing the probability of a user purchasing the brand the next time the category is shopped. 7. Advertising intervenes by temporarily intensifying the consumer’s desire for some benefit the brand is already perceived to provide. 8. Price promotion intervenes by temporarily changing the perception of price/value. 9. New brands, line extensions, product improvements, disequilibrium price changes and restages of existing brands change consumers’ perceptions and permanently alter the process of brand choice (the probabilities of brands being selected) for some category users. 10. It is the fate of most brands that their own advertising will never improve users’ perceptions, but instead that new competitors will diminish these perceptions over time.
  • 20. Pinterest says that 95% of searches there are non-branded. This is the difference between search and discovery. In their world people don’t find products, products find people. And, generally speaking, it’s a good analogy to describe the difference. Search is about people actively looking for content. Discovery is about content actively looking for people. Machines are generating a more complete understanding of the people who use them, which has in turn given rise to innovations like people-based marketing, voice computing and image recognition technology. Are we really on the path to true one to one marketing at scale, and what is search’s role in facilitating that across channels and platforms? Amazon has been the birthplace of thousands of third party retailers like InstaNatural, a beauty and skincare products maker that started selling on its platform in 2013 before eventually expanding into Walmart.com, Jet and other digital marketplaces. The CMO explained why Amazon remains the backbone of InstaNatural’s business, while sharing insights into how brands can boost rankings, enhance discoverability, foster favorable ratings and reviews, and leverage paid media offerings on Amazon and other platforms.
  • 21. One conversation posits that the future of marketing will be based entirely on the reduction of all human interactions and interests into sets of data points that can be analyzed and traded. The other conversation posits that marketing success derives entirely from content, context, environment and the qualitative engagement of human emotion
  • 22. Machine Learning & AI Artificial intelligence broadly means anything a machine does to respond to its environment to maximize its chances of success. The machines we use are computers and we set their goal as detecting complex patterns that we cannot, in order to aid us in making better decisions. Some systems with low-level intelligence are automated. Otherwise you are the one who needs to decide how to use the information
  • 23. Combining signals and machine learning to power advertising. In a world where content has exploded, and competition for attention has increased, curation becomes critical as does relevance in the moment. This requires a model that understands intent, interests and behaviors at massive scale. And by reaching people earlier on their path to purchase instead of waiting for them get to you at the end, helping, not selling, you create much earlier brand affinity. Key for modern marketers these days is to focus on growth marketing. Successful brands know that the customer journey has changed dramatically and waiting for customers to eventually find you at the bottom of some sort of funnel is quite simply suboptimal in a mobile first world. Mobile has changed the way people discover, engage with and purchase from businesses. Facebook data says: 45% of all shopping journeys contain mobile. 72% of people primarily use their mobile phone for product research, compared to 48% using desktop. 56% of store purchases are influenced by digital interactions, 66% of those are mobile interactions. Globally, nearly 40% of shoppers agree that when it comes to holiday shopping, their mobile device allows them to make a more informed purchase.
  • 24. Unleashing the True Power for Machine Learning on the World’s Largest CRM At Oath we see 7 billion searches per month, $65 billion worth of purchase receipts annually, 1.2 billion users consuming content and app usage from more than 1 million apps across 2 billion devices. Way too much information for a human to digest.
  • 28. Google Uses Many Signals To Determine Intent. Query expansion techniques semantically tagging search queries Query chains Matching click graph curves with user behavior
  • 37. • There is a big difference between ranking and sorting. • For example - You cannot optimize a web page to rank higher than a video. You need to create a better video. Optimizing the Content Experience
  • 38. There will be a natural shift from search engine optimization (SEO) to Content Experience Analyst (CEA). The role will become more focused on identifying and fulfilling content gaps to provide a more useful experience and more extensive visibility and touch-points on the customer path to purchase.
  • 40. Join us for the 2018 SEMPO Search Industry Forum taking place in Miami Florida on April 5th & 6th The 2018 Search Industry Forum hosted by SEMPO is an exciting event that will provide you with actionable information and insights to improve job performance. Get up to speed with current industry concerns, changes and technology innovation. Meet, greet and gather with friends, colleagues and clients. Dive into sessions that will cover topics such as tactical SEO & PPC, social media and video integration with SEO, a deeper look into domain names, and more. Early Bird Pricing Ends February 15, 2018 Use code semrushweb17 when registering to receive 15% off! For more information and to register, visit sempo.org
  • 45. Everybody knows what feelings, emotions and moods are – do the scientists? It is only during the last decade that a real understanding of feelings, emotions and moods and their roles in decision making has begun to be achieved, specifically after Damasio’s book Descartes’ Error (1995) and LeDoux’s book The Emotional Brain: The mysterious underpinnings of emotional life (1996). While these two books by neurologists are the books that get most credited for the changing paradigm about emotions, there are others that appeared at about the same time: Ronald de Sousa, The Rationality of Emotion (1990). He is a professor of philosophy at the University of Toronto. Oatley and Jenkins, Understanding Emotions (1996). They are professors in psychology at the University of Toronto. Paul E Griffiths, What Emotions Really Are (1997). He is a professor of history and philosophy of science at Otago Univ., New Zealand. Why do we make decisions? This might sound like a very trite question. However, if you want to understand ‘brand decisions’ then you need to understand ‘decision making’; and then you need to know what ‘decision making’ is trying to achieve. The objective of decision making is to motivate us to do something. This ‘something’ is to make us either feel less bad or feel good. We buy food brands so that we feel less hungry or we buy music brands so that we will feel good. This hedonistic view of why people do what they do has spurred a lot of debate. Yet, when one understands how the brain works, it becomes obvious that this is what we do. The objective for marketers becomes one of making sure that the brand they market will make their consumers feel good.
  • 46. The Lord’s Prayer 56 words The Gettysburg Address 266 words The Ten Commandments 297 words The Declaration of Independence 300 words A US Government order setting the price of cabbage 26,911 words