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Influence Influence inMedia
Measuring  in Social Social
        Networks
      (Media) Networks

          @sinanaral
        @sinanaral
@sinanaral




         The Problem
 Influence in Social Media
  IndustrialNetworks
             Strength Examples

           @sinanaral
How to Mine An Influence Graph
@sinanaral




         The Problem
 Influence in Social Media
  IndustrialNetworks
             Strength Examples

           @sinanaral
How to Mine An Influence Graph
@sinanaral
@sinanaral




@sinanaral
@sinanaral




         Checks   every
                          37
                          minutes




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         Posts to
                    5x
                    daily




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         Reviews
              on   4x
                    per
                   week




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         Updates   every
                           1
                           hour




@sinanaral
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@sinanaral
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 If we can understand
how behaviors spread…
@sinanaral




    from person


       to person

      to person
to person
@sinanaral




we could promote
@sinanaral




 condom use, exercise,
 productivity, tolerance,
financial responsibility,
sustainability, economic
    development…
@sinanaral




or contain
@sinanaral




smoking, dirty needle
sharing, fraud, default,
  obesity, violence,
    hatred, waste,
      poverty…
@sinanaral
@sinanaral




Influence in Social Media
        Networks

         @sinanaral
@sinanaral
@sinanaral




The “Reflection Problem”

  Human behaviors cluster in
   network space and time…


     but is this because of
       peer influence or
    alternate explanations?
@sinanaral

            “Obesity is Contagious”




Christakis & Fowler (2007)
@sinanaral




                              Homophily

                            “Birds of a feather,
                              flock together”




Robert Burton (1577-1640)
@sinanaral




            “(People) love those who
              are like themselves”




Aristotle
@sinanaral




        “Similarity begets
           friendship”




Plato
@sinanaral




              “Hanging out with a bad
               crowd will get you into
                     trouble”



Sinan’s Mom
“Everything is Contagious”



                         Alternative explanations:
                              Reflection

                              Homophily

                              Confounding
“Loneliness is Contagious”
@sinanaral




         The Problem
 Influence in Social Media
  IndustrialNetworks
             Strength Examples

           @sinanaral
How to Mine An Influence Graph
@sinanaral
@sinanaral

The “iPad Effect”
                16
                                    P(Adoption | Friend Adopts)

                14

                12
    INFLUENCE




                10                        Controlling for correlated preferences
                                                        and confounding effects
                 8

                 6

                 4

                 2

                 0
                     20   40   60    80       100    120     140    160
                               DAYS SINCE LAUNCH
@sinanaral
@sinanaral




“VIRAL DESIGN” Can we engineer products so
   they are more likely to be virally shared?
@sinanaral

                  The Setup


                      App




 Randomly Enabled Viral Messaging.
 Observed the Adoption and Use of the App by Friends of
  Control and Experimental Group Users.
@sinanaral

Flixster - An Example Facebook Application
@sinanaral

Flixster - An Example Facebook Application
@sinanaral




Users can invite their friends
to adopt the application and
join their social network on
the application itself.
@sinanaral




Users can invite friends to install this application and
include a personal message
@sinanaral
@sinanaral
@sinanaral
@sinanaral

Which Features Spread Contagion Best?

                    Personal      Passive
                   Invitations   Awareness

 Influence Per
   Message
                    ↑6%          ↑2%
Global Diffusion    ↑98% ↑246%
  Stickiness        ↑17%  0%
@sinanaral
@sinanaral
@sinanaral
@sinanaral
@thesocialcure
@sinanaral




         The Problem
 Influence in Social Media
  IndustrialNetworks
             Strength Examples

           @sinanaral
How to Mine An Influence Graph
@sinanaral




#planningness
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http://www.followthehashtag.com/
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#planningness 2012
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#planningness
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#planningness
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      NodeXL
http://nodexl.codeplex.com




         Gephi
     https://gephi.org/
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NodeXL
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NodeXL
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Gephi
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Gephi
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Gephi
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Gephi
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Influence Influence inMedia
Measuring  in Social Social
        Networks
      (Media) Networks

          @sinanaral
        @sinanaral

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How to measure influence in social networks