Learning from Web Activity
- 1. Learning from Web Activity Jake Hofman Yahoo! Research November 18, 2010 Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 1 / 33
- 2. Outline 1 Agenda: Just enough philosophy 2 Case study: Demographic diversity on the Web 3 Conclusion: Lessons learned Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 2 / 33
- 3. Agenda Size (only kind of) matters Big Data Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 3 / 33
- 4. Agenda Size (only kind of) matters Big Data Lots of data means lots to learn (from) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 3 / 33
- 5. Agenda Size (only kind of) matters Big Data But the “big” part isn’t intrinsically interesting (although large sample sizes are always good) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 3 / 33
- 6. Agenda Size (only kind of) matters Big Data Regardless of size, it’s really about “data jeopardy” (To what question are these data the answer?) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 3 / 33
- 7. Agenda Tools Data tools: • Shell scripting & Python Munging, Glue • R Modeling, Visualization Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 4 / 33
- 8. Agenda Tools Big Data tools: • Hadoop & Pig Filtering, Aggregating • Shell scripting & Python Munging, Glue • R Modeling, Visualization Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 4 / 33
- 9. Agenda The clean real story “We have a habit in writing articles published in scientific journals to make the work as finished as possible, to cover all the tracks, to not worry about the blind alleys or to describe how you had the wrong idea first, and so on. So there isn’t any place to publish, in a dignified manner, what you actually did in order to get to do the work ...” -Richard Feynman Nobel Lecture1, 1965 1 http://bit.ly/feynmannobel Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 5 / 33
- 10. Outline 1 Agenda: Just enough philosophy 2 Case study: Demographic diversity on the Web 3 Conclusion: Lessons learned Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 6 / 33
- 11. Demographic diversity on the Web The clean story (covering our tracks) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 7 / 33
- 12. Demographic diversity on the Web with Irmak Sirer and Sharad Goel How diverse is the Web? To what extent do online experiences vary across demographic groups? Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 8 / 33
- 13. Diversity of the Web Data • Representative sample of 265,000 individuals in the US, paid via the Nielsen MegaPanel2 • Log of anonymized, complete browsing activity from June 2009 through May 2010 (URLs viewed, timestamps, etc.) • Detailed individual and household demographic information (age, education, income, race, sex, etc.) 2 http://bit.ly/nielsenonline Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 9 / 33
- 14. Diversity of the Web Data • Transform all demographic attributes to binary variables e.g., Age → Over/Under 25, Race → White/Non-White, Sex → Female/Male • Normalize pageviews to at most three domain levels, sans www e.g. www.yahoo.com → yahoo.com, us.mg2.mail.yahoo.com/neo/launch → mail.yahoo.com • Restrict to top 100k most popular sites • Aggregate activity at the site, group, and user levels Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 10 / 33
- 15. Diversity of the Web Pig to the rescue Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 11 / 33
- 16. Diversity of the Web Site-level skew How diverse are site audiences? • For each site and attribute, calculate the skew in visitors (e.g., 93% of pageviews on foxnews.com are by White users) • For each attribute, plot the distribution of visitor skew across all sites Proportion White Visitors Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 12 / 33
- 17. Diversity of the Web Site-level skew Proportion Female Visitors Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Proportion White VisitorsDensity 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Proportion College Educated Visitors Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Proportion Adult Visitors Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Proportion of Visitors With Household Incomes Under $50,000 Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 13 / 33
- 18. Diversity of the Web Site-level skew Many sites have skew close the average, but there also popular, highly-skewed sites Greater Than 90% Less Than 10% Female youravon.com collectionsetc.com coveritlive.com needlive.com White foxnews.com wunderground.com blackplanet.com mediatakeout.com College Educated news.google.com nytimes.com slumz.boxden.com sythe.com Over 25 Years Old mail.yahoo.com apps.facebook.com nanowrimo.org cbox.ws Household Income Under $50,000 scarleteen.com boards.adultswim.com opentable.com marketwatch.com Table 1: A selection of popular sites that are homogeneous along various demographic dimensions. ilyPer−CapitaPageviews 20 30 40 50 60 70 ! ! ! !Non−White Male Non−White Male No College Under 25 No College Under 25 White Female White FemaleCollege Over 25 College Over 25 visually apparent from Figure 5, there are significant differ- ences in how groups distribute their time on the web. These differences—which, as mentioned above, hold for highly fre- quented sites such as Facebook and YouTube—are in some cases even more pronounced for lower traffic sites. For in- stance, the gaming site pogo.com accounts for less than 1% of pageviews among both low and high income users, but low income users spend almost twice as much of their time there.Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 14 / 33
- 19. Diversity of the Web Site-level skew Many sites have skew close the average, but there also popular, highly-skewed sites Greater Than 90% Less Than 10% Female youravon.com collectionsetc.com coveritlive.com needlive.com White foxnews.com wunderground.com blackplanet.com mediatakeout.com College Educated news.google.com nytimes.com slumz.boxden.com sythe.com Over 25 Years Old mail.yahoo.com apps.facebook.com nanowrimo.org cbox.ws Household Income Under $50,000 scarleteen.com boards.adultswim.com opentable.com marketwatch.com Table 1: A selection of popular sites that are homogeneous along various demographic dimensions. ilyPer−CapitaPageviews 20 30 40 50 60 70 ! ! ! !Non−White Male Non−White Male No College Under 25 No College Under 25 White Female White FemaleCollege Over 25 College Over 25 visually apparent from Figure 5, there are significant differ- ences in how groups distribute their time on the web. These differences—which, as mentioned above, hold for highly fre- quented sites such as Facebook and YouTube—are in some cases even more pronounced for lower traffic sites. For in- stance, the gaming site pogo.com accounts for less than 1% of pageviews among both low and high income users, but low income users spend almost twice as much of their time there. This skew persists even when we restrict attention to the top 10k or 1k sites Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 14 / 33
- 20. Diversity of the Web Sites vs. ZIPs How do diversity of the online and offline worlds compare? Proportion Female Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion White Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion College Educated Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 15 / 33
- 21. Diversity of the Web Sites vs. ZIPs How do diversity of the online and offline worlds compare? Proportion Female Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion White Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion College Educated Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs As expected, neighborhoods are more gender-balanced than sites Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 15 / 33
- 22. Diversity of the Web Sites vs. ZIPs How do diversity of the online and offline worlds compare? Proportion Female Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion White Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion College Educated Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs But sites typically have more racially diverse audiences than neighborhoods have residents Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 15 / 33
- 23. Diversity of the Web Sites vs. ZIPs How do diversity of the online and offline worlds compare? Proportion Female Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion White Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Proportion College Educated Density 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Sites ZIPs Skew by education is comparable, with online showing a bias towards higher education Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 15 / 33
- 24. Diversity of the Web Group-level activity How does browsing activity vary at the group level? DailyPer−CapitaPageviews 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 q q q qNon−White Male Non−White Male No College Under 25 No College Under 25 White Female White FemaleCollege Over 25 College Over 25 Race Education Sex Age Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 16 / 33
- 25. Diversity of the Web Group-level activity How does browsing activity vary at the group level? DailyPer−CapitaPageviews 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 q q q qNon−White Male Non−White Male No College Under 25 No College Under 25 White Female White FemaleCollege Over 25 College Over 25 Race Education Sex Age Large differences exist even at the aggregate level (e.g. women on average generate 40% more pageviews than men) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 16 / 33
- 26. Diversity of the Web Group-level activity All groups spend more than a third of their time on a handful of email, search, and social networking sites PercentofTotalTimeSpentonSite 0.1% 1% 10% facebook.com m ail.yahoo.com google.com apps.facebook.com m ail.google.com m ail.live.com youtube.com w ebm ail.aol.com m w fb.zynga.com channel.facebook.com view m orepics.m yspace.com search.yahoo.com m yspace.com m sn.com am azon.com shop.ebay.com yahoo.com im ages.google.com hom e.m yspace.com m ail.com cast.net bing.com w w w .yahoo.com cgi.ebay.com espn.go.com m essaging.m yspace.com tw itter.com cim .m eebo.com m y.ebay.com en.w ikipedia.org login.yahoo.com facebook.m afiawars.com m y.yahoo.com gam e3.pogo.com friends.m yspace.com tagged.com w orldw inner.com m eebo.com login.live.com m ypoints.com m aps.google.com aol.com pogo.com m w m s.zynga.com new s.yahoo.com w inster.com netflix.com fantasysports.yahoo.com search.aol.com com cast.net alotm etrics.com female male Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 17 / 33
- 27. Diversity of the Web Group-level activity But different groups distribute their time differently, both on universally popular and on more niche sites PercentofTotalTimeSpentonSite 0.1% 1% 10% facebook.com m ail.yahoo.com google.com apps.facebook.com m ail.google.com m ail.live.com youtube.com w ebm ail.aol.com m w fb.zynga.com channel.facebook.com view m orepics.m yspace.com search.yahoo.com m yspace.com m sn.com am azon.com shop.ebay.com yahoo.com im ages.google.com hom e.m yspace.com m ail.com cast.net bing.com w w w .yahoo.com cgi.ebay.com espn.go.com m essaging.m yspace.com tw itter.com cim .m eebo.com m y.ebay.com en.w ikipedia.org login.yahoo.com facebook.m afiawars.com m y.yahoo.com gam e3.pogo.com friends.m yspace.com tagged.com w orldw inner.com m eebo.com login.live.com m ypoints.com m aps.google.com aol.com pogo.com m w m s.zynga.com new s.yahoo.com w inster.com netflix.com fantasysports.yahoo.com search.aol.com com cast.net alotm etrics.com female male Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 17 / 33
- 28. Diversity of the Web Group-level activity But different groups distribute their time differently, both on universally popular and on more niche sites PercentofTotalTimeSpentonSite 0.1% 1% 10% facebook.com m ail.yahoo.com google.com apps.facebook.com m ail.google.com m ail.live.com youtube.com w ebm ail.aol.com m w fb.zynga.com channel.facebook.com view m orepics.m yspace.com search.yahoo.com m yspace.com m sn.com am azon.com shop.ebay.com yahoo.com im ages.google.com hom e.m yspace.com m ail.com cast.net bing.com w w w .yahoo.com cgi.ebay.com espn.go.com m essaging.m yspace.com tw itter.com cim .m eebo.com m y.ebay.com en.w ikipedia.org login.yahoo.com facebook.m afiawars.com m y.yahoo.com gam e3.pogo.com friends.m yspace.com tagged.com w orldw inner.com m eebo.com login.live.com m ypoints.com m aps.google.com aol.com pogo.com m w m s.zynga.com new s.yahoo.com w inster.com netflix.com fantasysports.yahoo.com search.aol.com com cast.net alotm etrics.com white non.white Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 17 / 33
- 30. Diversity of the Web Individual-level prediction How well can one predict an individual’s demographics from their browsing activity? • Represent each user by the set of sites visited • Fit linear models to predict majority/minority for each attribute on 80% of users • Tune model parameters using a 10% validation set • Evaluate final performance on held-out 10% test set Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 19 / 33
- 31. Diversity of the Web GNU-fu Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 20 / 33
- 32. Diversity of the Web Individual-level prediction • Reasonable (∼70-85%) accuracy and AUC across all attributes • Similar performance even when restricted to top 1k sites • Can achieve substantially better performance when restricted to “stereotypical” users (∼80-90%) College/No College Under/Over $50,000 Household Income White/Non−White Female/Male Over/Under 25 Years Old AUC q q q q q .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Accuracy q q q q q .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 21 / 33
- 33. Diversity of the Web Individual-level prediction Highly-weighted sites under the fitted models Large positive weight Large negative weight Female winster.com lancome-usa.com sports.yahoo.com espn.go.com White marlboro.com cmt.com mediatakeout.com bet.com College Educated news.yahoo.com linkedin.com youtube.com myspace.com Over 25 Years Old evite.com classmates.com addictinggames.com youtube.com Household Income Under $50,000 eharmony.com tracfone.com rownine.com matrixdirect.com Table 2: A selection of the most predictive (i.e., most highly weighted) sites for each classification task. College/No College Under/Over $50,000 Household Income White/Non−White Female/Male Over/Under 25 Years Old AUC ! ! ! ! ! Accuracy ! ! ! ! ! Figure 7, a measure that effectively re-normalizes the ma- jority and minority classes to have equal size. Intuitively, AUC is the probability that a model scores a randomly se- lected positive example higher than a randomly selected neg- ative one (e.g., the probability that the model correctly dis- tinguishes between a randomly selected female and male). Though an uninformative rule would correctly discriminateJake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 22 / 33
- 34. Diversity of the Web Individual-level prediction Proof of concept browser demo Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 23 / 33
- 35. Diversity of the Web Individual-level prediction Proof of concept browser demo Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 23 / 33
- 36. Diversity of the Web The real story (what we actually did) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 24 / 33
- 37. Diversity on the Web The real story • Got several hundred GBs of MegaPanel data from Nielsen3 3 Special thanks to Mainak Mazumdar Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 25 / 33
- 38. Diversity on the Web The real story • Got several hundred GBs of MegaPanel data from Nielsen3 • Discussed possible projects • Predict user demographics (e.g. real-valued age) from a few minutes of browsing activity for ad-targeting? • Infer the number of individuals using the same browser or behind the same ip? • Determine number of actual uniques advertisers are receiving? • . . . 3 Special thanks to Mainak Mazumdar Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 25 / 33
- 39. Diversity on the Web The real story (cont’d) • Started with predicting real-valued age • Worked on this for an embarassingly long time (various methods, feature selection, etc.) • Turns out to be difficult to do better than within 10 years of true age, on average • Settled for classification on binary outcomes (e.g., adult/non-adult) over entire history • Classification worked reasonably well for age and other attributes Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 26 / 33
- 40. Diversity on the Web The real story (cont’d) • Became curious about why classification worked well compared to regression • Generated descriptive statistics across all attributes at the site and group levels • Compared site statistics to ZIP code data from the US Census • Compared time distribution across groups • Realized that we now had the largest comprehensive study of demographic diversity on the web Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 27 / 33
- 41. Diversity on the Web The real story (cont’d) • Made some fun visualizations of the Web p.adult q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q 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q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q q qq q Jak Ho man @ ak ho man L a n ng om W b A T m Op n 2010 11 18 28 / 33
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gamehouse.com localization.att.com translate.google.com www2.jcpenney.com buzzle.com mlb.mlb.com ww23.rr.com catalog.ebay.com kodakgallery.com everything.yahoo.com bigfishgames.com articlesbase.com ssa.gov mwfb.zynga.com dexknows.com pbs.org travela.priceline.com insureme.com ancestry.com systemofdeals.com real.com sites.google.com cgi5.ebay.com fastbrowsersearch.com avg.com oprah.com rightathome.com monster.com tagged.com specials.msn.com stylelist.com bbb.org motors.ebay.com autotrader.com help.live.com magazines.com tgifridays.com games.com dailymail.co.uk mercurymagazines.com hosted.where2getit.com eonline.com pharmdaily.com boston.com arcamax.com stmts.chase.com Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 29 / 33
- 43. p.female google.com facebook.com youtube.com mail.yahoo.com login.yahoo.com yahoo.com search.yahoo.com apps.facebook.com en.wikipedia.org myspace.com bing.com maps.google.com amazon.com login.facebook.com login.live.com www.yahoo.com answers.yahoo.com shop.ebay.com cgi.ebay.com microsoft.com ask.com msn.com ebay.com home.myspace.com walmart.com mapquest.com images.google.com news.yahoo.com viewmorepics.myspace.com messaging.myspace.com mail.live.com paypal.com friends.myspace.com mt0.google.com my.yahoo.com ehow.com get.adobe.com twitter.com mail.google.com wiki.answers.com edit.yahoo.com target.com r.msn.com weather.com imdb.com searchservice.myspace.com sports.yahoo.com shopping.yahoo.com signin.ebay.com profile.myspace.com netflix.com msnbc.msn.com apple.com yellowpages.com finance.yahoo.com craigslist.org adobe.com flickr.com itunes.apple.com aol.com bestbuy.com geo.craigslist.org local.com connect.facebook.com my.ebay.com hotjobs.yahoo.com eversave.com profiles.yahoo.com wireless.att.com omg.yahoo.com profileedit.myspace.com local.yahoo.com sears.com movies.yahoo.com intelius.com classmates.com cim.meebo.com cnn.com register.facebook.com disney.go.com channel.facebook.com music.yahoo.com webmd.com comment.myspace.com verizonwireless.com print.coupons.com pogo.com espn.go.com search.mywebsearch.com nextag.com att.comezinearticles.com expedia.com gamevance.com tv.yahoo.com mypoints.com overstock.comwebmail.aol.com bizrate.com download.cnet.com associatedcontent.com video.google.com wwwapps.ups.com usps.com careerbuilder.com bankofamerica.com vistaprint.com offer.ebay.com homedepot.com whitepages.com answers.com chase.com shine.yahoo.com blogs.myspace.com qualityhealth.com store.yahoo.net chaseonline.chase.com news.google.com maps.yahoo.com search.aol.com pronto.com allrecipes.com fedex.com support.microsoft.com netquote.com vids.myspace.com jcpenney.com dictionary.reference.com bulletins.myspace.com webcrawler.com indeed.com officialiqquiz.com ticketmaster.com www.mozilla.com smarter.com kmart.com photobucket.com sitekey.bankofamerica.com music.myspace.com lowes.com nytimes.com msg.yahoo.com payments.ebay.com tripadvisor.com history.paypal.com games.yahoo.com linkedin.com webim.myspace.com irs.gov api.facebook.com hulu.com foodnetwork.com best−price.com pages.ebay.com kohls.comoffice.microsoft.com ups.com directv.com help.yahoo.com job.com abcnews.go.com home.live.com yelp.com huffingtonpost.com worldwinner.com hubpages.com travel.yahoo.com groups.yahoo.com bricks.coupons.com eq.rockyou.com feedback.ebay.com mylife.com pornhub.com upload.facebook.com shopzilla.com profile.live.com forms.earnmydegree.com addthis.com msn.foxsports.com smi.usps.com foxnews.com buzz.yahoo.com popeater.com discovercard.com weather.yahoo.com fandango.com dell.com superpages.com abc.go.com try.alot.com blogger.com discounts.shopathome.com cooks.com tmz.com post.craigslist.org walgreens.com adultfriendfinder.com streamate.com winster.com city−data.com orbitz.com squidoo.com contact.ebay.com merchantcircle.com www22.verizon.com turbotax.intuit.com mozilla.com livejasmin.com southwest.com metacafe.com toysrus.com game3.pogo.com jobview.monster.com health.yahoo.com iwon.com toolbar.yahoo.com moneycentral.msn.com digg.com docs.google.com wikihow.com examiner.comtravel.travelocity.com comcast.net metrolyrics.com jobsearch.monster.com mtv.com onlineeast3.bankofamerica.com myworld.ebay.com onlineeast2.bankofamerica.com cgi1.ebay.com onlineeast1.bankofamerica.com cbs.com everydayhealth.com eharmony.com usatoday.com rds.yahoo.com righthealth.com search.mylife.com nbc.com nydailynews.com capitalone.com manta.com snagajob.com new.facebook.com www1.macys.com medicinenet.com barnesandnoble.com lgn5.coolsavings.comaddictinggames.com t−mobile.com autos.yahoo.com lgn3.coolsavings.com gima.weather.com screenname.aol.combbc.co.uk video.yahoo.com voap.weather.com blockbuster.com gamespot.com washingtonpost.com news.aol.com legacy.com justanswer.com books.google.com merriam−webster.com priceline.com fancast.com rivals.yahoo.com adserve.brandgivewaycentre.com geocities.com instoresnow.walmart.com moviefone.com people.com yellowpages.superpages.com accounts.craigslist.org realestate.yahoo.com en.allexperts.com oldnavy.gap.com messenger.yahoo.com wunderground.com nfl.com login.verizonwireless.com drugs.com cbk1.google.com mayoclinic.com business.com kaboodle.com macys.com samsclub.com realtor.com stores.ebay.com wellsfargo.com staples.com hotwire.com tv.com activities.myspace.com iqquizapp.com bettycrocker.com kbb.com fixya.com personals.yahoo.com bidcactus.com wonderwall.msn.com forbes.com retailmenot.com drugstore.com browseusers.myspace.com web.aol.com offers.bankofamerica.com answerbag.com snopes.com mahalo.com tvguide.com blurtit.com walletpop.com topix.com hp.com degrees.classesusa.com cards.chase.com secure.myspace.com dailymotion.com creditreport.com playsushi.com money.cnn.com creatives.livejasmin.com zwinky.com windowsmedia.com lifescript.com java.com picasaweb.google.com startsampling.com urbandictionary.com servicing.capitalone.com officedepot.com thefind.com myfuncards.com webfetti.com edmunds.com checkoutfree.com us.dell.com gamestop.com shop.avon.com restaurant.com eltpath.com cbsnews.com comcast.com accountonline.com inventionconcept.com one−time−offer.com search.barnesandnoble.com mycokerewards.com youporn.com scribd.com store.apple.com apps.myspace.com gevalia.com sprint.comangelfire.com login.comcast.net zimbio.com pizzahut.com media.causes.com wikipedia.org online.wsj.com evite.com us.peeplo.com redtube.com simplyhired.com onlineprofitsnow.com evony.com dw.weather.com travelocity.com match.com true.com zappos.com findstuff.com costco.com toolbar.inbox.com app2.yoville.com search.conduit.com mywebtattoo.com buy.com tv.msn.com buddytv.com chacha.com account.live.com nlm.nih.gov hotels.com ftd.com thefreedictionary.com wisegeek.com nick.com mail.aol.com zazzle.com courseadvisor.com videogames.yahoo.com collect.myspace.com vap.yahoo.net servicemagic.com cvs.com orientaltrading.com hsn.com secure.classmates.com coupons2.smartsource.com viewpoints.com shopathome.com ussearch.com photoupload.myspace.com freecreditreport.com music.aol.com www3.jcpenney.com movies.msn.com shell.windows.com health.msn.com askville.amazon.com www4.jcpenney.com youmindquizzes.com tube8.com www5.jcpenney.com us.mcafee.com info.com simplyink.com bedbathandbeyond.com etsy.com fafsa.ed.gov lifestyle.msn.com mlt0.google.com desktopfw.weather.com shopping.hp.com signups.myspace.com peoplefinders.com recipezaar.com www2.victoriassecret.com usmagazine.com radioshack.com reviews.cnet.com clients.google.com hrblock.com online.wellsfargo.com payments.chase.com ebillpay.verizonwireless.com delta.com coolsavings.com fling.com time.com sites.target.com southernfood.about.com familylink.com television.aol.com aolhealth.com pandora.com paypal−shopping.com break.com hgtv.com gamehouse.com localization.att.com translate.google.com www2.jcpenney.com buzzle.com mlb.mlb.com ww23.rr.com catalog.ebay.com kodakgallery.com everything.yahoo.com bigfishgames.com articlesbase.com ssa.gov mwfb.zynga.com dexknows.com pbs.org travela.priceline.com insureme.com ancestry.com systemofdeals.com real.com sites.google.com cgi5.ebay.com fastbrowsersearch.com avg.com oprah.com rightathome.com monster.com tagged.com specials.msn.com stylelist.com bbb.org motors.ebay.com autotrader.com help.live.com magazines.com tgifridays.com games.com dailymail.co.uk mercurymagazines.com hosted.where2getit.com eonline.com pharmdaily.com boston.com arcamax.com stmts.chase.com Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 29 / 33
- 44. Outline 1 Agenda: Just enough philosophy 2 Case study: Demographic diversity on the Web 3 Conclusion: Lessons learned Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 30 / 33
- 45. Conclusion Lessons learned Data jeopardy Regardless of scale, it’s difficult to find the right questions to ask of the data Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 46. Conclusion Lessons learned Data hacking Cleaning and normalizing data is a substantial amount of the work (and likely impacts results) Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 47. Conclusion Lessons learned Data hacking The ability to iterate quickly, asking and answering many questions, is crucial Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 48. Conclusion Lessons learned Data hacking Hacks happen: sed/awk/grep are useful, and scale Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 49. Conclusion Lessons learned Data science Simple methods (e.g., linear models) work surprisingly well, especially with lots of data Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 50. Conclusion Lessons learned Data science It’s easy to cover your tracks—things are often much more complicated than they appear Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 31 / 33
- 51. Thanks. Questions?4 4 hofman@yahoo-inc.com, jakehofman.com Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 32 / 33
- 52. Jake Hofman (@jakehofman) Learning from Web Activity TimesOpen, 2010.11.18 33 / 33