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Learning To See:
Making Value Flow …
From End to End

John Shook
April 2012
What is “LEAN”?
MIT International Motor Vehicle Program
         – Toyota Production System as “LEAN
Production”
    Flow production from Ford
    PDSA from Deming
    Toyota’s JIT system dynamics and supply chain
      design
    Toyota’s engagement of people to build in quality
      and solve problems for continuous kaizen
    Management System
      o A highly developed socio-technical system
          • With focus on system and people
             development
Lean Thinking, Lean Practice,
   Lean Value Streams
A simple definition:
Develop people, process, and
 systems to meet customer
 need while consuming the
 fewest possible resources.
Automobiles: A Century of
             Value Stream Challenges
• Reliable, affordable personal mobility
   •   Ford Model T and Highland Park
• Transportation fashion
   •   GM: a car for every wallet
• Transportation fashion and affordability
   •   Toyota flow with variety
• Globalization
   •   Diffusion of TPS and TMS
• Environmental sustainability
   •   The next frontier – Toyota with a slight lead…
The Problem of Production

• What’s most difficult often isn’t making
  the product.
• It’s organizing all the parts and materials
  that go into it.
The Problem of Production

In the case of cars:
• 20-30,000 parts must come together at exactly
  the right time once per minute.
• Almost all parts are engineered specifically for
  each model of car.
• Most cars are unique.
End-to-End Flow
The Ford Model T Value Stream
A Value Stream as One Giant Conveyor
Ford Production at the River Rouge
Giant Conveyors for “Ore to Assembly”
15 million sq. ft.
100,000 workers
100 miles of railroad track
15 miles of roads




120 miles of conveyors.
6000 suppliers
The Rouge 1932 – Choked by Complexity
MASS PRODUCTION

                                                                            “B
                                                                              ”

                 Body      Paint                 Assembly
Stamping
                  B   B    B   B             B   B   B     B    B   B
                                                                        B




                                                     Sub-Assy
                                                                              B



   = Storage
                Supplier           Supplier              Supplier
   = Push


                                     Suppliers
MASS PRODUCTION
               with Diverse Customers
                                                                               C?

                                                                          A!

                   Body      Paint                 Assembly
Stamping
                    C   C    A   A             B   B   B     B    B   B
                                                                          B




                                                       Sub-Assy
                                                                                B



   = Storage
                  Supplier           Supplier              Supplier
   = Push


                                       Suppliers
The Problem of Production - Cars
                           6.2%

                                    9,544 SPECIFICATION SETS

1,280 SPECIFICATION SETS


            76,745 VEHICLES
            (50%)




 51 -   50-31 30-11 10-4 2-3      1 VEHICLE / 1 SPECIFICATION

   ONE TYPICAL MONTH’S TOTAL SPECIFICATION SETS: 19,349
LEAN PRODUCTION                                       Customer
                                    Pr. Control                              Requirements

                        LEVELING                                                        “B?
                                                                                          ”
                                                                                A
        Stamping        Body    Paint                 Assembly
                        C   B   A   B   B         C   A      B   B   C   B
                                                                               A



                                                  Sub-Assy
                                                                                          C
                                                             (sequenced)

                                     Suppliers
               =Pull


= “Supermarkets”
Built-In Quality


High                                                       Cost




                                                           Ability to find
Low                                                        root cause

       In-Process   Next Process     Final Inspection   Customer
                      Location of Defect Detection
To produce an order of ten products that is processed
through three steps, batch & queue versus one piece flow




   Process A             Process B         Process C

      Lead Time: 30 ++ minutes for total order


CONTINUOUS FLOW “make one, move one”




       Lead Time: 12 minutes for total order
People Development
Capability development in solving problems
         and making improvements



                       Problem-solving


                               Problem-solving


                                         Problem-solving
Short Lead Time

   – Get each process to produce only what the
     next process needs when it needs it.
   – Orchestrate (control, manage, regulate)
     operations to get ever closer to this ideal, ever
     shortening the lead time.

ORDER                                                        CASH


        “All we’re trying to do is shorten the time line…”
                                              Taiichi Ohno
Value Stream Improvement and
  Process-step Improvement
                 VALUE STREAM


   PROCESS        PROCESS         PROCESS
      Stamping      Welding
                                    Assembly
                                      Cell




Raw                                            Finished
Material                                       Product


The Three Value Streams:      Order to Delivery
                              Concept to Launch
                              Lifecycle Maintenance
WASTE




        21
Total System Efficiency




                          22
Lean Transformation
        Some Lessons Learned
 Techniques                    System     Thinking
•Selecting the tools we like
 is not enough

•The tools comprise a system


•A way of thinking underlies the
 tools and the system
                                                 cartoon copyright © U of M




       Learn the thinking through doing
Lean Thinking
Womack and Jones:

• Specify value from the standpoint of the customer.

• Identify the value stream for each product/family –
  from concept to launch & order to delivery – and
  remove the wasted steps (the muda).

• Make value flow.

• At the pull of the customer.

• Strive continually for perfection.
What is Value Stream Mapping?

  – A tool to display flow of material and
    information of a business process
    through all the steps (value creating
    and not) as it moves from beginning
    to end.
  – A process to align a team around a
    target condition, a Future State, for
    that value stream and plan to achieve
    it.
Current State Map




                     26
        john shook
Future State Questions
    VALUE STREAM VISION
  •What is the Takt Time?
  (How do you understand customer demand?)
     • Where can you flow?
  • Where should you pull?


       • At what single point in the production
          chain do you trigger production?
  • How much work do you trigger and take away?
       • How do you level the production mix?
PROCESS KAIZEN to Support the Value Stream Vision
       • What process improvements are necessary?
         (reliability, quick changeover, etc.)
Takt Time
   Matches Pace of Production with Pace of Sales

              Operating Time per Shift
Takt Time =
              Production Requirement per Shift




450 minutes                                   59 sec.
              = 59 sec
460 pieces                          59 sec.

                                               59 sec.
Set the Pacemaker Process
Pull System
Rules:
Following processes go to preceding processes and
withdraw the amount need when they need it.
Preceding processes replenish exactly what is taken away.


                                Withdrawal
              Production
                                 Kanban
                Kanban
  Preceding                                  Following
   Process                                    Process
               New              Needed
              Product           Product

                  Supermarket
Pull System
Assumptions:
•    Production schedules will always change
•    Production will never go according to
schedule, anyway


                                Withdrawal
              Production
                                 Kanban
               Kanban
  Preceding                                  Following
   Process                                    Process
               New              Needed
              Product           Product

                  Supermarket
What is Your EPEX?
 Every Part Every Week
       Monday      400A
       Tuesday     100A, 300B
       Wednesday   200B, 200C
       Thursday    400C
       Friday      200C, 200A

                                                              DANGER:
                    Every Part Every Day                      Kanban
                                                                  Tsunami
                    Monday:
                    140 A, 100 B, 160 C


        Monday                             Every Part Every X (EPEX)
20 A     10 C      20 A     10 C    20 A      10 C     20 B      10 A
20B      20 A      20 B     20 A    20 B      20 A     20 C      20 B
10 C     20 C      10 C     20 C    10 C      20 C     10 A      20 C

  How do you want to run your operations?
                  Why?
Frequent Movement of
   Small Quantities
Future State Map

           Takt Time = 58




                            <5d
Future State Questions
     VALUE STREAM VISION
   •What is the Takt Time?
   (How do you understand customer demand?)
  • Where can you flow?
  • Where should you pull?


  • At what single point in the production
      chain do you trigger production?
  • How much work do you trigger and take away?
  • How do you level the production mix?
PROCESS KAIZEN to Support the Value Stream Vision
  • What process improvements are necessary?
    (reliability, quick changeover, etc.)
Lean Transformation
        Some Lessons Learned
 Techniques                    System     Thinking
•Selecting the tools we like
 is not enough

•The tools comprise a system


•A way of thinking underlies the
 tools and the system
                                                 cartoon copyright © U of M




       Learn the thinking through doing
Fujio Cho of Toyota:

“Production Control”


“When you try to apply TPS, the first thing you
   have to do is to “even out” or level the
   production flow. And that is the responsibility
   primarily of production control.”
Role of Production Control

1. Interface between customer
   requirements and company capability .
2. Must satisfy both sales and
   manufacturing.
3. Must be very strong.
The challenge of any business:
      Matching capability with demand

                          MUDA (Excess)


Capability


   Demand
                                         MURI (Overburden)


         MURA (Instability) •Know your demand
                            •Know your true capability (capacity)
         Management         •Create flexibility to get them to match

                            TIME
                                                                 39
System Design to Control the 3 M’s


MUDA = Waste

MURI = Overburden

MURA = Variation, fluctuation

1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to
   fulfill customer requirements without
   overburdening people, equipment, or methods.
System Design to Control the 3 M’s


MUDA = Waste

MURI = Overburden

MURA = Variation, fluctuation

1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to
   fulfill customer requirements without
   overburdening people, equipment, or methods.
2. Reduce controllable variation/fluctuation to a
   bare minimum.
System Design to Control the 3 M’s


MUDA = Waste

MURI = Overburden

MURA = Variation, fluctuation

1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to
   fulfill customer requirements without
   overburdening people, equipment, or methods.
2. Reduce variation/fluctuation to a bare minimum.
3. Eliminate sources of waste!
MURI - Overburden




Lead
Time




       0        % Utilization   100
MURA – Fluctuation, Variation

   “Variability will be buffered by some
combination of inventory, capacity and time.”
                        - Hopp and Spearman,
                          Factory Physics

  This is true for any kind of capacity, not
 just factory equipment, e.g. people in
 product development.
What is a system?
• “A network of interdependent
  components that work together to try
  to accomplish the aim of the system.”
                         - W.E. Deming




                                     45
What is a system?
•A process (or network of processes) with
inputs, outputs and a feedback loop that
enables adaptation. That’s what an Material
& Information Flow system is.
•Value Stream Mapping, used fully and
properly, does much more than simply
identify waste to eliminate. VSM is a tool &
process to design lean value creating
systems.
                                           46
Lean Thinking, Lean Practice,
   Lean Value Streams

A simple definition:
Develop people, process, and systems to
 meet customer need while consuming
 the fewest possible resources.

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Learning To See Introduction

  • 1. Learning To See: Making Value Flow … From End to End John Shook April 2012
  • 2. What is “LEAN”? MIT International Motor Vehicle Program – Toyota Production System as “LEAN Production”  Flow production from Ford  PDSA from Deming  Toyota’s JIT system dynamics and supply chain design  Toyota’s engagement of people to build in quality and solve problems for continuous kaizen  Management System o A highly developed socio-technical system • With focus on system and people development
  • 3. Lean Thinking, Lean Practice, Lean Value Streams A simple definition: Develop people, process, and systems to meet customer need while consuming the fewest possible resources.
  • 4. Automobiles: A Century of Value Stream Challenges • Reliable, affordable personal mobility • Ford Model T and Highland Park • Transportation fashion • GM: a car for every wallet • Transportation fashion and affordability • Toyota flow with variety • Globalization • Diffusion of TPS and TMS • Environmental sustainability • The next frontier – Toyota with a slight lead…
  • 5. The Problem of Production • What’s most difficult often isn’t making the product. • It’s organizing all the parts and materials that go into it.
  • 6. The Problem of Production In the case of cars: • 20-30,000 parts must come together at exactly the right time once per minute. • Almost all parts are engineered specifically for each model of car. • Most cars are unique.
  • 7. End-to-End Flow The Ford Model T Value Stream
  • 8. A Value Stream as One Giant Conveyor
  • 9. Ford Production at the River Rouge Giant Conveyors for “Ore to Assembly”
  • 10. 15 million sq. ft. 100,000 workers 100 miles of railroad track 15 miles of roads 120 miles of conveyors. 6000 suppliers
  • 11. The Rouge 1932 – Choked by Complexity
  • 12. MASS PRODUCTION “B ” Body Paint Assembly Stamping B B B B B B B B B B B Sub-Assy B = Storage Supplier Supplier Supplier = Push Suppliers
  • 13. MASS PRODUCTION with Diverse Customers C? A! Body Paint Assembly Stamping C C A A B B B B B B B Sub-Assy B = Storage Supplier Supplier Supplier = Push Suppliers
  • 14. The Problem of Production - Cars 6.2% 9,544 SPECIFICATION SETS 1,280 SPECIFICATION SETS 76,745 VEHICLES (50%) 51 - 50-31 30-11 10-4 2-3 1 VEHICLE / 1 SPECIFICATION ONE TYPICAL MONTH’S TOTAL SPECIFICATION SETS: 19,349
  • 15. LEAN PRODUCTION Customer Pr. Control Requirements LEVELING “B? ” A Stamping Body Paint Assembly C B A B B C A B B C B A Sub-Assy C (sequenced) Suppliers =Pull = “Supermarkets”
  • 16. Built-In Quality High Cost Ability to find Low root cause In-Process Next Process Final Inspection Customer Location of Defect Detection
  • 17. To produce an order of ten products that is processed through three steps, batch & queue versus one piece flow Process A Process B Process C Lead Time: 30 ++ minutes for total order CONTINUOUS FLOW “make one, move one” Lead Time: 12 minutes for total order
  • 18. People Development Capability development in solving problems and making improvements Problem-solving Problem-solving Problem-solving
  • 19. Short Lead Time – Get each process to produce only what the next process needs when it needs it. – Orchestrate (control, manage, regulate) operations to get ever closer to this ideal, ever shortening the lead time. ORDER CASH “All we’re trying to do is shorten the time line…” Taiichi Ohno
  • 20. Value Stream Improvement and Process-step Improvement VALUE STREAM PROCESS PROCESS PROCESS Stamping Welding Assembly Cell Raw Finished Material Product The Three Value Streams: Order to Delivery Concept to Launch Lifecycle Maintenance
  • 21. WASTE 21
  • 23. Lean Transformation Some Lessons Learned Techniques System Thinking •Selecting the tools we like is not enough •The tools comprise a system •A way of thinking underlies the tools and the system cartoon copyright © U of M Learn the thinking through doing
  • 24. Lean Thinking Womack and Jones: • Specify value from the standpoint of the customer. • Identify the value stream for each product/family – from concept to launch & order to delivery – and remove the wasted steps (the muda). • Make value flow. • At the pull of the customer. • Strive continually for perfection.
  • 25. What is Value Stream Mapping? – A tool to display flow of material and information of a business process through all the steps (value creating and not) as it moves from beginning to end. – A process to align a team around a target condition, a Future State, for that value stream and plan to achieve it.
  • 26. Current State Map 26 john shook
  • 27. Future State Questions VALUE STREAM VISION •What is the Takt Time? (How do you understand customer demand?) • Where can you flow? • Where should you pull? • At what single point in the production chain do you trigger production? • How much work do you trigger and take away? • How do you level the production mix? PROCESS KAIZEN to Support the Value Stream Vision • What process improvements are necessary? (reliability, quick changeover, etc.)
  • 28. Takt Time Matches Pace of Production with Pace of Sales Operating Time per Shift Takt Time = Production Requirement per Shift 450 minutes 59 sec. = 59 sec 460 pieces 59 sec. 59 sec.
  • 29. Set the Pacemaker Process
  • 30. Pull System Rules: Following processes go to preceding processes and withdraw the amount need when they need it. Preceding processes replenish exactly what is taken away. Withdrawal Production Kanban Kanban Preceding Following Process Process New Needed Product Product Supermarket
  • 31. Pull System Assumptions: • Production schedules will always change • Production will never go according to schedule, anyway Withdrawal Production Kanban Kanban Preceding Following Process Process New Needed Product Product Supermarket
  • 32. What is Your EPEX? Every Part Every Week Monday 400A Tuesday 100A, 300B Wednesday 200B, 200C Thursday 400C Friday 200C, 200A DANGER: Every Part Every Day Kanban Tsunami Monday: 140 A, 100 B, 160 C Monday Every Part Every X (EPEX) 20 A 10 C 20 A 10 C 20 A 10 C 20 B 10 A 20B 20 A 20 B 20 A 20 B 20 A 20 C 20 B 10 C 20 C 10 C 20 C 10 C 20 C 10 A 20 C How do you want to run your operations? Why?
  • 33. Frequent Movement of Small Quantities
  • 34. Future State Map Takt Time = 58 <5d
  • 35. Future State Questions VALUE STREAM VISION •What is the Takt Time? (How do you understand customer demand?) • Where can you flow? • Where should you pull? • At what single point in the production chain do you trigger production? • How much work do you trigger and take away? • How do you level the production mix? PROCESS KAIZEN to Support the Value Stream Vision • What process improvements are necessary? (reliability, quick changeover, etc.)
  • 36. Lean Transformation Some Lessons Learned Techniques System Thinking •Selecting the tools we like is not enough •The tools comprise a system •A way of thinking underlies the tools and the system cartoon copyright © U of M Learn the thinking through doing
  • 37. Fujio Cho of Toyota: “Production Control” “When you try to apply TPS, the first thing you have to do is to “even out” or level the production flow. And that is the responsibility primarily of production control.”
  • 38. Role of Production Control 1. Interface between customer requirements and company capability . 2. Must satisfy both sales and manufacturing. 3. Must be very strong.
  • 39. The challenge of any business: Matching capability with demand MUDA (Excess) Capability Demand MURI (Overburden) MURA (Instability) •Know your demand •Know your true capability (capacity) Management •Create flexibility to get them to match TIME 39
  • 40. System Design to Control the 3 M’s MUDA = Waste MURI = Overburden MURA = Variation, fluctuation 1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to fulfill customer requirements without overburdening people, equipment, or methods.
  • 41. System Design to Control the 3 M’s MUDA = Waste MURI = Overburden MURA = Variation, fluctuation 1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to fulfill customer requirements without overburdening people, equipment, or methods. 2. Reduce controllable variation/fluctuation to a bare minimum.
  • 42. System Design to Control the 3 M’s MUDA = Waste MURI = Overburden MURA = Variation, fluctuation 1. Design the system with sufficient capacity to fulfill customer requirements without overburdening people, equipment, or methods. 2. Reduce variation/fluctuation to a bare minimum. 3. Eliminate sources of waste!
  • 43. MURI - Overburden Lead Time 0 % Utilization 100
  • 44. MURA – Fluctuation, Variation “Variability will be buffered by some combination of inventory, capacity and time.” - Hopp and Spearman, Factory Physics  This is true for any kind of capacity, not just factory equipment, e.g. people in product development.
  • 45. What is a system? • “A network of interdependent components that work together to try to accomplish the aim of the system.” - W.E. Deming 45
  • 46. What is a system? •A process (or network of processes) with inputs, outputs and a feedback loop that enables adaptation. That’s what an Material & Information Flow system is. •Value Stream Mapping, used fully and properly, does much more than simply identify waste to eliminate. VSM is a tool & process to design lean value creating systems. 46
  • 47. Lean Thinking, Lean Practice, Lean Value Streams A simple definition: Develop people, process, and systems to meet customer need while consuming the fewest possible resources.

Editor's Notes

  • #13: This is Henry Ford in 1913. He created flow for a product that was complex in number of processes but simple in variety. Flow is not so difficult when you only make one type of product. Enablers: Huge market need, Observation and reverse engineering of Chicago meat disassembly Interchangeable parts
  • #14: This is Alfred Sloan product variety – a car for every wallet – imposed on Ford’s flow production. Result: mass production, lack of flow, must waste.
  • #15: Not all cars all the same. This is an example from a Toyota plant in the 1980s. One month production volume about 150,000 units 20,000 specification sets 10,000 unique examples (accounting for 6% of volume 1280 specification sets occur more than 50 times (doesn’t show, but the pareto 80-20 rule applies, so you would see a Mathew Stewart whale, a classic glenday sieve example)
  • #16: Toyota solved the problem with experiments starting after 1950, producing high-variety with low volume, by switching from push to pull.
  • #17: This slide shows the basic rationale of the principle of quality at the source, comparing the cost and ability to find root cause if identifying a defect in-process, next process, final inspection or at the customer. Toyota turned the Ford approach to quality versus production on its head, swapping the roles of production versus quality inspection.
  • #18: The basic, powerful logic of one-piece flow.
  • #19: An old Toyota cartoon, pre-dating NUMMI. Illustrating the responsibility of leaders to develop their people. Two responsibilities: accomplish the mission and develop people.
  • #20: Ohno’s emphasis on shortening the lead time. Shorten the time line from getting an order and converting it into cash. Shorten any lead time. To shorten lead times focuses efforts on eliminating waste and barriers to flow.
  • #21: Conventional thinking was to focus efforts on individual processes. Optimizing individual processes can be technically difficult and costly. To shorten lead time, focus on the space between processes. Three value streams: Raw Material to Delivery Order to Cash Concept to Launch Lifecycle maintenance
  • #22: Eliminate overproduction and you will shorten lead time, improve customer response, reduce cost.
  • #23: Another old Toyota cartoon. It doesn’t‘ help for the one rower to try to row harder or faster. In fact, it hurts.
  • #24: A University of Michigan Japan Technology Management Program slide. Lean or TPS is a system – you can’t just pick and choose the tools you like. To implement it as a system, focus on creating flow. Learn the think through doing.
  • #25: The famous, influential, somewhat controversial five principles of Womack &amp; Jones from Lean Thinking…
  • #26: Most mapping tools either plot material or information flow but not both. A value stream map does both and also includes time. It is thus a system design tool, the only user-friendly system design tool we know. VSM is called M&amp;I Flow at Toyota, where it was developed and used by specialists to plan model production system improvements.
  • #27: A complete VS CS map. Customer – process flow – process characteristics/data – inventory locations and amounts – information flow – time (value-creating and non-value creating) – overall Production Lead Time versus Value Added Time. It is a snapshot, verified through direct observation at the gemba.
  • #28: Important: the process kaizen question comes last. It’s the last question to ask in analysis but defines the first things to do. This set of questions is just slightly different from the book.
  • #46: The aim of the system must be clear to everyone in the system. The aim must include plans for the future. The aim is a value judgment.”
  • #47: The aim of the system must be clear to everyone in the system. The aim must include plans for the future. The aim is a value judgment.”